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Investing in Open Source?

echrist1 asks: "I'm in my school's investment club, and I'm in charge of investing $10,000 (real money) into technology equities. Clearly I want to make a profit, but I also want to do something to help the Open Source movement. Does anyone know of mutual funds that invest specifically in companies that further Open Source?"

22 of 77 comments (clear)

  1. Fiduciary obligations by Harmonious+Botch · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'm assuming two things that are implied but not clearly stated in your question: 1) The money that you are investing - or at least some of it - is not yours, and 2) You like open source, but the owners of the money have not specifically requested an open source preference. If either of these are false, please ignore my post.

    Assuming those two to be true, you should not even be considering the issue. If you are playing with someone else's money - even as a learning exercise - you have an obligation to act in their best interests. Otherwise, you're just doing a Halliburton on a smaller scale. Save your good intentions for your own money.

    BTW, Sorry to criticize. I like the idea of supporting open source. It's just not the legally or morally proper thing to do here.

    1. Re:Fiduciary obligations by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 3, Interesting

      if you are playing with someone else's money - even as a learning exercise - you have an obligation to act in their best interests.

      Maybe he's setting up a social responsibility fund. Maybe he's setting up a fund around companies that will have positive impacts in the Third World. Maybe he's given a chunk of change for speculative investing in up and coming technologies.

      We don't know.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
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    2. Re:Fiduciary obligations by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It doesn't matter. It's still morally wrong to invest other people's money in thing that you know are not good investments.

      Who's advocating that? Open Source contributing companies can make money.

      Actually, it's criminal too, I'd have to guess. If real fund managers did this, they'd be fired, sued, arrested, and ripped apart by mobs in the streets (as they should).

      So there are no speculative funds or ones that have down periods? You seem to be saying Open Source companies do, always have, and always will lose money but offer no evidence to back that up.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    3. Re:Fiduciary obligations by xenocide2 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's only immoral if you honestly think that these are a "bad" investment. They've already stated a technological preference, so absolute return on investment is not the number one priority. I would imagine the biggest priority is for students to learn to research a sector, and make informed investing decisions. Otherwise, they should just all be investing in high yield junk bonds or boring index funds. If you have evidence that companies are likely to do better than average, and that the market doesn't value things this way (yet), you should be able to weight your investment towards companies that write or use open source technologies.

      I've no idea why you feel that open source and profits are intrinsically misaligned.

      --
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      Open Source Sysadmin

    4. Re:Fiduciary obligations by bogjobber · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well, in his question he implies that his desire to promote open source is influencing his decision. That should not happen. The only thing you should think of as an investor (especially with other peoples' money) is how to make the greatest profit. If you happen to think companies depending on open source software are undervalued, then that's great. However, if the people have given him money expecting him to turn a profit (even on a student investment firm) then he is in fact acting immoral by even considering a secondary goal.

      The whole point of investing is to make a profit. If you want to help open source then donate your time or money directly to the actual projects. Buying Redhat on the secondary market and in the process making it overvalued will not help them a single bit.

  2. First mistake is... by imaniack · · Score: 4, Informative

    limiting yourself just to tech stock.

  3. Invest in something proven by knuxed · · Score: 4, Informative

    Invest in something proven,opensource does not have a trackrecord that i know off.Put it in other equities based on financial research and ratios.

  4. Investment goals by dtfinch · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Maybe you've decided that open source will be the most profitable type of investment, but I think you chose open source for more ideological reasons. If your goal is simply to make as much money as possible, then pick your investments according to that goal.

  5. IBM/RedHat by quanticle · · Score: 4, Informative

    Both of these companies invest heavily in open source, and are pushing Linux. I'd have recommended Novell as well, but I don't know what effect the Novell-Microsoft deal will have in the long term.

    --
    We all know what to do, but we don't know how to get re-elected once we have done it
    1. Re:IBM/RedHat by bcrowell · · Score: 2, Informative

      If the point of the club is to learn about investing, then they need to learn that one of the basics is to diversify your portfolio. You can't do that by buying only two stocks.

