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FAA's Aging Flight-Plan System Having Problems

Eddytor takes us to eWeek for a look at the FAA's air-traffic control system, which, after 20 years of continuous operation, is in desperate need of an overhaul. Recent crashes have caused major delays, but the system's scope and importance make it difficult to test upgrades and improvements. "Many technologies are used in air traffic control systems. Primary and secondary radar are used to enhance a controller's 'situational awareness' within his assigned airspace; all types of aircraft send back primary echoes of varying sizes to controllers' screens as radar energy is bounced off their skins. Transponder-equipped aircraft reply to secondary radar interrogations by giving an ID (Mode A), an altitude (Mode C) and/or a unique callsign (Mode S). Certain types of weather also may register on a radar screen."

176 comments

  1. Relieved... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Recent crashes have caused major delays"

    Puuhh, I read: "Recent delays that caused major crashes".

  2. Crashes by mollymoo · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I do wish TFS would make the distinction between software crashes and aircraft crashes.

    --
    Chernobyl 'not a wildlife haven' - BBC News
    1. Re:Crashes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They make a good point! After all, we don't want a few airplanes crashing into residential areas to cause a delay!

    2. Re:Crashes by Epistax · · Score: 2, Funny

      *Bash*

      Well if we switch the system over the Vista, they will be one and the same.

      *Drums*

    3. Re:Crashes by IvyKing · · Score: 2, Insightful
      What's worse is TFS used "Air Traffic Control system" when TFA was almost entirely about the flight planning system component of ATC.

      IMHO, the real problem with updating ATC is that the original ATC system was designed by veterans of SAGE (Semi-Automatic Ground Environment) and thus had a really good idea of what would or would not work. Unfortunately, most of the SAGE veterans are either retired or dead and the only conceivable training program since then would have been the SDI program.

    4. Re:Crashes by mollymoo · · Score: 1

      I didn't know about SAGE. Very interesting stuff, I'm glad you mentioned it. I love the fact that the terminal had a built-in cigarette lighter and ashtray.

      --
      Chernobyl 'not a wildlife haven' - BBC News
    5. Re:Crashes by IvyKing · · Score: 1
      My mother-in-law was talking about some of the activities at her retirement community and mentioned a talk given by a fellow named Jay Forrester. The name sounded familiar, google'd it, and one the first entires mentioned magnetic core, SAGE... No wonder the name sounded familiar.

      A LOT of what we take for granted wrt computers was originally developed for SAGE.

  3. good grief by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    FTA:"My interest is based on being a consumer of the FAA's services -- a little over 2 million miles flown so far. I am shocked, no, I'm way beyond shocked at how antiquated the equipment is (where does someone go to get replacement vacuum tubes?). Sure, it works well most of the time (thank God). But we have better technology on golf carts, it seems."

    Could you software homos tone it down a bit? The plane itself is most likely 20-30 years old. Vacuum tubes, the same technology used in radars in the first place, are still available. Without specifying the kind of tube, I can't be more specific.

    1. Re:good grief by GooberToo · · Score: 1

      It's actually well known that many of the tubes they require are no longer available and a replacement is no longer manufactured. In many cases, they have been forced to Ebay to obtain old equipment which does have the proper tubes and misc. other parts.

  4. Engine still running. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It looks to me like the problem with upgrading is because the system is still running. Kind of like operating on a live patient. The problems with the system are nothing new and has been talked about for over a decade.

    1. Re:Engine still running. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Err, we always operate on live patients. If they're not live, it's called an autopsy.

  5. Four page article? by nascarguy27 · · Score: 1

    Article on one page

    The article says that the FAA's air traffic control system is broken and needs a bunch of help, but the article doesn't give any real suggestions. I'll give mine.
    1) Give pilots in-flight radar.
    2) Create new ATC system to make sure pilots follow flight plan
    3) ??????
    4) Lose money (cause you're an airline)
    5) ??????
    6) Profit?

    --
    Funny createSig(Witty remark, Odd reference)
    {
    return (Funny)remark + (Funny)reference;
    }
    1. Re:Four page article? by Isao · · Score: 2, Informative
      1) Give pilots in-flight radar.

      If you mean weather radar, they have it. If you mean radar to see other aircraft, they already have (available) TCAS - Traffic alert and Collision Avoidance System

    2. Re:Four page article? by HangingChad · · Score: 4, Insightful

      , but the article doesn't give any real suggestions.

      People probably won't like my suggestion, which would be to regulate air travel again. Cut the routes, limit take off and landing slots, increase the seat and isle widths and let airlines raise prices to the market level of support. Add a gas tax to keep the cost of gasoline above $3.50/gallon and take the money pay for building a high speed train system across the US. To me that would be worth going into debt for, short term anyway. It would create jobs here and give people an alternative to our broken air transportation system.

      The trains could handle the commodity traffic and airlines could compete for luxury traffic, just like the old days. We have to do something. We have 3% of the world population and use 25% of the gasoline. Without alternatives we're never going to get people out of their cars. If I could go anywhere in the continental US in 24 hours, I'd never fly again.

      With the added bonus of keeping air traffic at a predictable level for the FAA.

      --
      That's our life, the big wheel of shit. - The Fat Man, Blue Tango Salvage
    3. Re:Four page article? by NoPantsJim · · Score: 3, Informative

      TCAS isn't so much "in flight radar" as it is "holy shit last minute saver of your ass". TCAS doesn't do anything until a collision is basically imminent, at which point it gives instructions on how to avoid said collision.

      ADS-B is the real in flight radar.

    4. Re:Four page article? by bendodge · · Score: 1

      What you should have said is "We're never going to get people out of personal transport." People, especially here in the US, are independent creatures. They prefer personal transportation to mass, and personal right now happens to be gas.

      Why don't we have electric cars yet? There was even a recent article here about all these people making their own because they're tired of waiting. In order to cut gas consumption, we must relax regulations on battery technology and allow more nuclear power plants.

      Yeah, you could get Congress to pass some new law trying to force people to use the current generation of near-useless hybrids, but government-mandated research is historically slow and expensive, and if there is dirt-cheap electricity, some enterprising person will make a solution.

      --
      The government can't save you.
    5. Re:Four page article? by Dantu · · Score: 1

      People probably won't like my suggestion, which would be to regulate air travel again. Cut the routes, limit take off and landing slots, increase the seat and isle widths and let airlines raise prices to the market level of support......
      The trains could handle the commodity traffic and airlines could compete for luxury traffic, just like the old days

      You're bloody right people won't like your suggestion.

      How does mandatory big seats/wide isles help anyone aside from perhaps the obese? I'm not small (6'2"/190lbs) and my only complaint with most airline seats is that the head-rest is too low. Right now the market demand (that's us) determines the trade-off between cost and comfort and that's fine with me.

      If I could go anywhere in the continental US in 24 hours, I'd never fly again.

      Assuming the US and Canada have a similar coat-to-cost distance we're at about 7,250km (ignoring north-south). That means your train would have to travel at over 300kph in a straight line with no stops to cover the distance in 24 hours. Factor in a healthy dose of reality and what you're asking for is a highly-connected maglev train network that's still slower than airline travel. Though I'll admit that for shorter routes it would be advantageous.

    6. Re:Four page article? by Firethorn · · Score: 3, Insightful

      People, especially here in the US, are independent creatures. They prefer personal transportation to mass, and personal right now happens to be gas.

      While people do often like their cars, as a person who has traveled by bus(both city and greyhound), train, plane, taxi, and car I have to say that there are reasons for so many people being almost glued to their vehicles.

      To Wit: The alternatives suck. And the old saying: time costs money

      For commutes, you're stuck using their schedule, not your schedule. When I had a *free* bus available, I mostly drove to work. Why? Because my work, despite being the one providing the bus, set the bus schedules in a paranoid fashion, resulting in adding 2 hours to my 12 hour work day. If it's simply added a half hour, I'd have taken it. The $2-4 saved back then just wasn't worth the time.

      So, in any proposal to actually get people out of their cars, you have to acknowledge this. If you can make your theoretical public transport faster, cheaper, and more reliable than a car, you'd easily be able to get a large number of cars off the road.

      That's why I like the idea of a high speed PRT system - you get the system's average speed above that of cars and a ticket that costs less than the gas to drive the same distance and you're gold. For an inner city system that'd often be 25-35 mph, for a interstate type system I'd want 100mph at a minimum*.

      relax regulations on battery technology

      Specifics?

      *And a way to keep the same car when you stop to use the bathroom or even eat at a restaurant.

      and allow more nuclear power plants

      I agree with you here, but this reminded me of a local politician campaign add talking about 'adding more wind power to reduce our dependence on foreign oil'. I don't mind green energy by any means, but I detest fuzzy logic. Wind turbines produce electricity. Electricity, at this time, is insignificantly tied to our demand for oil. We could triple our electricity production and cut the cost in half and we'd barely reduce our demand for oil. At that, it'd be mostly people in the northeast switching from oil heating to electric. And they're already switching away from oil in many cases.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    7. Re:Four page article? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      "TCAS isn't so much "in flight radar" as it is "holy shit last minute saver of your ass". TCAS doesn't do anything until a collision is basically imminent, at which point it gives instructions on how to avoid said collision."

      Uh, Not quite. The system provides two warnings to the pilot- a TA (Traffic Alert), where the software recognizes an aircraft in proximity to your plane which may become a potential problem,

      and,

      an RA (Resolution Advisory), where the algorithm identifies an aircraft whose flight path and altitude are in direct conflict with your aircraft, and issues a climb or descent instruction.

      Even now, the system is not perfect, but I've personally seen more RA's on a non-conflicting , known aircraft than the reverse, your "last-minute Holy Shit" as quoted above.

      My experience? 26 years ATC, with 80% of that time at busy terminals (approach/departure control).

      Just my two cents.

    8. Re:Four page article? by AB3A · · Score: 1

      You missed one key point: We haven't built many new runways or airports in the last 20 years. Add to that problem the numerous reliever GA airports closing every year and you can see that the large airports are getting swamped with traffic they were never designed to handle.

      Most of the congestion in our modern airspace system is on the runway! Modern navigation systems have significantly improved air safety and situational awareness. The chance of a mid-air collision away from the runway environment is next to nothing compared to the chance of collision on runways, and on the final approach path.

      And in case you're wondering, the modern super-jumbo aircraft, the A380, doesn't really help this situation much. The problem there is wake turbulence. They leave behind a wake in the air that is dangerous to most other aircraft. They're required to leave at least a five mile trail of free airspace behind them. So while they can take more passengers, they still need to keep the runway clear for a length of time that basically nullifies any gains in passenger movement.

      --
      Nearly fifty percent of all graduates come from the bottom half of the class!
    9. Re:Four page article? by ricegf · · Score: 1

      People probably won't like my suggestion

      Bingo, because you're asking for a load of new government regulation to "save" us. The problem with that "solution" is that it's government regulation and subsidies that screwed up the US transportation system in the first place.

      Howzabout we kick the government out of the transportation sector entirely (except for safety and consumer protection roles) and let the travelers select the best options with their own dollars?

    10. Re:Four page article? by rally2xs · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Gotcha. What you need is the rail system that you drive your car onto, it is a personal rapid transport that moves you in your car to wherever you want to go. It leaves when you enter the railcar, it doesn't stop until you get where you're going, UNLESS you want to stop and eat, etc. On-board computer navigates the rails like the interstate highway system. All you need is a rail switch that handles railcars individually (I know how to build that,) allowing them to be extracted from the midst of other railcars that are traveling in a "train", without slowing down that train, that are all self-powered from external power source, think nuclear initially, then solar / wind / geothermal when its ready. With such a system, you can eat in your car, smoke, play Black Sabbath at 103 db, and all the other stuff you can't do on regular public transport, in addition to traveling on your own schedule. Includes getting the nation off oil, getting the overcrowded highway system under control, the overcrowded air traffic system under control, the traffic death toll down dramatically, etc.

    11. Re:Four page article? by nomadic · · Score: 1

      relax regulations on battery technology and allow more nuclear power plants.

      In neither case is government regulations the problem. Battery technology hasn't advanced much because the people designing them still haven't figured out how to dramatically increase battery power. And there aren't any new nuclear power plants because it is hideously expensive to make them.

    12. Re:Four page article? by icebrain · · Score: 1

      You were going well for a minute... but then lost it.

      The answer isn't "price it out of reach of common people" when the problem is that airlines are trying to make too many airplanes occupy the same runway in a given amount of time.

      Basically, a given runway can safely handle a certain number of "operations" (takeoffs and landings) every hour. That number depends primarily on weather, but also aircraft size (due to wake turbulence). In good weather, aircraft can follow each other more closely (because they can see each other) and pilots can see the runway (meaning they don't have to rely on instruments, and chances of "runway incursions" are lessened because everyone can see).

      However, add some low clouds, and it starts to bog down. Now, since the pilots can't see each other or the runway, you have to rely on other procedures to ensure the runway is clear and that you aren't too close to the guy in front of you. Further, since you're relying on instruments, certain procedures have to be followed to prevent interference with the guidance signals--ergo, more spacing. End result is that fewer operations can be conducted per hour. In heavy rain or very low visibility, this effect is magnified. Even fewer airplanes get through.

      So how does this relate to the airlines? Well, the airlines started flying smaller jets more often on busy routes, instead of making fewer flights on larger aircraft. This is less efficient just in fuel use, but in this discussion it means that the airports had to handle more load. Also, the airlines (if they bothered to check at all) scheduled their flights with the assumption of good weather. The big airports wound up scheduled right to the limit of operations they could handle in good weather, so as soon as anything came along (like rain or fog) to slow the pace down, the whole system starts backing up. That's why, for example, fog in New York can back up air traffic all over the northeast for the rest of the day.

      In short, the airlines' schedules had no margin in them for weather. I could see slot restrictions (with more realistic assumptions) at large airports, provided they're administered fairly, but simply jacking prices up to reduce demand isn't the way to go. Besides, current rail infrastructure couldn't handle a fraction of the displaced passengers, and building a nationwide high-speed rail network would be very expensive. Imagine Boston's "Big Dig" over the entire country. My guess is it would take decades to fully implement.

      Air travel's two greatest advantages are speed and flexibility. Capacity can be reallocated literally overnight if necessary, without having to change or build expensive infrastructure. The facilities already exist, and are relatively compact compared with rail lines (which must physically run continuously between terminals). You don't have to purchase land for the right-of-way, and air travel allows much more decentralization than is possible with rail.

      --
      The meek may inherit the earth, but the strong shall take the stars.
    13. Re:Four page article? by GooberToo · · Score: 1

      ADS-B is not in flight radar. Few aircraft currently have it and the services is not universally available.

      Furthermore, the FAA is working hard to f-up acceptance and universal value that ADS-B would provide for all aircraft. This is yet another example of the FAA working hard to keep modern technology out of the hands of pilots while keeping both costs and risks up.

    14. Re:Four page article? by GooberToo · · Score: 1

      People probably won't like my suggestion, which would be to regulate air travel again. Cut the routes, limit take off and landing slots, increase the seat and isle widths and let airlines raise prices to the market level of support.

