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Number of ET Civilizations In Our Galaxy Is 37,964

KentuckyFC writes "The famous Drake equation calculates the number of advanced civilizations in our galaxy right now. But the result is hugely sensitive to the assumptions you make about factors such as the number of habitable planets that orbit a host star, how many of these actually develop life and what fraction of these go on to become intelligent etc. Disagreements about these figures leads to estimates for the number of advanced civilizations ranging from 10^-5 to 10^6. Now an astronomer in Scotland has worked out how to make the calculations more precise so that different theories about the origin of planets, life and civilizations can be compared. His calculations say that the rare-life hypothesis predicts only 361 advanced civilizations in the Milky Way now. However, the so-called tortoise and hare hypothesis predicts 31,573 and the theory of panspermia says that there ought to be 37,964 extraterrestrial civilizations more advanced than our own in the Milky Way."

24 of 544 comments (clear)

  1. yuck. by apodyopsis · · Score: 4, Funny

    Make that 37,965. My colleague surely has one growing in his tea cup.

    yuck.

    1. Re:yuck. by Mastadex · · Score: 5, Funny

      Like I said before, it adds flavor to a rather dull blend.

      --
      A morning without coffee is like something without something else.
  2. Re:What a great example! by deniable · · Score: 5, Funny

    The original estimate was 32768 and an overflow flag.

  3. Re:My estimate by Rob+T+Firefly · · Score: 5, Funny

    1.

    Is that the mice, or the dolphins?

  4. Re:What a great example! by iangoldby · · Score: 5, Funny

    It must be right, because the answer came from a computer.

  5. Re:my theory is 1 civilization per galaxy by NoobixCube · · Score: 4, Funny

    I follow the Mass Effect way of thinking. A handful of civilizations, each with dramatically polarized stereotypical traits, and who speak English with perfect North American accents, regardless of the structure of their mouth(s) and/or vocal cords (assuming they have them...).

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  6. Re:What a great example! by Hognoxious · · Score: 3, Funny

    Unless it's one of the early pentiums.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  7. Re:What a great example! by geminidomino · · Score: 4, Funny

    But the question didn't. We should make a bigger computer to determine what the question should have been.

  8. Re:Number fun by CRCulver · · Score: 4, Funny

    BUT its lots of fun, everyone throw in their own numbers that have some personal truthyness to them and see what you got. I get around 43,012

    That reminds me of this article from the Onion.

    '"My personal savior is Batman," said Beverly Hills plastic surgeon Greg Jurgenson. "My wife chooses to follow the teachings of the Gilmore Girls. Of course, we are still beginners. Some advanced-level Fictionologists have total knowledge of every lifetime they have ever lived for the last 80 trillion years."

    "Sure, it's total bullshit," Jurgenson added. "But that's Fictionology. Praise Batman!"'

  9. How many of that have stargates? by Joe+The+Dragon · · Score: 3, Funny

    How many of that have stargates?

  10. Re:Aliens Cause Global Warming by Bishop+Rook · · Score: 4, Funny

    And we should all listen to Michael Crichton, because he's been right about so many things.

  11. Re:What a great example! by $RANDOMLUSER · · Score: 4, Funny


    --
    No folly is more costly than the folly of intolerant idealism. - Winston Churchill
  12. Re:Where to find them? by Lumpy · · Score: 3, Funny

    we are at the outskirts.

    and everyone knows that the rich flee to the suburbs. That goes in line with civs that flee the core.

    --
    Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
  13. Re:What a great example! by tommten · · Score: 3, Funny

    and why did I read that as early penguins?

    Anyhow: I for one welcome our new extraterrestial penguin overlords!

    --
    - I choked on the red pill and now I'm stuck in limbo
  14. Re:Here is an interesting one. by Foobar+of+Borg · · Score: 4, Funny

    Nearly all of their calculations are done to ONE significant figure.

    That's probably because they assume too many spherical cows.

  15. Breaking news! by edittard · · Score: 3, Funny

    It's now 37,962. The Qnak'k'z of Kuberon II just set off a prototype nanoplasmic bomb that wiped out the whole planet. The timid and peaceful Fnumri of Kuberon VI's third moon were not directly affected, but the flash gave them such a fright they all died of double heart attacks. Sad indeed.

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    At the bottom of the /. main page it says 'Yesterday's News'. Well they got that right.
  16. Re:As always, no. by nametaken · · Score: 4, Funny

    I've seen a lot of Stargate, and if I've learned anything, it's that pretty much all alien life looks like us, develops civilizations nearly identical to our own history, and speaks english.

    You need to do more heavy research!

  17. Re:What a great example! by Kyont · · Score: 3, Funny

    Congratulations, you now hold the unbeatable record for "Shortest +5 Funny Comment Ever". Comments like this are indeed what make reading Slashdot worthwhile.

    --
    You shall see a cow on the roof of a cotton house.
  18. Re:Aliens Cause Global Warming by alexborges · · Score: 4, Funny

    Yeah, thats why we have this crazy velociraptor problem here in L.A.

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    NO SIG
  19. Re:Here is an interesting one. by FiloEleven · · Score: 3, Funny

    But wait...if the cows are spherical then how do we know they are always facing north?

  20. Re:What about T I M E ??? by interstellar_donkey · · Score: 3, Funny

    With NTSC analog TV going away next year, one of our big identifiable sources dies

    True, but any alien civilization that has been viewing our broadcasts has been given fair warning of the switch and have been told where they can obtain a digital receiver box with a government coupon.

    --
    The Internet is generally stupid
  21. Re:Aliens Cause Global Warming by OldManAndTheC++ · · Score: 4, Funny

    Yeah, thats why we have this crazy velociraptor problem here in L.A.

    I don't mind the normal velociraptors, but I do try to avoid the crazy ones.

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    Soylent Green is peoplicious!
  22. Re:Here is an interesting one. by OldManAndTheC++ · · Score: 3, Funny

    Ah yes, the classic mistake ... cowrelation does not imply cowsation.

    --
    Soylent Green is peoplicious!