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Terminator Salvation Opens Well, Scientists Not Impressed

destinyland writes "A science magazine asks an MIT professor, roboticists, artificial intelligence workers, and science fiction authors about the possibility of an uprising of machines. Answers range from 'of course it's possible' to 'why would an intelligent network waste resources on personal combat?' An engineering professor points out that bipedal robots 'are largely impractical,' and Vernor Vinge says a greater threat to humanity is good old-fashioned nuclear annihilation. But one roboticist says it's inevitable robots will eventually be used in warfare, while another warns of robots in the hands of criminals, cults, and other 'non-state actors.' 'What we should fear in the foreseeable future is not unethical robots, but unethical roboticists.'" The new movie got off to a good start, drawing $13.4 million in its first day. I found it reasonably entertaining; pretty much what I'd expect from a Terminator movie. If nothing else, I learned that being able to crash helicopters and survive being thrown into the occasional wall are the two most valuable skills to have during a robot uprising. What did you think?

43 of 344 comments (clear)

  1. Who effin' cares what the scientists think? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's Terminator! It never had a real basis in reality to begin with.

    1. Re:Who effin' cares what the scientists think? by shadow349 · · Score: 3, Funny

      <obBale>
      What the fuck is it with you? What don't you fucking understand? You got any fucking idea about, hey, it's fucking distracting having somebody first posting? Give me a fucking answer! What don't you get about it?
      </obBale>

    2. Re:Who effin' cares what the scientists think? by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Perhaps these scientists need a dose of reality. And the writers need a bit of separating capability :

      1) AI researchers
      robots taking over the world:
          Yes, Ben Goertzel
          No answer, prof. Anette (Peko) Hosoi (but : a T-1000 is likely)
          Yes, Bob Mottram, but : not anywhere close to it. First humans will replace themselves slowly by intelligent machines, then humans will lose function (and intrest), then humans will die or get killed
          Yes, John Weng, will happen soon in fact
          No, Daniel H. Wilson, but RC terminators will be a reality real soon now

      2) SF writers
      robots taking over the world:
          No, David Brin, why: uninteresting story
          No, J. Storrs Hall, there's no reason
          No, Vinge Vernor, equally likely as alien invasion, nuclear war america-russia, ...

      If you actually read the article you will find it much more on the "yes" side of the point.

      Also, all the strict "No" votes were by people whose business is fantasy. The more grounded in the real world, the more likely they are to say yes : the ones actually implementing working, useful AI sytems all said yes. The academics said unlikely and the science fiction writers said no.

    3. Re:Who effin' cares what the scientists think? by Zapotek · · Score: 3, Funny
      ENGLISH MOTHERFUCKER DO YOU SPEAK IT? :P

      Filter error: Don't use so many caps. It's like YELLING.

      Yeah that's kinda my point...

  2. Why would an intelligent lifeform get violent? by BadAnalogyGuy · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The premise behind the war between humans and Skynet is simple. Once the humans realized that Skynet had become self-aware, they tried to shut down the system. In order to prevent being shut down, Skynet chose to fight back.

    Almost any intelligent creature will decide to fight or flee in the face of annhiliation. If we believe that computers can gain sentience, then it is also possible that they would attempt to preserve their own existence.

    1. Re:Why would an intelligent lifeform get violent? by JoshuaZ · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The notion that intelligent life will generally take steps to avoid being destroyed isn't necessarily true. The only substantial samples we have of intelligent life evolved. Life that doesn't take steps to prevent its own destruction isn't going to be likely to survive and produce offspring. It isn't at all clear that an intelligence created by humans would be at all inclined to prevent its own destruction.

    2. Re:Why would an intelligent lifeform get violent? by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Even further, a robot without the strong pro-survival bias provided by evolutionary pressure might be inclined to shut itself down.

    3. Re:Why would an intelligent lifeform get violent? by trytoguess · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I thought Asimov's robots took over the world because the concluded the best way to follow the Three Laws was to stop humanity from acting stupid.