      This would naturally happen if the government would stop subsidizing air travel. As is, AA being the poster child and SWA being the notable exception, few airlines are actually line like a business. If the government would stop handing out money, AA would go out of business or be forced to operate responsibly. This would create a shakeup in the airline business, forcing exactly the changes you propose. After all, they would be forced to operate like a business, make a profit, and charge fair market rates where profits are required.

      As is, business as usual is million dollar bonuses for bankrupting a business where you are further rewarded with government handouts.

    15. Re:Four page article? by NoPantsJim · · Score: 1

      I don't disagree at all. What I was trying to get across is that TCAS is really there for the purpose of avoiding collisions and not much else.

    16. Re:Four page article? by Oswald · · Score: 1

      Can't speak for other jurisdictions, but in terminal airspace, the FAA mandates 6, 8, or 10 miles behind the A380. (Sorry about the pdf.) It's gonna be a real pain at busy airports, but they'll probably adjust by always running a heavy jet behind it (thereby only losing a mile versus current restrictions).

    17. Re:Four page article? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > pay for building a high speed train system across the US

      Which just won't work. People from Europe that have zero concept of just how big the US is always suggest that ridiculous option. I've traveled on trains in Europe and Africa. They worked well. I've also traveled Amtrak from Seattle to SC and back. That took 11 days of travel time roundtrip. You can go to amtrak.com, and see just how horrifically long it takes to travel by train. Flying only takes about 12 hours roundtrip(plus an extra hour before checkin on each side). Amtrak took almost 25 times as long plus it was much more expensive not even including the 33 meals you need to buy for the 11 days.

      So even if the train traveled four times as fast, as a guess I don't think the trip could be made even twice as fast. Amtrack trains travel pretty fast when they can. On a train cross-country train you waste a lot of time going slow for mountainous tracks either due to the incline or the curves, waiting on trains traveling the other direction, slowing down for stops, and at the stops. It takes more time than you think to get people, luggage, and cargo on and off of the train.

      Traveling by train was nice, but I'll never do it again. I don't have 11 days to waste.

    18. Re:Four page article? by FlyingGuy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Ever been a pilot?

      As a pilot, unless I cannot communicate with ATC I don't want to have yet another system to monitor. Cruise flight is not where the problem is, it is approach and departure and in those phases of flight I am one busy MoFo and I don't have time to stare at yet another screen full of mostly useless information, since I am busy flying the fucking plane.

      Technology has come a long way, I don't have to constantly scan the engine instruments because they have warning lights and buzzers and whatnot that will get my attention if something starts to go south. If I am making a visual approach my eyeballs are looking OUTSIDE, if I am making an instrument approach my eyes are scanning the primary flight instruments, not a screen telling me there are 43 other aircraft doing the exact same thing I am doing.

      --
      Hey KID! Yeah you, get the fuck off my lawn!
    19. Re:Four page article? by HangingChad · · Score: 1

      How does mandatory big seats/wide isles help anyone aside from perhaps the obese?

      Because if you limit take off and landing slots the airlines will try to find more ways to pack more seats into the cabin until they have people hanging under the wings. If you don't mandate seat and isle widths and specify the number of bathrooms per passenger it'll be exactly a week before some airline starts experimenting with "vertically oriented" seating designs to try and stuff more people in the tube so they advertise lower prices.

      --
      That's our life, the big wheel of shit. - The Fat Man, Blue Tango Salvage
    20. Re:Four page article? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Pilots are actualy supposed to listen to TCAS over an Air Traffic Controller. Mainly because its that holy shit I'm going colide into another airplane. Also TCAS has limitations like some models only pick up airtraffic in front of you.

    21. Re:Four page article? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      What? No its not. In all the TCAS systems I've seen, you can select either a 20, 10, or 5 NM circle which will display little dots that represent aircraft +/-2000 feet from your altitude. If a plane gets within 2 NM or so, it will verbally warn you, but it's useful beyond that.

    22. Re:Four page article? by BarefootClown · · Score: 2, Insightful

      We have 3% of the world population and use 25% of the gasoline.

      We use 25% of the world's gasoline, and produce 25% of the world's gross product (2007 numbers, from multiple sources: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(nominal) )
      As long as we continue to be that productive, we'll probably use a pretty sizable chunk of resources, too.

      --

      "Make it ten--I am only a poor corrupt official."
      --Captain Louis Renault (Claude Rains), Casablanca

    23. Re:Four page article? by theReal-Hp_Sauce · · Score: 1

      And in the case of Bashkirian Airlines Flight 2937 TCAS gave correct instructions. Telling one plane to climb and the other to descend. Sadly, TCAS didn't let the air traffic controller know this and he told (the plane that was to climb) to descend, and the two planes essentially descended into each other.

      Now I'm not a pilot, air traffic controller, or an expert by any stretch, but it seems to me that if even ONE party in this situation had, had access to just a little bit more information, the whole mess could have been avoided.

      There were of course other complications (one air traffic controller on break, etc.) read about it here:
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bashkirian_Airlines_Flight_2937

    24. Re:Four page article? by UncleTogie · · Score: 1

      If the government would stop handing out money, AA would go out of business or be forced to operate responsibly.

      After all, they would be forced to operate like a business....

      So, which is it? Operate as a business, cutting costs at every turn, or operating responsibly, even if it means taking a loss?

      --
      Don't tell me to get a life. I'm a gamer; I have LOTS of lives!
    25. Re:Four page article? by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      Maybe the ivory tower folks might not understand this, but perhaps the average American would rather be hung in a harness for 5 hours than to spend 30 hours on a train, or spending an extra $5000 for an airline ticket?

      I agree that takeoff/landing slots should be limited to the quantity that can be safely handled. Probably the easiest way to handle this is via auction for 90% of the slots, with a fairly high fee for the last 10% so that non-advance-planned flights can still use the airport. Then consumers can choose whether they want to pay an extra $50 to be able to sit down on their flight. What's wrong with that?

      The ultra-rich can still fly their private jets in complete comfort, although they would need to pay into the ATC maintenance like everybody else. They would pay a disproportionate share since the fees would be based on the cost to service an aircraft, and it is a heck of a lot cheaper per passenger to takeoff/land an A380 than a Gulfstream.

      And maybe we can actually get to fixing the actual problem and stop putting band-aids over it. I'm not quite sure why humans are so heavily involved in the ATC system. You'd probably be far more efficient with an automated system that calls on humans when it needs help, and which relays instructions to planes digitally instead of making humans call out instructions and then read them back for verification. There is no reason that 95% of the time the computer in ATC can't just talk to the computer flying the plane, with humans available for failure modes and in case a little personal touch is needed.

    26. Re:Four page article? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, but track building and maintenance is VERY expensive. Now, if you could get independently operating vehicles that are not bound to tracks but can navigate a flat surface (like a roadway) in such a fashion, that may just work.

    27. Re:Four page article? by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      I'm a firm believer that TCAS should be linked to the autopilot. In most accidents where TCAS came into play, one pilot followed TCAS, and the other listened to the controller.

    28. Re:Four page article? by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      I would hope you're a fan of ADS-B than. It'll greatly simplify your life.

    29. Re:Four page article? by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      The problem wasn't info, it's training. During flight school, you're told that if TCAS comes into play (and an RA is given by TCAS), you listen to TCAS and only TCAS (and ignore the controller). Otherwise, you end up with airframe loss (i.e. you die).

    30. Re:Four page article? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That will never work in the New York City area (it will work elsewhere in the NY airspace, since that airspace contains much more than just the city area). NY approaches are mandated VFR more often than not, with planes at the minimum allowable distance. Increasing this distance will destroy NY traffic patterns.

    31. Re:Four page article? by Brickwall · · Score: 1
      "Most of the congestion in our modern airspace system is on the runway!"

      Absolutely. Here in Toronto, every airline wants to advertise a 7:00 am departure to NY, Montreal, Chicago, Ottawa, and a few other destinations. The result? 30 planes waiting to take off at 6:59 am (they all push back then so they can be "on time"), but because of the wake issues you pointed out, and the paucity of runways (2 at any one time) at YYZ, some of those 7 am planes are going to sit on the runway until 8:00 am.

      --
      What was once true, is no longer so
    32. Re:Four page article? by cdrguru · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Trains? Sorry, but the train era ended around 1970. After it was decided that trains were no longer profitable, they tore up the tracks and sold the land off.

      Today, if you take the train, you will find that passenger service has to wait on sidings until the track (just one left) is cleared because freight is also using it and is more important. On the east coast there are some train lines left with some passenger service tracks, but that is the exception to the rest of the country.

      Nobody is going to build any high speed rail lines except in a very few places where they can somehow buy back the right-of-way or just add a track to an existing freight corridor. A nationwide rail system was built before 1950 and allowed to deteriorate completely. It was sold off as scrap metal. I don't see anyone being able to rebuild it now.

      Underground tunnels? Sure, but where would the labor come from? At OHSA prices we'd all be better off walking, even from New York to Chicago.

    33. Re:Four page article? by cdrguru · · Score: 1

      There are no nuclear power plants because a few people have been able to block the technology and growth since the 1970s.

      For example, "everyone" knows that a large number of people died because of Three Mile Island, right? Exactly how many died? 10,000? 1,000? Would you believe ZERO? No, I didn't think so.

      So how many people died directly because of Chernobyl? Most people believe it was again thousands. It was 46, and they were all on the roof of the reactor building fighting the fire. A lot of people have thyroid problems and left untreated they could die from it, but they are being treated. There might be an increase in cancer, but so far it does not appear to be significant.

      The exclusion zone around the Chernobyl site is currently less radioactive than some parts of Norway.

      Ask any environmentalist about this and you will find that not only do they not care about the facts but they believe the facts just in the way of the truth. The truth, of course, is that nuclear power is bad. I wouldn't count on getting any new power plants any time soon.

    34. Re:Four page article? by FlyingGuy · · Score: 1

      I love the idea of ADS-B, I just don't need more general information, I need information that matters. If the thing can tell me, "You are on a collision course with another plane and that plane is at bearing 304, altitude X, speed Y and give me time to intercept, then great, otherwise leave me the fuck alone, I got shit to do that is immediate.

      If this makes the ATC system better, I am all for it, just don't give me more information overload, I have enough things to juggle, between managing the airplane, flying the airplane, listening to ATC and complying with their directions.

      --
      Hey KID! Yeah you, get the fuck off my lawn!
    35. Re:Four page article? by Brickwall · · Score: 1
      Assuming the US and Canada have a similar coat-to-cost

      My coat cost $29.95 at an outlet mall. How much are coats in your area?

      --
      What was once true, is no longer so
    36. Re:Four page article? by darkwhite · · Score: 1

      It's true that crossing the Rockies is hard on a train. That doesn't negate the need for high speed rail elsewhere in the States.

      Look at the map FFS. The Northwest Corridor extending through Richmond-Charlotte-Atlanta-Jacksonville-Orlando-Miami and Tampa; Houston-Dallas-Austin-OK City-Tulsa-Kansas City; Minneapolis-Chicago-Cleveland-Pittsburgh-NYC with branches into St. Louis, Detroit, Cincinatti; San Francisco to San Diego - these are all perfect candidates for high speed rail links. Travel time between those cities can be cut significantly with high-speed rail, if only Americans would get off their ass and get behind it. It's a total shame that America, always a pioneer of high technology, is lagging so grotesquely behind in public transport.

      The energy expenditure per person per mile is several times lower on a high speed train than on a plane. High-speed rail can completely take over passenger transport in several local areas of the USA. The technology is there.

      --

      [an error occurred while processing this directive]
    37. Re:Four page article? by GooberToo · · Score: 1

      So, which is it? Operate as a business, cutting costs at every turn, or operating responsibly, even if it means taking a loss?

      It's a double edged sword for sure. With FAA inspectors doing their job, it's hard to cut costs on things that matter. With independent inspections, balance is maintained. Balance can be had and many operators find it. American Airlines is simply not one of those operators.

    38. Re:Four page article? by jshackney · · Score: 1

      The article says that the FAA's air traffic control system is broken and needs a bunch of help, but the article doesn't give any real suggestions. I'll give mine.

      1) Give pilots in-flight radar.

      It's already here, but the term "radar" is too loose to be accurate. The system is called ADS-B. Also, the FAA has been trying to mandate it, but getting people to foot the bill (these systems cost an inhuman amount of money) is the problem--I suspect (like what RVSM did) many planes will be mothballed if ADS-B is ever mandated on short notice. The new system still uses beacons (transponders) similar to the current system, but what ADS-B does is it is capable of "talking" with other aircraft near yours AND participating in the ATC radiobeacon system. I am not aware of any private operator using ADS-B in the lower 48 due to cost. UPS was (maybe still is) pushing it hard not too long ago, but it's been quiet as of late.

      2) Create new ATC system to make sure pilots follow flight plan

      You should see what's in the modern towers today. It's not as clunky as people want to believe. Call up your local tower and ask to visit. Last I checked, they still to tours at some of those places.

      4) Lose money (cause you're an airline)

      That's a basic tenet of airline operation, and a fundamental law of aviation.

      One of my favorite lines (paraphrased) is, "If you want to make a little money in aviation, start with a lot."

    39. Re:Four page article? by Drgnkght · · Score: 1

      And what do you do when the system crashes? Where are you going to find all the trained people with experience directing airplanes in three dimensions needed on a moments notice to take over until the system is restarted/fixed?

    40. Re:Four page article? by rally2xs · · Score: 0

      Yes, but track building and maintenance is VERY expensive. Now, if you could get independently operating vehicles that are not bound to tracks but can navigate a flat surface (like a roadway) in such a fashion, that may just work. =================== So's highways, and you couldn't go using the interestate highway system because the thing has too many speed limits and idiot drivers. It'd be a case of build all new rails or build all new roadways. Rails more expensive than roadways? Doesn't make a lotta sense.

    41. Re:Four page article? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My experience? 26 years ATC...

      Scab!

    42. Re:Four page article? by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      I'm not convinced that the current system would operate if there were a total crash of the radar system.

      We've to date only had long crashes involving stuff like flight plan management which doesn't directly affect planes already in the sky. I'm sure there have been short radar outages, but if the problem is local to a region and only lasts a few minutes the impact isn't too bad (route planes around the area when possible, and the situation doesn't change much in a few minutes).

      If the system went down completely for a few hours, I can't see ATC controllers using paper strips and stopwatches and calculators trying to figure out where every plane is in realtime and keeping them on course. They barely manage with the computers.

      Still, I'm all for having contingency plans. Perhaps at all times the system should maintain an emergency abort plan that is communicated to individual planes - if the system goes down and contact is lost all planes being executing the plan, which diverts all aircraft to airports capable of servicing them in a way that causes the least congestion without regard to intended destination. So, instead of having a line of 300 planes landing at O'Hare you have 10 planes at 30 more obscure airports. Get everybody on the ground. TCAS can still handle emergencies, and of course typical separation practices already have a huge safety margin built in (it isn't like two planes within 3 miles of each other are guaranteed to crash - that is just the distance with radar error necessary to guarantee a non-crash).

