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How Tech Almost Lost the War

An anonymous reader writes "Blame the geeks for the mess in Iraq? Wired says so. Networked troops were supposed to be so efficient, it'd take just a few of 'em to wipe out their enemies. But the Pentagon got their network theory all wrong, with too few nodes and a closed architecture. Besides, a more efficient killing machine is the last thing you want in an insurgency like Iraq."

57 of 679 comments (clear)

  1. Actually.... by cyberon22 · · Score: 5, Funny

    The Republicans are to blame for this one.

    1. Re:Actually.... by OECD · · Score: 3, Funny
      It's more banal than that. I see this every day. We have to design a newsletter? Use Excel, it works great in accounting!

      Only difference is that lives aren't at stake ( but how I wish they were...)

      --
      One man's -1 Flamebait is another man's +5 Funny.
    2. Re:Actually.... by eli+pabst · · Score: 3, Informative

      Funny, they're busy blaming the democrats for the war this week.

    3. Re:Actually.... by sqrt(2) · · Score: 5, Funny

      When the only tool you have is Excel, every problem starts looking like a spreadsheet.

      --
      If you build it, nerds will come. Soylentnews.org
    4. Re:Actually.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      When the only tool you have is Windows, every problem starts looking like malware.

    5. Re:Actually.... by iluvcapra · · Score: 3, Funny

      ....Ahem

      --
      Don't blame me, I voted for Baltar.
    6. Re:Actually.... by joto · · Score: 4, Informative

      Yeah, I know one professor who is doing some mechanical stress simulations in access+vb :/. I WAS shocked when he told me. I couldn't convince him to learn a compiled language like C, because "it was too hard".

      I agree with him. C is not easy. It is a language for programmers, not for people that are mainly into e.g. mechanical stress simulations. Granted, with appropriate libraries, and all that, you could make an environment suitable for mechanical stress simulations, using C as a base language. But unless you already have that environment, and are able to show it to him, there's no reason for him to start learning C.

      I suggest you try to show him MATLAB instead, and see if he's more impressed this time. (And the matlab compiler makes this a "compiled" language too, if "compiled" is of importance to you (I assume it's totally unimportant to him)).

    7. Re:Actually.... by Lerc · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Tech may not have lost it but I bet it could win it.

      Here's a crazy idea of mine that the govt would never consider.

      How many people in Iraq (27 million and falling)?

      There's that OLPC XO thing. Buy one for evreryone, That's a ridiculous amount of money but not as ridiculous as the amount they've already spent.

      Set up some good international networking (actually I think they have that part already). The mesh will take care of the local.

      Run a campaign in the US that it is duty of every American to talk to an Iraqi, get to know them let them get to know you.

      "do you support the war? Talk to the Iraqis and help win it"
      "against the war? Talk to the Iraqis and help end it"

      There'd have to be support to cover the language barrier, but where there's a will, there's a way*.

      Yep it's a crazy idea, but there's this bit in the back of my mind that says it's hard to fight a war against people you know.

      * I guess that was the problem from the start, there was never really a will.

      now politely ignore my sig just this once.

      --
      -- That which does not kill us has made its last mistake.
    8. Re:Actually.... by jank1887 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Ok, as an Engineer using it now, let me throw a recommendation for GNU Octave. It's basically an open source equivalent to Matlab. (scripts are ~95% compatible between the two, well documented where they aren't) Gotta start getting away from closed source math, especially where science and technology needing peer review are concerned. Windows version is a Cygwin implementation, but they have a standalone installer that makes it transparent to the user. http://www.gnu.org/software/octave/

      I have used Matlab at work for years, recently switched to Octave, and haven't had any problems. That, and there's the free, open source thing. Save the taxpayers a few grand on another Matlab license.

    9. Re:Actually.... by monopole · · Score: 5, Informative

      It's much worse than an over-reliance or mis-application of technology, or having the means justify the end, it's mistaking a means for an end.

      Jeff Huber just put up an excellent essay on this which can be summed up by the two quotes by Clausewitz:
      "Policy is the guiding intelligence and war only the instrument, not vice versa."
      and
      "If we do not learn to regard a war, and the separate campaigns of which it is composed, as a chain of linked engagements each leading to the next, but instead succumb to the idea that the capture of certain geographical points or the seizure of undefended provinces are of value in themselves, we are liable to regard them as windfall profits."

      The most efficient "kill-chain" won't do squat unless there is a clear and achievable objective. The other problem is that the "kill-chain" that is being used is purpose built for set piece battles between great powers basically 2nd generation warfare (web 1.0) versus 4th generation asymmetric warfare.

      You don't even need Clausewitz, Powell will suffice. To use a shortened version of the Powell doctrine:
      - Do we have a clear attainable objective?
      - Have the risks and costs been fully and frankly analyzed?
      - Have all other non-violent policy means been fully exhausted?
      - Is there a plausible exit strategy to avoid endless entanglement?
      - Have the consequences of our action been fully considered?

