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Private Efforts Fill Gaps In Earth's Asteroid Defenses

Hugh Pickens sends us to Seed Magazine for an update on Earth's defenses against collisions with near-earth objects (NEOs). The bottom line is that government is moving slowly on cataloging NEOs but private bodies are picking up some of the slack. "In 2005, the US Congress directed NASA to catalog 90 percent of potentially hazardous NEOs greater than 140 meters in diameter by the year 2020 but NASA has yet to allot funds to the project. Increasingly, coordinated private efforts are working to fill the gap in Earth's NEO defenses. Earlier this year, Bill Gates and Charles Simonyi donated a combined $30 million to the Large Synoptic Survey Telescope (LSST), keeping it on track for first light in 2014. LSST will survey the entire visible sky deeply in multiple colors every week with its three-billion pixel digital camera, probing the mysteries of Dark Matter and Dark Energy and by opening a movie-like window on objects that change or move, the LSST will also detect and catalog NEOs."

120 comments

  1. Orbital Debris Quarterly News by solweil · · Score: 5, Informative

    Check out Orbital Debris Quarterly News at http://orbitaldebris.jsc.nasa.gov/newsletter/newsletter.html They have back issues in pdf

    1. Re:Orbital Debris Quarterly News by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      And which item of which back issue has anything to do with hazardous asteroids?

    2. Re:Orbital Debris Quarterly News by commodoresloat · · Score: 4, Funny

      Jesus, man, there's a publication called "Orbital Debris Quarterly News"? That sounds so completely made up. Is there a pull-out centerfold every issue with lurid photos of space rocks? I can't wait to get a copy of this for bathroom reading, keep it right next to "Oatmeal Enthusiast"....

    3. Re:Orbital Debris Quarterly News by 117 · · Score: 2, Informative

      The BBC comdey panel show Have I Got News For You has a regular "Missing Words" feature whereby the panel have to guess the missing words from a headline in "this week's guest publication", being always a completely obscure magazine - iirc the most recent one was something like 'Onion Lovers Weekly', and there was also this one

    4. Re:Orbital Debris Quarterly News by DougF · · Score: 1

      As for me, I'm going to subscribe immediately and put it right next to my issues of "Obscure Sports Quarterly"...

      --
      Impetuous! Homeric!
  2. Still may need Bruce by tuxgeek · · Score: 5, Funny

    Keep Bruce Willis near by just in case

    --
    "Suppose you were an idiot...and suppose you were a member of Congress...but I repeat myself." Mark Twain
    1. Re:Still may need Bruce by somersault · · Score: 1

      That or a giant spoon. NEO doesn't believe in them so it should be pretty easy to catch him unawares.

      --
      which is totally what she said
    2. Re:Still may need Bruce by bluie- · · Score: 1

      He's still alive?? I thought he blew himself up saving Earth from a giant asteroid.

      --
      life is a tragedy to those who feel, and a comedy to those who think
    3. Re:Still may need Bruce by tuxgeek · · Score: 1
      Try as you may, you just can't kill Bruce. He's proved that time and again.

      After he saved the day from that last "global killer asteroid" he and Chuck Norris teamed up and kicked the shit out of some killer comets.

      It's all in the sequel, watch for it next year.

      --
      "Suppose you were an idiot...and suppose you were a member of Congress...but I repeat myself." Mark Twain
  3. Gaps? BAH! by invisibleairwaves · · Score: 1

    I thought we still had nukes!?

    1. Re:Gaps? BAH! by Dekker3D · · Score: 1

      hmm, yup. but we're talking about "near-earth objects". i'd assume that means they're near enough to give us a nice radiation shower if we nuked them. eh, i dunno about you but i prefer my own skin colour over that funky glowy green.

    2. Re:Gaps? BAH! by odourpreventer · · Score: 1

      Yes, but there's the matter of getting the nuke near the asteroid in time. While small on a planetary scale, these things can still be freaking big, so a nuclear blast will only nudge it a small fraction of a degree. (We only want to nudge it, disintegration is generally a bad idea.) And if the asteroid nearly misses us, the gravitational forces can still be quite devastating.

  4. Near-Earth, eh? by XanC · · Score: 1

    Seems like anything that's colliding with us would have to be pretty "near", doesn't it?

    1. Re:Near-Earth, eh? by khallow · · Score: 1

      While one could detect asteroids by looking for the smoking craters they leave behind, we want to spot them before they get that close. Unfortunately, they aren't that easy to spot when they aren't close.

    2. Re:Near-Earth, eh? by stubob · · Score: 1

      By definition, a "near miss."

      Leave it to the government to write a requirement like "We don't know how many there are, but count 90% of them."

      --
      Planning to be moderated ± 1: Bad Pun.
  5. Poor Mr Gates by Lotar · · Score: 1, Funny

    Still looking for a ride home.

  6. Nasa and cash: by Fluffeh · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Given that they don't seem to be able to afford $3mil to make a game (Link) it seems pretty funny in a not really funny sort of way that they don't seem to be able to allot funds to this project either.

    Maybe someone is trying to make some money off interest. @_@

    --
    Moved to http://soylentnews.org/. You are invited to join us too!
    1. Re:Nasa and cash: by Digestromath · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Except for the disjointed and non congruent voting block that is American /.ers, there isn't a huge effort into lobbying for NASA funds. Alot of funding for NASA and JPL projects is directed into the defense contracts and the military industrial complex.

      There just isn't anyone lobbying for NEO observation because there must isn't any money in it. You congressman or senator isn't gonna bust his ass to spread a little pork barrel spending to a few astronomers.

      To compare the American government spends a total of $176 million on abstinence only education (combined federal and state programs) for something with no proven positive results (and many negative ones). Why? Becuase people lobby for it.

      But nobody is out there lobbying for the radio telescopes, and for satellites turned outward towards our own solar system. So declines the American empire.

  7. Slightly offtopic (But about a NEO) by B5_geek · · Score: 1, Offtopic

    When I was about 12 years old {1985 (+/- 2 years)} I was 'camping' in our back-yard with a friend. As this was during summer vacation were stayed up very late terrorizing the neighborhood pretending we were ninjas or army or whatever.

    It was full night, the moon was out and it was cloudless. My friend saw it first and pointed it to me. There was a large asteroid or meteor in the sky and it was bright orange in colour (as if an orange-coloured spotlight was trained on it) I have since learnt that this item was in the Earths shadow (causing the orange colour). I could see lots of impact craters on it.

    It was the size of a grapefruit or softball held out at arms length. We watched it travel through the sky and the most amazing thing I have ever seen in my life happened.

    It bounced off the atmosphere TWICE and then fell below the horizon. There were no flame-trails that we associate with atmosphere entry.

    I lived in Chatham, Ontario (about 100km due-East of Detroit, MI) and the object originated in the South-East sky and traveled westerly. It was only visible for a short time (perhaps 10 seconds), but I still remember very clearly to this day.

