Slashdot Mirror


Remembering NASA Disasters With an Eye Toward the Future

mattnyc99 writes "This next week marks the anniversary of three sad days in NASA's history: three astronauts died in a capsule fire testing for Apollo 1 exactly 42 years ago today, then the Challenger went down 23 years ago tomorrow, followed by the Columbia disaster six years ago this Super Bowl Sunday. Amidst all this sadness, though, too many average Americans take our space program for granted. Amidst reconsiderations of NASA priorities from the Obama camp as the Shuttle nears retirement, then, the brilliant writer Chris Jones offers a great first-hand account in the new issue of Esquire — an impassioned argument against the impending end of our manned space program. In which camp do you fall: mourner or rocketeer?"

31 of 273 comments (clear)

  1. January ... by Kiaser+Zohsay · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ... is a bad month to be an astronaut.

    --
    I am not your blowing wind, I am the lightning.
  2. Oversensitivity by jtev · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Ok, so we've lost a few people in space exploration. You know what, that's what happens, that's what they signed up for, and... that's healthy. What's not healty is how oversensitive the Public seems to be to these losses. Yes, the shuttle is aging, yes we need a new syste, but we shouldn't abandon manned space flight. Without manned space flight, how will we ever escape the Earth? And sooner or later, the Earth is going to want to be rid of us. Or the sun will, and Earth won't have much choice in the matter.

    --
    That which is done from love exists beyond good and evil
    1. Re:Oversensitivity by UnknowingFool · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Sure astronauts know that their missions are dangerous. They know that when they sign up for the program. What they didn't sign up for was the lax concern for their safety. In both the Challenger and the Columbia disasters, low level engineers warned management about the risk. Unfortunately their warnings were discounted and their concerns were not passed higher up than middle managers. I remember reading somewhere that a NASA manager argued against delaying Columbia's return for more time to study the wing strike (and NASA engineers did spot it soon after launch) because it would be bad PR to delay the return. In Congressional reports the same bureaucratic and managerial failings that caused the Challenger disaster also caused the Columbia disaster almost 2 decades later.

      --
      Well, there's spam egg sausage and spam, that's not got much spam in it.
    2. Re:Oversensitivity by 2short · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "Without manned space flight, how will we ever escape the Earth?"

      With or without manned space flight now, we probably won't escape Earth ever. Well, OK, maybe. If you allow a generous definition of "we", the answer might be "in robotic bodies". Space is very large, and there is almost nothing there. What little stuff there is out there is not what humans need to live. Long before any human lives a life not dependent on Earth, the humans will have changed beyond what we would recognize.

      Either way, it's a long way off, and what we do in the next decade probably won't make any difference. It might be good to learn as much as we can about the solar system, and I for one would like to do that anyway. How shall we go about it? Well, humans who explore space by sending probes that don't contain other humans have so far learned vastly more than the humans who explore space by sending probes that do contain other humans, and they've done it with a tiny fraction of the resources.

  3. Rocketeer by aztektum · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Coincidently I've been watchin' the "When We Left Earth" DVD's recently. One of the astronauts that discussed the Columbia accident said that they know the risk and do it anyway.

    How many more people have died in the Iraq conflict than the entire history of the space program? It's pretty twisted that the majority have done comparatively little to end that, but are ready to grab their pitch forks and torches when it comes to the space program.

    --
    :: aztek ::
    No sig for you!!
    1. Re:Rocketeer by jellomizer · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Numbers don't lie, But they are quite vague.
      Unfortunately for a country who hates math so much we love to use numbers to prove our point any point.
      I have dubbed the term Mathify to explain this concept (The word Quantify is to formal)

      We have been seeing a lot of this.
      We look at the layoffs they are the greatest since the great depression... We look at the unemployment numbers they are the lowest in 20 years. Depending on how scared you want to make the public you use different numbers to prove your point, you tell the truth the numbers are correct however you are being very vague and not giving the full story. As we have more people in the US who can be considered unemployed vs then Great Depression As most women didn't work (Taxable jobs), so they weren't considered unemployed. So now we nearly doubled our workforce as well a rise in population has created a situation of Quantity of unemployed is greater then the great depression however Quantity of unemployed / Quantity of employed is much greater.

      The same thing with your argument, the number of people being killed in Iraq is higher the the number of Space accidents... However the percentage is much higher to die in a space accident vs. going to war. Just living in some cities is considered more dangerous then going to war in Iraq.

