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ARM Stealthily Rising As a Low-End Contender

snydeq writes "InfoWorld's Neil McAllister examines how the ongoing rise of netbooks, decline of desktops, and the smartphone explosion are reconfiguring the processor market, putting Intel's Atom processor on a clear collision course with ARM. And here, on the low end of computing, Intel may have finally met its match. Thanks to a unique licensing model, ARM will ship an estimated 90 chips per second this year, and the catalog of OSes and apps available for ARM has been growing for decades, including several complete Linux distributions such as Google's Android OS and Chrome OS when it ships. 'One thing ARM doesn't have, however, is Windows,' McAllister writes, something that could ultimately stymie ARM's plans to compete on the low end of the netbook market. And yet Intel's bet on Windows and its x86 compatibility appeal among developers could backfire, McAllister writes. In the end, it's all about performance. Thus far, Intel has yet to demonstrate a model with power characteristics comparable to those of the current generation of ARM chips, which are fast proving their ability to handle high-performance applications."

37 of 285 comments (clear)

  1. Competition by mhajicek · · Score: 5, Funny

    Still, competitors claim it's mostly 'armless.

  2. ARM/Linux in the Tesla Roadster by Rei · · Score: 5, Informative

    To tie in with an earlier article on the front page: the Tesla Roadster's battery pack management system is ARM-based. It's built around a Philips-LPC2294 with 32 megs of ram and a 1GB U3 Cruzer Micro USB flash drive, running Linux kernel 2.6.11.8-1.3.0.

    --
    Look at me, still talking while there's science to do.
    1. Re:ARM/Linux in the Tesla Roadster by mollog · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The article says that a port of Windows could be important to the future of ARM, and that Microsoft has no plans to do such a port. (Does anybody remember when Windows NT was supposed to be ported to DEC alpha, HP PA-RISC, and IBM PowerPC?). But why, exactly, does a consumer want Windows? For Excel? Word?

      Seems like Linux will fill the bill with a browser, maybe a PostScript app and a media player. Text editing isn't such an elaborate thing these days. And only a few people even know what to do with Excel.

      Sounds like ARM is to Intel the way that Linux is to Microsoft; a threat coming from the low-end.

      Speaking of apps, seems like iPhone and the like are coming up with apps that don't run on Windows. Do we really need, or even want, Windows any more?

      So, what we need is a netbook with ARM, running Linux, to serve as a model for future application development.

      --
      Best regards.
    2. Re:ARM/Linux in the Tesla Roadster by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The article says that a port of Windows could be important to the future of ARM, and that Microsoft has no plans to do such a port. (Does anybody remember when Windows NT was supposed to be ported to DEC alpha, HP PA-RISC, and IBM PowerPC?).

      Thing is, there may not be such public plans today, but don't think it would take all that long should MS change its mind. NT was designed from ground up to be portable; heck, its early builds ran on Alpha before they did on x86. And it wasn't "supposed" to be ported to MIPS and Alpha and PowerPC - it was ported to all those platforms, and successfully ran there, though that configuration was never popular, and so support was dropped in W2K.

      In fact, a version of NT running on PowerPC still exists today - it's the nameless OS inside Xbox 360...

      Software for a hypothetical Windows ARM port is a more interesting topic. Of course, you can be sure that most Microsoft software - most importantly, IE and Office - would be ported right away. For other stuff, it may not be as hard as it seems - it's not the 90s anymore, and you don't see many people hand-coding asm for performance, or using dirty architecture-specific tricks. Windows went through multi-architecture support pains when x64 and Itanium were introduced - and it was a lot of headache back then, because of all the bad code that assumed sizeof(void*)==sizeof(int) etc - so now the tools are there to handle a transition (C++ compiler will give warnings for nonportable constructs, for example), code for most products that are still being developed had been cleaned up, etc. It's still not quite just a recompile away, but it's close enough.

      Which means that pretty much every application that is actively developed for Windows today, you'd probably see ported to ARM in short time should there be demand: Flash, Quicken, new game releases...

