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How Apple Rumors Became Reality

Lucas123 writes "Computerworld has a story on how bloggers, rumormongers and Web sleuths pulled together the story of the MacBook Air several days before Steve Jobs unveiled the laptop on stage on Tuesday, something that is nearly unprecedented in the annals of Apple announcements. 'Remember the sturm und drang that erupted after Think Secret revealed the coming of the Mac Mini, prompting Apple to take legal action to silence Think Secret? Is Apple off its game on keeping secrets now? Why was this year's secret leak different? In a word: teamwork.' This seems to be good case study on how to use information from sites like AppleInsider, 9to5mac.com and Ars Technica get a peek under the covers on future talks."

23 of 86 comments (clear)

  1. Peek under Jobs' covers by Trigun · · Score: 5, Funny

    Count me out. I'm not THAT big of a fanboy.

    1. Re:Peek under Jobs' covers by ChrisA90278 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      "Count me out. I'm not THAT big of a fanboy."

      Fanboys don't work so hard. Investment analysts sometimes do. The point is that if you can predict the future you can make a killing in the stock market. Apple's stock is very volitile. It goes up and down. If you can predict those little bumps you can get rich.
      Just think: If you KNEW 100% that some long awaited announcement would result in disappointment and a $11 loss in the stock price you'd short Apple. So there is a whole ecosystem built around trying to predict what will happen to Apple.

  2. Googling the Adium logs by Tibor+the+Hun · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The first mention I saw of Macbook Air was on a particular site, where someone reported that googling through Adium logs showed a connection made from a MacBook Air.
    Now, everyone can make a custom description there, to my understanding, but then people noticed that various macbookair.* websites were registered with ties to Apple.
    (All of this happened a few days before the keynote.)

    Also, can we officially start calling it AirBook? It's much simpler to say.

    --
    If you don't know what AltaVista is (was), get off my lawn.
    1. Re:Googling the Adium logs by tirerim · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Sort of: after the log entry was revealed, the owner of macrumors.com registered macbookair.com (and then said that he would be happy to transfer it to Apple gratis if they wanted it); this apparently triggered the registration of all the other macbookair domains by Apple, but the company that does their domain registrations offers a service of automatically registering potentially trademarked domains, so there was speculation that this was not a particular decision by Apple. And it should be noted that Apple doesn't normally bother to register domains named after their computer lines.

    2. Re:Googling the Adium logs by Breakfast+Pants · · Score: 4, Informative

      That's a bit revisionist. The MacBook Pro came before the MacBook, and it was a replacement for the PowerBook, not the iBook. The reason for the name change only tangentially was for "[making sure that consumers knew that] even though it's Intel based, it still has the Mac OS"; the real reason was to avoid having "Power" in the name since it no longer used the "PowerPC" architecture.

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      WHO ATE MY BREAKFAST PANTS?
    3. Re:Googling the Adium logs by hemp · · Score: 3, Informative

      That's a bit revisionist. The MacBook Pro came before the MacBook, and it was a replacement for the PowerBook, not the iBook. The reason for the name change only tangentially was for "[making sure that consumers knew that] even though it's Intel based, it still has the Mac OS"; the real reason was to avoid having "Power" in the name since it no longer used the "PowerPC" architecture.

      But the PowerBook name was used prior to the use of the PowerPC architecture. The PowerBook Duo 210 came out in 1992 and used Motorola 68030.

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      Skip ------ See the latest from http://www.anArchyFortWorth.com
  3. Pulled Together? by fm6 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I think the pundits are overcongratulating themselves. Yes, many predicted that Apple would come out with an ultraskinny laptop. But all the stories I saw the day before, from multiple sources, all predicted that Apple would announce a system with no hard disk. Not clear to me whether they were talking about a simple flash-based system or a serious SSD-computer (not sure any of them knew the difference) but most versions basically said it would be something that would be an adjunct to your main computer. In other words, an Apple version of the Palm Foleo! Yeah, right.

    Not to run down the Air, which seems to be a decent little box. But it's just a laptop with a minimum of extraneous hardware. (Unless you consider a fixed-focus camera to be extraneous; come to think of it, I do.) Not exactly a major revolution worthy of all the religious awe and ecstasy.

    1. Re:Pulled Together? by kestasjk · · Score: 5, Funny
      What are you talking about? It's it's 0.2 inches thinner on average than the closest competitor, and it's fully recyclable; if that isn't revolutionary then what is?

      Things that were revolutionary, in ascending order:
      • Refrigerators
      • Object oriented design
      • The transistor
      • Writing
      • Agriculture
      • The Renaissance
      • Renting movies over the internet from your couch
      • A laptop which is 0.2 inches thinner than the next-thinnest laptop


      P.S. I hate the word "revolutionary" when referring to anything computer related. One of the best things about community driven FOSS projects is the lack of BS words like "revolutionary".
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      // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    2. Re:Pulled Together? by ZombieRoboNinja · · Score: 5, Informative

      >>One of the best things about community driven FOSS projects is the lack of BS words like "revolutionary".

