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NASA Vets & Administration Clash Over Moon Plans

mattnyc99 writes "There's a serious feud brewing this week over the Bush administration's plan for a manned mission to the Moon as an eventual stepping stone to Mars. The Planetary Society, a top group of former mission managers, space-based scientists and NASA astronauts argues, is set to rebuke the Moon plan at a conference next month in favor of hopskotching an asteroid on the way to the Red Planet. Agency chief Michael Griffin issued an abnormally strong response to the society, calling it an overly political criticism of Bush for a plan that he says was 'the best legislative guidance NASA has ever had.' Either way, it's clear that the stars are aligning for the whole space race to be reconsidered as a new administration steps into the White House. So far Clinton and Obama (who just added his) are the only contenders with space proposals."

47 of 158 comments (clear)

  1. With an appropriate call for proposals by WormholeFiend · · Score: 4, Funny

    I'm sure they can find a good movie studio to shoot both projects

  2. In before... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    That's no moon... that's an overused joke.

  3. Of course its not generating enthusiasm by Shivetya · · Score: 3, Interesting

    for a moonshot. Its too far off to generate interest. We are also buried under a horribly long political process.

    I am very convinced that if some of the leading candidates get in with all their promises of health care and expanded benefits there won't be any money for NASA to do something big. It will simply fall by the way side because it simply doesn't get Congressmen or Presidents votes.

    The best thing has already been done, the hard choice has already been made, axing the shuttle. Hopefully that expense relief won't be taken from NASA but I fear it will. Without the costly expenditures needed the money will probably go elsewhere.

    If the main opposition is truly because "BUSH" wanted it then it speaks volumes for just how juvenile the opponents have become. We need a direction, it has to come from the Administration, as Congress no longer attempts to lead anywhere but schemes to keep themselves perpetually in office. NASA has been wandering, stuck with two spruce gooses. The shuttle and ISS. The ISS could flourish without the shuttle and we can hope it will. Yet I am very sure that with all the promises being made by candidates that NASA is the least of their concerns. We are seeing the greatest promised expansion of Federal power over our lives and people are cheering it on as if it were the latest American Idol contest. That is not an avenue for great science to occur

    --
    * Winners compare their achievements to their goals, losers compare theirs to that of others.
    1. Re:Of course its not generating enthusiasm by Chris+Burke · · Score: 4, Informative

      If the main opposition is truly because "BUSH" wanted it then it speaks volumes for just how juvenile the opponents have become.

      The main opposition is because Bush wanted it, and then didn't fund it. He wants a positive legacy (since his *ahem* other legacy isn't looking so hot), but he didn't want to spend any of the political capital necessary to actually do it. It's like his suddenly trying to jump start the Middle East Peace Plan he'd been ignoring for 7 years, only here it's even easier to just "mandate" that it be done without doing anything substantive to accomplish it. He gets to seem like a visionary in the present, and if it somehow ever happens he can claim credit, and if not, nobody will remember that niggling detail of his Presidency anyway.

      Bush's "Mars, Bitches!" plan, and resulting budget problems since now NASA had a huge new project to worry about and no additional money to do it with, was one of the factors that directly contributed to the scrapping of any Hubble repair mission.

      You want to talk about generating enthusiasm? The continued operation of Hubble would generate ten times more interest than a moon/mars plan that in the most optimistic thinking of a hypothetical plan by a guy who had no intention of being around to see any of it turned into reality isn't going to do anything for a decade.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    2. Re:Of course its not generating enthusiasm by dragonfire5287 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Actually, they are taking it from a more scientific standpoint and the view expressed by the Planetary Society's founder Carl Sagan. We've been to Luna, there is not much more for us to learn from landing on her. However, a near earth asteroid would provide us with a wealth of new scientific data and possibly provide us with metals we will need to use on Mars.

    3. Re:Of course its not generating enthusiasm by fermion · · Score: 2, Insightful
      First, not liking an idea just because it is a Bush idea is not such a bad thing. The idea to start a war sounded good at the time, but now has grown the deficit to an astronomical percentage of GDP, and has left us with little room to wiggle out of a depression. On another idea of he and his friends, you might want to ask the good people Arlington if the 135 million dollar tax funded toy was really worth it. It was worth it for Bush as it earned him nearly 15 million dollars with almost no investment(FYI major legue baseball is played in a field that cost only $190 million dollars, in 1990 dollars.

