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Biofuel Production to Cause Water Shortages?

WED Fan writes "Scientists meeting in Stockholm are reporting that increased food and biofuel production will place higher demand upon irrigation and water resources." From the article: "Demand for irrigation -- which absorbs about 74 percent of all water used by people against 18 percent for hydro-power and other industrial uses and just 8 percent for households -- was likely to surge by 2050. Many nations are also shifting to produce biofuels -- from sugarcane, corn or wood -- as a less polluting alternative to fossil fuels. Oil prices at $75 a barrel and worries about global warming are driving the shift."

73 of 413 comments (clear)

  1. Well, assuming that's true. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    If that was true, the use of biofuels could cause more climate changes.

    We're doomed. I'm gonna go hide under the bed. My Y2K supplies are finally coming in handy. Call me when its over.

    1. Re:Well, assuming that's true. by indifferent+children · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The article (ok, at least the summary) ignores the fact that we have oil-producing algae that grow in salt walter.

      --
      Censorship is telling a man he can't have a steak just because a baby can't chew it. --Mark Twain
    2. Re:Well, assuming that's true. by Viceice · · Score: 2, Interesting

      From what i understand, it sould be zero sum. Because to get the feul we grow a plant. The carbon content in the plant comes mainly from the CO2 in the air.

      --
      Sometimes I wish I was a plumber, then I'd know how to deal with other people's shit.
    3. Re:Well, assuming that's true. by Smidge204 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Well, to start it's actually a negative-sum since not all of the carbon trapped by the plant is returned to the atmosphere as CO2. Regardless of process there is always some 'left over' biomass that can be buried or used as compost, and effectively reduces total carbon in the atmosphere.

      Now consider that most cities today are not terribly choked by vehicle emissions. There definately is a higher concentration of pollution in urban areas, of course, but a large part of this is from sulphur and nitrates. Biofuels contain no sulphur and produce fewer nitrates when burned, so net pollution would still decrease (unless you're expecting a substantial increase in fuel usage in urban areas).
      =Smidge=

    4. Re:Well, assuming that's true. by indifferent+children · · Score: 2, Informative
      NREL's research focused on the development of algae farms in desert regions, using shallow saltwater pools for growing the algae.

      http://www.unh.edu/p2/biodiesel/article_alge.html

      --
      Censorship is telling a man he can't have a steak just because a baby can't chew it. --Mark Twain
  2. Not an issue... by evilviper · · Score: 4, Insightful
    increased food and biofuel production will place higher demand upon irrigation and water resources.

    Well then, it's a good thing water is a renewable resource, isn't it?

    The only thing in danger is CHEAP water, really. Desalination can ramp-up to whatever volume you want, and most countries are located near an effectively unlimited source from which to draw saline...
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    1. Re:Not an issue... by MichaelSmith · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Desalination can ramp-up to whatever volume you want

      Using energy from what? Oil? I doubt that you could irrigate biofuel crops with desalinated water, use the biofuel to power desalination, and wind up with an excess of energy.

    2. Re:Not an issue... by RsG · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Actually, desalination means centralized power generation. We generally don't use oil for that.

      Using modern technology, that would mean nuclear, coal or (in some areas) passive power (hydro, solar, wind, etc). The latter option isn't going to work everywhere, but building a nuke plant or two should solve the water problem rather nicely. In places where tidal power is available, you also have an abundance of salt water, though that does raise issues regarding transporting the desalinated water, or selecting our biofule agricultural land to be near the ocean. Using coal would contribute to gobal warming, but even then we get the economic benefits from using biofuel over oil, since coal isn't in short supply or in the hands of unfriendly nations.

      Using probably future technologies, fusion would work wonders. Fusion plants scale up better than they scale down, which is exactly what we'd want for a desalination facility. Orbital solar is another possibility along the same lines. Even without such technologies, a more modern fission reactor design would be an improvement over using existing nuclear plants - something like an integeral fast reactor or a pebble bed reactor for instance.

      --
      Erotic is when you use a feather. Exotic is when you use the whole chicken.
    3. Re:Not an issue... by MichaelSmith · · Score: 3, Insightful
      building a nuke plant or two should solve the water problem rather nicely

      But this thread is about getting net energy out of biofuels. If you need to use fission to make water for fuel, then just use the energy directly. Battery technology is improving all the time. An intermediate liquid fuel may be required in some cases, but the direct use of electric power should take care of most urban requirements.

      fusion would work wonders

      I don't think fusion is going to save us this time. It has been a long way off for a long time.

    4. Re:Not an issue... by RsG · · Score: 3, Insightful
      But this thread is about getting net energy out of biofuels. If you need to use fission to make water for fuel, then just use the energy directly. Battery technology is improving all the time. An intermediate liquid fuel may be required in some cases, but the direct use of electric power should take care of most urban requirements.
      Ah, yes, but you're mistaking the source of energy here. The putative nuclear plant isn't being used to store energy in the fuel - sunlight and photosynthesis are. The nuke plant is being used to provide fresh water for the plants. It is still a power input, but an indirect one, which means that it's maximum output is probably much smaller than the total power input involved in making the biofuel.

      Conversely, with battery power, all of the energy has to come from some man made power generator. Solar panels could store the same energy per square meter of land used as biofuel crops, but then you're up against manufacturing costs, whereas plants are essentially self-assembling.

      Plus, we'd use desalination plants and irrigation for a hell of a lot more than just biofuel production. After all, fresh water is a valuable resource regardless, and increasing our production capability can't hurt.

      I don't think fusion is going to save us this time. It has been a long way off for a long time.
      Perhaps, but it is easier to accept the idea of something like a nuclear economy if we work from the assumption that we're going to upgrade to fusion later. To draw an analogy, it's somewhat like renting while saving up for a home (this assumes there are no mortgages available, or that housing prices need to come down first). Fusion may be a long way off, but if we keep developing the technology, we'll eventually break even on it.
      --
      Erotic is when you use a feather. Exotic is when you use the whole chicken.
    5. Re:Not an issue... by TopShelf · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Hmmm... a group of scientists in Stockholm... and look at this company is right nearby, and has a booming business in water desalination and purification... coincidence? I think not!

      Perhaps this is more about steering UN and IMF project money towards localized water purification solutions rather than big infrastructure projects like damns, etc.

      --
      Stop by my site where I write about ERP systems & more
    6. Re:Not an issue... by WhiteWolf666 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Tidal would be an obvious choice for desalination plants.

      Bingo!

      There are so many ways to use tidal energy for desalination that our company doesn't know which "branch" to take beyond the feasibility study stage. We're not a big company, more of small tech house, and our lab floor is littered with scale model prototypes for tidal desalinization. 10 years ago, none of these things made economic sense. Now, the developing Arab nations most in need of desalinization cannot afford to use their oil domestically (more $$ in selling it). They take their oil money and invest it into technologies like ours; and we'll sell it world wide.

      --
      WhiteWolf666 an exBush supporter. All you new-school,compassionate,save the children Republicans can rot in hell
    7. Re:Not an issue... by WhiteWolf666 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      But this thread is about getting net energy out of biofuels.

      This statement doesn't make sense.

      I said it elsewhere in the thread.

      Energy on earth comes from one of four sources. Period.