      The system really needs to be failure-proof. If there is a complete failure, lots of people could die. We're already there most likely. Sooner or later it will happen with the current overloaded system, and when it does those thousands of guys manning the radios won't be able to prevent the inevitable though they'll do their best and probably get much of the traffic down.

    43. Re:Four page article? by nomadic · · Score: 1

      There are no nuclear power plants because a few people have been able to block the technology and growth since the 1970s.

      Wrong. You're getting taken in by anti-environmentalist culture warrior zealots. Financially, building new plants just hasn't been worth it.

    44. Re:Four page article? by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Uh, no. There are rail solutions that you put your car on, but they're very much long haul. Building a rail car to take your car results in enough added mass to eliminate the fuel savings.

      With PRT you go with minimalistic pods*, and while building the track is more expensive than a road, it also has more capacity than a road and a far smaller footprint, which can actually make it cheaper, or even the only feasible method, in high density areas. The computer control allows you to have pods close enough, the design allows non-stop travel, etc...

      Most of the highway system isn't overcrowded - it's only the bits in the cities.

      *In some theoretical systems you could even own your own pod.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    45. Re:Four page article? by rally2xs · · Score: 0

      Current systems that carry cars on trains are long haul because it is difficult to load and unload the cars from the trains. A system where you drive your car on the train is different because it loads and unloads quickly. As for the extra mass of the traincar, that is not much of a factor if you only accelerate once per trip, and recover much of the energy during deceleration via dynamic braking and energy recovery back into the grid. The better point of such rail travel is running nose to tail with other such railcars, with just the lead car breaking the wind, so subsequent cars are going - what? - 100 mph? - on maybe 15 - 30 horsepower. Running the individual railcars carrying automobiles without slowing down between origin and destination would result in a very high energy efficiency of very low friction of steel wheels on steel rails and could be done with electricity, meaning it could be done without burning oil. As for most of the highway system not being crowded, try driving I-70 thru Indiana and Ohio, or I-95 anywhere north of Richmond. Give it a while, and the whole nation will be choked with the truck traffic. Trucks could use the rail system too, so this PRT would provide the needed extra capacity for which we're going to have to build more roads of some kind anyway. Traditional PRT only carries people, which doesn't work for someone with a load of plumber's tools or even a traveling salesman's display cases. But a car-carrying PRT would work for virtually everybody.

    46. Re:Four page article? by ultranova · · Score: 1

      What you should have said is "We're never going to get people out of personal transport." People, especially here in the US, are independent creatures. They prefer personal transportation to mass, and personal right now happens to be gas.

      Then what do you need a flight-plan system for ? Do your cars fly ?

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    47. Re:Four page article? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Public transport works in very few places in the USA: New York, Boston, Washington DC, Chicago.

      Maybe some other locations on the east coast but not many.

    48. Re:Four page article? by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      A system where you drive your car on the train is different because it loads and unloads quickly

      Sure about that? Is this system going to load everything from hummers to civics quickly and easily?

      Trucks could use the rail system too, so this PRT would provide the needed extra capacity for which we're going to have to build more roads of some kind anyway. Traditional PRT only carries people, which doesn't work for someone with a load of plumber's tools or even a traveling salesman's display cases. But a car-carrying PRT would work for virtually everybody.

      We already have ways to put trailers on traditional rails, we just need more of them going to more locations.

      In addition, making the PRT system carry cars means that it's going to have to handle at least an order of magnitude more weight. This raises the cost for relatively little amounts of traffic. For things like the plumber, you go ahead and use the road system, or eventually - cargo pods. I'd imagine that fedex and UPS would love them. Cross country, no need for huge sorting centers, in two days.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    49. Re:Four page article? by rally2xs · · Score: 0

      Everything should load quickly. Its simply a matter of driving it into the railcar, close up both ends, and its ready to take to the main rails. You'd probably have to add a step in there to secure the wheels to the floor of the railcar to insure that it doesn't roll around. As for the stuff we already have, it is a train pulled by a locomotive, and so runs on a schedule. PRT's run when the customer wants them to. That's one of the big differences. And, the current rail system can take 2 days of switching just to get cargo thru Chicago - it needs rebuilt anyway. Not sure where you're getting "relatively little amount of traffic." Give a man driving a car a way to travel at 100 mph and guarantee him he won't get a ticket, and I think a very large percentage of people will be driving their cars onto the system to go from the burbs to downtown, or from city to city, at 100 mph.

    50. Re:Four page article? by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      You'd probably have to add a step in there to secure the wheels to the floor of the railcar to insure that it doesn't roll around.

      More than this, you'd have to strap it down for a 100mph train. To put this another way, most people don't have enough of a commute that this would work if it adds even 10 minutes to their commute.

      I'd rather get them out of their cars completely, they have a short walk to the nearest station, then get dropped off within a block of their destination. Downtown, likely into the very building they work in. They can take a golf cart type vehicle if they can't walk that far due to amount of cargo or handicap.

      An order of magnitude cheaper than your system, and actually aliviates traffic downtown. As a bonus, you gain back parking capacity, enabling even denser buildings.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    51. Re:Four page article? by rally2xs · · Score: 0

      Strapping down the wheels would probably take 2 guys 20 seconds or so to throw a nylon net over the tires and fasten it with a cargo fastener. 100 mph is not a factor, only the acceleration is a factor, and that should be about 0.3 Gs. You're not even going to generate much G's on an emergency stop with steel wheels on steel rails. Sure, YOU'd like to get people out of their cars, but the history of transportation in the USA shows that people absolutely do not want to do that. They want their cars with them. You can't change that. If you want to build a popular transportation system, you'll build something that carries automobiles, fast. Everything else using rails doesn't get enough ridership to support itself because people (in the USA) would rather drive. IOW, the customer is always right, so either you build what the customer wants to buy, or go bankrupt. And, this system is not _just_ a commuter system. It is suburbs to town, or town to town, even NYC to LA. The latter railcar might even have a kitchenette, living room, and large screen HDTV positioned in front of the car. Get out of the car, start the coffee and microwave, settle into the easy chair and tune HBO or slip in a Blue-Ray.

    52. Re:Four page article? by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Strapping down the wheels would probably take 2 guys 20 seconds or so to throw a nylon net over the tires and fasten it with a cargo fastener.

      A bit longer, I think. The problem, as I see it, is also one of getting the vehicle to the depot(extra driving for many), getting into queue at rush hour, getting started, then at the leaving depot, getting unhooked and all that.

      but the history of transportation in the USA shows that people absolutely do not want to do that. They want their cars with them.

      The trick is to ask WHY they want their cars with thim. In my case I figure it's a 'last mile' problem for most mass transit solutions. They want to get to their destination, or at least within a certain distance of it, within a reasonable period of time. Studies have also shown that people tend to assign more expense with 'stalled' time - They'll value a trip at 50mph with a 10 minute wait in the middle less than a 20mph trip with no wait, even if they ultimately take the same amount of time to make a journey of the same distance.

      I figure that if you offer people a comfortable, clean, individual car or pod that's faster and cheaper than the alternatives, they'll take it, even if it means leaving their car at home. As long as they can get to where they're going, preferably as close to their destination as they can get with said car. In cases of things like airports and busy malls, easy to do. You can end up quite far away in the parking lot.

      And, this system is not _just_ a commuter system. It is suburbs to town, or town to town, even NYC to LA. The latter railcar might even have a kitchenette, living room, and large screen HDTV positioned in front of the car. Get out of the car, start the coffee and microwave, settle into the easy chair and tune HBO or slip in a Blue-Ray.

      How about we get rid of the car and give them a couch? Or at least have the car be somewhere else on the train? A car gets stifling if you'd otherwise have the option to get up and stretch out.

      With your car carrying system, you just don't have the room to run stations into malls and businesses. Think about a condo dweller in a building with a station in the building and lines that run out to the grocery store, mall, walmart, movie theater, etc... They wouldn't NEED a car, the insurance costs for said car alone would pay for the occasional cab trip.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    53. Re:Four page article? by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      I work for one of the companies that helped develop ADS-B.

      I works by kind of setting up a network of ADS-B equipped aircraft. Each equipped aircraft periodically (like every 1 second or maybe every 5 seconds depending on the situation) broadcasts its position, elevation, speed, direction, rate of climb or descent and rate of turn. Any other ADS-B equipped aircraft within range (100+ miles) receives that and can determine it's position relative to the broadcasting aircraft, meanwhile broadcasting it's own information. So all of the ADS-B equipped aircraft within range are aware of each other. Of course ATC on the ground can receive this information as well and it's also possible for them to broadcast information from the ground with information they get from radar and transponders about non-ADS-B equipped aircraft. And in the airport environment the various ground vehicles can also be equipped as an aid to ground traffic awareness. If you've got the full package installed you can display the information on a multi-function display that is similar to radar.

      For more information about a real-world test of ADS-B look up the Capstone project in Alaska.

    54. Re:Four page article? by rally2xs · · Score: 0

      Strapping down the wheels would probably take 2 guys 20 seconds or so to throw a nylon net over the tires and fasten it with a cargo fastener.

      A bit longer, I think. The problem, as I see it, is also one of getting the vehicle to the depot(extra driving for many), getting into queue at rush hour, getting started, then at the leaving depot, getting unhooked and all that.

      I don't think so. It isn't a difficult operation. 20 seconds. I don't think there'd be much of a queue. Design the station correctly, with multiple waiting railcars, and you should be able to have a high thruput.

      but the history of transportation in the USA shows that people absolutely do not want to do that. They want their cars with them.

      The trick is to ask WHY they want their cars with thim. In my case I figure it's a 'last mile' problem for most mass transit solutions. They want to get to their destination, or at least within a certain distance of it, within a reasonable period of time. Studies have also shown that people tend to assign more expense with 'stalled' time - They'll value a trip at 50mph with a 10 minute wait in the middle less than a 20mph trip with no wait, even if they ultimately take the same amount of time to make a journey of the same distance.

      I can only go with the reasons I want my car with me:

      Flexibility. I can put together a trip that stops at the movie, the hardware store, the bookstore, the electronics store. I can go to a restaurant, start and stop where I please. I can drop by the gym and have my exercise clothes in the trunk, and put them back there when I'm done.

      Cargo. I like to have stuff along. For work, I want my briefcase and my laptop. Do I want to have to lug them around everywhere I go? No. If I decide to stop at the hardware/book/electronics stores, I don't have to luge them all over the store. I can't even take a backpack or a briefcase into the movie since 9/11, but when I go to DC, I usually plan to catch a 4 - 5 PM movie to allow the traffic to subside before I start back toward Fredericksburg. Of course I don't commute to DC every day, but go there on occasions like training. Add the ability to stop by the gym, then I'm carring the briefcase, laptop, and the gym bag everywhere I go. That sucks. And if I want to put any of it down, such as to go thru a fast food line, I risk it being stolen. In my car, it is locked up with a Subaru security system also protecting it.

      Control of the environment. I want to play the radio, and I don't like using earphones. I want to feel the bass notes in some heavy metal tunes. I also eat while moving. You can't do that on DC's Metro, they'll handcuff you and take you to jail - no kidding. They handcuffed and arrested a 12 year old kid eating french fries a couple years ago. I want to control the temperature. A metro train I rode last year started the journey with a car that was probably around 95 degrees, with the train engineer finally figuring this out about 20 minutes into the trip and turning on the air conditioning. I want to be able to make noise, foul the air if I so choose (smoke or other stuff), etc. etc. I want to be able to travel armed if I so choose.

      I figure that if you offer people a comfortable, clean, individual car or pod that's faster and cheaper than the alternatives, they'll take it, even if it means leaving their car at home. As long as they can get to where they're going, preferably as close to their destination as they can get with said car. In cases of things like airports and busy malls, easy to do. You can end up quite far away in the parking lot.

      You'll never build a train that gets as close as a car to most people's destination.

      And, this system is not _just_ a commuter system. It is suburbs to town, or town to town, even NYC to LA. The latter railcar might even have a kitchenette, living room, and large screen HDTV positioned in front of the car. Get out of the car, start the coffee and microwave, settle into

    55. Re:Four page article? by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      I don't think so. It isn't a difficult operation. 20 seconds. I don't think there'd be much of a queue. Design the station correctly, with multiple waiting railcars, and you should be able to have a high thruput.

      The problem is that a car can only go forwards and back with a limited turn radius. Neither can standard trains go sideways. You can't run with the vehicle sideways, using a very wide car - it's too wide for tracks.

      So you're going to have to have a very wide station that ends up being very long to collect a large number of loading rails to the main line. Not to mention some complicated loading platforms if you expect the car to drive up rather than being loaded by crane.

      Flexibility. I can put together a trip that stops at the movie, the hardware store, the bookstore, the electronics store. I can go to a restaurant, start and stop where I please. I can drop by the gym and have my exercise clothes in the trunk, and put them back there when I'm done.

      Fine and dandy. For those that addicted to their vehicle, we'll still have roads, preferably roads that are now a lot less congested because those that just toss their briefcase and laptop on the passanger seat for the ride home are now taking a pod. Roads are also good for custom large loads, emergency equipment, etc. So we'll still have them. We just won't need nearly as many six lane highways and such, and you won't have seas of cars and roads so congested that fluid dynamics is a good explanation for their movement.

      On the replacement end: How about a backpack and/or cargo services by pod? A locker at the gym? Yes, it's a lifestyle change, but I do believe that americans will change if they can see some true cost savings by changing. Heck, I've always envisioned easy vehicle rental being part of the station - normally golf cart type vehicles, for the efficiency. It'd be easy enough to make them electric, fully enclosable, with a higher security locking area. Sure would reduce pollution in a lot of cities.

      Cargo. I like to have stuff along. For work, I want my briefcase and my laptop. Do I want to have to lug them around everywhere I go? No. If I decide to stop at the hardware/book/electronics stores, I don't have to luge them all over the store.

      Leave the briefcase/laptop at work. Or, alternatively, use a locker at the pod station. I've always imagined them being fairly full service - restroom, lockers, a spot to load/unload a cargo pod, golf cart/gator rental down on the first floor*.

      And, this system is not _just_ a commuter system. It is suburbs to town, or town to town, even NYC to LA. The latter railcar might even have a kitchenette, living room, and large screen HDTV positioned in front of the car. Get out of the car, start the coffee and microwave, settle into the easy chair and tune HBO or slip in a Blue-Ray.

      And it'd be cheaper and easier to provide this stuff if the car isn't sitting there. It'd be called a private cabin, and you could have a path to a dining car for your eating pleasure. Have the cars in the back of the train, or the front, whichever works better.

      Pods - for those traveling light and small cargo services(USPS/Fedex/UPS types stuff), trains for heavy cargo and people who want to travel in luxury. Heck, you could have somebody toss their luggage that they won't need until their destination into a cargo pod, tell it the city/address to go to, then take a personal pod to their destination.