      But lets leave the fact that Bush waste money at the speed of light. There are real reasons to wonder if the moon is the best place to settle. the primary issue is that getting things off earth is very expensive, and we are the realm of throw away rockets. One way to curb this expense is have reusable vehicles in LEO, and only worry about getting people to LEO. The parts for these vehicles could be launched as cargo, which is much cheaper than launching everything at human safety values.

      It is much better for us to be patient and develop LEO as a transit point. The fanciful idea of the moon as a vacation spot is like flying cars. I am sure that all this is real in the fairy tale mind of our president, but in the real world, where we do not have rich parent to make sugar daddy deals for us, we have to make real concessions and real sacrifices.

      --
      "She's a scientist and a lesbian. She's not going to let it slide." Orphan Black
    4. Re:Of course its not generating enthusiasm by sumdumass · · Score: 4, Insightful
      There are a few issues with your post I would like to point out.

      The main opposition is because Bush wanted it, and then didn't fund it. He wants a positive legacy (since his *ahem* other legacy isn't looking so hot), but he didn't want to spend any of the political capital necessary to actually do it. It's like his suddenly trying to jump start the Middle East Peace Plan he'd been ignoring for 7 years, only here it's even easier to just "mandate" that it be done without doing anything substantive to accomplish it. He gets to seem like a visionary in the present, and if it somehow ever happens he can claim credit, and if not, nobody will remember that niggling detail of his Presidency anyway.
      First, Bush asked for 1 billion in new funding and diverted some from the then 11 billion budget which was supposed to be skimmed from existing project over the next five to 11 years. He stated that he would go back to congress and request more money as it progressed. As it is, we haven't spent the real money on going to the moon so the non-funding issue seems minor as it is. I also remember a directive coming down the pipe scolding NASA officials for starting new projects with the lunar funding that was set aside in 2004-05.

      Second, your concept of the middle east peace process seems to mimic a headline news blurb. Bush and his administration has been working for middle east peace since the start of his first term. It wasn't until recently that he actually took a trip there outside of US military bases and war zones.

      You can argue not enough or soon enough, or a combination of both and be correct. But claiming he didn't care or didn't find is a little disingenuous. It may seem like that to you if your mostly paying attention to headline news and the sorts (some call it the drive by media) so I can understand the position.

      Bush's "Mars, Bitches!" plan, and resulting budget problems since now NASA had a huge new project to worry about and no additional money to do it with, was one of the factors that directly contributed to the scrapping of any Hubble repair mission.
      You mean the arguments about being risky and so on were a bunch of lies? Tell me, what costs has NASA created that has zapped up close to 12 billion dollars in less then 3 years without producing a vehicle yet? Last I head NASA wasn't in the habit of waisting money or am I wrong about that? Oh yea, I remember now, NASA has been ignoring the budget redirections and Congress has been earmarking portions of the funding and spending the money on anything they damn well pleased which caused the hubbub about Bush re-redirecting funds about a year or so ago. Hardly a problem because of lack of funding, Maybe lack of oversight of congress pilfering for their contributers and rogue NASA officials.

      I'm actually surprised that your even blaming this on Bush too. It seems that the democrats are the ones wanting to cut NASA's budget. They wanted to pull 500 million so they could 1.3 billion to the global AIDS fund. Instead, they ended up placing the 2007 funding at 2006 levels. I think they are just as hard if not harder on NASA then any republican congress. It all depends on who's contractors are donating money and who is in power at the time I guess. This seems hardly a one sided issue though.

      You want to talk about generating enthusiasm? The continued operation of Hubble would generate ten times more interest than a moon/mars plan that in the most optimistic thinking of a hypothetical plan by a guy who had no intention of being around to see any of it turned into reality isn't going to do anything for a decade.
      Isn't there a repair mission already scheduled for the Hubble? I think it is slated for 2008 and will replace the batteries, gyroscopes, a spectrograph, and the main camera which should put it back in operation until at least 2013.
    5. Re:Of course its not generating enthusiasm by shadowkiller137 · · Score: 2, Funny

      well maybe when Virgin Galactic starts going to the moon NASA can just hitch a ride

    6. Re:Of course its not generating enthusiasm by gad_zuki! · · Score: 2, Insightful

      >The idea to start a war sounded good at the time

      Yeah if you were either a psychopath or a moron at the time.

    7. Re:Of course its not generating enthusiasm by mattjb0010 · · Score: 4, Funny

      Bush and his administration has been working for middle east peace since the start of his first term.

      Ah, so that's why he started a war there.

