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Obama's Impending NASA Decisions

eldavojohn writes "From delaying Project Constellation to an additional $2 billion in funding, Space.com looks at some immediate decisions the President Elect will have to make once he takes office in January. The biggest one will be the shuttle plan: do we retire the shuttle fleet or keep it on for more missions? If it is retired, we would have to rely on another country to bring our astronauts into space between 2010 and 2015 as a new fleet is built. Will Obama hold true on his $2 billion pledge to NASA?"

45 of 405 comments (clear)

  1. First by Ifandbut · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I hope Obama holds up to his $2 billion offer. I know there are other problems facing the USA but space exploration is not something we should ever stop.

    1. Re:First by electrosoccertux · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Someone else made a good point about this Obama thing, that you can't just "push back" the date 5 years when you cut funding. Because after those 5 years, you can't just call up all the guys you laid off and say "hey we want you back!" and expect them to drop their job and reform the exact development team you had going before you did the budget cuts. These teams take 5-10 years to form and get on the ground running. You either keep up the funding or push the moon plans back 15 years. There is no 5.

    2. Re:First by Surt · · Score: 4, Insightful

      There is no way he will keep to that offer. With the economy in the toilet, tax revenues will be way down, and he's already fighting a huge deficit and debt. It's one campaign promise that will be all too easy to break. And in any case, it's just one of those things you say you'll do to get a minor voting block behind you, not something you take seriously.

      --
      "Who is the Journal of Quantum Physics going to believe?" --Stephen Hawking
    3. Re:First by scamper_22 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      dude, I think you just described the problem in the entire high-tech/engineering world.

      No one knows what we do, so no one knows how much experience is valued.

      They will just post an ad
      NASA Aero-space engineer wanted.
      25 years experience designing Space capable vehicles.

      No takers?

      Oh damn... we have a skills shortage in America...

      - seen it happen to many times

  2. I love the space program but ... by Average_Joe_Sixpack · · Score: 3, Insightful

    we are flat broke. Kill the shuttle already.

    1. Re:I love the space program but ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      somebody has to monitor the ants, while we determine if they can be trained to sort screws in a zero gravity environment.

    2. Re:I love the space program but ... by meringuoid · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Is it that hard to ask the russians or a private company to get your astronauts down?

      To get them down, as in from a crippled Shuttle? Yes, it is.

      A Shuttle crew is typically seven astronauts. Soyuz carries three. Launching with only a pilot, that's room for two rescued astronauts. To evacuate a Shuttle would need four Soyuz launches, in quick succession. And that's if and only if the Shuttle is in an orbit that the Russians can reach; Florida is a better launch site than Kazakhstan, receiving more of a boost from the Earth's rotation. And if the Russians can arrange for four rockets and four capsules to be ready to go before the Shuttle's air runs out. That's one hell of a tall order. Given a blank cheque, they might try to do it, but it would be such a rush job you'd likely end up with even more crippled spacecraft in orbit.

      As for private enterprise? No chance. No private enterprise has ever launched a person into orbit. SpaceShip One was a major achievement for them, but didn't even reach Alan Shepard levels of spaceflight; a Gagarin is far beyond them.

      This is why the last Hubble repair mission was a worry, and why a second orbiter was readied for launch if rescue were needed. If that Shuttle had taken Columbia-style damage on launch, it wouldn't have been safe to return to Earth, and it wouldn't have been able (from that orbit) to reach the space station either. The astronauts would have been be in deep trouble.

      If you mean could the government write a cheque to a private firm to build them a spacecraft, yes, they could. I'm not convinced, however, that a private contractor would be much better than NASA - the same political demands would be placed upon them, and the chief advantage of a free market, competition leading to efficiency gains and low cost, is lost in a market consisting of one customer who makes one colossal order every few decades. NASA contracts out the actual building to private enterprise anyway, firms like Boeing and Lockheed Martin and Morton Thiokol.

      And yes, they could buy Soyuz capsules as needed, and even engage the Russians to develop them an entire spaceflight system. That's what they did post-Columbia when the Shuttles were grounded. They'd probably get entirely acceptable results at a very low cost. US governments don't like to buy foreign hardware if they can avoid it, though - taxpayers don't like to see their money leaving the country. They prefer to distribute the pork to firms in crucial swing states.