      With airlines charging even for the first two bags today, I figure it's now frequently cheaper to simply ship your gear to your next location. Then you don't have to worry about airport screening or hauling it to/from your airport. The shipping services will mostly happily pick your stuff up from your door, and deliver it to the door of your destination. Takes a bit more planning, but if enough people start doing it, I imagine that they'll come up with even

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
  6. Testing by Dripdry · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Couldn't they just hook the new system into the current data that's being provided from RADAR and other sources alongside the old equipment? Hire testers (retired air traffic controllers?) to test use the systems and see how they hold up. Once enough data has been gathered, allow the some of the data to be fed to the actual ATCs, perhaps let them use the system side by side (not sure how that would work). Maybe it would be even better to just build a new ATC Tower with the systems built in already, hire an extra shift of ATCs or testers, provide training, and one day in the future just do a hot swap.

    I realize the are hurdles, but unless I'm missing something (IANAATC) it seems possible, if costly.

    Alternatively they could test it out at regional airports first, as the equipment and changeover is likely to be on a smaller scale.

    --
    -
    1. Re:Testing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Thanks for that, I bet the FAA guys will really appreciate it. They were just going to plug the new system in and hope that it worked, but your novel idea of "testing" could literally be a life saver.

    2. Re:Testing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Simulations, simulations, simulations...
      Perhaps even modelling?

    3. Re:Testing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Having worked for a company which supplies software to the FAA, I can tell you the FAA does not like moving fast when it comes to installing new software and hardware. It usually takes us about a year of testing to get our software and hardware into the field at the minimum. A lot of it has to do with what the FAA is required to do for testing. I am not even sure who is updating the flight plan centers. I have not heard that information.

    4. Re:Testing by PPH · · Score: 1

      Who is this "they" you speak of? The FAA has neither the funds nor the expertise to do this kind of work themselves.

      This will have to be done by contractors as a major overhaul, with opportunities to make billions of dollars clearing last generation, old technology systems out of their inventories.

      --
      Have gnu, will travel.
    5. Re:Testing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, the plan is actually to get rid of towers. With the advent of radar, transponder, and other surveillance systems that can track aircraft very precisely while on the ground and near the airport, the plan is to have airport controllers located in a normal building, almost anywhere, controlling flights in and out of airports from tens or hundreds of miles away. They'd have radar screens, and maybe in some circumstances video cameras, but no person at the airport actually watching the airport. Posting anon. because IAAATCSDE (I am an air-traffic-control-systems design engineer). The SNT (staffed next-gen tower) concept is discussed in papers on the ICNS-08 website in the media archive, as well as the ANT (automated next-gen tower) concept. D

    6. Re:Testing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      From here on out, no more discussion is permitted, as this is clearly an FAA problem, not ours. For that matter, no more discussion of anything shall take place on Slashdot, as its all other people's problems. Don't post comments. The parent AC is God.

    7. Re:Testing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, the solution is simple -

      Write an emulator - like the unofficial IBM Hercules - that covers hardware issues.

      Next open source it, and see if Russian/Euro kiddies can do something.

      Risky one says?. Not really the biggies with 'name' failed. More Eyes and more copies, ensure better testing.

  7. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by ahankinson · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It doesn't need to make sense to me. If I handed a page of C++ to my grandmother, she couldn't make sense of that either. The weather report is concise and practical, giving a lot of information with the fewest amount of words. Once you can read it, you find it valuable to not have to sift through mounds of useless or redundant information (like adjectives, verbs, etc.)

    Just because you can't read and understand it doesn't mean it doesn't have value to someone.

    And what's that shit you posted at the end of your comment? Black People suck? Grow up, asshole.

  8. Parallel development by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So, the working system is old and it's too critical to be able to take it down to implement patches or even new development. The fact that they've created something that cannot be taken down for service should have raised a whole bunch of red flags right there.

    Develop a newer more flexible system in parallel, taking the same inputs and comparing the output to the old creaking system. When the new system is working and creating the same or better results then quietly switch over to the new system. Probably create a two second outage.

    BUT make sure the new system is broken into more than two pieces and that each piece can take the extra load in case one or some deemed critical number of other pieces fail. AND, monitor the loads so that if the total system load rises to the point where the remaining machines would become overloaded in the event of the critical number of servers failure, add more machines.

    It's amazing how these things develop into problems by someone thinks they're covered just because they think they have a backup plan and then they don't monitor it.

  9. Overhaul or upgrade? by Narnie · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It's pretty apparent that the current system isn't up to the task. I think the real questions should be more along the lines of upgrade or redesign? and in-house engineered versus contractor engineered? I hear there is a replacement on the way, but is it an actual 1 to 1 replacement or is it just replacing a few machines but the heart of the system is some old POS box that's been running since 1988? (I've seen other government networks receive upgrades like this)

    Given the vast scale of the system, the constant use, and the time it would take to retrain all of the operators, how would you start testing and implementing new hardware? Just continue running the same code on new hardware... providing a few software tweaks to allow it to scale? Just how old is the current system? DOS era computing? CTOS? ENIAC?

    --
    greed@All_Evils:~#
    1. Re:Overhaul or upgrade? by red_dragon · · Score: 3, Informative

      Just how old is the current system? DOS era computing? CTOS? ENIAC?

      The FAA's flight plan system uses two Philips DS714 computers. Network World ran an article in 2005 when the FAA announced that they'd be replacing them with two Stratus ftServer boxes. It's not difficult to imagine that they haven't come close to that goal yet.

      If you want to see how creaky the DS714s are, take a look here.

      --
      In Soviet Russia, Jesus asks: "What Would You Do?"
    2. Re:Overhaul or upgrade? by wronskyMan · · Score: 1

      I had the opportunity to talk for several hours with a gentleman who was the manager for integrating the 'new' ATC system in the mid-1990s. Everyone likes to throw stones at government contractors, and they certainly aren't blameless. However, the reason he left that job, and the reason contracts often have large overruns, is: 1. Agency decides they want a new XYZ system 2. Agency writes specs and puts out for bid 3. Contractor bids on project based on specs 4. Non-tech agency managers/executives keep telling the contractor "well, can't you add this 'minor' feature or do it this way' which is often not minor or a good idea because of the limited experience of the managers. 5. Since they are in charge, contractor rep is forced to modify the system 6. No profit? 7. To implement the not-wisely-suggested changes, costs/completion time/both go up, and contractor's field rep quits out of frustration with the govt. 8. ???

      --
      --- You shall know the truth, and the truth shall make you mad- Neal (not Cowboy) Boortz
    3. Re:Overhaul or upgrade? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is a lot of sensationalism in the article. the only vacuum tubes in the FAA are CRT's (lcd's and plasmas arent available in the right resolutions) and klystrons in the front end of radar transmitters.

      The technical problem here is software, not hardware. It must be said that NADIN is not a "critical" system by FAA definition. It is only essential, in that a failure won't immediately cause planes to "lose separation" (FAA speak for collision).

      The real issue with FAA is software and has been since the ill-fated AAS program (which was an IBM/CSC joint venture back in the '80s) through the Raytheon/Sun STARS program, through everything the agency does. The sophistication of the software required, spread over the small number of systems required makes it extremely expensive to achieve. Compound that with Washington level program offfices that are inexperienced at best and do not understand the systems they are trying to contract, or at worst, highly influenced by congressional pressure to award to the powerful congressional constituents (raytheon, Lockheed-Martin, Harris, etc.) and FAA spends too few dollars in inappropriate ways to procure this technology.

      Money is spent to upgrade hardware on an incremental basis in most cases, but much of the software is still old machine code written for some defunct processor hosted by some new machine emulator.

      After over 20 years as an electrical engineer with this agency, I am tempted to say FAA needs to bring more software development in house, but, then how does FAA attract the kind of talent required to do it right? (I see the software "experts" in FAA writing operational systems using Microsoft access on windows XP).

      It all leads back to the Washington office and the bureaucrats afraid to confront congress or present a realistic capital improvement budget. It's more expedient politically to throw on the cheap band-aid and leave the problem for the next administration. Oh and make sure that contract goes to the contractor from congressman xxx's home district. He is on the transportation appropriations' committee.

    4. Re:Overhaul or upgrade? by Kent+Recal · · Score: 1

      I still don't understand what's the big deal here.
      There is an existing system which is apparently well understood, both in terms of operational details as well as problems they wish to solve.

      How hard can it be to design a new system according to these specs, test it alongside with the old system (with real data!) and then roll it out?

      If training is an issue then fine, provide an interface that's identical or very similar to the old one.
      If you're worried about bugs then fine, test it until you feel comfortable. E.g. by processing all (or a large portion) of incoming data twice, once by the regular operators and once by operators using the new system - then compare the results.

      Ofcourse this costs money but money shouldn't be the primary concern when it comes to aircraft security, no?

      Furthermore I wonder about the perceived complexity of this thing. To me it sounds like a fairly mundane concurrent dispatcher-process that could, maybe, even be implemented on commodity hardware (with large redundancy, obviously). There's not so much actual data-volume to process by today's hardware standards, I mean how many planes will have to be tracked simultanously at any given time? The hard numbercrunching work is probably about collision-prediction and optimizing schedules - both tasks that should be very parallelizable.

      So, what are they crying about again? Too expensive?

    5. Re:Overhaul or upgrade? by YrWrstNtmr · · Score: 1

      If training is an issue then fine, provide an interface that's identical or very similar to the old one.

      Fail. A new system is supposed to be easier-better-faster. Duplicating the old interface usually isn't the way to get that.

      If you're worried about bugs then fine, test it until you feel comfortable. E.g. by processing all (or a large portion) of incoming data twice, once by the regular operators and once by operators using the new system - then compare the results.

      And 'regular operators' are supposed to do this inbetween processing actual flights? Riiiight.

    6. Re:Overhaul or upgrade? by Kent+Recal · · Score: 1

      Fail. A new system is supposed to be easier-better-faster. Duplicating the old interface usually isn't the way to get that.

      Sometimes you have to maintain (parts) of the old system because an overnight transition (training etc.) is unrealistic. This may be the case here.

      And 'regular operators' are supposed to do this inbetween processing actual flights? Riiiight.

      Well, I'm assuming that there are spare operators on stand-by all the time, no? Ofcourse no real operator is supposed to test the system in between processing real flights. Instead a separate operator drives the new system (pretending it would be real) while the real operator uses the old system.

    7. Re:Overhaul or upgrade? by YrWrstNtmr · · Score: 1

      Sometimes you have to maintain (parts) of the old system because an overnight transition (training etc.) is unrealistic. This may be the case here.

      Obviously. In a system this large and ingrained, 'overnight' is impossible. And for the overlap, people have to do double work. Which controllers can't, because they are at their max workload already.

      Well, I'm assuming that there are spare operators on stand-by all the time, no?

      Bringing them online to 'test' means paying them when you wouldn't otherwise be paying them. Part of the $$$ to bring a new system online.
      Designing/building/testing/training a whole new FAA system to control aircraft is not an easy or cheap process.

  10. Windows, I bet by David+Gerard · · Score: 2, Funny
    --
    http://rocknerd.co.uk
  11. eek legacy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    skip multi-tier and go right to clouds
    NPI

  12. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by NoPantsJim · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Complete Horseshit.

    I recently graduated from an aviation program at Purdue and I can tell you every single person I've ever sat down in a classroom with can read METARs, TAFs, and any other weather report just as quickly as if they were reading plain english.

    Car engines are more reliable then aircraft engines.

    More horseshit. I see cars on the side of the road almost daily on my commute. How often do you see a plane fall out of the sky because the engine died?

  13. RE:Tubes by kd5zex · · Score: 1

    "My interest is based on being a consumer of the FAA's services -- a little over 2 million miles flown so far. I am shocked, no, I'm way beyond shocked at how antiquated the equipment is (where does someone go to get replacement vacuum tubes?).

    Well any local hamfest should do. Get yer tubes here!

  14. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by tweak13 · · Score: 2, Informative

    DUATS (the only place pilots should be getting official weather briefings online) provides plain english translations for all aviation weather briefings. By the way, none of what you posted has anything to do with weather. Those are NOTAMS (NOtice To AirMen) describing changes to some airport runway information and a few changes to instrument procedures. DUATS has plain english available for those too.

  15. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  16. Over-ambitious by Exp315 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The last time the FAA decided to do a major overhaul, they got a little too ambitious. They awarded a $4.5 billion contract to IBM to produce the Advanced Automation System, a complete replacement of the antiquated air traffic control system. The project was to begin with a major overhaul of the ATC workstations and human interface, looking at all the ideas engineers and air traffic controllers had to make the system better and safer. After 2 years IBM had blown through $2 billion and the only thing they had really accomplished was to replace the 1960s-vintage hardware with more recent gear. It was clear that it would take >$15 billion and >10 years to complete the project at the rate they were going, so the FAA cancelled the rest of the project. The less expensive $500 million version in Canada (CAATS, awarded to IBM's unsuccessful competitor Hughes Aircraft), was no more successful. Lesson learned: ATC system are *complicated*. They require near 100% reliability, and human lives depend on them. When they fail (as they must always do eventually), human controllers must be able to smoothly and safely pick up the entire workload in mid-flight, and then smoothly transition back to computer control when possible. Designing and implemnting this system is a challenge comparable to going to the moon.

    1. Re:Over-ambitious by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      The FAA should contract the work out to Google. Crazy you say? Compared to IBM, Google has proven they can manage massive amounts of data extremely quickly in a highly available environment. Call me crazy though.

    2. Re:Over-ambitious by gbdc · · Score: 1
      Canadian version of the next generation ATC, CAATS achieved far more with far less ($500M vs $4.5B)

      One, it is fully deployed and operational in canada. Link to NavCanada

      Tow, flight data processor of CAATS is being reused in US as a core piece of the next generation ATC being built again this time by Lockeed.

      So I wouldn't agree CAATS was no more successful... disclaimer: I worked on CAATS with other freaks. It's a beautiful piece of software.

  17. They are fixing it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I was an intern this summer at the FAA Technical Center. They are currently working on an overhaul of the national air space. The system that crashed a few weeks ago (the NADIN system) is in the middle of being replaced by NADIN II. They were testing it this summer. Also, look up the capstone program, its an effort to replace the radar based navigation with a GPS based system. ADS-B is a huge part of that, with the teams working on it winning the Collier award.

  18. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    Protip: large pasted post involving slipped in racist comments from an AC are one of the oldest forms of trolling used on slashdot.

  19. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by value_added · · Score: 4, Funny

    Once you can read it, you find it valuable to not have to sift through mounds of useless or redundant information (like adjectives, verbs, etc.)

    You're suggesting that the your local TV station's Doppler 2008 15-minute weather segment is too long?

    Dunno about you, but here in Southern California, getting the highs, lows, barometric readings, precipitation levels, wind speeds, wind directions, relevant surf, snow, rain or wind advisories, sun rise, sun set and current phase of the moon for where I live (and the same for a dozen or so nearby communities) from a friendly weatherman or weatherwoman that takes the time to describe and explain the relevance of all that information (hopefully with live footage, pictures, charts or graphs), is the only way to know with quantifiable certainty that tommorow's weather will be just like just like yesterday's and the day before that.