    10. Re:Actually.... by CastrTroy · · Score: 3, Funny

      My dad uses excel for just about everything. Once you learn how to use it, it's quite powerful, and you can do a lot of stuff with it. He designed his deck by making square cells and using that to map out the floor plan. Which is even more impressive, because it's not just a square deck.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    11. Re:Actually.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      [though the following may appear to be directed at you, it isn't specifically aimed at just you]

      here's another crazy plan. i'm gonna come to your house with 7 crips. we're going to kill your wife and rape your daughter before shooting her too. then we'll burn down your house and drag you off to prison, where you will remain until we feel like releasing you, hell maybe we'll rape you too. afterwards we'll give you a laptop with msn so some idiot can tell you how wonderful the war is for you and how you should just stop being so angry and see that it was in your best interests. and here's the REALLY crazy part. we'll be fucking *astounded* when it doesn't work and will declare you a muslim fundamentalist for fighting an invading army waging an illegal war.

      at the risk of invoking godwin's law (in my defense this is a statement of fact) the very idea of trying to re-educate your victims even as you slaughter them is literally the same attitude nazi germany demonstrated in russia. again, they were SHOCKED that the russians didn't either give up or join them. after all, they didn't have a chance against the mightiest army the world had ever seen, right?

      i'm not new here, i've been reading slashdot since 1999 (the first story i read was about the columbine massacre). yet i'm still amazed at how braindead some of the comments are. god help us, some of these people probably work for the department of defence. you just don't get it. you *cannot* win in iraq. maybe you could have, in a five minute window, but not now. you can kill every last iraqi and you'll still lose. i know there are plenty of people who read that last sentence and are thinking 'killing them all isn't losing!' which just reinforces my point that slashdotters just don't get it. war is not a deathmatch. after your inevitable defeat iraqis will have lost lives but gained a national soul, forged by a great victory against terrible odds. your country on the other hand will have lost good men and the last vestige of what made it great. i hope it's worth it.

    12. Re:Actually.... by KKlaus · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The Iraqis are hardly as monolithic as you imply. The majority of them are more interested in general quality of life issues than anything else, like whether they have a decent job, can go to the market safely, have clean water and electricity, and so on and so forth. It is true that the majority of them don't like Americans, even beyond the amount you might suspect given that we've killed a lot of them, but they don't hate us enough to stop being essentially utilitarian, which is what they are. That's what the Anbar Awakaning, the "Concerned Citizens" groups, and so on are all about. The Iraqis are just people. As much as they might not like a foreign occupying force, they aren't going to die to the last man (as you suggest) to get rid of it. Would you? Would the people you know? Not if life was the least bit livable under the regime, and not if the alternative was worse. For a while, your average just looking out for his family and friends Iraqi thought the Islamists were the better choice. The evidence (and polling) suggests that that is no longer the case. So while I agree that all in all the whole thing may not have been worth it, Iraqis will almost certainly become our "friends" over the long term. Their only alternative is essentially nutcase religious warlords, and they just don't hate us that much. And as a final point, the U.S. Military hardly behaves like the crips, and don't compare the two.

      --
      Relax I just want some peanuts.
  2. Blame the Geeks? by AKAImBatman · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Blame the geeks for the mess in Iraq?

    More like blame the generals who shot spreadsheet "simulations" back and forth instead of large scale wargames to shake-out the technology. The networked battlefield went out untested with an expectation that it would work as promised. Which is a really dumb assumption for military hardware.

    Besides, a more efficient killing machine is the last thing you want in an insurgency like Iraq.

    'Scuse me? If you've got insurgents setting up an ambush, blasting the frak out of them sounds like a good solution to me. Fire a DU round from a tank down the road, all the IEDs go "boom" and the insurgents waiting on the side go "slwooop" as the massive air pressure changes suck them inside out.

    Efficient killing machine == Good when there are bad guys trying to kill you.

    One might argue that the insurgents are not terrorists and are thus not our enemy. A reasonable argument, save for one missing piece of logic. If the insurgents would wait we'd already be out of Iraq and they could be dealing with the local, underpowered government. Instead, they decide to take on the most powerful military in the world. Even on our bad days, that's not such a good idea.
    1. Re:Blame the Geeks? by greg_barton · · Score: 3, Informative

      Efficient killing machine == Good when there are bad guys trying to kill you.

      == Bad when you create 2x more insurgents because of all the civvies you just collaterally damaged.
    2. Re:Blame the Geeks? by Frogbert · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Instead, they decide to take on the most powerful military in the world. Even on our bad days, that's not such a good idea. Really? Because unfortunately it looks like they are doing pretty good so far.
    3. Re:Blame the Geeks? by AKAImBatman · · Score: 4, Insightful

      #1 - There's a reason for a propaganda machine in any war. If the locals are blaming us for deaths, then the propaganda machine is not doing its job.

      #2 - "A more efficient killing machine" in modern military parlance is a machine that strikes more of the right targets and fewer of the wrong targets. We already have the military might to simply wipe Iraq off the map. That would solve the problem, real quick. But it's not the goal. Ergo, more efficient killing machine == good.

