Dual-core Systems Necessary for Business Users?
Lam1969 writes "Hygeia CIO Rod Hamilton doubts that most business users really need dual-core processors: 'Though we are getting a couple to try out, the need to acquire this new technology for legitimate business purposes is grey at best. The lower power consumption which improves battery life is persuasive for regular travelers, but for the average user there seems no need to make the change. In fact, with the steady increase in browser based applications it might even be possible to argue that prevailing technology is excessive.' Alex Scoble disagrees: 'Multiple core systems are a boon for anyone who runs multiple processes simultaneously and/or have a lot of services, background processes and other apps running at once. Are they worth it at $1000? No, but when you have a choice to get a single core CPU at $250 or a slightly slower multi-core CPU for the same price, you are better off getting the multi-core system and that's where we are in the marketplace right now.' An old timer chimes in: 'I can still remember arguing with a sales person that the standard 20 Mg hardrive offered plenty of capacity and the 40 Mg option was only for people too lazy to clean up their systems now and then. The feeling of smug satisfaction lasted perhaps a week.'"
All the anti-virus, anti-spyware, anti-exploit, DRM, IM clients, mail clients, multimedia "helper" apps, browser "helper" apps, little system tray goodies, etc., etc., and so on, it can start to add up. A lot of home and small business users are running a lot more background and simultaneous stuff than they may realize.
That's not to say these noticeably slow down a 3.2GHz single-core machine with a gig of RAM, but the amount of stuff running in the backgrownd is growing exponentially. Dual core may not be of much benefit to business users now, but how long will that last?
- Greg
Start a happiness pandemic
Also, that 30 inch monitor is also very important.
for the average user there seems no need to make the change. In fact, with the steady increase in browser based applications it might even be possible to argue that prevailing technology is excessive.'
I definitely don't agree. I remember hearing the same rubbish comments in various forms from shortsighted journos and analysts when we were approaching cpus with 50mhz. then I heard the same creeping up to 100mhz then 500mhz then 1ghz.
It is always the same. "The average user doesn't need to go up to the next $CURRENT_GREAT_CPU because they're able to do their average things OK now". Of course they're able to do their average things now, that's why they're stuck doing average things.
It's inevitable. The more resources we have, the more we're going to want to use. That goes for basically everything - it's just human nature.
Not really. It all depends on your scheduler. There's just no telling without testing if a given application / OS combination will do better or worse on dual-core.
Remember, two active applications, or two threads in an active application, does not mean those two processes or threads get to be piped to separate cores or processors. That might possibly happen but it probably won't.
I had a boss who loved to get dual-CPU systems. Why? "Because that way one CPU can run the web server and one CPU can run the database." No matter how often I tried to shake that view from his head it never left. (In point of fact, both were context switching in and out of both CPUs pretty regularly).
In short: dual core, like most parallelized technologies, doesn't do nearly as much as you think it does, and won't until our compilers and schedulers get much better than they are now.
All's true that is mistrusted
Even my oldest hard drives weighed more than that.
He may be an old timer - but I would think even the oldest old timer knows that MB = Megabyte...
I'd rather spend the extra $750 on flash cache memory for the hard drive. Or, just replace the hard drive altogether. I gurantee either of these would win the average Business Joe's pick in triple blind taste test.
More
In general, for office productivity type stuff, processor speed isn't much of a problem. We find that older CPUs like 1.5GHz P4s are still nice and responsive when loaded with plenty of RAM, and we still use them. Office use (like Word, Excel, e-mail, etc) is a poor benchmark by which to decide how useful a given level of power is, since it usually lags way behind other things in what it needs. I mean an office system also works fine with an integrated Intel video card, but I can think of plenty of things, and not just games, that benefit or mandidate a better one.
Dual cores are useful in business now for some things, a big one I want one for is virtual computers. I maintain the images for all our different kinds of systems as VMs on my computer. Right now, it's really only practical to work on one at a time. If I have one ghosting, that takes up 100% CPU. Loading another is sluggish and just makes the ghost take longer. If I had a second core, I could work on a second one, while the first one sat ghosting. It also precludes me form doing much intensive on my host system, again, just slows the VM down and makes the job take longer.