      In general, it also makes sense to weight your investments according to the market capitalization of the companies. According to the Capital Asset Pricing Model, this is what all rational investors do. Although the CAPM is only a model, and like any model it's only an approximation to reality, it captures something essential, which is that you want the minimum variability for a given expected return, and that means investing more heavily in big companies, because their profitability is less variable. So you look at the market capitalization of IBM (138 billion $) and Red Hat (3 billion $), and you conclude that if those are the only two stocks you're going to own, the default would be to put 98% of your money in IBM, and 2% in Red Hat. Oops, that investment in two stocks became an investment in one stock.

      I'm all in favor of socially responsible investing, but you do it by taking a broad set of stocks, and then weeding out maybe half of them. You don't do it by setting some social criterion so tight that it narrows you down to one or two stocks.

      Also, if the assumption is that you want to invest in some small-cap or microcap tech stocks in order to have a portfolio that will perform better over the very long term, again, it's worth looking at the CAPM as a baseline. The CAPM says that if you want better long-term expected returns, and you're willing to accept higher variability, your optimal way of doing that isn't to buy a bunch of high-risk stocks; your optimal way of doing it is to leverage your investment, and then invest in something like an index fund. Many people do in fact leverage their investment in the stock market by buying stocks when they haven't yet paid off their mortgage; they're essentially borrowing money, with their house as collateral, in order to invest it in the stock market.

  6. The new guy on the block by Salvance · · Score: 3, Funny

    You could always invest in Microsoft. Oh, I'm sorry, I can't even type that with a straight face.

    --
    Crack - Free with every butt and set of boobs
  7. Start an open source business!! by traindirector · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Here's the plan:

    1. Find a blossoming open source project that could be helpful in a business setting
    2. Start a Nevada company with a name that suggests you can handle even the most troublesome of a client's problems with ease. Suggestions: WeSolvium Technologies, Integrated Business Mechanics
    3. Invest the $10,000 in said company
    4. Spend $5,000 on creating marketing materials to convince businesses that your company is a friend they can trust who will save them lots of money
    5. Spend $5,000 to hire the open source project's developer to do tech support for your clients for two months
    6. ???
    7. Get kicked out of the investment club, lose all credibility at your school, move in with mom and pops, and don't invest your allowance in open source!
  8. Follow the institutional ownership by greg1104 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    One approach to finding out which funds might meet your needs is to look at which institutional investors have large blocks in the open-source companies you consider worthwhile. For example, we can look at the data for Redhat (and, yes, I'm laughing too at who is providing that data) and see that there are large positions in the company held by Fidelity, T. Rowe Price, etc. From that, you can check out the various funds that company offers and see if you can find one that matches your requirements. Taking a glance at our host's ownership information shows a large Fidelity block as well, but no other overlap I noticed. From this limited look, I conclude you should be looking at Fidelity's funds. That approach should get you on the right path. You can do the rest of the legwork--you're the student here, after all; I already know how to invest.

  9. stock markets are for screwing 'the masses' by nido · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Clearly I want to make a profit...

    Recently found a copy of the 1974 book, The Screwing of the Average Man. One of the early chapters is about how average folk got screwed in the late-60's stock market - funny accounting, etc. As I read it tonight, some 32 years after it was first released, I amazed at how "history repeats itself." The exact same things happened in the late-90's tech bubble.

    The U.S. stock markets may be at or near record highs, but adjusted for teh inflation they'd still have to advance another 25% or so to match their bubble peaks. Where are the fundamentals that would justify another 25%? Corporate profits may be at record highs, but average folk are getting squeezed. The housing bubble has burst, foreclosures are going up. Ford recently got 35,000 employees to take a buyout aka paycut. What is the growing industry that will offer jobs that offer comparable pay?

    The U.S.-China economic relationship is a highly unusual one between a First World and a Third World country. Moreover, the U.S. trade deficit with China in manufactured goods and advanced technology products is growing rapidly. What explains the U.S. dependence on a poor country for First World products?

    The answer, and the key to China's rapid development, is that corporations in First World countries--American businesses chief among them--use China as an offshore location where they produce for their home markets. More than half of U.S. imports from China, and as much as 70 percent from some of China's coastal regions, represent offshore production by American firms for U.S. markets.