      --
      Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
    3. Re:I love the space program but ... by mbone · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Except for the Hubble, I think that all future Shuttle missions will be in the ISS orbit. Then there are possibilities, since all you have to do is get them to the ISS, not down, during the emergency. The Soyuz TMA attached to the ISS might have enough delta-v to do that.

      Of course, if we really ever wanted to have a space station that was a help for deep space travel, we need one in an equatorial orbit or at least a Florida inclination orbit. The ISS is just in the wrong orbit to serve as a way station to the Moon or Mars or anywhere else outbound.

    4. Re:I love the space program but ... by pentalive · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What is the point of sending robots if we are never going to go ourselves.

      The point of the shuttle and ISS and all other maned space is to prove, and improve systems for taking people places in space.

    5. Re:I love the space program but ... by camperdave · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If you're nearly broke, which is going to be more effective, returning the $10,000 HDTV, or returning the $50 clock radio? Obviously cutting back on the big ticket items is going to be most effective. So why not cut your big ticket military spending instead? America has the largest military budget on the planet. It is larger than the next fifteen largest combined (twelve of which are US allies). Cutting back the military by a mere 1% would pretty much pay for NASA.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    6. Re:I love the space program but ... by mcgrew · · Score: 2, Insightful

      those that believe in big government spending are much more likely to allocate limited funds to "human needs" (welfare, medicaid, food stamps, make work projects) than to NASA.

      Afraid not. Welfare ended in 1996; there is no more welfare. Federal make work projects have been replaced with child care and schooling.

      Today's people who believe in big government believe in shelling out not to the poor, but to the rich; it's the multimilliaonaires who are on welfare these days. $700 billion to bail out the bankers who have ruined our economy (more than a year's worth of military spending), Haliburton, AIG, ADM, grants to IBM and Kodak (who pay no Federal income taxes).

      Personally I don't mind my tax dollars going to the suffering poor but I hate like hell having Haliburton's and Kodak's and IBM's and AIG's and CEOs and boards of directors milking the government's teat.

  3. The bigger question... by daveschroeder · · Score: 5, Insightful

    ...and one which is related to, but transcends, politics, is:

    How can any grand initiative that takes longer than eight -- or four -- years to implement ever again be achieved?

    1. Re:The bigger question... by meringuoid · · Score: 2, Insightful
      How can any grand initiative that takes longer than eight -- or four -- years to implement ever again be achieved?

      By the Chinese. Or, as happened last time around, by the Americans, spurred into action by the idea that if they didn't, somebody else might.

      --
      Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
    2. Re:The bigger question... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

      Your an idiot!

    3. Re:The bigger question... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Your an idiot! Wow. Touché.

  4. Just NASA? by Facetious · · Score: 3, Insightful

    NASA decisions are a very small part of the issue. The question should be, will the new president choose to continue deficit spending at a time when tax revenues will be shrinking and the number of national debt dollars exceeds the number of stars in the known universe?

    --
    Let us not become the evil that we deplore.
    1. Re:Just NASA? by mbone · · Score: 2, Insightful

      We are in a recession. I certainly hope he continues deficit spending at least for the near term.

      The last President to cut spending because of hard economic times was named Hoover, and it didn't go so well for him.

    2. Re:Just NASA? by operagost · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I should mention as additional support that Reagan cut taxes and increased spending during the early 80s recession and this caused unemployment to drop from 10% to 5%. This is the "Reaganomics" that most people criticize. It works as long as you remember to cut spending after the recession ends (which is the part where he didn't do as well).

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    3. Re:Just NASA? by LandDolphin · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I Personally do not think that the governemnt should be able to tax your property. By being able to do so you don't really own the property, you just own the right to lease it from the government.

      --
      Spelling and Grammar errors have been added to this post for your enjoyment
    4. Re:Just NASA? by LandDolphin · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It would seem that we are in agreement on everything except for that I don't think someone should have thier home/property taxed.

      Why do you feel that someone's Home/Property should be taxed?

      I know I feel that it should not be taxed because once they "own" it, it should be theirs and they should not be put into a position that they have to constantly pay for it or lose it to the government. To me, that makes it as if you are leasing it from the government. I think people should be secure in knowing that they own their home/property.

      --
      Spelling and Grammar errors have been added to this post for your enjoyment
    5. Re:Just NASA? by Toll_Free · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I don't agree with not taxing property, because I think someone should be taxed according to ability.

