NASA Responds To MMO Concerns
Sean Hollister writes "GameCyte contacted Daniel Laughlin, Project Manager of NASA Learning Technologies, to find out where that $3 million budget for their educational MMO actually went. As it turns out, NASA still has the money — they are just planning to use it differently than we thought. Meanwhile, the 'non-reimbursable Space Act Agreement' actually allows the game developer to profit where they might not have, otherwise. 'If it were a government contract, it would be illegal to be paid twice, once by the government and a second time by consumers.'"
Here is how I seem to understand all of this debarcle...
Nasa wants to make a game.
They have a paltry $3mill budget to make it.
They decide to not pay the developers to make it, but let them profit from making the Nasa game.
The game developer has to make what is likely going to be a dull drab game (compared to other space MMO standards) and as a reward is ALLOWED to make money off said game.
Now is it just me, or is this utterly setting yourself up for a fall? Not only do you not get to have all the aliens and things running about in your game, you probably won't get to run about conquering and destroying, and due to budgets and the likely developers who would actually GO FOR THIS deal, you will likely end up with a B-Grade MMO that looks totally like a B-Grade MMO.
Is this really a smart step for Nasa? If you can't do it properly or well enough, sometimes it is indeed better not to do it at all.
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Actually, I think it's even worse. You can't really make even the Pine of MMOs for 3 million any more. Actually, I'll guess you never could.
You could make the Pine of single player RPGs, maybe.
Now take the costs for designing quests, landscapes, dungeons, etc, for that and multiply them by at least 10.
No, seriously. SP RPGs are aiming for anywhere between 10 and 100 hours of gameplay, with the curve actually peaking near the lower end of that. A MMO, I don't know the latest WoW figures, but back in the day of Everquest Sony had figured that the average player stays subscribed for 6 months. (Of course, like with any averages, not everyone is the same. Some quit after the free month, some stay for 4 years, but the average was half a year.)
You actually have to provide some content for them for 6 months. They have to actually keep finding stuff to do for that that long. Way past the point where a SP RPG player popped the DVD out and moved on to something else.
Six months is about 180 days. Let's say only 150 until he finished everything and got stuck in the endgame raid grind. (You don't want that to happen _too_ early, because a lot of people give up.) Let's also say we're not even aiming for 150 days of an unemployed obsessive gamer who puts in 16 hours daily. We're aiming for it to last 150 days for a borderline casual guy averaging 4 hours a day. (Which can also mean less than that on weekdays and a bit longer on Saturday and Sunday, so it's not as obsessive as it looks.) The 16 hours-a-day maniacs will, of course, then finish the game in a little over a month, but, oh well. So, anyway, we're up to 600 hours of gameplay already.
Even if you do go heavier on the time sinks than in a SP RPG, there's only so much time sink percentage you can have before most people find it non-fun. Taking a wild guess based on WoW's design, at the lower levels you want almost no time sinks, while later it gradually increases. But even that boiling-the-frog model lets you rise the bar only so far. So let's be generous and assume you managed to make a whole 50% of your game be time-sinks, and somehow you din't lose 99% of the players because of that.
That's still enough content for a 300 hour SP RPG you need to have there. It's more work than it sounds.
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