My goodness. I wonder often why people want nice new computer hardware at all. I, personally, am happy with my 8080. People who want new, fast computers are such idiots. Look who's laughing now. My computer only cost my $10, and I can do everything that I want on it.
In other words, it sounds like it's perfect for all those people who wanted to get another processor to run their spyware on but couldn't afford the extra CPU before now.
0*0
00*
***
It wants to know why we need pentiums on the desktop. Why isn't a 486 DX fast enough?
wbs.
Huh?
Unfortunately, ultimately, most business users will be forced to upgrade to new systems simply because there will no longer be replacement parts for the old systems.
Consider the case of memory modules. 5 years ago, 64MB PC100 SODIMMs were plentiful. Now, they are virtually extinct. By 2010, you will not be able to find any replacement memory modules for your 1999 desktop PC because it requires PC100 non-DDR SDRAM, and no one will sell the stuff. In 2010, the only thing that you can buy is DDR2 SDRAM, Rambus DRAM, or newer-technology DRAM.
In short, by 2010, you will be forced to upgrade for lack of spare parts.
They'll want them. Perhaps 'necessary' is not as relevant as 'desired'. Or 'Halo'.
"We are all geniuses when we dream"
- E.M. Cioran
[out-of-context quote] prevailing technology is excessive.[/out-of-context quote]
I think its been said for years that the vast majority of users need technology at around the 1995 level or so and that's it. Unless of course you're into eye-candy or need to keep all your spyware up and running in tip-top condition. Seriously though, you know its true that the bulk of business use it typing letters, contracts, whatever; a little email; a little browsing and a handful of spreadsheets. That was mature tech. 10 years ago.
I run debian on an athlon1700 with 256 megs and its super snappy. of couse I use wmii and live by K.I.S.S. Do I need dual-core multi-thread hyper-quad perplexinators? nope.
I know. I'm a luddite.
man, I feel like mold.
Really, consider the average business PC user. Outside of folks that have large development environments, do video/graphics/audio work, work on large software projects (such as games) really do not need 80GB hard disks. If you DO need more than that, you probably are quickly getting to the point of being able to justify storing your data on a file server. My unit at work only has 30GB on it, and that includes several ghost images of the systems I'm running QA on. Sure, grouse about Microsoft code bloat all you want but it doesn't take up THAT much HDD space.
/rolleyes
Sweeping generalizations are rarely more than "Yeah, me too!" posts.
"...getting a couple [for the executives]..."
I can't tell you how many times I've seen engineers puttering along on inadequate hardware because the executives had the shiny, fast new boxes that did nothing more on a daily basis than run "OutLook".
Just as McKusick's Law applies to storage - "The steady state of disks is full" - there's another law that applies to CPU cycles, which is "There are alwways fewer CPU cycles than you need for what you are trying to do".
Consider that almost all of the office/utility software you are going to be running in a couple of years is being written by engineers in Redmond with monster machines with massive amounts of RAM and 10,000 RPM disks so that they can iteratively compile their code quickly, and you can bet your last penny that the resulting code will run sluggishly at best on the middle-tier hardware of today.
I've often argued that engineers should have to use a central, fast compilation software, but run on hardware from a generation behind, to force them to write code that will work adequately on the machines the customers will have.
Yeah, I'm an engineer, and that applies to me, too... I've even put my money where my mouth was on projects I've worked on, and they've been the better for it.
-- Terry
Wally: When I started programming, we didn't have any of these sissy "icons" and "windows". All we had were zeros and ones -- and sometimes we didn't even have ones. I wrote an entire database program using only zeros.
Dilbert: You had zeros? We had to use the letter "O".
The value of having faster hardware is more simple than all this cogitation would lead us to believe. If you spend 12 seconds of every minute waiting on something, that is 20% of your day. By decreasing this wait to 2 seconds, it greatly reduces waste: wasted manhours, wasted resources, wasted power....