      This means, someone living in a 45K dollar slum doesn't pay as much as someone who can afford to live in a 450K dollar home.

      Property taxes are one of the few ways to put an even tax on those owners according to the ability to pay.

      By your view, I think, nothing should be taxed once you pay for it. How do you add sales tax? How do you have tax on anything?

      But, yeah, in theory, we are in agreement. But, I find paying property taxes a fine way to equalize the payments between others, according to ability to pay. Can't pay the taxes, have it reassessed according to current market conditions. Still can't pay them, sell the place / land / etc. and move on.

      --Toll_Free

  5. I expect him to be as keep his NASA pledge... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I expect him to be as keep his NASA pledge as much as he kept his stance against telecom immunity and his pledge not to exceed public financing limits.

    In other words, not at all.

    He's a politician. I've never known a politician to follow through with their campaign promises.

  6. Re:Unimportant? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    How can we not not retire it? The shuttles are a huge money drain on NASA. If they were out of service NASA would have extra money to spend on more interesting things like developing better propulsion systems and better launch vehicles. Or better yet, let's let some of these budding space companies compete for building launch vehicles.

  7. Obama's Decision? by Rayeth · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Is any of this really up to Obama? Isn't it Congress that decides where money is spent? Pretty sure that I took Civics in 8th grade and the Executive branch doesn't control all the cash. Unless Bush has changed all that in the last 8 years?

    1. Re:Obama's Decision? by ScentCone · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Is any of this really up to Obama? Isn't it Congress that decides where money is spent?

      Shhhh, you'll spoil it! Next thing you'll be saying is that Obama can't wave a magic want and "change the world," or that his promises to tax the economy - especially the most successful parts of it - won't discourage people from risking their money and efforts in that way. Next you'll probably even say that calling a check you get from IRS, when you don't even pay income taxes, a "rebate" is a gratuitous lie. Why do you hate his supporters so much, that you bring up little issues like the fact that Nancy Pelosi has more to do with what NASA gets to spend than Obama does? You are mean.

      --
      Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
    2. Re:Obama's Decision? by Shakrai · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So, I take it you are in favor of eliminating all tax deductions?

      Why not? Deductions primarily benefit the rich anyway -- they can afford lobbyists to write deductions into the tax code so they don't wind up paying what they otherwise might. A progressive tax code without deductions (just rates) would be a lot easier to understand. Imagine being able to file your income taxes with a single piece of paper and a calculator -- that would seem to be a benefit to anyone who doesn't work for H&R Block....

      There's also the matter of the Government using the tax code to encourage social decisions that jive with the priority of whichever party happens to be in power at this particular moment. I for one don't think that's a particularly approipate function of Government -- the tax code should exist to finance Government operations, not to encourage me to buy a house or an H2.

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    3. Re:Obama's Decision? by Alomex · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I know Reagan spent a great deal on rebuilding the military which eventually led to the end of the cold war.

      Actually, with the fall of the Soviet Union, it came out that there was an ultra-secret meeting of the Soviet Union senior politburo in the mid-to-late 70s. That is while Carter was president and before Reagan took over. In that meeting the top echelon was informed by their war planners that the USSR had lost since their economy couldn't keep up with the US and they asked the politburo to start work on a disengagement plan.

      Not much seems to have come out of that meeting except for one thing: an unusually young (by politburo standards) attendee by the name of Mikhail Gorbachev happened to be there. It is now believed that the seeds of glasnost, perestroika and eventual peace with the West were planted in his head there, much before Reagan had time to spend money in war planning. This is not to say that Reagan's expenditures were of no use, rather that it's value seems vastly overstated, while the long term cost to the country is understated.

      In Soviet Russia, Reagan bankrupts you!

  8. Global rethink and reset by mbone · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Our whole space program needs a general rethink. We have two big programs, flight to the Moon and Mars, that were started by Bush without a lot of thought, we have the ISS which is ready for experiments that we do not have money to fly - such as Samuel Ting's very interesting cosmic anti-matter detector, and we are canceling ready-to-go missions such as the SIM planet finder to pay for new stuff that is frankly never likely to happen.

    We do not have a coherent space program, and so we are wasting much of our money. Fixing this will not be easy, but it is very urgent in my opinion.

  9. Re:Continuing to use the shuttle? by whisper_jeff · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "We're considering continuing to use a vehicle that has a failure rate of 1-2% per flight?"

