Slashdot Mirror


Will Mars be a One-way Trip?

alexj33 writes "Will humans ever really go to Mars? Let's face it, the obstacles are quite daunting. Not only are there numerous, difficult, technical issues to overcome, but the political will and perseverance of any one nation to undertake such an arduous task is huge. However, one former NASA engineer believes a human mission to Mars is quite possible, and such an event would unify the world as never before. But Jim McLane's proposal includes a couple of major caveats: the trip to Mars should be one-way, and have a crew of only one person."

22 of 724 comments (clear)

  1. I mean... by Corpuscavernosa · · Score: 5, Insightful

    ... shouldn't you at least PLAN on a round-trip ticket, assuming all the obstacles can be overcome, even if it's a long shot?

    --
    We figured out a long time ago that it's easier to elect seven judges than to elect 132 legislators.
    1. Re:I mean... by schon · · Score: 5, Insightful

      This whole article is stupid, and makes some of the most ridiculous comparisons imaginable.

      C'mon - comparing flying a single person to Mars with no chance of coming back is like Lindburgh flying to Paris??? Is he saying that Mars is populated with (to quote the Simpsons) cheese-eating surrender monkeys? Or maybe he's suggesting that upon arriving at Mars, the astronaut will have an unlimited supply of hot women and baguettes?

      And the whole 'constant communication' - umm.. last time I checked, Mars was between 3 and 21 light-minutes from Earth.. that means you say something, and get a response in a half-hour later.. yeah, that's really constant. It would be more like a video postcard than a conversation.

      This article is *really* poorly thought out.

    2. Re:I mean... by BlueStraggler · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Round-trip tickets are only useful for tourists, and the real reason to go to Mars is to colonize it, not to take some snapshots and then go home again. We are doing that already with robots, so there's really no point in doing it with people.

      The interesting idea here is not the one-way thing, but the one-man, one-way thing. The author is right, it's initially kind of a shocking proposal, but when you stop to think about it, we're just a bunch of wusses. Our ancestors did this kind of risky one-way shit as a matter of course. (Think of how the Polynesians colonized the entire Pacific in simple canoes.) There shouldn't be anything shocking about it at all. We're just not worthy. Some other culture will do this, and we'll talk about how barbaric they are for trading so callously in the lives of their astronauts. But I guarantee the astronauts will go willingly, and while we tut-tut their backward ways and high mortality rate, they'll be conquering Mars.

    3. Re:I mean... by Tiger4 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      McLane talks about psychology differences of current astronauts vs the US astronauts of the 1960s and the Russian cosmonauts.

      Spending time talking about how the old guys had the right stuff and spirit will carry them through and make the difference is just ya-ya silliness in place of real thought. That is the same kind of thinking that convinced the French that light artillery was just the ticket to face the German threat. The French assumed (naturally) that their soldiers could and would overcome any burden with their miraculous Esprit. Worked really well for them.

      Real "problems" have real solutions based in the real world. I disagree completely about the Right Stuff fluff, but in any case, today's astronauts are the ones you have. Deal.

      --
      Behold, this dreamer cometh. Come now, and let us slay him... and we shall see what will become of his dreams.
    4. Re:I mean... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      We're just not worthy. Some other culture will do this, and we'll talk about how barbaric they are for trading so callously in the lives of their astronauts.

      Lucky we don't do anything barbaric or callous with the lives of our young people, like sending them to Iraq or something. So we might kill one cosmonaut or astronaut. Big deal. We kill hundreds of soldiers and civilians in Iraq, it doesn't even make the news headlines any more.

    5. Re:I mean... by 2short · · Score: 5, Insightful

      There are plenty of volunteers for suicide missions with much less lofty goals, as a quick review of the news will depressingly demonstrate.

      I'm sure you'd have a ton of volunteers for this, many of them perfectly sane and competent. Everybody dies; but not everybody dies on fricking Mars.

      But it will never happen. Manned space exploration is foolish. Robots do a radically better job for a tiny fraction of the price. The only reason we go with humans is the emotional feel-good PR. You need to sell the story to the public, and that doesn't work so well if you're going to kill the guy, no matter how OK he is with that.