    4. Re:Blame the Geeks? by amRadioHed · · Score: 5, Insightful

      #1 - There's a reason for a propaganda machine in any war. If the locals are blaming us for deaths, then the propaganda machine is not doing its job. Rove, is that you? If the Iraqis are blaming us for the people we are killing due to the war, we could try and do a better job of convincing them that it isn't our fault.

      Or maybe we could stop killing them.
      --
      We hope your rules and wisdom choke you / Now we are one in everlasting peace
    5. Re:Blame the Geeks? by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 3, Insightful
      By your logic, we decisively won the war in Vietnam.

      The Iraqi insurgents don't look so dumb when the US will have had to spend upwards of $1 Trillion to kill those 20,000. That's $50 million per dead insurgent.

    6. Re:Blame the Geeks? by statusbar · · Score: 5, Insightful

      hmm.. Wouldn't it be more cost effective just to pay each of the insurgents half that and convert them to like us?

      --jeffk++

      --
      ipv6 is my vpn
    7. Re:Blame the Geeks? by einhverfr · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Actually, I thought the IEEE's take on this (the Open Source Warfare article) was more insightful. A different issue that you point out, however, is that of clueless generals.

      The basic problem is that the problem is not the insurgency-- it is the lack of law and order in Iraq. The insurgency is one manifestation of that, but the lack of law and order allowed them to grow and consolidate from a few hundred tiny groups to several larger networks (see the International Crisis Group's works on the insurgency). We are in a situation in Iraq where the US military is very good at killing people but not very good at fighting the insurgency because we can't do what we need to in terms of controlling the situation on the ground.

      You don't want a smaller number of more deadly soldiers. You need a larger number of policemen. We can't do it and we don't train our army to do it. So yes, one has to blame the generals.

      However, the issue from the IEEE article was that the insurgent groups are able to use methods that look an similar to those found in the open source community to adapt their tactics much faster than the US military can (the US military is at least an order of magnitude slower in this regard due to standardization, procurement practices, etc). By the time new tactics are underway, the insurgent groups quickly adapt and those tactics are less useful.

      The second issue is that for every expensive weapon, there is a cheap and easily available countermeasure. Note that HARM's aren't used much since Kosovo because it is now common knowledge that there are sub-$100 countermeasures using commercial off-the-shelf parts for them (cheap microwave ovens have the same RF as the anti-aircraft radar and HARMS cannot distinguish between them). The Serbians may have lost but I wonder how much damage they caused US military R&D with that one.... Smart bombs also could be conceivably confused using inexpensive jamming devices. In the end, unless you are willing to commit the people to the ground

      In short, I personally do not believe that the war in Iraq is winnable under the conditions that W has set out. We will lose that one unless we can make some very difficult choices before the patience of the American people wears out.

      In short one needs lots of police on the ground relying less on military weapons technology. We need to stop using American mercenaries (like Blackwater) because they have an inherent conflict of interest. And we need to be willing to withhold our support for the Iraqi government if certain basic measures are not met. These things are not going to happen so we are not going to win.

      --

      LedgerSMB: Open source Accounting/ERP
    8. Re:Blame the Geeks? by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Militarily, yes, we were winning. The Tet offensive was a massive failure for the NVA. The only reason South Vietnam collapsed was the US Congress decided to stop funding the war.

      Add in the fact that the politicians in DC decided they could run the war better than the generals, and a lot of the setbacks were easily avoided. When you go to war, RELEASE the dogs of war.

      Patton had it right - the object of war is not to die for your country, but to make sure the other bastard dies for his.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    9. Re:Blame the Geeks? by mOdQuArK! · · Score: 5, Informative

      One rather wonders what would have happened if in 2003 we hadn't sent an Army but just airdropped a few million pacifists into Iraq to sing songs and cuddle with everybody.

      We should've sent the guys who said we were going to be greeted with candy and flowers.

    10. Re:Blame the Geeks? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yeah, but your $1Trillion is not counting the massive benefits we reap-- 1. Complete control of oil fields 2. Eradication of four generations of Arab economic progress in Iraq 3. Elimination of Israel's largest regional threat 4. Real-life testing of our latest weapons 5. Elimination of hope in the Arab world 6. Pretext to torture and eliminate most of the Bill of Rights

    11. Re:Blame the Geeks? by ozmanjusri · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Wouldn't it be more cost effective just to pay each of the insurgents half that and convert them to like us?

      It would be more cost-effective to buy an apartment for every family in Iraq.

      --
      "I've got more toys than Teruhisa Kitahara."
    12. Re:Blame the Geeks? by Durandal64 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      One might argue that the insurgents are not terrorists and are thus not our enemy. A reasonable argument, save for one missing piece of logic. If the insurgents would wait we'd already be out of Iraq and they could be dealing with the local, underpowered government. Instead, they decide to take on the most powerful military in the world. Even on our bad days, that's not such a good idea.
      Insurgents are hardly the only problem in Iraq. There are gaping ethnic and tribal divisions that have existed for centuries. "Sunni" and "Shiite" aren't just media buzzwords. They mean something. They're two groups that simply don't get along, and the only reason they were relatively passive during Hussein's rule was because he kept them inline through violence and fear of force. The idea that we could just walk in and wave our magic democracy wand was completely idiotic and obviously came about from people who haven't taken so much as a 100-level college course in Middle Eastern history. If the insurgents decided to wait it out, you can damn sure bet that the ethnic cleansing death squads wouldn't. These people have violent disagreements. Yes, they're disagreements about superstitious bullshit (much like how the Catholics and Protestants can't agree on whether the cardboard-flavored wafer is actually Zombie-Jesus or just a symbol of Zombie-Jesus), but they're disagreements these lunatics are willing to kill each other over.