    I have often hoped that some expert would confirm or believe me, but I have been told that I "imagined it" and "that's impossible" buy the few I have told.

    Can anybody in the /. universe believe me?

    --
    "The price good men pay for indifference to public affairs is to be ruled by evil men." ~Plato (427-347 BC)
    1. Re:Slightly offtopic (But about a NEO) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      This probably an old sprr'krtzz unit from the primary invasion phase. These things can stay in orbit for aeons.

      -- Zworgh 54K

    2. Re:Slightly offtopic (But about a NEO) by ppanon · · Score: 1

      well, it does seem like the orbital mechanics would be against that happening yes, particularly bouncing twice. If it was rapidly moving in a solar-elliptical orbit and skimmed the Earth, then I could see a single slight bounce at the fringes of the atmosphere. But two bounces would indicate that it was moving slowly enough for significant gravitational interaction with the Earth, which should lead to aerobraking, capture, and collision.

      So... drunk pilot?

      --
      Laissez lire, et laissez danser; ces deux amusements ne feront jamais de mal au monde. - Voltaire
    3. Re:Slightly offtopic (But about a NEO) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So... drunk pilot?
      ...or maybe just some morons that arrived in 1985...
    4. Re:Slightly offtopic (But about a NEO) by Bobb9000 · · Score: 1

      It's funny to read this - I can remember seeing something extremely similar, down to the size, impact craters, and orange color, when I was a kid (though it can't have been the same as yours - this would have been early '90s Florida). I'm not sure I can say I believe you, since I'm really pretty confident I imagined it as I was nearly asleep at the time, but it's funny that the experience was so similar. Makes me wonder...

      --
      Bobb9000 - raised by the wolves,
      Oxford education as phrased by the wolves.
    5. Re:Slightly offtopic (But about a NEO) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Known near misses are published.

    6. Re:Slightly offtopic (But about a NEO) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Pretending you were ninjas? Ha! When I was your age, at night we would cut loose those giant orange helium balloons that car dealers had. Now *that's* mischief.

    7. Re:Slightly offtopic (But about a NEO) by KanadaKid19 · · Score: 1

      When I was about seven (1993ish) I was waiting in our pickup in the parking lot of KFC while my mother picked up dinner. Looking out the window, I saw a an object that looked very similar to the moon in the night sky, but somewhat larger, and with deeper yellow tones. It arced halfway across the horizon in a matter of perhaps 1.5 to 2 seconds, stopped and descended enough to appear 50% larger or so, then flew out of sight, going farther from view and continuing its arc across the horizon in no more than half a second. I don't directly recall the experience of being there now though, I only recall the visual in my mind. But I also recall watching Unsolved Mysteries perhaps a week earlier, where they depicted a couple people in a boat on a lake seeing the very same thing. And our KFC has the worst service of any fast food restaurant I've ever seen. I probably waited half an hour in that car, dozed off, and dreamed it. But it's only through that objective logical perspective that I reach that conclusion, so I sympathize with you in having a very vivid memory of such a bizarre sight.

    8. Re:Slightly offtopic (But about a NEO) by sortia · · Score: 1

      I was in the middle of the desert in Botswana (2002ish) and about 4 of us saw what you just described! It was night time and no other lights viewable so it was very noticable! We were awake, sober and like I said 4 of us all saw it!

    9. Re:Slightly offtopic (But about a NEO) by catmistake · · Score: 1

      Well... I bet the edge of the atmosphere isn't a solid smooth shell, that if an object were passing at a particular angle, it might hit more than one jagged edge... that maybe it wasn't 'bouncing off the atmosphere' so much as shaving the edges of a top thin edge of the atmosphere.

    10. Re:Slightly offtopic (But about a NEO) by catmistake · · Score: 1

      ok, its about time you knew. You're a replicant. You've been living someone else's life, remembering someone else's memories.

    11. Re:Slightly offtopic (But about a NEO) by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1

      Well... I bet the edge of the atmosphere isn't a solid smooth shell, that if an object were passing at a particular angle, it might hit more than one jagged edge... that maybe it wasn't 'bouncing off the atmosphere' so much as shaving the edges of a top thin edge of the atmosphere. More likely the object broke up as it travelled through the atmosphere. Small particles have more surface area for their mass and produce more light.
    12. Re:Slightly offtopic (But about a NEO) by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1

      ok, its about time you knew. You're a replicant. You've been living someone else's life, remembering someone else's memories. We should ask them each to say something about their mother. Then see which one misses the point.
    13. Re:Slightly offtopic (But about a NEO) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure sounds like someone may have watched too much X-Files.

    14. Re:Slightly offtopic (But about a NEO) by ppanon · · Score: 1

      Well... I bet the edge of the atmosphere isn't a solid smooth shell, that if an object were passing at a particular angle, it might hit more than one jagged edge Presumably your "particular angle" is a grazing tangent.

      But what would lead you to make that bet? The atmosphere's a fairly layered mixture of uniformly mixed gases. Surface gradients would tend to even out pretty quickly. You might get some light density waves but I doubt their height differential would be that great. The atmosphere does expand and contract locally and globally depending on a number of factors: things that affect temperature and therefore density, like seasons or solar activity. But generally, most weather is going to happen in the first few kilometers above ground, way below the upper reaches (circa 100 kilometers) where a skimming asteroid would "bounce". By the time you get that high, the temperature and pressure gradients from surface features should have evened out through the different atmospheric layers.

      You really need a lot of energy (in the form of heat or pressure gradients) to create significant boundary variations in a fluid. Hadley cell boundaries should be way too far apart, and I doubt they would cause significant boundary fluctuations in the upper layers of the atmosphere even if they were more closely separated. Unless you have a bunch of active volcanos, or some very nasty weather systems that would preclude the observations this guy claims to have made, I don't see your scenario of "jagged edges" being likely.

      So unless the solar cycle was in a period of high activity and the sun was having a solar eruption with streams of ionized gases causing strong localized heating of the upper reaches of the atmosphere, I wouldn't recommend taking that bet because it sounds like a long shot to me.
      --
      Laissez lire, et laissez danser; ces deux amusements ne feront jamais de mal au monde. - Voltaire
    15. Re:Slightly offtopic (But about a NEO) by ppanon · · Score: 1

      That would seem more likely to me too. It might just have been in a skimming near-orbit so that atmosphere skipping would have taken it over the horizon where it could break up unseen by the poster. Still, at 100 kilometers altitude and object large enough to appear as large as the original author describes ("It was the size of a grapefruit or softball held out at arms length") would seem to make it big enough to be unlikely to break up unless it was a soft agglomeration of fairly small particles, and you would expect tidal stresses to break that up earlier. So the report doesn't make much sense if taken at face value.

