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DVD Player Ownership Surpasses VCR Ownership

An anonymous reader wrote to mention an Ars Technica post stating that, for the first time, more U.S. consumers own a DVD player than own a VCR. The DVD player dropped below $100 quite some time ago, but the third quarter of this year saw the percentage of DVD player ownership reach 81.2. Only 79.2% of consumers now own VCR players, reports Nielsen. From the article: "For all of the talk about the battle between HD DVD and Blu-ray, both technologies are far, far away from most family rooms. Yes, the two are just now beginning what could be a long battle for entertainment-center supremacy, but keep in mind that the technology that they are vying to replace has only recently gained the upper hand against the previous-generation technology--a decade after first being introduced. Even if Blu-ray or HD DVD unexpectedly routs its opponent from the market in the next two or three years, it will still be several more years before the victorious format supplants the DVD."

31 of 180 comments (clear)

  1. Question by priestx · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Does this count dual-players, such as a DVD-VCR combos? That's all I really use, anyways.
    I'm sure if they were to count that, it wouldn't be important, as it would just even off things, but a large percentage of households actually uses both I would suspect.

    --
    "To be is to do." -Socrates
    "To do is to be." -Jean-Paul Sartre
    "Do-be-do-be-do." -Frank Sinatra
  2. DVD will be the winner in the HiDef War by vertinox · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Since VHS is out. They win by default.

    Seriously, BluRay and HD won't be common place until 2012 at this rate.

    By then, we'll have iPod like devices that could hold more video than a Station wagon full of BlueRay discs.

    --
    "I am the king of the Romans, and am superior to rules of grammar!"
    -Sigismund, Holy Roman Emperor (1368-1437)
    1. Re:DVD will be the winner in the HiDef War by CDMA_Demo · · Score: 5, Funny

      No one will ever use the full capacity of BluRay station wagon.

    2. Re:DVD will be the winner in the HiDef War by plover · · Score: 4, Funny
      Are you saying 640K station wagons full of BluRay* discs should be enough for anyone?

      You're probably right. At least until holodeck interaction becomes common.

      *Firefox's spell checker suggested BluRay should be spelled "blurry". So much for HD.

      --
      John
    3. Re:DVD will be the winner in the HiDef War by troll+-1 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Seriously, BluRay and HD won't be common place until 2012 at this rate.

      And by that time everything will be streamed. Moving data around on funny plastic disks just doesn't make much sense when you have an Internet. The only reason for these formats is 1) There currently isn't enough bandwidth for everyone to stream hi-def content on-demand. 2) Content owners don't want their stuff streamed because of copyright concerns. But as hi-speed Internet access becomes as ubiquitous as DRM becomes unpopular, BluRay and HD will eventually go the way of the floppy.

    4. Re:DVD will be the winner in the HiDef War by Babbster · · Score: 2
      Seriously, BluRay and HD won't be common place until 2012 at this rate.

      At what rate? Any predictive analysis of future BD or HD-DVD penetration based on less than a year of data is pointless at best and dishonest at worst. DVD grew faster than any other similar technology (CD and VHS being two significant examples) and it still took 8 years to pass VHS. This, despite the last few years when DVD players have been virtually an impulse buy at under $100.

      I picked up a DVD player in its second year of availability and it was still another two years before the people around me (who enjoy watching movies and quite liked DVD based on seeing mine) jumped in. Cost and movie volume were the two major factors preventing my friends and family from buying in.

      We won't be able to adequately judge the market's desire for high-definition optical discs until players have been available for under $300 (total - the HD-DVD addon to the 360 doesn't count) over a 12-month period. Until then, it will be an early-adopter situation and, as such, success and failure are impossible to predict.
  3. Maybe there are others like me... by wikthemighty · · Score: 2, Interesting

    ...their VCR has died recently, and they haven't bothered to replace it!

    --
    "There are people who do not love their fellow human being, and I _hate_ people like that!" - Tom Lehrer
    1. Re:Maybe there are others like me... by Shivetya · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I haven't had a VCR hooked up to my entertainment system for years. When my parents recently asked if I had one they could use in the RV I had to dig it out. I never really did the rental routine and as such I found myself using one less and less, until one day I put in a new rack for my entertainment system and never migrated the VCR to it.