    6. Re:I mean... by Jardine · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Of those, only the escape velocity is actually relevant. The gravity at the surface is pretty much irrelevant. The escape velocity on Mars is twice that of the moon, which means it would take 4 times as much energy to leave Mars as it takes to leave the moon. That's in theory. In practise, it's more than that because you actually need more fuel to lift the extra fuel.

      That depends on how many different ships there are. It'd be kinda silly to use the same ship to go from the surface of Mars directly to Earth. A scenario that makes more sense is this:

      1. Ship to get to Earth orbit from the surface
      2. Ship to get from Earth orbit to Mars orbit and back
      3. Ship to get from Mars orbit to Mars surface and
      4. Either a separate Mars surface to Mars orbit ship or the same orbit to surface ship from above

      That way you get to take advantage of more efficient ion engines (or something similar) on the long haul from Earth to Mars and back. Ion engines are efficient, but the acceleration is too low to get to orbit with them.

    7. Re:I mean... by PortHaven · · Score: 4, Insightful

      No, manned space missions are not foolish. The issue at hand is the great number of us who believe we need to get off this rock.

      If you just want scientific data and never want to move mankind in the stars. Then yes, ROBOTS are for you WAL-E!

      But many of us, believe that we need to move out.
      a) it protects our extinction from a catastrophic cosmic event
      b) it alleviates population issues

      Say the new world (Americas) were discovered today. Would it be foolish to send people over? Better to just send robots right? Well...only if you want nothing but pictures and soil samples. But if you want to expand, colonize...you send people.

    8. Re:I mean... by Urban+Garlic · · Score: 5, Insightful

      > b) it alleviates population issues

      I believe the population argument is bogus. Increasing wealth and standard of living is strongly correlated with decreasing fertility rates in every culture and nation on earth. Most population projections which include this effect show the earth's population peaking within 100 years, and then declining, and it's unlikely that a significant colonization effort will be underway within 100 years. (Sorry, can't find the population references.)

      So, there's Scenario A, in which we all get richer, and the population problem stabilizes, so we can't use it as an argument to go to Mars. There's Scenario B, in which we don't get richer, and consequently can't afford to go to Mars. And of course there's Scenario C, in which a small group becomes very rich while the teeming masses remain poor and continue to reproduce -- in this scenario, the small number of rich people who can go to Mars don't substantially alleviate the population problem, because there aren't very many of them.

      There's also a Scenario D, in which a small group of rich people innovate to make trips to Mars affordable for the teeming masses, but I think this is really Scenario A again -- if Mars-going technology is mass-affordable, then many other good things are also mass-affordable, which means that the masses have a high standard of living, which means they already have low fertility, and the population pressure, again, is low. A real Scenario D requires that Mars-going technology be somehow made much more affordable than terrestrial travel, energy, education and birth control, which I would rate as theoretically possible but unlikely.

      Personally, I find manned space travel inspiring, but I think it's important to be clear-headed about exactly which problems it does and does not solve.

      --
      2*3*3*3*3*11*251
  2. Re:Redundancy? by pete-classic · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The human will be redundant in and of himself. He's symbolic, not operational!

    -Peter

  3. Re:Redundancy? by Chuck+Chunder · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Our mortality!

    --
    Boffoonery - downloadable Comedy Benefit for Bletchley Park
  4. Re:Redundancy? by Chandon+Seldon · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The reality of large Mars missions is that the human is only along for the ride, sort of like a color commentator, to help snare the public's imagination and more funding.

    Bullshit. If the mars mission is actually doing useful work, then having people physically there will make the work much more efficient. Humans on mars can make decisions in real time. The latency of radio signals makes trying to do anything significant remotely really obnoxious.

    --
    -- The act of censorship is always worse than whatever is being censored. Always.
  5. Why not? by Bragador · · Score: 5, Insightful
    In the end everything is useless anyway but a mission to mars is fun for the whole species.

    See, instead of everyone looking at their navel, people will start raising their head and will start looking at the stars. Instead of having most people working for their own goals, people will start to share a dream. Instead of fighting each other, people will start to work as a team.

    I'm currently working in the field of psychology and even though I'm not high on the ladder, the calls I receive are about couples breaking up and people complaining of surviving instead of living. A lot of people are living without knowing what to do with their life and this is the kind of goal that might bring people together and give them something to do with their life even if in the grand scheme of things it is useless.