      --
      Laissez lire, et laissez danser; ces deux amusements ne feront jamais de mal au monde. - Voltaire
    16. Re:Slightly offtopic (But about a NEO) by somersault · · Score: 1

      As this was during summer vacation were stayed up very late terrorizing the neighborhood pretending we were ninjas or army or whatever. Ah, the American dream :) George Bush still likes to play this particular game.
      --
      which is totally what she said
    17. Re:Slightly offtopic (But about a NEO) by Tony+Hoyle · · Score: 1

      Just remember to get out of the way when they start shooting...

    18. Re:Slightly offtopic (But about a NEO) by Deadstick · · Score: 1
      If it was rapidly moving in a solar-elliptical orbit and skimmed the Earth, then I could see a single slight bounce at the fringes of the atmosphere

      Here's a video of one making a "single slight bounce" in 1972, that was photographed by dozens of people from Salt Lake to Edmonton: http://fireball.meteorite.free.fr/1972_08_11/Video/video_g-t.html

      Two- and even three-skip meteors are not uncommon, although as you say they normally burn in. The OP does not contradict that, because he lost sight of it at the horizon; it very likely burned in after that.

      The 1972 object was a one-skipper. It was very big, which means it got through the skip without losing enough velocity to bend its path down for another skip, so it went on its merry way back to space...a good thing, because if it had hit near a major city it would have been a Hiroshima-scale disaster.

      rj

    19. Re:Slightly offtopic (But about a NEO) by Captain+Nitpick · · Score: 1

      I could see lots of impact craters on it.

      It was the size of a grapefruit or softball held out at arms length. We watched it travel through the sky and the most amazing thing I have ever seen in my life happened.

      It bounced off the atmosphere TWICE and then fell below the horizon. There were no flame-trails that we associate with atmosphere entry.

      I have often hoped that some expert would confirm or believe me, but I have been told that I "imagined it" and "that's impossible" buy the few I have told.

      I hate to say this, but your story doesn't work. For an asteroid to be at that height and have that visual size, it would have to be several miles across. A rock that big tearing through the upper atmosphere would have been visible to anyone outside, and I'd imagine it would have made NORAD soil its collective pants.

      Memory is an inexact thing. So are human senses.

      --
      But then again, I could be wrong.
    20. Re:Slightly offtopic (But about a NEO) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      I saw something very similar when I was about eight, 1997ish. Was in a friend's room with the friend and noticed it out of the window, thought it was going to hit ground and kill everything. The friend saw it too. I might have imagined it, but I didn't dream it - it was in the middle of the day.

      This is really strange, and I can't think of any rational explanation for it other than imagination, which seems unlikely.

    21. Re:Slightly offtopic (But about a NEO) by catmistake · · Score: 1

      What leads me to the idea is that even solid smooth surfaces aren't really smooth, or solid. If you look at the atmophere as a whole, yeah it looks pretty smooth and the boundries are defined... but what if you change the scale to one foot? Are you saying the boundries of the atmosphere are smooth then? How about an inch? When I imagine jagged edges at the top of the atmosphere I'm not thinking in the scale of, say, a stadium, but the much smaller scale where 'jagginess' surely must exist, and would be potent enough to cause light energy to be released from glancing friction, but not potent enough to change a massive object's trajectory.

    22. Re:Slightly offtopic (But about a NEO) by ppanon · · Score: 1

      What leads me to the idea is that even solid smooth surfaces aren't really smooth The atmosphere is not a solid, it's a gas (or a liquid depend on your point of view and terminology). 'Nuff said.

      It's simple physics. Gases don't support large pressure/density gradients without strong energy gradients to force that to happen. There are very few natural events that would cause two of them to happen side by side. Try filling a bowl and tipping it to see how long you manage to keep dicontinuities in the boundary without putting in a lot of energy. The sun has prominences in its atmosphere during periods of high activity, but it's also a bloody nuclear furnace!

      I don't care how many particles you're breathing in what you're smoking, what you're breathing in is still mostly a gas and not solid!
      --
      Laissez lire, et laissez danser; ces deux amusements ne feront jamais de mal au monde. - Voltaire
    23. Re:Slightly offtopic (But about a NEO) by ppanon · · Score: 1

      There's a fair bit of evidence that many experiences of UFOs, alien abductions, etc. can be explained by various sleep disorder variants. Look up web sites and articles on sleep paralysis and lucid dreaming.

      --
      Laissez lire, et laissez danser; ces deux amusements ne feront jamais de mal au monde. - Voltaire
    24. Re:Slightly offtopic (But about a NEO) by catmistake · · Score: 1

      Thank you for obsessively focusing on my obviously poor analogy and completely ignoring any point I was trying to make. If comparing the smoothness of two different things is beyond realistic comprehension for you, well I don't know what. You've basically said, sure, solids aren't really solid or smooth at some other scale, but thats solids, not gasses, which always have smooth surfaces on boundries no matter what the scale." How about we use the surface of the ocean? But that's a boundry between something and something, not a boundry like at the top of the atmosphere, between something and mostly nothing, but I think there are enough similarities that the analogy could be made. The surface of the ocean is smooth... from a distance. But when you're on it, you see that there is a measure of varience even on glass smooth seas. All I'm saying is on such a huge surface, like the boundry of atmosphere to none at the top of the atmosphere, which is a surface much larger than any ocean or even the surface of the earth, that there's likely to be chaotic variations in the exact location of the boundry... that it is jaggy or wavy on some scale, and not some mathematically perfect shaped surface, and that its possible a trajectory could brush against two crests and miss submerging, or that it could appear skip across as though gravity we're pulling and friction repelling even though those forces added negligible energy to the momentum, when it actually just hit a couple high whisps of atmosphere. Its possible that the original story teller biased what we envisioned by using the phrase "bounced off the atmosphere," when what he saw could be explained without any bouncing.

    25. Re:Slightly offtopic (But about a NEO) by ppanon · · Score: 1

      Ah, I had tried to post a reply to myself but it looks like it didn't get recorded.

      Aeroskipping involves using a non uniform body to compress the atmosphere in a precise way, converting forward momentum into a directional pressure front that creates lift. If you come down again after that first skip then you already don't have escape velocity for the gravitational gradient you are in and will just get slowed down further, leading to collision. You seem to accept this and are trying to come up with an alternative scenario.

      However, the boundary to space is really a mutual diffusion of the atmosphere into the solar wind. The equations for diffusion and the second law of thermodynamics indicate that, in the absence of a source of turbulence in the two gases, any irregularities in that boundary would naturally dampen out and flatten to a smooth surface. You only get variations in that boundary through the application of energy, usually through gusts in the solar wind caused by "storms" or heightened activity on the solar surface.

      To use your analogy, it's more like the merging of a river outflow into the sea. The pressure on the boundary is equalized between the two bodies. You can see where muddy river water mixes with the salt ocean water but you don't see ships bouncing of the boundary. Behind that solar wind/atmosphere interface you just have a gradually increasing pressure gradient due to the increasing mass of atmosphere pressing down from above because of the gravitational attraction. There's no other "surface" of any kind, just increasing density. The 100Km space "boundary" is, for the most part, an approximate, convenient, and arbitrary definition.

