Saving 28,000 Lives a Year
The New Yorker is running a piece by Atul Gawande that starts by describing the everyday miracles that can be achieved in a modern medical intensive care unit, and ends by making a case for a simple and inexpensive way to save 28,000 lives per year in US ICUs, at a one-time cost of a few million dollars. This medical miracle is the checklist. Gawande details how modern medicine has spiraled into complexity beyond any person's ability to track — and nowhere more so than in the ICU. "A decade ago, Israeli scientists published a study in which engineers observed patient care in ICUs for twenty-four-hour stretches. They found that the average patient required a hundred and seventy-eight individual actions per day, ranging from administering a drug to suctioning the lungs, and every one of them posed risks. Remarkably, the nurses and doctors were observed to make an error in just one per cent of these actions — but that still amounted to an average of two errors a day with every patient. Intensive care succeeds only when we hold the odds of doing harm low enough for the odds of doing good to prevail. This is hard." The article goes on to profile a doctor named Peter Pronovost, who has extensively studied the ability of the simplest of complexity tamers — the checklist — to save lives in the ICU setting. Pronovost oversaw the introduction of checklists in the ICUs in hospitals across Michigan, and the result was a thousand lives saved in a year. That would translate to 28,000 per year if scaled nationwide, and Pronovost estimates the cost of doing that at $3 million.
They use checklists for everything, and flying a plane is much less dangerous than operating on someone in an ICU.
Don't they already have some kinds of checklists for "make sure we don't leave any sponges or scalpels in the patient."
If I have nothing to hide, don't search me
Pilots come and give talks in hospitals about how checklists significantly reduced air crashes in the USA, which it has.
I saw this presentation at my hospital, but I'm not exactly sure if it is applicable it medicine.
..........FULL STOP.
Checklists certainly aren't just for medicine, they work great in IT too. As a system integrator / contractor, I've found that lots of IT people have a somewhat.. haphazard approach to day-to-day tasks like building servers or provisioning users. This inevitably leads to mistakes and forgotten steps, which then results in angry users and system failures. Of course, the same IT people then apply the fix with the same lax methodology, and the result is yet another failure, and an even angrier user. I've seen this cycle repeat as often as 3 or 4 times, until managers get involved, and fingers are pointed. It's very unpleasant for everyone after that.
My method is trivially simple, and required nothing other than a text editor, even Notepad works fine, but a more robust editor is even better.
I call it: "Pete's Patented TODO List System". (Patent not pending).
Simply open a new file, and create a line for every single step of the task you're about to do, even if it's blindingly obvious. Prefix each step with a pair of square braces as a placeholder for a check box. E.g.:
=== BUILD SERVER === ...
[o] Back up existing data from drives
[.] Patch BIOS to latest version
[ ] Reset BIOS settings to platform defaults
[ ] Boot installer from \\foo\bar\...
[ ] Configure drives
[ ] Clean existing RAID
[ ] Create mirror pair
[ ] Configure block size to 64KB
Once you have the file, as you build the server, you tick steps off by filling in the checkboxes. E.g.:
[ ] Not done
[.] Started / partially done
[o] Done.
[!] Issue / problem
[?] May not need doing / optional / ask
[-] Cancelled / no need.
So you ask.. why is "Pete's Patented TODO List System" so awesome? Because it works, it's free, and it's flexible. I found my error rate plummeted, and I could then email the list to someone else, and they could reproduce a successful procedure flawlessly by simply following the steps. There's actually a whole range of reasons why a text-based TODO list system is the best for IT:
- It can be cut & pasted back and forth between local and remote systems.
- After a task is complete, you can email it to managers or coworkers as a "record of activity".
- Others can read your list without requiring a client such as Microsoft Project.
- Any idiot can use a text editor without special training. Quickly reorganising the structure and order of a complex multi-step task in dedicated Project management software takes effort, and may cumbersome.
- It's easy to cut & paste parameters, values, scripts and command in and out of the TODO file.
- You can reset a file to "blank" by doing this Regex search and replace: \[.\] => [ ]
- Did I mention it's free? (I do accept PayPal donations, however)
In general, TODO lists rock, especially in environments where scripting everything is not practical. For example, if you build multiple servers in parallel, simply open two Notepad windows, and track the progress of each server. If you're interrupted by a phone call or a user, you WILL forget what exactly you have or haven't done, and that's when fuckups occur.
