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Think-Tank Warns of Internet "Brownouts" Starting Next Year

JacobSteelsmith writes "A respected American think-tank, Nemertes Research, reports the Web has reached a critical point. For many reasons, Internet usage continues to rise (imagine that), and bandwidth usage is increasing due to traffic heavy sites such as YouTube. The article goes on to describe the perils Internet users will face including 'brownouts that will freeze their computers as capacity runs out in cyberspace,' and constant network 'traffic jams,' similar to 'how home computers slow down when the kids get back from school and start playing games.' ... 'Monthly traffic across the internet is running at about eight exabytes. A recent study by the University of Minnesota estimated that traffic was growing by at least 60 per cent a year, although that did not take into account plans for greater internet access in China and India. ... While the net itself will ultimately survive, Ritter said that waves of disruption would begin to emerge next year, when computers would jitter and freeze. This would be followed by brownouts — a combination of temporary freezing and computers being reduced to a slow speed.'"

31 of 445 comments (clear)

  1. Slashdotted! by Smivs · · Score: 4, Funny

    Nuff said

  2. What else is new? by kclittle · · Score: 5, Funny

    "This would be followed by brownouts a combination of temporary freezing and computers being reduced to a slow speed."

    I have Comcast; how will I be able to tell when this starts to happen, compared to what I see today?

    --
    Generally, bash is superior to python in those environments where python is not installed.
    1. Re:What else is new? by noidentity · · Score: 4, Funny

      "This would be followed by brownouts a combination of temporary freezing and computers being reduced to a slow speed."

      I have Comcast; how will I be able to tell when this starts to happen, compared to what I see today?

      Comcast is just bringing you the future, today! They're ahead of everyone else.

  3. Re:ahahahaha by hurfy · · Score: 4, Funny

    And here i thought it was the geeks getting home and downloading Ubuntu.

  4. Re:Too bad by HasselhoffThePaladin · · Score: 4, Funny

    Uh-oh, someone's got the swine flu.

  5. Complete FUD by Thornburg · · Score: 4, Funny

    Everyone's computer is going to jitter or freeze because the net will be over capacity? Are the rest of you still using Windows 95 or other OS's that don't multithread properly?

    Otherwise, the idea that your whole computer will freeze due to a network issue is kind of laughable...

    So far, carriers have added capacity often enough to stay ahead of the curve. I don't see why that would change now.

  6. Re:The network is not the device! Yet! by drinkypoo · · Score: 3, Funny

    All the average user is capable of understanding is that the internet will be slow. But didn't you listen to Scott McNealy? The Network is the computer. Therefore, the user's computer will stutter and choke! IT MUST BE TRUE!

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  7. Re:why would a computer "jitter and freeze" by Thelasko · · Score: 3, Funny

    It's running Windows, Duh!

    Sorry, I couldn't resist.

    --
    One of our competitors trademarked the term "hypothesis". From now on, we will call them "boneheaded ideas".
  8. Re:Lets crank up those clouds by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    WOOOOOOSH!!

  9. this wont affect me at all. by nimbius · · Score: 4, Funny

    ive been using an alternative-internet technology based on corn and soybean oil for years now...with the only side effect being that my slashdot posts sometimes smell like french-fries or donuts.

    --
    Good people go to bed earlier.
  10. Re:ahahahaha by Tubal-Cain · · Score: 5, Funny

    streaming video.

    porn

    You're just being redundant.

  11. Re:why would a computer "jitter and freeze" by nine-times · · Score: 5, Funny
    Yeah, this sentence really bothers me:

    brownouts that will freeze their computers as capacity runs out in cyberspace

    It sounds like some BS description they'd put into a movie when they forgot to hire a tech consultant. You know, like some dude with spiky hair who describes himself as a 'hacker' would be typing furiously on a keyboard, and then suddenly yell, "Oh no! We're in too many firewalls and cyberspace is almost full! All of our computers are going to crash if I don't do something quick!"

  12. Re:Iam facing a brownout now by JCSoRocks · · Score: 4, Funny

    and stuff.

    I see what you did there. But you're not fooling anyone. We know what you really mean. And no, we don't feel sorry for you.

    --
    You are using English. Please learn the difference between loose and lose; they're, there, and their; your and you're.
  13. Re:Lets crank up those clouds by digitig · · Score: 5, Funny

    Don't you love it when people who don't understand irony think you actually mean what you say.

    Actually, no, I don't.

    --
    Quidnam Latine loqui modo coepi?
  14. Re:why would a computer "jitter and freeze" by mellon · · Score: 5, Funny

    Yup, and now we're experiencing monetary brownouts, and the financial system is freezing. Oh wait, no, that was because of the streaming peer-to-peer profits in the banking industry! If we don't do something fast, all our industries will crash!

