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Noise Over Mac OS Market Share "Slip"

OakDragon writes, "Mac OS market share actually slipped since last September. This reverses a trend in the winter and spring months that showed some slight growth. The actual percentage loss is small: 0.02%. But it may be significant since it follows a solid growth trend. It must be disappointing to Apple and Mac fans to see what is basically a flat line in desktop market share." Mac-oriented sites are pointing out the unreliability of the metrics from Net Applications, which are based on users of the HitsLink service.

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  1. Statistics..... by BWJones · · Score: 5, Informative

    I'd have to say that from my limited sampling, these numbers are very possibly off and a .2% downward change is likely statistically insignificant, especially given their sampling methods.

    Traffic from my blog primarily from the US shows about 19% of traffic is from the Macintosh (200-900 unique visitors/day). Of all the traffic that hit my blog from the recent Boing Boing posting, it appears that of those that clicked through, over 23% of the clicks were from Macintosh systems and from the traffic I get from Slashdot, about 15% is from Macintosh systems. This limited sampling shows a steady increase in the percentage of Macintosh users that have visited over the past few years.

    Traffic from another site I manage, Webvision (I know, I know, ....really old design from the early 90's, but it's been low on my priority list for the last four years) was likely the first online textbook receiving much more international traffic (about 1000 unique visitors/day from all over the world) and I have seen the international Macintosh marketshare increase from about 4% to 6.5% of total traffic over the past year.

    Both of these statistics mirror the trends I have seen reported for the platforms marketshare on much wider scales. These are direct measures that I am reporting as opposed to a fee based service like HitsLink whose measures are not as direct. Too bad Google's Zeitgeist no longer reports on platform statistics which were a good measure of overall platform usage from a much wider used resource.

    --
    Visit Jonesblog and say hello.
  2. SO I should not have switched back to CP/M? by pilgrim23 · · Score: 4, Funny

    Forgive! It was the Eye Candy what made me do it!

    --
    - Minutus cantorum, minutus balorum, minutus carborata descendum pantorum.
  3. Not at all reliable by CaymanIslandCarpedie · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Of course these numbers and not at all scientfic. The change is also completely insignificant. I agree on all of that. However, I have a feeling many who will denounce these statistics would be singing thier praises if they showed a significant gain ;-)

    --
    "reality has a well-known liberal bias" - Steven Colbert
  4. quick, lets help these dudes: by zoftie · · Score: 3, Funny
  5. Nothing to see here, move along by jmorris42 · · Score: 5, Informative

    Go dig into the numbers a bit. I'm not a Mac fanboi (see my abuse of one earlier today) but this is a non-story. The site in question is tracking Mac OS and MacIntel seperate, so of course Mac OS is dropping. Add the two together and you get a different picture. They appear not to have fixed the scripts that generate the cute graphs though, because up to now they broke out each OS variation so they could see the migration patterns in Windows versions.

    --
    Democrat delenda est
  6. Re:Macintosh = Dell PC = HP PC by BWJones · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Another explanation is that the potential Macintosh customer now realizes that the Mac is little different from a Dell PC or a HP PC. The principal difference is the price.

    Well, I just priced out a new workstation comparing the top of the line MacPro and an equivalently configured Dell. I ended up buying the 3.0Ghz version of the MacPro for $1000 cheaper than an equivalent Dell.

    Once Steve "I have a big ego" Jobs switched the Macintosh from the PowerPC to the Intel processor, the Macintosh lost its mystique.

    Au contraire. Have you ever unboxed a new Mac? Have you ever really spent time with a Mac? While the OS is most of the experience, it goes beyond the OS.

    Using some simple patches/tools, you can run Windows XP on the Mac. With a little effort, you can run the x86 MacOS on a Dell PC or an HP PC.

    And with some simple tools, I can run Windows on my Mac. So?

    Since the Mac is now essentially a PC clone, why would you pay a premium for Mac hardware?

    See my above comment. It turns out that for the high end at least, the Macintosh is MUCH less expensive than a Dell or HP.

    --
    Visit Jonesblog and say hello.
  7. From a Mac User...GOOD! by Danathar · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Quite frankly I don't want to see OS X have some huge marketshare. I'd prefer the platform to have enough marketshare that developers can make money and Apple to make a profit, but not big enough for Virus writers and spyware authors to care (the way it is now).

    Why does OS X have to have an increasing marketshare to remain successful?

  8. beleaguered by ElephanTS · · Score: 5, Funny

    Bloody hell! It's back to beleaguered then.

    --
    spoonerize "magic trackpad"
  9. Re:Macintosh = Dell PC = HP PC by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    Well, I just priced out a new workstation comparing the top of the line MacPro and an equivalently configured Dell. I ended up buying the 3.0Ghz version of the MacPro for $1000 cheaper than an equivalent Dell.

