McCain, Clinton Win New Hampshire
Well the title says it. I figured some of you guys might be interested in the results of New Hampshire. Next week is Michigan, where I live. Somehow I don't expect any of the campaigns to ring me up.
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I watched just enough of the coverage last night to walk away with one observation: Fuck the news media.
Seriously. They spent more time talking about Hillary "tearing up" then they did talking about policy differences between the candidates.
"Do you think those were genuine emotions on her part or was it calculated?" WHO GIVES A FLYING FUCK! Why don't you tell us about her health care policy? Or her votes in the Senate? Why don't you do some research into Obama's time as a state legislator, because most of us outside of Illinois know next to nothing about this period in his life.
And why all this goddamn focus on who "wins" each state? The primaries (at least for the Dems) aren't a winner-take-all. All three of the leading Democratic candidates walk away from this with delegates to the convention. All three of them walked away from Iowa with delegates. Yet somehow Hillary's loss in Iowa all but doomed her campaign in the eyes of the media.
*sigh* And they wonder why people are disillusioned with the process.....
I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
Like most /.ers, I've been enamored of Ron Paul, but this poor showing in what should have been Ron's best state is disheartening to me. Yes, I know it was better than Fred Thompson -- but to be 2 places behind Huckabee? Ron's campaign seems to be so much more about the message than the man, which is great -- that's the way it should be. But the message is not getting our there. And I'm not sure why. Ron had a great point in the ABC debate when he pointed out that the price of a barrel of oil in gold is the same as it was in 1992. Everyone can understand that, and it clarifies why fixing fiscal policy is a giant issue. Ron's ideas of cutting spending, ending the war, following the Constitution and removing the income tax seem to be at least talking points that should be doing better than what Ron seems to be getting in the polls. So where is the disconnect?
I think the problem is that getting elected is still about campaigning -- and Ron's campaign is not being run as skillfully as others. Living in MA, I was waiting for the call to volunteer. I signed up to make phone calls, hold signs, do anything. I was never contacted or asked to do anything.
So I'll still keep giving money -- I want Ron's ideas to be heard everywhere, so that in 2012 the right candidate will not be buried/censored/mocked by the main stream media. And hopefully the campaign will raise the money sooner, and hire a real campaign manager. To change everything, as Ron and his followers want to do, will mean winning a presidential election -- and doing that means winning an American style presidential campaign. The message can win -- if it gets out there.
I hope someone can convince me there's still hope for this year, because I want to believe.
Nothing great was ever achieved without enthusiasm
May the best one win!
Knowing voters? They won't.
For the most part the top three aren't going to change. The media is doing their damnedest to see this holds true. The best I really hope for at this point is that some ideals sift to the top and people start to embrace candidates who don't march to the beat of a party drum. As much as I'd like to see Ron Paul at the top I think it would be just as sweet to see some more of his type of independence in the house and senate.
Dedicated Cthulhu Cultist since 4523 BC.
If Obama can come within 2% of winning in a state that is about 97% white, I think he's got a very good chance nationwide. I don't think it's unfair to think that had something to do with the loss.
-William Brendel
And before any of the Paulites offer a retort like, "Ron Paul says he didn't even write the newsletter," consider this. Whether he did or did not read the newsletter is completely irrelevant. The quotes are not isolated: for example, the entire "article" about the L.A. riots is a six-page racist tirade. Moreover, they span over a fifteen year period. Therefore, one can reasonably conclude that one of two things is true. Either a) Ron Paul read the newsletter and tacitly approved of what his ghost writer wrote or b) he didn't read the newsletter which he lent his name and support to once in fifteen years. Neither speaks well about his integrity.
This is the problem with the media and over reporting of the primaries. It plays on people's unconscious desire to support a winner.
There should be no "momentum" in an election. The fact that there is illustrates that a significant number of voters "follow the leader". This is not to say that people are _completely_ sheepish, but rather when faced with a decision, a significant part of that decision is what other people are doing.
But, I guess that is how all social animals behave.
Remember, You are unique...just like everyone else.
What is the point of comparing the price of oil with the price of gold?