      I long ago switched to only DVDs. I have 300+ in my collection, finally surpassing my CD collection. Now with a DVR provided by my satellite service I have no need. My parents have moved much of their VCR collection to DVD with the use of an entertainment system DVD burner. I have friends at work who moved their Disney collections for their children to DVD, taken straight from the VCR tapes. Some they bought as DVD for the extras but most moved over.

      It really comes down to ease of use. Just like cassettes died eventually to CD so has VCR to DVD. When you can buy DVD recorders for less than 100 and DVRs coming as nearly standard equipment for Cable and Satellite systems it makes we wonder just how many years VCR has left.

      Plus, nothing looks worse on my HD than a VCR'd movie, 'cept maybe CD based movies

      --
      * Winners compare their achievements to their goals, losers compare theirs to that of others.
    2. Re:Maybe there are others like me... by powerlord · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Plus, nothing looks worse on my HD than a VCR'd movie, 'cept maybe CD based movies


      I thought I would agree with you, but I'm not so sure.

      We (my wife and I) recently upgraded to a 720p 32" TV. We've got HD feeds via cable, and an Series 3 TiVo.

      The signal looks great, and we got rid of a whole mess of VCR tapes that were just cluttering up room, but we hung on to a couple that we wanted to watch. I finally got around to hooking up the VCR via a set RCA cables and, while the picture quality certainly ain't great, it isn't as bad as I was expecting. Now part of it is probably that we are dealing with a smaller screen than most HD people seem to be getting (we just don't have the space for anything larger where we live), and part of it might be that the VCR tapes were relatively "new" (the VCR tapes were pre-recorded movies, that had probably only been seen a few times), but the end result is that the picture looked much better than I was expecting.
      --
      This space for rent. All reasonable inquiries will be entertained at proprietors discretion.
    3. Re:Maybe there are others like me... by dattaway · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I used to fix VCR's for the tune of half their value (hey, its business!) and quickly discovered the design is a time bomb. The rubber parts rot, the heads clog, and has a loading mechanism that's a magnet for kids to store stuff in there. Its a matter of time before the population of VCR's drop to zero. It will happen faster than the life of a lithium battery or the charges on an EPROM die out.

      10 years from now, 90% of all VCR's will be out of commission. Transfer your tapes to other storage now!

  4. I will "upgrade" when... by pla · · Score: 4, Insightful

    it will still be several more years before the victorious format supplants the DVD.

    I will "upgrade" to the best HD format only when it counts as an actual upgrade - Meaning I can play it, in full resolution, on a Linux box.

    Note that I don't include the word "legally" in that condition... A broken-feature-reenabling ripper (like DVD Decrypter used to do for region coding, macrovision, and button lockout) will work just as well as an authorized player.

    So, which group will give me what I want first? Sony, Toshiba, or DVD-Jon? The winner takes all.

  5. But the DVD has is own issues... by bogaboga · · Score: 3, Interesting
    Much as I love the features of the DVD if paired with an equally capable player, the DVD has its own [ugly] issues. Despite the fact that it's a modern invention, nobody can even come close to guaranteeing that the DVD medium (the disc) can withstand storage for long times.

    Can any slashdotter convince me that if I had properly stored important video media on a disc in say 20 years ago, this disc would still be readable now? With proper storage, the video cartridge would still be readable now after that long. This is my beef with DVDs.

    1. Re:But the DVD has is own issues... by bogaboga · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "Remote community" and "modern world" contradict one another here.

      I beg to disagree with you here and say "Not necessarily."

      There is a remote community in Namibia that I visited. These folks live in canyons in a very arid and cold part of the desert. I can assure you that they had every modern amenity known to the western world, everything powered by the sun. I was surprised myself and loved it. The question is, if I found that they did not have a computer ready to be opened up, this would mean 18 hours to get to the nearest town.

    2. Re:But the DVD has is own issues... by eln · · Score: 3, Funny

      If only there were some sort of portable computer that could fit on one's lap...a "laptop" if you will...that could be carried to remote locations like this. Or perhaps someone could come up with some way to attach an internal device like a hard drive to an external port on a standard PC. Perhaps some sort of enclosure with an external connector. Sort of like what the GP mentioned.

      Oh hell, that's all just fantasy anyway. The very idea of such useful technology is absurd.

    3. Re:But the DVD has is own issues... by plover · · Score: 3, Interesting
      The G.P. was talking about storing material today and retrieving it 20 years from now. A hard drive is actually a very poor solution for archival of material. First, drive technology has advanced dramatically in the last 20 years. It continues to advance dramatically -- compare the commonly produced sizes now to those made just 5 years ago, let alone 20 years.

