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Microsoft May Delay Windows Vista Again

UltimaGuy writes to mention a Reuters report, stating that Vista may be delayed again, this time by up to three months. From the article: " The research note, released to clients [by the Gartner Group] on Monday, said the new Windows Vista operating system is too complex to be able to meet Microsoft's targeted November release for volume license customers and January launch for retail consumers. A Microsoft spokeswoman said the company disagreed with the Gartner report and it was still on track to meet its launch dates."

38 of 482 comments (clear)

  1. Some "Analysis" by AKAImBatman · · Score: 3, Insightful

    "Microsoft still wants to get it out as soon as possible, but slipping from January to March is nowhere near as bad as slipping from shipping before the holidays to after the holidays," a group of Gartner analysts wrote in the report.

    What is this, a game console? What does Microsoft care if it slips for the Holiday season? If anyone gets a computer for Christmas, they're still likely to get it with Microsoft products. If not (i.e. they buy an Apple), I don't see that having Vista out will help that much.

    1. Re:Some "Analysis" by truthsearch · · Score: 4, Insightful

      More people will be talking about getting a new computer if there's a new version of Windows on it. More talk == more gift sales. It's a proven statistic that a major Windows release date affects holidy purchases (I just don't have the old data handy at the moment). Of course there are plenty of other factors, like any new game consoles that are out.

    2. Re:Some "Analysis" by kie · · Score: 5, Insightful

      not to worry, at this rate it WILL be perfectly timed for the holiday period...
      xmas 2007.

      --
      living the dream
    3. Re:Some "Analysis" by MouseR · · Score: 5, Insightful

      A lot of big company IT departments make major OS/hardware/infrastructure updates/changes during that period to minimize downtime. They benefit from most employees being on vacation/leave during the same period.

      Also, lots of machines with pre-installed OSes are sold during that period, as gifts. Same goes for box upgrades.

    4. Re:Some "Analysis" by elmigs · · Score: 2, Insightful

      well this isn't bad for MS only. It's said that with vista ready for holidays, duying a computer would be more apealling to the average Joe Doe than that HDTV. Which means that Dell, HP and other PC vendors will suffer the lack of that big reel in form of a "brand new windows"

  2. Brilliant! by Theaetetus · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Now if MS actually can meet its launch date, the industry media will praise them, rather than saying, "uh, wasn't this supposed to be released three years ago? And where's all the good features, like Nomad and WinFS?"

    1. Re:Brilliant! by masdog · · Score: 1, Insightful

      I read through the whole thing, and I can't see a reason to upgrade from XP. The only thing I could ask for would be the improved Wireless Networking Support and the Unix-like Security features. The rest really doesn't make me even want to consider the software.

  3. Fixing non-problems by reldruH · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If this is actually the case, I think Microsoft deserves what's coming to them. The only reason they still have so much market share is because of inertia, but if they can't actually ship a product (even at the already delayed date) they deserve the mass defections that hopefully will be coming. They've dropped a ton of features, they can't ship on time, even Joe six pack will at some point realize that this isn't the company that should be in control of his computer. Like it or not, people aren't going to switch to Linux or OSS because it might be better or because open source is a better sofware development model. They're going to switch because they're having a problem. Nobody's going to go out of their way to fix a problem they don't have. Luckily for us, MS is doing a great job creating those problems.

    --
    I've always pictured the color of OS zealotry as a sort of bright flamingo pinkish hue
    1. Re:Fixing non-problems by powerlord · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The biggest problem MS has been creating by delaying LongHo... I mean Vista isn't just in dropped features.

      Its also in licensing. When MS switched to their new licensing model they promised all their big customers that it would pay since MS SQL server would be out soon, along with a new version of Windows, so it made sense to go for the licensing.

      After the delay MS SQL 2005 experianced, and this, I'll be real surprised if people are willing to believe them again.

      It sounds almost like a Nigerian 419 scam:
      Yeah ... just pay us this big stack of cash and you're entitled to all the versions and updates we produce in the next two years.

      [3 years go by] ... Oh ... were you expecting something?

      --
      This space for rent. All reasonable inquiries will be entertained at proprietors discretion.
    2. Re:Fixing non-problems by eln · · Score: 1, Insightful

      In order for mass defections to occur, there has to be a viable alternative to defect to. In the case of Windows, there really isn't one. Linux is still nowhere near viable as a desktop system for most people, and MacOS X is just barely getting into the Intel market.

      Vista has been delayed for years, and no other OS has managed to grab any momentum from it, I doubt another few months will make any difference. This is a failure on the part of other software developers.

