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Statistical Suspicions In Iran's Election

hoytak writes "An expert in electoral fraud, professor Walter Melbane, has released a detailed analysis (PDF) of available data in Iran's controversial election (summary here). While he did not find significant indications of fraud, he does note that all the deviations from the predicted model are in Ahmadinejad's favor: 'In general, combining the 2005 and 2009 data conveys the impression that a substantial core of the 2009 results reflected natural political process... [These] stand in contrast to the unusual pattern in which all of the notable discrepancies between the support Ahmadinejad actually received and the support the model predicts are always negative. This pattern needs to be explained before one can have confidence that natural election processes were not supplemented with artificial manipulations.'" In related news, EsonLinji notes reports in the Seattle PI and other sources that the US State Department has asked Twitter to delay system maintenance to prevent cutting off Iranians who have been relying on the service during the post-election crisis. And if you would like to help ease the communication crunch, reader RCulpepper tips a blog post detailing how to set up a proxy server for users with Iranian IP addresses.

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  1. Re:Statistical nothing by tonycheese · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    IMHO, although I LYLAS, you should visit the NIIOMTPLABOPARMBETZHELBETRABSBOMONIMONKONOTDTEKHSTROMONT, LOLZ. Okay, that sentence didn't really make sense, but the point is: why, with all our correct punctuation and spelling are we allowed to type these increasingly long abbreviations? Am I the only person who has to look up every IMHO and AFAIK I see?
    Not really directed just at you, it seems a lot of people start off their sentences with some series of capital letters.