2007 in Security
An anonymous reader wrote in to say that "Heise Security did a year end review — for the upcoming year 2007. In their crystal ball they see P2P bots, (almost) crashing stock exchanges, dropping prices for zero day exploits and private mails of gmail users published on the google search engine." Speculatory and amusing.
Oh noes! Everyone can see my spam now!
Everyone can read about the penis enlargement treatment you ordered.
Business as usual then? DDoS attacks, the crackers finding ways to be one step ahead of the security team, and someone reading my email...
Yep, sounds like business as usual to me...
Me failed English...
FreeBSD over Linux. If my comments seem odd, this may explain...
2007 is gonna be about the consequences of our self destruction of earth - having our emails exposed will be the last of our problems...
Locksmith
HOWTO protect your pron from terrorism.
I think the big thing to happen to security in 2007 is Windows Vista. With increasing adoption, we will really get to see whether all the rewrites, new features, and bugfixes dramatically improve security. Holes will be found and plugged. Other operating systems will copy the good ideas and avoid the bad ones. Whenever pre-Vista Windows versions are broken into, people will say "It's your own fault; you should just have upgraded to Vista".
.NET languages, and the popular languages from the open source community. Exploits will continue to shift from buffer overflows and integer overruns to logic errors and injection vulnerabilities. More attacks will target web browsers. With increasing adoption of Unix-like OSes, perhaps we will see some exploits for these run wild, too.
Other than that, I think existing trends will continue. More development will be shifted from unsafe languages like C and C++ to Java, the
Please correct me if I got my facts wrong.
There wasn't a single mention of an increase in penny-stock pumping emails.
Screw the rest of the world, if those would go away I'd consider 2007 a success.
Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
Isn't the word "Speculative," not "Speculatory?"
Limina.Log
At least on the East Coast a DDOS attack on the stock market's internet connection isn't going to make much of a difference. Both market data and B2B order flow typically go across the SFTI network which was created after 9/11 and has no public access. See https://sfti.siac.com/ (warning may not be firefox friendly! *sigh*)
"I think the big thing to happen to security in 2007 is Windows Vista"
.NET languages"
It's a tribute to the MS marketing department that the emergence of Vista is seen as a big security event. All the security features in Vista have already been inplimented in the other Operating Systems. The signed drivers feeture has already been hacked.
User Account Control: aka as SuDO under nix.
Protected mode Internet Explorer: on nix the browser runs as standard user and can only access the users home directory.
Windows Defender, spyware and virus detection: not needed under Linux as enumerating badness is not a good idea.
Windows Service Hardening, monitor unusual activity to the file system, registry and network: An intrusion detection system running as root.
Network Access Protection, designed to protect your network from 'unhealthy' machines: Enumerating badness, not a good idea says Marcus J. Ranum.
"Other operating systems will copy the good ideas and avoid the bad ones"
What 'good ideas' has Vista that didn't exist previously in some form in other Operating Systems. Give specifics please.
"More development will be shifted from unsafe languages like C and C++ to Java, the
The languages aren't 'unsafe' it's the underlying memory management unit running on Intel processors that's unsafe.
"With increasing adoption of Unix-like OSes, perhaps we will see some exploits for these run wild, too"
Given the number of non-Windows servers out there why aren't we seeing the equivalent number of breeches. Where are all the Mac viruses. Where are all the cross platform viruses.
Please correct me if I got my facts wrong.
Speculation about what might happen in the future does't count as facts.
Vista (Score: 3, Time Shifted Propaganda)
davecb5620@gmail.com
What is never mentioned is that these bots are run on masses of compromised home and business desktops. The ISPs should be doing more to close them down.
davecb5620@gmail.com
First of all, who the hell are Heise Security in the first place? They come across as a group of firewall admins turned security 'experts'. The statements in the article are ridiculous. "For the first time, underground prices for such zero-day exploits dropped in 2007, compared to the previous year. Insiders think this drop in prices was caused by a glut of such exploits, mainly due to the broad usage of simpler fuzzing tools. Bit by bit, these half-automated vulnerability scanners are uncovering the (security) sins of a whole generation of programmers." There is no generic 'asking price' for 0-day. There's a massive varience in pricing based on the exploitability, saturation and accessibility. $50,000 for a remote MS hole isn't going anywhere but up. "With many companies starting to migrate to Web 2.0, the security situation changed for the worse: Cross-site scripting holes on web servers became an epidemic plague. Defacing web sites advanced from an insider gag to mass entertainment when Jonathon Ross presented his favorite pages on the sites of Buckingham Palace, the Whitehouse and the Vatican." Buckingham Palace, the Whitehouse and the Vatican drivin by Web 2.0? Give me a break. "So let's just hope that our crystal ball is wrong..." Don't worry, it will be.
True, most ISPs don't care what transmits on the end-user's bandwidth. Why should they? A user pays for a service which an ISP provides. What a user transmits should be his choice. Educating these users of what their Windows boxes may be barfing out 24/7 is they key to correcting the problem. In reality, most people don't know or care - until performance issues are apparent.
And everyone knows that older versions of Windows are bad...
So why is it that with security issues of all types, I do NOT see articles about why "UNIX is BAD".
Why is not the computer media in general noting more of the reason why choices involving UNIX variants are good.