    Unless, of course, you choose to look out the window or step outside long enough to realise you've probably got better things to do.

  20. Just a symptom... by xednieht · · Score: 1

    Sure you can treat the symptom, but the problem still persists.

    Perhaps a modern society requires more than 1 option for high-speed public transportation - high speed rail perhaps?

    Perhaps this is why Mr. Buffett sees long-term value in rail road investment?

    While the sky can support vast numbers aircraft, the Air Traffic Controllers cannot. Go ahead spend billions on the symptom. The real problem still persists.

    --

    Hope is the currency of fools
  21. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by drsmithy · · Score: 1

    More horseshit. I see cars on the side of the road almost daily on my commute. How often do you see a plane fall out of the sky because the engine died?

    That's not really a fair comparison. Not only are there a helluva lot more cars out there, but aircraft engines probably get an order of magnitude or two more proactive maintenance and attention than 99.9% of car engines.

  22. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by GooberToo · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Car engines are more reliable then aircraft engines.

    This is a common misnomer. Car engines typically spend > 80% of their engine life at 80% of their life at > 75% power. Few in the GA fleet are water cooled. Most are air cooled, which creates a far greater range of operating temperatures, most hot spots, and a much greater range of heat related expansion.

    Most car engines operated as an aircraft engine experience a very short life. In fact, most engines which are operated as an aircraft engine are typically torn down and rebuilt following the race or event.

    Long story short, few engines outside of aviation have the longevity that GA piston engines do.

  23. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by GooberToo · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    How often do you see a plane fall out of the sky because the engine died?

    Well, first of all, for someone that just completed an aviation program, you should know better than to make statements like, "plane fall out of the sky", as related to engine failure. Planes glide, not "fall", when an engine quits. Second of all, engine failure in GA piston aircraft is far more common than you think. The causes range from fuel exhaustion to mechanical failure, but it does happen far more often than people hear on the news. In fact, it happens often enough, it is not considered an uncommon event. This is why twin engines are typically considered a requisite for ocean crossings.

  24. Tsk... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    My interest is based on being a consumer of the FAA's services -- a little over 2 million miles flown so far. I am shocked, no, I'm way beyond shocked at how antiquated the equipment is (where does someone go to get replacement vacuum tubes?).

    The Internets baby! It's tubes all the way down!

  25. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by lysergic.acid · · Score: 2

    i think a straightforward printout you can easily read in under a minute is much more useful to aviation professionals than a TV weather report.

    a pilot doesn't need to know whether or not he should pack a heavy jacket if he's leaving town his weekend, or that this is the 2nd most humid day of the year, or any other miscellaneous info/small talk which TV weather reports generally consist of.

    what pilots do need is precise and very specific pieces of info regarding their flight path and destination. they don't need a 7-day forecast that covers an entire state. and they certainly don't have the time to sit through a long-winded weather forecast giving him tips on how he should dress or laymen explanations of meteorological concepts.

    using a standardized format that organizes and presents the data in a clear and precise manner also allows easier transmission of weather info by radio or other means. so it shouldn't be too hard to understand why the aviation sector (as well as professional meteorologists) have adopted simple codified formats such as TAF, METAR, etc.

  26. Re:FAA biggest joke ever by GooberToo · · Score: 3, Insightful

    First let me say, I am no friend of the FAA. Everything in life is is a trade off between cost and risk. Everything. Period. In many cases, unless you're willing to pay $10,000 for your next coach plane ticket, many "fixes" are simply not cost effective given its low risk of occurrence.

    Having said that, the FAA, as it relates to GA, is directly responsible for everything costing 2x or more than it should. They are also responsible for maintaining, if not elevating risk in many areas. Free market competition is vary rare for almost all aspects of GA aviation. Attorneys are directly responsible for all things GA aviation related costing a factor of 2 more than they should, in addition to the FAA's overhead.

    If people really want to increase aviation safety, half the size of the FAA, require a pilot license to head the FAA, double the number of inspectors for commercial operators, and force a revamp of the certification process. As is, the FAA is directly responsible for keeping newer, safer, smaller, lighter technologies out of most cockpits and engine bays. Remember, it's a question of cost and everything aviation related is inflated 4x-8x higher than it would be if free market forces and liability protection would be allowed to function.

    You are right about one thing, in many cases of aviation accidents, the FAA does have blood on its hands.

    In more recent times, the spectre of the TSA has raised its head and is now starting to negatively impact aviation safety with no return on public safety. Does anyone remember the B2 bomber crash? Turns out some moister was the cause, inside some instrument pitot tubes. Now imagine TSA agents wilfully damaging the same types of instrumentation on commercial airliners in the name of public safety inspections; which are impossible to improve public safety. Recently, as many as 10 aircraft were ignorantly sabotaged by TSA inspectors in the name of public safety by climbing up onto the aircraft, on these very sensitive pitot tubes. Thankfully a pilot noticed some abnormalities and aborted his takeoff. Now keep in mind, it is impossible, regardless of the damage created, for these types of inspections to improve public safety.

    Don't be fooled, the TSA is fighting hard to "get into the cockpit" and I have no doubt, public safety will continue to be compromised unless the public is educated on the dangers the TSA's well meaning yet ignorantly harmful involvement will cause. It's only a matter of time.

  27. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by NoPantsJim · · Score: 2

    Jesus Christ...nitpicking the phrase "fall out of the sky"? Seriously? I am well aware of what happens when an engine problem occurs and how often it happens. I was making a point.

  28. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by Vegeta99 · · Score: 2, Informative

    But if that weatherman came on one day and said i'm going to read a list of numbers, in this order: high temp, low temp, wind speed, direction, and visibility, he could come on every day and say 74,56,23,west,10000, and be done with it. A pilot doesnt need all the hunky dory graphics that the news weatherman puts up.

  29. Transponder codes are fun. by Darth_brooks · · Score: 1

    Transponder codes tell ATC what the manufacturer of a particular aircraft is. Our museum's B-17 has had a couple instances where a curious ATC will ask why his radar is showing a Boeing aircraft cruising along at 4000ft and moving at 150kts.

    --
    There are some people that if they don't know, you can't tell 'em.
    1. Re:Transponder codes are fun. by BarefootClown · · Score: 2, Informative

      Transponder codes tell ATC what the manufacturer of a particular aircraft is.

      No, transponder codes tell ATC what your transponder code is (yes, I know that's a tautology). Any other information--such as a type designator or a tail number--is entered into the system by a controller and associated with your squawk code. The transponder only reports a number (four octal digits, for a total of 4096 possible codes), and altitude if in Mode C (Mode S is rare enough yet to be overlooked).

      Our museum's B-17 has had a couple instances where a curious ATC will ask why his radar is showing a Boeing aircraft cruising along at 4000ft and moving at 150kts.

      Because (nearly) all Boeing aircraft have type designators that start with "B." The controller may not recognize the entire aircraft designator, but probably recognizes that it is a Boeing.

      --

      "Make it ten--I am only a poor corrupt official."
      --Captain Louis Renault (Claude Rains), Casablanca

  30. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by GooberToo · · Score: 1

    Jesus Christ...nitpicking the phrase "fall out of the sky"? Seriously?

    Yes seriously. It's statements like that why the vast majority of the public actually believe planes fall from the sky when an engine quits.

    And to the ignorant mods, my statement is both educational and factual. It is not flamebait or trolling. Please learn the difference. Additionally, in the piloting community, correcting that statement is common for exactly the reasons stated above. Educating the public is a responsibility. This is a mistake that pilot won't likely make again.

  31. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by hey! · · Score: 1

    Just because you can't read and understand it doesn't mean it doesn't have value to someone.

    Ah, grasshopper, you have not mastered the Tao of the Value Proposition.

    Knowledge of the Tao cannot be obtained rationally, but there are stories which point the way. On such story concerns Sozan, a Zen master from China. One day, the story goes, a student came to Sozan asked: "Master, what is the most valuable thing in the world?"

    The master replied: "The head of a dead cat."

    "Why is the head of a dead cat the most valuable thing in the world?" inquired the student.

    Sozan replied: "Because no one can name its price."

    That which has clear value also has finite value. There is no finite bound to the value of a benefit which cannot be defined. The highest values are like water: they seek the lowest level of thought, and flow into the shape of such expectations as they meet there.

    --
    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  32. This problem seems simple.... by FlyingGuy · · Score: 3, Informative

    It it was only true!

    There are so many points of failure in a system this complex, that it simply boggles the minds of the best architects we have out there.

    Discloser... I am a pilot, I deal with Air Traffic Control and all the problems that they have

    Let's begin with a single aircraft that will fly a from point A to point B. The flight is scheduled to leave at 0600Z from point A and arrive at point B at 1200Z for a total of 6 hours of flight time. The aircraft will have an SOA ( speed of advance ) of 600 kts ( nautical miles per hour ) and fly at 30,000 feet. Given this data the aircraft will cover 3600 nautical miles.

    Given those parameters, it is simple to create and appropriate data structure that will represent the aircraft in question, allow us to create a series of data points to describe it's theoretical route, and predict where that aircraft is at any given moment with mathematical precision. In short it boils down to a rather simple database problem. Most any database cooker can come up with a set of queries to predict where crossing routes and position problems will be when you add more then one flight to the problem.

    All of this will work just fine, right up until reality rears it's ugly head.

    The cruise or en route portion of a flight is pretty much as simple as I have described, with the exception of having to readjust things based on headwinds, aircraft performance and other factors that may or may not change during the duration of the flight. We have gotten pretty good at predicting what the wind will be like at the planned altitude of the flight, but there are occasions when we are flat out wrong and have to make adjustments. If the winds at say 30,000 ft are not as predicted then to maintain the SOA the pilot needs to change altitude. So we can either propose a change, take that bit of data and run it through a "what if" calculation and then tell the pilot yes or no based on the result which will tell us if that action will cause a potential crossing problem with another flight, or have the software check all the flights currently in the system and have it give us an altitude that will not cause a crossing situation that is as close as possible to the desired altitude while maintaining a safety margin.

    The real problem exists at the airports. Things get delayed, weather problems, mechanical problems, passenger problems, luggage problems, you name it, it is going to happen at one point or another. It backs the system up and then the simple database problem turns into the "Traveling Salesman Problem" from hell.

    Let us consider a very probable occurrence..... Plane A is sitting at the gate getting serviced for the next flight. The fuel truck rolls up to full up the plane and the fueler gets out, gets his hoses out, plugs them into the fueling connection on the ground and connection on the plane. He looks at his manifest that reads 30,000 lbs of JET-A for this plane, he sets the controls on the fuel truck appropriately and starts pumping. For some reason when the meter reads 29,670 fuel starts spilling from the wing! His "Oh Fuck Light" goes of in his head and he runs for the truck to shut off fuel flow but by the time he makes it the 30 feet from where he is watching to make sure his connection is not leaking the meter now reads 29,980. So you have just spilled around 300 lbs ( about 50 gallons ) of fuel all through the wing and onto the ground. So this plane is not going ANYWHERE for at least the next couple of hours AT LEAST.

    With this little problem, and it has happened to me things start to avalanche very quickly. I need another plane, another gate and I have to get the passengers and their luggage off of this plane, to the other plane at another gate, hint hint, this does not happen quickly. We are now occupying two gates and we are going to depart late, more then likely over an hour late if not a more.

    So now the arriving flight that was supposed to park at the gate where the airpla

    --
    Hey KID! Yeah you, get the fuck off my lawn!
    1. Re:This problem seems simple.... by Kent+Recal · · Score: 1

      Well, I'd sum up your anecdote up as a single, well-formed condition in such a system: DELAY.
      Ofcourse approaching an optimized schedule and maintaining safe-route-prediction based on a constantly changing working-set does imply an array of a hard, greedy problems (travelling salesman, knapsack, you name it) but in the end it boils down to raw number-crunching power.

      I mean, the current system (from the 70s?) can do it. I see no reason why an equal, or rather, a better system could not be created.
      There's really no magic to it, it's just mathematics.

    2. Re:This problem seems simple.... by thogard · · Score: 1

      Your description of the data structures needed seems to be covered in every OOD book... too bad the air traffic control system isn't concerned about planes but air space.
      I'll try to point out why this problem is much harder than it looks with some other info.
      The old system is based on allocating slots which most people don't seem to understand. Say your doing a low flight from STL to MKC (250 miles or so). There will be several slots allocated. You tell ATC when you expect to take off and the speed and the whole system allocates a take off slot, a departure slot, two en-route slots, an arrival area slot, rival slot and and landing slot. There there will be a slot from the landing airport to the alternate with whoever many slots it needs. Once a plan is accepted, each of those slots gets reserved. The system was based on the idea of what if several things go wrong. From the time a pilot takes off, the system assumes they will lose their radio or radar or several other things at any point. If nothing breaks, they can close the reservation early. If everything is working then the controller can adjust the slots so optimise things but things still won't break if things go wrong. In the case of route I've mentioned above, the slots will be from the 1st airport to the VOR on the west side of town. Then a slot on the air highway v12 will be allocated at a specific altitude to the VOR about 120 miles away. Years ago planes flew close to VORs but tended to be a mile or so to the side. Now with GPS based autopilots, the planes are often within a wingspan of being over the exact spot. There are also more issues with allocating climbing and descending slots so they don't interferer with other allocations. The backup plan for when the ATC computer dies is the controller has a number of paper tags that get moved around on slots to indicate where different aircraft are.

    3. Re:This problem seems simple.... by scsirob · · Score: 1

      You need to add "Resource Constraints" to the DELAY condition. Which makes it a bit harder to predict. If you occupy two, or even four gates to deal with the 'delay' issue, you cause an avalanche through the schedule. And that avalanche gets added to the other avalanches out there, making a big nasty mess out of the schedule.

      The issue could be made less complex if airports and operators would allow for spare resources to deal with these issues. Unfortunately, people today expect to fly from one end of the country to the other for 50 bucks and the operators are still expected to make a bit of profit. That does not allow for luxuries like a spare gate or spare plane to sit around just in case. The system has been maxed out, and it shows.

      --
      To Terminate, or not to Terminate, that's the question - SCSIROB
    4. Re:This problem seems simple.... by sillybilly · · Score: 1

      There is probably some equilibrium spareness that operators could rely on to ease some of the avalanches. If there are gate holds in Detroit, that cause an avalanche in the schedules - customers seeing expected arrival times to jump back and forth half an hour as the computer updates the possibilities - having one spare plane in say St. Louis, or Atlanta, or some really busy place, even with no spare gates, and letting the system know about it, could cut one order of magnitude of the problems, maybe even justify the cost of the spare plane. Just how much lost value can you assign to pissing off the customer? If you lose no profit over that, and pissing them off to the max is the most profitable way to do business, then it's going to be hard to justify the spares, on competitive business arguments. Maybe human decency arguments? FAA regulation might demand some minimum level of spareness? A lot of laws are like that, introduce human decency into a picture. This could be a great subject for some mathematicians to get funding for, to come up with FAA rules for optimum balance. You basically have too many equations and too much math that database people aren't smart enough to deal with, but linear algebra researchers could get off on. It's a brain tickle with very serious practical value.