      As for your ridiculous bravado about our military, wake up. It's being stretched so thin that we can't even take care of our own citizens in case of a natural disaster because all the National Guard units are gone. If the Iraqi insurgents were World War II Germany, then yeah, we'd be suited to fighting them. But our military is simply not geared toward urban warfare. Our troops simply don't have that kind of training. They went in without knowing dick about local customs, and we fired Arabic translators because they were gay and that's icky. We'd be better off dropping the NYPD or LAPD in there. Cops are trained to get to know neighborhoods, learn who to make friends with and whose arms to twist. Soldiers, in the classical sense, aren't.

      It's amazing to me how this maladministration constantly crows about how this is a "different kind of war", but they want to fight it like it's World War II, only not, but kind of. They declare "war" on the tactic of terror (without any Congressional votes), and then they refuse to provide a list of goals that we have to achieve. (And no, "eliminating terrorism" isn't a goal; it's a pipe dream.) So we declare war on terror, and then the president says, "We're at war! I need to expand the executive branch's power and make government waaaaaaaay the fuck bigger!" So what city do we have to capture for the war on terror to be over and for the executive branch to return to its proper size and scope in the government? Who has to surrender? Funny, there are no answers to either of those questions. It's a perpetual war, meant to expand the powers of the presidency beyond any sane interpretations of the Constitution.

      Meanwhile, while all this bullshit is going on, you sit there are cheerlead this insane, utterly incomprehensible state of affairs. Yeah yeah, you love the troops, whatever. Someone who supports the troops wouldn't send them to die for nothing in that fucked up sandpit. This administration is a disgrace to the military. They love to talk about how much they support them and what a great job they're doing, but at the end of the day, the army is an instrument which they use to further their own political ends. And the saddest part is that the military laps it up because they get lip-service. Servicemen and women will still vote for these assholes time and time again, and they die for nothing for their trouble. It's a god damn tragedy.

      Okay, rant over.
    13. Re:Blame the Geeks? by VultureMN · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I count myself as among 'the left', and I'm happy to see any gains made in Iraq. If the overall fucked-up-edness rate goes down and less people die, good!!

      However, bragging about Baghdad violence being at a 21 month low is, well, setting the bar PRETTY GODDAMNED LOW, isn't it? I mean, it certainly wasn't all kittens and roses 21 months ago, was it?

      I hope, for once, that Bush and his advisors get something right and things start getting Good over there (as opposed to "Not as bad as it could be"), but so far, they haven't done much to give me faith.

    14. Re:Blame the Geeks? by andy314159pi · · Score: 3, Informative

      The authoritative study of civilian casualties was done by a group from the Johns Hopkins School of Public Health. Here is a link to an article bolstering the validity of the study; it has links to a review of the original study.

      The "iraq body count" guys are just counting dead listed in press releases.

    15. Re:Blame the Geeks? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful
      > Grand total: 14,393-20,697 insurgent dead

      Total cost: $500,000,000,000 dollars and counting. Half a trillion dollars.

      > As I said, even on a bad day, attacking the most powerful military in the world is a dumb idea.

      If the most powerful military in the world is paying twenty-five million dollars a kill, and you have a million footsoldiers (assuming 99.9% the planet's billion-odd muslims are OK, and we're only after the 0.1% that are batshit crazy), it's not a dumb idea -- it's a tactic that's been proven successful on the battlefield, because it's the same way they beat the Soviets.

      The fucking dumb idea is that we didn't learn the Soviets' lesson, even though we helped them invent asymmetrical warfare.

      Netcentric warfare is a great way to break things and kill people on the cheap. It's a crappy way to win hearts and minds. When we started this little adventure, it was the right tactic, because we believed in good faith that their hearts and minds didn't need changing. We were wrong; they're not a bunch of repressed people looking for freedom, they're a bunch of fucking tribal shitheels. Half a trillion dollars later, it's time for us to either shit or get off the pot. Either abandon the place and let 'em go back to butchering each other (and we'll buy the oil from whichever side wins the civil war), or we just dust off an nuke the site from orbit, because it's the only way to be sure.

    16. Re:Blame the Geeks? by isoteareth · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Reciprocate? What, because we, the invaders, say it's time to stop?

      We invaded their country. Be glad they can't genuinely "reciprocate."

      "They were shooting at us. We shot back"

      Yeah, it's funny how people shoot at you when you violently occupy their nation. You'd think they'd be all hugs and kisses.

