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Howard Rheingold On Our Mobile World
Roland Piquepaille writes "Howard Rheingold is the well-known author of "Smart Mobs" and many other books describing the evolution of our societies. His last book predicted the transformation of our society into a mobile one. Four years later, his forecast is more than confirmed. As one of the futurologists who can detect the emerging technology trends behind our daily lives, I wanted to know what Howard was thinking in 2006. He was kind enough to agree for an interview which was conducted by e-mail in mid-June. We discuss the importance of mobile technology, blogs, the changing climate, and the future of surveillance" From the article: "The power of the technologies packed into mobile devices continues to multiply, the diffusion of devices to all parts of the world and socioeconomic strata broadens, the spread of knowledge about how to use technologies to organize political, economic, social, cultural collective action quickens. It is in the convergence of the technical, cognitive, and social forces generates that the real power of smart mobs -- for both constructive and destructive."
First let me point out that given 2006 is now the sentance "I wanted to know what Howard was thinking in 2006" should be written as "I wanted to know what Howard is thinking now", unless I have been unknowningly sucked into a time warp.
Secondly if that quote is representative of the article as a whole then I say stay far far away from TFA on this one, since that 4 line quote translates to: Technology will make things change faster, and online communities will become more important. Since that is what he predicted originally it doesn't seem like he has anything new to say. (except perhaps to add more buzzwords into the fray)
Philosophy.
crap
Well known author of what?
Never heard of it.
For that matter, never heard of him. Probably 'cause I don't care.
My sig can beat up your sig.
good
Once Again
Slashdot shows its support for Roland Piquepaille by sending its hoards to his advertising based site.
When will those slashdot fools learn?
I predict that in 2007 this guy will be making future predictions about which an interviewer will ask him what he was thinking in 2007 which someone on slashdot will correct and which will be followed by a new prediction by dotslashdot about the guy's 2008 prediction.
Wow, they make very vague predictions and sometimes manage to be right....um...hooray? Not to mention that more often than not, if they make a specific prediction(and not one so vague that it is impossible to prove them wrong) 9 times out of 10 they would be wrong. If you would have said 20 years ago that the Chinese would put a man into space before the Japanese successfully launched a private satellite, all the so called "futurists" who were predicting that Japan would take over the world technologically would have laughed you out of the room. And yet that is the situation we have today.
Call me when one of these people does something useful.
...except being a prediction maker? Is there any actual product this man has made that is actually useful?
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2006/07/21/whatever_h appened_to_smartphones/
Whatever happened to... the smartphone?
A few years ago an American business consultant and author published a very silly book called 'Smart Mobs' - which even predicted that phone-toting nerds would be at the vanguard of social upheaval.
But something funny happened on the way to this digital nirvana. Perhaps the signs were there from the start: 'Smart Mobs' couldn't find a UK publisher. A website of the same name continues, however, apparently staffed by volunteers, and making its ghostly way across the web like a latter day Marie Celeste. Alas the site still has a category called "How To Recognize The Future When It Lands On You.
There are places where the networks are not touching,and there are places where they are-Boeing's Lori Gunter
Who is sick of Roland Piquepaille?
The student replied, "Here's an orange."
The professor was outraged. "No! No! Think like a lawyer!"
The student then replied, "Okay. I'd tell him `I hereby give and convey to you all and singular, my estate and interests, rights, claim, title, claim and advantages of and in, said orange, together with all its rind, juice, pulp, and seeds, and all rights and advantages with full power to bite, cut, freeze and otherwise eat, the same, or give the same away with and without the pulp, juice, rind and seeds, anything herein before or hereinafter or in any deed, or deeds, instruments of whatever nature or kind whatsoever to the contrary in anywise notwithstanding...'"
In another classroom, professor asked his best student. "If you have to predict impact of technology on society, how would you go?"
He said "There will be more features in mobile"
The professor was outraged. "No! No! Think like a Howard Rheingold!"
The student then replied,"Okay. The power of the technologies packed into mobile devices continues to multiply, the diffusion of devices to all parts of the world and socioeconomic strata broadens, the spread of knowledge about how to use technologies to organize political, economic, social, cultural collective action quickens. It is in the convergence of the technical, cognitive, and social forces generates that the real power of smart mobs -- for both constructive and destructive"
hilarious
might as well goto digg if all you want to do is read opinions all day. cmdrDildo's day in the sun is up... stick a fork in him.
SLASHDOT IS A SHITHOLE ANYMORE!
I never liked reading Rheingold because he always said the most obvious things using the most buzzwords possible. Very tiring, like one long endless Wired article.
The future is always easy to predict, only the details seems to go wrong.