      A) "Fresh" Solar
      B) "Stored" Solar
      C) Nuclear
      D) Lunar (Tidal)

      That's it. If you're using energy on this rock, you're using one of those 4 sources. Everything else is illusion.

      As far as I'm concerned, BioFuel, like Hydrogen, is a portion of the fuel cycle that "stores" energy much better than electrochemical batteries. BioFuel, like Hydrogen, is a mobile form of power storage. Nothing else.

      --
      WhiteWolf666 an exBush supporter. All you new-school,compassionate,save the children Republicans can rot in hell
    8. Re:Not an issue... by Fordiman · · Score: 2, Informative

      Well, generally desalination plants are solar. There are other methods that can be used (electrical, gas-powered), that, depending on their origin, could easily be carbon neutral (I vote walk-away safe CANDU type neuclear, myself. One of the byproducts is pure water, even from a saline source).

      --
      110100 1101000 1101000 1100110 0 1101111 1101000 1100011 1
    9. Re:Not an issue... by Fordiman · · Score: 2, Informative

      Why would you doubt that?

      Consider: Desalination could be primarily powered by solar (ie: direct heating of the water by the infrared portion of the spectrum, while solar panels collect the visible spectra), with additional power being generated by tides, wind, etc. If a LOT of fresh water is needed, you can have the electrical generators as a grid-share system (plug 'em into the wall), so that production can be ramped up as needed, and excess during low-demand times can be sold back to the grid.

      Meanwhile, the plants themselves act as solar collectors, storing their energy as complex carbohydrates, which can then be processed into ethanol, biodiesel, or gasoline (techniques exist for all of these).

      Though, I'm unsure of the reasons for using corn and sugarcane; jerusalem artichokes have the best potential for ethanol production. They have the greatest energy yield per acre per year, are pretty hard to kill (for food production, you wouldn't want the second-seasonal tubers, but they're fine for fuel production), and require little in the way of water (natural rainfall in less arid deserts is sufficient). Besides, they're pretty (they're a sunflower), and most of the plant is fermentable (and you can use the nonfermentables in thermal conversion to get gasoline. The mix would be something like 80% ethanol, 20% gasoline, but definately sufficient for a slightly modified modern vehicle.

      Meanwhile, having ethanol at the pump would pave the way for production of vehicles using Direct Ethanol Fuel Cell technology - something that's about twice as efficient per gallon of ethanol as your standard ICE.

      --
      110100 1101000 1101000 1100110 0 1101111 1101000 1100011 1
    10. Re:Not an issue... by arose · · Score: 4, Informative

      A and B are nuclear as well then...

      --
      Analogies don't equal equalities, they are merely somewhat analogous.
    11. Re:Not an issue... by chanda3199 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I hope I don't get flamed for this as it is an honest question for those of us who are not physicists...

      Regarding the Law of Thermodynamics, what implications does tidal power have for the Earth on a grand scale? Energy is neither created nor destroyed, if we keep tapping energy out of the tidal movements, what would this do to the Earths orbit or spin over the course of thousands of years? (Assuming we kept using this energy source, of course...)

      I started thinking of this while pondering the future of space travel. If we used the Earth as a slingshot into higher orbit time and again, wouldn't this effectively pull energy out of the Earth's orbit? I know these are very large numbers involved here, but still. If this was as common as current highway congestion, surely spacecraft after spacecraft for thousands of years would do something? Wouldn't tidal energy do the same thing?

    12. Re:Not an issue... by orasio · · Score: 3, Funny

      If we ever get to the point when our spaceships stop the rotation of the earth, then we will have big spaceships in enough quantities to get out of this non-spinning rock, and go somewhere else.

    13. Re:Not an issue... by Chelloveck · · Score: 3, Funny

      And I, for one, and getting pretty darned sick and tired of living within line-of-sight to a huge, improperly shielded nuclear reactor!

      --
      Chelloveck
      I give up on debugging. From now on, SIGSEGV is a feature.
    14. Re:Not an issue... by CastrTroy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If all the breakwaters and other things we have put into the ocean haven't made a difference yet, then I don't think there's a problem. The ocean contains massive amounts of energy. And it is huge. I'm pretty sure that even if we bordered every mile of every every shoreline in the world with tidal power generators, we would still not have a noticeable affect on the planet.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    15. Re:Not an issue... by ragutis · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "I don't think fusion is going to save us this time. It has been a long way off for a long time."

      Yup. It's been about 93,000,000 miles away for a few billion years.

      This rock here is one big desalinization plant, or still, whichever you want to call it. What we're talking about here is manipulating the engineering parameters of the system to handle our special needs. Even though I know intellectually that I'm probably wrong, I sometimes wonder if there's more human energy being spent on Chicken Little contests than there is in serious research and engineering efforts to deal with the process.

    16. Re:Not an issue... by Zenaku · · Score: 3, Interesting
      It is my understanding that presently, the earth's rotation is gradually slowing and the moon is gradually getting further away in its orbit. I have only a layman's understanding of the dynamics involved, by my basic understanding of the prinicple is that because the earth spins more rapidly than the moon orbits us, the tide creates a drag on the earth's rotation, slowing it. At the same time, because the spin of the earth keeps the tidal bulge slightly "ahead" of the moon instead of directly under it, the gravity irregularities increase the moon's velocity, enlarging it's orbit.

      So right now, the dynamic is that energy is being transferred from the earth's rotation to the moon's revolution. I think siphoning some of this energy off in the form of tidal power could -- in a very, very small way -- reduce this effect, making the earth's spin slow down even more gradually than it is now.

      I am not an astronomer, but I once made a model solar system out of styrofoam balls.

      --
      If fate makes you a motorcycle, you become a motorcycle.
    17. Re:Not an issue... by GooberToo · · Score: 5, Informative

      LOL! You do realize you're a nut job, right?

      Nuclear is safe. You're touting Chernobyl as an example of how unsafe nuclear power is? Get real. Chernobyl is an example of stuidity of mankind in its most extreme. Your argument makes as much sense as saying dynamite (the basis of most modern techonological infrastructure) should be banned because some idiot terrorist strapped it to himself and blew some people up. Simple fact is, dynamite is one of the safest explosives we have. And yes, idiots do blow themselves up with it. One has absolutely nothing to do with the other.

      Fact, Chernobyl would have never been allowed to be built in the US (even in the 50s, or any other country in the world) as it failed to meet the most basic of safety standards. Fact, Russia suffers from penis envy (compared to te US) and considers its people to be disposible; thusly they knowingly created a very, very dangerous reactor. Fact, Russia has a long history of ignoring safety at the expense of their population (comparisons to civil terrorism would not be unwarrented). Fact, it had little to no containment shielding to begin with. Fact, what failsafes they had in place had been disabled. Fact, with a skeleton crew, making them unable to react to any emergency, they decided to operate their reactor outside known safe parameters to observe what happens. Guess what, they acted like terrorists strapping dynamite to themselves and the world is shocked. Gasp! Chernobyl is an condemnation of Russia, Russian politics, and Russia's complete disreguard for humanity; however, it is not a statement about nuclear power.

      In the final analysis, only an absolute idiot would use Chernobyl as a posterboy for how unsafe nuclear power is. Why do I sound so harsh? Simple, because anyone that attempts to use Chernobyl for anti-nuclear reasons obviously doesn't know anything about the details and are running scared. If you insist on attempting to make an anti-nuclear, fear mongering position, please build a case based on facts rather than ignorance and stupidity. If you're using Chernobyl, obviously you have no facts and come off sounding like an absolute, raving, tree-hugging, loon. At best, you're simply ignorant, parroting fear.