    17. Re:Blame the Geeks? by localman · · Score: 5, Insightful

      they're disagreements about superstitious bullshit

      Some of it is, sure, but a lot of it relates to centuries of real injustice. I don't even remember the details (there's too damn many), but the book "Battle For God" by Karen Armstrong details how these groups have, through many massacres and assassinations, gone far beyond the point where either would back down. That kind of retributive behavior is common human nature. In that regard the Iraqis are no more ridiculous than us.

      Figuring out how to end a centuries old blood feud is left as an exercise to the reader.

      Cheers.

    18. Re:Blame the Geeks? by ThePlague · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Peacefully Occupy. Orwell would be proud.

  3. AH64s are efficient killing machines by astrotek · · Score: 3, Informative

    Our military doesn't have efficient networked killing machines? Go to liveleak.com and look for some AH64 Apache videos from Iraq or Afghanistan. They are killing people from 1-2 miles away with very accurate 30mm cannon fire all while communicating with the guys on the ground.

  4. Tech didn't lose the war by SkinnyKid63 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    A president and Secretary of Defense who were concerned with creating popular support for a war are responsible. They ignored reports from military and civilian groups assigned to study the problems with a post-invasion Iraq, that the administration had themselves created, that a larger force would be needed to prevent the destruction of critical infrastructure. Even then, better deployment of available troops could have prevented much of the immediate post-war chaos. However, the current situation is more a creation of a corrupt system of bidding on construction contracts. Many of these contracts are wildly over budget and half-completed. I seriously doubt that you can blame a highly networked military for that.

    1. Re:Tech didn't lose the war by einhverfr · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Note also that you have companies like Blackwater which need the Iraq war to continue since that is the source of their contracts. So what if a few Iraqis (or a few dozen) get shot? If it prolongs the war it helps the company. No conflict of interest there.

      --

      LedgerSMB: Open source Accounting/ERP
  5. Or we could blame pre-emption by SuperBanana · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Blame the geeks for the mess in Iraq

    How about we blame Rumsfeld, Wolfowitz, and the other "Hawks" for single-mindedly pushing a US foreign policy doctrine of preemption, which led to a war based on falsified "evidence" of a laughable "threat" to the US?

    Networked troops were supposed to be so efficient, it'd take just a few of 'em to wipe out their enemies.

    We did beat the "enemy"; only Saddam's core Republican Guard put up any sort of fight. The major fuck-up in the initial "war" was Rumsfeld repeatedly cutting supply lines and over-extending troops.

    Then we failed to fill the power vacuum in a country with a history of sectarian violence even under a brutal dictator. Worse, we failed to keep the power, lights, and water going which left the door open for opportunists. Iraq fell head-first into a sectarian civil war, with both sides, most of the world, and half of the United States population agreeing on one thing: we need to get the fuck out of their country.

    It's hard to "wipe out" your enemy when every day you create more just by your mere meddling presence. It's like standing in a bathtub holding a garden hose, wondering why the water's rising.

    1. Re:Or we could blame pre-emption by Enderandrew · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The military were insanely successful in just wiping out the entire defense of Iraq almost overnight. They took full control of a country in less than a month.

      However, in the the void of a government of Iraq, and undefended borders, you get the rise of insurgents. Military solutions don't really work there. You need diplomatic solutions to convince the local political and religious leaders to stop insurgents, fundamentalists, and terrorists. You need to convince them via ideology to lay down weapons and rebuild their homes.

      It has taken 3 years to hunt down a couple thousand insurgents, and how many more are waiting in the wings, waiting to die in the name of their beliefs? We're not just talking about from the possible pool of 30 million Iraqis, but the entire Mid East. (Note, I'm not saying all Arabs are fundamentalist, but rather we're fighting insurgents from several nations right now. Fundamentalists are almost always a minority in any group, but often the most visible).

      We can't fight this war forever, and that isn't the fault of the military or technology, but rather the fault of diplomats and politicians to not finish what they started, and I'm not pointing my finger at any one party. Both parties voted to go in, both parties continue to fund this, and both parties blame the other party as a means to make their party look better, while neither party are presenting solutions to actually finish the conflict. That is a travesty that no one speaks of.

      --
      http://blindscribblings.com - Tasty pop-culture in conceptual fashion.
    2. Re:Or we could blame pre-emption by einhverfr · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Actually you need both diplomatic solutions *and* police. We don't train our soldiers to be good police officers. That isn't there job. If we were smart, we would have an entire military division dedicated to civil security in cases like this.

      There was another *huge* problem with the Bush Administration's single-minded push for war in Iraq-- basically it left our interests vulnerable to interference from third parties. I don't know if you saw this but shortly before the invasion (in fact, right when the AUMF was being debated in the Senate), there was a water-rights crisis between Lebannon and Israel. Lebannon calculated (rightly) that the US could not afford for Israel to attack and opened up a new large pumping station. Israel was threatening war (Sharon was stating that it was a cause for war and that it was no different from the 1967 war which he categorized as about water rights). The US sent a mediation team in really fast.... In the end an agreement was reached (largely under US pressure) which allowed Lebannon far more water rights than they had previously exercised.