It might seem trivial, but even with web based services that are hosted in-house, that 12 seconds of waiting is a LOT of time. Right now, if I could get work to simply upgrade me to more than 256MB of ram, I could reduce my waiting. If I was to get a full upgraded machine, all the better... waiting not only sucks, it sucks efficiencies right out of the company.
As someone mentioned, doing average things on average hardware is not exactly good for the business. People should be free to do extraordinary things on not-so-average systems.
Each system and application has a sweet spot, so no single hardware answer is correct, but anything that stops or shortens the waiting is a GOOD thing...
We all remember that misquote "512k is enough for anybody" and yeah, that didn't work out so well. Upgrades are not a question of if, but of when... upgrade when the money is right, and upgrade so that you won't have to upgrade so quickly. Anyone in business should be thinking about what it will take to run the next version of Windows when it gets here... That is not an 'average' load on a PC.
Support NYCountryLawyer RIAA vs People
In my experience, and I'm a software developer so take that with a grain of salt, the vast majority of people will get more performance from more memory than more CPU speed.
... huge whacking gobs of RAM solve more problems than raw compute power. Always has.
I'm almost never CPU bound if I have enough memory. If I don't have enough memory, I get to watch the maching thrash, and it crawls to a halt. But then I'm I/O bound on my hard-drive.
Dual-CPU/dual-core machines might be useful for scientific applications, graphics, and other things which legitimately require processor speed. But for Word, IM, e-mail, a browser, and whatever else most business users are doing? Not a chance.
Like I said, in my experience, if most people would buy machines with obscene amounts of RAM, and not really worry about their raw CPU speed, they would get far more longeivity out of their machines.
There just aren't that many tasks for which you meaningfully need faster than even the slowest modern CPUs. If you're doing them, you probably know it; go ahead, buy the big-dog.
Repeat after me
Lost at C:>. Found at C.
The big ole bag of ass that will become Vista someday is going to make good use of that 2nd core. The current preview version loves all the CPU, RAM, and Video processing you can throw at it.
Where I work, we're starting to use VMWare or VirtualPC to isolate troublesome apps so one crappy application doesn't kill a client's PC. Virtualization on the desktop will expand to get around the universal truth that while you can install any windows application on a clean windows OS and make it run, installing apps two and beyond aren't guaranteed to work together. Between virtualization and Vista, it's wise for business customers to OVERBUY for today so it's usable in 3-4 years.
STFU & GBTW
Since when was "legitimate business purposes" part of the equation? Many business users just using office and email could use a 5 year old PC. But the industry moves on. Lease agreements terminate. The upgrade cycle continues its relentless march. Smart businesses could slow their upgrades down. Typcial businesses will keep paying Dell and keeping HP's business model afloat.
"640 KB should be enough for anybody."
-Bill Gates, Microsoft
"There is no reason why anyone would want a computer in their home."
-Ken Olsen, DEC
in our financial world, users often have several spreadsheets open (deeply linked to other spreadsheets), Bloomberg, Outlook, several instances of IE, antivirus software and antispyware software running in the background... you get the idea.
the more memory and horsepower I can provide them, the better experience they have with their machines. and empirically it seems that underpowered machines crash more; they sure generate more support calls (app X is slooowwww!!!)
same goes for gigabit to the desktop; loading and saving files is quicker and those aforementioned linked spreadsheets also benefit from the big pipes...
IF one can afford it, and the load is heavy as is our case, every bit of power one can get helps...
-=- mf
I will benefit from multi-core.
:)
I'm perhaps not a typical business user, but what business wants is more concurrent apps, and more stability. Less hinderance from the computer, and more businessing
Currently, I have a Hyperthreaded processor at both home and work. This has made my machine immune to some browser memory leak vulnerabilities, whereby only one of the threads has hit 50% CPU. (Remember just recently there was a leak to open windows calc through IE? I could only replicate this on the single core chips).
