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DRAM Makers Suffer Due to Lackluster Vista Adoption

quixote9 writes "We've heard conflicting estimates of how widely adopted Vista has been. Now comes some hard data. DRAM makers ramped up to meet the huge expected demand for more memory needed by Vista. Except the demand hasn't materialized. Now they're suffering. Alternatively, maybe everyone's cleverly hacked their Ultimate Aero Glass Vista to fit on their old PCs."

35 of 395 comments (clear)

  1. Or maybe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    people are using Vista without Aero Glass?

    It /is/ possible my friends.

    1. Re:Or maybe by jcr · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I would assume that you have never worked in a large corp. environment...

      I have worked in very large corporate environments, and I concur with his statement. MS has a whole lot of inertia, but so did IBM.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    2. Re:Or maybe by Grishnakh · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Most of microsoft's money comes from corporate license agreement for Server level OS's, Exchange type stuff and the legions and legions of other business productivity software.

      Huh? I thought most of Microsoft's money came from Windows and Office. With Windows, I thought most of that money came from license sales on desktop platforms, both for consumers and businesses. With consumers, most probably comes from OEM sales (Dell, etc.), and with businesses, most probably comes from site licenses.

      MS is well-known to have a monopoly on desktop OSes, not server OSes. It would stand to reason that they make the most money, then, in desktop OS sales.

      (On a side note, am I the only one blown away by the fact that Apple can get a way with saying that the iPhone is a revolutionary devise? The thing costs nearly as much as a laptop and the only "unique" function that I can see is the digital rotary dialing system....).

      We'll see. After all, the original iPod wasn't received with much enthusiasm here on Slashdot, and look at where it is now.

      Personally, I don't think it's going to be that much of a success (at least here in the USA), for the same reason mobile telephones in general aren't much of a success here (what I mean here is yes, everyone has one, but people don't bother with the premium features that much; they just get the cheapest phone available, myself included). The reason here is the locked-in nature of the cellular providers; you usually can't use your phone with different providers, the phone is locked in so you can't use all the built-in features, you have to purchase everything (ringtones, MP3s, etc.) from your provider at astronomical rates, etc. Because of this, Motorola actually is taking a big hit in their business, as is my company which is a supplier to them. Sure, the cellular providers are all doing fine, because people want/need cell phones, but anyone trying to make money on cellular technology (i.e. more powerful embedded processors, flash memory, etc. needed for premium features) is having a hard time since everyone is just getting the cheapest, most basic phone they can.

    3. Re:Or maybe by jcr · · Score: 2, Insightful

      IBM still has a whole lot of inertia

      Sure they do, but buying a 3090 to run your billing and payroll apps is no longer the default choice.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    4. Re:Or maybe by daeg · · Score: 3, Insightful

      XP SP0 ran fine with the computers at the time. In fact, XP Pro runs perfectly fine with 512 MB of RAM and Outlook + OpenOffice + Firefox (with things like browser.sessionhistory.max_total_viewers set to be very memory conservative). The problem comes in with drivers and other packages that users feel the need to install: overambitious virus protection, spyware detection, image editors, etc -- most of which have features the traditional home or office user don't use or don't need.

      HP drivers, for instance, are notoriously gigantic to the point that at least a few people refuse to buy HP printers -- on the order of several hundred MB just to print. The standalone drivers are often incomplete. The HP package insists on installing an auto-updater, too, because if anything needs a 12MB resident program to check for updates, it's your printer.

    5. Re:Or maybe by BlueStraggler · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Crikey, it's just unix. Can you imagine saying that it's not possible to do real POS or finance on unix? You'd be laughed at. That stuff was being done on unix before Windows had any presence in the business world. The first unix system I ever saw was a Xenix POS system. Our good friend SCO specialized in POS systems.