      So, if you need solar activity to cause ripples in the solar wind/atmospheric boundary, your asteroid is more likely to hit a couple of local density maximums in the solar wind since those are spread over a 3D volume, rather than skip or pass through spikes a 2D "surface" that doesn't clearly exist.

      While Deadstick's post on double or triple atmospheric skips does match what I was saying about gravitational capture and aero braking, Captain Nitpick's post on the size of the asteroid required to cover the visual arc described in the original post explains why it couldn't have just crashed over the horizon (unless B5_Geek's observation happened in Siberia in 1908 or in the Yucatan millions of years ago).

      The physics and geometry really don't work the way you think they do, and they can't be made match a scenario with the result described in B5's original post. Which isn't to say something didn't happen but, as Capt. Nitpick says, B5_Geek's memory is probably faulty on some points. Just for starters, there's perception issues such as what produces the moon illusion.

      --
      Laissez lire, et laissez danser; ces deux amusements ne feront jamais de mal au monde. - Voltaire
    26. Re:Slightly offtopic (But about a NEO) by catmistake · · Score: 1

      Nice post.

      Concerning physics not really working the way I think it works, if its one thing I've learned, its that physicists are often at odds with the real world. Sure, ideally, things should work as you say, the top of the atmosphere is a perfectly smooth surface. But physicist invariably always leave something out... whatever science governs the very top of the atmosphere, we can be assured that it is complex and non-linear, and that it only resembles the ideal in the abstract, but reality is much uglier.

  8. Arecibo Observatory is in need of funding by prxp · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Any serious private or public effort in funding Earth's defenses against asteroids should pay special attention to the Arecibo Observatory. Besides the fact the observatory is facing serious funding issues (funding was cut to less than half of the regular funding bringing the possibility of actually closing down the facility), Arecibo is one of the best (if not THE best) facilities in the world for tracking asteroids (as a matter of fact the Arecibo Observatory has the biggest, most sensible radio telescope in the world). It is just a shame the effects the war has brought upon ourselves.

    1. Re:Arecibo Observatory is in need of funding by khallow · · Score: 1

      Wait, don't you have a targeting problem with Arecibo? That is, Arecibo has a narrow field of view (since the base reflector is built into a natural valley). So if the asteroid isn't within that field of view, it can't be observed.

    2. Re:Arecibo Observatory is in need of funding by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      (as a matter of fact the Arecibo Observatory has the biggest, most sensible radio telescope in the world). Soooo, all the other radio telescopes are stupid then?
    3. Re:Arecibo Observatory is in need of funding by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Since they're looking for new asteroids, it doesn't matter where you look.

    4. Re:Arecibo Observatory is in need of funding by NeutronCowboy · · Score: 4, Informative

      Not as bad as it sounds. The primary reflector is stationary, but the primary collector is movable. If you look closely, you'll notice that the Arecibo main dish isn't a perfect parabolic shape. Depending on where the rays are coming from, they're focused in different spots... move the collector, and presto - different part of the sky. No, it isn't quite as flexible as a fully movable one, but it isn't fully stationary either.

      --
      Those who can, do. Those who can't, sue.
    5. Re:Arecibo Observatory is in need of funding by catmistake · · Score: 1

      That's awesome, and it sounds like it can track the hell out of radio sources. But are planet busting asteroids known for being good radio sources?

    6. Re:Arecibo Observatory is in need of funding by XNormal · · Score: 1

      While optical observatories have excellent angular resolution, they can't measure distances very well. Radar measurements fill in this gap quite nicely.

      --
      Stop worrying about the risks of nuclear power and start worrying about the risks of not using nuclear power.
    7. Re:Arecibo Observatory is in need of funding by khallow · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Well, the idea is that you try to bounce radio waves off of them, like radar. And you need a lot of dish to pick up the reflected signal. Hence, why something the size of Arecibo is nice.

    8. Re:Arecibo Observatory is in need of funding by somersault · · Score: 1

      Sensible, not smart. All the other radio telescopes like to walk in the rain without appropriate head coverings, while running with scissors.

      --
      which is totally what she said
    9. Re:Arecibo Observatory is in need of funding by somersault · · Score: 1

      Don't ask me how they manage to walk and run at the same time. I'm far too sensible to know that.

      --
      which is totally what she said
    10. Re:Arecibo Observatory is in need of funding by catmistake · · Score: 1

      I see. But wouldn't the VLA, or any group of radio telescopes using interferometry be superior to Arecibo?

    11. Re:Arecibo Observatory is in need of funding by khallow · · Score: 1

      They have better resolution. Arecibo has higher gain, that is the area of the dish allows one to detect fainter signals.

  9. Quick question by pembo13 · · Score: 1

    How much coverage is there around our little sphere in terms of looking out and observing into space? ie. how much of the earth is currently blind due to lack of equipment?

    --
    "Thanks for all the money you paid to us. We've used it to buy off ISO among other things" -Microsoft
    1. Re:Quick question by timmarhy · · Score: 1

      you do realise the earth turns, right?

      --
      If you mod me down, I will become more powerful than you can imagine....
    2. Re:Quick question by somersault · · Score: 1

      It turns sure, but that doesn't mean that if you stand in the same place for a year you'll see all of the stars that are possible to see from earth. Viewing the sky from the southern hemisphere, you see completely different stars (at least this is what I have gleaned from watching TV :P ). 3 directable 'scopes would presumably be enough.. one towards the north, one around the equator, one towards the south? Or am I oversimplifying? IANANASAE.

      --
      which is totally what she said
    3. Re:Quick question by pembo13 · · Score: 1

      Yes... it turns on an axis however.

      --
      "Thanks for all the money you paid to us. We've used it to buy off ISO among other things" -Microsoft
  10. Astreroid "Defenses" by Kenz0r · · Score: 4, Insightful

    A term like asteroid defense, to me, always brings up the image of a battery of laser cannons or special nuclear silo's that actually -defend- us against asteroids. Wouldn't it be more appropriatly dull to call this asteroid observation?

    --
    +1 Funny Signature
    1. Re:Astreroid "Defenses" by somersault · · Score: 3, Funny

      I think it would be more appropriate to call it Missile Command

      --
      which is totally what she said
    2. Re:Astreroid "Defenses" by evanbd · · Score: 1

      Well, the actual intervention would be more likely to involve painting the asteroid white (with a few years warning solar radiation pressure is enough to change the course) than lobbing a nuke at it, assuming we find it in time. So the "defense system" itself wouldn't be special purpose, it would just be another launch vehicle carrying a probe that could perform a rendezvous.

      This is more like the target acquisition half of the defense system -- sure, it's not complete, but "observation" to me implies that we're studying the individual asteroids rather than just trying to find them.

