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Vista's 40 Million License Sales In Context

Overly Critical Guy writes "Microsoft's figure of 40 million Vista OEM licenses sold has less impact when weighed against the expanded size of the PC market, according to IDC numbers. The myriad of factors involved in determining success in the market makes Microsoft's constant comparisons to Windows XP less reliable as a growth indicator — particularly with Microsoft refusing to reveal the number of actual activated Vista licenses. 'HP reported year-over-year PC sales growth of about 24 percent, or about twice worldwide PC sales growth. Whatever HP is doing right, it's more than just Vista ... If Microsoft wasn't so hung up on XP comparisons as the benchmark, it could really demonstrate that Vista sales are increasing. The first 20 million figure really represented four months of sales, and that could have been positive data because Microsoft protected its customers' holiday investments. For free! Instead of making that point, Microsoft got carried away with making comparisons back to XP.'"

29 of 225 comments (clear)

  1. Did the world end ? by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I have one thing to say for microsoft selling 40 million vista licences in a week :

    Well done

    Because it is well done. I'm sure they're not playing entirely fair, but still, it's their success, they built it, they earned the reward for it. And it does look nice. Let them have their reward.

    I'm a linux man myself. I doubt that will ever change. But I feel no need whatsoever to destroy microsoft.

    1. Re:Did the world end ? by loconet · · Score: 5, Insightful

      "I feel no need whatsoever to destroy microsoft."

      As a Linux user, who also makes a living out of using Linux as a tool every day, I don't find myself sharing the same feeling. When Microsoft threatens not only my work, my income, but also my way of life, I can't help to see the need to see Microsoft completely destroyed. It's a funny thing, this "evolved" survival instinct. It is hard to ignore.

      --
      [alk]
    2. Re:Did the world end ? by nine-times · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I don't feel that Microsoft needs to be destroyed, either. It'd be nice if they started doing some useful work, though. Or at least quit sabotaging other people's work.

    3. Re:Did the world end ? by WhiplashII · · Score: 2, Insightful

      As a human, we are finally able to force our surroundings to adapt to us, rather than us adapting to our surroundings. As nature gave us this, it is natural - and shows a marvelous work of evolution (or god, if you want).

      So seeking to destroy Microsoft when it is being annoying is completely natural, and in line with the actions of a highly evolved being.

      Makes me worry about you, frankly...

      --
      while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
    4. Re:Did the world end ? by MazzThePianoman · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Not to mention DOS, the foundation of a lot of what MS is today was bought from somebody else for only $50k. Smart business but without social and moral responsibility it is really something to cheer about?

      --
      "They who can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety deserve neither liberty nor safety" Franklin
    5. Re:Did the world end ? by nschubach · · Score: 2, Insightful

      keep in mind that my school payed for those licenses
      You do realize it was you that paid for that license, don't you? They probably increased everyone's tuition and included that to try to sell the school as "giving students the tools". On that note, your school most likely also signed a deal with Microsoft (like a certain former school I went to) that stated something like: "If you want this discounted software, you have to remove Macromedia ___ from all PCs on campus."
      --
      Every time I start to have faith in humanity, I ruin it by driving to work between 7 and 8 am.
    6. Re:Did the world end ? by Reliant-1864 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I bought a pre-installed Vista machine and replaced it with XP. Being a monopoly on the PC, sales are bound to go up for Vista simple because people are buying PCs, and Vista is coming with it. That their Vista sales are lower than PC sales, in addition to counting the sales, shows just how many PCs are shipping without Vista, the supposed default. When Microsoft has a 94% market, why are their Vista sales only accounting for half of the PCs?

      If you want to see numbers on popularity, try and get the numbers on people buying boxed Vista, and compare it to people who bought boxed XP. I seem to remember boxed XP flying off the shelves for people wanting to upgrade, but who's buying boxed Vista? Microsoft won't release those numbers because it will show how much of a flop Vista has been, and its only because of their monopoly that it's getting sold at all. Vista is a huge example on the amount of damage Microsoft is inflicting on the industry by having a stranglehold on the OS that ships. They're forcing people to pay for an inferior product on purchasing a PC, then charging them for XP when they want to replace it

      --
      The universe is held together with duct tape and karma. What goes around, comes around, and gets stuck to your forehead.
    7. Re:Did the world end ? by Bamafan77 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It wasn't well done, or earned. It was blackmail pure and simple. Look, in the course of contract negotiations, all of the major PC vendors want the best possible price for an OS license. In order to get that best price, Microsoft has, in the past, forced the vendor to purchase a license for every machine sold, regardless of the OS to be installed.
      I never quite understood this bit of criticism about Microsoft. Blackmail is when you threaten to tell someone's spouse that he/she cheated on them unless they give you a million dollars. MS signed a contract saying that they'd offer discounts IF they didn't sell competing products. There is nothing evil about this. If you don't like the terms, walk. If you can't survive without the price breaks, why is that MS's problem?

