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Why RAID 5 Stops Working In 2009
Lally Singh recommends a ZDNet piece predicting the imminent demise of RAID 5, noting that increasing storage and non-decreasing probability of disk failure will collide in a year or so. This reader adds, "Apparently, RAID 6 isn't far behind. I'll keep the ZFS plug short. Go ZFS. There, that was it." "Disk drive capacities double every 18-24 months. We have 1 TB drives now, and in 2009 we'll have 2 TB drives. With a 7-drive RAID 5 disk failure, you'll have 6 remaining 2 TB drives. As the RAID controller is busily reading through those 6 disks to reconstruct the data from the failed drive, it is almost certain it will see an [unrecoverable read error]. So the read fails ... The message 'we can't read this RAID volume' travels up the chain of command until an error message is presented on the screen. 12 TB of your carefully protected — you thought! — data is gone. Oh, you didn't back it up to tape? Bummer!"
The real issue is one that anyone who has ever had to recover a multi-drive array can tell you instantly: if one drive fails, and the other drive was bought at the same time, and has had a nearly identical usage pattern, the odds of the other drive failing are well above average.
I once had a single drive fail in a 24 disk array. The disks were arranged, RAID 5, in groups of 3, glued together by Veritas (from back before it got bought by crappy symantec). By the time the smoke cleared we had replaced 19 out of 24 drives. They had all been bought at the same time, and as they thrashed rebuilding their failed buddies, they started dying themselves. The remaining 5 drives we replaced anyway, just because.
That's a worst case, but multiple failures are far from uncommon, and very few people correctly cycle in new drives periodically to reduce the chance of a mass failure.
ad logicam Claiming a proposition is false because it was presented as the conclusion of a fallacious argument.
I have to echo this comment. RAID is not a backup. It is a form of redundancy. Nothing is stopping that system from losing two drives and completely losing your data. RAID simply allows you to keep working after a SINGLE disk failure. If you're not making backups of your critical data and relying on RAID to save your behind, you're insane.