We have had some very smart, very well thought out programming and systems which went into and then advanced UNIX, and it has now stood the test of time very very well, but a supermajority of mainstream PC press is simply a fan club for the market leader and companies that hang on its coat tails.
We need far more of "the best" discussed and analyzed and written about to get people away from broken windows.
"Educating these users of what their Windows boxes may be barfing out 24/7 is they key to correcting the problem"
No, the key is to make the ISPs legally liable for preventing the viruses getting on/off your desktop and making an OS that don't get viruses from clicking on a URL or opening an attachment.
davecb5620@gmail.com
Some of this stuff seems a bit far-fetched:
While in 2006, DDoS attacks with botnets were mainly targeted at unwanted competitors, online betting offices and consumer protection sites, 2007 also saw large attacks launched on critical infrastructures. In April, the stock exchange nearly crashed, when a DDoS attack on the electronic trading system disconnected it from the Internet for several days, resulting in automated control programs loosing control and attempting to divest shares in a panic reaction.
It seems the number of botnet attacks should actually decrease as more and more people replace their old computers with new ones that have newer, more secure versions of Windows:
My thoughts to explain this drop are the following : the new (unpatched) computers replaced the old (infected) ones, so the global number of bots has decreased. 99.9% of the new computers must be Windows XP SP2 with firewall turned on - and that's why the new computers are not yet infected. XP firewall does a fair job in protecting a computer from the most common attacks *from the outside* (137,139,135 & 445 are closed), allowing to visit windowsupdate and download the missing patches. So my assymption is that 99% of the new computer will stay clean ... at least until their users begin to click each and every popup on the screen, install an IM program and receive xmas & ny wishes in their mailboxes.
http://isc.sans.org/diary.php?date=2006-12-27
Disclaimer: Yes, I am a SANS Institute employee. :)
What a clever posting and crystal ball! I am just amazed anyone even came across the website. Heise Security? It's good to see they repost stuff that can be found on other sites people do read. What a waste of time. This crystal ball posting is a [humorless] joke.
No, the key is to make the ISPs legally liable for preventing the viruses getting on/off your desktop and making an OS that don't get viruses from clicking on a URL or opening an attachment. Making ISPs legally liable for viruses and regulating a users software is just one step closer to having "Big Brother" control our lives (this is one of MS's favorite games). I don't want my bandwidth throttled for packet inspection due to legalities caused by some other idiot surfing a pron site and blaming his ISP for the resulting problems. BTW, that OS you are talking about (that don't get viruses from clicking a URL...) is called Unix.
Terrorism IS porn - for some of us.
Richard Steven Hack - This sig is TOO GODDAMN SHORT TO DO ANYTHING USEFUL WITH! MORONS!
"one step closer to having "Big Brother" control our lives"
It isn't as if Big Brother isn't already reading out e-mails is it.
"I don't want my bandwidth throttled for packet inspection due to legalities caused by some other idiot surfing a pron site and blaming his ISP for the resulting problems"
Don't need to inspect your packets. Set up an organization that monitors the sources of spam and then informs the ISP. If the ISP takes no action then they can be fined or disconnected until they do take action. That would enthuse them greatly to take action against spam. Also one of the simplest solutions is to block outgoing on port 25.
"that OS you are talking about (that don't get viruses from clicking a URL...) is called Unix"
Yes I know that, but not a lot of other people do.
davecb5620@gmail.com
Google seems to be interested in collecting tons of data to secure a position in the data world of tomorrow. From: http://www.oreillynet.com/pub/a/oreilly/tim/news/2 005/09/30/what-is-web-20.html?page=3
"The race is on to own certain classes of core data: location, identity, calendaring of public events, product identifiers and namespaces."
In 2007 I expect to see increased jockying in data related powerhouse players like Google, Oracle, etc...
If I were to speculate beyond 2007 I would say that as far as security goes, data management & protection/privacy are top priority. Forget the bots, worms, crackers and spammers. If data is properly protected and managed then bots, worms, spam, etc.. are powerless because they will have no ability to exploit data as they do today.
This raises another point, do you feel comfortable with only a few powerhouses like Google & Yahoo hording all the data they can? (email, websites, maps, etc..). I don't. I don't like the idea of only a few controlling the data. Thus, as a result, we may even begin to see a seperation between public and PRIVATE internet. Yup, you got it. I speculate that private internets will begin to develop. Much like we have social seperation, we will soon have Internet seperation. This seperation may occur on a tangible community/city level of even a 'like-interest' level. And, no, we don't have anything like it today so I'm not talking about Myspace, newsgroups, clubs, communities, etc.. I am talking about private internet sections, totally closed circuit.
Justin Franks Executive Director Internet Engineering Association, LLC. http://www.inetassociation.com
Not requiring endless resources, something like Spamhaus running in a number of centers. It would have real powers to deal with the worst offenders. Don't you think we need one by now. For me e-mail is becoming almost unusable, I have to selectively browse the subject line in each msg to make sure I don't miss anything important. Else if I block delete I risk deleting something important or else it ends up in the spam folder. I don't have the time or the inclination for this.
"Blocking outgoing on port 25 is fine for the average home user (zombie bot central), but for us others it would cause unacceptable problems"
Yes, the average desktop don't require sending on port 25. For the rest you contact your provider and get it enabled. I assume you know how to protect your own servers.
davecb5620@gmail.com
Sounds good to me. Could you possibly get a grant to start the project? Could be worth millions is successful. :)