NASA Commemorates Space Shuttle Tragedies
eldavojohn writes "Space.com is covering NASA's commemoration of the Apollo 1 crew & the last shuttle crews of both the Challenger and Columbia orbiters. The Apollo 1 crew was lost forty years ago yesterday to a fire while testing their spacecraft on a launch pad. From the article: 'While the nearly two decades separating NASA's three space disasters allowed room for the agency to grow complacent, the relatively short time between the 2003 loss of Columbia and the end of the shuttle program could avoid a repeat of such behavior.'"
It was a case of "My theory is 100% infallible and don't you dare counter it even if it can be done effortlessly and for free"
I think this has more to do with the temperatures at launch site on those days than the date of the year. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_Shuttle_Challen ger_disaster#Pre-launch_conditions_and_delays
Before someone starts bemoaning how great and safe Apollo was compared to the shuttle, I'll say what everyone will subsequently ignore:
If the Apollo program had gone to 117 launches, the best (max likelyhood) estimate is that there would have been 15 loss of vehicle accidents with 30 crew lost. While the error in that estimate is large, there is no evidence that Saturn launch vehicles were any safer than the shuttle, and it's a better than 1-sigma bet that they would have been worse.
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