    3. Re:Astreroid "Defenses" by glwtta · · Score: 1

      always brings up the image of a battery of laser cannons or special nuclear silo's

      Whereas I always get the image of Bruce Willis in a two and a half hour beer commercial.

      ... god that movie sucked.

      --
      sic transit gloria mundi
    4. Re:Astreroid "Defenses" by iso-cop · · Score: 1

      Given the recent conversation on NASA Watch http://www.nasawatch.com/archives/2008/04/stupid_movie_al.html about the 57+ trillion nuclear warheads (each with 100 megatons of explosive power) needed to nudge the moon toward the earth, I wonder just we would do.

    5. Re:Astreroid "Defenses" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The first step in asteroid defense is targetting. We don't have a gun yet, but we can build one if we need to.

  11. Re:Slightly offtopic (But about a UFO) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I believe you, we are not alone!

  12. "Private efforts"? by iminplaya · · Score: 1

    Gov't: Well, what'll we do?
    Private observers: It's very simple. We just need 240 dollars...

    --
    What?
  13. What happened to the base ? by Eth1csGrad1ent · · Score: 1


    Damn it! I thought we had a secret base on the dark side of the moon to handle THIS VERY THING !?!?!?
    You mean we don't ? Seriously ?? Have we actually confirmed that ??

    Thats the problem with secrets and myths these days...half of them turn out to be bogus...and the other half are SO secret that literally NOONE knows about them any more.

    If everyone who knows we have a secret base on the dark side of the moon is dead..then its kinda useless as a defense mechanism isnt it !

    For godsakes people! Its a catch-22, I know, but the only way to keep a secret is to tell others about it.

  14. Seeing the way things are going today... by Bananatree3 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I would be surprised if we (United States) ever make it to the Mars/Moon on such a shoestring budget that we have today. Unless we have a dramatic budget shift towards the sciences (and away from wars *cough* *cough*), I see commercial/private interests as our next great funding source for space science and transport. Eventually we will probably have manned moon missions that are completely commercial and privately owned/funded. However NASA's technology right now is lightyears ahead of what any company can do (unless Lockheed Martin and Boeing join the commercial space race). I guess we'll be seeing more philanthropic donations to the space sciences in the future.

    1. Re:Seeing the way things are going today... by hvm2hvm · · Score: 4, Insightful

      the problem is like in any other country the fact that the people don't know much about how their taxes are spent. i'm not an american but if i would have been i would be pissed to find out that the military gets some 20% while nasa gets less than 1% (there was an article about this on slashdot, can't find it).

      i'm not flaming the americans for being ignorant or something because this happens everywhere, including in my country. democracy is just another way of forcing something on the people but a lot more effective because it's done in the name of freedom and it gives you the impression that you matter and that what you want will someday, somehow be done.

      --
      ics
    2. Re:Seeing the way things are going today... by consumer · · Score: 4, Interesting

      the problem is like in any other country the fact that the people don't know much about how their taxes are spent. i'm not an american but if i would have been i would be pissed to find out that the military gets some 20% while nasa gets less than 1%

      There are many examples like that. Most Americans think we spend a lot on foreign aid, but it's actually about 1% of the budget, i.e. 20 times less than we spend on the military. And that vastly underestimates how much we spend on the military because they now shift the money around to hide many of the expenses in areas outside the Pentagon, like the State Department.

      The worst part is, you know that war in Iraq? The one that we're spending billions of dollars on? That's not part of the budget at all. That's all paid for by borrowing. Yes, the Iraq war is going on a credit card. We are so screwed.

    3. Re:Seeing the way things are going today... by blincoln · · Score: 1

      Most Americans think we spend a lot on foreign aid, but it's actually about 1% of the budget

      1% of the budget is what got the US to the moon. It may be a small percentage of the budget, but it's certainly still "a lot" of money.

      --
      "...always new atoms but always doing the same dance, remembering what the dance was yesterday." -Richard Feynman
    4. Re:Seeing the way things are going today... by kabocox · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I would be surprised if we (United States) ever make it to the Mars/Moon on such a shoestring budget that we have today. Unless we have a dramatic budget shift towards the sciences (and away from wars *cough* *cough*), I see commercial/private interests as our next great funding source for space science and transport. Eventually we will probably have manned moon missions that are completely commercial and privately owned/funded. However NASA's technology right now is lightyears ahead of what any company can do (unless Lockheed Martin and Boeing join the commercial space race). I guess we'll be seeing more philanthropic donations to the space sciences in the future.

      The US isn't noted for long term thinking. China is. The US has to have some one else be there doing it to out do before we take a governmental interest.

      US companies do have all of NASAs space tech. The problem is that its far too expensive for a business to play around without seeing any short term ROI. Some Japanese businesses have been noted for having long business planning that could make commercial space stuff profitable, but you'd have to have atleast one company/government/person fund their own profitable space stuff before anyone else thinks me too.

      Right now, it takes Bill Gates level cash for an individual to play funding a space company/assets. Sure we have a lot of billionaires now, but if was cheap enough that individuals that have less than ten million could get into space, you'd see vastly more development. (It's not there, yet.) When the price drops to where those of us making 30-40K can buy a vacation home or something in space, then you'd see massive space development. It's all about cost.

    5. Re:Seeing the way things are going today... by nasor · · Score: 1

      The entire Apollo program cost about $135 billion, adjusted for inflation. The marginal cost of a single Saturn V launch was about $1.2 billion, again after inflation. And today the U.S. spends $1.2 trillion/year on defense. In other words, the U.S. spends 9 times the *total* cost of the Apollo program every single year on defense. If you took just 5% of the military budget and gave it to NASA, that would be enough to launch 50 Satrun V's per year. But hey, I'm sure that 5% means the difference between whether or not the terrorists win.

    6. Re:Seeing the way things are going today... by consumer · · Score: 3, Informative

      It's a lot of money compared to spending nothing, but as a percentage of the budget it's less than almost any other developed nation spends.

    7. Re:Seeing the way things are going today... by hvm2hvm · · Score: 2, Insightful

      yeah, and considering the usa has the largest budget in the world you would think that they would need a smaller percentage for military in order to maintain military superiority. i guess it's never enough...

      --
      ics
    8. Re:Seeing the way things are going today... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'd suspect Japan might actually be the nation that comes out of nowhere in the space race. China, U.S.A., and Russia all vying for the spotlight with this mission to the Moon or that mission to Mars. Meanwhile all along, Mitsubishi's industrial division is slowly and quietly building up that 22,500 mi reel of carbon nanotube based composite cable while some other companies get on the task of deploying it in a Clarke orbit... Not only that, but Japan seems like it would be more than ready once the means is achieved. Besides, they apparently have the cultural affinity for new technology and the willingness to accept it, while others are too busy arguing about whether it's even worth it.