Of course hyper threading is apparently all "marketting guff", but the basic principles are the same.
I've found that system lockups are less frequent, and a single application hogging a "thread" does not impact my multitasking as much. I quite often have 30 odd windows open.. perhaps 4 word docs, outlook, several IEs, several firefoxs, perhaps an opera or a few VNC sessions and several visual studios.
On my old single thread CPU this would cause all sorts of havock, and I would have to terminate processes through task manager and pray that my system would be usable without a reboot. This is much less frequent on HT.
With muli-core, I can forsee the benefits of HT with added benefits of actually being 2 cores as opposed to pseudo 2 cores.
For games, optimised code should be able to actively run over both cores. This may not be so good for multi tasking, but should mean that system slowdown in games is reduced as different CPU intensive tasks can be split over the cores, and not interfere with each other.
(I reserve the right to be talking out of my ass... I'm really tired)
I really can't believe this debate is ongoing. It's really the same thing, as has been pointed out above, as any "I don't need it this week, so it's just not important, period" argument, which can be traced back some decades now. For some of us, it's worth the early adopter price, for the rest, it's worth waiting until it's a much cheaper option, but as we all should know by now, what Gateway giveth, Gates taketh away. As the new hardware becomes available, software developers will take advantage of it. The only quetion is - how long can you hold out while the price comes down. It'll be a different answer for all of us. There is no definable "business user" to make such generalisations about accurately.
It's a flocking behaviour... and you *must* take it into account when choosing software.
Q: "What function of Word that wasnt available in Word 6.0 and is now requires this insane increase of performance need?"
A: The ability to open and read documents sent to you by third parties using the newer tools.
For example, when your lawyer buys a new computer, and installs a new version of Office, and writes up a contract for you, you are not going to be able to read it using your machine running an older version of the application. And the newer version doesn't run on the older platform.
Don't worry - the first copy of a program that has this continuous upgrade path lock-in is free witht he machine.
-- Terry
Yes, the typical user nowadays is runs lots of processes. And having does almost double the nuber of processes your system can handle. But so does doubling the clock speed. And most business machines already have processors that are at least twice as fast as they need to be.
As always, people looking for more performance fixate on CPU throughput. One more time folks: PCs are complicated beasts, with many potential bottlenecks.
Except that few of these bottlenecks have any effect on your typical office productivity apps. Word processors, browsers, spreadsheets: none of these require a lot of CPU time, or do heavy disk access, or overload your video card. Running lots of apps used to overload main memory, but nowadays systems all ship with at least 256 meg. So if Word isn't performing fast enough for you, get IT to do a spyware scan and to defragment your disk, and forget about that new expensive toy. It will run faster at first, but if you neglect it like you're neglecting your current box, it'll soon be as slow as your current box.
Continued from the wikipedia page... "Cooperative multitasking has the advantage of making the operating system design much simpler, but it also makes it less stable because a poorly designed application may not cooperate well, and this often causes system freezes."
Cooperative multitasking was the programming equivalent of nice guys finishing last. I spent big chunks of my life watching that litte hourglass turn and turn and turn as each and every program power grabbed as much resources as possible while trying to freeze out every other program.
Concerned that dual cores are too much resource for today's programs? Not to worry, big numbers of software developer are currently gearing up to play fast and loose with every cycle dual cores have to offer.
When I had my first 286 an engineer friend of the family came over and I jumped at the opportunity to show off what was a then $3200 kit. He liked but said he stayed with his XT because he found he could always find other work to do while his numbers were being crunched. Sound, mature reasoning.
"Academicians are more likely to share each other's toothbrush than each other's nomenclature."
Cohen
Of course they're able to do their average things now, that's why they're stuck doing average things.
So, if I were to take the newest, hottest dual core processor, load up with RAM, a massive hard-drive, top-of-the-line video card, etc., etc. and hand it over to the average user, they'd do "exceptional things?"
