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Cyberterror Not Yet a Credible Threat, Says Policy Thinktank
Trailrunner7 writes "A new report by a Washington policy think tank dismisses out of hand the idea that terrorist groups are currently launching cyber attacks and says that the recent attacks against US and South Korean networks were not damaging enough to be considered serious incidents. The report, written by James Lewis of the Center for Strategic and International Studies, looks at cyberwar through the prism of the Korean attacks, and calls the idea that terrorists have attack capabilities and just aren't using them 'nonsensical.' 'A very rough estimate would say that there is a lag of three and eight years between the capabilities developed by advanced intelligence agencies and the capabilities available for purchase or rental in the cybercrime black market. The evidence for this is partial and anecdotal, but the trend has been consistent for more two decades,' Lewis writes."
Well I think this whole "cyberterror" idea is pretty funny. I even remember that back in 2000 in school we had to write about some article where they described "cyber attacks from China goverment". Has anyone actually proven that China as a goverment is doing those? It still seems like a myth. Considering world is filled with script kiddies, and China+India together have half of the population on Earth, it's not surprising that many percentage of them could be from there.
Another thing is that it's quite hard to launch such a catastrophic, large-scale attack against the internet. Yeah, you can cause some minor annoyance or accidentally route traffic elsewhere like what happened with YouTube for ~30 mins a few years ago, but those are quickly fixed when upstream ISP's responsible notice.
Also isn't terror's one meaning to cause, well, terror? What are you going to on the internet, put a scary picture on google.com (if you even could hack it - I bet there have been many that have tried)? It just doesn't sum up.
I am not worried about some scary foreign governments.
I am worried by something I really suffer from -- a permanent attack going on 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, 365 days in a normal year, 366 in a leap year, indistinguishable in nature from this "cyber-terror" scare talk, except it is real and harmful.
For no other recourse, I participate in a complex voluntary international network, and employ significant resources internally to mitigate this cyber attack. And all I can do is keep some part of it away, barely. Sometimes I suffer from the complexities of this very same mitigation system, when my services are denied by mistake.
And the governments, who btw also suffer from it, just keep tolerating it.
What I am talking about is called spam, and with the government of the largest spamming country being a bit more pro-active, it would decrease significantly. But the government does nothing, spending money on bullshit, instead of focusing on real problems.
My guess is, solving real problems is hard, and because of that less money are left for graft, so the interest of the politicians in solving them is significantly lower.
Having worked for three letter agencies, let me say that yes, China is engaged in this activity. Certainly the Russians, French, US, British, and any other country with a foreign intelligence service. In China's case, it's very hard to officially link it to the government because the PLA owns so many companies in the country they can have one of those entities engage in the action with plausible deniability.
As far as it not being a "real" threat, I'd ask the Estonians what they think about that....