      And why are we feeling sorry for people like Michael Dell, again? Lest we forget, this man became a multi billionaire largely due to the "blackmail" contracts he signed with Microsoft. Gateway also made billions in sales from MS contracts.

    8. Re:Did the world end ? by dpilot · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You missed his point. He feels his current livelihood is threatened by Microsoft and his practices. Wishing to see Microsoft destroyed is an interpretation of protecting himself.

      Next you say, He should be able to adapt the the changes Microsoft causes.

      The simple reply is that it's like moving from a tropical paradise to a desert. Microsoft has impoverished the software landscape. Sure, in a Microsft world there are others, but they turn out to be minor players heavily rooted in a Microsoft sofware ecosystem. The diversity is gone, the lushness is gone, except from the Redmond campus.

      One could just as well as why can't Microsoft adapt to free software, instead of resorting to FUD, patent threats, etc.

      --
      The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
    9. Re:Did the world end ? by nanosquid · · Score: 2, Insightful

      And why are we feeling sorry for people like Michael Dell, again? Lest we forget, this man became a multi billionaire largely due to the "blackmail" contracts he signed with Microsoft.

      Dell is rich because they are selling good products in a competitive market. Gates is rich because he managed to establish an illegal monopoly and continues monopolistic practices.

      And this isn't about "feeling sorry" for Dell, it's about the fact that he is trying to offer alternative products that people want to buy, and Microsoft is trying to prevent him from doing that. The people we feel sorry for are the end users who don't get to make a choice based on quality and technology.

      MS signed a contract saying that they'd offer discounts IF they didn't sell competing products. There is nothing evil about this.

      If you have 90% of the market, that kind of behavior is pretty much the definition of "evil" in a free market system.

    10. Re:Did the world end ? by Mdentari · · Score: 1, Insightful

      I don't think maturity is even a question here. Microsoft has demonstrated practices as a corporation that morally I can't justify. Maybe you have no morals, some or morals or whatever and this is just Microsoft doing business it's way, but as a "community" I can't stand back and say congratulations even on my most generous days. "Morality.. filters both ways."

      --
      Morality, filters both ways.
    11. Re:Did the world end ? by lawpoop · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Because the contract was negotiated by a monopoly. You don't have a choice when you're dealing with a monopoly. It's not a free market scenario, because there is no competition.

      In a free market, you can say, "I don't like the terms your offering me; change them or I will go with the other guy." In a monopolized market, you either get it *at their price* or you don't. There is no negotiation or exchange. It's a dictation of the terms. In our market, MS is the sole provider of a usable Windows API.

      --
      Computers are useless. They can only give you answers.
      -- Pablo Picasso
    12. Re:Did the world end ? by lawpoop · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The above information was reportedlyobtained directly from an ex-employee of an OEM that was involved in the contract negotiations with Microsoft.

      Fixed that for you.
      --
      Computers are useless. They can only give you answers.
      -- Pablo Picasso
    13. Re:Did the world end ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      > There is nothing evil about this.

      Actually there is which is why anti-trust legislation was created and MS has wound up in courts and been found guilty.

      > why are we feeling sorry for people like Michael Dell,

      No, we are not. We are feeling sorry for all the businesses that are ground into extinction by illegal practices that prevent them getting any business. And also for the customers who can't get better products, or who have to pay for products they don't want.

  2. 7 articles on Vista sales by suv4x4 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If my memory serves right, this is the 7-th article talking about Vista sales alone. Not Vista bugs, not Vista speed, not Vista features, just Vista's initial sales.

    I think I speak for the majority of Slashdot's readers, that we don't fucking care about Vista's sales that much.

    They mean nothing and the actual trend will be known in 8-9 months from now (you can be sure Vista will see decent adoption either way, because if it doesn't Microsoft will be forced to address the worst problems in a SP).

    So please stop wasting our time with this. We can live on without reading yet again about Vista's sales, in context, or out of it.

  3. Why is this here? by gr8_phk · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Not many on slashdot care a whole lot about Vista sales.
    Even fewer care what MS marketing says about Vista sales.
    Nobody cares what someone else says about what MS says about Vista sales.