    3. Re:ARM/Linux in the Tesla Roadster by cbhacking · · Score: 4, Informative

      Between versions 3.5 and 5.0 (Windows 2000), NT was actually ported to several other architectures, including PowerPC and Alpha. None of them were particularly successful commercially, and from what I heard, the Alpha port was killed by in-fighting between Microsoft, DEC, and (IIRC) Compaq. The only non-x86-derived (and on RISC architecture) port of NT currently maintained is Itanium (ia64).

      There's no architectural reason why NT couldn't be ported to ARM, and I actually think it would be a good move to replace the WinCE kernel with a ported branch of the NT kernel optimized for smartphones. They could even keep backward compatibility with WinMo by using a WinMo subsystem (similar to the way that NT is compatible with both Win32 and POSIX by way of subsystem - the kernel doesn't directly handle Win32 or POSIX syscalls, they instead both get translated to NT syscalls which are designed to accommodate just about any API). This would also let Microsoft remain relevant on ARM-based netbooks, provided they port the Win32 subsystem (yes, applicaitons would need to be re-compiled, but for many apps that's all it would take).

      --
      There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
    4. Re:ARM/Linux in the Tesla Roadster by jkrise · · Score: 3, Interesting

      While what you say is a valid point indeed, if Intel sees MS supporting ARM; it will immediately (and with much better success) come up with a much less power hungry Linux and make a separate processor for that. All the lock-ins such as ACPI etc which MS and Intel worked hand in glove will come crashing suddenly, when Intel's blood is running cold.

      --
      If you keep throwing chairs, one day you'll break windows....
  3. So, where are ARM netbooks? by should_be_linear · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I am yet to see any. If they only at least produced one for each article declaring ARM ubiquitous winner at low-end netbooks....

    --
    839*929
    1. Re:So, where are ARM netbooks? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      http://www.alwaysinnovating.com/touchbook/

    2. Re:So, where are ARM netbooks? by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 4, Informative

      There are a few things; but mostly obscure or dubiously suitable. The Touchbook (not toughbook) still has a touch of beta about it; but you can actually order one. The Sharp PC-Z1 has a bad case of obscure and japanese; but otherwise exists. You can also get a number of super cheap ARM based netbooks from various random Chinese outfits. Trouble is, most of those are basically the WinCE PDAs of a couple of years back, stuck into a netbook shell. Truly dire specs are the order of the day.

      I'm frankly a bit surprised. You can get beagleboards and shivaplugs, with pretty credible ARM based specs, for not all that much even in small quantities, and ARM based smartphones are all over the place, so the field seems surprisingly thin on the netbook side.

    3. Re:So, where are ARM netbooks? by tchuladdiass · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I've been thinking about this. What I've got planned so far:
      Beagle board -- $150
      800x480 - 1024x??? 7" - 10" LCD -- ???
      Battery pack with charger -- $20 to $40
      Small USB keyboard -- $20 to $80
      Trapper Keeper to use as a housing -- $10

      I'm not sure where to get an appropriate LCD. I'd like to find one that can use 5 volt and DVI input, otherwise I'd have to run a ribbon cable and bypass the DVI controller on the Beagle Board. They shouldn't cost too much, as I see 800x480 Photo Frames going for $80. I've also seen several "cell phone extenders" that output 5v and have an a/c charger. There's also the rechargeable USB hub from CyberPower. For a keyboard I could either use one that is meant for a data center 19" rack, or get one of the many other mini keyboards that are available. And finally if I house everything in a zippered 8x11 binder then I'd have a built-in carrying case.

      Of course for $300 I could get the Touch book without a keyboard, add my own mini keyboard & carry it in the same zippered binder.

    4. Re:So, where are ARM netbooks? by MichaelSmith · · Score: 3, Interesting

      so the field seems surprisingly thin on the netbook side.

      ...because windows doesn't run on it.