  15. Missing information from TFA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    Gates only contributed the money to LSST so they would run vista on it

    1. Re:Missing information from TFA by muzicman · · Score: 1

      Then were all screwed regardless!!

      --
      -1 disagree is not a modifier for a reason. -1 troll, flamebait, redundant, overrated are NOT acceptable substitutes.
  16. 140 meters by Plutonite · · Score: 1

    There must be a reason behind that number, any clue anyone? What was that.. RTFA? Pffffft. You're disgusting.

  17. Private asteroid security by S3D · · Score: 4, Funny

    Nice city you have here. What a pity, 99942 Apophis going to wipe it out in decade. However for couple of billion we can change its course a little. What ? According to your date you are safe ? Believe me it's going to hit you. We have just installed propulsion system on it's surface.

  18. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 0, Troll

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  19. Fate by Haoie · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I'm of the thought that it doesn't really matter what sort of 'defenses' humanity sets up.

    If a killer asteroid is headed our way, may as well accept fate.

    --
    If each mistake being made is a new one, then progress is being made.
    1. Re:Fate by timmarhy · · Score: 1
      you'd change your tune if there really was one.

      the likelyhood that we are going to be destroied by an NEO though? come on people this isn't the movies. not only that but what do you think we could do if there was one? if something the size of texas like in the movies was going to hit us, you have NO CHANCE of significantly altering it's course.

      --
      If you mod me down, I will become more powerful than you can imagine....
    2. Re:Fate by somersault · · Score: 1

      if something the size of texas like in the movies was going to hit us, you have NO CHANCE of significantly altering it's course. We could install a massive sign in front of the sun saying "Free guns and beer!!"?
      --
      which is totally what she said
    3. Re:Fate by icebrain · · Score: 1

      If that's how you feel about it, you can go ahead and plan to off yourself the day it's supposed to hit. The vast majority of the rest of us have taken a bit of a liking to this whole "living and breathing" thing; we'd like to keep doing it. By your logic, we shouldn't have severe weather warnings, hurricane tracking, earthquake and tsunami warning, etc. because those things are our "fate" too.

      I really think there should be some kind of conspiracy (how to pull it off, I don't know) to make the general public believe an asteroid is going to hit in the near future. Maybe that would wake people up.

      --
      The meek may inherit the earth, but the strong shall take the stars.
    4. Re:Fate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But what if we spotted it with years (decades perhaps) of advance warning and it made two passes near the earth about 20 years ahead of the predicted impact date? (The first pass outside Earth's orbital plane, and another much closer pass that may skim the atmosphere.) Do you think that some kind of thruster involving current technology could nudge it sufficiently if attached for a ten-year timeframe? (We've already proven we could intercept such objects with enough lead time, so that's less of an issue.)

      Oh wait...

    5. Re:Fate by icebrain · · Score: 1

      Then you move on to plan B, which is "get as many people off the planet as possible." Something we should be thinking about and working towards, even though it may take hundreds of years.

      The airplane would have never been built if the Wright brothers (and everyone else) had kept waiting for 747s instead.

      Current space technology is about at the same development level (compared to something like a practical interplanetary shuttle) as the Montgolfier brothers' hot air balloons are to the A380 or 787. Sitting around just waiting for the technology to develop doesn't work--we still need to figure out how to survive long-term in space and operate in that environment. We should be ready so that, when a really good propulsion technology comes along (fusion-based or something) we can take advantage of it.

      --
      The meek may inherit the earth, but the strong shall take the stars.
  20. Well, There's Your Problem Right There... by BlueStrat · · Score: 1

    From TFA: "...NASA has yet to allot funds to the project.

    There's your problem right there. You've got bureaucrats in charge. Bureaucrats think differently about project funds. Their thought process runs something like:

    "I'm a big muckety-muck because I'm in charge of this huge project allotment fund. Now, if I just went around willy-nilly *allotting it*, I wouldn't have this big fund to allot and be a big muckety-muck, now would I?".

    I wonder how much he'll think being a big muckety-muck was worth as he's watching an Apophos-like object heading directly for him 2 minutes from impact?

    Cheers!

    Strat

    --
    Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
  21. Couldn't home telescopes be slaved together ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    connected via the net and run through BOINC? Could we make big telescopes this way?

    Some daze I think I think way too much.!

  22. Timing is everything by ThreeGigs · · Score: 4, Insightful

    In 2005, the US Congress directed NASA to catalog 90 percent of potentially hazardous NEOs greater than 140 meters in diameter by the year 2020

    Now, if I were a NASA decision maker, I'd put that job off too. Considering there are still 12 years to go before the deadline, the likelihood that technology developments will make the job faster, easier and cheaper probably exceeds 100%.

    With all the competition from the private sector, getting a telescope into space dedicated to imaging asteroids will almost certainly be cheaper. And a space telescope should be more effective than a ground based one, even with adaptive optics. CIGS image sensors were just announced recently, with superb low light performance, exactly what's needed for low albedo object discovery. Lightweight foamed metal and graphite materials that have potential uses in mirrors are making progress, as is computing power and artificial intelligence. So, in 5 years, chances are NASA would be able to put together a package that does the job better, faster and at a lower price than anything they could do today.

    Assuming a pair of 2 meter telescopes on a single orbiting platform, with a 25 minute exposure time and 5 minute re-aiming time, and a 1.5 degree field of view. Each scope could image a 1 degree square every 30 minutes. Or 24 degrees per day. Or a 360 degree circle in 15 days. Or 5 degrees above and below the ecliptic plane twice in under a year. With overlap. 2 years for a more comprehensive +/- 10 degree survey.

    So, yeah. With 12 years remaining to complete a job that'll take 2 years, and the longer you wait the cheaper it gets, no wonder NASA hasn't budgeted anything for it.

    1. Re:Timing is everything by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thank goodness you're NOT a decision maker. First off, the sky has 40,000 square degrees of which 20,000 are important. Secondly, the asteroids MOVE at rates which exceed 0.2 degrees per day. By the time you finish your whopping big MEGA-SURVEY you'll have learned nothing about the net distribution because you don't cover sky fast enough. Third, just seeing the asteroids is not enough. What is your plan for continuing to track them for weeks/months? Fourth, WHY would you waste 30 minutes/exposure with such a large mirror? Fifth, keep the budget to less than 10 million dollars including operational costs to stay competative. Thank you for playing.

    2. Re:Timing is everything by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Assuming a pair of 2 meter telescopes on a single orbiting platform, with a 25 minute exposure time and 5 minute re-aiming time, and a 1.5 degree field of view. Each scope could image a 1 degree square every 30 minutes. Or 24 degrees per day. Or a 360 degree circle in 15 days. Or 5 degrees above and below the ecliptic plane twice in under a year. With overlap. 2 years for a more comprehensive +/- 10 degree survey.

      I doubt that an orbiting platform would be nessasary. Ground based systems would be just as effective and signifigantly cheaper.