      However you cant just account for ratios either, as you may think it safer to survive being hit by a hurricane vs. being hit by a tornado so if you are an insurance adjuster then you charge so much more as a tornado adjuster.

      Numbers are helpful for comparing like things. However they are vague and don't give the complete story.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
  4. Lesson 1 by PPH · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Those little Mars rovers seem to be going strong. Lets put our money where it seems to be providing the best ROI.

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
  5. While that happened.... by Samschnooks · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Joe 'the Programmer' Smith died from a heart attack. He lived a very boring life. He hated getting up in the Morning. He hated sitting behind a computer all day. He hated the fact that he had to work so much, leave his children and his wife was bored. He dreamed of doing something that made him feel alive. He dreamed of adventure. He dreamed of not being safe.

    Get my drift folks? Astronauts do not become Astronauts because they want a safe job. If I were capable, I'd risk my life to be in Space.

    1. Re:While that happened.... by Shag · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Astronauts do not become Astronauts because they want a safe job

      True of a lot of jobs, though. Soldiers, athletes, diplomats, astronomers...

      --
      Village idiot in some extremely smart villages.
  6. I was thinking about this the other day... by grocer · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Considering the greatest impact manned space travel has had on my life is probably freeze dried fruit in my morning cereal, that's a pretty lousy cost-to-benefit ratio. Until there's something better than a rocket for propulsion, I don't think manned space flight makes sense. However, the rovers and robots are definitely worth it. I think it makes a whole more sense than trying to shoot people into space.

    1. Re:I was thinking about this the other day... by thesandtiger · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Except he said *manned* space-flight, not just space-flight. In fact, he specifically said robots and rovers were AOK in his mind. And computers were developed a bit before space-flight, manned or unmanned. So your comment is basically incorrect in both content and purpose.

      Personally, I think the bulk of the benefits of manned space-flight have been in the coin of inspiration. When Armstrong took those first steps on the moon, that said something about humanity as a species. Rovers, while cool as hell and certainly less costly, just don't fire up the imagination quite the same way. Even so, we pissed all that away by not continuing to push forward.

      What I'd like to see happen is to continue the exploratory bits we do now with robots - map the terrain, as it were - and limit human exploration to orbit in the form of building *real* space-stations, *real* manufacturing capability, maybe bring a few metal asteroids around to use as raw materials. Launching from orbit rather than from the surface of the Earth would certainly cut the cost of a Mars mission dramatically, and developing the orbital manufacture technologies and capabilities would have very tangible benefits.

      Seems a much better approach than pissing away billions of dollars to send a 1-shot there and back "look what we can do" mission that won't yield much in the way of actual benefit beyond "wow, people got to Mars" which will, unfortunately, almost certainly yield the same results as "wow, people got to the moon."

      --
      Since I can't tell them apart, I treat all ACs as the same person.
  7. Re:Lesson 1 - Mod parent up :) by Shag · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This. I work in space science, think manned spaceflight is a wonderful thing, and look forward to it becoming increasingly a commercially available thing... but it's an extremely expensive way to accomplish most tasks, especially when it comes to accomplishing anything in the way of science.

    I also work around environmental policy, and strongly feel we'd be better off working on surviving on this planet, instead of ruining it, then going off looking for others to ruin. Put a few of those "best and brightest" brains to work on finding ways to meet the Millennium Development Goals, wouldja?

    --
    Village idiot in some extremely smart villages.
  8. ROI is a red herring. by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I mean, it's great, but ultimately we will have to be sending people up there anyway. There is no way around it.

    We HAVE TO improve the technology for lifting people from this rock. Until such day as we can make a machine that is as individually intelligent, dexterous, decisive, and bold as a human being, we have no real alternative.

    And even if we do make such a machine, it would not necessarily be a good day.

    1. Re:ROI is a red herring. by 2short · · Score: 4, Insightful


      "ultimately we will have to be sending people up there anyway. There is no way around it. "

      Except, you know, not doing it and learning more because we did it a smarter way.

      Here's an idea: what if we built a machine that was as dextrous as a human, and put the controls of that machine in the hands of an intelligent, decisive, and bold human... on Earth.

      And hey, while we're at it, we could design the machine to, just for example, move about the surface of mars for months on end with no need of air, food or a return journey.