    8. Re:Of course its not generating enthusiasm by pnewhook · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Isn't there a repair mission already scheduled for the Hubble? I think it is slated for 2008 and will replace the batteries, gyroscopes, a spectrograph, and the main camera which should put it back in operation until at least 2013.

      Actually one of the first things Griffin did was to cancel a near complete robotic program to repair Hubble. He only allowed a shuttle repair after the huge backlash from both the public and scientific community. If he hadn't cancelled the program, Hubble would have been repaired / upgraded right now.

      --
      Tesla was a genius. Edison however was a overrated hack who liked to torture puppies.
  4. Let's look closer to home, first by r_jensen11 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    One thing that really struck a cord with me was when I saw Carol Moseley Braun being interviewed on The Daily Show (14 January, 2004.) Somehow, the topic of space exploration came up. I believe it had to do with 'renewed interest' in going to Mars. If I recall properly, Jon asked her what she thought of going to Mars and if she had a plan to get us there. I think she said something along the lines of "Sure, I don't think we shouldn't go to Mars." But I remember her explicitly stating that there is so little we know about Earth. Specifically, she wanted to redirect our scientific efforts from focusing on outer space and focusing on Earth, and more specifically, underwater exploration. We know virtually nothing about our seas and oceans. And they're close. I believe Mosely Brown used the rational that it would take 18 months to get to Mars, but it would take only hours to get to the bottom of the Ocean. That, and what happens in the oceans affects us a hell of a lot more than what happens on Mars.

    1. Re:Let's look closer to home, first by TheKidWho · · Score: 3, Interesting

      So we should abandon space travel and live on our little planet then? The Earth is but a dot in the universe, why should we keep our species stuck on it forever.

    2. Re:Let's look closer to home, first by KillerCow · · Score: 5, Insightful
    3. Re:Let's look closer to home, first by The+One+and+Only · · Score: 5, Insightful

      We shouldn't abandon space travel simply to explore the earth, but on the same token, we shouldn't abandon the earth simply to explore space either!

      --
      In Repressive Burma, it's not just your connection that dies. slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=314547&cid=20819199
    4. Re:Let's look closer to home, first by wizardforce · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Specifically, she wanted to redirect our scientific efforts from focusing on outer space and focusing on Earth, and more specifically, underwater exploration.
      something tells me that isn't the least bit likely. The temptation to spend the ten billion a year NASA uses on something entirely useless to science and the world as a whole is too strong. Meanwhile, we'll still be in Iraq for some idiot reason spending money 100x the rate the space program has and doing nothing but killing and seriously p---ing off the locals. The benefits to science and technology from the space program are worth a lot more than the cash that is put into space programs. Never mind the resources outside Earth just sitting on comets and asteroids, think of all the data we've gathereed from space about the Earth and the universe billions of light years away from Hubble.
      --
      Sigs are too short to say anything truly profound so read the above post instead.
    5. Re:Let's look closer to home, first by moderatorrater · · Score: 5, Funny

      Wait a minute, you're offering a compromise and speaking as if there were a middle ground and not just two extremes. You and your views have no place in politics.

    6. Re:Let's look closer to home, first by Daimanta · · Score: 2, Funny

      Or Slashdot for that matter.

      --
      Knowledge is power. Knowledge shared is power lost.
  5. Objections by rijrunner · · Score: 5, Informative

    Weird, they don't even address any of the technical of economic objections to the Moon vs Mars mission. The article misses a lot of key points.

    1) There is very little technical overlap in designs between a lunar and martian based program. The Moon has no atmosphere. That means no atmospheric braking. A lander landing on the Moon is radically different than one landing on Mars since the lunar one has to use only rockets to slow its descent. The Martian one can use rockets and parachutes as well as glide. Also, the lack of an atmosphere means that the Moon can not as easily provide oxygen or fuel as Mars, where those products can be pulled directly from the atmosphere. The Moon requires regolith mining to obtain any materials.

    2) The transfer vehicle to the Moon is going to be able to complete the trip within 120 hours, or 240 hours if you have to do a return. That is easily within the range of not needing to recycle. You can just load up with consumables and then replenish at either end of the trip. The Martian vehicle will have to have some pretty hefty recycling technology.

    3) The day/night cycle on the Moon is vastly longer than that of Mars. Mars is pretty close to that of Earth. Solar power is not even remotely practical on the Moon. (Except in the polar regions where it s theorized that would be possible to find spots where you have continual daylight). If you want to go somewhere other than the poles on the Moon for any duration, you are looking at needing a new generation of nuclear power. Which would also be useful on Mars, but there is a tradeoff there in terms of mass and other factors.)