    I'll be honest: I read that and I thought you were lying. So I went and looked for myself, and sure enough, I can't duplicate your results.

    I can't get the Dell price down far enough. Only $1000 more expensive than the MacPro? The best I can do is $1500 more expensive.

    Excuse me while I go and try to find all the pieces of my entire fucking worldview that you just completely shattered.

  10. Re:Macintosh = Dell PC = HP PC by Millenniumman · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Dell's computers aren't cheaper than Apples for the same thing, but Dell sells cheaper computers. They just aren't comparable to any of Apple's.

    --
    Stupidity is like nuclear power, it can be used for good or evil. And you don't want to get any on you.
  11. Some expected a bigger dip... no big deal by camperslo · · Score: 4, Interesting

    IIRC even Steve Jobs said something early this year about being surprised at sales being stronger than expected. The PPC to Intel transition is a major one and is an excellent long term move. But it did cause some people to hold off on buying waiting for more native software, and allowing time for the shaking out of any minor glitches in the first products. A few probably also held off on buying when they heard that the Core 2 chips were coming.

    It is pretty obvious that the move was a wise choice and that both Macintosh users and Apple will be better off long term. The appeal of the new generation of machines can be expected to increase over time. In addition to new features in the OS, it is reasonable to expect that 10.5 will bring even better performance. It'll likely make better use of multiple CPU cores, use the GPU horsepower for other tasks, use the Core 2 supplemental SSE3 instructions (I've heard them called both SSSE3 and SSE4), and use of the 64-bit capabilities. The software for Windows support will also be more mature (Apple's utility is currently beta).

    The release of Vista will likely bring an increase in the number of people pondering new machines instead of just an OS upgrade. With Apple being more visible than in the past some of those people will opt for getting Macs instead (either solely for the Apple experience, or to run Windows too). Some may also be playing wait and see with Vista. If it isn't really, really, wonderful, it'll help Apple.

  12. Re:Macintosh = Dell PC = HP PC by BWJones · · Score: 5, Insightful

    But why would a nerd buy a Dell or HP when you can build a clone for half the price?

    Ummmmm, perhaps because I am not a nerd? Geek perhaps, yes. But not a nerd. Furthermore, it is not my job to build computers. Rather it is my job to do other things like generate and analyze data, teach, write grants and papers. I would much rather spend my time doing these things than building boxes, installing drivers, dealing with conflicts and such. I want my computers to work when I pull them out of the box. I want my computers to simply work when plugging in a peripheral without launching a wizard that says "I see you are trying to add new hardware". I want my computers to not constantly notify me in the middle of a presentation that my anti-virus software is out of date or than the computer suddenly discovered a new wireless network. (I've seen people who, for kicks when someone is making a presentation with a Windows laptop at a big conference, start creating new wireless networks).

    When your time reaches a certain value/minute, you start to look for ways to optimize your life and for me at least, the Macintosh allows me to get work done without getting in the way.

    --
    Visit Jonesblog and say hello.
  13. Re:How to gain marketshare by westlake · · Score: 3, Interesting
    Free MacOS from its dependance on Apple hardware.

    Home users are not desktop system builders in the numbers that matter. Fewer still even want to think about customizing a laptop.

    Dual boot and virtualization are not (yet) mass market. They are for the enthusiasts who simply must be able to work in both the PC and the Mac environments.

    OSX for the generic PC would require drivers for every random combination of PC hardware.

  14. HitsLink is teh bogus by PopeRatzo · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I'll tell you what the post means. It means that somebody has paid a press agent to put stories in the media pushing an anti-Apple agenda.

    Let me explain a bit about HitsLink. Their reason for existence is to be a paid "hit"-man for publicity pros. Are you CBS-Viacom or the Radio Industry? Do you need to make it seem to the business community that Howard Stern is tanking on Sirius Satellite Radio? Have Hitslink provide a story saying that the number of Lycos searches for "Howard Stern" are down by X %. Forget the fact that everybody knows that you'd go to Sirius.com if you want to read about Stern. Forget that nobody uses Lycos any more.

    Let's say you are Salem Radio Network and you want it to seem like conservative commentator, former Sec'y of Education and degenerate gambler Bill Bennett's morning show is really happening. Get HitsLink to create a story saying that he's "Number 9 in the nation". Forget that he's just been dumped from the third biggest market in America (Chicago). Forget that the actual listings show that there are 24 talk shows ahead of Bennett's. Let's just round the figures out so that there are 2 or 3 talk shows tied for Number 1, Number 2, etc. So you can say that Bennett is in the Number 9 slot when in reality he is number 24 out of 30.