      Maybe you can't find any commodity small-business applications in these areas for unix platforms, but don't pretend that your bargain-brand applications are "real" and the unix ones are non-existent. If you want a real POS system that runs on the unix of your choice, I know of two, and it's not even my field. You can expect to pay 5-6 figures, though. If that's not real enough for you, just phone up IBM tell them you want to pay 7 figures for some Websphere monstrosity. They'll fix you up with something so real your eyes will bleed.

    6. Re:Or maybe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Is it possible that OEM's aren't equipping PC to the hilt? Consumers look at the cheapest price for a machine; hence most OEM's are going to equip the systems with the bare minimum. They don't want to loose a sale to their competitors for a cheaper machine. Is it Vista? Or is it the OEM's?

      This wouldn't be a good measure of Vistas success in the market place. Personally, I don't believe that Vista is breaking all that many sales records.

    7. Re:Or maybe by Nullav · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Besides, in 18 months computer power and vista resource requirements will be a bit more in sync and we'll slowly begin filing off XP on to Vista.

      Show me a person who builds a new computer every 18 months just because it's cheaper to do so than the year before.
      --
      I just read Slashdot for the articles.
    8. Re:Or maybe by sootman · · Score: 3, Insightful

      GOOD! Serves those price fixing bastards right.

      I cried almost as much when I heard that lackluster SUV adoption was cutting into oil company profits.

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      Dear Slashdot: next time you want to mess with the site, add a rich-text editor for comments.
    9. Re:Or maybe by ozmanjusri · · Score: 2, Insightful
      While I don't believe that Microsoft is infallible, they are in a much better position with desktop lock-in then IBM ever was.

      I'm not so sure. Microsoft's aggression and refusal to interoperate has forced their only real competition (FOSS) to build an entire software stack - Operating systems, office suites, drawing packages etc etc - separate from the MS software ecosystem. For the moment, much of that software is not being used by the larger community, but it is still being actively developed, and has more momentum than most Microsoft equivalents - compare a 2000 vintage Linux distro with any recent version and look at how much has improved, then compare Windows 2000 with Vista, for example.

      There's a threshold effect in place here because Microsoft's stranglehold relies mostly on executable lockin and format lockin. If Wine becomes good enough to run most Windows software, and/or if ODF or an equivalent get enough of a foothold, Microsoft will be in a lot of trouble.

      Let's face it, the pillars of their business are Office and Windows. Neither has significantly improved in the better part of a decade.

      --
      "I've got more toys than Teruhisa Kitahara."
    10. Re:Or maybe by RadioSilence · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Honestly, I think if you are selling them on dual booting, you may have won the battle but lost the war. They may do it for a week or two, but will quickly come to see it as a major hassle, eventually returning to Windows full time, with Linux being a memory of "that thing that couldn't run any of my software."

  2. Lower prices? by PixelSlut · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If the RAM manufacturers are building up stocks of RAM that nobody is buying then maybe they'll start pushing the prices down further to make it more attractive. Then those of us who are using Linux benefit again from Vista's lack of adoption. :)

  3. Maybe by HalAtWork · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Maybe the people care more about doing work than how they look doing it? Eye candy is nice, but it's not necessary. It's not going to make or break a purchase in the way that productivity enhancements would, and even then, people make do with what they have. The more versions that get released of whatever software, the less incentive to upgrade as it gets closer to "it works", and less people will care about improving the software the further along it gets. Throw money in and then people have even more reservations!

    1. Re:Maybe by brkello · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Oddly enough...you could almost write the same thing in an Apple thread and get modded flamebait :)

      --
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  4. It will come, don't worry. by mlts · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I'm not saying this is good or bad, but DRAM sales may lag now, but eventually people will be moving to Vista when it becomes the sole option on new machines.

    RAM getting cheaper is always a good thing, mainly because on 95% of most people's machines, the biggest performance bottleneck is RAM (or lack of) forcing apps to swap.

    1. Re:It will come, don't worry. by BosstonesOwn · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's windows , even with 8 gigs of ram , it still swaps.

      Never quite understood that one though.