    4) I am back to "There is no atmosphere on the Moon" because it keeps impacting multiple areas. One of the problems that needs to be solved is HVAC type issues. Keeping things warm or cold. The Moon has no atmosphere, hence no convective heat transfer. All heat transfer is radiative or conductive. That necessitates a completely different thermodynamic paradigm than would be possible on Mars.

    5) In terms of Human factors, the Moon is 1/6th gravity and Mars is 1/3th. That means items on Mars weighs twice as much as that on the Moon. The lunar space suits can not be worn on Mars as they are too heavy. New ones need to be designed. (We're also back to "The Moon has no atmosphere". Space suits need to be able to maintain a steady temperature inside. Since a lunar space suit is essentially a thermos when you consider it is in vacuum, all you have to worry about it shedding excess heat. On Mars, you are essentially enveloped by a fluid - the atmosphere - which has a temperature and can carry away excess heat.)

    Actually, the reason for the asteroid mission instead of the lunar one is simple. It will require essentially the same type of spaceship that is required to get to Mars. The lunar base only has about 20% overlap with Mars technologies and - honestly - for those 20%, Earth is as good an analog as the Moon. When you develop a technology to go to the Moon, that is what you are developing. You are not developing one for Mars.

    Essentially, you get the Moon and Mars for only twice the amount as getting the Moon or Mars.

    1. Re:Objections by argStyopa · · Score: 5, Insightful

      "Essentially, you get the Moon and Mars for only twice the amount as getting the Moon or Mars."

      OK, you've listed all the non-advantages for a moon program. Now how about some advantages?

      1) by developing technologies for hard vacuum, you are in a sense prepping for one of the hardest parts of the Mars mission, that is, a months/years long transit time. You have a nearly perfect platform for testing technologies outside of the Van Allen belt(s), exposing them for long durations to solar heating and occluded cooling. Note: developing the tech for an asteroid mission is essentially saying that 'we can already do this part' - can we? Reliably to put a crew's lives at risk over extended periods of time?

      2) long-term value: geopolitical, military, commercial, geographic - as you dismissively point out, there are theoretically (only!) 2 places where solar power access is continual. Possibly more importantly these two places (the poles) are also the only places where the sun, the earth, in fact the entire ecliptic (north or south) is in clear line of sight. How much are those two spots worth today? How much will they be worth in a century? Want to surveil deep space while having a straight line-of-sight link to earth? Want to have a launch point for a flinger that could theoretically put lunar materials anywhere in the earth-moon system with the simplest ballistic solution? I'd argue that being the first with a permanent base there has an INCALCULABLE value over longer timespans. And if you have the first base on one pole, it's not a giant stretch to put a second one on the other pole and monopolize both. The lunar poles - for near-earth space - are practically 21st Century Suez or Panama canals in their strategic value.

      3) raw materials: again, a lunar base in the longer term answers one of the bigger questions to space exploitation. Tossing something up to an orbiting factory or processor module is trivial from the moon, and the effectively limitless raw material (including rather important oxides) doesn't hurt. Going to an asteroid lets you explore, but bringing that back where it could be usefully exploited is an ENTIRELY larger project with propulsive technologies we aren't even CLOSE to having.

      Personally, if I were looking at it as a game of Civ or something, I'd say the asteroid is probably the cheaper, higher payoff short range program. The lunar base is the more expensive, slower-to-develop programs that ends up being the incontestable game-winning economic- and military-power multiplier in the endgame.

      Needless to say, I don't see nearly the value you do in an asteroid mission. I see THAT as the 'flash in the pan' while the idea of a lunar base is the investment-growth option, for Mars certainly, but also for decades if not centuries further on.

      --
      -Styopa
    2. Re:Objections by Keebler71 · · Score: 2, Interesting
      I don't think you get it... the moon mission isn't analogous to a Mars mission due to the destination environments. A moon mission (in its entirety) is an analog to the transit portion of a Mars mission. As you point out, Mars has an atmosphere - we don't need to go anywhere else to test atmospheric vehicles, or landers, or suits ... we can test those all here on Earth. Going to the moon, and living on the moon for six months forces us to deal with many of the mission challenges associated with a 6 month transit to Mars.