      Apple is probably the only company with a realistic shot at grabbing anything from this, but they would probably need an OEM deal with someone like Dell to make any real dents, as Apple's own hardware is still too expensive for the average Windows user.

    3. Re:Fixing non-problems by JonathanR · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What proportion of people actually upgrade their OS without upgrading hardware? I'd say that MS only has the market share because, for the majority of people, upgrading hardware results in a default of the latest version of MS OS.

  4. News? by slashbob22 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It's like announcing that a herd of turtles is reaching the finish line. It's big, it's bulky and everyone knows it's coming. The question is anyone will give a hare's tail once it finally arrives - or will the rabbit (or penguin) finally win the race?

    --
    Proof by very large bribes. QED.
  5. Re:This is getting old by TheNetAvenger · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Maybe the reason for the insane specs is because by the time it gets out it will run on old, outdated computers

    Insane specs? The Specs for Vista are the same as last release of OSX. Actually less when you consider Vista will run on 800mhz machines with 512mb of RAM quite well. (Yes we test it on this configuration.)

    So what are insane specs to you?
    512MB of RAM for 'optimal' performance? Ok, $40
    DirectX 9.0 Card for 'high end glass' (PS in Hardware)? Ok, GeforceFX 5200 $50

    Also as a side note, if you are running Vista on legacy hardware. Like a PII 400Mhz with 128mb of RAM, there are several high end monitoring services that turn off, and can be turned off to run at the same performance as WinXP, which is still faster than Win9X and even Win2k on the same hardware.

    Trying to truly find your point here, what do you consider 'insane' specs? Am I missing something?

  6. Wow... by GmAz · · Score: 4, Insightful

    For everyone here that is dogging Vista, you sure are pissed when it gets delayed even more. I would figure that you would be loving the fact that Microsoft is pushing it farther and farther back. It sure seems like you guys can't wait for it to be here. I say when it gets here, it gets here.

    --
    Click Click Bloody Click PANCAKES!
  7. Better late by Paralizer · · Score: 2, Insightful

    than ridiculously full of bugs. If they rush a product that isn't ready it would generate even worse publicity than constantly delaying it. It's done when it's done (tm). Inevitably (for those of you who don't like MS), it's still going to have a heaping pile of flaws, but hopefully not as many. No one wants another Windows ME.

    1. Re:Better late by B3ryllium · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You underestimate Microsoft's ability to push out a product that is both late AND hideously full of bugs.

  8. Who cares? by g0at · · Score: 4, Insightful

    No, really, who cares? Are there people clamoring to get their hands on this new OS ASAP (WTF BBQ) and who will be extremely put out if it is not available until later on in the future? My question for these people is: what will this new OS do for you that isn't true right now?

    And as a side note, I am really bloody tired of reading stories about things that "analysts" think. "Joe Analyst issues a note to Judy Analyst, under the table, in the back of the classroom. Investors giggled to themselves and rubbed their index fingers together..."

    -b

  9. Gartner is not shipping windows by Jfarro · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The headline is kinda sensationalist...Gartner is projecting that MS won't ship Vista based on the released data of beta2...pure speculation on thier part based on how Win2k's cyle worked...

    sorry, but nothing to see here...

  10. Trainwreck! by MCSEBear · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Is there anyone left who does not think that Windows Vista is a big long drawn out trainwreck. A project that has to be delayed over and over and over and over. Compare this to the development of the OS they copy. Apple has shipped product over and over.

    If you can't manage to ship one of the two products you make all your money on, what does that say about the management of Microsoft?

  11. More imporantly by WindBourne · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This is gartner reporting; This is the same group that in 1999 reported that Linux/OSS would penetrate into the server market at most 1% and into the web server market at only 5% by 2004 (5 years). Sadly, Linux was already beating those numbers at that time.

    Generally, Gartner ( and IDC and a few others ) are some of the worse are guessing what the future holds. In fact, I would suggest that their incompetence is so bad, that I would guess that they get at most 25% correct; which means, that most companies would be better off betting against them.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  12. Re:This is getting old by pete6677 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I don't think most people really care. I for one have no intention of rushing out and getting it. What will it have that is such an improvement over XP? They can just keep on delaying for all I care.

  13. Rush job? by fortunato · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Personally I don't understand why anyone would even consider touching this before its been out for at least a few months if not a year. It's quite apparent they are trying to rush this thing out the door. I'll be highly surprised if it isn't one huge bug infested mess. I certainly wouldn't want to depend on it for anything.

  14. Re:This is getting old by ron_ivi · · Score: 3, Insightful
    What will it have that is such an improvement over XP?