    It pays to know that nearly every story that you see or hear in the media has been placed there by a press agent or public relations department in the form of a press release, which gets reworked (sometimes) by a "reporter" (really a stenographer) into a "story" which is presented as "news". It pays to know that outfits like HitsLink exist just to spread manure.

    You have to ask yourself if a story like this passes your own "smell test".

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  15. WORK OUT OF BOX? LOL by brunes69 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I want my computers to work when I pull them out of the box.

    Having just bought my first "pre-made" computer in years (a new laptop from Compaq), I find this statement *hilarious*.

    After taking this thing "out of the box", I spent no less than 30 minutes weaving my way through pre-setup wizards and registration dialogs. I then spent no less than *two hours* uninstyalling tosns of pre-loaded crap software I did not wan ton this machine - stupid toy games, trial versions of anti virus, trial versions of DVD burning software, trial this and trial that, all cluttering up my tray with 15+ icons.

    In comparison, last time I built a computer, it took me about 30 minutes to put the pieces together, and 30 minutes to install the OS. Net savings of 1.5 hours and god knows how many hundred dollars.

    Of course building your own laptop is not really an option, hence why I bought this one. But god, I buy pre-made PC's as little as humanly possible.

    Macs on the other hand - I have not had any real experience with yet. From what I hear they funciton much better "out of box" - no pre-configuring, no trial craptastic software pre-installed.

    1. Re:WORK OUT OF BOX? LOL by jcr · · Score: 4, Informative

      You heard right. When you take a Mac out of the box, you just plug it in, turn it on, give it a username and password for it to create the administrator account, and then you can either fill out the registration info or hit command-Q and start using it.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  16. Re:Macintosh = Dell PC = HP PC by MojoStan · · Score: 5, Informative
    I don't know what you've been smoking but for the same price of a top-rated Mac Pro at 3GHz, you can get a 3.73GHz from Dell, so why don't you please stop spreading FUD and have a nice cup of shut the fuck up.
    I don't know if you're kidding but, if you're not kidding, I'll tell you what at least 90% of Slashdot readers already know: the Mac Pro's (and Dell's) 3.0GHz Xeon (model 5160, Core Architecture) is faster (benchmarks start here) and more power-efficient than Dell's 3.73GHz Xeon (model 5080, Netburst Architecture).

    I know this can be a little confusing to computer novices. The 3.73GHz Xeon is slower and uses more power than the 3.0GHz Xeon, even though they use the same socket. However, you shouldn't be talking shit, especially about a subject you know little about.

    --
    TO START
    PRESS ANY KEY

    Where's the 'ANY' key? I see Esk, Kitarl, and Pig-Up...

  17. Just have to remark here... by grappler · · Score: 3, Informative
    From one of the linked articles
    http://www.coolest-gadgets.com/20060919/is-apple-l osing-os-share/

    Web usage by only HitsLink subscribers is just a small random sampling and has nothing to do with overall market share.

    If that is really a random sampling, it has everything to do with overall market share. But it isn't. It is a sample of the market which subscribes to HitsLink. That's not a random sample.
    --
    Vidi, Vici, Veni
  18. Re:Macintosh = Dell PC = HP PC by snuf23 · · Score: 4, Funny

    "Au contraire. Have you ever unboxed a new Mac? Have you ever really spent time with a Mac? While the OS is most of the experience, it goes beyond the OS."

    Oh yes, oh yes I have. That new Mac smell, each little piece ready for the unwrapping, the soft white curves, the feel of plastic on my naked... ...um nevermind.

    --
    Sometimes my arms bend back.
  19. Re:My Mac Sucks by Carthag · · Score: 3, Informative

    Wikipedia sez: "The My freelance gig in front of a Mac trolls appear in virtually every discussion about Apple Computer. The troll claims to have witnessed <the latest Apple hardware> taking 20 minutes to copy a 17 MB file from one folder to another and proceeds to question all Apple users as to their platform choice. It is a straight forward copy-and-paste from a weblog entry by Jason Kottke. It has also led to some very inspired and amusing parodies."

  20. Re:Macintosh = Dell PC = HP PC by Lactoso · · Score: 5, Funny
    Dell's computers aren't cheaper than Apples for the same thing, but Dell sells cheaper computers. They just aren't comparable to any of Apple's.
    So you're saying we need to compare Apples to Apples?