      The principle difference is that when an emergency occurs on the lunar surface you aren't more than 4-5 days tops from a safe return to Earth. When an emergency occurs on your way to Mars - you're hosed. In which scenario would you rather develop new technology?

      Now - an astute reader will ask, why don't we just learn the long duration stuff here in LEO? My response to that would be - why not kill many birds with one stone and also do some lunar science? We still do expeditions to Antarctica because there are still things to learn there. We've been to the moon what... 6 times? Why not also test out long range navigation and communication technologies that really aren't applicable at LEO?

      --
      "It takes considerable knowledge just to realize the extent of your own ignorance." - Thomas Sowell
    3. Re:Objections by PeanutButterBreath · · Score: 2, Insightful

      2) long-term value: geopolitical, military, commercial, geographic - as you dismissively point out, there are theoretically (only!) 2 places where solar power access is continual. Possibly more importantly these two places (the poles) are also the only places where the sun, the earth, in fact the entire ecliptic (north or south) is in clear line of sight. How much are those two spots worth today? How much will they be worth in a century? Want to surveil deep space while having a straight line-of-sight link to earth? Want to have a launch point for a flinger that could theoretically put lunar materials anywhere in the earth-moon system with the simplest ballistic solution? I'd argue that being the first with a permanent base there has an INCALCULABLE value over longer timespans. And if you have the first base on one pole, it's not a giant stretch to put a second one on the other pole and monopolize both. The lunar poles - for near-earth space - are practically 21st Century Suez or Panama canals in their strategic value. Jeez, if monopolizing lunar (or martian) resources is what is to motivate our space programs, we may as well forget the whole thing. We should just cut to the chase and focus our resources on killing each other here on earth rather than wasting them extending our greed and petty bickering into space.
    4. Re:Objections by argStyopa · · Score: 3, Informative

      Precisely the sort of naive objection I would expect on an internet forum.

      What else, pray tell, did you think was going to be our motivation? Altruism? The beautiful view?

      Organisms, including those that fly spaceships and use computers, compete with other organisms for resources. It's a zero-sum game. Those who compete best win, and are able to then pass some advantage to their children to give them a leg up in their own competition. Securing any advantage is good, securing that advantage while denying it to your competitors is logically BETTER.

      Either program - lunar or asteroidal - is going to cost hundreds of billions of dollars. Now, those dollars could be spent on many other things that are beneficial to our people or yes, our country. When deciding where to spend those dollars, I bloody well HOPE that someone is doing some sort of cost-benefit-time analysis. And if those dollars can be spent giving us something that is an advantage to us in terms of commercial, scientific or even - shudder to think of it! - military, doesn't it stand to reason that's worth pursuing?

      Unless of course you're one of those starry-eyed Utopians who believe that somehow we're gong to evolve into a future where people don't compete? Then you're simply irrelevant to the conversation, because if that's the case, there's no reason to spend the resources on space exploration in the first place when there are so many other pressing immediate human needs here on earth.

      --
      -Styopa
  6. Too late to be of value by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 5, Insightful
    In the 1960s, space represented many things and was very successful in focussing the USA in many ways. However, once done it has served its purpose and cannot easily serve it again.

    Sputnik put USA on the back foot. With the whole Communism vs capitalist theme going at the time, the space program was wrapped up tightly with the US national identity (gotta show those Russians who's boss). Space was patriotic. Space was exciting. The USA were the people doing the space thing. Space was completely intertwined in the national identity as well as the identity of a generation (the kids who grew up in the space era).

    The whole national obsession with the space program drove the interest in science which bootstrapped a generation of scientists and engineers. It was not space per se that did this, but the obsession that saw Apollo models hanging from the ceiling in every second kid's bedroom. That obsession was linked not only to science, but to selling cars, pens, breakfast cerial etc.

    Just rolling out another space program will do nothing to help education and science unless it is accompanied by the passion. What are the defining obsessions of today?

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
  7. Makes a lot more sense by monopole · · Score: 3, Insightful

    An asteroid has a much less steep gravity well than the moon. This would save a lot of fuel over a stopover at a moon base. The moon makes no sense as a stepping stone to Mars, but an asteroid might.

    1. Re:Makes a lot more sense by Loke+the+Dog · · Score: 2, Informative

      You, and many others, take the word stepping stone too literally. The idea is not to launch a mars mission from the moon, that would be stupid. Its a stepping stone in technology, organization, infrastructure and stuff.