    1. Re:Why is this here? by linguae · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Not many on slashdot care a whole lot about Vista sales.

      I disagree. Since most of us are either students in computing fields, or work in some aspect of the computer industry, we are all affected by how well (or poorly) Microsoft sells Vista. If Vista sells well, we'll all have to use it, eventually, whether we like it or not. Microsoft still has that power. However, if Vista does not sell well, then a good number of us won't have to worry about touching it.

      So, yes, the sales of Vista do impact Slashdotters.

    2. Re:Why is this here? by Red+Flayer · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Not many on slashdot care a whole lot about Vista sales.
      That's funny, why then were there som many comments to the last Vista sales article?

      Even fewer care what MS marketing says about Vista sales.
      Agreed... except, of course, that what they say about their sales affects what other people think about their sales. Such as, for instance, the people signing the POs for new systems this year. Plenty of management types will isten to this, and assume that since Vista is selling so well, it must be a good thing (tm) and therefore will be implemented at their companies.

      Nobody cares what someone else says about what MS says about Vista sales.
      If that were so, no one would respond to comments to Vista sales articles.

      Anyway, if you don't like these articles, why don't you:

      1. Give 'em the old thumbs-down at the Firehose
      2. Not bother reading them
      3. Not bother commenting -- if it's the wste of your time that's got you so worked up, why voluntarily waste it so?
      --
      "Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
  4. Are they counting my non-license? by parvenu74 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Does that 40,000,000 figure count the license that was bundled with my Dell laptop? I bought my lapper in March and at the time Dell's website didn't have the option to have it pre-loaded with XP. The FIRST thing I did was wipe the hard drive and load XP, and I suspect thousands, if not millions of people have done that to the machines they've bought. Moreover, even if I wanted on my machine I would get an OEM copy of Vista Ultimate, in which case MS gets to show that they've sold two licenses to me. How many of the rest of you are in this boat?

    MS is doing what they do best: marketing, marketing, marketing and not letting quality control or the facts get in the way.

    1. Re:Are they counting my non-license? by parvenu74 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I thought about doing the same thing when I bought a new laptop a few months ago, but then I realized Vista is actually a good operating system and there's no sense in taking a step back to XP. The security warnings get annoying quick, but a few minutes of searching on the Web took care of that. With Aero disabled, Vista looks almost identical to XP. And I'm certain few people have reformatted to XP given that they just paid for a copy of Vista. You're not developing software for Windows XP platforms and targeting shops that have already stated they won't even think about adopting Vista until SP2. Windows 2000 Pro still has over 2 1/2 years of support left. Windows XP Pro is good until 2012. Why the hell switch operating system right now just because there's something newer available -- especially when the newer O/S is so well documented to not work with lots of mission critical software?
  5. Because it's a public company by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Why the media takes Microsoft's word as reliable in any way shape or form?

    Microsoft is a public company, meaning that its shares are traded by members of the public and therefore is regulated by the United States Securities and Exchange Commission.

    Therefore, Microsoft has an incentive to tell the truth about things like revenue, which would affect its stock price. If it knowingly lied, people would go to jail.
  6. How many were Free Upgrades (TM)? by jsewell · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If you remember, between the time Vista was released to enterprises in the Fall of 06 and release to the public in early 07, most computer vendors offered "Free Upgrades to Vista" if you bought a PC with XP. I'd like to know how many of these "40 million licenses" were paid for and how many were free. Was MS charging a higher price for OEM XP if it came with a free upgrade to OEM Vista? Or were you getting two OS licenses for the price of one?

  7. Can I ask you a question? by Overly+Critical+Guy · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I think I speak for the majority of Slashdot's readers, that we don't fucking care about Vista's sales that much. [...] So please stop wasting our time with this. We can live on without reading yet again about Vista's sales, in context, or out of it.


    Then can I ask you something? Why did you click the Read More link on the front page, read the summary, click Reply, and type out an entire post if you don't fucking care? I have a much more effective solution to your problem--use the scrollbar on the right side of the window to move right past the article you don't like.

    You're welcome!
    --
    "Sufferin' succotash."
  8. Re:Nice sample size! by Gablar · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I agree the sample size is ridiculous,I didn't mean to imply that the 40 million copy sold is not a valid number. It's just that I find it highly unlikely that mine was the only school in the world to receive a deal similar to mine . What I really meant to say was that although they have sold 40 million copies it doesn't mean they have 40 million users, which is the benchmark they are really after if they want widespread adoption. The example was bad.

