Statistical Suspicions In Iran's Election
hoytak writes "An expert in electoral fraud, professor Walter Melbane, has released a detailed analysis (PDF) of available data in Iran's controversial election (summary here). While he did not find significant indications of fraud, he does note that all the deviations from the predicted model are in Ahmadinejad's favor: 'In general, combining the 2005 and 2009 data conveys the impression that a substantial core of the 2009 results reflected natural political process... [These] stand in contrast to the unusual pattern in which all of the notable discrepancies between the support Ahmadinejad actually received and the support the model predicts are always negative. This pattern needs to be explained before one can have confidence that natural election processes were not supplemented with artificial manipulations.'" In related news, EsonLinji notes reports in the Seattle PI and other sources that the US State Department has asked Twitter to delay system maintenance to prevent cutting off Iranians who have been relying on the service during the post-election crisis. And if you would like to help ease the communication crunch, reader RCulpepper tips a blog post detailing how to set up a proxy server for users with Iranian IP addresses.
Like Iran has ever - ever done anything underhanded.
And if you believe that, I have some more kool-aid for you to drink.
Beer is proof that God loves us and wants us to be happy.
News for Kdawson. At least pretend that there is a relevant angle. Throw us a bone, man.
Fuck systemd. Fuck Redhat. Fuck Soylent, too. Wait, scratch the last one.
Nuclear weapons are a fantastic peace maker in the hands of responsible government. Your fear is of Iran, not nuclear weapons, and has more to do with the "they're different to us" Arab stereotyping than it does to any element of fact.
How we know is more important than what we know.
But how would anyone know if that's just a cover for Ahmadickhead or Kockamaymie, and they'll just block it?
Iran is simply trying to emulate the US in how we handle our elections. Kicking out poll watchers and unsealed election boxes is nothing new here. BlackBox Voting keeps a good handle on some of the glaring problems close to home.
Well, with those devils the British, yes.
Why do you curse God?
"Speaking the Truth in times of universal deceit is a revolutionary act." -- George Orwell
Stop thinking with your testicles, and put down the war porn. War is a horrible thing, and it should never be your first response. Or can you seriously believe that it would be good for Iran to have thousands of their women and children murdered?
Just another "DOJ fascist authoritarian totalitarian bootlicker" -- Zeio
That's absurd. Do you know anything about the government the US helped remove? What it was replaced with? You're talking about difference degrees of complete shit. The US went with one that was US friendly. You should take your "relativist" term and apply it to yourself.
Here's a good clue for you. Iraq was a 100% damaged mess before the US.
What language are you speaking? Hebonics?
"Speaking the Truth in times of universal deceit is a revolutionary act." -- George Orwell