      And also, but this isn't mentioned very often, in order to get and keep funding in a democracy, you need to frequently prove that you're making progress. On top of that you have to prove it to people who actually have no idea what you're really doing and what it is good for. They can't spend 10 years doing hard science on earth, and then send out a mission to mars, that will never get them enough money. They need to constantly remind people what they're doing. "Today, we found this interesting rock. Tomorrow we'll start installing this new solar panel", you know.

      Thats the point of the moon. To make science exciting and interesting, even to those who don't care about science.

  8. Re:PARSE ERROR by lgw · · Score: 4, Funny

    The Planetary Society, a top group of former mission managers, space-based scientists and NASA astronauts argues, is set to rebuke the Moon plan at a conference next month... What exactly are "NASA astronauts argues"? The Nasa astronaut eats, shoots and leaves. The NASA astronaut would like to thank his parents, Ayn Rand and God.
    --
    Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
  9. Ok WTF? by TopSpin · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The Planetary Society published this (pdf) in collaboration with Griffin (he's listed as one of nine members of the 'study team') before he became head of NASA. The Planetary Society got their guy in and he's following the plan they sold to the administration and Congress. What the fuck is going on here?

    If the peanut gallery over at the Planetary Society start jerking the Government's chain over settled NASA policy they're going to get stuff defunded. Most of our leading presidential candidates will take any excuse they can find to snatch away the funding and use it to buy votes some other way.

    --
    Lurking at the bottom of the gravity well, getting old
  10. Asteroid mining by markov_chain · · Score: 3, Interesting

    It could be just me, but a bunch of robotic probes going from asteroid to asteroid to drill samples in search of useful ores would be really cool.

    --
    Tsunami -- You can't bring a good wave down!
    1. Re:Asteroid mining by xanthines-R-yummy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I agree, but judging by your nick and the fact that you post on /. suggests to me that you aren't like the rest of the U.S. (hell, I'd argue the world...) Rather unfortunate, I might add...

  11. NASA will become the FAA of Space by GeneralCC · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Frankly I have little faith in NASA. I'm sure there's going to be some attempt to go to somewhere in space someday somehow (their "new" space shuttle is having serious problems and not to mention it a mock up it of the Saturn rocket used decades ago). I believe that the private realm of business will become dominant over NASA in the coming years. There is definitely potential for profit in space and NASA is too concerned about analytical science to figure out how to answer the entrepreneurial aspects of space. For example on the moon an isotope of helium could be used to create pure burning fuel for nuclear reactors. It's been estimated that the amount of platinum on certain asteroids would have market value in the trillions. NASA is too busy fighting a stubborn bureaucracy to really tap space's potential. They are never going to make bring space to the common person. Rather, I believe that private industry will take over as the dominant space explorers. NASA should fill in as a watchdog over the private space industry. I believe NASA should foster the growth of the space industry.

    1. Re:NASA will become the FAA of Space by geekoid · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Naw, the private sector will always be followers because there is no money in exploration for explorations sake. Well, no money for the initial company, lots of money for the contractor that build the technology.

      NASA is an investment.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  12. It seems to me that the Nasa Vets are off-topic by CokeJunky · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I was always under the impression that the moonbase plan was not really a hopscotch for going to mars physically, but rather a proving ground to test, develop, and prove that it is feasible to set up permanent installations on other planetary bodies. If something goes wrong in a moon mission (i.e. that Apollo mission), it's only three days away, and there is at least a chance of bringing people back home. A screw up on a year-plus mission is more certain death.

    I couldn't imagine trying to do something like that on an asteroid or going straight to mars until we have figured out how to get to the moon, and stay there for a while!

    --
    More Caffeine. NOW
  13. Put the $$ in fusion research by Jeff1946 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    As difficult as making fusion a viable energy source at least there is tremendous potential payoff. As to manned exploration of space it is only for the adventure. Robots can do so much better for so much less $$.

  14. The basic problem is... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    ... one of assumptions.

    If all you're going to do is a one-shot mission to the moon, mars or an asteroid, then it doesn't matter which one they do.

    They'll go to the moon/mars/asteroid, come home and pat themselves for a job well done and if we want to go back we have to do the whole damn thing over again.

    Heinlein said "Get to low-Earth orbit and you're halfway to anywhere". We need a truck stop in LEO. If we have someplace in LEO where we can stockpile fuel, food and water, it becomes much easier to start a mission from there than to carry everything in one go from the ground (and no, the ISS isn't even close).

