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Gartner Reveals Top 10 Technologies For Next 4 Years

Dr. Jim writes "The good folks over at the Gartner Group have revealed the top 10 technologies that they believe will change the world over the next four years. The usual suspects including multi-core chips, virtualization, and cloud computing are on the list. Multicore servers and virtualization will mean that firms will need fewer boxes, and apps can be easily moved from box to box (and right out the door to an outsourced data center). Workplace social networks and cloud computing means that the need for a centralized IT department will go away. Firms will no longer need to own/maintain the boxes that they use to run their firm's apps. With no need to touch a box, there will be no need to have the IT staff co-located with the boxes."

10 of 163 comments (clear)

  1. Misleading summary; lean blog post by bbasgen · · Score: 5, Informative


      The article summary quotes a blog posting, *NOT* the Gartner study. Further, the blog posting only quotes the top ten items from Gartner, and provides no further data.

      The blogger is passing around FUD, without supporting those statements with any information from Gartner. This is a non-article with so little data.

  2. Let me be the first to say by moderatorrater · · Score: 5, Insightful

    'Duh'. Multicore processing? Are you fucking kidding me? You have to go out of your way to buy a computer that doesn't have multiple cores. Hybrid core? Wouldn't that be covered with the video cards opening up and letting generic code run on their processors? The rest are completely obvious in the same way. Anyone who's been watching computers for the past year could have compiled that list.

    1. Re:Let me be the first to say by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The rest are completely obvious in the same way. Anyone who's been watching computers for the past year could have compiled that list.

      You've just summed up most Gartner reports. =)

    2. Re:Let me be the first to say by Reverend528 · · Score: 5, Funny

      You've just summed up most Gartner reports. =)
      Not everything they say is completely obvious. Remember when they told people to delay linux deployments until the SCO case was settled. Of course, that turned out to be terrible advice, but it was non-obvious.
    3. Re:Let me be the first to say by afabbro · · Score: 5, Informative

      'Duh'

      Gartner is mainly known for two things:

      • "Duh"
      • Being wrong.
      Oh, and charging a lot. cf. Cringley's fine column on Gartner.
      --
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  3. Outsourced information will come back by Opportunist · · Score: 5, Insightful

    No later than when companies notice that suddenly, surprisingly someone patents something they were on the verge of patenting themselves, when they notice that said company is somehow curiously located where their servers are.

    I guess even our business captains know that putting information into hands you can't control is a BAD idea. They should know. They've been gathering ours for years, and they know what value even trivial information (like your shopping habits) has.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  4. Re:Forgetting one thing by Maint_Pgmr_3 · · Score: 5, Informative
  5. Uh, Excuse me! by Master+of+Transhuman · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "Firms will no longer need to own/maintain the boxes that they use to run their firm's apps. With no need to touch a box, there will be no need to have the IT staff co-located with the boxes."

    How do you access the "cloud" without a computer next to you?

    You have DSL embedded in your brain?

    Get a clue. Companies may not have conventional desktop PCs in their offices, but they're going to have to have SOME sort of computing device - if nothing but a thin client or even just a flat screen terminal or a BlackBerry - to access the computing resources.

    And those devices need servicing - if not much servicing.

    Anybody who thinks computers are leaving offices is so frickin' deluded I don't know what to say.

    Not to mention that your IT staff exists mostly to solve the problems with the SOFTWARE - not the hardware. And software problems aren't going away regardless of whether it's on the desk, on a server, or in the cloud.

    Who deals with those problems may change. Companies may very well outsource their IT support - I am the outsource for my clients - but all that means is they'll pay more for less (except in my case, 'cause I'm cheap.) Their overall cost may go down, but in many cases they'll get poorer service because the IT staff servicing their problems isn't a member of the company or on site and thus has less comprehension of the company's needs. There's nothing like being on site and in daily contact with the staff to see what a company's problems are.

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  6. He left off a word!!!! by Maint_Pgmr_3 · · Score: 5, Informative

    http://www.gartner.com/it/page.jsp?id=681107 "Gartner Identifies Top Ten Disruptive Technologies for 2008 to 2012"

  7. Re:Forgetting one thing by laddhebert · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Cloud Computing while a cool CS Concept and can be used in some cases. The fact that most apps are single threaded design will not gain any benefit from this and most companies don't need that level computing power. They would wast money and get small benefit. Unless they do some massive computing. I had to reply to this.

    If you have a shop that has a very large compute farm that runs exclusively, batch jobs, then you can clearly understand where cloud computing can be a tremendous advantage. A lot of users of batch compute resources find creative ways to serialize and/or parallelize their overall process using scripts, multiple hosts, dependencies, etc. With cloud computing, all of this can be implemented automatically.

    That's a huge time and cost saver right there alone. Additionally, with our cloud computing solution (Electric Cloud), we get an additional advantage with the built in virtualization that comes along with the system. In the old days, we were forced to manage multiple development build stacks to satisfy the needs of multiple business units or departments. Now, we manage a cloud of hosts that are baseline installs, with bare minimal configurations, and the submit host's environment is replicated to the cloud nodes when a build is kicked off. This saves money on hardware resources, hardware resources, engineering resources, etc.

    You may think, well, most developers use the same build stack or tool stack - but that's an assumption that has been proven incorrect time and time again where I work. We work with embedded device developers and they have a very specific tool stack requirement, with specific versions, or may need a pristine build environment without the possibility of conflicts from various packages that may be installed on the build host.

    /-l

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