      --
      This package Does Not Contain a Winner
    2. Re:It will come, don't worry. by Tom · · Score: 2, Insightful

      eventually people will be moving to Vista when it becomes the sole option on new machines. Or the pain has become so much that they look for alternatives.

      When XP was introduced, there really weren't any. Apple wasn't, and Linux on the desktop was a joke. Today, Linux is still way behind, but it's reached the "useable by non-geeks" area. And OSX is clearly superior to Vista, both in technology and (especially) user experience.

      Sure, lots of people will buy new machines with Vista. But monopoly-lockin requires a strong monopoly, and MS is losing that. As soon as Word is not a safe format to send to random people anymore because the chances that they can't open it is considerable, regular people will wonder about alternatives and question the "there's no computing outside the MS world" paradigm they've been force-fed.

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
  5. I'm sure people haven't stopped buying computers by Luft08091950 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    And almost every new computer comes with Vista. I bought a new laptop and it came with Vista and only 512Mb of RAM. Man was it slow. I suppose I could have gone out and put a couple of Gig into it but I just wiped it and install Ubuntu. It's real peppy now!

  6. Re:type in the article by nschubach · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Maybe they were pointing out how a typo could confuse the users while trying to make a joke about DRM? ;)

    --
    Every time I start to have faith in humanity, I ruin it by driving to work between 7 and 8 am.
  7. Re:Should an OS require 1GB minimum? by moderatorrater · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Not only is firefox a hog (as mentioned above), but caching will cause higher reported ram usage than is actually required/used.

  8. Re:Soooo.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    "You idiots spent years screeching about how Vista was going to require jilliobytes of RAM so everyone was going was going to switch to Ubuntu."

    Its hard for me to recall because Vista has been soo long in the making.. but I think thats back when they were touting WinFS and 1001 other features that never made it into Vista. I don't remember anyone saying there would be a mass migration to Ubuntu or Linux, but that it would be cost effective hardware resource wise due to these hardware requirements that Vista had been targeting.

    "Then you spent March and April crowing about how only eleven copies of Vista were sold."
    You clearly missed the issue. MS was touting that it had sold X million of licenses but licences are not copies, and didn't clarify what amount of that was pre-installed OEM that hadn't actually been put in front of a user yet.. get a clue.

    "Then it turned out that a ton of Vistas had been sold, at which point things returned to the usual "convicted monopolist" whining."

    This has yet to be clarified and even if it is true I believe its hardly relevant of the stability of the company. Their cash-cow after all is their office-suite and collaborative business products.

    I'm not going to go any further because you're obviously either some Microsoft Fan-boy or some jackass that only keeps his head half-way out the window of reality.

  9. Does that mean by shoptroll · · Score: 2, Insightful

    So does that mean prices will drop soon to compensate for an oversupply? I don't think anyone would complain...

    --
    Insert Sig Here
  10. Re:Half of expected value. by DogDude · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I've said it before and I'll say it again - Vista is not selling.

    It's selling 95% as fast as new PC's are. In the PC world, people tend to just use the OS until it's time to scrap the machine. Apple people upgrade OS's every year or so because they have money to burn and Linux people upgrade seeming daily... actually, I don't know why. Vista is being sold on 95% of all new PC's like always. Vista will be just as successful as Windows XP has been.

    But are people running out to buy the new OS for no particular reason? No. Why would they?

    --
    I don't respond to AC's.
  11. Or... by Cervantes · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Or, maybe all those fuckwads who were screaming about "Vista requires 4GB of RAM to even run Solitare!!1!" were actually full of shit, and people didn't have to run out and load up?
    Nah, that'd be pro-M$ bullshit. I must be a plant, paid by Bill himself to spread these lies!
    The obvious reason for lackluster profits must have nothing to do with the market, overproduction, resources, or anything else. It's all Vistas fault.