  15. Re:I've always been amused... by tsotha · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Have any of you looked at what NASA conducts most of its research in? It ain't Velcro or Tang, boys. It's missiles and fighter jets. NASA was part of the Air Force, and that's largely still who it "works for". Ever looked at what most of the stuff the Shuttle was used to throw up into space? It ain't satellite TV. It's spy and military satellites...

    Oh please. NASA has very little to do with the development of missiles or fighter jets. All that stuff is done by the Air Force under separate contracts. Virtually all of NASA's money goes to manned spaceflight these days. The Air Force would like nothing better than to be rid of NASA, since using disposable launchers is much cheaper than using the shuttle. But they're forced to use the shuttle (or at least they were) to help justify its enormous expense.

    NASA doesn't "work for" the Air Force, unless you intend the quotes to show the statement is blatantly false. It's not a defense program or even a science program - it's a jobs program. The purpose of NASA is to steer money to specific congressional districts. And that's why, no matter how little it does, it will never be cut significantly.

  16. Re:I've always been amused... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    You appear to be under the illusion that NASA receives more than a fraction of a percent of the US budget.

  17. the best legislative guidance NASA has ever had by NeverVotedBush · · Score: 2, Funny

    My ass. The best guidance NASA ever had was when John F. Kennedy sent the United States to the moon.

    This "guidance" is nothing more than the best idea a stupid chimp could come up with at the time to try to ride Kennedy's coattails.

    As with just about anything Bush, going to the moon again is pretty stupid. What's the purpose? Hell, all we would need to do is just build a few new Saturn V's, a new LEM or two, and another couple of Lunar Rovers. We have all the plans and we know they work.

    Wasting the time and money on doing something we did almost 40 years ago is typical for our diminutive presidenter.

    Someone put him back on a Segway and hand him a pretzel.

  18. Old news in the space development community: by Hartree · · Score: 2, Informative

    Various space advocacy groups have been backing different visons of what type of exploration should be done for quite a long time.

    Planetary Society has been pushing Mars rather than return to the moon since at least the late 80s.

    At least part of that position was stated to be that a manned Mars mission could be a cooperative effort between the US and the Soviet Union. i.e. A political goal. That's an aspect that doesn't apply quite so much now.

    Also, at that time, the Planetary Society was a lot less keen on manned missions than robotic ones. Friedman, Murry and Sagan (the notable founders) were all veterans of the highly successful unmanned planetary probe missions. They tended to view the manned program as a very expensive method that tended to take money away from the robotic probes.

    Others disagreed with this viewpoint. The National Space Society, for example, (also populated with former astronauts and space scientists though no one as much of a household name as Sagan) tended to take a more pro manned space viewpoint.

  19. Space Initiative is nothing but vaporware by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I have been saying *all along* that Bush's Space proposal is *pure* vapor. He mentioned it once to leave a scant legacy, he never mentioned it again, and he very trivially increased NASA's budget.

    I can't believe how many space enthusiasts took this obvious bait.

    1. Re:Space Initiative is nothing but vaporware by khallow · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Well, G. W. Bush did kill the Space Shuttle and come up with an exit plan for the ISS (leave in 2016), which is far better an accomplishment in manned space than anything since Lyndon B. Johnson and Apollo. No matter the flaws of Ares, and they are numerous, those programs will never be as wasteful as the Space Shuttle was.

  20. Counterobjections by Gorimek · · Score: 2, Interesting

    For most practical purposes Mars also has no atmosphere. It's just 0.6% of our, or in other words 99.4% not there. Yes, it does change the conditions a bit, but Mars is much more like the moon than earth..

    With the moon as near to the sun as earth, but lacking clouds and atmosphere, it receives much more sunlight than corresponding spots on earth, and is therefore that much more suitable for solar energy. The 330 hour lunar night can be handled just like the 12 hour martian night, using battery technology.

  21. Re:With an appropriate call for proposals Yeh... by davidsyes · · Score: 2, Funny

    It won't be a windy day in Arizona, this time.

    But, when I re-read the tag, I saw:

      NASA, Vets & Administration Clash Over Moon Plans

    I guess monkeys or apes will go on the mock runs... They'll return (after 5,125 years of suspended animalization), and find... Cornelius? Or, maybe a Charlton Heston statue half-buried in older New York...

    Or, they'll find the Land of the Lost, with millions of sexually-incompatible Sleetaks groveling all over the Earth.

    I think the NASA part will be: Continuous audio piping of "Hey Hey, we're the Monkeys!...."