    What economists overlook is that when we speak of the Chinese economy, we are speaking in large part of the relocation of American manufacturing to China. Those millions of lost domestic manufacturing jobs were not lost. They were moved. The jobs still exist, only they are not filled by Americans.

    In a world where capital and technology are highly mobile internationally, these critical factors of production flow to countries with the lowest cost of labor. China has attracted manufacturing, and India has attracted professional services. This has left the American work force with job growth only in lower-paid domestic services, which provide no export earnings.

    -Who Owns the Dollar? (emphasis added)

    Most Americans live in a media-induced Never-Never Land, where the American economy, stockmarket and military machines are invincible because they always have been. Never mind that this is demonstrably false (great depresion, 1970's inflationary recession, Vietnam, Iraq, etc) - we're conditioned via compulsory government schooling and the idiot-box (television) to have a short memory.

    More on the Screwing of average folk...

    I gave people $1 (1 ounce) silver coins last Christmas. Think I traded around 10 or 11 "Feral Reserve Notes" for each one. Silver is now up to $13.75 or so, so I'm looking at having to put out about 50% more funny-money paper if I want to do the same thing this year (coin dealers typically charge spot + $2, iirc). Inflation at work.

    If I had another $10k, I'd split it between metals and Euros... As it is, I'm sitting on a couple hundred ounces of silver and a couple ounces of gold. Not a sure thing, but the economy we know is doomed. The stock market is terminal too, but the big money will be sure to get out first, in keeping with the traditional screwing of the masses (that's 'us' - me, you, and everyone who reads this comment who doesn't pull in $1million/year).

    Actually, I'd buy more Earthboxes, potting mix, and fertilizer (already have plenty of seed). $10k could get me two pallets worth (200), and all the potting mix and f

    --
    Learn the rules so you know how to break them properly.
    www.teslabox.com
    1. Re:stock markets are for screwing 'the masses' by Eivind · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Earthboxes are good (assuming you can sensibly use the output), precious metals are bad.

      The reason is simple: Money represent opportunity. Opportunity to do something you couldn't do without. Stuff you do is, on average, productive. (if it wasn't humanity would be better off doing nothing, which is obvioulsy not the case).

      Earthboxes produce something. Food. Pretty flowers. Spices. Whatever you want. They *contribute* to the wealth of humanity.

      Precious metals sitting in a box or in a safe, however, don't produce anything. A single ounce of gold placed in a safe today will still be a single ounce of gold a decade or a century from now.

      A earthbox (or any other productive thing) will in a decade produce stuff worth many times its initial cost.

      Precious metals are only a positive investment if you believe humanity in sum will be poorer by the time you need the money than we are now. Not a good bet, honestly.

      If you're convinced that we'll see global meltdown, go for it. But honestly, the odds are against the doomsday-scenarios by a very large margin.

      Even the biggest crashes and disasters we've experienced (such as the 3oies depression or WW-2) didn't change the general trend. Humanity was better off in 1940 than in 1929 -- despite the depression. And better of in 1960 than in 1940 - despite WW2.

      So, if you're convinced the next crash is near (I'm not, but I agree it'll happen), buy stuff of lasting value -- but stuff that is *useful* in the meantime, not stuff that is simply stored in a safe.

      Storing gold in a safe is essentially a bet that doing *nothing* productive will give a better return than doing ones best to do something that *is* productive. And that is not a good bet.

      Furthermore the amount of gold *grows* over time, more is found and dug out all the time, only small amounts of gold are lost or consumed. Land is a much better option; they don't make any more of that, and it can be *used* without the value sinking. You can *rent* out land, not many are all that interested in *renting* cold. (why would they want to?)

      Land has *one* drawback: if you believe in total collapse of government, then the "ownership" of land can be completely worthless, you can't take your land with you if you have to flee the country, for example. (would be tricky with gold too, but atleast you could try) Hiding land is also not really doable.

  10. Market investing doesn't help the company by Maple+Syrup · · Score: 5, Insightful

    You seem to be under the impression that if you buy $1,000 worth of Red Hat stock (for instance) that the money somehow goes to Red Hat. This is not correct.