    Also, about the benefits, you can't go wrong with studying how to negate the effects of loneliness which apparently affects tons of people that live in cities. Also you get to fight back bone problems that are not that different from the problems aging people have. Of course, you also get the technologies for space travel but you don't care for that that much.

    So is it worth it ? I say sure, why not?

  6. Re:A few very complicating points... by guardiangod · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Biosphere 2 was an experiment to simulate earth's natural environment and be self-sustainable.

    The colony on Mars, on the other hand, needs only to be self-sustainable. This means that they can skip all the "pollinate with bees" crap and concentrate on producing O2 and food via artificial means.

    As for moon base, given the nature of the moon- ie radiation, micro meteor, lack of atmosphere, etc. I would say that while a moon base is easier to do in the short run, a Mars base has a much better chance of being sustainable.

    As for contamination- don't be silly, of course we have contaminated Mars. The question is, in what ways?

  7. Re:I'd go. by Tiger4 · · Score: 4, Insightful
    "When I type "totally self-sufficient", I mean totally."

    Then it would be a one-way trip for two (or more) wouldn't it?

    see also: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0062827/

    --
    Behold, this dreamer cometh. Come now, and let us slay him... and we shall see what will become of his dreams.
  8. Re:I'd go. by mcmonkey · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It'd be just like the Mayflower... Only without the natives and smallpox...

    Yeah, only problem is, without help from the natives, everyone on the Mayflower would have died within a few years.

    I'll make my own interplanetary mission...with hookers, and blackjack.

  9. Mars is a much shorter trip than Magellan's by arete · · Score: 4, Insightful

    1. Parent is dead on; wish I had mod points.

    Mars could already be a shorter trip (each way) - that we know MUCH more about, and have more ability to deploy resources for - than Magellan's was, just as an example.

    But, I have two opposing points:

    2. Think of the robots. Basically, we have robots now, which simply are better for this kind of exploring. So we don't need a human there to EXPLORE Mars (or the moon.) Obviously the current rovers are massively, massively cheaper than a manned mission... and I think we could get more done with hundreds of rovers than some dude. a) For any given cost, the robots will probably do the exploring better. In other words, I think we should send a person to Mars when it's economically profitable to send a _person_ there compared to the robots. We just don't NEED some guy to go there anymore.

    b) I think the cost involved in a human mission would be tremendous if the gain is largely symbolic. You don't go there just to touch it, you go there to find out a lot more about all sorts of things you didn't know.

    c) So the other reason to go there is to _colonize_ to really expand the scope of human life to a new place.

    c) in my opinion involves either: i) generate resources FROM Mars instead of spending a ton to be there or to ii) have a sufficient breeding population of humanity off earth that we'll survive a colossal extinction event. I believe i) will come before ii) AND I think i) is more likely to be done by remote control, too... or at least most of it. So wait for a NEED for a person - which personally I feel like will be a long time coming; the robots will get better faster than our ability to cheaply get a person there So maybe the first person will be a paying tourist.

    3. While I think Mars is close enough to be within reach, there are things we've skipped. I think all of the above applies to the moon, but I think it's so significantly cheaper to send stuff to the moon than to Mars. We're just finally going to put a telescope on the moon... For that matter, I think we should have orbiting solar power pretty soon.

    We only have like 3 people living outside our atmosphere. I think that's shameful in some ways... but there's no reason we need to "touch" Mars with a real person before we have commercial occupation of something closer / cheaper* - the technology we need for that to be sustainable - longer term, more sustainable, cheaper inhabiting of harsh environments - is something we can demonstrate much closer.

    *unless it turns out a person on Mars would help us mine something ridiculously expensive, or something. But a cluster of robots could have a higher chance of finding that for less money.

    I'd certainly accept that having the nice thin unbreathable atmosphere there might involve some cost savings in radiation damage/shielding, pressurization, etc. But that's only a justification if those costs are going to outweigh the much-higher lift costs and the much-lower chance of a bail-out.

    The good news is we're getting there - commercial boost to space is becoming practical, commercial space tourism is growing, and that means soonish a space hotel could be a reality - and as costs drop, hopefully attendance will increase. And by all means explore Mars extensively before we're ready to go there... just don't waste a ton of money on symbolism; spend that money wisely.