    --
    Previously: "Linux... Toward the Sunrise..." Now: "Linux... Toward the-- No, now, part of Every Sunrise"
  22. Why vets? by Askmum · · Score: 2, Funny

    I was really wondering wat vetenarians had to do with missions to Mars. Does NASA plan to send animals along with the ride? Maybe for fresh milk and eggs? Of is it just an experiment to send live-stock up there to see what the influence of zero-gravity has on such animals?

    Then it dawned upon me. This is a US site. A vet is something entirely different there.

  23. "abnormally strong response " by mulhall · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Not unusually strong but "abnormally strong"?

    One can only imagine Michael Griffin gurning, blood vessels popping, perhaps some sort of fit...has someone got the utube clip?

  24. Re:Watch out for the Green Footballs by sumdumass · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Bush CUT NASA funding early on then he gave some of it back later with plenty of strings to undermine earth science. I vaguely remember this from his 1st term. Entering office he stopped a ready to launch mission and even refused to let Japan or the EU complete it (because it could have strengthened or weakened global warming theories.)

    Yep, he sure did. He cut it by 51.3 million in 2000 and another 10.8 million in 2004. Of course I'm thinking Clinton should have still been in office for the fiscal year of 2000 so I don't know if we can blame that on Bush. But NASA's budget has been cut 6 times between 1995 and 2004, 5 of which has been at the hands of republicans in congress and they ad up to less then the one the democrats were behind in 1995. This has nothing to do with the recent cuts though. This Wikki article will give an idea of the current struggles.

    My point wasn't that Bush is great or anything. It was that bush didn't fail to fund anything, congress and NASA fail to follow his direction. And don't look for solace in either party, It is that they both do it and the dems seem to have a history of cutting it deeper them the republicans do. Don't look to them as a solution.

    It is completely reasonable to question everything government does; but especially when IT IS so WRONG so OFTEN. The people questioning the planning are some of the best people to speak up about it and are less likely to do something for purely political reasons than most people (not to mention how political the Bush appointed people often are)

    I don't disagree..

    I've always been against the moon and mars regardless of Bush; it totally makes sense for him to continue his record of pushing forward poorly debated bad policy. Man on Mars will happen when it makes sense to do so and it does not make sense at this time to do it; even then, as people are pointing out it makes more sense to hop off a rock than hop off the moon.

    Neither man on mars or man on the moon will happen while he is in office. I suspect the real reason for this poorly debated bad policy to goto both is to raise the bar on what America is capable of. This seems to be important when we aren't battling the Russians for which country is better but we have India, China, Japan and Europe entering the market. We are losing a holdout from the cold war where we were number one in a lot of these areas around the world. If we had a commitment like we did in the 60's, it could recharge schools and children to product productive adult ready to meet the challenge that we would be faced with. Look at all the side benefits we have seen from the last generations participating in the idea, among other things, I would think computers as we know them today are a result of push toward science and engineering and math we had left over from the space race. Unfortunately, I don't think it is working out as he had planned.

    By the time humans get there, robots will likely out perform them as they do already today. You won't have anybody extending manned mars missions by even a week in 50 years. So a human does a years work in 1 month, you can't even get a human on mars for 20 years so there is no comparison. When its CHEAPER, SAFER, and EASIER go to mars, but not to explore it-- exploration is best left to cheap disposable robotics (which only get better with time and carry the same type of instruments the humans would need to use.)

    There is some things that people are just better at. But I don't think th idea is to get to mars for the sake of getting there. It is to relive a time of being superior in education, science and math skills. A time when tasked with a challenge was just an excuse to outperform any limitation in existance at the time. You get the idea, I hope.

    Perhaps bush's worker program's lost money or some of that lost Kat

  25. Re:I've always been amused... by tsotha · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Yes. In theory that's half of NASA's charter. And, to be fair, they do still have the odd high-speed wind tunnel project. Scramjets, too, which you could argue may benefit the military someday. Maybe.

    But the shuttle is the Monster that Ate the Budget. Most of the aeronautic work has been defunded, and important scientific work like interplanetary probes and high altitude astronomy is hanging on a thread. This will only get worse. CEV's configuration was, in large part, chosen to ensure nobody who works on the shuttle will be put out of work. Since the 20,000+ people doing shuttle work comprise most of the shuttle's cost that's bad news for the agency's orphan children.

    The idea NASA's budget is primarily spent on "planes and missiles" is laughable.