Not to mention that most IT people just don't do "all the steps", which is one of the main points in the article. For example, do you, or the people working with you, do ALL of the following when configuring a server:
- Wipe all of the existing configuration, including BIOS settings?
- Run a memory check?
- Set the date and time in the BIOS?
- Patch up all components to the correct / latest levels, including obscure things like the network card firmware?
- Install, configure, and TEST the antivirus, backup, and monitoring modules? Did you run a test backup AND a test restore?
- Verify that every step worked?
If the answer is no to ANY of those, you or your people are fucking up on a regular basis, whether you know it or not. I've lost count of the number of times I've seen "enterprise clusters" where 2 of the 5 nodes have a different date & time. It's a trivial thing, yes, but MY GOD DOES IT BREAK THINGS if you forget.
it seems like a good investment.
Let's compare apples to apples. What if you were in a rocket engine testing facility where dozens of rocket engines are simultaneously in danger of failing, and all the rocket engines had to keep running at all costs? Would you want to go through the formality of checklists? If ICU patient #37 died while doctors were going through the checklist for patient #14, won't the media headlines scream that "ICU patients die while doctors are held up by hospital bureacracy"?
There is an interesting recent article that shows how fire extinguishers are harmful to public health; 4% of fire deaths each year are caused by amateur operators who attempt to extinguish flames with their "mandatory" fire extinguishers. As the paper states, "As described above, in terms of life safety (as opposed to preventing material losses), attempting to extinguish a fire is not effective. For a fire extinguisher to work, a fire must be small, accessible, and not producing large quantities of smoke. In the face of such a fire, the safest course of action is to evacuate the area.... Fire extinguishers require extensive training to be used effectively. Using a fire extinguisher exposes the operator to physical danger and in terms of life safety--evacuation, as opposed to attempting to extinguish the fire probably represents the best option."
Mass hysteria has mandated "safety" laws before, which have turned out to do more harm than good in the long run.
Prog Cardiovasc Dis. 2008 Nov-Dec;51(3):204-12.
Namely, being that once a check-list is created, after a while, one gets to the point where it's only the check-list that matters. Not on the check-list, doesn't happen. In other words, it allows people to get lazy and not pay attention. So, there will likely be errors produced from that negating the lives saved with nothing gained, but at the same time, a grand potential lose. The lose being a mentality of brainlessness in the ICU.
One must weight also weigh the practical consequences of such things that would have benefits against those benefits as well. We need to see a net gain first. Especially before widespread adoption.
It's amazing how resistant 'modern' medicine is to basic proven work flow improvements such as checklists, treatment guidelines.
It's not just modern medicine - this has been a problem since more-or-less forever. Go and look up a little medical history about the early use of antiseptics, anaesthetics and even such basic practices as good hygiene.
There was a documentary shown a few weeks ago in the UK about a 19th century doctor who noticed that births attended by doctors had a much higher fatality rate than those attended by midwives - he eventually figured out that hygiene had something to do with it and started making sure he and those working under him washed before visiting the maternity wards. His fatality rate plummeted but still the majority of doctors refused to change how they worked and he wound up literally driven insane because he had worked out how one could easily save thousands of lives but nobody was prepared to even give his idea a go.
Unfortunately I forget his name now so I can't easily find more information to point you at.
I recall reading a similar article, where a hospital used six sigma techniques to develop similar checklists. The program was shut down because the FDA claimed it's approval was needed before the checklists could be implemented.
The changes need to be made at the FDA, then health care will improve.
One of our competitors trademarked the term "hypothesis". From now on, we will call them "boneheaded ideas".
Apparently they got in a bit of trouble over this - not for instituting the checklists, but for having the gall to track results to see how effective they were. Because of that, it basically becomes an experiment and you have to get all sorts of permissions.
A bit more detail in this NYTimes editorial
And some commentary from the University of Houston Law Center: here
Note that all of this is actually a bit dated - the original New Yorker article was from December, 2007 and the followups that I saw were from January, 2008. I don't know what's happened with it since then; I suspect that checklists have been implemented in some hospitals but that nobody is sharing results.
fencepost
just a little off