Slashdot Mirror


Noctilucent Clouds Likely Caused By Shuttle Launches

icebike writes "In our recent discussion of the phenomenon of noctilucent clouds, there was some suggestions that these might be the product of global warming due to moisture being lofted high into the atmosphere. It now appears that these clouds are simply the product of Shuttle launches. In a story about the Tunguska blast, Science News says: 'Each launch of a space shuttle, which burns a combination of liquid hydrogen and liquid oxygen as fuel, pumps about 300 metric tons of water vapor into the atmosphere at altitudes between 100 and 115 kilometers. Soon after the January 16, 2003, launch of the shuttle Columbia, a liftoff that took place just after the height of summer in the Southern Hemisphere, noctilucent clouds appeared over Antarctica. Similarly, a widespread display of the night-shining clouds showed up over Alaska two days after the shuttle Endeavour blasted off on August 8, 2007. Previous studies show that in both instances those clouds included material from the shuttle plumes.' So, man-made after all?"

20 of 132 comments (clear)

  1. See? Man-made climate change! by mveloso · · Score: 4, Funny

    Those damn environmentalists were right!

    1. Re:See? Man-made climate change! by Anonymos+Noel+Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Correlation is not causation!

      Someone had to say it. I wish CmdrTaco would write a bot which automatically inserts the "Correlation is not causation" thing into every discussion, along with an automatically selected XKCD cartoon.

  2. Um, first observed in 1887 - well before shuttle by zooblethorpe · · Score: 5, Informative

    The previous Slashdot thread included the tidbit that the first noctilucent clouds mentioned in recorded history were in 1887 (also noted here). So unless someone was using hydrogen-oxygen rocketry almost a full century before the first shuttle launch, it would seem that they are not purely anthropogenic.

    Cheers,

    --
    "What in the name of Fats Waller is that?"
    "A four-foot prune."
  3. Re:Um, first observed in 1887 - well before shuttl by maxwell+demon · · Score: 5, Funny

    Almost a full century before the first shuttle launch by humans! Finally we have proof for UFOs! :-)

    --
    The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
  4. Re:Um, first observed in 1887 - well before shuttl by LaskoVortex · · Score: 5, Insightful

    first noctilucent clouds mentioned in recorded history were in 1887

    1887 was when the term was coined. It is impossible to say whether the phenomenon called "noctilucent clouds" in 1887 is the same phenomenon we see today. For example, Northern lights might qualify as "noctilucent" and may look cloudy to boot. It's important to distinguish the phenomenon from the terminology.

    --
    Just callin' it like I see it.
  5. Please go read the article. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    While I suppose the summary could be read that way, the actual article is a little more clear on the distinction. That some other events also cause noctilucent clouds, while true, does not invalidate the premise of the shuttle also causing them.

    So mod parent down. Bitch about inaccuracies in the summary if you want, but don't pretend they serve as meaningful parts of the discussion.

  6. Re:Um, first observed in 1887 - well before shuttl by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Its also quite possible that the recent appearances of these clouds was caused by the shuttle launches dumping lots of water into the upper atmosphere, regardless of what has caused them in the past

  7. Why now? by KlaymenDK · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Disregarding the 1887 thing, which is amply discussed above, what amazes me is this:

    If these luminous clouds are caused by shuttle launches, why has it taken, 32 years and 128 launches for someone to discover this relation?
    Or, has something else happened to the atmosphere not-so-long ago which, together with the launches, have been causing these clouds only recently?

    1. Re:Why now? by Kjella · · Score: 3, Insightful

      An obscure topic of meteorology, that appears to occur naturally from time to time, being correlated with space shuttle launches? And probably with a significant delay between release and formation of the clouds, one would think. I think you vastly overestimate the degree of weather observation that actually gets done, and our understanding of the weather system. Yes, there's much ground-based data of temperatures, precipitation and cloud cover but very little on the actual conditions up there - the lone weather balloons they used to send up don't amount to much. It's really only in the last few decades of satellites we've been studying it in detail.

