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Biofuels Coming With a High Environmental Price?

DurandalTree writes "With the spectre of global warming on the horizon, biofuels have been touted as the solution to motor vehicles' greenhouse gas emissions. But with biodiesel use on the increase, it appears a distinctively environmentally unfriendly footprint is being left behind by some of its prime sources; affected food prices are surging out of reach of the poor and rainforests are being destroyed to create larger plantations."

31 of 541 comments (clear)

  1. Happened in the past with renewables by asadodetira · · Score: 4, Insightful

    One of the the first renewable fuels was firewood, and using it in quantity caused quite an impact on forests.

    1. Re:Happened in the past with renewables by fozzy1015 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Getting off the fossil fuel teat isn't going to be easy. The basic fact is that fossil fuels are the accumulation of solar energy over millions and millions of years. Renewable fuels are the accumulation of energy over a few months. It's not so simple to simply grow our way out of this problem. The fact is that even with biofuels, the human race is going to be in for a rude awakening with regards to its energy consumption.

    2. Re:Happened in the past with renewables by ElectricRook · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I think the OP means that those who don't learn from the past are condemned to repeat it.

      To me, the problem here is that we need to let free market evolution select the fuel sources of the future. The current situation in the US is various government funded "intelligent design" ideas each of which will eventually fail. But as long as the government $$s flow, the failures will be masked.

      I'm all for new or different technology, but these things have to grow from the ground up, working out the bugs as they grow.

      --
      - High Tech workers, please say NO to Union Carpenters, their Union sees fit to control our compensation.
    3. Re:Happened in the past with renewables by eggfoolr · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Consumption is the key work there! As soon as a "green" solution is found everyone thinks they can return to their addiction to over use.

    4. Re:Happened in the past with renewables by afidel · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Actually it's not possible at ALL, at least if we continue to consume at our present rate and want the rest of the world to live to the American standard of living.

      I ran the calculations a couple years ago and based on an average solar insolation rate of 5kwHr/day/m^2 for the the bands where the majority of the arable landmass is, and the 1.3 × 10^13 m^2 of arable land we get 6.5x10^13*365 or 2.37x10^16kwHr/year or 2.37x10^14MwHr per year. US demand was 3.3x10^12MwHr/year in 1999. The world has about 20x the population of the US, so worldwide demand if everyone lived like the US and population is steady would be 6.6x10^13, or about one fifth of the total insolation on arable land.

      That means we need better than 20% NET efficiency from sunlight to usable energy to maintain the world at current US consumptions rates. That is just not possible and proves that our way of life is NOT sustainable in the long run without drastic reductions in energy use or population.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    5. Re:Happened in the past with renewables by dasunt · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Just switch to nuclear power. Sure, it will run out eventually (and eventually depends on what fuels you are using, what fuel cycle you have chosen, and if you want to consider exotic fuel sources like seawater extraction of radioactive materials), but if you do things right, you'll end up with many millions of years to find another technology and probably lower the deaths due to traditional power generation. Of course, nuclear is scary, so this won't happen. After all, nuclear has killed people. Luckily, all other energy sources (especially renewable energy sources) cause no deaths.

    6. Re:Happened in the past with renewables by breem42 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I think the real motivation behind biofuel, regardless of it's viability, is to reduce dependence on foreign energy sources. Free market? There is no free market in oil -- it is controlled by the governments at it's source, wherever that is.

      --
      If the answer is war, you are asking the wrong question
    7. Re:Happened in the past with renewables by Grishnakh · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The city was once part of the "American Dream" (before the 50s/60s, basically). But then, something called the "ghetto" arose, driving people to the suburbs so they could keep some of the advantages of the city while not having to sleep in their bathtubs at night.

      The reason Americans aren't building new urban areas isn't because of some great love of suburbia; it's because no one wants to live in a ghetto, and since most cities (especially those on the east coast) have turned into ghettos, it seems logical that any new densely-populated cities would probably turn into ghettos as well. (This may not actually be true, as there are cities on the west coast which buck this trend, but they tend to be very new cities, without generations of poor people who have grown up there to establish a ghetto. Nevertheless it is still the common belief that cities lead to ghettos.)

    8. Re:Happened in the past with renewables by Sj0 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I can't stand cities. This many humans have to live like something digital, cramped into the smallest space science, government and business will allow, while the choking stench of the stale, lifeless air the concrete artifical desert feeds them chokes and stifles, and the brilliantly bright, starless, vacant sky stretching just out of reach like a ceiling hangs over everyone like the claustrophobic bars of a prison cell. People drive their cars, and walk around, and try in vain to escape the million sets of eyes which lurk, omnipresent, to find a spot to call their own for just a moment, but it's impossible.

