Workings of Ancient Calculating Device Deciphered
palegray.net writes "Scientists have discovered new meaning behind the functions of the Antikythera Mechanism, which has been referred to as the oldest known analog computing device. In addition to providing a means to calculate the dates for solar eclipses, the device apparently tracked the four-year cycles of the Olympiad. From the New York Times article: 'Only now, applying high-resolution imaging systems and three-dimensional X-ray tomography, have experts been able to decipher inscriptions and reconstruct functions of the bronze gears on the mechanism. The latest research has revealed details of dials on the instrument's back side, including the names of all 12 months of an ancient calendar.'"
I've always marveled at the "how did they do that" nature of such discoveries and honestly makes me realize an incredible loss of knowledge and skill occurred somewhere in the past (Dark Ages perhaps) that set us back thousands of years.
now we, computer geeks, can claim ancient greek heritage.
how cool is that, hmmm ?
What ? Me, worry ?
I'm imagining Beowulf imagining a Beowulf cluster of these things.
Nah, if anything, I can imagine Beowulf ripping out one of its clock hands and throwing it to the sea
No sig for the moment.
The wikipedia article indicates that people think the device was designed with compactness in mind. So why would you add the feature of calculating when 4 years had passed? It's already keeping track of the months, so couldn't you just count them as they went past? Did I miss something?
You've clearly never developed software for salespeople.
ALL models should be greeted with skepticism. Hell, all THEORIES and all HYPOTHESES should be greeted with skepticism.
That is the very foundation of successful application of the scientific method.
There's a big problem with what you're saying, however... you say that a model that does not accurately predict should be scorned. That is false. Models are often revised to account for inaccurate predictions. As one famous scientist explained, it is not the Eureka! moments that drive true discovery, it is the "That's funny..." moments. In other words, the failure of a model to accuately predict will often lead to greater understanding of what is being modeled. Do you think that the General Theory of Relativity should be scorned, even though, as a modeal, it fails to accurately predict the existence of dark energy and dark matter?
So, to sum up -- yes, skepticism is important in all science. But a model that does not predict accurately may still have value to the scientific community... at the very least, it can be the starting point for a revised model that does accurately predict.
"Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
So, does this mean that a geocentric universe was "proven" by science in the 1st century BC?
It means that geocentrism is a reasonably good theory in terms of predictive skill, although not as good as the theories of orbital mechanics which came after (heliocentrism, Keplerian ellipses, Newtonian gravity, Einsteinian gravity, ...)
Our best global warming climate models are extemely *inaccurate* compared to this relatively accurate device.
So?
Yet we accept the (modern) inaccurate models on faith
No, we don't. You ever open up the IPCC report and see the big error bars? Everyone knows that modern climate models come with substantial uncertainty. All models have uncertainty, some more and some less. The point with climate models is that, even with large error bars, you can still exclude hypotheses such as "the warming is mostly natural" or "the warming in 2100 will be less than 1 degree under business-as-usual emissions scenarios".
and reject the (ancient) accurate model that this device "proves"
Regardless of how accurate ancient models are, modern models are more accurate still, which is why we reject them in favor of newer models. This is the same as why we reject older climate models (e.g., simple energy balance models) in favor of modern general circulation models. No, they're not as accurate as even old theories of orbital mechanics; orbits are simple and predictable. That doesn't mean that they're not useful, or not scientific, or have no predictive skill.
There are a whole bunch of "scientists" out there running computer similations that are far less predictive than this device that is likey based on a geocentric theory of the universe.
Again, so?
And what's with the scare quotes around scientists? Are you going to claim that climate scientists aren't real scientists?
That statement is itself in effect a theory, invalidating its own conclusion.
What is is all that is. Isn't that obvious?
Always it's science vs. religion; I bet bet you got this from a textbook you read as part of some secular course curriculum, just like I did. Everyone with half a brain can see the same rediculous divisions being fabricated by the God haters of today between science and religion (evolution vs. creationism being a prime example). Well guess what, the university system we know of today has it's roots in the Catholic Church, particularly in a few monastic orders like the Jesuits who, during the dark ages, studied and preserved what bits of ancient knowledge they had access to in their own collections.
What caused widespread rejection of the church were the abuses that occurred via troublemakers from within. In addition, the invention of the printing press and widespread dissemination of the Bible (which the Church actually encouraged) allowed people to edit and misinterpret as they wished. They attributed to the Faith the abilility to answer questions it was never meant to answer, and they do whatever they think they can get away with to hide the vastly more important message that it was intended to be. So the baby is thrown out with the bathwater.
They continue doing the same thing today, secretly. But these are the activities of the eternal enemies of the church, not the Church proper. And these types of activities are most practiced by secular rulers, and alway have been. I'm willing to bet that devices like the one in this article have been handed down in secret 'labs' through countless generations of corrupted power mongerers. A thousand years from now, we will be reading about ingenious quantum tech devices or some such that were developed in secret labs by contemporary worldly leaders that were also secretly used to create 'supernatural' phenomenon to tip the scales of power in their own favor just as this device probably was by the 'kings of the east' that had it.