      In any case, I'm sure this will be used as another "disproof" of global warming. Like with Darwin when he gets 95% right and 5% wrong people always want to pretend that theories are either perfect or completely wrong, even though that makes no sense. Or assume some irrational assumption of uniform effects, so the results can violate them. Mess with say the Gulf stream and everything from Mexico, eastern US and Europe could get colder even during a global warming. Sometimes I wonder if they don't understand or if they just pretend not to...

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
  8. Facts FUD by Meor · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Only 300 metric tons? By doing a simple 1 minute Google search I've found that a single cloud weighs on the order of 100 tons-100,000 tons and more. Great bullshit kdawson.

  9. Re:Um, first observed in 1887 - well before shuttl by Toonol · · Score: 4, Insightful

    My theory, then, is that they were caused by the advent of photography, in much the same way Color was invented in the 50s.

  10. Causing, or contributing? by Zocalo · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I can't read the article due to Slashdot effect, but if shuttle launches are contributing to or causing (big difference there!) the formation of the noctilucent clouds then there should be a correlation to check for. Specifically, there should be a fall in the number of observed clouds during the two extended periods of time when the shuttle wasn't flying following the Challenger and Columbia disasters. IIRC, there was a similar fall off in percentage cloud cover over the US during the days after 9/11 when almost no aircraft were flying within US airspace.

    --
    UNIX? They're not even circumcised! Savages!
  11. Easiest waste of modpoints by BenevolentP · · Score: 3, Funny

    Wow, that was the easiest way to get rid of these pesky modpoints ever. Go back to the old article and retroactively mod everyone up who vaguely mentioned something spaceshuttly.

  12. Re:Carbon credits for shuttle launches? by maxwell+demon · · Score: 3, Informative

    Since the water vapor brought into the atmosphere in high altitudes likely increases global warming (water vapor is a more effective greenhouse gas than CO2), I don't think they could get carbon credits.

    --
    The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
  13. Re:Um, first observed in 1887 - well before shuttl by BenihanaX · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Had you RTFA you would have seen this:

    Scientists at the time suggested that the night-shining clouds over London were made of meteoritic dust. But those aerosols are typically too small to reflect sunlight efficiently, Kelley argues, suggesting the clouds above Europe were made of ice crystals. This assumption, along with the new analysis of shuttle plume movement, strongly suggests that the object that blazed into the atmosphere and disintegrated above Siberia was a moisture-rich comet rather than a relatively dry asteroid.

  14. Re:Um, first observed in 1887 - well before shuttl by icebike · · Score: 4, Interesting

    And what happened around that time?

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Krakatoa

    You totally miss the point of the story. Its not the fuel mixture. Its the fact that large amounts of water vapor find their way to the upper atmosphere. Some by natural causes. Some by shuttle launches.

    --
    Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
  15. This is *OLD* news... see APOD! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

    From June, 2003:
    http://apod.nasa.gov/apod/ap030615.html .... note the last sentence.
    6 years.

    Sometimes it takes main stream media a while to catch on.

    Note that this APOD entry has further links to US Navy research on the topic.

  16. Re:Um, first observed in 1887 - well before shuttl by hcpxvi · · Score: 5, Informative

    Noctilucent clouds occur over a very small altitude range (about 82-84 km) Observations of the same cloud from different locations can be used to find the height by triangulation. ISTR that the 1887 observation did this and that it is therefore a genuine observation of NLC.

    The question of whether there were no NLC before this date was a contentious one last time I asked. Some make the argument that NLC are very distinctive and that if they were there we would have records going back to the Viking era, as we do with the Aurora Borealis. Others, however, argue that NLC look sufficiently like other clouds and are sufficiently unremarkable to the casual observer that it is not surprising that there are no descriptions prior to 1887. (Remember that the idea that it is worth naming and describing clouds only really goes back to Luke Howard in the early 1800s.)

  17. Re:Um, first observed in 1887 - well before shuttl by Talderas · · Score: 3, Funny

    Schroedinger's Noctilucent Cloud?

    It doesn't exist until you photograph it?

    --
    "Lack of speed can be overcome. In the worst case by patience." --Znork
  18. few airplanes after 9-11 changed atmosphere by peter303 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Interesting PBS NOVA show on Global Dimming or the effects of a hundred thousand US jet flights a day. they mostly halted the three days after 9-11. The upper atmosphere become noticeably more clear in that short period.