  21. Re:Price much? by hunterkll · · Score: 3, Funny

    Jesus Fucking Christ, Get OVER YOURSELF! You don't want it, okay, we don't care, go away? And yes, I'm posting this from an apple laptop, so what? The $900 unit with student idscount was a great buy for me, and it's lasted me 4 years now, replacing the two dells I beat the crap out of and an IBM thinkpad that died of natural causes and a gateway that just went poof due to my abuse. the apple's the only thing that's survived. I've had your $500 dell laptop, and it just didn't stand up to my stresses. Not exactly normal, but I strap the ibook to a motorcycle gas tank every day, slam it shut and abuse it most henoiusly, and put it through the rigors of a lifestyle that most people consider insane. It worked. FOR ME. You don't see me wasting pages upon plages of slashdot space just detailing how I think everyone's wrong and that I need to show my superior intelligence by preaching and telling the ignroant crowd what theyu should think. You know what? I realize this post is completely SUBJECTIVE AND RELEVANT TO MY EXPERIANCE MOSTLY. Just like most of your posts. A post better not made. For the love of god, pleas,e just stop preaching to the slashdot chior. You know, the ones who already knew everything you stated and made an informed decision to buy what they wanted at the time they bought it.

  22. Re:I'm calling bullshit on ya by doh123 · · Score: 3, Informative

    you still did more wrong. I configed the Dell 690 the way you listed and the total came to $7784

    i think you used the Xeon 5050 3ghz chips, and not the Xeon 5160 3ghz chips....
    huge difference as the Xeon 5050 are $930 less per processor on the Dell config

    the 5050 is an old netburst (P4) chip, and the 5160 is the woodcrest (Core 2) chip

  23. Re:I'm calling bullshit on ya by c_forq · · Score: 3, Informative

    Still a Dell win? that is $1,000 more then the Mac Pro! What the hell is your definition of a win? Want to play poker somtime?

    --
    Computers allow humans to make mistakes at the fastest speeds known, with the possible exception of tequila and handguns
  24. Re:You heard wrong, Macs have pe-config, reg, etc. by Smurf · · Score: 3, Informative
    My Powerbook also came with the trial / crapware versions of Stuffit, Omnigraffle, OmniOutliner, Quicken and some eReader thing that I forget the name of. No, it didn't take long to clean those off - but that's no excuse for them being there in the first place.

    Actually at least OmniGraffle and OmniOutliner, along with GraphicConverter and a couple other things were extremely useful extras that came with my PowerBook (bought in 2003). They were NOT trial versions nor crippleware. I use them regularly, although I haven't updated them since then.

    I'll sorely miss OmniGraffle when I eventually buy a MacBook Pro, since it's no longer part of the package. Not sure about GraphicConverter, but OmniOutliner sure is included.

    Maybe you should have actually tried them before deleting them. And yes, if you don't like them you can just delete them, along with the trial version of Office and Quicken. My PoweBook didn't have any eReader nor .Mac trial, so I can't comment on those.
  25. Re:I'm calling bullshit on ya by mhollis · · Score: 3, Informative

    You are actually my favorite kind of control freak. You want high quality and you are willing to invest your own time and make sure you get it.

    But then there are people like my Aunt Jeanne who can't do that. They have to rely on the computer sellers to get it right the first time.

    One thing I've been telling people for a long time is that Macintosh computers last longer. I purchased my current Mac in 1999 and it is still very useful. I can run the latest operating system software on my Mac. There are two applications that I cannot run on it currently that are of interest to me: Motion and Shake. Motion requires a faster processor than the one I have (a Sonnet 1GHz upgrade) and Shake requires at least a G5. Final Cut Pro HD will run on my machine, though I'm not currently working with it.

    All other applications that I might use do run on my Mac and probably will for the forseeable future, which will allow me to still use my computer for another year -- though I would like to upgrade after Apple has all of the kinks out of the early Intel boxes.

    A seven-year-old PC cannot usually run the latest operating system or applications because you cannot put enough RAM into the box to get it to do those things. My argument is that one should take useful life into account when figuring costs.

    And I value jmorris42 (1458)'s time -- perhaps more than he does. It takes him time to research and purchase all of the components he needs for his high-quality homebrew computer. It, then, takes him time to assemble it. Dell and Apple both charge for their research and assembly, which is why both will cost more directly than the unassembled components.

    My question for Apple is, will the new Intel boxes have useful lives for as long as their Power PC-based ones.

    I also question the basis for the suggestion that Apple is losing market share or that their market share is flattening out. If you are logging which operating system is hitting your servers, you have to take into account the fact that Apple's included browser, Safari may be set up to masquarade as Microsoft Windows-based Internet Exploiter, thus reducing the frequency of hits that are known Macintosh computers.

    I think both Apple and Dell are doing good innovation. And, while Apple may be winning some kind of price war presently, commodity pricing may be manipulated by working on the supply chaining as well as putting together exclusive contracts with certain key manufacturers. Apple seems to have a price edge today. They may not tomorrow. Frankly, I didn't buy an Apple computer because it was cheaper. I bought an Apple computer because I knew it was made by a top-tier manufacturer that supports its product and because I wanted to run Apple's operating system which, I believe, is easier to use than Microsoft's.

    --
    Gods don't kill people, people with gods kill people.