      Simple fact is, nuclear power, based on current designs, is very, very safe. Simple fact is, newer, modern nuclear designs are safer yet. One can certainly argue the economic merits and the finite duration nuclear power is an option. Nonetheless, nuclear is one of the safest sources of power on earth. Anyone with the slightest inkling of knowledge of the subject matter is forced to conclude, nuclear is safe. Period.

    18. Re:Not an issue... by AlHunt · · Score: 2, Funny

      > Where do you put the salt extracted from the Water? On your french fries ...

      --
      1 in 4 Maine children in struggle with hunger.
    19. Re:Not an issue... by swelke · · Score: 2, Interesting

      But this thread is about getting net energy out of biofuels.

      Who says? You're the first one who's brought the net-energy question up. Let me rephrase the problem so you might get it: biofuels are _not_ an energy source, they are an energy conversion. All of the recent studies show that ethanol production (one biofuel, but not the only one. This argument should be approximately right for biodiesel from plant oils.) produces more energy from burning the ethanol than it takes to (1) grow and harvest the corn, and (2) convert that corn into the ethanol. The trouble is that there's another energy input: the sunlight used to grow the plants. If you consider the sunlight input into producing ethanol, the process cannot be more than about 10% efficient, probably much less (and I cannot be bothered to even try to do the math).

      That being said, why in the world are we even considering it? Why don't we just build solar panels there and forget ethanol (or other biofuel) production? Because biofuels are valuable not for their net energy storage, but because they are a compact energy storage mechanism. We're already putting far more energy/effort into the process than the net energy output would justify, it's the conversion of (some of) the energy into a form we really want that makes the whole process worthwhile.

      That is also why using nuclear or coal or whatever else to desalinate water to irrigate the crop for growing biofuel is not a net-energy output question. We wouldn't burn oil or diesel fuel or any transportation fuel to run a desalination plant. Those fuels have more value elsewhere. We would use a low-portability energy solution like nuclear or wind or coal because we are essentially upgrading a (small) portion of the energy output of those facilities into a more valuable energy storage form, the biofuel. Using an externally powered desalination plant might decrease the net efficiency of the sunlight-to-biofuel conversion from 10% to 5%, or whatever, but if the whole process is still economical, then it is appropriate. Until the technology is developed for a more direct electricity-to-transportation fuel conversion is in place, that high-inefficiency conversion of electricity-and-sunlight to biofuel is still worthwhile. (And don't go spouting "hydrogen" at me, because while the technology for hydrogen _production_ is available, the technology for its distribution and consumer use is still pretty green, if you'll pardon the pun.)

      --
      Have you ever wondered How to Take Over
    20. Re:Not an issue... by GooberToo · · Score: 2, Informative

      That's because the reactor design that Iran wants is A, considered one of the least safe nuclear reactor technologies, B, is often used to make weapons grade material, C, not as cost effective as other, more modern designs. Now, add A+B+C+terrorist state+willingness to commit genocide (Israel), and only and idiot would let Iran get their reactor.

      If all Iran wanted was nuclear power, A, B, and C, would not even be on the table for discussion. And frankly, the would wouldn't care nearly as much.

    21. Re:Not an issue... by Free_Meson · · Score: 2, Informative
      Ah, yes, but you're mistaking the source of energy here. The putative nuclear plant isn't being used to store energy in the fuel - sunlight and photosynthesis are. The nuke plant is being used to provide fresh water for the plants. It is still a power input, but an indirect one, which means that it's maximum output is probably much smaller than the total power input involved in making the biofuel.


      I'm sorry, but there's no logical reason to believe that because the energy requirements of desalination for irrigation are indirect that they are significantly less than the energy output of the biofuel. All the indirect nature of the energy input implies is the thermodynamic possibility of a net energy profit.

      Assuming the most favorable processes (sugar beets used for ethanol at 714 gal/acre, 5 kwh per cubic meter of desalinated water), 80% efficiency from a center pivot irrigation system, 60% efficiency from the original energy stock, and 30"/season of net water consumption, such a system would require 3855 cubic meters of fresh water at the cost of 19275 kwh of energy at the desalination plant or 32125 kwh of fuel stock. Ethanol yields 23 kwh per gallon, so a salination-supported sugar beet ethanol facility under ideal conditions would yield approximately 16422 kwh per acre at a per acre cost of approximately 32125 kwh of energy stock, ignoring the energy costs associated with delivering the water, powering farm equipment, &etc. That's a net loss of approximately 15703 kwh per acre per season, essentially converting your original fuel stock to ethanol at an efficiency of 51%. As ethanol-powered vehicles have an efficiency between 30 and 35%, this would yield a total efficiency (original fuel stock to end use as transportation energy) of around 15%. Electric vehicles charge at an efficiency between 80 and 90% and then use that stored energy at an efficiency between 80% and 90%. Assuming the low end on both of those scales, an electric vehicle would yield an energy stock to transportation efficiency of 38%.

      Now, 60% at the power plant is using a state of the art combined cycle LNG system. In the US, mean efficiency is probably around half of that, but in this back-of-the-envelope comparison both systems scale linearly with the efficiency of the original power source. That means that under ideal conditions for biofuel vehicles (and worst case scenario conditions for electric vehicles), electric vehicles are about 2.5 times more efficient than desalination-irrigated biofuel vehicles. Under more realistic conditions, electric vehicles should fare even better. If you're using desalination to grow biofuel stock you're just throwing energy away.
    22. Re:Not an issue... by straybullets · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Wow, talk about denial. "It's not us, it's those damn russians. Our technology is safe, don't worry. These are the facts" .

      Well, as you must know, there is a history of hundreds of examples of disfunctions, even in todays's most "modern" nuke plants.

      But you are right. These are not facts. Let's keep our eyes wide shut.

      One could argue that the fact that we find these disfunctions is proof positive that the nuclear safety process is working, but the truth is that there is a hudge gap between the reality of the danger and the supposed nuclear safety : it's only because of various counter powers that these disfunctions are known. The nuclear industries are closely linked to the military industries and to say the least the field lacks in transparency

      I should also point that if you sticked to a scientific and factual approach of the problem, you would certainly realize that defining something as safe once and for all clearly is not a good safety procedure. Err , let's just hope you are not in charge here !

      Proliferation of nuclear power will lead to chernobyl like problems, if not only statistically then in the same way that the US power grid is failing : safety brings no short term profit.

      But in all your arrogance and pride for your technology i doubt that you can stand back from this nuclear fiction, untill a disaster happens. In your backyard maybe ?

      Security processes have no zero default, and you know it. Nuclear safety is a myth. What is the risk ? Don't ask. What are the benefits ? Trust us. The reality is that we shall leave our fate in the hands of the nuclear goons, despite the wastes, despites the risk, despite the damage already done but most of all despite the fact that this energy is over used and wasted in mainly illogicals and ineficient ways. Only the fake sense of safe and infinite energy that the nuclear industries promess permits such a waste of energy, and this has other dramatic effects. One simple example : excessive packaging. Very expensive energy wise, very destructive (plastics, heavy metals in paints, chemical tratement of paper et al), mostly useless.