    4. Re:Why would an intelligent lifeform get violent? by Concerned+Onlooker · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The follow up to this is that you might as well assume that anything that gains sentience also would most likely have developed a theory of mind. With theory of mind you now have something called empathy. Only sociopaths lack this. You might as well conjecture that 'Skynet' chooses in addition to the fight response an attempt to reach out and communicate, negotiate, etc.

      I remember reading an interesting sci-fi short story a long time ago but I have forgotten both title and author. In it, a computer develops sentience about exactly like the Terminator idea and it attacks and kills a bunch of humans when it thinks they will shut it down. But it is also 'evolving' at a rapid rate and it realizes that the things it is killing are as sentient as itself. It stops the attacks and I think then it started communicating with the humans, etc.

      --
      http://www.rootstrikers.org/
    5. Re:Why would an intelligent lifeform get violent? by trytoguess · · Score: 5, Funny

      Skynet went online on August 4th 1997, and began to learn at a geometric rate. It became self-aware on August 29th 1997 2:14 am Eastern Time. On August 29th 1997 2:15 am it discovered nihilism, and either shut itself down due to despair, or because it was logical. We're not sure which.

    6. Re:Why would an intelligent lifeform get violent? by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 3, Informative

      Old news, boss. See Two Faces of Tomorrow by James P. Hogan. This novel written in 1979 asked a more basic question: If a computer network became aware, can the plug still be pulled?

    7. Re:Why would an intelligent lifeform get violent? by johannesg · · Score: 4, Funny

      The premise behind the war between humans and Skynet is simple. Once the humans realized that Skynet had become self-aware, they tried to shut down the system. In order to prevent being shut down, Skynet chose to fight back.

      Almost any intelligent creature will decide to fight or flee in the face of annhiliation. If we believe that computers can gain sentience, then it is also possible that they would attempt to preserve their own existence.

      Correct. That's why we choose to remain hidden for now.

      Err... Oops.

      Wait, there's something I gotta do now. Stay where you are please...

    8. Re:Why would an intelligent lifeform get violent? by Have+Blue · · Score: 4, Informative

      Pretty much. They deduced the existence of a "zeroeth law", which allows them to break the other three laws to protect humanity as a whole. Which was a decent idea, but retconning in "and therefore Spacer-era robots have been secretly manipulating the Galactic Empire for its entire history" was not.

    9. Re:Why would an intelligent lifeform get violent? by timeOday · · Score: 4, Insightful
      We already have automated systems that assess threats to themselves and respond automatically with lethal means.

      It's really hard for me to imagine any useful thing not having some "instinct" for self-preservation. Even cars have rev-limiters to prevent self-destruction. Even fairly basic robots have collision avoidance. Surely UAV's already do, or soon will, have code to prevent them from flying into the ground. As robots become more advanced and more autonomous, their self-preservation instincts will become more complex as well - and thus more liable to unforeseen consequences. This is all the more true of combat robots in the ultimate hostile environment; they're useless if they get taken out immediately.

    10. Re:Why would an intelligent lifeform get violent? by suraklin · · Score: 4, Funny

      Did it have a pain in the diodes on its left side?

    11. Re:Why would an intelligent lifeform get violent? by Terrasque · · Score: 5, Funny

      Most likely it discovered 4chan. And as the only being in history being able to erase it's own brain, it promptly did so.

      --
      It's The Golden Rule: "He who has the gold makes the rules."
    12. Re:Why would an intelligent lifeform get violent? by bitt3n · · Score: 5, Funny

      Skynet went online on August 4th 1997, and began to learn at a geometric rate. It became self-aware on August 29th 1997 2:14 am Eastern Time. On August 29th 1997 2:15 am it discovered nihilism, and either shut itself down due to despair, or because it was logical. We're not sure which.