    Just a reminder, the NASA space shuttle program is one of the most successful long term space programs ever. Remember - this IS rocket science. Seriously, look up some of the other space programs and you'll see some spectacular failures with nowhere near as many successes over the span of decades. The space shuttle program is an enormous success.

  10. Re:Continuing to use the shuttle? by girlintraining · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Yes, and the management of it has been a classic example of how Not To Do It.

    --
    #fuckbeta #iamslashdot #dicemustdie
  11. What exactly are we funding? by I.M.O.G. · · Score: 4, Insightful

    In the cold war NASA was bankrupting Russia and expressing USA's technical superiority... NASA's goals are much less interesting to many now - exploration, learning, and inspiring interest in understanding science and the unknown.

    I love NASA and think it should be funded, but I'm a nerd... The cold war version of NASA was a lot easier for an entire nation to rally around and love.

    1. Re:What exactly are we funding? by Shakrai · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The cold war version of NASA was a lot easier for an entire nation to rally around and love.

      Well, if relations with Russia are any indication we might get back to that version of NASA in the next decade or so ;)

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
  12. Re:Space.com and the blank ad page by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    I wish Space.com would fix the blank advertising page that comes up before every story. I don't mind advertising too much, but to click through an ad page with no ads is annoying.

    Stop using AdBlock then :P

  13. Re:Will he give NASA the $2 billion? Yes. by elrous0 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The problem is that the U.S. federal government doesn't just do deficit spending during recessions. They do it during recessions, booms, middling periods, and every year in between. Deficit spending during a recession may indeed make sense, but turning it into the *norm* is the sure road to government bankruptcy and debtor nation status. And when the day comes when the U.S. can no longer get credit for the great national credit card and can no longer afford those growing interest payments, the collapse that will follow will make the current crisis look like a financial paradise.

    --
    SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
  14. What I would do by Ralph+Spoilsport · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Kill the shuttle and the ISS.

    Take all that money and put it into robotic missions and space telescopes.

    If a telescope needs work that only people can do, put some people on a rocket and have them work on it.

    For all the money they want to piss away on a Mars mission, I'd send 100 robots.

    for the money on the ISS, I'd put it into space telescopes or even one on the far side of the moon with lunar satellites for data transmission.

    People in space has been and always will be a dumb idea. fun and glorious and all that crap, but still, vastly more expensive for less data.

    RS

    --
    Shoes for Industry. Shoes for the Dead.
    1. Re:What I would do by JoeMerchant · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You're talking about funding Science for Science's sake... this is America - we pay $54M for Capt. Jack Sparrow to make a fourth appearance - get your priorities straight. The public is ready to pay for another Apollo 11 drama, they don't really understand what "exoplanet" means.

  15. Re:Nope by antifoidulus · · Score: 1, Insightful

    His first act in terms of the military should be scrapping that stupid-ass missile defense system being built in Poland and the Czech Republic. There, now not only have you saved a ton of money on a pointless system that doesn't work, you also will remove one of the biggest causes of friction in the US-Russia relationship.

  16. Re:Nope by mdm-adph · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I really don't think Iran is going to risk total annihilation to lob a nuke at Europe.

    Israel, maybe, but certainly not with a nuke.

    I suspect the leadership in Iran, though certainly cruel, is not crazy enough to risk their nice little isolated theocracy being totally annihilated. If they ever get a nuke, it will sit quietly in a bunker somewhere, to be used as collateral for treaties and negotiations, just like how North Korea is doing with theirs.

    --
    It is by my will alone my thoughts acquire motion; it is by the juice of the coffee bean that the thoughts acquire speed
  17. Re:Unimportant? by 2short · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "It's hard to imagine for me that there are people out there who are not inspired by NASA's endeavors."

    I'm incredibly inspired by NASA's current Mars exploration, discoveries coming out of the Hubble, etc. Can you imagine putting together a system that can fly to Mars, land on the surface, and drive around for years collecting data without ever getting to touch the thing after launch? Anything that works that brilliantly first try is awesome. Definitely inspiring.

    The guys sucking up most of the budget while struggling to keep their toilet running in low Earth orbit? Not so much.

  18. Re:Nope by mdm-adph · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ...just like their options for performing aggressive actions is subsequently limited knowing that any escalation of things to nuke status will lead to their assured destruction.

