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Google Share Loss Amounts to Billions

aCoward writes "Today's full page headline on the UK Independent: £13,000,000,000 in Googlised colours, with the subheading Google shares plummet in one day amid growing fury over censorship and plagiarism. While the company says it isn't worried about the stock price correction, there are other issues at hand." From the article: "Google is under mounting pressure from many traditional industries: telecommunications companies do not like its plan for free internet phone calls, book publishers and newspapers have filed a lawsuit to try to prevent it from digitising library materials, governments are worried about its satellite-imaging service Google Earth and privacy advocates have a growing list of concerns about everything from its e-mail service to its desktop search function, both of which may make it easier for hackers or government agencies to gather information about individuals without their consent."

28 of 316 comments (clear)

  1. Now I'm Confused by eldavojohn · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'm not an investor or broker so perhaps someone can explain this to me while I furrow my brow in a vain attempt to understand the situation.

    From TFA:
    It was the second time in a week that Google shares - the hottest, most talked about company stock in the world - were plunged unexpectedly into a frigid bath.

    Ok, shares plunged. Got it. Now, let's go look at the big board for the last five days. Ok, I see the plunges, $430 to $390. Ouch--12%.

    But with today's trading, as of 11 AM Central Standard Time, shares are hovering around $405. How frigid is that "bath" if it only takes five days to get back up to $430? Clearly it's already rising back up to its once held position.

    Perhaps it's time I make 12% on that extra $1,000 rainy day money I've got lying around. What does slashdot think? Google stock for the (almost certain) cash or Rickenbacker bass to make my going-nowhere-band slightly better?

    --
    My work here is dung.
    1. Re:Now I'm Confused by Alex+P+Keaton+in+da · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I'm not an investor or broker so perhaps someone can explain this to me while I furrow my brow in a vain attempt to understand the situation.
      I will simplify it the best I can- Google's profits were pretty good. But they weren't as good as some analysts projected
      The high google prices were based on the analysts projections, so when google failed to meet the projections, their stock went down
      I won't get into the foreign currency accounting crap that led to them being in a higher tax bracket and thus having lower profits.... (Foreign currency accounting was the most annoying accounting class of the many I have taken...)

      --
      And All I Ask is a Tall Ship And a Star to Steer Her By
    2. Re:Now I'm Confused by dasil003 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I'm not an investor or broker so perhaps someone can explain this to me while I furrow my brow in a vain attempt to understand the situation.

      Well if you really want to make money in the stock market you have to have some insight beyond the average investor. The fact that Google has awesome growth potential is already factored into the price. From a purely technological standpoint, it's obvious that they have great ideas and the stock could go much higher. But the real uncertainty is with so many different companies and organizations out for Google's blood, they could get into serious legal trouble which could stop a lot of their innovation dead in its tracks. I don't think anything could kill Google at this point, but its definitely conceivable that the share price could lose 50% of its value and take decades to get back to where it was. That's not what I think will happen, but that's the type of risk you run investing in volatile stocks. If you've got $1000 to spare and you feel like a little gambling, then go for it, your odds are definitely better than in Vegas.

    3. Re:Now I'm Confused by ObsessiveMathsFreak · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm sorry. You have attempted to apply logical and/or rational thought to the great mob mentality that is the modern stock market.

      Please take two ritalins, rotate your stock portfolio by ninety degrees, and try again later.

      --
      May the Maths Be with you!
    4. Re:Now I'm Confused by fimbulvetr · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Individual investors are ruled by emotion. Many stocks go down, even on high earnings, if their earnings are not as high as regular projects or "whisper" numbers. Smart investors capitalize on this very fact. Google has a lot of institutional (Huge amounts of money controlled by very experienced and rational investors) investor support, which is exactly why it didn't take a 30%+ hit - institutional support. If you look at the IBD chart (sorry, have to subscribe), you'll find that Google didn't even close under its 50 day moving average - a very, very good sign.

      If you want to learn more, I suggest at least doing a trial of IBD. I've recently listened to an audio book that was quite helpful as well: http://search.barnesandnoble.com/booksearch/isbnIn quiry.asp?userid=xD6wFbUCot&isbn=0760750106&itm=1

    5. Re:Now I'm Confused by caffeination · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I've got a brilliant business idea based on this. Basically, I want to move a step or two ahead in the predictions game. Fittingly inspired by google - meta-analysis:
      Instead of trying to predict what the stock market will do, which is difficult, and you have to compete against thousands and thousands of analysts, you just try to predict what the analysts will do, and take advantage of the ripples they cause.

    6. Re:Now I'm Confused by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The high google prices were based on the analysts projections, so when google failed to meet the projections, their stock went down

      Um... if Google doesn't meet the projections, doesn't that mean that the analysts are the ones that have failed?

    7. Re:Now I'm Confused by Mr.+Flibble · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Or... You can listen to the likes of Peter Lynch and Warren Buffett.

      They both advocate that you TOTALLY IGNORE what the market is doing because it is impossible to predict. Buy stocks on their MERITS. If a stock meets your fundamental merits, and the crazy wiles of the market seem to have made it under priced because of some moronic panic or something similar... Then buy it.