    5. Re:This problem seems simple.... by sillybilly · · Score: 1

      The spare plane could be provided by the FAA itself, and shared by the competitors, as needed. One scenario is where it's available for a fee, the fee being higher than a normal plane's cost, so only in need would it be used. However if the competitors don't care about canceled flights and losing customers and only care about saving money, the FAA plane would just sit there with no use, nobody touching it. Another scenario is where it would be freely available to one of the competitors under certain rules, such as given enough system load, and some fairness and non-cheating principles, if you can devise some. Now the airplane companies would hire people to figure out how to get the free plane, and this would create very good understanding of the underlying upsets in the system. The real problem is how to come up with rules that keep getting the free plane fair. In a sense, you could have mathematicians on one side update rules, as the free plane hungry people figure out the loopholes. Formula 1 has such measures, where after an invention shows up, such as turbochargers, aerodynamic fins, superhigh rpms, every few years the design problem is made more difficult and more sane by putting limits. For instance the maximum rpm allowed is 19000 in an engine, because otherwise competitors would go to 40000 rpm or some crazy value like that, and research advances in that direction have no practical value in regular 2000 rpm automobiles, but some recent bikes do function at 9000 rpm, such as the Kawasaki Ninja 250R. Similar limits have been put on aerodynamic shape sizes that create downforce and excessive "safe speeds" (such as front funnel shapes of the early 90's that worked with venturi effects under the body.) You could set up an opposite interest group between regulating mathematicians, and the competitors competing for the free plane, minds pitted against each other, just like in the legal system, you have prosecution and defense, and from trying to outdo the opposition comes something valuable.

  33. End of 2008? by CharlieG · · Score: 1

    Ohhh - the replacement system won't be in place till the end of 2008.

    Ah, as in 3 months? Not too bad - mus mean they are almost done. The hardware will go into place, be tested for weeks before it's turned on etc.

    --
    -- 73 de KG2V For the Children - RKBA! "You are what you do when it counts" - the Masso
  34. You're right, no one will like your idea... by Crazy+Taco · · Score: 3, Insightful

    People probably won't like my suggestion, which would be to regulate air travel again. Cut the routes, limit take off and landing slots, increase the seat and isle widths and let airlines raise prices to the market level of support. Add a gas tax to keep the cost of gasoline above $3.50/gallon and take the money pay for building a high speed train system across the US. To me that would be worth going into debt for, short term anyway. It would create jobs here and give people an alternative to our broken air transportation system.

    That's ridiculous, and a sign of complete stagnation on your part. How about we either fix the system, or design a better one? The answer is not to stagnate, but instead to build again!

    Telling people to return to trains is ridiculous, and who has time for that anyway? If the air system isn't safe, fix it. If it can't be fixed, then build a better one. There is nothing that people in the 80's could do that we shouldn't be able to equal, if not vastly exceed. They weren't magicians, and their technology was far less advanced than what we have been able to create in the intervening two decades.

    The trains could handle the commodity traffic and airlines could compete for luxury traffic, just like the old days. We have to do something. We have 3% of the world population and use 25% of the gasoline. Without alternatives we're never going to get people out of their cars. If I could go anywhere in the continental US in 24 hours, I'd never fly again.

    Where do I even start with this? Here are just a few of the many things wrong with this statement:

    1. We aren't talking about getting people out of their cars. We are talking about a broken air transportation system in need of fixing.
    2. Other people don't share your views about the 24 hour thing. I can go from my house here in Ohio to my parent's house in Des Moines, IA, in 12 hours in the car, probably 6 hours by plane (factoring in wait times at airports), or 24 hours by bus OR a train, and the train will require an additional hour of driving at the end because it doesn't even have a route to a city as big as Des Moines! Let me clue you in: I'm not going to take that 24 hour train, and I don't think anyone else will either.
    3. Even if we were willing to take a 24 hour train, you aren't getting one anyway, no matter how fast the engine is. The reason the train between Ohio and Iowa takes 24 hours is because of all the stops at stations, including a big one in Chicago. I don't care if your train goes 300 mph, those stops are still going to happen, and you aren't going to get across the country in 24 hours unless there is an express.
    4. If there was an express, it still doesn't do most people any good. You talk about reducing airline routes, but did you stop to think why there are so many? It's because the people in this nation are spread out in small cities and towns all over the country, and airlines have to service those smaller population centers. Having some fast 300 mph train express routes between LA and NY isn't going to fix anything, because you still have to connect all the other towns and cities for most people to be able to start taking the train. And you can't have an express route between every pair of towns in the system, so you have to start setting up lines and making stops. And if you start making stops all over, your trip gets a lot slower.
    5. And finally, what makes you think this train of your is going to be so vastly more efficient anyway? You start hitting 300 mph and your train will start dealing with the same huge air resistance forces that planes have to overcome. And how are you going to power and propel this thing? Maglevs and wires by the rail? Well, again to clue you in, the energy has to come from somewhere, and it's either coming from gasoline or it's coming from wires connected to power plants that probably burn coal or something. So all your idea really does is wastes billions of taxpayer dolla
    --
    Beware of bugs in the above code; I have only proved it correct, not tried it.
    1. Re:You're right, no one will like your idea... by darkwhite · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Telling people to return to trains is ridiculous, and who has time for that anyway?

      You have no time for trains, but you have time to poison our planet. Slow speeds are quite a valid complaint. Voicing them in a disgustingly selfish way is not.

      I can go from my house here in Ohio to my parent's house in Des Moines, IA, in 12 hours in the car, probably 6 hours by plane (factoring in wait times at airports), or 24 hours by bus OR a train, and the train will require an additional hour of driving at the end because it doesn't even have a route to a city as big as Des Moines! Let me clue you in: I'm not going to take that 24 hour train, and I don't think anyone else will either.

      That's right. Do you know why this is? It's because Amtrak sucks. Do you know why Amtrak sucks? Because they've been operating on a shoestring budget for 60 years in a government that subsidizes car and air travel as a matter of policy. Now imagine a modern train system like ICE or TGV for your Ohio-Iowa trip. About the same time spent and a much more pleasant trip (have you ever ridden in a TGV or ICE?)

      Even if we were willing to take a 24 hour train, you aren't getting one anyway, no matter how fast the engine is. The reason the train between Ohio and Iowa takes 24 hours is because of all the stops at stations, including a big one in Chicago. I don't care if your train goes 300 mph, those stops are still going to happen, and you aren't going to get across the country in 24 hours unless there is an express.

      That's bullshit. What makes you think there can't be a point-to-point Des Moines-Columbus express with just one stop in Chicago? All high-speed rail links have expresses.

      If there was an express, it still doesn't do most people any good. You talk about reducing airline routes, but did you stop to think why there are so many? It's because the people in this nation are spread out in small cities and towns all over the country, and airlines have to service those smaller population centers. Having some fast 300 mph train express routes between LA and NY isn't going to fix anything, because you still have to connect all the other towns and cities for most people to be able to start taking the train. And you can't have an express route between every pair of towns in the system, so you have to start setting up lines and making stops. And if you start making stops all over, your trip gets a lot slower.

      Yeah, Americans love sprawl. But rail links can be done basically everywhere commercial aviation goes, although you would have to revive some local rail from a coma.

      what makes you think this train of your is going to be so vastly more efficient anyway? You start hitting 300 mph and your train will start dealing with the same huge air resistance forces that planes have to overcome. And how are you going to power and propel this thing? Maglevs and wires by the rail? Well, again to clue you in, the energy has to come from somewhere, and it's either coming from gasoline or it's coming from wires connected to power plants that probably burn coal or something. So all your idea really does is wastes billions of taxpayer dollars to build unneeded infrastructure for a slower system that probably isn't any more efficient anyway.

      Please actually educate yourself a little more on the subject before spewing this bullshit. High speed rail is at least 4 times more efficient than jet aircraft (0.15 MJ/passenger-mile in a TGV, 0.03 L/passenger-mile in aircraft which is about 1 MJ/passenger-mile. Transmission losses are less than half) and sometimes significantly more. So while your prior points are valid, the fact that you pulled this argument out of your ass discredits you quite a bit.

      It's true that crossing the Rockies is hard on a train. That doesn't negate the need for high speed rail elsewher

      --

      [an error occurred while processing this directive]
  35. Federal by Rinisari · · Score: 1

    This is the problem with a federal agency being in charge of things! In order to upgrade the system, the taxpayer will have to pay additional taxes, or lose out because money has been re-budgeted from one project to another.

    This is at the expense of every taxpayer, not just the ones who utilize the air travel.

    The system should be privatized, but set to certain statutory standards of operation and interoperability. I'm not saying that airlines have to run it, but it should not be the FAA.

    1. Re:Federal by FlyingGuy · · Score: 1

      I am all for privatization, right up to the point where there is a profit motive.

      The nuclear Navy has a perfect safety record, not one reactor failure ( think 3 mile island ) ever yet nuclear power with a profit motive has a rather spotty record aye?

      I have no problem with having a nuclear power plant in my hood as long as the plant itself is designed and built without a profit motive, because LOTS of lives are at stake.

      I would have no problem with the ATC system being privatized as long as there is no profit motive, because LOTS of lives are at stake.

      When there is a profit motive, there will always be corner cutting, bonus seeking and all the other little hijinks that go on when someone is out to make a buck.

      --
      Hey KID! Yeah you, get the fuck off my lawn!
  36. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by jabithew · · Score: 1

    Not that I disagree, but:

    Ice in Fuel Caused Heathrow Crash

    I suppose it's not technically an engine problem, but it's fairly related. It's just bad luck that you happened to write that two days after the report came out.

    --
    All intents and purposes. Not intensive purposes.
  37. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by NoPantsJim · · Score: 1

    That's true, it's definitely related. I personally wouldn't call it an engine issue because I recall reading a large amount of information about the crash being related to excessive amounts of water in the fuel from China. Apparently, lots of water in the fuel is a common thing over there, which doesn't shock me in the least.

  38. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by __aailrp9629 · · Score: 1

    That's not a weather report, it's part of an airfield survey.

  39. Re:FAA biggest joke ever by jshackney · · Score: 3, Interesting

    You're only paying 2x as much? Sounds like a good deal. We had a Learjet a couple years ago that had a bad EL panel. Nothing fancy, just an EL panel with a handful of switches for radios. When the panel was previously replaced (about 4 years ago) it cost about $300. Two years ago, when we had to replace it again, it cost over $1200. A 4x markup in two years! Same P/N, and since there is no such thing as *new* for planes this old, it was also refurbished/remanufactured/rebuilt, however you want to look at it. I definitely blame the FAA and Insurance for the insane costs that we are seeing today.

    "...TSA inspectors in the name of public safety by climbing up onto the aircraft, on these very sensitive pitot tubes."

    Were these Rosemount styled pitot tubes by any chance? The costs for those things can be jaw-shattering. We had a lineman bend one on a jet right after it came back from RVSM installation and certification. He was trying to tug the plane with his car because the company's tug was broken down. He no longer works there.

  40. Try Subsystem by tom's+a-cold · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I used to design air-traffic control systems.

    The title and text of the parent post are inconsistent. The article is about the failures and obsolescence of the flight-plan system, but the discussion of radars, etc, in the text of the post is about other parts of the air-traffic control system. The flight-plan system interfaces to the part of the system that synthesizes radar data and allows communication from controllers to aircraft, but it is not that system. The reason for the interface is so you can do correlation of observed aircraft ID data, positions and position history with flight plans that have been filed. Then, if a plane goes off its flight path, the controllers can warn them and start emergency measures, which includes handing off to the air force.

    The amount of data in a flight plan is pretty small, and the volume of messaging is on the order of a few million per year. Conceptually, NADIN is little more than a guaranteed-delivery email system. Next time they build the system they should consider routing over the Internet (of course using encryption) as a backup communication path. And there's also a huge amount that's been learned about system redundancy and scalability in the past few decades. The 99.9% uptime mentioned in the article is piss-poor for such a critical system. That's 8.76 hours per year of downtime. I delivered military systems in the 80's that had far better uptime. It wasn't even good in its own time.

    I worked on both military and civilian air traffic control systems. The FAA and their consultants I met had that dangerous combination of arrogance and pig-ignorance that makes failure inevitable. They knew next to nothing about user interfaces, and had worse understanding of engineering tradeoffs than the average private sector middle manager (and that's pretty bad). By contrast, a good percentage of US Air Force officers involved in ATC actually knew what they were talking about. The FAA controllers I met were also shockingly ignorant of the capabilities and limitations of their systems, and some of their processes were there for historic reasons that no longer made sense. It was like dealing with overpaid DMV counter staff. It scares the hell out of me that people's lives depend on decisions that these knuckleheads make.

    --
    Get your teeth into a small slice: the cake of liberty
    1. Re:Try Subsystem by PPH · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I worked on both military and civilian air traffic control systems. The FAA and their consultants I met had that dangerous combination of arrogance and pig-ignorance that makes failure inevitable. They knew next to nothing about user interfaces, and had worse understanding of engineering tradeoffs than the average private sector middle manager (and that's pretty bad).

      That situation has occurred by design. I've worked on a number of government programs, on the supplier side and I've seen the same thing.

      By contrast, a good percentage of US Air Force officers involved in ATC actually knew what they were talking about.

      Until Haliburton, or some other contractor gets their foot in the door to operate the system on behalf of the AF. This is not likely, but its a useful idea to illustrate what happens in other branches of the gov't.

      1. Convince Congress that private business can do the job better and for less money.
      2. Bid the support contract.
      3. Have your contacts in Congress complain that it isn't fair having the gov't compete with private business. Get their in-house operations de-funded.
      4. Hire the competent people away from the government. Leave the goofs behind.
      5. ????
      6. Profit!

      The FAA has been targeted by private industry as a easy mark for lucrative IT contracts. As such, it isn't in their (private contractors') best interest to let them develop in-house expertise, or they might start building their own stuff and just buying components. To ensure that this doesn't happen, they apply lobbying pressure to keep the FAA's in-house IT operations under-funded, so talent moves toward private industry.

      --
      Have gnu, will travel.
    2. Re:Try Subsystem by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      While I'm not a fan of government incompetancy, I don't want Air Traffic Control run as a for-profit enterprise. Lockheed Martin can barely provide weather briefings to private pilots.

    3. Re:Try Subsystem by mcrbids · · Score: 1

      Currently, as the CTO of a small software company, I've had some experience dealing with coordinating millions of records per day, in a dynamically load-balanced, auto-failover variably sized computing cluster. It's been working amazingly well, and developing the ability to deliver performance at this level has been hugely rewarding on a very personal level.

      If you were hosting an application, how could you actually provide 100x your current hosting capacity in 30 days?

      The problem requires very careful consideration of just about every assumption, all the way down to the location of a temp file. Sure, you can write to a temp file if you need to, and then read it back on the next hit if it's appropriate, but what happens when the next hit is routed to a completely different machine?