      And keep the insults to yourself, nuclear monger, because be it reason or unfortunately disaster, time is on my side.

      --
      With that aggravating beauty, Lulu Walls.
    23. Re:Not an issue... by ceoyoyo · · Score: 2, Informative

      A) Merriam Webster (http://www.m-w.com/dictionary/Sun), the American Heritage Dictionary (http://www.bartleby.com/61/39/S0883900.html -- this is actually where dictionary.com gets their definition), Websters (http://www.websters-online-dictionary.org/definit ion/Sun) and the Oxford English Dictionary (http://www.askoxford.com/concise_oed/sun?view=uk) disagree with you as well.

      B) Riiight.

      c) "...with objects that loop around our globe, and with others anchored on its surface, the astronomers have found other worlds orbiting other suns." -- Carl Sagan, Cosmos

      "Over the last five years astronomers have discovered 31 other planetary systems around other suns and this number is rising fast." -- Kevin Apps, studying astropysics at Sussex University and co-discoverer of five extra-solar planets

      "Other Suns. Other Worlds?: The Search for Extra Solar Planetary Systems" -- title of a book co-authored by Donald McCarthy Jr., professor of astronomy at the University of Arizona

      Isn't the Internet great?

  3. Priority Management by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    What these environmentalists need to do is build a priority management system. This shotgun approach has got to end. They are going to have to decide if global warming is worse than water shortages, if nuclear power is worse than coal, etc.

    Good grief! The only solution that the shotgun approach gives is for all humans to go live in caves--with the caveat that 5 billion or so of us dissappear (remember that farming and ranching contribute to global warming as well).

    1. Re:Priority Management by packeteer · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Very few people argue that nuclear power is bad anymore. It has had a much better safety record than many other forms of power other than the highly publiced but rare nuclear accidents. Some people still are left in the 1960's which was the last time their brain could think for themselves before they were indoctrinated but even the founder of Greenpeace has spoken out in favor of nuclear power as a viable alternative to fossil fuels and the global warming that comes with it.

      http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/artic le/2006/04/14/AR2006041401209.html

      --
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    2. Re:Priority Management by mathi · · Score: 3, Informative

      Good grief! The only solution that the shotgun approach gives is for all humans to go live in caves--with the caveat that 5 billion or so of us dissappear (remember that farming and ranching contribute to global warming as well).

      Well, many of the more fundamental environmentalists see humankind as a a plague that is scrourging an otherwise perfect earth (mother nature). It is a modern version of the old Gnosis, where the whole creation was evil, and only the Sophia was perfect.

    3. Re:Priority Management by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I think that your worldview is entirely accurate, if you're talking about a fictional set of environmentalists invented by Rush Limbaugh.

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
  4. Living on starvation by Denial93 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Between another series of civil wars all over the Middle East practically inevitable and daily production capacity already at a limit, oil prices are very likely to double in the next two years. Biofuel will be a good choice for countries able to produce it (Europe, US, China, Russia, Brazil, Australia), but a massive problem for regions already in agriculture hell (Africa, India, even the Middle East). In the latter regions, the need for fuel will press food production to drop further. Much of the fuel - especially from Africa - will be exported, too.

    If there was no biofuel, the fuel consumers would be forced to change their lifestyles. The way things are, we won't, and the starvation toll is going to rise accordingly. Currently, it stands at 27000 - or 8 times 9/11 as I like to call it - per day. (Source: WHO)

    1. Re:Living on starvation by Sqwubbsy · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Actually, the long term outlook is oil surpluses. Currently, production is higher than it's ever been, with increasing capacity occurring in the Gulf of Mexico, Canada and other places. Heck, even Castro is getting ready to drill off of Key West. Lucky for him, he doesn't have any environment regs or NIMBY whatnot to deal with.

      The current price hike has nothing to do with capacity and everything to do with fear. Even OPEC doesn't understand why prices are so high (despite their gain from them) and fears the backlash against petroleum because of the high price. Shortages alone aren't causing the price increase - fear is. Remember, petroleum is a commodity and is subject to the same whims and fancies as any other market.

      I would also point out that areas like Zimbabwe, it's not the cost of fuel that is causing the problems with agriculture, it's the local politics. There were many successful agrarian societies before the internal combustion engine. The ones that survived formed some form of social compact, something alien to a guy like Mugabe.

      Not everything is the fault of the oil companies. And the current price gouging reflects less on the companies using the commodity and more on the folks who make the market. After all, if someone was driving up Wal-Mart's stock price, would you blame Wal-Mart? Better analogy, if someone were driving up the cost of goods shipped for Wal-Mart, would you blame Wal-Mart?

    2. Re:Living on starvation by IamTheRealMike · · Score: 4, Interesting
      Actually, the long term outlook is oil surpluses.

      No, the long term outlook is big shortfalls, it's called "peak oil" and the only debate amongst credible scientists is when it occurs, not if. I'll give you a hint, the most optimistic estimates are for around 2035, with most realistic estimates coming in at about 2010. Unless you consider 20 years to be long term (I wouldn't) then it's not right to say the long term outlook is of a surplus.

      Currently, production is higher than it's ever been

      That's correct, but then, it's always been correct. The worst we've ever had is a plateau of production, but that's actually all we need to create price rises because demand constantly accelerates. In fact oil production can still rise year on year yet there can still be shortages, if demand rises faster.

      increasing capacity occurring in the Gulf of Mexico, Canada and other places.

      Increasing capacity? Where did you get that idea from? The tar sands and oil shales are largely uneconomic to extract - the costs being bandied about by Shell are simply wild guesses that have a history of being totally wrong. So that seems to largely rule Canada out, unless they develop some radical new techniques. Gulf of Mexico was largely wiped out by Katrina so you'd expect increasing capacity there, but it's simply catching up to what it once was. Meanwhile Mexican production itself is slacking off as Cantarell continues its downwards slide.

      The current price hike has nothing to do with capacity and everything to do with fear.

      Well, I disagree. I say maybe $10 per barrel of the current cost is speculation. The rest is supply/demand in action. OPEC know full well what is going on, but they are known for lying out of their backsides about anything to do with hard statistics - they still claim they have has much oil in the ground as they did in the 70s. 30 years of constant production and their claimed reserves have never even moved! Internal Kuwaiti reports indicate that the true figures are far, far worse than the published figures.

      The main problem is that the world crude supply is starting to shift towards heavy sour (the undesirable, hard to refine stuff) away from the easy to refine light sweet. This tends to show up in newspaper reporting etc as a "refinery bottleneck" when in fact it's to do with the changing composition of the original supply as we exhaust the easy to obtain oil. The other problem is very rapidly increasing demand from Asia, and the Asian countries are routinely now locking in supplies from new fields like Yadavaran, effectively taking that oil off the world spot markets. Combine that with increasing internal demand in places like Saudi Arabia and you have a recipe for more demand and less supply - therefore higher prices. Which is what we're seeing.

    3. Re:Living on starvation by Luscious868 · · Score: 4, Insightful
      No, the long term outlook is big shortfalls, it's called "peak oil" and the only debate amongst credible scientists is when it occurs, not if. I'll give you a hint, the most optimistic estimates are for around 2035, with most realistic estimates coming in at about 2010. Unless you consider 20 years to be long term (I wouldn't) then it's not right to say the long term outlook is of a surplus.