Oil is bought with dollars (Venezuela and Iraq both considered switching to euros, guess which two countries the US didn't like) not gold. This is actually important, it is considered one of the things to help keep the dollar somewhat alive.
Gold is also not nearly as stable as people seem to think. So explain why this connection should be so clear and what it all means.
I have read up on Ron Paul and the couple of policies that he has sound intresting until you start to wonder how to actually implement them.
End the war. Oh goodie, another vietnam style strategic withdrawal (read route, if you are dumping your helicopts overboard to make room for new refugees, you ain't withdrawing, you are running)? The US made the mess, would be nice if you clean it up first before you go back home. It don't matter if you are pro or anti the war, it is a fact and you have to deal with it and you can't just runaway.
Cut spending. Another lovely one. I got a way to cut spending right here. NO SALARY FOR THE PRESIDENT and he pays rent for the whitehouse and buys his own airline tickets. Wanna bet NONE of these simple spending cuts will be taken up? On a larger level, you just can't cut spending. It just never works out, even if you try to do it for real and massively re-organize the state, the cost of the re-organisation will take years to re-coup in savings. Companies know this, that is why big companies when they make cuts in staff to save money ALWAYS reserve extra cash to pay for it. Saving money costs money. It gets even worse in big projects because the money you are cutting is somebodies income. Close a department and you are firing people, never a good idea for somebody who is elected by a popularity contest.
A policy of cutting spending is like a good intention with no actuall plan attached. Show me where you are going to cut spending, how you are going to deal with the sideeffects and how much it is going to cost to achieve in the first place.
Removing the income tax, another idiotic scheme. Sure it can be done, but it would require a massive change and is going to upset a lot of people. Voting people. It would basically force a radical change on how the US funds itself and what it can and cannot do. How are politicians going to buy votes with pork projects if there is no cash?
No Ron Paul is just another smooth talking figure head who promises everything that people like you want to hear without actually ever going into how he thinks he is going to achieve any of this.
In the Netherlands we got something called the "rekenkamer" (mathchamber) which during campaigns checks the various political parties agenda's for financial soundness (normaly they check the goverments policies). They don't judge right or wrong, just wether the financial side of it all makes sense. Promise free public transport, abolish taxes all fine with them, but the figures have to match up.
Perhaps the US should do something similar, check all the politicians promises and do the math.
MMO Quests are like orgasms:
You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.
Considering how keen America is on exporting democracy to all and sundry, have you any idea how damned wierd your particular version looks to non-Americans? I've just had to spend twenty mins on Google trying to work it all out what with primaries, electroral collages etc. The fact that it seems to require so much money just to get heard doesn't help. Not really a very good advert for democracy in action.
I want a list of atrocities done in your name - Recoil
That doesn't match what is listed on CNN:
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/scorecard/#R
Some of the difference may be due to the inclusion of unpledged delegates on CNN. But even so, Huckebee should be probably listed as 21, not 31, (and puts Romney considerably ahead).
How anyone on Slashdot can seriously consider anyone that doesn't believe in Evolution is beyond me. It seems like a one question sanity test.
Wikipedia provides a more detailed explanation. In particular, many states have moved their primaries to earlier dates this year in an attempt to have a greater perceived impact. The parties don't like this, and, since these are party events after all, they have reacted by stripping some or all of the delegates to be awarded in these early elections.
Yes, it's utterly impossible that different locales could have different election results. Everyone knows every state is entirely homogeneous.
Nah, seriously, I'm glad people like you are keeping tabs on things related to computer voting, but this little statistic just doesn't sound significant to me.
Comment of the year
I am a white conservative Christian Republican. Obama is none of those. And yet I still think you're talking out your ass. Your allusion to "his Muslim heritage" fails in two huge ways:
- It's been proven time and time again that he isn't a Muslim, so why bring it up?
- It implies that there's a set of acceptable religions for those in government and a corresponding set of unacceptable ones. As a Baptist, I don't want Baptists added to the "bad list". Therefore, neither can I tolerate another religion added to that list. I don't agree with Islam and I'm not particularly in favor of Muslims in high office here, but intellectually I understand that I can't deny anyone that freedom while expecting to retain it myself. So drop it already, OK?
his current church is known for running astroturfing campaigns against telecoms, and astroturfing for Comcast.Obama owns a church? Wow! That's more impressive than I'd given him credit for. Back in reality, it's pretty much guaranteed that every religious group has members that do something unappealing, and equally guaranteed that the other members have nothing to do with it.