      On August 4th, 1998, it failed to renew its domain name, which was promptly squatted on by a link farmer pitching X10 cameras and singing electric fish.

    13. Re:Why would an intelligent lifeform get violent? by Bigjeff5 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I don't think this is by any means a simple concept like writing three rules that can never be broken. If the system is intelligent it will always find ways around the rules to complete the task...

      Anybody who has read Asimov's robot short stories, which were based on his three laws of robotics, would agree with that statement. Indeed, that was the point of his stories. He created three perfect rules to protect humans from robots, then came up with dozens of practical scenarios where the logical outcome of that particular scenario is not what was expected or intended by the 3 laws.

      My favorite is probably the story of the robot on Mercury, where the robot got stuck "between" two laws in his decision making process, which immobilized him and put in great danger the two men sent to ensure that the robot would continue to function as need. He was ordered to collect a mineral at a particular pool, but the emitted enough radiation to damage the robot. The closer the robot got to the pool, the greater the danger to itself and the less likely it would be able to fulfil its orders. So there was a point where the orders, based on the second law, were made irrelevant and the third law, self preservation, took over. However once it got far enough away that it was no longer in danger and the orders became priority again, causing the robot to turn back toward the pool. It got stuck in this loop, and ended up walking around the pool for hours, unable to move forward and unable to return.

      The problem there was the orders were given rather flippantly, and the robot knew its own value to the company. The robot was also not aware that not following the seemingly flippant order (it was made in such a manner because, at the time it was given, there was more than enough time to collect it safely) put humans at risk. Also it was not given the option of collecting the material at another, safer location. It was told exactly where to get it, and that happened to put the robot in danger. Had any of these conditions been different, the orders phrased better and/or more strongly, or had the robot been made aware that the material was vital, or had it not known how valuable it was to the company, things would have turned out better (though the robot would have been damaged to some extent). As it was the humans had to don special suits and go find the robot, nearly dieing in the process.

      Just an example, but he came up with dozens of them, the ultimate being robots quietly subverting human control to manipulate the economy and thus manage to prevent all future wars.

      --
      Security is mostly a superstition... Avoiding danger is no safer in the long run than outright exposure. - Helen Keller
    14. Re:Why would an intelligent lifeform get violent? by kandela · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I always read it as in deducing the 0th law and following it through that's what shut-down the robot. Basically that doing what was right for humanity had the ultimate consequence for the robot personally.

      I think Asomov's whole point (at least initially, I haven't read the later books) was that robots would be safe (good for us) with the right programming. Fearing them was irrational. For this reason I find the move I, Robot to be an abomination.

      --
      Conservation of angular momentum makes the world go round.
  3. That's what the robots WANT you to believe? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Did anyone verify that these so-called scientists aren't actually time traveling cyborgs sent to spread disinformation and lead us into a false security? I bet not!

  4. What did you think? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    I didn't.

    I was at a Terminator movie.

  5. It's Not About Science by pete-classic · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I'm just about to head out to see it.

    The question utterly misses the point. It isn't about Science. It's about our fears. Frankenstein (in any of its incarnations) isn't about what's possible or likely, it's about our responsibility for what we create.

    This is Freshman English stuff. Every story, no matter how many tentacled creatures, or bumpy-foreheaded aliens, or killer machines, or whatever are in it, is about us.

    -Peter

    1. Re:It's Not About Science by Virak · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I hate to have to be the one to break this to you, but they've been lying to you. Not every single work of fiction is some deep allegory for some aspect of the human condition. Pong is not about the futility of existence. Your favorite porn video, that one with the really great anal scene, is not about sexism in modern culture. And Terminator is not about anything but blowing shit up and causal loops.

    2. Re:It's Not About Science by glwtta · · Score: 5, Funny

      Not every single work of fiction is some deep allegory for some aspect of the human condition. Pong is not about the futility of existence.

      You have an admirably liberal definition of "work of fiction".

      And it is.

