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Is the Future of the Electric Car Industry in Silicon Valley?

fiannaFailMan writes "The San Jose Mercury News is speculating about Silicon Valley's potential for becoming the Detroit of a future electric car industry. Among the valley's strengths is an ability to adapt to rapidly changing business environments and develop new business models, something that the Big Three can hardly be accused of. On the downside, it's a capital-intensive business and isn't like raising $40 million and having an IPO. Apparently there are five companies in the valley already pursuing electric car technology, most notably Tesla motors."

19 of 318 comments (clear)

  1. A cool car company by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    I Like http://www.phoenixmotorcars.com/ because the car looks nice and those 10minute charge batteries are cool.

  2. Re:Coal or Oil? by F34nor · · Score: 3, Informative

    A lot of poeple call this the long tail pipe.

  3. Agreed by JavaNPerl · · Score: 2, Informative

    1. Detroit has a lot of good engineers, that don't get enough credit.
    2. Detroit has a big manufacturing base geared for automotive production and it is definitely a cheaper place to operate. Even if the technology is developed in Silicon Valley, I doubt they would actually produce cars there.
    3. Detroit has already gotten its ass kicked by foreign competition. They are going to fight for every piece of market share.

  4. Re:Coal or Oil? by ozmanjusri · · Score: 2, Informative

    Commonwealth Edison aka Exelon have received heavy subsidies, including deferred taxes, artificially low limits on liability, fuel fabrication write-offs, nationalised disposal and management of waste and artificially low decommissioning costs. In addition, Commonwealth Edison's customers now pay the highest electric bills in the Midwest.

    --
    "I've got more toys than Teruhisa Kitahara."
  5. Methinks you spell t-r-o-l-l by A+nonymous+Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    I have nuclear power in the Chicago area (www.comed.com). I've checked, and it's not heavily subsidized.

    There's probably little subsidy in day to day operations. The building was subsidized in part, and cleanup (Yucca mountain) is more expensive than building it and entirely at government expense.

    1. Re:Methinks you spell t-r-o-l-l by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 2, Informative
      You're correct. By law, power plants can't recycle their nuclear waste (hence, the "once-through" process). This is because if you recycle the waste, you're able to make weapons-grade material.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_reprocessing

      Use of breeder reactors combined with reprocessing could extend the usefulness of mined uranium by more than 60 times.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Breeder_reactor

      As usual, politics gets in the way of technology.

  6. Re:Coal or Oil? by regiegnahtanoj · · Score: 3, Informative

    I'm sure he's the recent phenomenon of blind people being hit by electric cars simply because they make so little noise and they cannot hear them coming. i mean honestly, what other reason could there be for his opinion that no engine noise sucks...?

  7. Re:Coal or Oil? by necro81 · · Score: 3, Informative

    No, I haven't any stats. The thing to keep in mind is that the 1000 internal combustion engines (gasoline, diesel, ethanol, whatever) moving 1000 vehicles are together less efficient and produce greater emissions than a single centralized plant providing electric power to move that same 1000 cars. There are economies of scale involved in utility-scale generation that aren't available in small packages.

    The internal combustion engine, depending on whose numbers you believe, is something like 25-40% efficient. That is, 25-40% of the chemical potential energy stored in the fuel is converted to mechanical energy for moving the vehicle. A combined cycle power plant, where you burn a gas in a turbines, then use the hot exhaust to also create steam to drive more turbines, can be upwards of 60% efficient. In situations where co-generation is also possible (a rarity, since most homes and buildings aren't powered by utility steam), that efficiency can be raised closer to 70%.

    The other benefit, as others have noted, is that it is easier to clean the emissions (i.e., remove particulates, reduce SOx and NOx, remove mercury, etc.) and, eventually, capture the carbon dioxide output, at a single large location than to try and outfit every vehicle with the same equipment.

  8. MOD PARENT UP by Will+Fisher · · Score: 2, Informative

    You're totally right. Tesla are making a car that is small and doesn't use petrol. These are both factors that are far more attractive to europeans!

    For the first Teslas, europe would be a far better market. (However, it must be noted that Teslas production runs are already sold out. Can't they ramp up production any more?)

  9. Palo Alto based and funded EV by slashray · · Score: 2, Informative

    http://www.autoindustry.co.uk/news/01-11-07_1/ Fisker Coachbuild, is making a four-door plug-in hybrid premium sports car. They have operations in and venture funding from the Valley. Unlike other startups, these guys have been in the car business for a long time.

  10. Look at the whole energy chain by itsdapead · · Score: 3, Informative

    Does anyone know how much more/less polution is put into the atmosphere by using these coal powered cars as opposed to gas powered ones?