      Now we are in a position where we are tied up. Our troops are generally needed either at home for emergency management, in Iraq or Afghanistan, or in half a dozen places around the world defending US interests against military threats. We don't have the capacity for another war on this scale without abandoning vital allies somewhere in the world. If we were attacked by, say, Iran, would we respond even if it meant being unable to defend South Korea or Taiwan? Iran and Syria know this, which is why their interests at the moment are best served by keeping us tied up in Iraq and not attacking us in other ways (we can't do anything serious against them using conventional warfare unless we either are freed up in Afghanistan or Iraq, or we are willing to potentially abandon allies. Nuclear options are out unless we are attacked first with nuclear weapons).

      --

      LedgerSMB: Open source Accounting/ERP
  6. Sure, blame the geeks... by greg_barton · · Score: 3, Insightful

    ...that way you don't have to admit the galacticly stupid decision to invade in the first place.

  7. Honest question by Frogbert · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I have a honest question, and I haven't been able to find a decent answer anywhere. Why, exactly, are our countries armies over there fighting in Iraq? Why did American even start this war?

    I have yet to hear a politician actually say why, and I really can't seem to get a straight answer out of anyone.

    1. Re:Honest question by WK2 · · Score: 4, Informative

      It upset our oil supply, thereby raising the price of oil. The oil cos, and subsequently the Bush family, liked that. Halliburton got paid way too much for a government contract that was handed to them on a silver platter. Every stock holder in Halliburton, including most of the Bush administration liked that.

      I'm sure there were many reasons we went to war. They all point to money and power.

      --
      Write your own Choose Your Own Adventure. http://www.freegameengines.org/gamebook-engine/
  8. Story moderation by michaelmalak · · Score: 3, Funny

    Can we moderate this story "Troll"?

  9. Bad summary by Thornae · · Score: 3, Interesting

    If you actually RTFA, it says that geeks came up with a solution to a particular problem, i.e. traditional warfare, which was then applied to a different problem (non-traditional warfare / insurgency, etc) and it didn't work so well.

    But now a different set of geeks are coming up with new solutions that do work, whilst building on the previous solution.

    IOW, Don't Blame The Geeks. Or the tech, for that matter.

    --
    |>
    Here be Dragons
  10. Insurgency? by Dunbal · · Score: 5, Interesting

    From Dictionary.com

    1. the state or condition of being insurgent.
    2. insurrection against an existing government, usually one's own, by a group not recognized as having the status of a belligerent.
    3. rebellion within a group, as by members against leaders.

    Funny, the partisans in Iraq are rebelling against a foreign occupier, not their own government. However in the US the word "insurgent" has become the same as "terrorist"...

    Oh mod me offtopic, but Iraq has had me sick for the past 4 years. How long did WW2 last again?

    --
    Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
  11. What to Blame by sqrt(2) · · Score: 3, Insightful

    We're being slowly bleed dry in Iraq right now because this administration can't see the difference between actual terrorists who have a grudge against America and insurgents who just want us out of their country. Blaming equipment or protocol would be laughable if it wasn't so shameful and arrogant. The blame for this on going catastrophe rests squarely on the shoulders of one very stubborn man who believes completely and sincerely that he is on the side of justice and that his every action is not only righteous, but indeed endorsed and guided by God himself.

    You can't call these people we are fighting terrorists when WE are the foreign troops on their home soil occupying their country. The only justification Bush hasn't abandoned for this war (WMD was a criminal fraud, ousting Saddam already happened), the ludicrous idea that fighting the enemy "over there" makes us safer at home is so mind numbingly flawed at the most basic level that even a C student should be able to see there can be no victory the way the war is being prosecuted. The terrorists who would "follow us home" are doing so anyway, Iraq is diverting precious man power and resources away from stopping them. They are probably already here in fact. The 9/11 hijackers lived in the country for an extended amount of time before they carried out their attacks. Every dollar we spend on Bush's crusade is a dollar that could have went to pay more police officers, increase border security, inspect more cargo. The current plan we're on to get out of this hole is to keep digging until we get to the other side when the first thing you should do when you find yourself in a hole is STOP making it deeper! Violence, even when justified, against religious extremists only begets more violence. It's such an un-American concept to accept, there's no pride in it, no feeling of success but the only way to win is not to continue fighting. Every insurgent you kill insures his sons will be your next generation of enemies. There is a point, and we have long passed it, when someone strong has to stand up and say "Enough." accept the consequences to their reputation, and walk away.

    This is a very trying time for the USA, and I fear that we will not long survive the ruinous path we are currently following. Our leader, and calling him that brings me an almost physical pain, will not change our path. He is too stubborn to admit defeat, even if that means dragging an entire country down with him. History will count him among the worst of our Presidents.

    --
    If you build it, nerds will come. Soylentnews.org
  12. An enlisted perspective. by palegray.net · · Score: 5, Interesting

    DISCLAIMER: This post is not intended to serve as any sort of official statement on the part of the U.S. Navy; it is solely a personal appraisal of how technology affects certain aspects of warfare. Take my thoughts for what you think they're worth, since nothing here is endorsed by anyone working for the D.O.D.