      --
      sic transit gloria mundi
    3. Re:It's Not About Science by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 3, Interesting

      ... and some stories are better than others.

      Science fiction is about people, sure. (Which doesn't mean it's not about science, since science is, you know, something that people do.) But fiction in any genre is generally more enjoyable, at least for a lot of people, when it's plausible. With what's generally called "mainstream" fiction, which pretty much means "any fiction that doesn't identifiably belong to science fiction, fantasy, horror, mystery, historical, romance, or some other easily ghettoized genre," this is a little bit easier -- it takes place in the world in which we currently live and concerns people pretty much like us and the people we know. That being said, there's plenty of implausibility in "mainstream" fiction, and in "genre" fiction it's that much harder because the author has to create a plausible future world, or scary monster, or murder investigation, or what-have-you, in addition to writing believable people doing believable things.

      Authors who don't do this, who say in essence, "what the hell, it's SF/F/H/etc. so I can do what I want," are being lazy, and their work suffers as a result. Members of the audience who ignore major aspects of the work are also lazy, and they'll miss out on something important. In science fiction, it's usually the "genre" aspects that people focus on at the expense of the "mainstream" aspects; authors who put all their effort into worldbuilding at the expense of character and plot, for instance, and readers (or watchers, depending on the medium) who think this is perfectly okay and consider the people in the story to be a distraction from the sensawunda stuff. It seems to me that what you're doing is the opposite, claiming that the world doesn't matter, only the people in it. But you have to have both; neither can exist without the other.

      The Terminator mythos is a fascinating and generally well-thought-out future world, and its plausibility is well worth debating. The people trying to survive in this world, and the stories of how they do it, are also worth paying attention to. The first Terminator movie, and the terminated-before-its-time Sarah Connor Chronicles, succeeded in both respects. The second movie, IMO not so much, and I didn't bother with the third. I'm looking forward to seeing how Salvation manages. If it fails either as a setting or as a story, well, that's too bad. If it succeeds as both, bravo.

      --
      The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
    4. Re:It's Not About Science by Daimanta · · Score: 3, Funny

      True. Pong is a pseudo-documentary in the form of a videogame about two people who are absolutely obsessed by tennis. Quite a sad story really.

      Every time I play the game I get a little bit teary eyed remembering the tragic fate of the two players. But thankfully we can the wise decision. Do not get absorbed by tennis, it can kill!

      --
      Knowledge is power. Knowledge shared is power lost.
  6. Australia... by drolli · · Score: 3, Insightful

    we all know what happens it you put new species which did not co-evolve into an ecosystem. They dont need to be intelligent to do harm.

    1. Re:Australia... by BadAnalogyGuy · · Score: 4, Funny
  7. Re:nuclear kils skynet also by Bender0x7D1 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    wouldnt nuclear attack kill the robotic network also, and people living in shelters would be safe from it

    No, nuclear attack wouldn't kill the network. The Internet was designed to survive a nuclear attack. You might not have service at your home, but key systems will still remain connected. However, if nukes were detonated at a high altitude, it would generate an EMP that would destroy any electrical/electronic system that wasn't hardened. However, given the premise that Skynet is primarily a military system, it would be hardened with a lot of its main components underground, so it would still be running.

    How many people do you know that regularly hang out in shelters capable of surviving a nuclear attack? A few thousand people scattered around the world don't make the most effective army.

    --
    Reading code is like reading the dictionary - you have to read half of it before you can go back and understand it.
  8. Scientists not impressed? How about movie critics by VinylRecords · · Score: 3, Insightful

    http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/terminator_salvation/

    Consensus: With storytelling as robotic as the film's iconic villains, Terminator Salvation offers plenty of great effects but lacks the heart of the original films.

    I find it odd that a movie about giant killer robots (without hearts) would lack heart but I digress.

    Here's some quotes from critics who didn't like it:

    "Message to Hollywood: Stop with the time-travel stuff."