    The issuing company got their money at the IPO. When you buy that $1000 worth of stock, your $1000 goes to the previous stockholder, and *none* of it - not a dime - goes to the issuing company.

    The only benefit the issuing company has - and it's an indirect benefit - is that if you buy that $1000 worth of stock you create a slight upward pressure on the stock price, which, in turn, will increase the "market capitalization" value of the company.

    Frankly, if you want to help Open Source financially, your best bet is to take a percentage of the profits and donate it to your favorite non-profit Open Source entity.

      -Maple Syrup

  11. Skip it by WindBourne · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I have been watching it as well. In fact, I remember it from the late 80's. The simple answer is that if you are investing OTHER peoples money, you must pay attention to what will make money. In fact, if you are here asking, then you really MUST pay attention to what will make money shortly. Considering the world situation, tech can be blown out in 100 different ways.

    Try energy. Oil is a good one. It is almost certain that W's tax cuts will be removed (and soon), but the simple answer is that China and India are are on a tear. They will be increasing demand on ALL oil resources. I would look heavily at any oil company. In addition, consider nukes AND alternatives. High Oil prices combined with Global warming will force us down this path. Wind energy companies are good ones. GE and westinghouse power are interesting.

    Finally, consider looking more around the globe. America is heading towards a major slow down. W has ran up a major deficit like Reagan did. In addition, he is spending all sorts of money on funding the war, tearing apart EPA, buying the most expensive drugs for seniors, etc, and even cutting alternative energy research WHILE giving tax cuts to oil. Combine with moving core manufactuering to China, and you will soon see a collapse in our money policies. It is only a matter of time before the dollars starts to sink and we will be forced to raise interest rates AND taxes to keep foreign money flowing into America. This would normally induce a major global depression (think 1930s), but enough business is globalized as to allow the other markets to move forward without us.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  12. Not exactly what you want but.... by antifoidulus · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Consider waiting till early next year and investing in the Spectra Green fund, a fund set up by Bill Clinton whose goal is to invest in, and actually make money using, environmentally friendly alternatives to fossil fuels. It's tech, it's a good cause, it will(hopefully) make money.

  13. why mutual funds? by wikinerd · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Why do you seek to invest in mutual funds? I am also an investor, but I never invest in mutual funds. Choose index shares wisely and you won't be disappointed. Why pay for analysts's salaries when we all know that the economy is more or less a chaotic system that no one can predict its behaviour? What is your time horizon? If you can wait for many years, then use the method of the Sage of Omaha, as described in Buffettology: Buy shares of undervalued companies in markets with good economics, and keep them for years (be reluctant to sell, as in buy and hold). This may not work if your time horizon is short, however, so you might like to pay some attention to seasonality and perhaps sell in May and go away.

    1. Re:why mutual funds? by Eivind · · Score: 2, Insightful
      There's some situations where it makes sense.

      Because of various fees, you cannot sensibly invest much less than say $1000-$2000 in a single stock. If you want to invest abroad, especially outside of west-europe/north-america the fees tend to be higher, I looked into it, and for me, for example, I found no cost-effective way of investing less than about $5000 in a single south-american stock.

      This poses a problem if you want good geographic spread, and don't have a fortune to invest. 5-10 stocks in different sectors tend to be enough to have a high chance of following the index, more or less.

      Buying 5-10 different stocks from Norway is trivial. It's easy, and the fees are low. Total cost $10K - $15K (on the norwegian stock-exchange stock is sold in "lots" that each cost $1k-$2k, smaller investments are possible, but it costs extra and is not cost-effective)

      So far fine. But then let's say I'd want to diversify into western europe. I could get another 5-10 stocks from say Germany, UK and Russia. Here trouble starts. Russia is not easily accessible in a cost-effective way for small sums. Germany and UK is, but the fixed-fees are higher than for Norway. I'm figuring, I'd need $50K or more to reasonably cover Europe, even then it'd have to be "pick 2-3 stock-exchanges, ignore the rest"

      So, I use mutual funds for covering those areas and exchanges where I'm not heavily enough invested that *can* spread alone.