      And hold it - especially if it pays dividends - and never let go of it. Well, almost never. If the market goes really crazy, and you have an opportunity for a large capital gain *OR* the fundamentals are no longer solid. Then sell.

      Using this technique, I made 45% profit on my stocks in the last 2 years.

      Remember, better than 10% yearly return beats the market, and most people can't do that. Not even the so called "experts".

      For reference:

      The Warren Buffet Way 2nd Edition
      Beating the Street, by Peter Lynch
      The Future for Investors, Jeremy J. Siegel
      The Intelligent Investor, Benjamin Graham

      --
      Try to hack my 31337 firewall!
  2. So, it lost a couple billion... by Siberwulf · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If you're playing the stock for the long haul, you're just chuckling to yourself. Its up how many fold in the past 12 months?

    1. Re:So, it lost a couple billion... by Eightyford · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Two fold. But ask people how well they did with gold stocks over the long haul. Or how about pets.com stock? Maybe now is a good time to unload the Google stock, and quit while you're ahead.

  3. Call me Nostradamus by Eightyford · · Score: 2, Insightful

    This reminds me of the spending spree done by tech companies during the stock price boom of the late 90's. Google has now found themselves with a shit load of cash, and they figure they better do something with it before people realise how overvalued the stock is. Link

    I'd say call me Nostradamus, but this should have been obvious to everyone.

  4. yea right... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    and the fact that they missed their earnings estimate has no impact..

  5. Good Short Sell Opportunity?? by eldoo77 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Google's riduculously high stock price amounts to a gamble on the part of its investors. I wonder how many investors knew this was coming and were smart enough to short this stock.

  6. Let the games begin... by Austerity+Empowers · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This is the price of doing the right thing (most of the time).

  7. Google may have a hard time, but by drhamad · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Google may indeed have a hard time ahead of it, especially legally. It's legal bills are certainly going to be a large amount of their budget. Personally, Google scares me - they're a giant, and they succeed at almost everything they do, and what's almost worse - they usually have good products. This sounds good, but it just means they're entering more and more arena's, as the article says, and what happens when one day they control everything?

    At the end of the day, even if Google stops expanding right now - cuts out Google Earth, Google News, etc it would still have a massively profitable advertising business. So even if its growth slows, even if its stock plumets (face it, it is unreasonably high), it isn't going anywhere. As Google itself said - there's no reason to worry about the stock dip.

    --
    -Daniel
  8. A much simpler reason for the price drop. by Rude+Turnip · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The stock price took a hit yesterday because Google didn't meet analysts' *quarterly* expectations. BFD. Anyone that's not in the stock market for the long run, please do us all a favor and leave. The following exerpt from an AP article this morning sums everything up:

    "Google co-founders Larry Page and Sergey Brin have vowed not to forecast the company's earnings because they worry about becoming caught in a trap that will require them to focus on short-term profits at the expense of what's best for the long haul.

    The no-guidance policy has forced analysts to make educated guesses that previously vastly underestimated Google's rapid growth. And that helped fuel perceptions that the company could do no wrong."

    Meanwhile, anyone that bought in at the IPO or any number of months ago is sitting pretty.

    1. Re:A much simpler reason for the price drop. by Fishstick · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Exactly. Buy low, sell high.

      There has to be someone there willing to sell when you think it's low, and to buy when you think it's high. Someone who has a different expectation of low/high than you do. If everyone had the same expectations of the market, no one would want to trade.

      --

      There is much cruelty in the universe, John.
      Yeah, we seem to have the tour map.

  9. Seems to me... by djupedal · · Score: 2, Insightful

    And why do 'tulips' spring to mind over this news...?

  10. Plagiarism by Bogtha · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I would have thought that a journalist would understand the difference between plagiarism and copyright infringement. They are two separate things. Plagiarism is when you take credit for others' work. Copyright infringement is when you copy something that you aren't legally permitted to. You can commit copyright infringement without plagiarising (e.g. the majority of music sharing) and you can plagiarise without committing copyright infringement (e.g. taking credit for something that is public domain).

    As far as I am aware, Google are not being accused of plagiarism by anybody but this journalist. They are being accused of copying news headlines illegally, but that's clearly not plagiarism, as the headlines link to the original story.

    --
    Bogtha Bogtha Bogtha
  11. What the stock charts won't show... by carambola5 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Nearly all of the stock charts out there neglect the time span between market closing and opening the next day. They usually just take the difference and indicate this as an overnight jump.

    The real story is that the stock plummeted about 16-18% in about the 20 minutes after market close. Overnight, that number readjusted to about 4%. Therefore, all the charts out there will neglect the momentary 16-18% drop, and just show the 4% drop. I've personally taken a small hit from the recent GOOG shakiness, but realize that it's only the short-term investors that are causing this. I bought (a small amount of) GOOG stock not for a quick buck, but for long-term appreciation. I sincerely think Google is doing good things that will make money for its investors (eg: me).