      I pity anyone trapped in such a place. It's not how a human should live.

      --
      It's been a long time.
    9. Re:Happened in the past with renewables by HW_Hack · · Score: 4, Informative

      True - inner city blight can be a cause of sprawl as can poor urban/city planning. In Oregon we have strong urban growth rules and boundaries which force more efficient use of urban land. We also have laws that force affordable housing into new developments even if they are upscale developments. Without such requirements sprawl and clumping of poor people into areas (ghettos) is a natural outcome. Our down town area is having a resurgance in the "Pearl District" .... which was once a delapadated area of old warehouses and old buildings ---- now rebuilt into condos + loft apartments along with new shops and restaurants. The city is also tearing down old housing projects and replacing them with affordable (small) single family dwellings built around parks - schools - shops.

      Such open housing areas (for poorer residents) are easier for police to patrol with fewer hiding places for bad guys and gangs.

      And yes - strong urban growth rules are politically explosive and devisive - and yes sometimes errors are made - but in general: our sprawl is contained - our housing is affordable - we consistently are rated with a high level of livability (Linus Torvalds has a residence here).

      --
      Its not the years, its the mileage .....
    10. Re:Happened in the past with renewables by dkf · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I think cities can be made to work, in some societies. But for whatever reason, they're definitely not the answer in the US.
      Ah, but I think you're wrong there. They can be made to work in the US, but only by forcing people to stop running away from the problems that cities currently have and instead fix them. There are a number of aspects to sorting this out, but some of the main ones are to tax fuels much more highly (yes, this causes pain for people out in the suburban mega-sprawl, that's the point!), to plan on having a lot more public transport, to plan on having smaller stores more dispersed so that people don't have to drive a long way to the mall, and to not tolerate low-level crime even in poor areas. It's not easy, but it does work.

      Some of these policies will hurt people living out in the real countryside (especially the fuel tax one) but the benefits overall are strong. A way of easing the pain for people who have to be in the countryside (e.g. farmers) is tax rebates, but these would have to be carefully designed to prevent massive abuse. (It's proved a tricky balance to get right in other countries, FWIW, but I suspect it is still the fairest way.)

      I should note that living in a small and largely self-contained municipality of a few thousand is a perfectly acceptable response to the above policies; that's how a great many Europeans actually live, even though we have a lot of big cities too. I'd also like to point out that the US isn't the only place agonizing over these problems; I can remember them being a regular topic of debate here (the UK) at least as far back as my memories of such topics go (late '70s).
      --
      "Little does he know, but there is no 'I' in 'Idiot'!"
  2. This just in.... by Overzeetop · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Nothing occurs in a vacuum any more. Efficiency and economic viability of any product is tied to the current supply chain, and any change in the balance of this order of magnitude will be felt everywhere. I always thought it interesting when there were stories on biodeisel being made from recycled cooking oil nobody ever mentioned that there is a fairly limited supply of said oil when compared with the demand for automotive fuel. Sure, there's lots going to waste, but making the waste product a viable commodity in a quickly growing market is bound to create scarcity. All of a sudden, stuff that's free because it is waste now has an actual market value.

    Are we really so myopic that the lure of "free fuel" has completely distracted us from the fact that nothing on this planet is being produced in such quantity that changing the market for that product radically will not affect the marketplace?

    I guess the answer is, "yes."

    --
    Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
  3. Algae by tinrobot · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Growing fuel in the dirt is very hard on the planet. Not only does it suck up a lot of land (on top of what we already need to grow food) it also covers that land with one single crop that needs all sorts of nasty things such as pesticides and fertilizers.

    The best bet for biofuels is something that has less of an impact on the soil and the planet, such as algae based biofuels. Algae is grown in tanks, so the process requires less land, and any chemicals used in the process can be contained so it isn't spread over open land.

  4. People don't really care by nuggz · · Score: 4, Insightful

    People don't care enough to change less.

    The simple answer is to reduce energy usage, but people don't want to.
    Stop travelling, have new stuff, heat/cool their houses, import food etc.
    Myself I fully intend to visit a few more far off locations, I want a new couch and bigger TV, I want my house warm in the winter and cool in the summer and I want a broad selection of fresh fruits and vegetables year round.