    This is the real reason for the delay.

    So long as Vista is still-in-the-future it will slow companies transitioning to Linux or Mac. As soon as it comes out and the deficiencies are known, organizations will have little reason not to move to Apples which are now superior in all ways except video games.

    This has long been their strategy, as evidenced by this federal judge in 1995

    Last month, the U.S. District Court jurist in Washington suggested barring Microsoft from making vaporware announcements because doing so can allegedly freeze the market and discourage buyers from purchasing competing products.

    And now, as always, the idea that companies should evaluate Vista before switching to mac or linux is a very compelling reason why Microsoft should keep the Vista launch 6-months-away forever.

  15. Give it up... by tymbow · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I'm a bit of a Microsoft fanboy but personally I think they should just give up on Vista. It's a trainwreck of a project and I can see another Windows ME in the making. I can't see many compelling reasons to deploy this in an existing environment. It's (for the most part) just a Windows XP clone with a few new features with a pretty UI and steep hardware requirements.

    Microsoft should take all the half decent features out of Vista, back port them to Windows XP and call it Windows XP Service Pack 3 or Windows XP R2 then site down and have a good long think before they try this again.

    It's about time Microsoft seriously thought about re-architecting their operating system from the ground up. If we can get Windows applications running under Linux with WINE, then surely Microsoft can get Windows applications running under some new operating system thus satisfying the backwards compatibility requirements. There are far too many issues with Windows appearing that are grounded in its architecture such as reduced privileges which is difficult to make work because Windows is not truly multi-user etc. etc. etc.

    Give it up, start again and do it properly.

    1. Re:Give it up... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'll bite. How could anyone be a Microsoft fanboy? There hasn't been a single innovation out of Redmond in the life of the company, which by itself wouldn't be so bad--hey, everyone in the industry copies one another, after all, and genius doesn't happen in a vacuum--but when Microsoft rips off someone else's idea, they always make it worse. Guaranteed. When other companies copy stuff, they usually improve it, but everything Microsoft touches turns to shit.

      So again I ask: How could anyone be a Microsoft fanboy?

    2. Re:Give it up... by Matthias+Wiesmann · · Score: 5, Insightful
      It's about time Microsoft seriously thought about re-architecting their operating system from the ground up.
      I suspect that this is what they have been doing, and the reason they are late. The main issue of WINE and I suspect of any reasonably clean re-implementation of the Windows API will run into the same issues: emulating bugs and un-documented behavior. Rewriting a clean version is only half of the game, the other is to tell developers to stop using system X call and that behaviour Y will not be supported anymore. Either that, or your code needs to reproduce the undocumented behaviour which is difficult and will result in not so clean code.

      Apple did clean up its API by moving from the classic Mac OS Toolbox to the Carbon API which is basically a cleaned up version of the former. The transition took time, and old programs had to run in a emulated version of the previous OS. It is also interesting that Apple chose this approach after the let's rewrite the OS from the group up, plan failed.

      Following such path would be, I suspect, quite painful for Microsoft:

      • The move to OS X brought Mac users a lot of new features (basically many advantages of Unix), the advantages of Vista are not so clear, especially now that many features have been cut out.
      • The number of Windows applications is much larger, this means more program using strange calls, and more users and programmers complaining that their application does not run on the new OS.
      • I suspect that games would be particularly affected, support for games has always been an important factor for the acceptance of Microsoft operating systems.
      • Microsoft has many low-level API like DirectX that Apple did not have to worry about
      • If Microsoft succeeds and most applications start to rely on a cleaned up API, this API will be much more easy to reverse-engineer by projects like WINE.
  16. Tired of bogus release dates??? by shogarth · · Score: 2, Insightful
    From TFA:
    Microsoft originally targeted a 2005 launch for the new Windows, then pushed the release out to 2006 before announcing in March that Vista would again be delayed to improve the product's quality.

    Am I the only one that remembers that "Longhorn" was supposed to follow XP about three years? I went a Googling and found plenty of chatter back in 2002 about how pissy customers would be if their new, expensive Software Assurance didn't include an upgrade to the new OS within three years. One of Microsoft's VPs even suggested MS would "do something" if the date slipped that far. It seems that the reporters don't remember anything preceding the original, official release date of 2005.

  17. Death by Contract by SuperKendall · · Score: 5, Insightful

    What is this, a game console? What does Microsoft care if it slips for the Holiday season?

    All sorts of juicy Software Assurance Program subscriptions expire this year. Years ago, Microsoft managed to sucker companies into paying a large lump sum for all the Windows updates over the next six years - including Vista!