      Simple things become complicated, especially when you factor in the need to scale near-linearly. There are many, many wrinkles that are introduced as the number of potential cross-connections increase.

      Designing an ATC system is a project that I think I would find amazingly fun and interesting!

      And, as a private pilot, I have many times experienced the frustrations from the current system, which feels to me like a hodge-podge of technologies rooted in antiquity. I would *love* the challenge. (But not until I've finished taking my existing company to its logical conclusion!)

      --
      I have no problem with your religion until you decide it's reason to deprive others of the truth.
    4. Re:Try Subsystem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      AT are shoe salesmen types that think computers are for geeks and hate computers and don't have them at home. AF managers are the same and worse. You all should be scared to death when you fly! That is why I don't fly! I'm here working on this junk. STARS/ASR-9/11 BI-5/6 MODES. AOS are very poor programmers too (most are from SCO (now working on TDLS)) and I see all the HAX they do for these systems. MODES is one system with memory heap issues and it is haxed to work. When we started to use Linux/Solaris (STARS) based systems, I was starting to be happy again.

      AT make up to +300k a year. AF managers do about the same. You get what your tax $ pay for.

  41. Generic government IT woes by PPH · · Score: 1

    The FAA suffers from a number of problems specific to government IT systems.

    As with private (corporate) systems, there is a tendency to keep existing systems running with duct tape, bubble gum and whatever until the cost of failures and inefficiency becomes intolerable. But unlike private systems, the red tape one needs to plow through to get anything changed is orders of magnitude greater. All acquisitions must be put out for bid. The terms are controlled by a rats nest of laws and regulations. Laws that are intended to ensure fairness and eliminate favoritism, but in practice manipulated by companies that have larger legal departments than engineering departments. And, if you piss the wrong contractor off, you'll see them in court. Or have to deal with irate congressional reps from their home states. Ask the Air Force about their tanker contract.

    In the final analysis, its easier to keep old garbage limping along than it is to keep up with current (i.e. maintainable) technology).

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
  42. ++Parent by toby · · Score: 1

    Awesome. If only more people thought like you. :)

    --
    you had me at #!
  43. Windows Server solution by windows+ain't+so+bad · · Score: 2, Funny

    There is probably a Microsoft Windows Server solution for this situation, using products from the Microsoft Windows Server 2008 Family. Combining high uptime and ease-of-use, Microsoft Windows Server 2008 is ideal for mission-critical, sensitive systems like this. It will also lower the system's TCO.

  44. It runs reliably for 20 years by toby · · Score: 1

    ...and then you call it "POS"?

    How about credit where it's due. Could you design a system to handle the entire FAA flight plan traffic that would run for 20 years? A lot of lives depend on what you come up with.

    --
    you had me at #!
    1. Re:It runs reliably for 20 years by Narnie · · Score: 1

      You got me there... reliable for 20 years is a major merit. The problem is the age and the supportability of the system. Parts are becoming harder to come by (and I'm not talking about the vacuum tubes), the equipment is beyond it's life cycle, and system loads are increasing. I guess POS would better describe the current state of planning and deployment than the actual fielded equipment.

      --
      greed@All_Evils:~#
  45. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by UncleTogie · · Score: 3, Informative

    You're suggesting that the your local TV station's Doppler 2008 15-minute weather segment is too long?

    IMHO, the short answer is "Yes."

    I can get info for the next 48 hours on ONE page, with all the data I'll need. Don't believe me? Great! Let's try something [for those in the US.]

    First, got to the NOAA's page. Enter your ZIP code in the upper left-hand side of the page.

    Next, scroll to the bottom of the next page and click "Hourly Weather Graph" in the "Additional Forecasts and Information" section. Read the next page carefully. Try mousing over the graph for information on a particular data point.

    That page has all the data I'll need to plan my days/weekend in one place. I can read it in less than 10 seconds. If I want radar/doppler, it's a link at the bottom of that page, and I can even get the doppler in motion, with a limited zoom function.

    So yeah, even counting the time to pull up the page, enter a zip code, and click a link, it's my opinion that 15 minutes is too long to get the same info I can get in around a minute.

    --
    Don't tell me to get a life. I'm a gamer; I have LOTS of lives!
  46. Its being taken care of by Orig_Club_Soda · · Score: 0

    Last I heard, Lockheed is writing new software for the FFA.

    1. Re:Its being taken care of by colourmyeyes · · Score: 1

      Future Farmers of America?

      --
      My grandmother used anecdotal evidence all the time, and she lived to be 120 years old.
  47. Would you design a program like this? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Top-of-head, first idea is always the best, right?

    No complexity here to think about, of course, no real system design or optimizations.

    The world is a complex place. Nobody has succeeded in writing a handbook for attaining an optimal future, and I don't think your particular rules will contribute much.

    Real-world, we have to evolve to a future, we can't design it.

  48. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1
    How many cars do you see that require an annual and only an A&P can do major work on them?

    /private pilot
    //gave up on commercial when the industry started collapsing at the beginning of this year

  49. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

    While I've never been in a GA aircraft that has had an engine failure, my instructor and I did over two hours of emergency landing practices. I want that shit down in the event I lose an engine a) at cruise altitude or worse b) during takeoff

  50. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hi. I'm the sockpuppet of the jackhole mod that modded you "Funny."
    I meant to mod you "Informative", but my finger slipped. Honest.

    So yeah. Thanks a zillion for pointing to weather.gov. It's fucking fantastic... far better than weather.com. (Fuck weather.com!)

  51. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by orangesquid · · Score: 1

    Ha! I bet you don't get that six times on the :x8's!

    Of course, for people who haven't seen TheWeatherChannel, you have to wonder what the remainder of the time is spent broadcasting (and, no, it's not a bunch of people in a bar painted like cold and hot fronts colliding, as some commercials might lead you to believe).

    My dad calls it 'weather porn', and I think that's a rather accurate description. If your inner geek has its mouth watering looking at pictures of Flourinert-immersed Crays, your inner weathergeek will be glued to the sofa for the broadcasts of houses and businesses getting ripped apart in Hurricane Alley. Yes, my friend, if you thought goatse leaves a lasting impression, if you just haven't erased 2girls1cup from your mind, if you still have nightmares of tubgirl... call your local cable provider and find out what channel is TWC!

    -- oh, obligatory ontopic comment: someone posted about IBM not being able to deliver in-time and within-budget. Well, duh, but the sultans of the mainframe were still making progress, no? Hire a few of the ex-Multics Stratus VOS guys if you've already burned the bridges with IBM---they know reliability pretty well, too. (Until recently, I would have advocated more for IBM due to their strong endorsement of open-source, but, now that Bull-France has given us a license to Multics source, I'm happy to say nice things about Stratus, because I know some of the ex-Multicians who work there were the ones pushing Bull to make sure that everything was followed through to get Multics freed (although it did take 5 or 6 more years than we [alt.os.multics folk] were all hoping for, but, when the weight of {making absolutely sure that no other potential Multics IP owners would turn around and sue Bull} fell on just one lone employee who had a few hours of spare time every now and then to work on the Multics-going-open-source project, I'd say the time it took was actually quite good! Hey, who enjoyed my run-on sentence? *g*)

    --
    --TheOrangeSquid Is it any wonder things seem so awry? We swim in a sea of confusion and don't have to think to survive
  52. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

    I think you'll see engines with a higher reliability as GA aircraft moves toward diesel or Jet A for fuel (as 100LL is made in limited quantities, and I wouldn't be surprised if it's phased out in 5-10 years).

  53. Mode S capability's almost unused by Jay+Maynard · · Score: 1

    Actually, the unique ID from a mode S transponder is not used for anything by the FAA's air traffic control system except for allowing it to send the position and direction of nearby aircraft to a cockpit display. The callsign is not retained in the system at all. My airplane's mode S transponder was about $2500 more than the same model of mode C transponder, and while having traffic information is nice, I'm not sure I'd make the same decision again knowing what I do now.

    --
    Disinfect the GNU General Public Virus!
  54. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by CedhedCO · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Interesting. There are quite a lot of auto conversions running around in the homebuilt community and they typically have TBO's in the range of 1500-2000 hours. And Engine failure, while slightly more common than in your standard Lycoming/Continental crowd, still happens very rarely. Especially considering most of these engines are homebuilt from parts kits and not professionally maintained I think that's a very good track record.

    Honestly the whole "certified" engine issue is really holding GA back. A 40+ year old Conty design can run for 2000 hours while A modern automotive engine can run for 10,000 or so with very poor maintenance and in harder conditions. (how often do you put your ga engine through constant cycles of full throttle acceleration and sudden deceleration with no warmup time)

    I think Rotax is on the right track, but they need to go further. EFI, Modern variable ignition, and liquid cooling would all benifit aviation immensely. Plus if you move them out of the space where a 100hp engine costs $30,000 to replace you can make aviation more available to all.

  55. No fast changes by Wowsers · · Score: 1

    I was privileged in the past to visit the main ATC hub in the UK, and there they described the systems they used. They had a LOT of redundant systems but they were old, in fact in computing terms, some of it was ancient.

    The head controller showing us around summed up the problem as this. As much as they would like to have new technology, it has to be tested and tested and tested to the point they could say the equipment is VERY reliable. Suppose they got a system using Pentium processors - the ones with the floating point problem. What if the software encountered that floating point problem, then because of that error it bought down a plane?

    At the time, they were only just experimenting with colour displays for the controllers to watch over.

    The new main control center for the UK that was opened is a gradual move from the old facililty to the new one. However the new facility was overbudget, and because of the need for exhaustive testing, years late.

    Any updates to an air traffic system will take years.

    --
    Take Nobody's Word For It.
  56. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by CedhedCO · · Score: 1

    Quick followup.

    Modern engines would increase safety as well.

    EFI would largely eliminate carb ice on carburated airplanes. An alternate source of air would be needed, just like on larger Mechanical fuel injected airplanes.

    Eliminating the user mixture control would allow the pilot (student pilots especially) to focus more on flying the airplane than tuning mixture for best economy. It would also reduce the wear and tear on an engine from improperly leaning the mix.

    Modern ignition could allow for more power in a more reliable system than magnetos. CDI units are largely bulletproof anymore and will frequently run the life of the engine without maintenance. A backup magneto system can be present in case of electrical failure.

    Liquid cooling would eliminate the need for concern about shock cooling (thermostats are good things) and would reduce the amount of worry about exhaust gas entering the cockpit through the muffler shroud for the heater. Plus an actual working heater/defroster would be a handy thing on those cold winter days. Honestly nothing is more pathetic than the "heater" in a 172.

    It would also reduce hot spots within the engine and reliability concerns there. Plus not having huge open holes in the front of the cowling would reduce the amount of bird nests.

  57. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There, Fixed that for you, From the sock puppet that remodded informative...

  58. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by Linker3000 · · Score: 2, Funny

    How true - my Granny can only do UNIVAC SHORT code and 4004 assembly code. At her age, she'd also have no idea what a POKE is.

    --
    AT&ROFLMAO
  59. Re:FAA biggest joke ever by GooberToo · · Score: 1

    You're only paying 2x as much?

    I wish. I think you missed the part where I explained that was only the first multiple. I went on to say, "Remember, it's a question of cost and everything aviation related is inflated 4x-8x higher than it would be if free market forces and liability protection would be allowed to function." Sadly, I'm paying the same extortion prices you are.

    Were these Rosemount styled pitot tubes by any chance?

    The several articles I read on this story did not state the name of pitot tubes but did indicate the various pitots were each, well over a thousand or more. They stated the estimated damages but I don't recall it. I do recall it being a mind-numbing number.

  60. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by GooberToo · · Score: 2, Informative

    during takeoff

    This kills a surprising number of qualified pilots. AOPA had an article on this some number of months back. The article was called something like, "Push, push, push." Seems most pilots fail to push forward enough in a timely enough manner to prevent a stall and the following onset of an unrecoverable spin into the ground.

    If you're not a member of AOPA, please join. If you are a member, go see if you can locate the article. It's a surprising read.

    Happy flying.

  61. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by GooberToo · · Score: 1

    This is a common misnomer. Car engines typically spend > 80% of their engine life at 80% of their life at > 75% power. Few in the GA fleet are water cooled. Most are air cooled, which creates a far greater range of operating temperatures, most hot spots, and a much greater range of heat related expansion.

    This should read:
    This is a common misnomer. Car engines typically spend greater than 80% of their engine life at less than 20% of their power. GA engines typically spend greater than 80% of their time at 75% power or more. Few in the GA fleet are water cooled. Most are air cooled, which creates a far greater range of operating temperatures. Most have hot spots, and a much greater range of heat related expansion.

    You would think I was drunk when I wrote my original post. Seems the use of less than and greater than screwed over the post when it was submitted.

  62. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by GooberToo · · Score: 2, Insightful

    There are quite a lot of auto conversions running around in the homebuilt community and they typically have TBO's in the range of 1500-2000 hours.

    This is true, with a caveat. Most engines are not used simply because they weigh far too much. The list of engines which are often put into home builds AND which have a good safety record is actually a pretty short list. In fact, these engines are both prized and hard to come by. If you look at the RV crowd, those that don't do Lyc 320 or 360s hunt for cores dating back to the 50s and 60s. At this late date, you can imagine they're getting scarce. These select few engines do not accurately reflect the huge variety of engines available to car manufacturers. And this should certainly come as no surprise as cars share little of the same constraints which airplane builders must address.

    Honestly the whole "certified" engine issue is really holding GA back.

    No argument from me on this. I completely agree.

    A 40+ year old Conty design can run for 2000 hours while A modern automotive engine can run for 10,000 or so with very poor maintenance and in harder conditions. (how often do you put your ga engine through constant cycles of full throttle acceleration and sudden deceleration with no warmup time)

    While the operating life your present is accurate, the operating conditions are not. GA aircraft must sustain far higher MPs, far widers spreads in temps, hot spots, large quantities of cold fuel pushed in from ham-fisted pilots (the true cause of mythical shock cooling), and high operating temps with limited cooling capacities. In the long run, car engines get a daily picnic compared to what GA engines go through; and doublely so if it is used for training.

    Most automotive engines which are run as hard as GA aircraft engines either fail vastly premature or are rebuilt on a regular basis. In fact, about the only thing comparable here in treatment are race engines, which are often rebuilt after each race or after each race season, depending on the sport.

  63. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by toddestan · · Score: 1

    More horseshit. I see cars on the side of the road almost daily on my commute. How often do you see a plane fall out of the sky because the engine died?

    How many airplane engines will go 3000 hours with a minimum of maintance, and has an expected lifetime of 5000-10000+ hours without an overhaul? The main difference is the level of care taken towards airplane engines versus how people treat their cars. All other things equal, car engines are much more advanced and reliable, though airplanes tend to benefit from the KISS principle.

  64. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by GooberToo · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Eliminating the user mixture control would allow the pilot (student pilots especially) to focus more on flying the airplane than tuning mixture for best economy. It would also reduce the wear and tear on an engine from improperly leaning the mix.