    After reading the article, I had to go have a smoke and really collect my thoughts before replying here. I hope my perspective offers a bit of insight into "one man's view" of technology's role in modern combat. First a little bit of background information is in order...

    I'm a 26 year old male, active duty enlisted in the Navy. I joined about 14 months ago, leaving a career in computing to serve in the submarine force. Prior to the Navy, I did several years of programming, database development, web application dev/support, and networking on Win32 and Linux/UNIX systems. Needing a change of pace, and generally feeling burned out after working full-time in I.T. since age 18, I woke up one day and enlisted in the service. My family and friends were a bit surprised, to say the least :).

    Having been in long enough to form my own (albeit limited) opinion of computing/information technology's role in military systems, I have these thoughts:

    (1) The military is mostly comprised of enlisted personnel. Enlisted men and women are, fundamentally, operators. This means they are trained to do a specific set of jobs according to a very specific set of guidelines. We don't make tactical decisions; our job is to inform officers in command of the status of whatever evolution is in progress, and obey orders handed back in response. This means we are trained on specific pieces of equipment, which is increasingly networked to allow for more efficient operations.

    (2) It's no secret that the military (and government organizations in general) is a big fan of basing systems on "tried and true" technologies. We use what works, not what the industry is pumping out as the latest, greatest info-tech marvel.

    (3) Our reliance on these systems means that we always have to be trained on multiple contingencies, i.e. "if doohickey X is broken, switch over to doohickey Y and proceed." Single points of failure are as much the enemy of fighting units as they are of networks in the civilian world. The human element is therefore still critical in avoiding situational breakdowns, hence the need for constant drilling to ensure proper performance under hostile or stressful conditions.

    (4) Monday morning quarterbacking is an inevitable consequence of any large-scale conflict. It's always easy to look back and say "Wow, if only they'd done things this way, it's so obvious that things would have gone better." The military does make a concerted effort to learn from its mistakes; we have a saying that every rule we follow is written in blood, and we take that idea very seriously.

    (5) In the final analysis, no amount of technology can prevent loss of human life in war. It's ugly, nasty, sad, but inevitable. Human beings will always defend whatever interests they consider crucial to the survival of their way of life. It's just our nature, the product of an evolutionary process that made us what we are today as a species. Since the dawn of time, we've been constantly incorporating new technologies into both civilian and military operations, with mixed results at every stage of innovation. Again, we learn from our mistakes and move forward.

    I hope these thoughts can spark some dialog, and that my views might bring some new perspective to conversations on this topic. Thanks.

    1. Re:An enlisted perspective. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      From an Army Officer that just got back from Iraq I think the article is hilarious. Technology made my life there incredibly easy and difficult at the same time. Our ability to mass combat power in a short period of time was amazing. That same technology that allowed us to communicate also crippled us when it stopped working. Thank God for the enlisted Soldiers that knew how to use "doohickey Y" when everything went to shit. Blaming the problems of Iraq on technology is ridiculous.

      The problem with Iraq is that we think that we can enforce democracy on a country that simply isn't interested in it. My apologies to any civilized Muslims that read this blog, but Southeast Asia Shiite and Sunni sects that dominate Iraq are not interested in allowing people to have an influence in the government. They desire and will ensure that they have full domination over the population. The truth is the population is just fine with that. They are very dedicated to their tribes and will do whatever their respective Sheik tells them to do. I personally think that if you want to solve the problem in Iraq you should allow whatever form of government that works best develop from the ground up. Stop trying to impose democracy. I don't know of any government that has successfully imposed democracy on another country. Democracy will either develop over time from the inside out or it will not develop at all.

    2. Re:An enlisted perspective. by polar+red · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Democracy will either develop over time from the inside out or it will not develop at all. Mod parent up. It's the most insightfull thing I read this year.

      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    3. Re:An enlisted perspective. by Animats · · Score: 5, Interesting

      That's very much a Navy view: "Enlisted men and women are, fundamentally, operators." In the Navy, the basic combat unit is the ship. Tactical decisions are made at the ship level, not below. A hundred to several thousand people serve the ship; a few officers make the tactical decisions.

      Ground troops need a completely different mindset. The basic combat unit is far smaller, a squad or platoon. Individual soldiers make tactical decisions. Marines are especially big on this. It's Marine doctrine to equip the Marine, not man the equipment. The US Army likes to fight with bigger units, but can break them down into small, independent units when necessary.

    4. Re:An enlisted perspective. by hey+hey+hey · · Score: 4, Insightful
      I don't know of any government that has successfully imposed democracy on another country.

      The US/Allies imposed democracy on the Axis powers of Japan, Italy and Germany after WWII. While it can be argued that Italy and Germany had some democratic traditions (however the Weimar Republic was really broken), it was foreign to Japan.

      That said, it is pretty hard to come up with many more successful examples...

  13. Don't be silly by Leuf · · Score: 3, Funny

    Being a leader means never having to take responsibility for anything until someone further up than you tosses you to the lions to cover their own ass.

  14. Geeks are to blame. by Travoltus · · Score: 3, Funny

    Going by the same logic that says geeks are at fault for this...