    --
    IWARS.
    People, in general, disappoint me. Politicians even more so.
    1. Re:What the stock charts won't show... by shaunbaker · · Score: 3, Insightful

      When you invest for the "long haul" what you are saying is that you believe that the market is underestimating google's long term growth potential and that you know something that the broader market does not. To justify their current valuations, google's future dividend capability must be at such a high level as to warrant the current inflated stock price. When you are buying shares you should not be saying "i like this company, i think it will do well" b/c guess what, the rest of the market right now thinks the same thing (thus the current price). Market price reflects projected FUTURE VALUE, not current value. Thus the only way you should ever buy a stock for the "long-haul" is if you feel that the market has underestimated the projected future value.

  12. Re:Use Mozdex.com by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    Give us a whirl.. feedback is always appreciated.

    Ok. I searched for "why is mozdex such a retarded piece of crap?" and it didn't return any hits. Now I don't trust any results I get, because I know that this search result is wrong.

    BTW- I am assuming that when you say "we", you are referring to yourself and the other D&D geeks hanging out in your mothers basement?

  13. Not Too Rational by rumblin'rabbit · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Individual investors are ruled by emotion.

    Google has a lot of institutional (Huge amounts of money controlled by very experienced and rational investors) investor support

    I see little evidence that (in general) individual investors are emotional and institutional investors are rational. Quite often it's the opposite. This is particularly true when markets turn sour, and the insititional investors are yelling "sell, sell, sell" just when stocks are cheaper.

    Individual investors have the luxury of being their own boss. They can hold on to any stock they want for as long they want. In the past I've bought stocks in steel and forestry that I knew were in a depressed industries. I knew I might have to wait 5 years of more before they turned around. I also knew that when they did they would double or more (thank you, IPSCO).

    Institutional investors, on the other hand, are constantly having their decisions questioned. They know that even one bad year can mean the end of their job. Thus they can not afford to be too patient or too rational. They have to ride the trend.

  14. Re:Use Mozdex.com by ELProphet · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Nice layout, decent results, but Google still has one thing you don't: detailed information about what I want when I search the internet.

    I understand that you're trying to make a more private search engine, but in that effect, you're trying to put everyone into a one-size fits all. When I search for "Java", I am looking for Advanced-Expert ideas and tutorials on Java programming. You both give me java.sun.com as the first answer; Google goes on to the Java boutique and individual sections of the Java tutorial. Mozdex, on the other hand, goes into Yahoo and other people's Java games.

    As for when I search Mozdex for C... I get C-Span, Dictionaries, everything under the sun EXCEPT references to programming (Google still gives me C-Span first, but goes immediately to Programming).

    When I go searching for something on the internet, I want to be able to find what I want with the minimum of typing. Google knows that I am a programming; thus, I am probably looking for programming related articles. And they're right. I have never held that little concept that so many believe that their information is private over an HTTP (or any) connection. While many fear that, I accept it, and I truly do welcome our omnipotent Google Masters.

  15. Re:Consider this... by LionKimbro · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The people who hate Google aren't business customers. Business customers are quite happy.

    The people who hate Google are the people who's businesses are obsolete by the information age. Who's target number one, in their mind? Google.

  16. Re:$13B US not 13B Pounds! by poot_rootbeer · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Google lost $13B US, not $23.1B US

    Google didn't lose anything. It still has the same assets and liabilities it had a week ago.

    Share price is nothing more than an index of investor confidence in the company, and investors aren't always wise.

  17. Re:$13B US not 13B Pounds! by buzzcutbuddha · · Score: 2, Insightful

    That's not entirely accurate. Yes its assets and liabilities have remained untouched, but it lost monetary value. If there were a company that wanted to buy Google today it could be had cheaper than it would have a few weeks before. This could also affect its ability to raise more money (as if they needed to) because they would have to sell off more company control to raise the same amount of capital or to attract new talent who might be looking for better compensation.

  18. The "information economy" is a sham. by MacDork · · Score: 2, Insightful
    The U.S. is in a transition, for better or worse, from the manufacturing economy we've had since 1900 or so to an information economy

    No, we've completed a transition from a productive, creditor nation to a consumer, debtor nation in about 30 years. Someone produced all those neat toys that make your "information economy" possible. Odds are, it wasn't an American. Ideas and "intellectual property" are not tangible goods being produced by this nation. They take nearly no effort to copy. No amount of DRM or IP laws are going to change that. As an extreme case, India is not going to sit by quietly and watch its population of PEOPLE die from AIDS because they cannot afford our patented AIDS drugs. They will simply break our laws, and infringe on our self declared, concocted monopoly to produce those drugs. "Intellectual property" only exists to provide incentive to people "To promote the Progress of Science and useful Arts." When your family, friends, neighbors and countrymen are being decimated by disease, you need no other incentive. The drugs will continue to be researched and made by people with a personal investment in them. To a lesser extent, the same applies to books, movies, songs, and all other art, culture, and information "protected" by our "intellectual property" laws. We will soon wake up to the fact that it is a total sham, impoverished and struggling to survive. Outsourcing, piracy, draconian IP laws, and our weakening currency are only the symptoms of this eventual outcome. The American behemoth is being outmaneuvered and outsmarted by more nimble nations with real production capacity, real goods to sell, and few if any "intellectual property" laws to stifle the innovation of those goods.