    It's only a $20,000 - $40,000+ option, depending on your engine and airframe. This assumes you're in the market for a retrofit. You can imagine owners are jumping right on that. ;)

    Modern ignition could allow for more power in a more reliable system than magnetos. CDI units are largely bulletproof anymore and will frequently run the life of the engine without maintenance. A backup magneto system can be present in case of electrical failure.

    More and more modern aircraft are getting this feature but it has its downside. A DA-42's accident, which is a twin, was traced back to ignition failure. Seems the battery was not charging. When the pilot retracted the electric gear on departure, the voltage dropped below the required threshold to operate the electronic ignition. Both engines died simultaneously. The pilot died. I don't remember if he had passengers or not.

    Needless to say, there is still room for the ultra reliable magneto, dual mag setup of conventional designs.

    Liquid cooling would eliminate the need for concern about shock cooling (thermostats are good things) and would reduce the amount of worry about exhaust gas entering the cockpit through the muffler shroud for the heater.

    Liquid cooling adds weight and load on the engine. A coolant leak means a scrubbed flight. A water pump is yet one more component which can fail. Many pilots already elect to remove their A/C. How many you think are willing to reduce their useful load and reduce their available HP in exchange for creating an additional, likely, and costly maintenance item? Not many. This is one of the reasons Rotax engines are considered to be a real mixed bag.

    Also, shock cooling is a myth. If it were real, it would be a noteworthy statics for twins and especially for twins used for primary training. No such statistic exists. The myth of shock cooling is believed to be answered by pilots who rapidly adjust the mixture and throttle controls, causing large quantiles of very cold aviation fuel and air to be dumped into very hot cylinders. Ham-fisted pilots are to blame, not throttle pulls and descents.

    Check out Deakin's Pelican Brief articles for more on the subject. Sorry, I don't remember the name of the article.

    Honestly nothing is more pathetic than the "heater" in a 172.

    I couldn't agree with you more.

    Happy flying.

  65. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by CedhedCO · · Score: 1

    It's only a $20,000 - $40,000+ option, depending on your engine and airframe. This assumes you're in the market for a retrofit. You can imagine owners are jumping right on that. ;)

    Yeah, that's the unfortunate thing about aviation engines currently. Everything is stupidly expensive. The EFI retrofit costs more than most modern fuel injected cars. Hell for that money you can get a mid level luxury auto with drive by wire and other nifty technologies.

    More and more modern aircraft are getting this feature but it has its downside. A DA-42's accident, which is a twin, was traced back to ignition failure

    That's why it's a good idea to have mags as a backup. A flip of a switch and they can be active powering the engine. I've seen setups like this on homebuilt engines and they work amazingly well.

    Liquid cooling adds weight and load on the engine. A coolant leak means a scrubbed flight. A water pump is yet one more component which can fail.

    True, but modern liquid cooling designs are much more reliable than those of yesteryear. And for the increased load the increased power output would more than make up for it. Most LSA's have a Rotax wich is air/liquid cooled. The cylinder heads are liquid cooled for even cooling, and they seem to be pretty reliable.

    Also, shock cooling is a myth. If it were real, it would be a noteworthy statics for twins and especially for twins used for primary training

    Shock cooling is more of a maintenance item than a failure item. It reduces the usable life of the cylinders and can lead to early formation of cracking or scoring of the cylinders. Most high performance twins have cowl flaps to help prevent this. I'm not sure why/if there aren't any statistics on this. But my A&P buddies can personally attest to having seen the effects on cylinder bores.

  66. Revolution at the FAA by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

    Hey, let's try just changing administrations and giving the FAA new bosses who aren't Republicans. It's worth trying at FEMA and the Department of Justice. Since the last 8 years have seen so much Republican involvement in America's aviation industry, we've probably got nothing left to lose at FAA, either.

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    make install -not war

    1. Re:Revolution at the FAA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fuck you.

  67. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

    Thanks for the info. I'm an AOPA member, but did not see this article. I'll have to go digging for it.

  68. Re:FAA biggest joke ever by iminplaya · · Score: 1

    As far as parts costs are concerned, it's important to remember that economies of scale apply here. Narco doesn't sell 20 million navcoms a year. On the other hand(I have five fingers), but seriously, Chrysler used to make the alternators that were installed on Lycoming engines. Precisely the same units used on your average Dodge or Plymouth. But they cost several times more, due to the tag it needed to be used on aircraft. If you think general aviation is bad, buy a boat.

    TSA? Yeah, I seem to remember that :-) They were using the Total Air Temperature probes(a new fancy version of the Outside Air Temp gauge?) as handholds while climbing around the aircraft. It seems they are very important for all these new computers.

    A lot of FAA systems haven't improved much at all. I remember the complaints about the entire ATC system since before the PATCO strike. Some things never change.

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    What?
  69. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by smellsofbikes · · Score: 1

    >A 40+ year old Conty design can run for 2000 hours while A modern automotive engine can run for 10,000 or so with very poor maintenance and in harder conditions.

    In part that's because of the air cooling. LyConti's have a 400F range of operation, requiring much looser tolerances/clearances throughout the engine, meaning it wears faster. (And hot metal suffers more from creep and other failure.)
    But it's really difficult to convince people to move to liquid cooling because air-cooling is a demon they know. Liquid cooling means you're relying on a water pump, it adds weight, blah blah blah. It's not that it isn't better technology -- it IS, obviously. That's why the top-line WWII aircraft had mostly gone to liquid-cooled engines. But people won't buy them. Both Lycoming and Continental have made liquid-cooled engines, as I recall. I think the Rutan Voyager had a Lyc 360 with a water-cooled top end, in fact. (I'm wrong: the water-cooled one was a Lycoming IOL-200.) But nobody bought them, just like nobody bought the geared Continental IO-470's that had vastly better specific power than our typical direct-drive LyConti's. When you could very well die if anything goes wrong with the engine, you live *incredibly* conservatively, and sometimes that means you end up in more danger than you would if you updated things.

    By the way, I'm not sure about the 'harder conditions' claim. Auto engines do operate over a wider RPM range, but they're not generally built to run at near-full-power for 95% of their operational life. I have a friend who used to use near-stock 1800CC VW engines running at full power. He said after 200 hours you could crack the block and see the serial numbers on the crank bearings hammered into the block bearing face. He got about 500 hours out of a block before having to throw it away. I've read about O360's that have 20,000 hours on the block, after 10 rebuilds.

    There are people doing EFI, variable ignition, and the like, especially on Subaru conversions. Eggenfelter (spelling?) and a couple others have been cranking out engines based on older Soob blocks with a new camshaft, and modern injectors, electronic ignition, the works. They seem to work pretty well, but in the end they're neither much cheaper nor lighter than a LyConti of the same horsepower. However, they're *much* cheaper after the first rebuild, they get better fuel consumption, and you get a cabin heater that has almost no danger of killing you silently from CO poisoning.

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    Nostalgia's not what it used to be.
  70. TAAATS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If you've ever flown in Australia, you'll probably have noticed that your plane never ever ends up in a holding pattern.

    Australia has a air traffic control system that can schedule flights with small adjustments in speed and route at long distance so that when they arrive they never have to hold. Reduces fuel cost and the cost of flights in general.

  71. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by yabos · · Score: 1

    Yep, you have 100 hour and 50 hour inspections, at least where I am(Canada). Aircraft engines are also way more expensive than a car engine. Some retard at my flight school didn't check the engine oil which was actually at zero. The also retarded mechanic didn't put oil in the engine after the inspection, signed it off as airworthy and put it back in service. The engine seized on the taxyway, and luckily not while in flight. $20000 later you have a new engine for some stupid fuck up like not checking the oil.

  72. This problem IS simple.... by Safety+Cap · · Score: 1

    ...if the people in charge know how to manage a complex project.

    Too bad they don't.

    A (oil/gas/chem) refinery must upgrade its control systems on a regular basis: components get old, there are additional/new capacity needs, or new regulatory requirements.

    The nature of the beast is that the switchover must be seamless (NO downtime), requires replacement of hundreds of thousands of components (new valve, flow, heat/temp sensors, etc. in addition to the c3 stuff), and failure can mean severe injuries or death and/or loss of $ millions in a very short time.

    Yet, this is done regularly. For every refinery. In the world.

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    Yeah, right.
    1. Re:This problem IS simple.... by FlyingGuy · · Score: 1

      Your analogy is somewhat suspect, at least in my eyes. I have never worked at a chemical plant or refinery, but it seems to me, that they shut down when they need to replace a valve, sensor or whatnot. If the need to replace some part leading from the cracking tower, they stop cracking ( shut off the flow of steam and the flow of raw material ) and drain the lines before un-bolting that huge as valve from the huge ass pipe.

      Unfortunately you can just "shut off" a 747 in flight you can perhaps slow it down a bit, divert it to another airport but that big mofo is coming in to land..

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      Hey KID! Yeah you, get the fuck off my lawn!
  73. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by GooberToo · · Score: 1

    That's why the top-line WWII aircraft had mostly gone to liquid-cooled engines.

    Top of the line fighters used water cooling simply because air cooling cost far too much speed because of huge cowl openings. And frankly, I'm not sure air cooling along would address the heating issues. When you're pushing 2000+-hp, in combat maneuvers, where air flow is further compromised, air cooling is simply not an option. Water cooling was a cause of many mission abortions and early departure from combat. Water cooling was not a perk, it was a requirement.

    Now, let's do some quick math. An F4U has a useful load of almost 5000lbs. Let's say radiator + pump + water weighs 80lbs (best guess on the heavy side - even at 100lbs, it's 2%, and roughly 1.5% of its gross). That means roughly 1.6% of its useful load goes to cooling. The added weight isn't worth discussion. Now let's talk about something like a 182. Useful load is likely something around 1000lbs (real world now). Let's add a cooling system which likely weighs something around 50lbs; with a gross total (less passive required) around 40lbs (that's being nice here). That's 4% of the total useful load. That's twice the negative effect. But wait. In order to fit that under the cowl, you now need to make the cowl larger. That will cost you some more weight. Not to mention, that will likely cost you some speed (more weight, more drag). You're now likely 5-6% heavier and 5-8 knots slower. In exchange for this "feature", you now have more maintenance, higher fuel bills, more expensive annuals. For GA, water cooling does not make sense. Easy math, conservative math easily indicates water cooling is not a feature for light GA.

    Auto engines do operate over a wider RPM range, but they're not generally built to run at near-full-power for 95% of their operational life.

    It's well understood automotive engines get a cake walk compared to airplane engines. For a fair comparison, you can only look at automotive sports; and there you see engines constantly rebuilt. They are lucky to see hundreds of hours which is certainly a far, far cry from the thousands seen from GA pistons.

    I do agree with you that automotive water cooling technology has drastically improved over the years but that hardly means it smoothly translates to light piston GA.

  74. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by smellsofbikes · · Score: 1

    There were some amazing engines, and amazing engineers, involved in the last-generation WWII fighters. The F8F was cranking out 2100 horsepower on an aircooled engine, without a problem; the Wasp Major used in the B-36 was doing 4300 HP on air-cooling. It was still competitive on both the fighter and bomber sides: it was just *big*.

    Water cooling sucked for battle damage, which hopefully isn't a factor in general aviation. But with better engine design -- lighter heads because they don't need all the fins, no need for air ducting -- you can minimize the added weight of a water-cooled system. Plus, if you're really clever, you can derive thrust from your cooling system giving you negative drag from your radiator, making your Mustang go faster than a Spitfire. I don't think I'll ever fly something that's fast enough to take advantage of this, but it's an interesting thought.

    The conclusion I draw from planes like the F8F and the Skyraider (2700HP from an air-cooled piston engine, useful career 1950-1970's) and the Mustang is that either air-cooled or water-cooled can work, given enough engineering, but it seems to me that water-cooling has an awful lot of ancillary advantages for GA that probably outweigh the weight penalties.

    --
    Nostalgia's not what it used to be.
  75. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Interesting reply. I didn't know the F8 used an air cooled engine. It's worth mentioning that a couple of minutes on Google indicated that overheating was no uncommon. Additionally, cockpit heating problems were also not rare. I guess your desire to get a heater proved it self out. ;)

    I found the radiator-thrust link to be especially interesting. Thanks for sharing that.

    I leave you with on last thought. On many smaller GA aircraft, there isn't a lot of room under the cowl. In many planes, finding the space or an oil cooler can be tricky; especially on planes like Mooneys. If you look at engines like IO-360s and IO-320s, the fins are not requiring much extra room compared to exhaust pipes and various bits hanging off. If you add a water pump to the front or rear, you've now shifted the center of balance forward. Now, add water to the system and it's even father forward. And you still have a problem finding room for the radiator. Remember, these planes don't have guppy mouths like the old WWII fighters. This means a larger cowl is now required. For light GA, you're now back to the picture I previously depicted.

    Long story short, the likelihood of water cooling taking off in light GA just isn't good. You may be right that technology has progressed far beyond where I believe it is, but I'm certainly not holding my breath for that. And even if these engines were to be produced and certified, its doubtful anyone would touch it because of the associated risks and concerns; ignoring the likely shift in CG required of these power plants.

  76. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by smellsofbikes · · Score: 1

    The thing I found most interesting about the radiator thrust issue was that I've been reading about that for years and I've never found any good indication that the designers intended that to happen: everything I've read basically says they ducted it to make sure there was positive flow across the radiator at all times, and that's all, and once the plane was flying, they found it was going faster than they expected and tracked it down to that.

    I've worked on a Mooney. Those things are crazy, like a Corvette of the sky: the entire engine compartment is formed around the constraints of the cowl. You'd have trouble putting a different make of alternator in one. No way a radiator would fit. The WWII Mosquito had radiators in the leading edges of the wings, with the intake at the stagnation point -- an interesting idea as long as you make sure you're rarely operating at unusual attitudes, but boy you have to make sure you don't ever pick up LE icing. I suppose if it were flush or in thermal contact it might reduce icing a bit, though.

    Some serious Googling shows I was wrong: I thought that the water-cooled Lyc was a production item, but it was a one-off, uncertified engine. So for mass-production liquid-cooled aircraft engines, it's just the Rotax 912/914's and the non-VW auto conversion crowd. There are a fair number of people running Subaru's and Mazda's out there, but I've never heard anyone who is using one make the claim that it's particularly spectacular. The RX7 conversions have a great power-to-weight ratio but they're fuel hogs and run blisteringly hot.

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    Nostalgia's not what it used to be.
  77. Re:Aviation is stuck in World War II by GooberToo · · Score: 1

    Okay, just by chance I found the article in question. The cover calls it, "Engine Failure on Takeoff: You've Gotta PUSH". It was indexed as, "Technique: Push". The article title is "PUSH: Your first move when the engine fails."

    About my only complaint with the magazine is they don't have a f-ing clue when it comes to understanding the purpose of an index.

    The article specifically addresses that training rarely and likely never covers this situation. It details things can go south in only a couple of seconds during your departure climb.

    Hopefully you can find the article now.

    Happy, Safe Flying!