    5. Re:So, where are ARM netbooks? by JAlexoi · · Score: 3, Insightful

      No. Because the manufacturers still think that "It will run Windows" is the best advertising and marketing strategy. Yet, iPhone and Chinese derivatives are fine without it. All of them should rethink their market research. Most people need nothing more than a browser, email reader and flash on their netbooks. I can name a lot of people that are IT professionals and people that are IT unaware, that use nothing more. Those that need windows software, should just go for another device.

  4. Fast is not always best by RichMan · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The fastest processor is not always the best for all applications. Certainly most desktops these days have more than enough power for those that browse the web. So why not save the cost of the big overpowered processor (and the big overpowered OS) where possible.

    And in embedded designs the fastest processor is almost always an overdesign. All those kiosks for cash machines, ticket sales and cash registers do not need the latest fast processors. The do fine with a slower processors.

    There is certainly a big market for an OS that does not tax the processor and is able to provide the minimal OS functionality dedicate application devices need.

    1. Re:Fast is not always best by MightyYar · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I have a feeling the processor itself is not all that expensive in most "browse the web" computers. If ARM or some other processor is to make inroads it will have to be in the power department. A more efficient processor means a cheaper, lighter laptops with smaller batteries.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    2. Re:Fast is not always best by BikeHelmet · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Don't forget that processor cost isn't just the price of the CPU.

      ARM-based SoCs integrate many peripheral controllers right into the SoC. What might require a $30 atom and $100 board for x86 could require a $45 ARM SoC and $30 board, plus consumes 1/5th the power and is 1/4th the size. That's a big impact for power and space efficient devices.

      Intel has been trying to do the same thing for their new Atoms - but driver support isn't there yet, and power consumption is still many magnitudes higher. (500mw, vs ~8 watts?)

    3. Re:Fast is not always best by MartinSchou · · Score: 3, Informative

      Waiting for disk access.

  5. Windows missing ARM by hansamurai · · Score: 5, Insightful

    'One thing ARM doesn't have, however, is Windows,' McAllister writes, something that could ultimately stymie ARM's plans to compete on the low end of the netbook market.

    In my opinion, it's the opposite. One thing Windows doesn't have is ARM support (besides Windows CE). Manufacturers are already seeing the advantage of ARM, and the lack of Windows support isn't a deal breaker in every segment. I have a SheevaPlug which is an ARM device, and while most major Linux distributions have support for the architecture, Microsoft just has the one, and it isn't even a consideration for most users of the device.

  6. I'll take three, thanks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    " 'One thing ARM doesn't have, however, is Windows,' McAllister writes"

    I'm sold.

  7. Windows CE and Windows Mobile by Blakey+Rat · · Score: 3, Informative

    Windows CE and Windows Mobile both support ARM.

    There might not be "full-featured Windows" on ARM, but saying there's no Windows at all on ARM is just ignorance.

    1. Re:Windows CE and Windows Mobile by Bert64 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It cannot run the same applications as windows, therefore it's not windows...

      It is partially source compatible, but not enough to make any but the simplest of apps a direct compile... Linux/arm on the other hand, makes it possible to simply recompile the vast majority of applications so that they work (i have a sheevaplug running gentoo and i have done exactly that).

      People buy windows because it runs the applications they have or are familiar with, the versions of windows which run on arm don't provide this.. Linux has a greater chance of running apps users will find familiar, since there are ports of things like firefox to arm.

      --
      http://spamdecoy.net - free throwaway anonymous email - avoid spam!
    2. Re:Windows CE and Windows Mobile by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Windows CE and Windows Mobile both support ARM.

      There might not be "full-featured Windows" on ARM, but saying there's no Windows at all on ARM is just ignorance.

      Except that with Linux, BSD, and even OS X, the code that runs on x86 is the same code that runs on ARM (and PowerPC).

      With "Windows", the code that runs on x86 is not the same as runs on the embedded stuff: there's no "scaled down" version like the Unix-based systems. It's a completely separate OS. The only multi-platform stuff that Microsoft has is Windows for Itanium.