    That's gonna use a lot of energy, even if I gave up my car to walk to a market. People don't want to change, and they won't yet.

    The latest trend I saw is directly blaming the "rich", which pretty much includes most of us with computers and the time to argue on slashdot. I don't see us making huge changes.

    1. Re:People don't really care by m0rph3us0 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Amen.

      No one gets that getting molecules to perform work for us is what makes us rich.

      I can't wait til environmentalists find out how many "poor" people will starve once they mandate "organic" farming.

      The cost of almost everything in a market-based economy is purely based in the energy consumption of its constituent parts.

      Hippies would sure be surprised to find out how long shelter took to build before the industrial revolution. That is why everyone lived in cramped quarters.

  5. Duh. by aussersterne · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This is one of those things that should be obvious but that's very difficult to explain to some less critical radical environmentalists.

    Energy demand = Growing rapidly without forseeable upper bound

    If you switch from fossil fuels to biofuels, all you do is change the problem set, from pollution and peak oil to deforestation and starvation. There is one solution and one solution only: energy efficiency and conservation. I suppose you could say there is a second, getting energy from outside the system (i.e. space) but that still leaves the problem of getting the energy back out of the system (i.e. pushing it cleanly and transparently back into space once used) so that we don't simply heat/pollute the globe beyond control.

    --
    STOP . AMERICA . NOW
  6. Indeed... by RyanFenton · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Indeed - there's another resource we need to care about here. Viable soil is a renewable resource - but like fresh water, it has its limits, and is geographically quite limited in terms of cheap availability. By forcing the land to both feed everyone, and fuel all their vehicles, we place a much lower maximum on the population that can be supported by that land. More than that, by potentially stretching the demands on the land too far, we risk that farmers and companies may deplete or despoil the soil they use for short term gain before they decide to leave the market, making it difficult for anyone else to economically recover that same area.

    That said, we could make better use of the oceans - but I trust our current free market much less there - the oceans have much more of a "tragedy of the commons" dynamic than elsewhere, with fragile ecosystems and high difficulty sectioning off properties. Algae on land-based ponds in otherwise nonviable landscapes would offer the most promise for producing biomass in a way that would not negatively affect prices for the poor. Algae can produce its own food, doesn't need to use much fresh water, can produce various kinds of oils, and could even be used as a part of foods if we are interested in exploring that. The only question is, will it be able to scale and pay for itself in terms of needing to control its environment to mass produce it? Given the history of livestock, I can't imagine algae can't be made efficient or be properly bred en mass.

    That's just my idea though - and I'm fairly uninformed about the whole field of energy crops. Why are we currently pursuing the whole turn-food-to-fuel path anyway, given how wide open the algae field is?

    Ryan Fenton

  7. Corn is massively subsidised by Colin+Smith · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The only reason it's so cheap is the corn lobby demanding big payouts from the government. It's not even particularly healthy, corn syrup isn't the best form of sugar for you. And it's a crap source for ethanol production too.

    --
    Deleted
  8. Re:Fairly simple economics by DragonWriter · · Score: 4, Informative

    It's the reason China banned ethanol production.


    China didn't ban ethanol production, indeed, China has a rather ambitious ethanol production agenda. China, however, has switch focus from grain produced ethanol to cellulosic ethanol, which is produced from cellulose from sources like switchgrass, rather than from grain crops that are human food staples.

  9. Non-food biofuel. by Jaywalk · · Score: 4, Interesting
    This isn't a new observation. If food is used to power vehicles, the increased demand is going to force up the price of food. On top of that, food products generally require arable land, which is in limited supply. In addition to making the morally indefensible decision to starve the poor to feed an energy habit, even committing all arable land to the project will still not answer the energy problem. To make biofuel in the amounts required means that you need to tap a source which can cheaply be grown in quantity without cutting into the food supply.

    Which might not be as hard as it sounds. The University of New Hampshire did a study in 2004 where they concluded that biodiesel from algae could -- at least theoritically -- supply all the nation's fuel supply without require food oil (like soy or palm) to be used at all. On the ethanol front, cellulosic ethanol can be produced from high-cellulose plant products, like sawgrass or wood chips, without cutting into the corn crop. Some of cellulosic plants are beginning to approach commercial volumes of production.

    It's not that biofuels are a bad idea, but not all implementations of those ideas are equally valid.