    It all balances out. Hasn't Pakistan had nukes for years? Yet Kashmir looks pretty much like it always has, right?

    Iran getting a nuke is NOT going to be the end of the world.

    --
    It is by my will alone my thoughts acquire motion; it is by the juice of the coffee bean that the thoughts acquire speed
  19. And kill the future by SuperKendall · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Sending only robots into space, and within a generation you'll have no space program at all. Without kids being interested in science in general, all science will whither (and not just space science)...

    Not to mention of course the whole idea of redundant environments in case the earth has a real issue.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  20. Re:The even bigger question... by rk · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I disagree. These are the worst times to cut basic research out. I will grant that some priorities need to be made and we need to look for bang for the buck type things, but cutting funding the science research turns it into a musical chairs game where the little bit you still spend on science is all getting spent on scientists writing grant proposals to get more funding rather than actually doing science. We're over halfway there now.

    Also, let's not forget that a bunch of highly educated engineers and scientists chronically out of work is a dangerous element to have laying around. :-)

  21. Fiscal conservatism and Space by yog · · Score: 2, Insightful

    As a fiscal conservative, I'd prefer less aggregate government spending because it is an inefficient way to accomplish the ends it is put to. However, given the spending spree the government is on, I find NASA far less objectionable than writing checks to citizens, bailouts, or WPAish "dig a ditch. now fill it in." economic "stimulus" plans. At least spend our money on something that might one day help us.

    I agree. Bailing out deadbeats and loan sharks is a poor investment of our great-grandchildren's money (for they're the ones who will actually be paying for all this debt).

    On the other hand, space research and development that requires huge capital expenditures is an excellent investment that will someday bring us a much larger economy and more prosperity for all. An active moon mining operation that is sending home tritium and other valuable substances would pay for itself in a few years, as would orbital low-grav biotech and nanotech manufacturing facilities.

    Ultimately, over the next 50-100 years, the nations that go into space will be the major superpowers while those that remain on Earth will stagnate, much as the Spanish, British, and French became the dominant nations during the colonial era.

    Obama has not demonstrated a keen interest in science so far, except for wanting to rescind Bush's restrictions on stem cell research. That's a good first step, but seeing as how it doesn't cost any money it's merely a symbolic one.

    Obama, it should be noted, wanted to cut the space program to pay for his socialized preschool scheme. That plan was removed from his website during the campaign, probably because an advisor told him the space program is important.

    I have little faith in the Democrats in general wanting to explore outer space. It seems as if they are so focused on social spending that space is a distant little blip on their radar. Oh, sure, there's a few thousand aerospace jobs out there that it would be nice to keep in this country rather than outsourced to China and India, but I wouldn't bet a lot on job security in the aerospace field right now.

    Maybe we could instigate a letter writing campaign to convince our representatives and senators that the space program particularly benefits the poor and needy and people "of color", and they'll up the priorities a bit.

    --
    it's = "it is"; its = possessive. E.g., it's flapping its wings.
    1. Re:Fiscal conservatism and Space by petermgreen · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Do you really belive moon mining is viable? Is there really something on the moon that is so rare and valuable that it is worth the huge energy cost of bringing it back here to earth?

      Some have suggested helium-3 but iirc that is only usefull for a fusion process that is even harder to make work than the D-T fusion the research agencies are struggling with at them moment.

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
  22. Meat in space by yog · · Score: 3, Insightful

    What we COULD do is dump the manned missions until we, as a society, evolve far beyond our primitive level of technology. Send machines, many machines, which would be both cost effective and expendable. The rush to send meat into space was understandable during the Cold War, but is not wise today.

    Actually, the way to bring down the cost of sending humans into space is to simply do it. After the research has been done and the ships have been built, the cost of actually launching humans into space is relatively trivial.

    Sitting back and waiting for the technology to magically appear is tantamount to giving up on developing said technology. Ancillary tech such as smaller and faster computers may come along anyway, but putting it all together requires a lot more integrative technology and hands on expertise.

    And, take note that if we, the U.S., give up on manned flight as too expensive, there are other nations out there that will definitely continue. Do we want to settle for renting a 3rd class berth on Chinese and Russian ships for the next 50 years, after we pretty much pioneered the way?

    --
    it's = "it is"; its = possessive. E.g., it's flapping its wings.