      Just because the Microsoft marketing folks call it "Windows" CE or Mobile does not make it the same as the desktop / server OS. With the Unix-y systems, it is the code and OS (though perhaps cut down to the bare essentials). And that's what we're talking about here: taking the same code and simply doing a recompile. It's not going to happen with Vista or W7, but it can happen with other OSes (heck, even OpenSolaris is being ported as-is to ARM and PowerPC).

  8. Stealthily?! by QX-Mat · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Oh please!

    It's not a stealth thing at all. The low power SoC market has always been ARMs. It's AMD (Geode... and then Intel's Atom) who decided to bring x86 to the low power market. If anything the article should focus on the troubles ARM is likely to face in the near future: unless RISC can continue to compete for price (aggressively), I doubt that adding more pipelines will make the general purpose platform developers happy - RISC bottlenecks will always be bottlenecks; x86 can simply gun for greater clock speed.

    IMO Transmeta had it right: very long instruction words (which ultimately do 'everything'). Unfortunately it came 10 years too soon and no-one was ready because we didn't know "what" we wanted from a clock (or half clock etc if you're talking ARM...).

    VLIW will be back soon enough, but I worry that it wont be the right place for ARM.

    (nb: I am an ARM fanboy, having 'matured' in an ARM sponsored undergrad lab. it upsets me as much as anyone that ARM haven't tried to reinvent the wheel using the cash from their recent market dominance)

    Matt

  9. Low power FTW by Sporkinum · · Score: 3, Informative

    I just purchased a Wikireader, which uses a low power Epson S1C33E07 60 mhz RISC processor, not unlike an ARM. It will run for 90 hours on 2 aaa batteries. And that includes a 240 * 208 capacitive touch screen.

    --
    "He's lost in a 'floyd hole"
  10. Re:MAME on ARM in Debian by mpapet · · Score: 3, Informative

    http://packages.debian.org/lenny/arm/xmame-sdl/download

    I've run Debian ARM distro on an NSLU2. Works great.

    --
    http://www.maxineudall.com/2010/02/should-economists-be-sued-for-malpractice.html
  11. I'm running Windows on ARM *right now* by argent · · Score: 3, Interesting

    As far as the application is concerned, the only difference between Windows CE and Windows NT is the APIs exposed. The calling sequence is the same, the library structure is the same, the IDE is the same, the Pocket PC emulator on Windows works by recompiling the same source to x86 instead of ARM code and linking to a different set of libraries.

    Given the variety of APIs exposed to applications running under Linux on ARM (two different Java runtimes, as well as the native UNIX APIs and X11), the differences to the application between Windows CE on my iPaq and Windows on my desktop are less than the difference between Android and Familiar.

  12. The Debian Distro Says Otherwise by mpapet · · Score: 4, Informative

    http://www.debian.org/ports/arm/

    I've run it on an NSLU2. Worked perfectly. They've got desktop packages for it an everything.

    Ubuntu is has been standing on the shoulders of giants (Debian) for a long time. It's time for you to go straight to the source.

    --
    http://www.maxineudall.com/2010/02/should-economists-be-sued-for-malpractice.html
  13. Windows is fading into the background by Kupfernigk · · Score: 4, Interesting
    It's possible that the desktop dominance of Windows will keep Arm out of the small computer market. But a lot will depend on developments with Oleds and e-ink. Currently the display is the power hog of all-in-one computers, which means that changing the cpu energy consumption makes relatively little difference. But once Oled and e-ink displays reduce the power consumption needed for the display, the cpu becomes more significant. As screen sizes on convergent devices fall - I personally suspect that the 5.5 to 7 inch diagonal screen will come to dominate in truly portable devices - the resulting limit on battery size will be the difference between an all-day device and one that cannot get through a working day. This is where the new generation of Linux distributions like Maemo and Android running on Arm will deliver a visible benefit, and the end user - who doesn't really care whether he has to run "word" or "floop" so long as the document opens correctly and edits - will be more interested in whether he can go from 7 a.m. to 7p.m without a charge.

