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Apple to Face iPod Clone Attack

chr1sb writes "The Age has a commentary piece outlining how Apple's domination of the online media market is continuing to grow, but speculating that significant competition from the likes of Nokia and Motorola will rapidly relegate Apple's presence in the market to a corner, just as clone manufacturing of IBM PCs dominated the initial success of the Macintosh. From the article: 'The iPod/iTunes system will move into a niche with Macintosh computers because Steve Jobs has again stuck with closed architecture and total control. This will happen quickly because mobile phones are being turned over about every year.'."

15 of 394 comments (clear)

  1. So are iPods. by Saven+Marek · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This will happen quickly because mobile phones are being turned over about every year.

    Given the buying habits of people I know with the devices, so are iPods.

    1. Re:So are iPods. by L0k11 · · Score: 5, Insightful
      we've heard this all before with the ngage and portable gaming devices

      "mobile phones are going to kill off the gameboy" - it never happened.

      at the end of the day people buy something for one task because it makes the interface simpler. sure my mobile can play mp3s but i'd much rather have something which is designed to play music as its sole function. just look at another example: camera phones. my phone can take pictures but the interface is clunky and the quality sucks. i dont know anyone who wouldn't prefer using a simple digital camera.

      its a jack of all trades but master of none situation.

      --
      "Those who cast the votes decide nothing. Those who count the votes decide everything" -- Josef Stalin
    2. Re:So are iPods. by peragrin · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Two minor nitpick points

      1) Cell phone companies are 10 times worse than Apple or MSFT when it comes to vendor lock-in. if you buy a cingluar phone it will only play music from cingular. They are already doing such things with their vcast, and TV on the road setups.

      2)Cell Phones have horrible battery life as it is. you start watching tv or listening to music during lunch you may not be able to make that important business call at 3pm.

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
  2. Ogg Vorbis support by CRCulver · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Funny, this post shows up right after I ordered an iAudio U2 after looking at the Vorbis Hardware wiki. Since Ogg Vorbis is the nerd's audio format, we nerds must have a Vorbis-compatible player, and Apple's offering, while stylish, doesn't have that. Unfortunately, a lot of portable Vorbis compatible players have limited storage size (mine is 1GB), but I'm never away from my laptop long enough to hear more than that much, and so can fill it up with new music when necessary.

  3. From TFA by ereshiere · · Score: 5, Insightful
    iPods themselves will have to become phones.

    Yes, and an Xbox will have to become a Playstation, lions will lay down with lambs, and Apple will be forced to give up on OSX and move to Windows.

    I have a phone already. I have an iPod.

  4. "Killer app" by dotwaffle · · Score: 5, Insightful

    When will people get over the Killer App mentaility? The iPod wouldn't sell nearly as well without network effects. I'll explain:

    iPod connects to iTunes, which does an excellent job of managing your music.
    iTunes connects to the iTunes Music Store, which is a cheap(ish) and easy way to get tracks, as well as easily manage podcasts and subscriptions - if TV shows were available in the UK, I'd be using iTunes to get them, almost definitely.
    iTMS connects with pretty much ALL the major music companies, so that when you buy tracks from X, it suggests Y and Z, which you may be interested in.

    The combination of all of the above leads to Apple not only having market share, but DESERVING market share - their products are good, and if anyone comes up to me wanting to get into online music, I suggest iPod everytime.

    However, as others have said, Ogg Vorbis support should be in iTunes, and either converted within iTunes or playable on the iPod. I can't see it happening anytime soon though :(

    1. Re:"Killer app" by clifyt · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "When will people get over the Killer App mentaility? The iPod wouldn't sell nearly as well without network effects"

      Beyond your easy to use networking examples -- even if the phone companies dead simple to download the music, they have this inbred notion that ANYTHING you do on the phone should be at your expense and they should get a huge cut of it.

      For example, I found out my new phone could play MP3s...unfortunately, no way to get them on without buying them from my provider. Its a Bluetooth phone and comes with USB cables for computer connectivity. But getting files on to it? Nope. Actually, thats wrong -- I can get files onto it, but only as portable storage -- I can load up photos or delete the files that are already there (as I did the crappy MP3s), but not placing in the phones memory where I can retrieve them. I had to call the company to find this out after having difficulties -- and I was told that as this was a 'locked' phone, I would not be able to do what I needed.

      Along with this, I can for a small fee, rebuy the same song for my desktop. Oh yeah, you can DELETE the MP3 files you buy from their crappy store -- but not download them. Its not as much, the operator tells me, but I think I would have already spent twice as much as I would for the same iTunes based purchase (and maybe exactly the same to get it for my desktop). For some reason, the phone companies have convinced the content providers that one can get extended use out of these files and thus its got to be more expensive. Either that, or they take their 50% network fees cut even before they take their shared revenues on the content. And the file you can get for your desktop is I believe WMA -- which probably won't work on my Mac.

      Screw the phone manufacturers. So long as they are willing to provide the cell providers with locked phones, we are never going to see any innovation. They make far more money off of selling these directly to those retailers that have a vested interest in locking down our features then then ever will selling directly to the public -- why do you think the original iTunes phone took so long to get here -- because none of the cell providers wanted it (though apple's bullshit 100 song limit is just that, bullshit -- though rumor has it this may be lifted soon as they realize their mistake, but I'll believe that when I see it).

      Anyhoo...

  5. lock in by LetterRip · · Score: 4, Insightful

    That only works if they can work with peoples existing music collections.