      Wrong. We are not running out of oil. People have been saying that for decades. What we are running out of is cheap oil that is relatively easy and inexpensive to extract. That's been the case for years. As technology improves we are able to extract oil from places we previously thought impossible or to expensive to be feasible. As the price of oil increases thereby increasing oil companies profits they are able to further invest into research and development to come up with new and improved ways to get to the oil reserves we know about but have previously been unable to tap. In addition, as the price increases it becomes possible to tap previous reserves that have not been heavily tapped because the return on investment wasn't there with prices being low. The Canadian Oil Sands are a great example.

      The bottom line is that we are not running out of oil and will not run out of oil anytime soon. What we are running out of is the cheap and inexpensive oil that we are used to. However as technology advances and/or prices increase we will be increasingly be able to tap into reserves that were previously impossible or simply cost prohibitive to tap.

    4. Re:Living on starvation by IamTheRealMike · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Alright, I'll give you that, but it's just playing with semantics. If it is uneconomic to work a field, then that may as well be called a 'shortage'. You are right to consider the price of oil to be the most important thing and that this can rise even as we open new, previously uneconomic fields.

      The main problem with the idea that technology increases the amount of oil we can recover is that it doesn't seem to be true. Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) technology, the main innovation in the past 30 years, allows you to increase the rate of extraction but not the amount. So what happens is that instead of a smooth production decline, it slackens off very rapidly. Technologies that actually increase the amount extractable from a field, or make previously uneconomic fields economic, seem quite rare. It's usually rising oil prices that will do that.

    5. Re:Living on starvation by MtViewGuy · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Between another series of civil wars all over the Middle East practically inevitable and daily production capacity already at a limit, oil prices are very likely to double in the next two years.

      However, the price of crude oil is rapidly approaching the point where it becomes an elastic (demand sensitive to price) commodity--any higher and the demand will start to fall, which means if OPEC overprices oil they could end up holding the bag on too muc overpriced oil.

      Also, at current prices there is huge incentive to introduce vastly better means of extracting oil such as steam injection and using heaters to liquefy highly-viscous forms of crude oil found in many parts of the world, which means a lot of supposedly unproductive oilfields suddenly become productive again. In the former Soviet Union, the introduction of modern Western oil extraction techniques have resulted in dramatic improvements in yield in oilfields in the former Soviet Central Asian republics and in the Caspian Sea. And you wonder why China National Petroleum Corporation is trying to possibly negotiate a deal with Vietnam and the Philippines so they could extract oil from the Spratley Islands between Vietnam and the Philippines, whose underwater reserves are estimated to be around 300 billion barrels alone.

      The thing that really scares OPEC is the announcement last year that a division of Royal Dutch Shell demonstrated they could extract out crude oil in liquid form in situ from oil shale found in Colorado, Wyoming, Montana and Utah by using steam injection and directly heating the shale rock itself. By improving this technology, this could free up two trillion barrels of crude oil found in the oil shale in the USA, more oil than the ENTIRE Middle East combined! A modified version of this technology also means we could extract oil from the oil tar sands of Alberta province in Canada and along the Orinocco River in Venezuela without having to mine out the tar sands, possibly opening up several hundred billion barrels of crude oil for extraction. (In short, the most powerful member of OPEC could end up be Venezuela, of all things!)

  5. yes by circletimessquare · · Score: 5, Interesting

    biofuels lead to water shortages, and wind power kils birds, and nuclear causes terrorism concerns, and coal causes acid rain, and solar cells create pollution in production, and tidal leads to increased silt deposits, and hydro interferes with fish spawning...

    etc., etc., etc...

    finding ANYTHING wrong with an energy source is not a valid point. weighing the trade offs of one energy source's negatives against another's IS a valid point

    and in a world where chinese demand fuels increased petrol prices, and in a world where petrol dollars fund islamic fundamentalist militants, and in a world where petrol fueled global warming creates hurricane katrinas, then whatever downside to biofuels you find to throw at me doesn't even begin to tip the scales. because it's not about choosing some magic energy source that has no downsides. it's about picking the energy source with least downsides that we can adequately foresee

    i don't blame post-world war ii planners and politicians for making us so dependent on the internal combustion engine and the diesel engine for so much of what we need in our lives today. they didn't, and couldn't, foresee the problems in today's world

    but if we're still largely dependent on petrol we dig from the ground in 50 years, then yes, i would blame today's politicians and planners. for whatever doom we would then be neck deep in, we are only knee deep in now. and any fool can see continuing to be so dependent on petrol is so dunderheaded wrong for so many reasons: security, environment, economics, etc

    i say revive nuclear, and bow low before the mighty country of brazil for showing the rest of the world the way to a more secure, less polluted, and cheaper world of biofuels

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:yes by evilviper · · Score: 2, Interesting
      i say revive nuclear, and bow low before the mighty country of brazil for showing the rest of the world the way to a more secure, less polluted, and cheaper world of biofuels

      Brazil just happens to have a special ecosystem, which makes this so easily possible for them. Not only do they have sugar cane, but also gigantic rivers they draw much of their power from. Perhaps if we dam up Niagra falls, and The Grand Canyon, we could use a lot less coal and oil too.

      You might as well say we should bow before Iceland, because they happen to be lucky enough to have vast geothermal vents, from which to draw all the energy they could need.
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    2. Re:yes by shilly · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You're right that it's all about the tradeoffs -- and effective solutions will be multi-part as well. But that doesn't mean we shouldn't anticipate and try to mitigate issues with new energy sources as well. We want to avoid adding to the sum total of woes we already face, after all.

      Biofuels have at least two really significant challenges that I know of:
      1) It takes a lot of cropland to produce fuel. While some of that may be established cropland, lots of it is created by destruction of existing habitats.
      2) It encourages industrial-scale farming, with all the concomitant problems, including the need for large volumes of water, large quantities of toxic biocides and fertilisers that cost a lot of energy to produce and bugger up the local environment, the tendency to monoculture with all its attendant risks (remember the Irish potato famine, anyone?), etc etc.

      I know that technology is a useful tool to help us solve the problems we face, but we continually seem to forget that humanity has seen dozens of societal collapses through environmental strain which technology has as often exacerbated as it has prevented.

  6. Childish nonsense by Flying+pig · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Current methods of washing and waste disposal are extremely wasteful, and there are technical solutions that could reduce domestic water use with no adverse impact. We could also reduce domestic energy use enormously without adverse impact on our lives just with better insulation and more sensible behavior (who really needs patio heaters, surely the most stupid device ever invented?). But as the article makes clear, this is about irrigation water, compared to which domestic use is a trickle.

    To reduce the demand for irrigation requires a whole lot of technologies, some cheap and some not, but the situation is far from hopeless. This is not about environmentalists, it's about politicians finding the political will to do something concerted and practical. In the US, bioethanol is largely a porkbarrel project. In Europe and Brazil, it's about energy cost and so more practical. Growing the wrong crops in the wrong places and spending a fortune on irrigation is stupid. Moving the US economy to dry States and then irrigating golf courses is stupid. And your post is stupid.

    On the other hand, working out a plan to find the best places to grow biofuels and then, say, providing tax breaks to make it happen might be a sensible option. What is clear is that politicians need to be talking to scientists and economists on the whole energy and water issue, not to lobbyists.