    If companies get nothing at all for the duration of the contract, I think you'll see a lot of lawsuits and I know you'll see a lot of dropped "assurance" subscriptions.

    Microsoft is delivering vista to companies even if it has to come in a box with crayon on the disc in place of a label.

    Now you also know why the consumer release is later, because this release is just to meet obligations and in no way will be ready for primetime for you or I.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  18. Care! by fm6 · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Yes, most people don't care — but they should. One thing that's happening with Vista is a total redesign of file and registry access on a "sandbox" model. This is supposed to make life harder for malware authors. That's not a trivial thing, given that many computers out there have thousands of spyware apps running. One possible reason for these repeated delays is the need to tweak these new features so that they don't break a lot of existing apps.

    And a lot of Slashdotters care, because a lot of us work for software companies whose products have to run on Vista.

  19. Waiting for any European regualtions? by houghi · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It could be that they wait for the outcome of what the European court will say. It is said that it could take up to a year before a decision is made.

    Having then an OS out that goes against those rules might not be a wise choice. Prosponing it a bit might give them enough space to follow the law.

    --
    Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.
  20. Re:More importantly by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Not to mention that this is the same Gartner that always recommend holding off the adoption of the latest software when it's about to come out. Duh! Anyone works in IT can tell you about this. And this time, their claim about Vista being delayed again seems to be based on, welling, pretty much nothing; in other word, a wild guess. You have to wonder how their so called analyst earned their trade. I pity those that listen to Gartner instead of their local IT people.

  21. Re:Stop Whining already! by geekoid · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Make a reasonable release goal based on the amount of work that needs to be done, and stop stating release dates to appese the market.

    That what most people want, a reasonable estimate. I doubt the delays are because of any extra bug fixes. More like bad management of an overly large and complex project.

    --
    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  22. Re:This is getting old by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    In any case, an OPERATING SYSTEM shouldn't require that kind of power! An OS is meant to act as an interpretation layer between software and hardware, that's all. If it takes that much power to do such a "simple" task, one should wonder what the hell else is going on under the hood.

  23. Re:This is getting old by madgamer · · Score: 5, Insightful
    We are running Vista on 400mhz systems with 128mb of RAM. (Systems slower than a G4 400mhz. PERIOD.

    that's great. so ship it.

  24. Re:Cue MS trolls by Tony · · Score: 2, Insightful
    . . . but I also like my XP box full of Visual Studio and Dotnet yumminess.

    Aww, Heck. You have *got* to be fucking kidding.

    I've been in .Net hell for the last two months. Visual studio fucking blows (you have to learn how to work like VS works; there's no way to make it work the way you want it to work). .Net has some serious issues, like with one of the major features (delegates) not being truly thread-safe, for stupid reasons.

    I mean, if this isn't safe, but is the best way to do it:
    if ( delegateDispatcher != null )
      {
          delegateDispatcher( args );
      }
    WTF? C# (and by extension, .Net) has some seriously good ideas, but so much of it is poorly-thought-out, it's almost laughable. I *like* delegates, don't get me wrong. It just could have been done better, like many other features.

    VS pisses me off way too much to be a good dev environment, and .Net is simultaneously too simple, too complex, and too inflexible to be really useful.

    Personally, the Vista delay means nothing to me, other than proof that Microsoft is quickly losing relevence. Sure, their market domination will help them survive, but where I was once disturbed that they might be able to completely fuck up computing, I think they've merely succeeded in setting us back a decade.

    Oh, well, YMMV.
    --
    Microsoft is to software what Budweiser is to beer.
  25. Re:Well ... by Nefarious+Wheel · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Hey, why is this a problem?

    Could we get them to delay it a little longer, say perhaps another 20 years or so?

    I'm still trying to get over WfW 3.11.

    --
    Do not mock my vision of impractical footwear
  26. Re:This is getting old by hackus · · Score: 3, Insightful

    No it is not getting old.

    There is a architectural problem here with Windows software in that Redmond keeps making versions of the software to sell more software to lock everyone stupid enough to buy it, in.

    It is insane to use 512MB on a server that doesn't need it just to run the OS on it.

    Let alone a stupid GUI, which doesn't belong on servers anyway.

    More and more software piled ontop of machines to do simple functions make machines easier to break into, not harder to break into. So what do we do? We add more software ontop of that to fix it, which of course doesn't fix it. (i.e. Virus scanners, spam blockers...etc)

    My Mantra: Increasing the process working set size of a server makes it less secure, not more secure.