    3. Re:Timing is everything by ThreeGigs · · Score: 1

      Notice I said a *pair* of telescopes. And look at my numbers and you'll see they only make sense for one telescope. Meaning I assumed most readers would catch on to the fact that one telescope would be aimed 'behind' the other, such that it covers the area of space previously covered anywhere from 1 to 7 days before, depending on what's deemed most effective. That gives you initial results within a week.

      Continued tracking is simply continued observation, if needed. I'm sure that 99.9% of the objects detected wouldn't need a second look, and those that do can easily be retargeted after a survey, or targeted by other scopes.

      25 minute exposures are hardly a waste, considering an object a mere 140 meters across somewhere around the orbit of Uranus or Neptune is going to be a magnitude 35, or even less. You're going to *need* as many photons as possible for something that small and that far away to be detected.

      Okay, for your fifth point. How about budget of ZERO, and operational costs of ZERO. How? Like you said... "competetive". Why compete? Just let the other guys (like STARRS http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pan-STARRS) do all your work for you. Only bad news there is the tracking limitations imposed by atmospheric blurring, and inability to detect the faintest objects.

      And where'd the 10 million number come from anyhow? Did you have a solution that came in around 10 mil that could be started *now*? Or were you just throwing out unrealistically low numbers?

    4. Re:Timing is everything by evanbd · · Score: 2, Informative

      Assuming a pair of 2 meter telescopes on a single orbiting platform, with a 25 minute exposure time and 5 minute re-aiming time, and a 1.5 degree field of view. Each scope could image a 1 degree square every 30 minutes. Or 24 degrees per day. Or a 360 degree circle in 15 days. Or 5 degrees above and below the ecliptic plane twice in under a year. With overlap. 2 years for a more comprehensive +/- 10 degree survey.

      Except that you wouldn't find all of them in that survey. They're only easy to spot when they're nearby; for the dangerous ones, in orbits similar to Earth's, that only happens every few years. For the rest, you'd have to hope that it happened to be close by when you were surveying the right piece of sky. You also have to get several images of an asteroid to start computing even an approximate trajectory -- 3 images is a minimum, but that would give awful error bars. Sure, you can go follow up on everything that moved, but it would be nice if your original survey could distinguish at least something about how relevant the asteroid is.

      Also, this is a job that's reasonably well suited to terrestrial telescopes, AIUI. No need for a special orbiting scope when you can get better pictures for less money from the ground.

    5. Re:Timing is everything by The+Queen · · Score: 1

      With 12 years remaining to complete a job that'll take 2 years, and the longer you wait the cheaper it gets, no wonder NASA hasn't budgeted anything for it.

      Well, sure, except for the latest and greatest and really this one's true this time theory that the world is going to end in 2012...due to, according to some, a big fat asteroid slamming into the planet. So NASA is holding off getting started until 2009/2010, so that they can save the day at the last second in true Hollywood style, thereby proving their worth once and for all, and earning a bigger chunk of the budget in Congress' next session.

      --

      The House Between - Original Sci-Fi Series
    6. Re:Timing is everything by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I started from the current NASA NEO budget, so yes I am throwing out unrealistically low numbers. :)

      You cover sky way too slow to account for asteroid motion. In seven nights the AVERAGE main belt asteroid moves 1.5 degrees or your proposed field of view. Interesting near earth asteroids can move in excess of 5 degrees per day. Yes, I'm not like most readers because I know that your second telescope does little to help this problem. Your observing cadence is VERY naive and would be absolutely killed by the picket fence effect.

      In any event, V=35 is unrealistic for a 25 minute exposure. The Hubble Ultra Deep field has a magnitude limit of something like 30 and took 11.3 DAYS of on-source time (in several bandpasses but still over a day for any single one). The efficiency of a CCD will not changing drastically enough to justify your statement. Additionally, while a comet might come screaming in from the Oort cloud with the Earth in its sights, their sky distribution is nearly isotropic so you're back to having to cover 40,000 square degrees.

      Also, adaptive optics has meant that the value of spaced based platforms has been greatly diminished in the recent past unless you're considering using wavelengths of light that do not easily pass through the Earth's atmosphere.

      Anyway, it's a big problem. It's nice you are enthusiastic.

    7. Re:Timing is everything by ThreeGigs · · Score: 1

      Current budget is 10 million? Sheesh, I'd no idea they'd even done anything other than provide computational services and technical expertise for others' findings.

      I'm not sure where you get 1.5 degrees from for the asteroid belt. I'm assuming a 2 to 12 year orbital for the majority (Mars to Jupiter years), which gives me a .5 degree to .083 degree per diem change, relative to the background stars. True, I'm not counting parallax due to Earth's orbit, however if that results in more than a half degree apparent position change, it's either retrograde, or the object in the mirror is closer than you think. Mind you, I'm just best-guesstimating, I suppose I should break out the slide rule and do some real math for a change, but as an armchair /.er that'd be against the rules :-). That's why I'm not sure of just how much 'lag' the aim of the second scope should have.

      As for exposure, I'm trying to extrapolate from the scant information available on current CIGS sensor research. My assumption was sensitivity in UBV + NIR, unfiltered since we're not looking for spectrum, just something that's tossing photons our way. Magnitude 35 gives me, I think, about two photons per minute in that spectrum range. Yeah, I know... I'd love to have that sensor in my dSLR too, but again this is all assuming advances in state-of-the-art. Right now a 10,000x improvement in sensitivity and huge s/n ratio gains are being reported. I'm probably being overoptimistic on IR imaging, but a small enough sensor at prime focus would hopefully be enough for magnitude 35. Even then, I don't think you could detect something as small as 140 meters past Saturn-ish distances.

      Adaptive optics are nice for making things clearer, but they still do nothing about airglow and UV absorbtion. For true faint-object detection, you've simply got no choice other than a space based platform.

  23. NEOs? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    What about Meteors Or Rocks Presently Headed Earthwards Unless Stopped (MORPHEUS)?

    1. Re:NEOs? by towelie-ban · · Score: 1

      There is no meteor. Then you'll see, that it is not the meteor that ends existence, it is only yourself.

  24. What happened to telekinesis by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm sure a couple of billion of us concentrating really, really hard could make it budge a bit off course.

  25. oh shit.. by biscon · · Score: 1

    there's a NEO in LEO!!!

  26. Private efforts eh ? by bytesex · · Score: 1

    This fine asteroid explosion was offered to you by Unilever for the viewing pleasure and the security of you and your children. Because at Unilever, we know what it feels like when you can't by our washing up liquid anymore. Or something.

    --
    Religion is what happens when nature strikes and groupthink goes wrong.
  27. "[NASA] yet to allot funds"? Bullshit by cmholm · · Score: 4, Informative

    In 2005, Congress Directed NASA to go do the work. No, they didn't just sit on the money. As a part of this work, Congress sent a few million to the Air Force to manage the University of Hawaii's NEO detector project, PanSTARRS.