    People have already bought a massive amount of music through itunes. Thus for those with an itunes locked in collection, it will need to be compatible with Apples DRM. So sony and motorola have to either partner with Apple, figure out a way to migrate Apples DRMed files to their service without an Apple partnership, or go after those individuals which have yet to purchase music through itunes, or who went with one of the competing services.

    LetterRip

  6. Re:But, But, But ... by Yahweh+Doesn't+Exist · · Score: 4, Insightful

    >will start releasing phones with the same storage as iPods -- up to 30 gigabytes

    that's half the storage of my *current* iPod. and I hope they're going to have support for podcasts, photos, videos etc.... actually, forget that, what about the chance that it'll even sync with my mac in the first place, let alone not requiring me to use it's own ugly little app that messes everything about?

    >One device in my pocket or two? It's a no-brainer if you ask me.

    twice the battery life in my pocket or not? imo it's a bad idea to converge devices that have different usage patterns. for example phone: always on, with occasional high usage, always with me. ipod: usually off with regular high usage, usually with me but I like being able to NOT take it everywhere. also, phone battery life can be important in emergencies, ipod battery life is just entertainment. my ability to use a converged device would be restricted by needing to ensure enough battery life remaining for emergencies; my ipod can run dry if I so choose.

    I'd probably get an iPhone, but not because it's a converged device, but because it'd probably be a very high quality "just works" phone with complete mac compatibility.

  7. Problem.... by Chanc_Gorkon · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The problem is that battery's won't keep up with both devices. My Cellphone can last 3-4 days with moderate usage (although if I do mobile web on it, the battery usage goes up). If I used it as a MP3 Player which I can already do, the battery would crap out in an hour...

    To truely integrate a iPod and a cellphone, it would have to be as large as my last analog only cell phone which was quite large (I lived for a while without a phone). The reason is for the battery. The biggest thing holding a converged mp3 player and cell phone back is the battery. Only fuel cell tech or an advancement in bettery technology will drive this.

    --

    Gorkman

  8. Re:But, But, But ... by Ulrich+Hobelmann · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Sony? Ugh!
    Creative - weren't they the ones who didn't look good at all and were expensive?
    Archos? Whossat?

    iRiver: good devices, but the nice newer ones (like the H10 I almost bought) didn't have Vorbis support anymore, and I want at least one good format (AAC or Vorbis) to rip my CDs to.

    So that leaves: Apple.

    I don't own an iPod, only a humble cellphone with 30MB memory, but if I were to buy anything right now, I'd have to say Apple's competitors just don't cut it.

    But there's nothing inherent that says that in the future they couldn't build awesome devices.

  9. Apple doesn't need Ogg Vorbis. by jcr · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The long and short of it is, unless you can point to a million customers who would buy an iPod if it supported vorbis, and wouldn't otherwise, it's simply a non-issue to Apple. You are a vanishingly small proportion of their potential market.

    -jcr

    --
    The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  10. Why why why... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful
    ...do people keep writing stories about iPods as if you could only put music from the iTMS on them?

    It says:

    "The only place you can easily buy material for your iPod, as opposed to stealing it, is the iTunes online store."

    and refers to it as a "closed system".

    Total nonsense. You can "easily by material for your iPod" on CD. Or, you know, from that dodgy Russian MP3 store.

    But it's by no means a "closed system". I have 2,000 songs on my iPod and a total of 12 are from the iTMS.

  11. Sigh by SmallFurryCreature · · Score: 5, Insightful
    When your phone can hold 10-20 gigs your ipod can hold a terrabyte.

    Who needs that much space. Yeah right. I have heard that one ever since I bought a HD floppy.

    There have always been devices that do it all and there have always been devices that do one thing only.

    There are washing machines that can also function as a dryer. Funny thing, do you know you can still buy JUST washing machines + a seperate spin dryer + a seperate warm air dryer?

    Yes thats right, spin dryers still exist despite the fact that nearly every washing machine can do it that function nowadays. Just not as well as a true purpose spin dryer.

    Oh and the whole camera phone argument is faulty. NOBODY uses a camera phone as a replacement for a regular phone. The camera phone is the replacement of the throwaway/rented camera. Its function is to be always with you for those moments when you do not have a regular camera with you.

    In fact that is the function of all the extra's on the mobile phone. Games? Fun for when you got your phone but not a real game system. Calendar? Usefull for when you do not got access to your real calendar. Music? Nice for when you forgot your real music player.

    Offcourse some people will be happy with the limited capabilities that their phone offers them. Just as some people are happy with a 10 dollar MP3 player they got from the bargain bin.

    That is not Apples market. Apples market is what used to be the Walkman->Minidisc/CD-man market. They effectivly replaced sony for portable audio.

    Oh and if you think your phone MP3 players is not going to have DRM your insane.

    --

    MMO Quests are like orgasms:

    You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.

  12. iPod is safe by ZoneGray · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Apple is so safe with the iPod that it's not funny. Just look at how many people they're licensing the dock interface to. It's available in new cars, in aftermarket cart stereos, it's in all kinds of accessories. The prevalence of the dock connector simply makes the iPod more desirable than its competitors, and the fact that it's proprietary gives Apple a lot of safety.

    Microsoft has implemented their "play anywhere" USB interface, and some car stereo makers are starting to implement it. Eventually, it will provide an alterenative to the iPod dock, but it looks to be somewhere in 2007 before it achieves any uptake.

    The catch is that the "generic" MP3 player makers will be fighting each other on price, while Apple will be able to maintain much better margins on the iPod. So the iPod will eventually drop some market share, but it will remain profitable for Apple. Meanwhile, Creative and iRiver and all the others will be beating their brains out trying to undercut each other.

    He who owns the interface owns the market. I didn't say it's good, it's just a fact of life.