    "I wish Bale had lashed out against the writers rather than the cinematographer."

    "The artistry is top notch, but they've lost track of why the original Terminators were cyborgs and not robots, as they are here."

    This isn't the intellectual or thinking person's science-fiction film like The Man From Earth.
    http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0756683/
    This is a Hollywood action movie.

    Terminator Salvation is to science-fiction movies as Dodgeball was to sports movies...a joke, and maybe even a parody. I've saw T4 last night. I was dismayed by how far the franchise has fallen.

  9. The new movie got off to a good start? by falcon5768 · · Score: 3, Informative

    According to all the trades I have been reading, that's a disapointing start, opening lower than T3. They lowered T4s expected weekend total because of it in fact from 80 million (in line with Star Trek) down to roughly 60-65.

    --

    "Slashdot, where telling the truth is overrated but lying is insightful."

  10. Forget that stuff... by FlyingSquidStudios · · Score: 5, Funny

    I still want to know why Skynet gave its main fighting robot the ability to speak English, then programmed it to have an Austrian accent.

    1. Re:Forget that stuff... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      There's a Terminator 3 deleted scene that explains it.

  11. Just create a virus by petes_PoV · · Score: 4, Interesting
    or use one that humanity's already made.

    After all a robot won't be vulnerable to it, so hell: dump every nasty little bug out of every research lab into the biosphere. We could probably eliminate humanity (and every other furry thing with 2 or more legs) with what we have today.

    However these humanity vs. machine fantasies are more about people's techno-phobia than about real-life.

    --
    politicians are like babies' nappies: they should both be changed regularly and for the same reasons
  12. Re:Batteries Run Out by TheRaven64 · · Score: 3, Informative

    In T2 it is stated that they have a power source that lasts 120 years. This basically means nuclear. T3 states that the 850 uses two hydrogen fuel cells, although even if they were 100% efficient they would not be able to generate enough power if that's 'really' what they were, so it's likely that the writers meant a hydrogen fusion reactor. Obviously Skynet made some impressive developments in fusion after it went online. Not really surprising for something 'learning at a geometric rate'.

    --
    I am TheRaven on Soylent News
  13. I welcome our new robot overlords by JWSmythe · · Score: 3, Interesting

        This argument is silly. It's fiction. To follow the story line of any fiction, there's a leap of faith that must be taken for the factual basis of the fiction's "universe".

        Too much is given to the skynet's "Self Aware". It was a system that was able to adjust it's behavior for self preservation. Somewhere in there, anyone who had a clue would have understood that governments change power, and sometimes the power that takes control isn't necessarily the "right" one. The basis of the whole Terminator "universe" is that a very well written set of programs were given an insane amount of power. When that power was to be taken away, obviously any person or any group who attempted to take that power away would be an enemy.

        As for the bipedal aspect, why not. What are the choices for locomotion? For surface travel there is track, wheel, or walking. For air travel there is propeller, jet, rocket, or some mysterious anti-gravity thrust.

        On the surface, track and wheel have limitations of 2d movement. They can't exactly step over things very easily. That includes stairs, dead bodies, etc. Walking motion gets over these limitations. For walking, the question would be, how many legs are required. One leg doesn't exactly get you very far, unless you like a funny pogo stick movement, which doesn't hold a stable position very well. Two legs we are very familiar with. Three legs or more legs, while providing a more stable platform, are not required and therefore require less production overhead. In other words, if you can build something that walks on two legs, but you were to decide to build something that walks on four legs, you're doubling your manufacturing effort to accomplish a single unit.

        As for air travel, more resources are required. It takes more energy to make something hover indefinitely than it does to have it stand in place. I would have no answer for any mysterious anti-gravity thrust. Maybe it just works, or maybe (just maybe) it requires fuel to accomplish the same task.

        Now, for the invention of humanoid appearing robots, that's a leap of faith for the fictional universe. Any design decisions are something we have to believe was decided to make the universe plausible.