      For me, this means Norway:stock. Nordic-countries:stock. Germany,UK:Stock. USA:Stock. All other parts of the world:funds. I go for index-funds with low provisions, I'm not *interested* in paying for the crack-consumption of some "I can beat the market" whiz-broker that, in the end, on the average, doesn't end up beating the market. Good spread. Low fees. Those are my *only* 2 criteria.

      I generally buy-and-hold. I'd only drop a stock either if I needed the money (did drop some when buying a house this summer) OR when the company does something terminally stupid that I either can judge better than the market, or that makes it impossible ethically for me to hold the company. I shorted SCO at $18, for example, which is speculaction, which I normally don't do. However, in this particular case I was 100% convinced that they where full of crap and suing IBM would lead to bankruptcy. I cached in when they passed $5 on the way down, today they're at $2 (but the short would've expired anyway)

      My time-horizon is long. It's unlikely I'm gonna need the cash before the kids need to get established and/or I don't feel like working anymore. This means 20-30 year horizon. I don't *care* what the stock did this week. I care how it's gonna do this *decade*.

  14. Re:MySQL by PHPfanboy · · Score: 2, Informative

    All businesses operate for-profit, that doesn't make them an inherently good investment.
    MySQL is venture funded, so you can't put any money in until they go public (which could be quite a way off)

    --
    29 mpg. YMMV.
  15. General guidance by hey! · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Having just gone through a corporate acquisition, businesses that make money primarily off the labor of their employees are not considered attractive investments.

    Theoretically, the value of a business should be the net present value of its future income, discounted by risk. Consulting and services are perceived as more risky than revenues from intellectual property, therefore an open source company is likely to be valued less than a proprietary software company of equal profitability. In fact, a money losing intellectual property (IP) based business may have greater attraction to investors than a moderately profitable service business.

    Personally, I think the risk differential is exaggerated, but in fairness the IP of a proprietary software company is an asset that could, in the worst case, be liquidated. Also, labor is expensive and it is difficult to grow labor intensive businesses quickly. A well run consultancy usually can be characterized by conservative growth goals and high efficiency. This places constraints on achieving high ROI. However, within those constraints you may find a solid, undervalued investment.

    Of course the fun of investing is finding exceptions to the rule. I think most people who like to do their own investing think of themselves as contrarians. The flip side of the bias towards proprietary business is that service businesses may offer the chance to buy a share of future income that is relatively undervalued. However, this requires more homework, because you're placing relatively more faith in the management and sales team.

    There is one kind of intellectual property that an open source company can avail itself of: trademark. Red Hat was for many years practically synonymous with Linux in the minds of many managers. It is still a name that commands immediate attention. If you are looking to make a killing, as opposed to merely outperforming the market by a bit over a long period of time, I think this means that you are looking for an outfit that has a plan that will create a brand that will command respect.

    Brand is an instance of a broader class of assets: things which give you an unique competitive advantage with customers. Perhaps you are looking not for a software company, but some kind of consumer facing retail or service outfit that is an open source contributor. Maybe you are looking for a company that has uses open source in an unique hardware device. If you had enough money to place VC (which you don't), you could look for companies with innovative plans to entrench themselves in a vertical market -- a difficult but underexploited path for F/OSS.

    You have to decide what kind of investor you want to be. All investors who hope to beat the market are contrarians, but you can be contrary in different ways. Some investors are like the tortoise in the fable: they beat the market by focusing further down the path to the finish line than most. Me, for example. I like money, but I have other things I'd rather be occupying my attention with, so I check in on my investments maybe twice a year tops. While the open source movement as a whole is something that will continue to grow and prosper, I don't think a single company that is highly dependent on F/OSS is an appropriate investment for the tortoise except as a part of a diverse portfolio.

    Other investors are hares looking to beat the market by finding something before others have noticed it. Maybe that's you. The important thing is to be very critical of your argument for investing in something on that basis. Creative people can envision virtually anything working, and are very good at selling blue sky scenarios to others like themselves, and ready to buy the scenario when it piques their imagination. Mark Twain was no sucker, but he lost his fortune investing in high tech printing equipment.

    Remember you are not investing in "open source" or "technology", you are backing a specific business plan. Is the data in that plan verifiable and correct? What way

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