      Human space exploration is wonderful. Some very smart people are doing a bang-up job exploring Mars right now. "Robotic" space exploration is a misnomer; it should be called "Smart and efficient human space exploration".

    2. Re:ROI is a red herring. by 2short · · Score: 2, Insightful


      Of course we have been doing it. We regularly spend the entire cost of those Mars rover missions to put humans into low earth orbit for a week and see if they can keep their toilet functioning. Human space flight has orders of magnitude more funding than unmanned exploration; and squat to show for it.

      Is your point that a human on Mars would get more done than a human controlling a probe on Mars if we ignore the cost and effort of getting him there and keeping him alive? I'll agree, but I'm not sure how that's relevant here in the real world where getting him there is in fact part of the problem.

  9. The lesson learned is by Quila · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Don't fly around January-February.

  10. what's wrong with regular Sunday? by metamechanical · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Pardon my cynicism, but what the hell does the super bowl have to do with anything?

    --
    If I had a nickel for every time I had a nickel, I'd be richcursive!
  11. The Dream. by jedidiah · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Shed not a single tear for one who has lived the Dream.

    --
    A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
  12. Danger isn't the problem by Jabbrwokk · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The problem isn't that space exploration is dangerous - everyone knows that. The problem is that space exploration requires a lot of money for no return other than glory and prestige.

    The only good quote from that Esquire article:

    Space demands sack. In a country that couldn't figure out how to mortgage a suburban family home, Mars suddenly seemed a long way off.

    There's no cold war driving the shuttle program anymore, so it's over. And after the moon landing, and robotic probes sent to other planets, we all realized something - space is really fucking huge. It tales a long time to get anywhere, and costs a huge amount of money to send even a tiny amount of stuff out of this atmosphere. People hear about crazy plans to send people to Mars and ask "Why bother?" I tend to agree with them.

    On the other hand, the space station project is something that makes sense. It's a baby step, it's something that (ideally) allows all interested countries with space agencies and some cash to participate and could someday evolve into a shipyard where exploration probes - and even manned craft - could be built and launched without having to burn a lot of rocket fuel escaping earth's gravity. Yeah, I've probably been watching too much Star Trek. But if the public could be made to understand the value of this program maybe interest would revive in space again.

    The age of Asimovian idealism is over. It's the Pragmatic Age. If people can see the value of investing in space, they'll do it. But no one is buying dreams anymore.

    1. Re:Danger isn't the problem by Big+Smirk · · Score: 2, Insightful

      How does a 70" Plasma TV fit into a 'Pragmatic Age'

      Whittle it down and we all should either be working on food production or health care. Anything else would be less than Pragmatic. I suppose you could argue that we should also work on entertainment for those in the health care and food production business.

      However, I believe there is a need to expand the knowledge of mankind. This keeps us away from subsistence living and gives us a purpose beyond mere existence.

      Besides, all that money spent on NASA is pretty much put into the US economy. Beats building yet another ditch (or for that matter roads).

      --
      TODO: create/find/steal funny sig.
    2. Re:Danger isn't the problem by jellomizer · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The value is pride. Oddly enough it is very difficult to tie to a monetary figure.
      It has been so long since we have done something so ambitious that the people of the world to have anything to feel proud of. All of our achievements have been replaced by Guilt (Global Warming, Cancer Causing everything). Even our previous achievements are being questioned and disbelieved (moon landing hoax). We are on the sliding slope away from progress. Much like the fall of the Roman Empire people abandoned everything Roman, including bathing. Now we are abandoning everything again slowly, A rise in evangelical/extremest religious beliefs who completely dismiss science as evil. Focus towards the practical and away from beauty, the quick fix vs. the long term goal.

      Why was there a boom in American science education during the space race, because everyone wanted to go to the moon too. However they couldn't but they learned science and math and created a modern nation. But these people are retiring and not being replaced. The moon is once again to far and distant for us, Mars is a place where robots roam, and were we can make fun the remaining scientist when they fail.

      We fight about freaking License restrictions of software vs. technical advantages and new approaches.

      We need man space flights so we can put a human face on humanity, and give us a goal for the future.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    3. Re:Danger isn't the problem by adamjgp · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The problem isn't that space exploration is dangerous - everyone knows that. The problem is that space exploration requires a lot of money for no return other than glory and prestige.

      Please don't forget that there have been many advances in technology coming from the space exploration programs. Wireless communication, propulsion, etc. have been advanced by the field. If it weren't for space travel our world wouldn't be as technologically advanced as it is.