    Windows already runs WAY too much crap that screws itself every 7 days on my Windows 2000 servers which I have to reboot on a weekly basis or they tank running terminal services. We must have paid Microsoft, I don't know, maybe 3GRAND last year to try and fix the problem and they can't.

    They told us to buy Win2003 to fix the problem. After spending about 3 Grand.

    Up YOURS Balmer, my solution to this problem was to convert everything to Linux. Problem solved.

    Meanwhile, NONE of my UNIX boxes (Linux, BSD) have these issues and run far more complex programs on them like PostGRES FreeNX and OpenOffice and have uptimes on them well over 200 days.

    I do Kernel updates once a year if I must.

    You just don't get it. It is not OLD it is a well know software engineering problem: More instructions to execute means MORE BUGS and there is a direct correlation between the two with tons of research from the military on the topic when ADA was developed.

    Repeat after me:

    Desktops and Servers with smaller working executable code sets run better than Desktops and Servers with bigger working executable code sets. By better I mean, they crash less, run faster and are CHEAPER to run. Yes, thats right, CHEAPER. You can ACTUALLY affect your electricity bill if you have that XEO doing more idle time than work time. If your a guy like me with 20 or so big honkin X64 systems, you can cut your electric bill by 8% by running LINUX instead of windows. This is due to the simple fact that UNIX or Linux does exactly what I want to it too and if it doesn't I can make it because I can tell it what processes to run and even have the source code should I want to get all Richard Stallman on my servers behind.

    But in anycase, You heard it hear first folks: Run Linux save electricity.

    I use to have to get up at 2AM or some other freakin hour 3 times a week at least to kick a Windows machine's arse because it would simply get "tired" and stop working.

    Guess what? I moved 90% of my network and application services to Linux and since then haven't got a page yet from NAGIOS at 2AM in the morning. (Still get some though as the Thunderstorms tend to knock out my network in the summer, which sucks but I can't do anything about it.)

    So this isn't old, or an idle complaint. Microsoft is doing this not to solve your business problem, because the software industry already knows how to make reliable software systems than Microsoft puts out. Microsoft is doing this too sell you more software and to HELL with your business requirements! (i.e. Mine where still are a business computing system that operates 24x7, nonstop and MUST be available at all times.)

    Screw Microsoft, and if you buy servers with Vista loaded on them with half a gig of memory to run a NTP server you GET what you DESERVE.

    CRAP!

    -Hack

    --
    Got Geometrodynamics? Awe, too hard to figure out? Too bad.
  27. Why does MS even bother to make press releases? by teebob21 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Seriously, I'd like Microsoft more if they just shut up about what they were "going" to do, and would just DO it. If I was MS, I'd write, test, debug, test and debug some more, and have a fully operational OS before I even announced what i had. Kind of like Apple, when Steve Jobs walks out with a new toy: It's a real product and it works well enough to show off its cool features. Only then would I open a beta to public parties and tell them to hack at it for a while. Once the bugs that the coders missed are caught (like referenced here: http://linux.slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=06/05/02/ 2216235) then I would begin selling it. Also if I was MS...I'd have a bigger house. Seriously.

    I first caught wind of Longhorn in early 2004, and I'm by no means on the cutting edge of tech news. We (meaning average Joe Shmoe's) thought "Ooh, a new Windows OS...XP was such a great step from ME, maybe this Longhorn will be even better!!" At that time XP was still fairly recent, I upgraded to XP in 2001. I had no choice...I was running Windows ME and I needed something better. Like most folks in my shoes at that time, Linux wasn't an option. 5 years ago, the GUI options for a Linux noob/Windows user weren't very appealing. Plus I thought chmod was something you did to mod your ch...whatever that was... Flash forward 5 years: Longhorn is now Vista, but its still vaporware for the mass market. Linux is making HUGE strides in user interfaces for the desktop. My girlfriend, who is rather computer illiterate, runs Ubuntu or Damn Small Linux depending on the machine.

    I had an interesting discussion tonight with a co-worker of mine who makes all the MS fanboys on /. look like Richard Stallman. (You know, he's the type of fanatic who converts his mp3's into .wmv files "so they play better on a Windows machine...") He told me that he heard there was another delay announced, etc. and that it was because they were "making Windows better." While I can't argue with that logic, I asked him why he was so against trying Linux. His answer was that "it's open source". When I asked him what was wrong with that, he told me that open source meant that anyone could rewrite the code in the OS files on his machine!

    *sigh*

    I don't know if he's just that dumb...or if there is some MS propaganda going around regarding OSS. Neither would surprise me much.

    --
    khasim (12/9/06): In a blind taste test, more people preferred Coke over the Pepsi that I had previously pissed in.