  15. Re:Same group by Dahamma · · Score: 4, Funny

    Reminds me of the doomsday cults who predict the end of the world is coming every year, and then when it doesn't, they just adjust their prediction to next year. Sort of like a Cubs fan.

  16. freezing by Cajun+Hell · · Score: 5, Funny

    Why the hell would my computer slow down or freeze because of network congestion?

    Modern codecs are pretty CPU-intense. As long as you keep the data flowing, the CPU stays busy and generates a lot of heat. If the pipe stalls, what happens is that the CPU idles. Now, the article is probably written for an audience where most people overclock with some rather extreme cooling solutions. When these peoples' CPUs idle, the water-cooling can actually ice up.

    When the coolant freezes, the tubes burst. (Senator Stevens warned us about this, but people didn't understand, and some even ridiculed him.) Then when more packets come in and the CPU resumes working and heats up, the coolant thaws and leaks out of the broken tubes. Coolant gets all over the motherboard, and the computer crashes.

    --
    "Believe me!" -- Donald Trump
  17. Re:ahahahaha by sehlat · · Score: 3, Funny

    Correction: "steaming video"

  18. Re:why would a computer "jitter and freeze" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    What's really dumb about that, is that whenever I'm in too many firewalls and cyberspace is almost full, I just code up a gui in visual basic and trace an ip address. Everyone knows how to do that. Sheesh, some "hacker!"

  19. Re:why would a computer "jitter and freeze" by noidentity · · Score: 4, Funny

    Yeah, that's crazy that a computer would freeze or crash just because the connection is slow. My internet slows down often and it never causes my computer to cra

  20. This "Internet" company is headed for a lawsuit by Zero__Kelvin · · Score: 2, Funny

    "This would be followed by brownouts â" a combination of temporary freezing and computers being reduced to a slow speed.'""

    I have never heard of this "Internet" company before, but I am 100% certain they are infringing on a Microsoft patent.

    --
    Guns don't kill people; Physics kills people! - John Lithgow as Dick Solomon on Third Rock From The Sun
  21. Re:why would a computer "jitter and freeze" by BlitzTech · · Score: 5, Funny

    I laughed at this.

    And then I died a little on the inside because it's so unfortunately true.

  22. Re:ahahahaha by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    Home computers do not run on the internet. Just because a page won't load doesn't mean your computer's gonna freeze. Oh wait, maybe for those still running Windows.

    Maybe if we pass legislation to make it illegal to sell faster, cheaper connectivity...

  23. Re:Lets crank up those clouds by Burkin · · Score: 2, Funny

    Don't you love it when people throw around the word irony and don't understand what the word actually means?

  24. Re:ahahahaha by mcrbids · · Score: 2, Funny

    ... While the net itself will ultimately survive, Ritter said that waves of disruption would begin to emerge next year, when computers would jit -

    Buffering... Buffering... Buffering...

    --
    I have no problem with your religion until you decide it's reason to deprive others of the truth.
  25. Re:why would a computer "jitter and freeze" by changa · · Score: 2, Funny

    Just hack the gibson and free up all that extra cyberspace.

  26. Re:ahahahaha by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 5, Funny

    It's quite simple really, I'll explain:

    A computer is a machine that has to fill with data in order to work, just like a lightbulb has to fill with electricity in order to work. Back in the old days, you purchased your data on little disks, and inserted them into the slot in order to fill your computer with data. Now, with the internet, you connect your computer to the data tube, which fills your computer with data from the cloud, just like taking your car to the gas station. The problem is, with pirates and pedophiles and enemies of the Comcast's Rightful Profit start consuming large amounts of data, the data pressure of cyberspace falls. When cyberspace's data pressure is lower than your computer's data pressure, data starts to flow out of your computer through the data tube, rather than flowing in. As your computer's data pressure falls, it starts to slow down and crash.

    See?

  27. Re:Same group by smcn · · Score: 2, Funny

    Or Linux desktop advocates.

  28. Re:Same group by Blakey+Rat · · Score: 4, Funny

    If I were a Cubs fan, I'd look forward to the end of the world, too.

  29. Re:ahahahaha by sgt+scrub · · Score: 3, Funny

    LIES! Next you will be telling people that the GUI isn't the operating system, knowing how to use GUI office applications isn't the sole requirement to be the system administrator, and the internet isn't installed on their machines!

    --
    Having to work for a living is the root of all evil.
  30. Re:ahahahaha by tsm_sf · · Score: 3, Funny

    And I thought it was the network getting slow, not the computer itself.

    I'm waiting to see my computer "jitter and freeze" rather than just timeout.

    Maybe if I shake it...

    --
    Literalism isn't a form of humor, it's you being irritating.