    --
    ===== Murphy's Law is recursive. =====
    1. Re:Non-food biofuel. by drinkypoo · · Score: 4, Informative

      Which might not be as hard as it sounds. The University of New Hampshire did a study in 2004 where they concluded that biodiesel from algae could -- at least theoritically -- supply all the nation's fuel supply without require food oil (like soy or palm) to be used at all.

      Yes, and the US Government concluded the same thing in 1998.

      US DOE's approach was to use algae grown in foot-deep "raceway" size pools built in ring shapes and agitated by paddlewheels. Local algae was found to be the best algae to use; just build ponds and the algae will come along and colonize them. Using specially selected algaes produced a single-digit percentage improvement in efficiency at best and actually worked less well than the local stuff in some cases.

      They found also that they could capture up to 80% of the CO2 output of a coal power plant and put it into algae growth. This approach is not carbon-neutral but at least the CO2 is used twice.

      Interestingly, the same algae can be used to create both biodiesel and ethanol, because the former is made from fats and the latter is made from carbohydrates - and algaes produce both in various ratios depending on species and environment. Remaining solids can be used (without processing) for fertilizer.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  10. Just throw corn right out the door by Mr.+Stinky · · Score: 4, Informative

    The argument against ethanol because of corn is going to be off the table in relatively short time. Cellulosic ethanol is coming commerically viable now and it will turn your green-waste trash into fuel. The US Department of Energy gets this and has formerly denounced corn as the future of ethanol. So when you use corn as a reason against ethanol, consider the other sources of it.
    Corn is not the future of U.S. ethanol: DOE
    http://www.reuters.com/article/scienceNews/idUSN28 30990020070328

    A cellulosic ethanol company who was recently awarded a $40M grant from the DOE in February:
    http://bluefireethanol.com/

    --
    Nothing is foolproof because fools are so ingenious.
  11. Diesel now has much less sulphur and particulates by SydShamino · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Diesel engines are pollutin' machines.

    Diesel engines are much cleaner now, if the proper technology is used to clean the exhaust. Unfortunately all that technology got clogged up by the sulphur in US diesel through last year, so none of it was used.

    US diesel switched to a low-sulphur blend at the start of the year, and all 2007 model year diesel cars require it. It exchange, they now have the particulate filters that make diesels run cleaner. This does little to clean up the millions of diesel cars and trucks built before 2007, unfortunately, but it shows that the problem hasn't been forgotton.

    Please don't attack diesel based on a complete lack of information and one anecdote. For more information, see the National Clean Diesel Campaign.

    --
    It doesn't hurt to be nice.
  12. There are things other than corn by dbIII · · Score: 4, Informative
    Despite the trollmonkey headline, there is more to biofuel than it just being used as an excuse to apply porkbarrel politics to corn farmers. Ethanol is also being made from cellulose in the USA (sorry podcast has gone - was on ABC Radio Science Show at http://www.abc.net.au/rn/scienceshow/) and there are other options such as methanol and methane gas from waste products as well as biodiesel from food processing waste. In sugar producing countries there is already co-generation by burning the leaves and stalks to produce steam and electricity so that is another thing to consider.

    Somebody will mention the word "clean" at some point - it is not a word that really makes sense in the context of burning stuff in air (nitrous oxides are produced), and the clown that always mentions nuclear whenever energy is mentioned should also remember that mining and processing is not "clean" either.

  13. The Solution to the Problem by Cervantes · · Score: 4, Informative

    The summary is right... biofuels made from food are causing deforestation and a rise in food prices. The solution is obvious. The USA needs to get it's head out of the sand and legalize THC-Removed Hemp for biofuel production. Hemp is more efficient, has more crops per year, can fill the roll of many other crops that are less efficient, and won't increase the price of foods that shouldn't be associated with fuel anyways (corn? Come on. Painful example of how rampant lobbying can overcome a products inefficiency).

    With legal, non-smokable Hemp, we could stop cutting down forests. We could cut back on the amount of cotton crops that have to be grown (and the corresponding amount of land that has to be rested because cotton crops sucked the life out of them). We could even use it for biofuel until we can get algae farms that are efficient. Hemp was made illegal because some big tycoon decided he wanted to protect his cash cow. It's time to get rid of that silliness, and start using our heads. Hemp is where it's at. Wake up, USA.

    And, in conjunction with Hemp, let's work on algae... a great way to make use of inhospitable land, and possibly the best/most-efficient biological source that we can turn into biofuel to replace our dependence on dead dinosaurs.

