Analyst Sees 12 Million 360s by Year End

Next Generation has a piece predicting the 360's performance for 2006. An analyst with Amtech Research expects 12 Million 360s sold worldwide by the end of the year. From the article: "He continued, saying that he is no longer concerned with any potential adverse effects that an Xbox 360 shortage would have on publishers' March-quarter results. Amtech and McNealy also conducted a survey involving 125 retailers last week. Twenty-six of them had Xbox 360 units in stock, although all but five of them only had the non-hard drive Core units. Stores that did have the $400 Premium Packs late last week sold out of units very quickly."

Comments

Three basic questions

[WillAffleckUW]

1. who paid the analyst or his firm?

2. why would anyone ditch their xBox for an xBox360 when it runs so many fewer games? why not just wait until the price drops?

3. this assumes people aren't waiting until the PS3 and NR come out - which they are. I have an xBox, and I'm not planning on buying an xBox360 and see no reason to change my decision, unless I compare all three consoles and decide the games I want are only on the 360. but that's not looking likely right now.

You can project all you like, but if your lightbulb is burnt out in the projector, it won't matter.