    --
    Pining for the fjords
  7. Recycling by Alicat1194 · · Score: 3, Interesting
    Surely this could be managed by setting up crops in such a way / location that they could be irrigated by sewage (either pre or post-treatment)? Since the crops aren't going as a food source, the quality of the water doesn't need to be as high as for domestic use.

    (plus dependent on the location, it could have an added benefit of recharging local aquifers)

    --
    You can learn a lot about a person if you just take the time to inject them with sodium pentathol
    1. Re:Recycling by bcattwoo · · Score: 3, Interesting

      But this would only make a small dent in the amount of water used for irrigation at best. According to the summary, household water usage accounts for only 8% of total human consumption while irrigation accounts for 74%. So if all the household water could be recycled (doubtful), it would reduce irrigation needs (at their current levels) a whopping 10%. Not completely negligible, but then there would be quite a bit of infrastructure and energy needed to pump that sewage cross-country.

  8. Thermal depolymerisation? by david.given · · Score: 5, Interesting

    There's a process, which apparently nobody appears to know or care anything about, that will convert pretty much anything containing long-chain hydrocarbons into, roughly, crude oil, natural gas, potable water, and assorted minerals. Check out thermal depolymerisation on Wikipedia. There's a pilot plant in the US that currently runs on turkey guts --- it's producing oil at about 400 barrels a day, at about break-even prices.

    The real bonus? It's an energy-positive system. That is, the process itself produces all the energy it needs to run itself, plus a bit.

    The system needs to be specialised for a particular input material; you can't (currently) build a plant that can take all feedstocks. That said, it ought to be entirely possible to build a giant TPD plant that takes raw sewage as its input feedstock. If you do this, and plug it into the sewage output from, say, New York, then you should be able to have it produce drinking water and biodiesel more or less for free (minus fixed running costs). After all, the feedstock's not costing you anything --- you're just throwing it away...

    Even if it turns out that sewage contains too much water for the system to be power itself, it'd most likely still be worth doing simply as a sewage treatment system. TPD fully sterilises the input feedstock; it can break down prions and dioxins, remove heavy metals, and so in, and what's more, can do it in bulk. The fact that the output is saleable can be treated as a bonus.

    I just seem to be amazed at how little interest there is in this...

    1. Re:Thermal depolymerisation? by NevarMore · · Score: 4, Informative

      I remember reading about this a few years ago in SciAm.

      I think a lot of the reason it hasn't caught on is cited in your Wiki link. Its a classic case of NIMBY.

      Its a town in the middle of a big farming state, its residents should be used to the smell of animal processing. All of a sudden theres sometihng new, and almost too good to be true, and they start smelling 'new' smells and begin pointing fingers.

      The biggest hurdle to any new energy source is public acceptance. This is getting even harder in the States with a public that is rejecting science and accepting of short-term politically driven decisions.

    2. Re:Thermal depolymerisation? by david.given · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Its a town in the middle of a big farming state, its residents should be used to the smell of animal processing. All of a sudden theres sometihng new, and almost too good to be true, and they start smelling 'new' smells and begin pointing fingers.

      I do, however, feel that building the plant in the city centre was possibly not a sensible move.

  9. We need tattoos .... by JumpingBull · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I think humanity should have little bio-hazard symbols tattooed on our collective foreheads!
    All kidding aside, though our problems have several parts:

    • greedy energy demands
    • wastefulness
    • ignorance of natural systems
    • hubris
    • poor accounting

    We are moving slowly into developing technologies that sip, rather then guzzle energy. Rising energy prices help drive an economic decision in this direction. The addition of microcontrollers and wily engineering can help achieve this goal.
    However I think that more distributed production of local needs is an important part of a less energy strategy. Economies of scale help a lot in some areas, but may be harmful in other ways. The large electrical power plant is a one off deal as an example.
    Suppose we decided to use a distributed approach. Here, some oil crop like canola is used as the primary solar capture. Treating the seeds gives an oil that can be used for a foodstuff, and a biodiesel feedstock. The protein cake left over can be used as food either for humans or livestock or both.
    The biodiesel is used to run a small engine that generates power fed into an electrical grid and process heat for cottage industry and home heating.
    Plant and animal wastes are composted and aged to eliminate pathogens, then used to support the oilseed crop. I think you get the systems idea...and some kind soul's left entries in the wikipedia.
    Consider, also, that we still used mass production techniques to make the tools we need. We just spread the results out more!

    We have to figure out how to make a no-waste society work. That means thinking up cheap friendly ways to repurpose or reclaim the stuff we want after its' end of life. We have started to do this already, but it will take ingenuity to make it work. RoHS (Reduction of Hazardous Substances) is a good start. Is their any way we can use biological systems to help do the work for us?

    Understanding how to arrange biological systems to be effective partners would help. No sense trying to make a lawn in a desert, except as a demonstration of bad taste and poor judgement. Understanding the soil foodweb is a start. Developing understanding and engineering of micro climates and micro ecologies might make a lot of tough problems less so.

    False pride in humanities accomplishments is a major problem. Just because we can build something doesn't mean it is the "right thing". On the other hand, denegrating our abilities doesn't help either. There is a balance point, it is just hard to find.
    Further, having society run by warring experts makes me ... nervous.

    Finally, the way we account for things, systems and resources is suspect. If you wish to make a difference, then change the tax law for corporations. Choosing to reward stewardship rather then rapine and pillage means that the financial systems will put their money for the best value proposition. Think Warren Buffet....

    --
    This is progress?
  10. Re:Another bullshit FUD by junglee_iitk · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Actually, I've been thinking it might be sane to use ocean algae for biofuel production?

    Some days ago there was a program on Discovery Channel which was discussing this exact thing. They dumped a lot of iron (salt) to a sea bed where there was no plantation at all. And after some months that area was 'blooming' with all the sea plantations and increased algae, more than they expected. The thing is, majority of the sea is barren because of lack of iron.

    So I am quite convinced that work is going on in that direction too. Though it has its own problems of changing water currents, ocean geography, endangering species etc.

  11. Nitpick by pubjames · · Score: 2, Insightful

    From the article:

    Demand for irrigation -- which absorbs about 74 percent of all water used by people against 18 percent for hydro-power and other industrial uses and just 8 percent for households -- was likely to surge by 2050.

    Surely hydro-power doesn't "absorb" any water at all? Surely water can be used both for hydro-power and then irrigation?

    1. Re:Nitpick by MyNameIsFred · · Score: 2, Insightful
      ...Dams contribute to evaporation of fresh water before it is used...
      Do you have a source for this? I would guess the opposite. Putting the water in a deep lake behind a dam versus having it spread out over a longer, shallower river should reduce the surface area exposed to the atmosphere. With less surface area, I would presume less evaporation.
  12. Re:biofuel != no CO2 by frogstar_robot · · Score: 3, Informative

    biofuel != no CO2

    True but it is also true that biofuel != NET increase CO2.

    A biofueled economy would put CO2 in the atmosphere at the consumer end of the cycle but it takes it out of the atmosphere at the production end of the cycle. Over time, the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere will not increase due to biofuels.

  13. The Amazon's demise? by malsdavis · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I fear Biofuels could ultimatly cause the Amazon rainforest's demise. The Brazillian government already seems eager to trash the rainforest whenever the opportunity to make a bit of cash presents itself.