      You're only looking at the main benefit of space travel in your statement, completely ignoring the spillover benefits of advanced technology.

    4. Re:Danger isn't the problem by flyingsquid · · Score: 2, Insightful
      It's important that a society continually challenge itself with ambitious, audacious projects. But is manned space flight really the best way to do that anymore? The first manned flight occurred almost 50 years ago, in 1961. The first moon landing took place in 1969, and the first space station, Salyut, was in orbit in 1971. Since the median age of the American populace is 36.6 years, that means that more than half of the American population was born after 1972. Think about that for a second.

      Over half of the American population was born after manned flights had become fairly routine, after men had walked on the moon, and after the first space stations were launched. Many more were too young to remember when Neil Armstrong uttered his famous "That's one small step" speech. So most of America has grown up in an environment where spaceflight is a given, an accepted fact. Shuttle missions, space stations, even another moon walk... none of these are going to inspire America, any more than it would to build a giant clipper ship, a trans-continental railroad, or to attempt a solo flight across the Atlantic.

      For the public to get behind a manned space program in a serious way, that program has to push the frontiers in some way. It's got to do something that hasn't already been done 40 or 50 years ago.

  13. Space isn't an option, it's a requirement by Todd+Knarr · · Score: 3, Insightful

    This planet, any planet, has finite resources. No matter what we do, no matter how many alternatives we go through or how well we conserve, sooner or later we'll exhaust them. It's merely a question of how long it'll take to do so. Which means in the long term there are exactly two paths: get off this single planet, or perish. Personally I don't like option #2, and I'd like to get option #1 underway while we have the luxuries of time and resources, not wait until it's a crash program under a short deadline with limited resources.

    From a practical standpoint, two things. First, opening new frontiers has never been unprofitable. It's expensive opening them up, but every one we've opened up has yielded an ROI any businessman would give up several major organs for. It's rarely immediately obvious what the rewards will be, looking back at history no major exploration ever turned up what they were looking for, but consistently the rewards are more than high enough to justify the cost. I doubt space will be different, and the spoils will go to he who's there first with the most. Second, high ground. Any military man will tell you that he who controls the high ground controls the battlefield. In ancient days the high ground was a hill so your archers could shoot down at the enemy. Today it's the airspace over the battlefield, so your aircraft can bomb the enemy without being distracted by enemy fighters. Orbit's a pretty serious high ground. Want an example? Take a look at Meteor Crater in Arizona. That was a chunk of rock coming in ballistic. Now, imagine that crater overlaid on Los Angeles, or Chicago, or Washington DC. Or all of them. Rocks are plentiful, getting them onto the right path is fairly straightforward and cheap. And shooting back up the gravity well is hideously expensive.

    1. Re:Space isn't an option, it's a requirement by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Check out the law of conservation of matter before spewing "sooner or later we'll exaust them (our resources)".

      The GP isn't talking about annihilating the atoms that make up the resources. In practical terms, a resource is exhausted when it is completely used and remains unavailable for reuse or recyling. For example, the iron atoms in the steel structure of a skyscraper does not cease to exist, but it can't simultaneously continue to server that function and be used to build a car. If it could, that would be a violation of conservation of matter! Even with 100% recycling on a molecular level (theoretically possible, but impractical for the forseeable future due to the massive energy requirements), a fixed resource will be exhausted if the demand only increases with time. So unless everyone on Earth agrees to accept eventual diminishing quality of life, or there is draconian population control (voluntary or involuntary), the demand for all resources will increase over-time. Neither of these seems possible on a global scale, especially without some strict authortarianism system to enforce it.

      On the otherhand, not only will the development of the solar system yeild more resources it can also function as a "safety value". It woud bleed-off excess population making a stable global population easier to maintain without resorting to extreme forms of coercion. Let me be clear, for this to actually work we (the population of the entire planet) will still need to adopt a much clear and more environmentally sustainable lifestyle. However, the development of space will allow that lifestyle to be closer to that currently enjoyed in by most of the developed.

  14. Re:Robots in Space by dedazo · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I don't know if you said that sarcastically, but if you think about it, focusing on robotic spacecraft that can do more than just take readings might very well contribute to the advancement of robotic sciences. History shows us that progress in scientific fields comes about faster when there is a specific purpose, time pressure and money involved.