      Electrically, the interfaces have changed, too. You'd be very hard-pressed to find a modern machine that's capable of reading from an old Winchester drive -- the ST-506 interface is dead and buried, and the adapter cards that spoke ST-506 were made only in the era of 8-bit ISA bus machines; you won't find a PCI card that supports them. ATA came along, and has advanced to ATA-6. Now we have SATA, which begs the question of how long PATA will live. Do you want to bet your future retrieval of the data to finding an ancient machine that can read SATA on the 2026 equivalent of eBay?

      There are plenty of physical reasons not to use hard drives as an archival medium, too. You'd probably be hard-pressed to find an old Winchester drive that could spin up today after sitting idle for 20 years. Drives manufactured back then suffered from stiction, which was caused by lubricants that sat idle for too long. Do you know what's wrong with the longevity of data on drives manufactured today? I don't. Will today's lubricants still flow freely in 2026? Will the platters, heads and mechanics survive the years uncorroded? Will the electrolytic capacitors still hold a charge? Will the connectors have shifted due to thermal expansion and contraction? Will the magnetic fields of some bits have dissipated due to their proximity to other bits? Will the adhesive holding the media to the platters have broken down?

      And Google for "maxtor sucks" if you want to read horror stories of people losing data due to the death of a hard drive.

      I'm not saying Super-8 is the way to go, but it's still possible to get the data from it. Will the same be true of floppy discs, ZIP disks, CD-Rs, CD-RWs, and all the burnable variants of DVDs including +/-, DVD-R, DVD-RW and DVD-RAM?

      --
      John
  6. Bad comparison, perhaps? by Junior+J.+Junior+III · · Score: 2, Insightful

    DVDs beat the pants off of VCRs in the following areas:

    Image quality.
    Random access.
    Extra features on-media.

    VCRs still cling to live mainly because it doesn't cost anything to not throw them away, and because of recording.

    Let me know when the number of PVRs outnumbers the number of VCRs. That's when the transition will truly be complete.

    Of couse p2p Video on Demand services (as represented by YouTube and BitTorrent piracy networks) probably blows both away in the middle to long run.

    --
    You see? You see? Your stupid minds! Stupid! Stupid!
  7. backwards compatibility by gad_zuki! · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I dont think the old metric will make much sense with these new HD players. When released they'll probably be able to play both HD (bluray, hddvd, whahever) and standard DVDs. There will be no reason to keep a stand-alone DVD player. They'll just end up as hand me downs to the kids or collect dust.

      After a while the HD players will be cheap enough that it will be smart futureproofing to buy a HD player without a HDtv, in the hopes that your next tv will be HD. Hell, there's no shortage of component out dvd players plugged in with composite cables or through RF converter boxes.

  8. It's not just the player by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Its the pressed media price and everything else. Thats what finally got me. I found VHS/DVD combos just under $100 and my Best Buy offered almost anything I wanted in my library for $10 (simply watching weekly specials) and around $20 for special things or multi-part stuff. I finally said why not. With blank media prices around a quarter or less and burner prices under $50, I finally made the leap. A perfect DVD storm had approached and it only happened to me last spring. And normally I am not a luddite, my computer and gizmos stay leading edge, but DVD needed to put the whole package together.

    Now blu-ray and HD-DVD have a lot of work to do. The pressed media prices seem 5x higher than DVD. The players 10x higher. The burners 10x higher. The media I have no idea. The massive back catalogs may takes years to build. And the copy protection will have to be broken. I bet this all takes more than the 10 years it took for DVD.

    And the displays that are the platform for all this hi-def are still not ready for prime time. These impress the street, but us computer users have been running CRTs with these display capabilities for decades and in some ways 720p on an LCD is a step back.

  9. Blue Ray this, HD-DVD that... by RiotXIX · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Jeez, give it a rest. I have money, but do you honestly think I'm going to subscribe to another new format for at least 10 years? We aren't all tech-writers. I might just skip this technology fasion trend and go for the one in one or two generations, just like I will with consoles. And even then I'll be content with my DVD library. Just like I am with CD-audio quality and good speakers. And I'm speaking as a tech nerd as well. Uprgrading would simply be burning money, which I don't feel, whether I had the money or not, would be a good idea.