    Follow the energy:

    Gas engine: Chemical Energy (gas) -> heat -> mechanical energy

    Electric engine: Chemical energy (coal) -> heat -> mechanical energy -> electrical energy -> (step up transformer) -> (power line) -> (step down transformer) -> (charger) -> chemical energy (in the battery) -> electrical energy -> mechanical energy

    Each link in that chain is less than perfectly efficient and wastes energy, so even if the last two or three steps (the actual car engine) are more efficient for electric, there's a lot of catching up to do.

    So, while electric cars might make cities more pleasant, unless the upstream source of the energy is either renewable or nuclear* its not going to solve the problems associated with burning fossil fuels (i.e. global warming or - if you don't believe in that - the self-evident fact that we're consuming a finite resource at an accelerating rate).

    They may, however make cities cleaner, and once they're in place at least you have the flexibility to change the energy source at will. However, you also need to factor in the cost of manufacturing enough electric cars to get everybody driving one (not just those kind people who buy a new car every 2 years, but all the sensible people who buy 2-year-old cars and run them until they fall apart).

    No one gizmo is going to solve our energy & pollution problems unless its part of a coherent system.

    (* nuclear is, of course, safer and cleaner than fossil fuels unless (a) it goes wrong, (b) the current sources of easily extractable fissile material run out , or (c) some asshat uses the byproducts for making bombs. Of course there's absolutely no reason to believe that a massive expansion of nuclear power would make any of those more likely, so that's OK then. However, its probably the only route out of our current hole).

    --
    In a survey of 100 programmers, 111111 thought that duck-typing was a good idea.
    1. Re:Look at the whole energy chain by Fred_A · · Score: 2, Informative

      Also, don't forget the pollution and energy it takes to make the batteries. And to extract, transform, transport the nuclear fuel.
      --

      May contain traces of nut.
      Made from the freshest electrons.
    2. Re:Look at the whole energy chain by mikeee · · Score: 4, Informative

      Refining and transporting gasoline is more energy-expensive than you'ld think, and piston engines really aren't very good.

      Tesla has some possibly biased numbers indicating than they win big, with their 3-1 efficiency advantage down to 2-1 once you factor in the coversion costs you're talking about.

    3. Re:Look at the whole energy chain by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Yes, but if you add in the efficiency numbers (and include a propulsive efficiency of the vehicle), things look not so bad at all:

      Gas Vehicle: Crude Oil -> Gasoline (0.88); Gasoline -> Mechanical Energy (0.25); Mechanical Energy towards Work Against Road and Air Friction (0.7) = 15%

      Electric Vehicle: Coal/Gas/Hydro/Nuclear to Electricity (0.40); Electricity Transmission and Distribution (0.93); Round Trip Battery Efficiency (0.92); Electric Motor (0.95); Mechanical Energy towards Work Against Road and Air Friction (0.9) with regen = 29%

      That's a factor of two.

      Disclosure: I work for a certain silicon valley electric car start-up.

    4. Re:Look at the whole energy chain by spirit+of+reason · · Score: 2, Informative
      You're comparing apples to oranges there. It's my understanding that the car has a variable speed engine, whereas power plants use fixed-speed engines. I'm not an expert on ICEs, but in general, their maximum efficiency is only achieved at a particular speed. Cars are so much less efficient because they have to operate at less-than-optimal speeds, so you could presumably gain back a lot of energy by pushing the generation to the power plants.

      And by the way, those steps involving electrical energy are extremely efficient (on the order of 95% and up combined). Then the electrical to mechanical energy generation averages 90-95% for newer AC induction motors. There are papers from ACP and Tesla illustrating the difference in efficiency (too lazy to post links)--there should be no question which really uses less energy.

      It's not energy efficiency that brings down electric cars; it's their high cost and inconvenience, which are almost solely attributed to battery problems. Batteries are heavy, bulky, and expensive, and the ones that are best at storing large amounts of energy can't deliver or receive power at a reasonable rate. And even if those problems are solved, the public has to be convinced the batteries will last for at least 10 years of driving.

  11. Well-to-Wheel by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    Tesla Motors' has a chart on their website regarding well-to-wheel efficiencies, they even look at it in two steps. Well-to-station (not good for electric @ 52.5% vs. gas @ 81.7%) and overall well-to-wheel (great for electric 1.14 km/MJ vs 0.515 for regular gas car). I like the fact they are being open and honest about this slight negative instead of hiding it by just reporting well-to-wheel http://www.teslamotors.com/efficiency/well_to_wheel.php

    It is true that power plants (even Natural Gas / coal) have very high efficiencies when compared to automotive, however transmission losses through power lines are the killer. This results in awful Well-to-station efficiency. What makes up for it though is the incredible efficiency of the electric vehicle. If you could combine the high well-to-station efficiency of "gas" cars with the electric drive train then that would give you the greatest distance for your gallon...