    --
    If I knew the wedgies I gave you back in 6th grade would have resulted in this . . . I might have taken a moments pause.
  12. Re:Great theory. by DeadChobi · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Linux is easy to set up. I pop in the Ubuntu CD, it boots, I double-click on the setup button, and if I accept the defaults it goes on to install everything. Hell, with the vast majority of systems all your hardware works out of the box which is more than I can say about Windows.

    Thank you for your lack of insight into our tribe. Otherwise, you're pretty right about Windows.

    --
    SRSLY.
  13. Re:Par for the course by SparkEE · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'm not the type to defend windows, but.....

    I don't think it's fair to look at the RAM utilization of an idling box and declare that using x% is bad. What would be the point of the OS not using the RAM that's sitting there? If I were writing an OS and knew I had RAM to spare and was idle, perhaps I'd be pre-loading the most used applications into RAM for faster startup. I think a good OS would almost always be using the RAM available in some way. It saves nothing to let it sit there.

    OTOH, I have no idea if windows RAM utilization is due to the OS being smart of dumb. I simply don't like to see the idea of idle RAM usage propagate as a valid metric of an OS.

  14. Re:Great theory. by shmlco · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "Casual Windows users will use any operating system that is loaded on their machine."

    And if they upgrade, will try to scrimp by on the existing amount of memory. Most people don't know that they'd probably get a dramtic performance increase for the price of a single stick of RAM.

    --
    Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
  15. It's the economy , stupid by westlake · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Gas prices are up. Health care costs are up. Home sales are down. Discretionary spending is under pressure from all sides.

    I wouldn't have expected to see a lot of interest in warmed-over XP systems. If you want the tech in Vista you probably also want the hybrid hard drive, DX10 video, integrated ReadyBoost flash, etc., that is still high-end.

    1. Re:It's the economy , stupid by Sumadartson · · Score: 2, Insightful

      In the USA, yes. In Europe/Asia, the economy is on the uptake.

  16. Re:Par for the course by donnacha · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ... It just hasn't been the same. All I can tell her at this point is to get another GB of RAM as I'm now 1,000 miles away. Not that I would be particularly keen on troubleshooting Windows crap even if I were there, but that is something else...

    Honestly, I this is why I now recommend Macs to anyone who won't actually enjoy solving the interesting problems Windows throws up, on their own, without endless hours of unpaid tech support from me. I finally sat down, totted up the shocking amount of time I was wasting on other people Microsoft problem and decided that if people aren't willing to spend a few extra bucks for a higher quality machine with better integrated software and a decent service plan, I certainly wasn't going to suffer the consequences.

  17. Re:Par for the course by Chris+Burke · · Score: 3, Insightful

    OTOH, I have no idea if windows RAM utilization is due to the OS being smart of dumb. I simply don't like to see the idea of idle RAM usage propagate as a valid metric of an OS.

    I know that part of the "problem" is Vista using large swaths of RAM as a file cache, meaning that just like with Unix people see all that RAM being used and think it's the system but it's just a cache that will be dropped on the floor as soon as an application needs that memory.

    The part that bothers me is that this "problem" only started showing up with Vista. Maybe they just changed how the counted 'free' RAM. Or maybe, and this is the worrying part, Vista is the first Microsoft OS with built-in file caching?! I had just assumed that XP had this feature. I mean, I may knock Microsoft, but I also granted NT and progeny "modern OS" status and figured file caching was part of the package.

    --

    The enemies of Democracy are
  18. Could it be many people have moved to 1gig already by Targon · · Score: 2, Insightful

    1 gig of RAM is similar under Vista to what 512 megs did under XP. As a result, since most new computers had been getting 1 gig of RAM prior to Vista's release, Vista itself would not be a reason to boost the amount of system memory in new computers.

    So, since most people were already at 1 gig on reasonably modern machines, and older machines just didn't have the CPU and GPU power to run Vista well, there hasn't been a real NEED to upgrade. Many of us moved to 2 gigs of memory over a year ago, not for Vista, but for games and other applications.