  14. Re:biofuel != no CO2 by ajs318 · · Score: 3, Informative
    Any process that generates energy by burning a hydrocarbon procudes CO2. That most certainly includes biofuels.
    Where do you think the carbon in biofuels comes from?
    --
    Je fume. Tu fumes. Nous fûmes!
  15. This is a problem... by 8tim8 · · Score: 5, Informative

    I live in Kansas, where there are a couple of ethanol plants either under construction or in the planning stages. Ethanol plants require something like 200 gallons of water a minute to function, which is a huge amount of water. Some posters above have mentioned desalination to get water, but they're missing the point of ethanol plants: to put the plant near corn production, i.e. away from the coasts. The vast majority of the water in Kansas comes from a single aquifer, and there's a lot of debate about how long before the aquifer will run dry. It's not always an issue of having good water; sometimes it's an issue of having any water at all.

    1. Re:This is a problem... by cr0sh · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Collecting roof runoff is a good idea for a lot of uses, but it does have some drawbacks.


      My wife and I decided to try out collecting roof runoff from our house in Phoenix, Arizona - we purchased a small storage "tank" (about 40 gallons) for this purpose, which was designed to collect runoff from the downspout, and hook up a hose to irrigate a garden. We figured we could use it for this purpose. We quickly found a problem with this method.


      The biggest problem was mosquito production. While the unit we used had screens and a top to prevent debris from collecting, the holes in the screen are big enough to let in bugs, which can breed in the water. Furthermore, the screening was big enough to let in "leaves" from our mesquite tree in our backyard (the "leaves" on a mesquite tree are very tiny things), which would get in the water and provide food for the insects. Then there is the stagnation of the water to contend with.


      I ended up putting in screening with smaller holes, which helped with the mosquito issue, but the leaves clog it worse, so it has to be cleaned periodically. I am thinking about removing the whole system, it just isn't worth it overall due to the way our backyard is set up and with all the problems.


      That doesn't mean I don't think it is a good idea - just that our implementation of it is bad. If we had an underground cistern, or an above ground tank with proper screens and traps (a U-trap would keep out insects, and limit their breeding to the trap), and didn't have a mesquite tree clogging it up - it would work out. I know, because I have seen similar installations elsewhere in Arizona. It takes some planning and thought, but the results could be very beneficial, even if the water is only used for "greywater" usage.

      --
      Reason is the Path to God - Anon
    2. Re:This is a problem... by SillySlashdotName · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I, too, live in Kansas. I also live next to a river. It may be that the river water needs treatment to be human consumable, but it doesn't need anything to be used as cooling water for a distillation tower. And as the ethanol produced is never intended for human consumption, river water is fine for the fermentation as well. No need to take the water from an aquifer.

      Grow corn, soybeans, canola, rapeseed, sunflowers, even - this is Kansas, after all! Press the seeds for oil. What is left is seedcake. Mix with water, ferment the sugars, distill the ethanol produced. What is left is dried and fed to animals - pigs, cows, rabbits, whatever. Instead of growing a field of corn and feeding it to the cows, you grew a field of corn, extracted the oils for production of biodiesel or bioheating oil, running in a digester to convert starches to sugars then fermented the sugars to produce ethanol for additional fuel, THEN fed the protein and fiber rich residue to the cows (or to people, if processed into a form that was marketable). After running it through a cow, pig, rabbit, or chicken you get methane (less than currently as there are less sugars and starches remaining) meat, and great fertilizer.

      The way I see it, it is not a question of crops for food or for fuel, but making efficient use of the crops - for fuel, THEN for food.

      What percentage of crops is already grown for (food grade) oil production, what percentage for (food grade) sweetener production, what percentage for starch production, and what percentage for animal feed production? If you are processing corn for corn syrup production, corn oil is a waste byproduct. Use it for biofuel production. Processing corn for cornstarch? Then both oil and syrup are byproducts. Use them for biofuel production.

      On the other hand, it is possible, I suppose, that the efficiency of the system is already at 100% so that any production used for fuel would directly reduce the amount available for all other possible uses. In that case, stop paying farmers to NOT grow crops which will increase the total amount available and so make some available for fuel production.

      --
      Acts of massive stupidity are almost never covered by warranty. --me.
  16. First nuke by dbIII · · Score: 2, Insightful
    if nuclear power is worse than coal, etc.
    Nuclear power is not yet at a stage where it is an answer if your major goal is to generate electricity. Up till now we've seen it mainly as a spin off of a weapons program, as a way to run military vessels without frequent refueling, as an energy source for an island nation worried about a naval blockade and as a way to power systems in spacecraft that cannot use solar panels (eg. kosmos series of soviet spy satellites that spent portions of their orbit in the upper atmosphere). Even the earlier CANDU reactors were a prefered option in developing countries due to the plutonium they produce over other designs that were better at producing electricity. If reducing carbon dioxide is the goal and you are prepared to go to a lot of effort and cost then some nuclear designs produce as little as one third the emissions in the entire process as natural gas turbines. If the nuclear advocates would stick to reality and use impressive figures like that instead of the stupid lies about zero emissions (nuclear fuel is made from a rock, is hard to make and is not made from magic beans) and would actually put some effort into getting their technology out of the 1950s then it may be seen as more than confidence tricksters getting money out of gullible governments. They couldn't con the ex-nuclear engineer Jimmy Carter, but intead the US nuclear industry prefers to rewrite industry and blame hippies.

    There will probably be some good answers to nuclear power in the next few years (eg. accelerated thorium gets around a lot of problems, including the difficulty of getting enough good fuel), but actual effort needs to be expended instead of just throwing money at guys who will build you a 1950's style reactor proven to be an expensive way to make steam.

    As for coal - yes people die from accidents in mining it and breathing in dust in a lot of places - but we've known that for centuries. It doesn't make the nuclear waste problems any less real, they are seperate problems and both should be dealt with. Ignoring bad stuff and pointing at how other stuff is worse is the act of a child or an advertising agency.

  17. Wrong! by jandersen · · Score: 3, Insightful

    This is not something 'the environmentalists' need to do - their job, inasmuch as they have any official role, is to do exactly what they do: point out the dangers, because that is what they are qualified to do, as opposed to eg. you. They don't have any power over what the politicians, businesses, farmers and consumers do.

    And you are right, we will all end up in caves, the few that survive, if we don't all take this serious and START DOING OUR BIT. No of course I don't believe the bit about caves, but one way or the other, we are all going to have to face up to this problem. Not just the government or 'these environmentalists'; it is some thing we all must take part in, both by saving resources in our own households, but also by putting pressure on our governments, businesses and farmers.

    And that, I think is the message from 'these environmentalists'.

  18. Re:biofuel != no CO2 by GreatBunzinni · · Score: 2, Informative

    Aargh! Where do people get the idea that any alternative to petroleum will help reduce global warming?

    Any process that generates energy by burning a hydrocarbon procudes CO2. That most certainly includes biofuels.

    I see you are missing a very important piece of information, which is misleading your entire judgement. I'll explain.

    Petroleum is a fossil fuel (and coal, for that matter). When fossil fuels are uses the carbon which was stored and trapped beneath the soil is again being released into the atmosphere. So in the end when someone uses fossil fuels that person is adding more carbon to the atmosphere and in effect contributing to global warming.