    --
    It's all about finding better ways
  9. The PC world still turns... by mollog · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Microsoft selling software is like Exxon selling gasoline. Except that Exxon has better sense than to brag about their monopoly.

    But this is a case of "...methinks the lady doth protest too much..."; Microsoft is worrying about losing their monopoly to free software (linux, especially linux servers) and better software (Apple's OS). The louder they talk about market share, but more suspicious it looks.

    To me, there are some other pretty important developments that have been going on, such as yesterday's report here on Slashdot about the NYSE replacing IBM mainframes with IBM AIX and with Linux.

    I don't know how many people were around when Microsoft successfully spiked the Unix market with their FUD about workstation NT running on RISC processors. At the time, the Unix server and workstation companies were talking about converging their various flavors of Unix. This would have allowed more and better cross-platform compatibility of distributed application software. Microsoft countered with a campaign to run Windows NT on RISC processors as an alternative. DEC, HP and others squandered resources on this effort and the Unix market withered. Microsoft's campaign even had consulting businesses like Gartner Group predicting that NT would replace both Unix and the mainframe in a few years time. HP even went so far as to try to munge its PA RISC processor with the Intel x86 processor (Itanium) with the goal of running both x86 and Unix code on one platform. Intel never delivered on the early promises of that project, but they got HP's processor technology for their troubles.

    Looking back, you have to hand it to Microsoft for the brilliant way they marginalized Unix. Problem is, they never did supply a replacement server platform except for some lousy versions of NT on Intel processors (And into that void slips Linux.)

    I'm guessing that Windows XP represents the peak of Microsoft's work. Vista was years late, and the future of processors; cell, multi-core, distributed computing, internet-based applications, cell phone computers - will be beyond Microsoft's narrow, one-user/one-cpu, world view. Office productivity software has matured, gaming programming is moving onto GPUs and Microsoft's operating system is becoming less and less relevant.

    --
    Best regards.
    1. Re:The PC world still turns... by dn15 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Because after all, Windows Vista only uses one core if your processor has more than one. Any other cores are secretly used by the OS to generate pure evil.
      As was the case with XP Home, Vista Home will only use one processor. It will take advantage of multiple cores on that processor, but ignores any more than one physical processor. That seems pretty silly to me since tons of free Linux and *BSD distributions will let you use multiple processors, and in the Mac world the same copy of the OS happily uses all your hardware whether it's a multi-processor, 8-core Mac Pro or an original Core Solo Mac Mini. This arguably doesn't matter to the average consumer but I don't like the idea of putting an artificial restriction on an OS so you can milk more money out of people who have better hardware.
  10. Re:Only Free Software is Inevitable by Reality+Master+101 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Vista is so disappointing that even the fanboys are ignoring it and sane people are forbiding it in their work places.

    Where is this mass disappointment? It doesn't exist in the normal world. Sure, there's a lot of wishful thinking, but there's not exactly huge lines outside Best Buy returning Vista. Like I said, we had EXACTLY the same stories last time. "XP is getting slow adoption", "Everybody hates XP's new crayola user interface", "Even new computer manufacturers are offering Win/2000 or ME instead of XP", blah, blah, blah. I dare you -- look at some of the old stories on Slashdot and you'll read comments just like yours.

    Only free software has long term credibility.

    Software is software. No one in the mainstream cares what methodology was used to develop it, they only care how useful it is and what applications are available, and whether it's compatible with the software they already have.

    Vista is a flop and will soon be replaced by something else, just like ME was replaced by W2K and W2K was replaced by XP.

    Microsoft would take a "flop" like Vista every day of the week.

    --
    Sometimes it's best to just let stupid people be stupid.
  11. Re:I "bought" vista but I don't use it by SEMW · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Now I understand that with a few more hours research I could've probably found workarounds Or you could just, you know, switch it off. 10 seconds at most.

    I don't believe these pop-ups really add security as they give you no meaningful option other than to say "OK." ...No options other than OK -- apart from 'Cancel', you mean? I'm not sure what other choices there could be, either you elevate the process or you don't...?
    --
    What's purple and commutes? An Abelian grape.
  12. Re:Logical Fallacy by bogjobber · · Score: 2, Insightful

    What planet are you from? Yes, they can say misleading things about security and interoperability, because those things are subjective. That's what marketing does, they try to make everything look as shiny as possible. But they can't lie about something that is easily and accurately measured such as sales figures. If they did that they would face some very heavy penalties, not only from the government but more importantly from the shareholders.