    I'm writing this on a netbook running Ubuntu Netbook Remix 9.10 and it just works (TM). It would work just as well on an Arm processor.

    In the real world, I'm sure that Microsoft will be able to roll out Windows Mobile on Arm one microsecond after Dell tell them that their new 7 inch communications centre and ebook reader will have to run an OS supplied by Canonical.

    --
    From scarped cliff or quarried stone she cries "A thousand types are gone, I care for nothing, no not one."
  14. Re:Almost 3 billion chips this year? by Volante3192 · · Score: 4, Informative

    Had you read the article, you'd see where all the chips come from, because it's summarized right below that line on the first page.

    Hint: if you have an electronic device that is NOT a desktop or laptop computer, the odds are somewhere around 99 out of 100 that it's using one or more ARM chips. This includes, but is not limited to, cell phones, GPSes, home routers, calculators, and portable gaming devices like the DS.

  15. Re:OS/X? by kamochan · · Score: 4, Informative

    Apple's iGadgets are ARM-based and run a variant of OS/X. Of course, ARM also has WinCE, so that kind of balances the karma.

  16. Re:MAME on ARM in Debian by 0100010001010011 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    My SheevaPlug arrives via Fedex in about 30 minutes :).

    It's going to be like Christmas in a few hours. The Fedex box will be ripped apart strewn across the living room as will be the product packaging. I'll plug it straight into the wall and Ethernet, realize it doesn't do much. Break out the 8GB SD card and not sleep tonight.

  17. Who cares about Windows? by cheesybagel · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Even if there was a Windows port, if you cannot run the vast set of Windows applications a port is useless. You would be better off running a Linux distro since it effortlessly comes with most categories of apps people need, because said apps are open source and usually can be recompiled fairly easily. If most Windows applications were targeted at .NET by now I could see a point, but they are not.

  18. Re:It's JVC's VHS-C versus Sony's Video8 again by FrankieBaby1986 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    WIndowsMobile had years of time in the market before the iPhone and it had a lot more applications than the iPhone. The iPhone blew it out of the water in just a few short years.

    Let me preface this with a disclaimer. I never really liked WinMo, and I can't wait till I can buy a cheap, fast ARM netbook to run linux on!

    However, WinMo did not come about in the era of ubiquitous high-speed internet and wifi, large hosted storage and applications ('cloud' crap). I used to own an HP Jornada 320lx (precursor to netbook- a palmtop)

    WinMo however sucked because of poor app compatibility. The portable versions of word and excel were pretty useless. Nobody uses these types of apps regularly on an iPhone. The iPhone is largely (but not solely) a toy used for music, video playback (youtube) and web browsing. When WinMo was relevant, processing power and internet availability were not up to it, and so the only people buying it were using it primarily for Calendaring, Portable Office, and the like, and it wasn't all that great at it, as I mentioned before. As such, the usability, simplicity and broad appeal of the iPhone is simply not there.

    The scene is very different, it is hard to say just what will happen.

    --
    ERROR: SIG NOT FOUND (A)bort, (R)etry, (F)ail?:
  19. Re:MAME on ARM in Debian by 0100010001010011 · · Score: 3, Informative

    $99 + $17 shipping, no tax. There's only 1 supplier in the US at the moment.

    And for slashdotters, the devkit is MUCH better than PogoPlug or other 'final' products.

    USB -> JTAG adapter. If you fubar it, you should be able to unfubar it.
    SD Slot: 8GB card will act as the boot drive. Saving wear on the internal 512MB memory and allowing me to add a ton of other stuff.

    I plan on it being my IRC, AIM, Torrent, Usenet, XBMC Serving, HVAC Controlling, 1-Wire Weather Sensing, 5W (max) box.

    For kicks I'll probably do some mencoder benchmarks.