      Google the following:
      "Openoffice+revolutionary": 174,000 results.
      "Bittorrent+revolutionary": 249,000
      "Firefox+revolutionary": 435,000
      "Linux+revolutionary": 441,000
      "Richard+Stallman+revolutionary": 167,000

      Whatever positive attributes the open-source movement might have, lack of hyperbole is not high among them.

    3. Re:Pulled Together? by Locklin · · Score: 3, Funny

      "windows+revolutionary": 2,050,000

      HA! I CALL QUESTION TO YOUR METHODS! (in Stewie Griffin's voice)

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      "Knowledge is the only instrument of production that is not subject to diminishing returns" -Journal of Political Econom
    4. Re:Pulled Together? by Breakfast+Pants · · Score: 4, Funny

      Apparently writing didn't enhance your cognitive abilities enough to know what "ascending order" means.

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      WHO ATE MY BREAKFAST PANTS?
  4. Re:Seriously.... by truthsearch · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The first people to publish information about a new secret product can easily get a massive amount of page views. Profits for blogs and news sites are mostly from traffic, so they tend to choose topics that drive traffic to their site. A hot new product from Apple is definitely one of them.

    For some it's simply fanboyism. Just like a fan of a band can't wait to hear their new songs, big Apple fans can't wait to hear about the next product.

  5. Re:Seriously.... by __aajfby9338 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Why do people try so hard to crack a "secret" the company's going to reveal to the world in 48 hours?

    Why do kids sneak in to the living room and shake all of the Christmas presents when they're going to open them up in 48 hours? Excitement. Anticipation. Enthusiasm. Some folks just can't bear the wait, and thus love to learn any clues that they can. Plus, Apple's deliberate attempts to keep things secret are an irresistible challenge to many folks who like to play detective.

  6. That's it.. by clickclickdrone · · Score: 3, Funny

    I'm officially old. I think about finding out about new kit 48 hours later and think 'meh'. Once upon a time I'd have wet my pants in anticipation. Oh, the horror!

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    I want a list of atrocities done in your name - Recoil
  7. Rumors become reality? by Aladrin · · Score: 4, Insightful

    These rumors didn't 'become' reality... They were based on it. The reality came first. All these fan sites did -nothing- to influence Apple. They just reported the news. It'd be like congratulation Channel 1 News for making firefighters save a girl from a burning building. They had -no- influence, they only reported what they heard (or made up and happened to match reality).

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    "If you make people think they're thinking, they'll love you; But if you really make them think, they'll hate you." - DM
    1. Re:Rumors become reality? by sayfawa · · Score: 4, Informative

      Obviously, you haven't seen the Apple Product Cycle.

      --
      Free the Quark 3 from asymptotic confinement! Bring your charm! Don't get down! All colours and flavours welcome!
  8. Remember? by Hatta · · Score: 4, Funny

    'Remember the sturm und drang that erupted after Think Secret revealed the coming of the Mac Mini, prompting Apple to take legal action to silence Think Secret?'

    Remember it? I don't even know what it is!?

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    Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
  9. It's really not that impressive... by twitchingbug · · Score: 3, Interesting

    when you piece it together 3 days before the keynote because of the very posters that Apple themselves put up for everyone to see. Come back to me, when you figure out something 3 months in advance of a keynote. That'll be something.

  10. Re:Reason for secrets? by peragrin · · Score: 3, Insightful

    ah but that is the kicker. Really smart people don't buy revision A apple hardware. It always has a few loose ends that need to be fixed.

    I want an iPhone. but I am waiting until at least the SDK and third party apps ship, or the second revision of the phone.

    which ever comes first. This way I am not the beta tester. Sort of like SP1, or SP2 for MSFT software. the really annoying bugs are finally worked out of the system and it becomes useful.

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    i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
  11. baaa baaa by cas2000 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    who cares?

    you're doing exactly what apple's marketing dept wants, getting sucked into the bullshit hype.

    the reason they make such a fuss about keeping it 'secret' is because they want suckers (i.e. YOU) to think that they're in touch with exclusive, important information so that they'll then do a shitload of free advertising for apple in their attempts to tell everyone they know how cool & uber-1337 they are for knowing such top-secret stuff.

    and you suckers fall for it every time.

  12. Um, leaks? by rtechie · · Score: 4, Informative

    I work across the street from Apple and I heard Apple employees talking about the "thinbook" (that's that they were calling it) at the coffee shop. Just because Apple has a reputation for stopping leaks, that doesn't mean Apple doesn't leak. iTunes leaked too.

  13. Re:Seriously.... by GnarlyDoug · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It's not insider trading, just trading. If you can predict ahead of everyone else, even by the thinest of margins, what is going to happen to a stock then you can make a lot of money. Apple stock is incredibly volatile. It moves up and down so much that if you can predict one of those moves you can make 20%+ profit in a couple of days easily.

  14. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 5, Funny

    Comment removed based on user account deletion