"Wisdom of Crowds" Works For Individuals Too

ideonexus writes "Take a crowd of people and have them guess how many jelly beans are in a jar, and the average of their answers will be remarkably accurate. Now researchers have found the same goes for asking one person to guess about the same thing several times. Accuracy improved when the individual was given longer periods of time between guesses." The anonymous author of the Economist piece, not quoting the researchers, says the finding bolsters the "generate and test" model of creative thinking.

Comments

Someones going to say it sooner or later..

[dbcad7]

Bush... what kind of wisdom is that ?

I guess in voting for him they picked the winner (insane laughter in my head right now) which would verify what this is saying.. but wisdom ???

Re:Gubmint

[maxume]

May be? Turning into?

(on the other hand, Rove and his ilk have shown that a calculated understanding of the electorate is a powerful tool)