Please! They'd browse the web, type a letter, send e-mail, fool around with the photos or graphics from their digital camera, and play games. Just about any computer since the mid-'90's can do those fairly well. Even an old 486/33 computer can do it. They aren't going to suddenly start programming or using their computers for power computing.
What drives their purchases are price, and can it perform those basic requirements in a reasonable manner. That the OS, application, or whatever they have on it are what drive the processor/memory/video/storage needs.
Lam1969 writes "Hygeia CIO Rod Hamilton doubts that most business users really need 400 hp BMWs, yet the parking lot is full of them: 'Though we are getting a couple to try out the new Toyota Corolla, the need to acquire this new technology for legitimate business purposes is grey at best. The higher fuel consumption which improves driving performance is persuasive for regular speeders, but for the average business person there seems no need to drive that fast. In fact, with the steady increase in speeding tickets given to rich white people in spite of their obvious superior social status it might even be possible to argue that BMWs are just plain excessive.' Alex Scoble disagrees: 'A BMW is a boon for anyone who runs a business and/or has a lot of responsibility, important meetings and pointy hair. Are they worth it at $75000? No, but when you have a choice to drive a junky commuter or a slightly slower 1995 Tercel for 1/20th the price, you are better off getting the top of the line Beemer and that's where we are in the marketplace right now.' An old timer chimes in: 'I can still remember arguing with a sales person that the 20 Mpg BMW was really for inferior people and only the 40 Mpg vehicle was superior enough for those with the gumption to succeed in management. The feeling of smug satisfaction lasted perhaps a week, when my boss got a new 545i and trounced me on the highway'"
If you look at the way most OSX apps are designed, it's easy to multi-thread them. Cocoa pretty much imposes a model/view/controller pattern, and when your model manipulation is separate from your UI, it's pretty simple to spawn a background thread to calculate long tasks, or adopt a divide & conquer approach.
The other nice thing they have is the Accelerate.framework - if you link against that, you automatically get the fastest possible approach to a lot of compute-intensive problems (irrespective of architecture), and they put effort into making them multi-CPU friendly.
Then there's xcode which automatically parallelises builds to the order of the number of CPUs you have. If you have more than one mac on your network, it'll use distcc to (seamlessly) distribute the compilation. I notice my new Mac Mini is significantly faster than my G5 at producing PPC code. Gcc is a cross-compiler, after all...
And, all the "base" libraries (Core Image, Core Video, Core Graphics etc.) are designed to be either (a) currently multi-cpu aware, or (b) upgradeable to being multi-cpu aware when development cycles become available.
You get a hell of a lot "for free" just by using the stuff they give away. This all came about because they had slower CPUs (G4's and G5's) but they had dual-proc systems. It made sense for them to write code that handled multi-cpu stuff well. I fully expect the competition to do the same now that dual-CPU is becoming mainstream in the intel world, as well as in the Apple one...
Simon
Physicists get Hadrons!
It's very simple. Every time someone comes up with "most apps are useless at multi-processing", it's always a windows app. Most Apple apps are already multi-threaded for the reasons I state.
It seems you can't point out a technical achievement (on either side of the fence) without some 'fanboy' accusation being levelled. [sigh]
Simon.
Physicists get Hadrons!
A couple seconds here and there, lets say 2 seconds in sixty.
Now cut that to one second in sixty with a faster machine, ignoring multiple cores for now.
Gain a day of work for every sixty.
Six days of work a year.
A week of extra work accomplished each year with a machine twice as fast.
You are paying the guy two grand a week to do auto cad right?
That two year old machine, because machine performance doubles every two years, just cost you 2 grand to keep, when a new one would have cost a grand.
The real problem is, we are not to the point where you only wait for your computer 1 second in 60. It's 10 seconds in 60. It costs you $10,000 a year in lost productivity. $20,000 in lost productivity if the machine is 4 years old.
That's why the IRS allows you to depreciate computer capital at 30% a year... Because not only is your aging computer capital worth nothing, it's actually costing you money in lost productivity,
Capital. Capitalist. Making money not because of what you do, but because of what you own. Owning capital that has depreciated to zero value, costing you expensive labor to keep, means that you are not a capitalist.