    --
    If I knew the wedgies I gave you back in 6th grade would have resulted in this . . . I might have taken a moments pause.
  14. BioFuel isn't a renewable by Philip+K+Dickhead · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Not at the levels projected/required!

    Corn is produced through an incredible usage of fossil fuels. From the fertilizers, through the mechanized Ag cycle. It's just awful! A petro-carbon boondoggle, for Monsanto and the usual Cheney back-room.

    Then there's the "let's burn food!" aspect.

    --
    "Speaking the Truth in times of universal deceit is a revolutionary act." -- George Orwell
  15. Re:Biofuels are simply not environmentally friendl by drinkypoo · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Biofuels are simply not environmentally friendly in any way, shape or form.

    I'm sorry, but what?

    If you want to be literal, then basically nothing we do is environmentally friendly. At least, nothing modern. In fact, the only environmentally friendly thing we could really do is to bury ourselves and become fertilizer.

    But a biofuel can be mostly environmentally friendly. There are problems with issues like nitric oxides, which are produced by burning many fuels - gasoline, diesel, biodiesel, and vegetable oil alike. But then, burning wood releases many things that we would prefer not to breathe, and it is a natural occurrence.

    One thing that you can say for biofuels is that they themselves are carbon-neutral. Other processes related to them may not be, of course. But if all of our energy was derived from biofuels, it would all be carbon-neutral.

    Arguably the best fuel to use for these various reasons would be hydrogen. It is not an energy source, but then, neither is biofuel, which is the liquid result of processing plants made mostly with solar energy. Hydrogen burns most cleanly (the outputs are water and heat) but of course the energy has to come from somewhere, and it has a laundry list of problems, probably the most serious of which is hydrogen embrittlement which destroys everything dealing with hydrogen eventually.

    An option I like a great deal for transmitting power is the use of compressed air. MDI's air car technology is quite environmentally friendly.

    But put quite simply, the biofuels are our best hope for reducing our environmental impact in the short term, and one article that says that one flawed method of producing biofuels is causing problems is quite simply not evidence that the entire concept is flawed.

    You make clever use of propaganda in your comment, but I notice that there is no actual content, no facts, no science. Please come back when you have some meat to place in your comment.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  16. Re:Well, we have to try our best? by drinkypoo · · Score: 4, Interesting

    For any problem, first solutions prove to be questionable. First, and many existing nuclear power plants are obviously very dangerous - just consider Chernobyl. Yet, now we can build very safe nuclear plants

    Chernobyl would probably still be running and providing power if they had not shut off all kinds of safety mechanisms at the same time like a bunch of fucking idiots.

    Yet, now we can build very safe nuclear plants that produce less radioactive waste than comparable coal plants.

    The saying more accurately says that we can build very safe nuclear plants that consume less fuel than coal plants spew into the atmosphere as a result of burning coal. Many people (correctly) point out that it is possible to scrub all of that from the air, but most coal-burning plants do not do this. Also it is not a matter of "now". We have known for decades how to build breeder reactors that will process the "spent" fuel back into usable fuel, and which are not capable of making weapons-grade material (the usual purpose for a breeder reactor.) This would reduce our fuel needs by something like three orders of magnitude and the fuel waste would be (IIRC) two orders of magnitude less long-lived. If you do the math you will see that if this does not actually solve the nuclear waste problem, it at least comes very close to it.

    We do not do this because of a flawed interpretation of a nuclear treaty. Bush (ObDisclaimer: I hate the guy, his family, and all for which they stand, which has nothing to do with America except the part about greed) has spoken in favor of the use of breeder reactors for processing nuclear fuel.

    In principal at least, plants get all their combustible content by capturing greenhouse gases from the air. If dry grass or agricultural byproducts can be burned, at least for home heating purposes, without much processing, we are reducing our output of CO2.

    Very true, but it is a horrible mistake to base anything you don't have to on topsoil. We are destroying soil at an alarming rate. Modern farming processes create monocultures in soil; all these people in the midwest who talk about how great their dirt is havefor the most part never seen real soil. Modern tilling techniques and the use of heavy equipment create hardpan under the soil, damaging drainage. The use of chemical fertilizers and pesticides kills off some of the biota in the soil (soil is sixty to eighty percent organic material, and up to 40% living material) but not others, creating monocultures which do little to protect plants and may even harm them. The result is a soil that does not drain properly, that requires the use of more and more chemicals, and which is additionally blown and washed away during winds and rains.

