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Nukes Against Earth-Impacting Asteroids
TopSpin writes "Flight International reports that scientists at the Marshall Space Flight Center have developed designs for an array of asteroid interceptors wielding 1.2-megaton B83 nuclear warheads. The hypothetical mission for these designs is based on an Apophis-sized Earth impactor 2 to 5 years out. According to NASA, 'Nuclear standoff explosions are assessed to be 10-100 times more effective [at deflection] than the non-nuclear alternatives analyzed in this study." On April 13, 2029, Apophis will pass closer to earth than geosynchronous satellites orbit.
Shrapnel == Greater Cross Section
Greater Cross Section == Atmosphere has greater effect on projectile
Atmosphere has greater effect on projectile == Energy dissapated over wider area
Energy dissapated over wider area == No boom today. Boom tomorrow. Always boom tomorrow.
Javascript + Nintendo DSi = DSiCade
Apophis is a perfect example of how flawed the current system for identifying potentially hazardous near-earth asteroids is. A two body analysis showed that it was on a collision course, but a more intensive three body analysis showed it would miss by a lot. Thing is, the opposite could potentially also be true - a two body analysis might show that an object is not a threat when, in fact, it is and a more heavy analysis would show that. We need more resources dedicated to this very real threat to our planet. Only with early detection do we have any chance of deflecting a planet killer.
How we know is more important than what we know.
They claim 10-100 times more effective than other methods. First of all they dont define more effective. Second of all, they seem to dismiss ideas like a gravity tug out of hand as not developed enough.
The idea of throwing nukes at an object of potentially unknown size bugs me, especially when much more controlled options exist. All that needs to be done is to nudge the NEO out of small zones known as "keyholes" that are small, finite portions of space where the pull of the Earth will push the object into a collision course on its next orbit rather than another random non-intersecting orbit.
A fairly massive object (something a Delta IV Heavy could launch) would be perfectly capable of handling an Apophis sized object with enough lead time (on the order of years, but certainly less than decades), by flying in formation with the object in the right location to shift its orbit slightly. This is a lot easier than Apollo, which we pulled off in less than 10 years, so to dismiss it as too difficult is ridiculous, and it seems a lot more responsible than launching nukes at an object we dont fully understand.
Just my thoughts anyway.