Yes, people will continue to get more and more interconnected, as every phone turns into a full-on mobile computer/camera complete with infinite memory, as social life moves more and more into the virtual world. Yes, the old patterns of mass movement to work will end as oil continues to cost more and more. No, electric cars won't solve anything. Yes, Japan will produce life-like robots but it'll be small firms in the US and France that produce the bots that finally make it into every home, and they'll be toys, tools, avatars, and for some people, friends. Yes, nuclear power will make a big comeback. No, it won't power our cars. Yes, China and India are going to become information superpowers. No, they won't toppled the US from its throne. Yes, there will be a lot of war in the future, and a lot of it will be fragmented, because just as mobile phones disrupt the traditional social forms, they also disrupt fighting. "Smart armies"? Give them all Blackberries. Yes, there will be a nuclear terrorist attack. No, it won't be in New York or Washington, but probably in Delhi or Tehran. Yes, Linux will take Windows off the desktop, but really not in the way you'd expect. No, no-one will care when it happens. Yes, there will be a black US president one day. No, she won't be a republican.
The future is not so hard to predict - just look at all the domains where people are competing hardest to innovate, then assume ten years of progress, slower than you'd expect but more profound than you'd believe possible, and then see how people would use those changes to improve and simplify their lives.
It does not take buzzwords.
My blog
I'm thinking that something like this is already happening with our culture of mobile technology. People are all being "plugged-in" to one vast social network. Each person is there own individual node, capabal of creating, obtaining, and processing data, which they will pass on to their peers, i.e., other nodes. Every node is connected to every other node by the network, and, thus, ideas and memes are easily propogated through the network.
Given a certain type of input, the network will disseminate this data to each node, the nodes will process it, and then the output will be returned, for now really only in the form of polls.
Behold the biggest, meatiest Beowulf cluster.
In 2000 some 80% of the portuguese population had a cellphone. At that time it was already obvious. I'd say his "prediction" is nothing impressive.
Heres my question on smart mobs: How many "futurologists" one would need to gather in one place before they came up with anything even remotely perceptive?
Athletic Scholarships to universities make as much sense as academic scholarships to sports teams.
Go to your preferences and try selecting "simple design". Some of the graphics misalign, but otherwsie its much more legible, IMHO.
Mod parent up. This just cash-generating pabulum. A post lower down asks why the editirs don't learn. The answer is that they know already. There must be some advantage to them in continuing to post his shit.
Call me old fashioned, but I like a dump to be as memorable as it is devastating - Bender
Could someone come up with a firefox extension that would filter out Piquepaille's blog spam from Slashdot?
This guy's submissions are symptomatic of the drop in quality at this site.
This guy is way off the mark. We can't even get reliable mobile phone service to all parts of our country, and somehow the coming mobile revolution is going to transform society?
I live on Bainbridge Island, across Puget Sound from the wonderfully techie city of Seattle. The distance is eight miles. The island is populated with a lot of really wealthy, successful, and in a lot of cases, technical people. (I'm only technical!) I had Verizon Wireless when I moved here from Texas, and a quick check of their coverage map showed good coverage for the entire island and surrounding areas.
When I arrived here, the house we rented is in a dead spot. Completely dead. "Searching for service"-style dead. I called Verizon, and they admit there is a problem with the coverage. I was informed there are "no plans for a build-out" in my area. Verizon's suggestion? Switch to a GSM carrier, like Cingular.
Mobile tech is great, but it's only as good as the signal which carries the data. We're not going to be truly mobile until we can carry our devices everywhere, into every city and *populated* area in the country/world, and use them without having to worry about signal strength.
And that's only going to happen when the wireless carriers wake up and realize they are holding back adoption of expensive services by failing to provide the infrastructure capable of handling the load and servicing the areas of demand.
This space for rent.
i recently got rid of my cell phone. that was the best decision i've ever made. stress is down, time spent on the back porch drinking iced tea is up, income stays the same. go ahead and have a mobile world, i'll be on the a porch passed out naked.
Must be *long island* ice teas you're drinking...
While buzzword-laden, "I'm concentrating on continuing to catalyze an interdisciplinary study of cooperation and collective action" does not translate into "I'm still studying collective action."
The correct translation is "I'm encouraging people to study collective action using interdisciplinary methods." Leaving out" interdisciplinary" distorts the meaning, and you flat out miss the fact that he's talking about "catalyzing" such study more than doing it himself.
blog
Great interview, I am a huge fan of Smartmobs and I appreciate you taking the time to do this. The last time I reread it was last summer in eastern Tibet, and outside my window there were guys talking on their cell phones while herding yaks in the remote village I was staying in. Crazy stuff.
Pirates have "hoards", each a supply or fund stored up and often hidden away.
=S