    --
    Looking for freelance Actionscript (Flash/Flex) or ColdFusion work and/or freelance developers. Email me, put Slashdot
  10. Everyone dies, why not doing the extraordinary? by guidryp · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I don't think analogies apply here, this is nothing like Lindburg, this is so far beyond that.

    Even without resupply and a likely limited lifespan (say two years) I would do it.

    Face it, most of us will lead mundane 9 to 5 insignificant lives and will likely die a forgotten death lingering in a hospital bed. Why wouldn't you trade that for a chance to blaze a completely new trail for humanity, to truly go, where no one has gone before.

    I am sure there are a lot of scientist who trade the rest of their life for 2 years studying Mars in person.

    Besides that, he is talking about sending company, resupply etc.

    On top of that, this would be a volunteer mission. I don't quite get the nervous nellies who have a problem with someone else making this choice. It might not be for them, but they should at least be able to realize that for some this is an inspirational idea.

    I just can't believe the amount hand wringing over this.

    Though I think it is immediately clear that this will never be done because of the tender sensibilities of the public. If even the slashdot crowd are getting bent out of shape, the general public would frothing at the mouth.

    We seem to be becoming a world of spineless weepy nannies.

  11. Re:Redundancy? by rmckeethen · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I think Kennedy said it best, so I'll let his words speak for me:

    "We choose to go to the moon in this decade and do the other things, not because they are easy, but because they are hard... we shall send to the moon, 240,000 miles away from the control station in Houston, a giant rocket more than 300 feet tall, the length of this football field, made of new metal alloys, some of which have not yet been invented, capable of standing heat and stresses several times more than have ever been experienced, fitted together with a precision better than the finest watch, carrying all the equipment needed for propulsion, guidance, control, communications, food and survival, on an untried mission, to an unknown celestial body, and then return it safely to earth, re-entering the atmosphere at speeds of over 25,000 miles per hour, causing heat about half that of the temperature of the sun... and do all this, and do it right, and do it first before this decade is out--then we must be bold." http://www.quotesandsayings.com/sjfk.htm

    Unless I'm misreading those words, sending a man to the moon in the sixties wasn't easy either, but we still managed to do it and bring everyone back safely. Sending a man or woman on a one-way mission to Mars in this century strikes me as a failure compared to Project Apollo's goals. I can't imagine any politician seriously supporting the plan. The mere idea of televising the journey seems barbaric to me. A one-way trip to Mars is clearly a death sentence to any astronaut willing to make the trip -- televising it feels like a particularly horrid version of reality TV, with a murder/suicide as the gruesome series finale. If that's our bold plan for the conquest of space in 2008, I'd feel better if we just stayed on Earth.

  12. Re:There is a very real difference by Mantaar · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The wars you're talking about are not like the wars back then. Let's face it: most don't care about wars like the ones in Rwanda where American or at least Western soldiers are not killed. There a genocide is seen as terrible, but only until Paris Hilton decides to expose her genitals on the very same news show. Those wars are being talked about by the 'intellectuals', but not by everyone.

    The other kind of wars, like the recent ones in Iraq, Afghanistan or Kosovo, where Western soldiers could die are where the public interest would actually last longer than one news show. That's because this kind of war is also fought for entirely different motives than those before: it's not about crushing your opponent, it's not about gaining territory. Sometimes nobody really knows what it's all about (like the last Iraq war). And that's where people at home actually care for the soldiers over there - and not for any other soldiers, but for their own. How many Iraqi soldiers left their life during the invasion? Do you know? Do you care? IIRC it was about a thousand more than lost their lives on September 11th 2001 in the Twin Towers. But somehow - even here in Europe - it seems that the only body count that's getting mentioned on mainstream news is the American one (I may be a bit wrong on that since I generally don't follow mainstream media...)

    --
    I'm an infovore...
  13. The problem isn't the volunteer... by raehl · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The problem is the ethics of sending the volunteer. Too much of the public would find something inherently 'wrong' with sending a person on a known, one-way mission with no chance of coming back, and that lack of support would pretty much doom the effort.

  14. Re: Two? No, one. by BigBlueOx · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Do what any good geek would do: Make an AI.

    How does geek would do: make an AI make you feel?