Dewey, what part of this looks like authorities should be involved?
This is what I don't understand...why the hell are Iowa and NH always first and second in this process?
I'd dare say they don't reflect a good spread of what the whole country thinks or wants. Why aren't ALL states voting at the same time, like in the national election? It sucks that candidates that would be more viable to the country as a whole are kicked to the curb early on before the rest of the country gets to vote for them to represent their party.
At the very least...they should move the starting primaries to different states each time...so that each state would get a chance to be first to evaluate the candidates.
There are many things that need to be considered for change in our election system, but, I'd say the primary method should be first to change as that it effects the WHOLE process early on...
Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
If Obama can come within 2% of winning in a state that is about 97% white, I think he's got a very good chance nationwide.
What a nice backhanded way of saying you think most people are racist pigs. Voters (especially) are better than that.
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
This is what I don't understand...why the hell are Iowa and NH always first and second in this process?
Historical process? The national conventions officially pick the candidates. Local party activists and elected officials were the delegates (or picked them). There was the fighting in 1968 (mentioned elsewhere), but I think that New Hampshire created the idea of elected delegates (similar to how our electoral college is chosen by statewide popular vote, while originally the state legislatures named the electors) from a primary. The Iowa Democrats decided to have a caucus day for party organization, where people would show up all at once and conduct party business, and name the delegates to the national convention or something similar. In 1980 the Republicans in Iowa decided that they wanted to be first in the nation as well, so they set up a primary... but legally New Hampshire was protected as first primary, so they called it a caucus.
The argument for leaving it alone... If you come up with an idea to reform Democracy, and everyone copies it, should you keep a benefit? On top of that, the people of Iowa and New Hampshire, by the nature of the situation, appear to take primaries VERY seriously. Polls of the people showing up to vote have spent more time on the matter than others do. They have created a culture around their Caucus/Primary process, and maybe it's not a bad thing to do.
The pushed up Super Tuesday debacle is bad, but what if you leave Iowa/NH alone for historical reasons, but then have rotating small state regional ones. Michigan is big, but gives you a midwest primary, SC a southern one, Wyoming popped up with a western state early, but seemed mostly ignored... throw Oregon in there and you've done a round of regional voting. Add Delaware if you think that Midatlantic states get short thrift.
If you did those over the span of 2 months, then moved to larger regional primaries... i.e. have 2 states/week for the next 2 months, then let the big states move, you'd get a more fair system. The small states could let candidates practice retail campaigning, which lets non-corporate or rich candidates compete, but the big states would pick in the end.
In the end, a Super Tuesday with the 10-20 largest states would mean that in any contested primary, they pick who wins.
I would also standardize delegate selection... either winner take all or proportional. But by most places being proportional (which has the added benefit of the chief backers of major candidates all getting to go to the convention), and California being winner take all (IIRC from 4 years ago). California has a HUGELY disproportional affect... possibly to the point of single handedly decided a contested race.
California, by population, is something like 25x-30x the size of New Hampshire... It shouldn't have 100x the influence.
Hey, I like some of his policies. Though I do think that many of his economic policies, in particular, are completely unworkable; and his "social" policies mostly regressive.
I was referring to the fact that, policies aside, the man is batshit insane. Did you watch his speech? Even if he came up with the best policies on earth, the "leader of the free world" just shouldn't be a crazy person.
sic transit gloria mundi
That poll would be better if it allowed you to weight each of the ten issues (say on a 1-5 scale of importance to you). Then it could calculate a weighted score for you--my concern about the economy is not equivalent to my concern about health care, and maybe other people vice versa. Assigning an equal weight to each issue distorts your final results.
The Rise and Fall of Online Community
That quiz you mention is terribly long winded and uses insufferable political language. I found this short test linked from the Dennis Kucinich web site. It's centered on 25 key issues and takes only a few minutes of your time.