    --
    "You know you don't act like a scientist, you're more like a game show host." Dana Barret
    1. Re:Blue Ray this, HD-DVD that... by bigpat · · Score: 2, Interesting

      There are people who are desperate to get as many articles on Blue Ray and HD-DVD written in order to push both the format of the media and HD technology in general. There are 10s, if not 100s, of billions of dollars at stake and plenty of marketing money to grease tech writers and publishers wheels. The government too has a horse in this race as digital television must not only succeed but at least appear to be popular in the market to justify the forced change over to HD that is taking place. Eventually consumers will have better choices. Right now it isn't a question of whether HD is better for viewing video or not, but at this point it seems that the price isn't worth the product. To spend thousands of dollars before you even start talking about the cost of the actual content that will be displayed on the technology, simply isn't a type of math that most people can afford to do. For now you will have a steadily increasing minority switching over to HD TVs, but for most people they are going to be much better off spending their technology dollars on lower priced computer equipment where they can be both entertained and productive, rather than the entertainment dollar black hole which is what HDTV is all about.

  10. I am pretty sure by dizzy8578 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    these stats do not include the half dozen dead cheap dvd players I have sitting in the garage.

    I don't care if it is a brand name of not, the cheap crap or the expensive dvd recorder/tuner, they all lasted just a few days longer than the warranty.

    I use the computer to play dvds. At least the internal drives are cheap enough to replace when they die.

    --
    *"Cogito Ergo Liberalis"*
  11. Re:where is the DVR adoption? by jedidiah · · Score: 3, Informative

    ...which is why DVRs are so great.

    You're no longer tied to the "Great Glass Gozoonga".

    You are infact completely FREED from it.

    TV on your own schedule, on your own terms.

    --
    A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
  12. Re:where is the DVR adoption? by MojoStan · · Score: 4, Interesting
    I'm still perplexed that there's not been faster and more widespread adoption of DVRs. As a technologist, I tend to be friends with the kinds of people who have DVRs, but I still have a hard time impressing on "regular people" how damn wonderful they are.
    I'm just speculating, but I think "regular people" might be turned off by the monthly fees/subscriptions required by the most popular DVR solutions. They might be thinking: "I never had to pay $20 per month (with a 1-year commitment) to use a VCR." (Yes, there are cheaper options for longer commitments. This is just an example. But "regular people" have to be convinced of its value first.)

    I also think most "regular people" underestimate how much television is a part of their life. Many people like to think that television is "not important" enough to pay extra money for what they think is a slightly advanced VCR. In reality, people watch way more television than they think they do. They would probably save lots of time and enjoy their time watching television a heck of a lot more if they used a DVR.

    I continually explain that having a good DVR is like having refridgeration -- once you've had it, you don't see how anyone made it this far without it. To that end, my wife and I find it diffucult to watch tv away from home.
    It's not cool to admit tv is this important in our lives (I'm kidding). We should all be getting out and reading more, right?

    Convincing people to pay an additional subscription to put an extra box near their television, with no new content, is a difficult task. I think free trials might do it. 30-day money-back guarantees (like the one offered by TiVo) still seem like a hassle to the unconvinced. Better competition and lower prices are also needed. The leader, TiVo, is darned expensive unless you commit to a long-term subscription. Windows XP Media Center does not require subscriptions, but not many people hook up PCs to their televisions. Cable/satellite companies can probably push free DVR trials on their customers (integrated into the set top box), but their DVRs are not nearly as usable as TiVo and ReplayTV (last time I checked).

    --
    TO START
    PRESS ANY KEY

    Where's the 'ANY' key? I see Esk, Kitarl, and Pig-Up...

  13. Re:Not too surprising by dosius · · Score: 3, Funny

    Then what do I do on my DVD recorder with DVD-RW discs?

    -uso.

    --
    What you hear in the ear, preach from the rooftop Matthew 10.27b
  14. $150 hd-dvd player by jmichaelg · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I was in Best Buy a couple of days ago and saw Microsoft's 360 HD-DVD player for $150. Anandtech had given it a favorable review and noted that the player could just as easily be hooked up to PC as an xbox. If you already have a hi def screen with an xbox it seems to be a slam dunk purchase. If you don't have the xbox but you have a sufficiently robust pc, you can either watch hi def on your computer monitor or, if your setup allows it, on your HD screen via your PC.