    The planning kicked off at about the same time as the LSST, but being significantly cheaper and using off the shelf optics with custom gigapixel detectors, a testbed has already been deployed on Maui. When the full system is deployed atop Mauna Kea on the island of Hawaii, it'll include four scopes ganged together, putting 4 X 1.4GPix on a patch of sky. The redundant detectors allow for added error correction from bad pixels, cosmic ray strikes, and whatnot.

    Now that the LSST has some significant seed money, we may soon be able to reap the benefits of two panoptic sky survey systems. That's going to be a hell of a lot of near-real time data processing.

    --
    Luke, help me take this mask off ... Just for once, let me butterfly kiss you with my own eyes.
  28. Who cares by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "I saw that movie - it hits paris" -- Jack O'Neal

  29. Gaps by Spatial · · Score: 1

    Private Efforts Fill Gaps In Earth's Asteroid Defenses

    That's a funny way to phrase it. There are gaps in Earth's asteroid defences, yes, a bit like how there are gaps in the total surface area of the planet where there are no roads.

  30. Nukes??? by kellyb9 · · Score: 1

    Why don't we start shooting nukes into space? No seriously hear me out on this. First, we may accidently divert a near earth object. and second, if aliens come around to suck out our atmosphere, they may just pass right on through to the next planet (They don't want none of this.)

    1. Re:Nukes??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Am I the only person rooting for the asteroids? Come on asteroid! Time to cull the herd.

  31. Only a politician... by Muad'Dave · · Score: 4, Interesting
    ...would task an agency to catalog 90% of something that no one knows the total number of. I can see it now:

    Politician: We want you to catalog 90% of asteroids by 2020.
    Scientist: But sir, we don't know how many asteroids there are!
    Politician: Exactly!


    That's like during a hearing regarding alkali runoff and the effect on the pH of lakes a scientist said that their goal was to get the pH down to 7 by next year. A politician says, "That's unacceptable - we want it down to 0 by next year!".

    --
    Tiller's Rule: Never use a word in written form that you've only heard and never read. You will end up looking foolish.
    1. Re:Only a politician... by Danny+Rathjens · · Score: 1

      On two occasions I have been asked [by members of Parliament], 'Pray, Mr. Babbage, if you put into the machine wrong figures, will the right answers come out?' I am not able rightly to apprehend the kind of confusion of ideas that could provoke such a question. -- Charles Babbage
  32. Private Asteroid Defenses? by Discoflamingo13 · · Score: 1

    Cue joke about defending Earth from asteroids by batting them away with the invisible hand of the free market in 3 . . . 2 . . . 1 . . .

  33. Why space would still be useful by Herve5 · · Score: 1

    From studies in the European Space Agency a couple of years ago, I understood having a spacecraft (and a telescope) located closer to the Sun, in the inner solar system, would allow you to much better see the asteroids, because they are much better lit by the sun when seen from there. There have been very serious papers on this kind of topic, even plans for dedicated missions and spacecrafts, also passenger payloads on already planned spacecrafts (solar observers typically) but the ESA budget probably looks very much like NASA's one in this area...

    --
    Herve S.
    1. Re:Why space would still be useful by Herve5 · · Score: 1

      a reference I found too late for the previous post, that leads to others --the ESA study EUNEOS: http://spaceguard.esa.int/tumblingstone/issues/num19/eng/euneos.htm

      --
      Herve S.
  34. I'm curious about a few things by MrKaos · · Score: 1
    How much mass could we orbit around one of these things right now?

    I mean if we get enough mass to orbit an object for long enough won't it have an effect on it's trajectory (vector/velocity)? Say for example the recently discussed Apophis mass, it's due to fly by 2029 and potentially hit in 2036, wouldn't it at least make sense to get up close and personal with an object of that size that's potentially going to drop in for a visit.

    This is something business could do couldn't it?

    --
    My ism, it's full of beliefs.
  35. Pay for hits by Tablizer · · Score: 1

    Why doesn't the government simply pay for finds? Private industry is usually more effective than government when its easy to measure "success". Finding asteroids is almost the perfect case of such a situation. The bigger the roid, the more the cash.

    Although, I suppose there may be some ambiguity with regard to the known size. But an estimate may be good enough. Perhaps if it turns out to be significantly larger than expected after the first payment, then additional cash can be given. But, the other way around for smallness probably wouldn't work because its hard to get money back that's already spent. The Gov't would just have to factor that into the total payment accounting.

  36. NASA Funding by DynaSoar · · Score: 3, Insightful

    > The bottom line is that government is moving slowly on cataloging NEOs

    NASA's NEO program catalogs bodies as soon as the data comes available.

    There are 7 programs besides NASA searching and/or cataloging (they're listed on JPL's site: http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/programs/ ). When one team gets data, they all share in it. The programs are only as slow as the data. As for US government, 5.5 of the 8 programs are US based (one in Italy, one in Japan, one joint US-Aussie).

    > NASA has yet to allot funds to the project

    The NASA NEO program is run from JPL.
    JPL is managed by Caltech for NASA.
    NASA pays JPL to do so.
    The 8 people in the NEO program appear to be all NASA employees, or at least from Caltech or other universities, paid by NASA (directly via payroll or JPL funding, or indirectly via funding to their parent university) to work there. There is no need to have funding dedicated explicitly to the program if existing funding is available to operate the office under other funding headings.

    The government is perhaps not moving as fast as it could in data collection if it funded a dedicated telescopy program directly, but that doesn't imply the cataloging is slow.

    The bottom line is that the article is correct in that private concerns are providing funding for or operating search and/or cataloging operations, but that's all. The assertions regarding cataloging being slow and lack of funding are unfounded.

    Of course any government funded program will tell you there's a "lack" in terms of not enough (as opposed to an absence), because they'll get their funding cut if they don't show the need. The output from this program indicates it's operating its cataloging project at the speed necessary to keep up with the data.

    --
    "I may be synthetic, but I'm not stupid." -- Bishop 341-B
    1. Re:NASA Funding by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can pay as many people as you like to work in the NEO program, but without better telescopes (including existing facilities like Arecibo) and more sky coverage, they will only be cataloging a small fraction of the significant NEOs that are out there. There *is* a lack of funding for this aspect of the search, and there is also a lack of funding for developing and testing any deflection strategies -- not that it's NASA's fault. Where do they get their money from? Congress, and the US taxpayer. That's whose fault it is.

  37. "Defenses" by DynaSoar · · Score: 1

    Oops, should have included this in my previous post.

    > Private Efforts Fill Gaps In Earth's Asteroid Defenses [article title]

    There are no "defenses". There is no program anywhere to protect Earth from a strike. There are government funded and private programs performing studies as to how it might be done, but that's all. The article is about search and/or cataloging projects, not defense projects.

    --
    "I may be synthetic, but I'm not stupid." -- Bishop 341-B