  19. An OS should require next to nothing by jd · · Score: 2, Insightful
    An OS should provide the key services that require kernel privs, scheduling, hardware abstraction via drivers, filesystem support and resource allocation/protection. That is all the OS needs to do.

    (Though that is not strictly true. You can divide these up into independent components that could run in parallel on today's processors. On a cluster, you could also drop components that aren't needed on a specific node.)

    On a normal system, I see no reason why the OS kernel should take more than a megabyte or two. In a distributed system, you might be able to get away with half that on a minimal node, although the average would probably be in the 1-2 megs region. Anything beyond that would probably function at least as well in userspace.

    With the increasing popularity of kernel bypass mechanisms for everything from graphics to networking to disk access, the number of kernel-based drivers needed on a high-performance system is probably much lower than for a cheap, low-end machine. Thus, the kernel size would be reduced accordingly. I'd say you'd be able to cut a quarter of the kernel (code and data) out with sufficient kernel bypassing. On a normal system, then, you'd be looking at 0.75 - 1.5 megs for the kernel. Of course, by doing kernel bypassing, you're implicitly doing some level of offloading, which trims the values down even further.

    The next major eaters-of-RAM would be the system libraries (eg: glibc), standard environments (eg: X11) and standard toolkits (eg: OpenGL). Hardware implementations of OpenGL are almost standard, and physical X11 terminals provided hardware implementations of the X11 client-side, which means that most of that is (or could be) built onto the graphics card. Not sure what you could do about glibc, but I'd have thought there'd be a way of putting some of the core, essentially static, code into hardware.

    Linux with X will run on 5 megabytes of RAM. Subtract 1 megabyte for the kernel and 1 for user applications, you get 3 for what absolutely has to be in RAM for the software to work. If you can shove a megabyte of this into hardware, this pulls your requirements down to 2 for the system. In practice, almost nothing can actually run at any decent speed on such a system, but we're figuring out what the underlying requirements are, not what the running requirements are.

    The system requirements would seem to be 3 megabytes for a running minimal kernel, system libraries and basic GUI. This is your OS, in the modern sense, capable of running anything Linux can run. It's the minimal, fully functional system. Your applications will obviously take vastly more than that, but they can use anything above the basic minimum. Additional libraries, facilities, etc, will also take more memory, but if they're all in userspace and do kernel bypass, they're part of the applications and not part of the OS. They're also going to be faster.

    Linux might easily start with 64 processes. Most won't be running at any given time, so you don't need more than a few critical data tables in RAM to be able to swap the process. The typical user is unlikely to be running more than four heavy applications at the same time, and of those, you're very unlikely to have more than two actually alive at a given time. If an active process is given 64 megs to play with, you need 128 megs for active stuff.

    All in all, any complete distro (ie: distro software + hardware used) that needs more than 256 megs of RAM for a desktop must be doing something horribly wrong. It is simply not reasonable to use any more than that. Of course, most distros DO need more than that in practice, because machines are not designed to offload or perform kernel bypassing. The CPU does all the heavy lifting, and that's expensive on resources. It's not technically the fault of the software, it's the hardware that is at fault, but really even if the hardware was present, not many software distros can - as yet - take enough advantage of the capabilities to run on a minimal box.

    (A lot of the software exists for Linux, it just isn't supplied by anyone or utilized by anything.)

    --
    It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
  20. Re:Par for the course by Charcharodon · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Nothing wrong with a car analogy, it's just that you used the wrong one. Super Fetch is more like having magic gnomes that are constantly putting stuff in the trunk of your car that they think you might want to take with you, but they'll instantly take it all back out if that turns out to not be the case.

    See car analogys can be good, but you have to have magic gnomes to make it work.

  21. At my computer store, XP outsells Vista 10 to 1 by duckbillplatypus · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I have a hard time selling computers with Vista loaded. Most customers react the same way when playing with Vista; eye rolls, sighs and shoulder shrugs.