    But wait, there's more! Any kind of hard soil will run off water too quickly, contributing to floods. Any kind of soft, uncovered soil will be blown away - some of the soil lands back on your ground, some of it on your neighbor's ground, and some of it goes into the water once again. Both this source of soil in the water and simply washing it away with irrigation clogs streams and rivers, creating anaerobic conditions which kill both flora and fauna. This process continues all the way to the ocean, where ocean life near the land is often killed off by changes in salinity, lack of light due to suspended soil fines, and other issues.

    This last effect kills not only small, submerged plants and animals, but also plant life on the coast lines. The coast line in the Southern part of the US is especially damaged - a fact which has been blamed for much of the fury of the storm which tore New Orleans into small, floating pieces.

    Topsoil-based fuels are simply completely wrongheaded, a fact which Brazil will discover sooner or later...

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  17. Missing the point altogether by suitepotato · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Every time this subject comes up, people pipe up that we need to stop consuming, stop using power.

    Well, I don't intend to go back to living in a world of horse flop in the streets, coal in my stove, pumping water every day from a well a half mile away. Nor should I. Nor should anyone else.

    What is flabbergasting is that the same crowd that joneses for Star Trek all the time is so fast to posit that we need to live simply so that others may simply live. If there's anything Trek should have taught you is that life is not a zero sum game, mankind can design and reason its way out of situations it creates, and there are more than enough resources to go around and you just need to figure out what they are and how to use them.

    We are truly stupid if we turn backwards right when we figure out how to do high efficiency fusion, store energy as extra mass, and other off the wall things we've cooked up in sci-fi but haven't gotten around to figuring out in the basic physics departments. We will be condeming all future generations to poverty of not only economy, but morality and ethics, because with poverty of nations go all those things we so hate in our pasts: war, slavery, conquest, exploitation, disease, starvation. We have more than enough of those things left now. We have been fighting damn hard to change ourselves for a long time. To rise from that horrid muck.

    There's a difference between being more efficient and doing an about face in our march forward. And getting things done from building pyramids to cities needs energy of one kind or another. We can't simply stop using energy. We can make things use less and still use. We cannot stop using.

    Damn us all now if we reflexively retreat from advancement now like idiot children. Damn us to hell.

    --
    If my grammar and spelling are off, I am [distracted/tired/careless] (take your pick)
  18. You're pessimistic by about 3 orders of magnitude by Engineer-Poet · · Score: 5, Insightful

    US electric consumption is roughly 1/1000 of your figures. Net 2005 generation was 4038 billion kWh (not MWh).

    The insolation in mid-Kansas is about 1550 kWh/m^2/yr. At 15% efficiency, this would produce about 230 kWh/m^2/yr of electricity. Divide 4.038e12 kWh/yr by 230 kWh/m^2/yr and you get 1.76e10 m^2, or 17,600 km^2. Total impervious area in the USA (roofs, pavement, etc.) is 112610 km^2, so we'd need to put PV on about 16% of what's already covered. This can be done when we re-roof.

    True, covering the rest of our energy needs would take more, but that's no reason to curl up in a fetal position and suck your thumb.

  19. Still Missing the Point by evought · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The argument for conservation is not that we turn the clock back--- people in the past weren't terribly friendly to the environment either--- that's a strawman. The argument is that we make an honest attempt to balance our books. We are profligate spenders and mindless consumers. We argue about biofuels and watch *NASCAR* for cripes sake. We ship oranges from Florida for processing in California and back for sale in Florida (yes, really). We ship Wisconsin cheese to New York and New York cheese to Wisconsin. We ship potatoes *to* Idaho! We commute hours a day to/from work to live in huge cookie cutter developments that waste heat/cooling/electricity while letting the urban centers decay. We grow corn on marginal land to feed animals in feedlots that are designed by evolution to graze for themselves--- then we use antibiotics to treat all the diseases they pick up in the feedlots and chemicals to treat the fact that they can't digest corn. We waste non-renewable petroleum on disposable plastic packaging and risk running out of it for pharmaceuticals. We don't need to haul water 1/2 mile from the well (though I've done it), we just need to stop being *idiots*.

    If we actually stopped and thought about what we were doing a small fraction of the time and budgeted what we had, we might have a chance of getting to that future you talk about. Otherwise, all that will happen is that new technology will beget *more waste*. How far has the space program gotten in the last half century? People flush the economy and ecology down the toilet and complain about research being a waste of money, so landfills fill up and space exploration languishes.