    I say let's outsource these jobs to Iran.

    --
    --- Grow a pair, liberals... stop letting the Republicans bully you!
  15. Author can't get his fact straight by S3D · · Score: 4, Informative

    He is calling Hizbollah opeartives (Israel opponent in the 2006 Lebanon War) "primitive foe". That is as far from the trough as it could be. In fact Hizbollah won this war because it was more technically and organizationally sophisticated than IDF in ground war.
    According to prisoners each Hizbollah anti-tank missile operator launched more than dozen missiles during the training. The Israel Army representative told that IDF "could only dream" about such level of training. BTW cheapest ATGM cost around 5k $. But Hizbollah also used some 9M133 Kornet (60k $ a pop). And Hizbollah had a lot of ATGM operators, so many that ATGM were used often against Israel infantry. Hizbollah operatives were well coordinated, using mobile phones and radio, well supplied and had had a network of concealed concrete bunkers, with communication lines, optic and stores.
    It's plain stupid to call combatant capable of successful launch of modern anti-ship missile "primitive foe".

  16. Almost lost the war? by mrbluze · · Score: 5, Funny

    Since when has the US won the war? It's over? *slaps forehead* I better go check the newspaper.

    --
    Do it yourself, because no one else will do it yourself. [beta blockade 10-17 Feb]
    1. Re:Almost lost the war? by Marcus+Green · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I suspect the Russians were saying that for quite a few years when they were up to their necks in Afghanistan.

  17. War crimes by Nicolas+MONNET · · Score: 3, Interesting
    The war against Lebanon wasn't directed at Hezbollah.
    Proof: Israel bombed Beirut, where there's no, and has never been any Hezbollah. It bombed *on purpose* (that's what those LASER GUIDED MISSILES the US sold do) the Beirut oil refinery, leading to the biggest oil spill in history in the mediterranean sea. It bombed most bridges in the south of Lebanon.
    Friends of mine got bombed in this war. They weren't part of Hezbollah. However, unsurprisingly when you have a couple more neurons working than your average likkudnik neocon, it made Hezbollah popular with those who used to oppose them in Lebanon.
    Mission accomplished! Or rather, war crime accomplished!

    To initiate a war of aggression, therefore, is not only an international crime; it is the supreme international crime differing only from other war crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole.
    (Robert H. Jackson, chief US prosecutor at the Nurenberg trials)
  18. Rifleman Dodd by Hellburner · · Score: 3, Interesting

    "Individual soldiers make tactical decisions. Marines are especially big on this. It's Marine doctrine to equip the Marine, not man the equipment."

    Bullseye. I got my print copy of Wired yesterday (guilty shrug). I skimmed the article. Batshit loony garbage.

    I left the Marines 10 years ago. We were just getting digital radios, just getting the first GPS units, and just getting laptops. No intrasquad comms (unless SEALs had them, maybe...) and the laptops were basically just for tracking inventory and leave request admin crap. The GPS units were brand new to everyone...and very cool.

    The rest is all crap. Extra weight. To the infantryman: weight is evil unless it is in flavors of 5.56 or 7.62. Everything else is garbage. The radios will break, NVG batteries will die, and you may get stuck without things as basic as fuel or MRE re-supply. Our indoctrinated response to such calamity? MISSION ACCOMPLISHMENT. My GPS broke! Tough shit, break out the lensatic and find the target. My radio is busted! Tough shit...you better stretch those quads, Private.

    I understand the quoted Naval "operators" point of view. Its accurate. I know this from experience working with squi---er--sailors aboard ship and my brother's experience as a naval officer. The officers don't learn the tasks, they learn how to manage the enlisted ranks to accomplish tasks to complete the mission.

    On the ground it is different. Marines have it pounded into them that it basically takes one Marine to overcome an enemy division. "Rifleman Dodd" was on the required reading list. It tells how a Brit sharpshooter gets isolated in Portugal during the Napoleonic Wars. The concept to be conveyed to the enlisted ranks is basically you are the Corps. One Marine. One Rifle. Accomplish The Mission. Lacking the rifle you accomplish it with a knife, an e-tool, a sharp rock, your fists, or harsh language. End of story.

    If every technological gizmo had failed at the outset of the war we still would have kicked their collective asses. The difference was not just technological advantage but human will. Iraqi units would get crushed or fade into the dust because: A: our troops hit what they aim at & B: our troops have individual initiative to complete mission objectives. Its the lesson of Thermopylae writ over and over again: enslaved souls make poor soldiers.

    The same point is true of the insurgency. Human will. They want us the hell out. Just like the Viet Cong (remember that one?!?!), just like the Mujahedeen, and just like every other insurgency of the 20th and 21st centuries. The Vietnamese were essentially able to muster the social will to absorb any number of casualties. American society did not have that will. We withdrew, and the conflict resolved itself. The Iraqi insurgency remains in question, since, according to some, it appears that people are growing tired of dying for religious fanatics and Baathist stooges. But the question has nothing to do with technology.

    It has to do with will. And the most egregiously ill-conceived and poorly planned military occupation in American history.