    Amazingly GM seems to be looking at this "big picture" in the design of their series hybrid electric Volt concept car. This could of course be designed to be a plug-in-hybrid (if it's not already). If you know where your current source of power is coming from (nuclear, coal, NG) or can choose your supplier; you have more power to make an educated decision.

    For example, If you live in California where smog is a killer and you know your power comes from nuclear you could choose to plug in as much as possible. If you live in Texas and want to support local big oil industry you could choose to only run on gas from a station and never plug in ;)

    You'd have to look at the big picture and see if having the on-board electric generation can be more efficient than current big generation facility + transmission losses.

  12. Re:Think of the children? by Firethorn · · Score: 4, Informative

    The only solution is to put speakers into the outside of cars that play the appropriate noise for a petrol engine.

    Hate to break it to you, but many modern cars are nearly as silent at low speeds as an electric could be. At higher speed wind noise is the significant contributer to noise levels.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
  13. Re:Coal or Oil? by Vexar · · Score: 5, Informative
    The return on investment for Nuclear is a payoff in under 18 months of operation. Yes, there was a total of $1Bn offered up by the US Govt. to spur on the first states brave enough to build a new plant since 1979. It is not necessary, it is a "prize" so to speak. That's why there are approximately 30 licenses in front of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission right now.

    Now, if you'd been talking about Solar Power, I'd be more inclined to agree with you with the viability only through subsidies. Nuclear power is as cheap or cheaper than coal, and it always has been. An average 1000MWe nuclear plant produces one contained 53' trailer load of vitrified rad waste per year, and all plants have been designed and approved for on-site storage for the duration of the plant. Over 50 years ago, our innovative American scientists developed a "stepper" reactor family design that actually consumes the rad waste, so in a total system, the 2N+2 radioactive family produces a full cycle with no long-term (more than 30 years) waste. Let's not forget that nuclear waste is also used for medical nuclear therapy and imaging.

    Electric Cars + Nuclear power grid = 0 harmful energy emissions, nationally, except for the occasional campfire, gas stoves, and our entire space program.

    I'll give anyone who currently agrees with the parent post a "by" on mass ignorance fed by the media and under-educated educators, but only a little bit longer. There's a big discussion tonight on NBC Nightly News with Brian Williams, during their green week. After tonight, you can't even blame the media for people having this wrong.

    There's room for solar power, wind power, and deep-sea hydro power, but pound-for-pound, watt-for-watt, wind and solar cannot be our primary energy grid technology. For one, they depend on the weather, which is unreliable from a regional power grid perspective. For two, if you take a KWh from Solar and stand it next to the KWh from Nuclear, Solar produces a quantity of toxic waste during manufacturing (which is always toxic, forever), and Nuclear produces a quantity of rad waste during operation (enrichment takes over a dozen possible forms, including centrifuge, laser, and aerodynamics). Noting that solar cells eventually break down, but nuclear reactors in our grid today are being re-rated for now up to 60 years of operation, I wonder what the toxic waste to rad waste (and I've established it is reusable) ratio is, given a single KWh of electricity.

    Small power generation, like solar and wind, is great from a grid management perspective, because a grid operator can shut down or bring up a solar or wind service more easily than a large power plant. They need to do this to control voltage fluctuations and meet demand.

  14. General Motors EV1 by AnalogDiehard · · Score: 2, Informative
    Find the DVD documentary Who Killed The Electric Car about the General Motors EV1. It was the electric car made in the early 90s to comply with California's zero emission mandate. The EV1 was available on a pilot system by lease only; when enthusiastic EV1 drivers wanted to purchase the vehicle, their efforts were blocked, production was mysteriously halted, then all the EV1 vehicles were reclaimed and destroyed. When citizens were interviewed and learned of the EV1, they were disappointed that they could not purchase one, which debunks the auto industry's claim that there is no demand for an electric car. It discusses the infiltration of government by the auto and oil industry to repeal the CA mandate and how oil exploited the patent system by purchasing key battery patents to keep the electric car off the market to protect their profits.

    Very interesting documentary on how big oil and the big three conspire to protect their interests.

    --
    Eternity: will that be smoking, or non-smoking? I Corinthians 6:9-10