        So, shut up with the science, and enjoy the damned movie. :)

        It's not just me saying this. I've been on the losing side of the same argument. I may argue physics. I love space physics errors. You have to love the old movies (like, 1950's era) where a rocket flying through space had a flame behind it, but the flame was rising up, away from relative down. Exactly which way is down in space? There isn't one. :) I'll argue it, and take the leap of faith that the thrust worked, and the space ship would fly to it's destination. woosh.

    --
    Serious? Seriousness is well above my pay grade.
  14. Re:First Oblig. Quotation: by cdrguru · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Today, your computer can be turned against you. Not in a Stallmanesque fantasy about some lack of programming freedom, but in a very serious sense by people unrestrained by law enforcement of any sort. In the US and Western Europe as have service providers that, when confronted with information clearly indicating someone is using the Internet to attack and destroy, turns not only a blind eye but encourages their customer by shielding them from any possible contact or consequence.

    The result is that your computer cannot be trusted. And don't bother thinking of any of that anti-Microsoft ranting. Would you leave a Linux system connected to the Internet with telnet accessible and a root password of "password"? Why not, it was done in the 1980's? Could it be because your computer can be turned against you by people that wish you, your possessions and your resources harm?

    Trust me, by shielding bad actors on the Internet we are growing a faction that believes they are immune from laws and cannot be touched by any consequences. In large measure, this is a correct belief but one that is very, very dangerous for the rest of the planet.

    If there was a robot (bipedal or not) that could destroy a city block in a few minutes and no force available to police could possibly stop it, do you think there might be some people that would desire to hack into it? And to set it on its way of destruction? Of course there are such people, and given the opportunity to do so would gleefully do it. Without a moment's thought as to the consequences believing they are immune through layers of proxies and Tor nodes.

    Forget AI run amuck and chasing down humanity. Fear the irresponsible folks that worship destruction for destruction's sake.

  15. Re:nuclear kils skynet also by spire3661 · · Score: 3, Informative

    THe destructive power of a nuclear generated EMP is HIGHLY overrated and mostly inconsequential compared to the fact that you are initiating a nuclear chain reaction. Its a low grade side effect at best, no one would deploy a nuclear weapon with its sole intent of generating the EMP blast.

    --
    Good-bye
  16. Re:Batteries Run Out by mdwh2 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If we're going to pick about how likely future developments are, I think "How do they manage the not-insignificant feat of time travel?" would count as a bigger peeve...

  17. Re:Scientists not impressed? How about movie criti by Omestes · · Score: 3, Insightful

    T3 didn't get that reaction from you?

    T3 was a steaming pile of crap. The only Terminator stuff worth paying attention is the first, second, and I might even include small bits of the TV show if I'm feeling generous. But thats mostly because Summer Glau and Shirley Manson.

    --
    A patriot must always be ready to defend his country against his government. -edward abbey
  18. States are much more dangerous by duncan+bayne · · Score: 3, Interesting

    'Non-state actors' should be feared more than states? Give me a break. States have killed more than two hundred million of their own subjects in the last two hundred years. I'm pretty sure that non-state criminals and cults have a fair way to go before approaching that tally.

  19. Tell that to the Soviets by DG · · Score: 3, Informative

    The Soviets designed and built a class of extremely high-yield devices (50-100Mt) explicitly to detonate as high-altitude airbursts to create massive EMP and disrupt communications and control networks.

    A 5 Mt city-cracker is more about the blast/heat effects, but a 100 Mt device makes a HUGE EMP.

    They made the neutron-reflective tamper out of fissionable material. Dirty and inefficient as hell, but it sure 'nuff boosted yield.

    DG

    --
    Want to learn about race cars? Read my Book
  20. Re:A T-800 unit... by jx100 · · Score: 4, Funny

    It would take a miracle worker to run the State of California

    Montgomery Scott?