    Lots of folks are hedging as to which format will win out but my impression is that if you can buy a player for $150 that gives you an image that's equivalent to a solution that costs 4 times as much and is unavailable, that gives a huge boost to HD-DVD. I say "equivalent" because the initial side by side reviews don't give either format an edge. Another factor is Netflix - you can rent either format from them so your exposure to risking committing to a dead end format is substantially reduced. When the first players came out at $1,000 not many people bit. Now that you can get one player at $150, it strikes me a lot more people will make the jump and it isn't going to be to Blu-Ray.

  15. Will it really? by ScrewMaster · · Score: 2, Interesting

    it will still be several more years before the victorious format supplants the DVD.

    If ever. This particular format war isn't being handled very well, it seems to me. Such conflicts are invariably bad for the consumer in the short run since we have to guess which tech will come out on top and whoever guesses wrong gets his fingers burnt. Why can't they all just get along? PICK ONE! I don't really care which at this point. Is it just that Sony is still smarting from the Betamax fiasco? If it turns out after all this hate and discontent that the consumer doesn't find a use for the next-generation of shiny plastic discs it'll be just too bad. Worse for them, sooner or later China is going to be able to foist their version of a next-gen SPD (Shiny Plastic Disc) on the world. They'd better just get with the program and give the consumer what he and she wants now. Period. Or they may find their own technologies irrelevant.

    --
    The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
    1. Re:Will it really? by mrcaseyj · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I just realized the other day that this Bluray vs HD-DVD competition isn't a bad thing for consumers. It's actually a great thing. With the Beta/VHS competition consumers suffered because there was no cheap way to make a player that could play both formats. But the Bluray and HD-DVD discs are physically identical in shape (I think) and could probably both be easily read by a single player. What this means is that there will be real competition and therefore lower prices. As soon as one format starts to show signs of loosing the competition, it will be licensed to be incorporated into combo players and your movie collection will still be usable. The only problems I can see are that if all the movie studios don't support both formats then your selection of movies may be limited until you get a combo player or buy one of both, and that if you choose the wrong format you may have to buy a combo player to replace the first player you bought. But those costs are probably very small compared to the savings resulting from the competition.

    2. Re:Will it really? by Have+Blue · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Neither format is going to win. They're both going to be killed by electronic distribution.

  16. $20 DVD player by GregoryD · · Score: 2, Insightful

    My local superstore carries a very generic DVD player for $29.99 regular price and they have gone on sale for $19.99. That is absolutely nuts you can get a player at less then the cost of some DVDs.

  17. Re:Not too surprising by drinkypoo · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Not only are you apparently smoking crack WRT the issue of recording on DVD overall, but there are actually several consumer-level camcorders that record video directly to a mini DVD. In other words, the total steps to get DVD content from the camcorder to a normal DVD player is to record some video, yank out the disc, and slap it into the player. Nice try though. Are you a troll, or are you just living under a rock? You apparently have internet access yet are completely uninformed, that's pretty amazing.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  18. Re:DRM success by NoMaster · · Score: 2, Insightful
    And note that this is all despite heavy DRM on nearly every commercial DVD disc and player ever made.
    As I mentioned earlier, in other parts of the world DVD ownership outstripped VCR ownership a while ago. The reason why it's taken longer in the US may actually be due to the "heavy DRM" you mention (well, the region coding anyway) - in the rest of the world region free players from the name-brand manufacturers are the norm, whilst I gather they're not quite as common in the US (and mostly Chinese/Taiwanese cheapies). In fact, where I am it's practically impossible to buy a player that isn't region-free from the factory (or at least comes with a photocopied sheet containing the unlock code provided by the manufacturer).

    (Yes, I realise I'm ignoring the CSS part of the DRM. That's because for most people it's a non-issue - CSS doesn't stop them from buying discs or players from overseas, taking them with them when they move, etc. In fact, in that respect you get more trouble from voltage and standards issues with players and TVs than you do with CSS. And, in the end, it turned out to be trivial to break - a single player key got out into the wild, and *poof*!)

    As for the UOPs - dunno 'bout in the US, but both my cheap Philips and my sister's considerably more expensive Pioneer players bypass most UOPs at the press of a button. In fact, as I've discovered from discs I've made, the only prohibitions they can't beat aren't actual UOPs, but tricky programming. For instance, there's a neat trick you can do where you unset the "back" link at start of play, and don't set the "next" link until right near the end - the fwd/rwd/skip buttons don't work because, as far as the player is aware, there's nothing to skip to!

    Somebody willing to pay the Guardians Of The Mouse might have a look and see if they do something similar...

    --
    What part of "a well regulated militia" do you not understand?