    That isn't the case when using biofuels. They are produced by storing carbon already available from the atmosphere. So instead of releasing more carbon into the air we are recycling the carbon already present. When using biofuels no one is introducing more carbon into the atmosphere. The carbon produced by using biofuels is in fact reclycled from the carbon which is already present. In the end there is no CO2 production in the sense that the overall quantity of carbon present in the atmosphere stays exactly the same.

    So in the end burning biofuels doesn't contribute to global warming. It doesn't have any effect watsoever. The carbon being release to the atmosphere was extracted from the atmosphere in the first place. Moreover, producing biofuel can also help reduce the carbon levels presented in the air because not every quantity of carbon which is extracted from the atmosphere is again released into it.

    --
    Slashdot, fix your code or at least hire someone who is competent at it to do it for you.
  19. Re:Sounds like my Ex-Wife by orasio · · Score: 2, Funny

    There is something about them that refuses to be satisfied. I think it may be some sort of mental defect.

    Maybe it's more of a physical defect. And maybe those "3nl/\rg3 Yr P3n1s" spams are actually coming from her.

  20. Go nukes! by supabeast! · · Score: 2, Interesting

    This is another great reason to go to nuclear power. How long will it take before people realize that biodiesel is just another crackpot energy scheme cooked up by people looking to get rich?

  21. So make biofuel from kelp, no freshwater needed by Morgaine · · Score: 5, Interesting

    >> The only thing in danger is CHEAP water, really.

    Seawater is pretty cheap. Why not use it directly instead of using freshwater biomass and then needing a supply of freshwater for it?

    Make biofuel from kelp biomass and no freshwater irrigation is needed. Grow it in situ or pump the seawater into a shoreline kelp farm, and harvest the biomass.

    Jeez, do I have to think of everything for those environmentalists? :P

    --
    "The question of whether machines can think is no more interesting than [] whether submarines can swim" - Dijkstra
    1. Re:So make biofuel from kelp, no freshwater needed by Anomalyst · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Why stop there? Since we are processing large volumes of water, let's genetically modify the kelp to extract the gold dissolved in seawater which "contains 3-4 MG/TON (0.004 PPB) AU" http://www.speclab.com/elements/gold.htm.

      --
      There is no right to feel safe thru security vaudeville at the expense of everyone's freedom, privacy and tax money.
  22. Your figures by codepunk · · Score: 3, Informative

    Using 200 GPM and wasting 200 GPM are two entirely different things. Most of the water is used in
    cooling the fractional distillation towers and this is entirely recirculated. Most of the mashing water is also recovered in holding ponds. So your figure is nothing more than a little interesting not a indication of a problem as you suggest.

    --


    Got Code?
  23. Nuclear, hydro, wind, and solar... by b0s0z0ku · · Score: 2, Interesting
    are the answers, probably in that order. Biofuel is only a decent solution if it's made out of stuff that'll go to waste anyway, like corncobs and wood scraps. So there's a limited supply of environmentally-sound biofuel. Even if production doesn't consume and pollute water, there's still the issue of land use, pesticides, and fertilizers.

    We need to go electric as much as possible. Build more nuclear power plants. Wind power is also a good idea. Upgrade our hydroelectric dams with the most modern and efficient technology (building more has it's own consequences).

    Then move to a hydrogen economy with fuel cell vehicles, use battery-powered cars for city use, and build a first-rate, modern, automated system of moderate-speed (~100 mph) electrified passenger and freight railroads. I'm talking about routing and switching being done by computer and having either unmanned or minimally-manned freight trains that are constantly tracked by satellite. Also, encourage businesses to locate in towns rather than on the highway strips and encourage the growth of medium-sized (~100,000 people) towns outside the major urban areas.

    Our moving to this new economy will cost money, but it will also create jobs; and the US economy isn't doing great right now. With appropriate government stimulus, this project could be a New Deal for the 21st century.

    -b.

  24. Re:Good for you... by khallow · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Sure. At the very least, you could generate the power precisely at the place where the demand is rather than transport it (with corresponding energy losses) from somewhere else. But what you really need is pressure. Rather than convert some power source to electricity, transport it to the plant, and then convert to mechanical energy, why not use tidal energy directly to generate the necessary pressure?

  25. Re:Sounds like my Ex-Wife by WED+Fan · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Let it go, man. Do you realize you just used a Geek forum discussion about bio-fuel to go on about your ex-wife?

    It's not worth it to carry that baggage.

    Besides, I could tell you a few things about my ex-wife that would...

    --
    Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong fix.
  26. Waste by StarKruzr · · Score: 2, Insightful

    We pay farmers to grow nothing as it is. Pay them to grow fuel crops instead.

    --

    +++ATH0
  27. Civilizations have collapsed from water shortages by Animats · · Score: 4, Interesting

    It's a real issue. Historically, water shortages have brought down several civilizations, usually those with failed irrigation cultures.

    It could have been worse. A few years ago, there was much talk of "privatizing" the world's water supply. Enron entered the water-trading business. (Their web site for water trading was Water2Water.com.) Fortunately, this didn't catch on, except in Australia, which does have water trading.

  28. Re:Canola, Sugar, etc by f1055man · · Score: 2, Informative

    Actually, it wouldn't be such a large monoculture. Current policy is good politics but lousy science and economics. Algae produces far higher yields than traditional crops, can be grown in salt water and waste water, and doesn't need fertile fields (displace food crops). In order to replace all of the US oil consumption 15000 square miles or 9.5 million acres of algae farms would be needed. Sounds like a lot, but in the U.S. 450 million acres are currently used for crop farming and another 500 million for grazing land. There's still a lot of research to be done into sustaining algal blooms and oil recovery, but its been proven to be practical. There is also consideration of using algae farms as carbon sinks for traditional power plants, boosting algae production while scrubbing exhaust. http://www.unh.edu/p2/biodiesel/article_alge.html

  29. safe nuclear designs by falconwolf · · Score: 3, Informative

    Simple fact is, nuclear power, based on current designs, is very, very safe. Simple fact is, newer, modern nuclear designs are safer yet. One can certainly argue the economic merits and the finite duration nuclear power is an option. Nonetheless, nuclear is one of the safest sources of power on earth. Anyone with the slightest inkling of knowledge of the subject matter is forced to conclude, nuclear is safe. Period.

    Yes, the design of nuclear power plants are such better, safer, today than they were before. However there's still the problem of where to store the wastes for the period of tyme needed to become harmless. In the US the only place being looked at for this is Yucca Mountain in Utah. Two problems come to mind here, one is that it is within ancient Shoshone lands and the Shoshone have been fighting to prevent nuclear from beeing stored there. A second problem, which as far more reaching ramifications is that Yucca Mountain is a siesmically active region with a number of earthquake faultlines and a volcano in the area. In the 1970s a government building at Yucca was damaged in an earthquake, with another one in 2002, Quake reported near Yucca Mountain. And Bush wants to store nuclear waste there?

    At one tyme I was against nuclear power but with today's designs if a way to safety store long term the wastes, and they were operated in a true freemarket then I would support them. However I doubt anyone would want one if they had to operate it in a freemarket, there are laws that protect the nuclear industry from lawsuits and the industry gets subsidies.

    Falcon