You are a junk collector.
Sanford and Son.
Where is my ripple. I think this is the big one.
Dual core? that is just the way performance is scaling now.
The best and brightest at AMD and Intel can not make the individual cores any more complex and still debug them. No one is smart enough to figure out the tough issues involved with 200 million core logic transistors. So we are stuck in the 120 to 150 million range for individual cores.
Transistor count doubles every two years.
Cores will double every 2 years.
The perfect curve will be to use as many of the most complex cores possible in the CPU architecture.
Cell has lots of cores but they are not complex enough. To much complex work is offloaded to the programmer.
Dual, Quad etc, at 150 million transistors each will rule the performance curve, keeping software development as easy as possible by still having exceptionally high single thread performance but still taking advantage of transistor count scaling.
Oh, and the clock speed/heat explanation for dual cores is a myth. It's all about complexity now.
If voting were effective, it would be illegal by now.
I think the main problem today is that many programmers still wet behind the ears, developing on the latest and greatest machine, combined with ineptitude/inexperience...
For example, they can write code that unnecesarily makes lots of copies of arrays (no lazy evaluation, using pass-by-value ), [unnecessarily] evaluate the same function/expression a huge number of times, badly misuse things like linked-lists, or even just use stupid implementations [bubblesort, etc]...
And they will never realize how slow these things are because they are trying small datasets for their testing/debugging. Routine "X" may seem fast because it executes in 20ms (practically instant), but perhaps a more skilled person could write it using lower-order complexity algorithms and it would only need 10ms... The disturbed reader may ask what's the point... Well, if you are on a computer that is 3X slower and using real-world input data that is 5X bigger, you WILL notice a huge difference in the two implementations!!!!
And if you are like most of the public, you will blame the slowness on your own computer being out-of-date ---- and you will go and buy a new one.
Plus, "time-to-market" pressures mean that companies probably tend toward releasing poorly designed & inefficient code, all in the name of the almighty buck. Fscking "Moore" created a self-fufilling prophesy that made things more cost efficient [for software development] to buy a better computer than to write a more efficient program.
When computers stop getting faster, software will start getting a whole lot better...
A couple seconds here and there, lets say 2 seconds in sixty. Now cut that to one second in sixty with a faster machine, ignoring multiple cores for now. Gain a day of work for every sixty. Six days of work a year.
Yeah, that's true -- if we're all 100% productive every second of every day, from punch-in to clock-out. Right.
Here's a startling revelation for "productivity" freaks who obsess over how this or that will shave precious microseconds off their busy schedule -- we all waste more time reading slashdot, IMing people, and otherwise screwing around, than we ever have lost to slow desktop machines.
And that's us, part of the so-called technical aristocracy. The article itself was about "average business users", most of whom are not coming anywhere close to using their computer to the maximum. The computer is usually sitting around idle while the user stares in utter confusion at the "File" menu, trying to figure out how to open a new spreadsheet, or wondering which one of their fifty-seven currently open IE windows they were supposed to be looking at. Do they really need dual-core processors to handle the daunting task of experimenting with fonts for their Powerpoint presentation?
Most "business users" would be better advised to stop running stupid crap in the background, stop downloading every idiotic Free Screensaver they come across, and other basic fundamentals of computer use, than worrying about how many megahertz their shiny new computer has. For the average schmuck that runs Outlook, Excel, Word, and IE, the only excuse for having a slow machine is the sheer amount of nonsense they're running in the background because they refuse to excercise any common sense whatsoever.
As for me, I am sitting near a guy who rolled in around 10am, had a brief meeting with our boss, and hasn't done shit since then other than read some websites (not that I'm the paragon of productivity right now either, but...). And you're actually suggesting that he would "save time" measured in seconds per week with bigger, better, faster machines. Save time doing what, exactly?
mirrorshades radio -- darkwave, industrial, futurepop, ebm.