    FYI: http://computingplugs.com/ is hosted on a Plug. It survived the last Slashdotting. The guy was using it to stream a TV show and it was still only using 40% CPU. He only unplugged it when he didn't know he was getting slashdotted and thought it was acting weird.

  20. Re:MAME on ARM in Debian by The+Archon+V2.0 · · Score: 3, Funny

    My SheevaPlug arrives via Fedex in about 30 minutes :).

    how much did it cost you? been looking at getting one myself.

    Well, if he doesn't answer in the next 17 minutes, we know we're not gonna hear anything for a few days....

  21. Re:OS/X? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    Apple's iGadgets are ARM-based and run a variant of OS/X [sic]. Of course, ARM also has WinCE, so that kind of balances the karma.

    It's not a variant. It is the same code that runs on an iMac or MacBook, just trimmed back (e.g., no FireWire or SATA drivers).

    The Windows CE has barely any relation to Windows Vista or 7. It's two different code bases, whereas with OS X it's the same code base.

    This doesn't really make much of a difference to the end user in most cases, but keeping one code base bug free and thoroughly tested is generally less of a hassle than keep more than one code base the same.

  22. ARM == Hype by Erich · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Yes, ARM marketing (notoriously overoptimistic) says they will have a 2GHz A9 in 28nm, relatively high performance process.

    But A9, in terms of efficiency, is not substantially better than where Atom will be. That shouldn't be surprising. They're both scalar architectures. They both have a little less than 15 useful registers. They both have similarly deep pipelines. They both rely on branch prediction for performance. Neither company has magic, it's not surprising that they're similar on the curve of performance / efficiency.

    Put another way, your instruction encoding doesn't really buy you all that much.

    Now ARM has some lower-end cores (ARM9, ARM11, Sparrow/CoretexA5) that are much more energy efficient than Atom. But they're also much lower performance.

    But this is how ARM's marketing plays it out: we have super-efficient cores (ARM9)! We have higher-performance cores (Theoretically, A9)! You think that ARM cores are somehow both high performance and much more efficient than Atom will be in the same technology... but this will probably turn out to be false.

    Put another way... are MIPS or PowerPC cores dramatically more efficient than x86 at similar performance levels? No. They have most of the same architecture benefits that ARM does... more, in many ways, because they have about double the number of useful registers. But they're on basically the same efficiency/performance curve as everyone else.

    You could probably do an x86 implementation that was similar to ARM11/A5... no floating point, no SSE, just the basic 386 instruction set. Give it a short pipeline and turn down the frequency, and it will probably compete relatively well on energy efficiency with those low-end ARMs.

    The thing I DON'T understand... why does ARM marketing get an article on slashdot every week or so?

    --

    -- Erich

    Slashdot reader since 1997

    1. Re:ARM == Hype by Erich · · Score: 3, Informative
      Let me illustrate.

      ARM has ARM mode, Thumb Mode, Jazelle Mode, and ThumbEE mode. FOUR instruction sets. Multiple different floating point unit specs that are incompatible with each other. Crazy page table formats. The architecture spec is over 2000 pages long, for pete's sake!

      ARM has a more uniform encoding, but actually has a large number of instructions, and does crazy things like put a rotating shifter in the load address path. Not good from a modern pipeline perspective. You can get around it by breaking up the operation, but then you're getting into complex instruction decode like x86.

      I'm not saying ARM is bad. I'm just saying they have no magic. You're right, Intel doesn't either (though they do have manufacturing and an army of engineers to do hand-layout). Nor does MIPS or PPC. But MIPS does make energy efficient cores, roughly as good as ARM. They haven't been as popular as ARM, but they're around.

      And I'm certainly not saying x86 is great -- it's certainly not. I don't think it's quite as bad as people make it out to be...

      Look, I wish the architecture made a difference. For one, we'd all probably be using Alpha. That was a great, elegant, beautiful processor architecture. For another, I'd have much better job prospects. But it doesn't matter that much. Scalar architectures are scalar architectures. Instruction set makes some difference, but not very much.

      --

      -- Erich

      Slashdot reader since 1997