    I don't have a problem with manned spaceflight, on the contrary. But this might be a good side effect of trying to go all-automata. Not to mention cheaper/easier, since moving carbon-based sentient chimpanzees (also known as humans) through the voids of space requires ungodly amounts of resources.

    --
    Web2.0: I love when people Flickr my cuil and digg my boingboing until my google is reddit and I start to yahoo
  15. Rocketeer vs. Mourner by ElboRuum · · Score: 2, Insightful

    This is pseudo-philosophical nonsense. The only thing that steps out at me from this article is that we could avoid a lot of mourning if NASA took January off.

    The problem with having a "space program", just like any other endeavor, requires an assessment of its value, both long-term and short-term. If these assessments of value indicate worth, we will continue to do it. If they do not, they will be shelved until we can find some previously hidden value.

    Rocketeer, schmocketeer. We'd do ourselves well to put that "go where no one's gone before" mentality behind us with its promise of larger-than-life frontier exploration. The only reason an American footprint exists on the moon was because we didn't want our Cold War rivals to leave us behind in technology which might be needed in military applications against them. I love how that's been romanticized into some kind of philosophical manifest destiny.

    Only when we stop looking at space travel as something heroic we do once in a while with the pomp and circumstance accorded to the victors in fierce battle will we actually find the reasons for continuing in this endeavor.

    The future value of space exploration will come only from a statement of permanence and an eye toward practical concerns.

    Space travel must produce scientific and engineering knowledge which increases its own capability, repetition, and safety such that space flight IS something we do every day, and not just every once in a while. Moreover, it comes from having a "next step" always on the must do list, which means that just circling the Earth, something we've known how to do for the entirety of the space program, must soon give way to actual destinations. Permanence. Furthermore, both with science/engineering benefit and possible commercial concerns (profit!), space travel must find a way to pay for itself without relying completely upon a tithe from governments. It will probably ALWAYS need to be funded by governments, big science always does, but it needs to find a way to chip in.

    The big gestures like going to the moon help in the marketing of space travel and NASA as a whole, but ultimately there has to be some foundational principle of pragmatism, even in the face of the utopianism of pure science, which ironically allows the utopia its existence. It would be a shame to lose what is a necessary part of our future as a species to a set of well-meaning, yet hopelessly impractical, purist ideals.

  16. Not even the right kind of argument by macraig · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Jones makes an impassioned emotional argument for the space program, but fails to present any bald raw logical reasons why we can't stop and let it die. It's simple: the human race has NEVER before lacked a new frontier in which to expand its growing population.

    Without a space program, we have no new frontiers to exploit (without further ecological backlash). The human race is not so disciplined and comfortable with itself that it can survive that absence of a frontier. We will grind civilization, if not the species entirely, into the dust if we stick our heads in the sand and try to stop expanding.

    That's the simple logic of it that Jones fails to spell out.

  17. Keep these issues distinct by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Letâ(TM)s keep the various issues distinct here. Obtaining resources from space can be done without (much) manned space flight. Investing in basic science can be done independent of either a manned or robotic space program. Too many comments confuse all three into âoeWe have to send people into space so we can get resources back and the investment into science makes it worthwhile anyway.â

    As for the issue of humans moving off planet--it might be possible one day, but the cost to blast and maintain just one person in space indefinitely is tremendous. Orders of magnitude greater than maintaining an individual here on Earth where oxygen and water are supplied virtually for free by the planet. Itâ(TM)s like worrying that we have only 5 billion years left before the sun becomes a red giant. We should plan ahead, but more immediate problems take priority.

  18. NASA should continue to do what is does best... by Sir+Holo · · Score: 3, Insightful

    ...unmanned missions of exploration. Space probes and planetary probes.

    They cost way less than manned missions, and return way more scientific information.

  19. The forest and the trees by mangu · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I think you hit the spot with that post.

    We as a race stopped seeing the forest because all the trees are in the way. We have become a species obsessed with detail, a race of obsessive accountants and lawyers, we lost sight of the grander goal. Ants build anthills that way, by piling one grain of earth over another, but they cannot build any more complex structure because they lack a master plan.

    It's very good to say "let's eradicate poverty", but is absolute equality all that mankind should aim for? There would exist no poverty if we lived in caves, sharing our stone axes equally among all.

    We need something to strive for, something to work for. Religion tries to offer that, but only after death. Science and technology lets us work towards a better future while we are still living in this world. And manned space flight is one of the most difficult and worthwile goals in technology.