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NASA May Drop Ares I-Y Test Flight

Matt_dk writes "Just one week after the first test launch of the Ares I-X rocket, NASA says it may decide to cancel a follow-up launch called Ares 1-Y, which wasn't scheduled until 2014. Reportedly, program managers recommended dropping the flight because, currently, there isn't funding to get an upper stage engine ready in time. Depending on whether the Obama administration decides to continue the Ares I program, this decision may be moot. Earlier this week Sen. Bill Nelson said Obama may make a decision on NASA's future path, based on the report by the Augustine Commission, by the end of November."

63 of 203 comments (clear)

  1. Re:More proof... by Sponge+Bath · · Score: 3, Funny

    ...someday get a leader who is interested in science and the future of our species.

    Future Leader: Let's use science to process people into Soylent Green!

  2. Internal Interest by Microlith · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I wonder if NASA is going to be able to keep up internal interest on these projects with the way their budget keeps getting cleaved. Hell, I wonder how they managed to keep people onboard, what with a 5 year delay between test flights.

    1. Re:Internal Interest by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Because there's still plenty of work to do in the meantime. Just because a test flight isn't going to be scheduled doesn't mean the vehicle development will stop. The same thing happened with the Shuttle in the 70's. Ultimately, NASA decided to have the first test flight be manned/crewed (considered by many to be the single most hazardous test flight ever conducted -- John Young and Robert Crippen are studs forever).

      We might see the first "real" test of the Ares-I happen during the first crewed flight.

    2. Re:Internal Interest by demachina · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If you are just running a jobs program its actually better to do as little as possible. Hardware and launches cost money reducing funds available for salaries. As long as Congress and the President let's them get away with it, and keeps sending them a few billion each year, it would be ideal to schedule the next launch in the 2040 time frame, which is practically what they are already doing.

      If you've watched NASA over the years, especially when they are doing new launch vehicles they ALWAYS produce awesome computer animations of what it would look like if they actually built it, and then they never do. I'm assuming Congress, being not very bright, are fooled by the animation and think they are getting actual space vehicles and launches for the billions.

      They also run an awesome 24/7 TV channel to show all the awesome computer animations they do. I think they should start running reality TV shows and an American idol spinoff on it, sell commercials and they could fund their hardware, if they actually wanted to build spacecraft anymore which I don't think they really do.

      The other dynamic going on here is I think NASA would actually like to continue the status quo and just spend all the money on a few shuttle launches a year, watch the ISS spin around the earth and do research no one understands or values. This is really the safest and easiest job program. Developing and testing new launch vehicles is really hard. They have the 100 meter high pile of paper necessary to do a shuttle launch nailed.

      --
      @de_machina
  3. Re:More proof... by Captain+Splendid · · Score: 2, Funny

    Somebody doesn't love his karma!

    --
    Linux, you magnificent bastard, I read the fucking manual!
  4. Blew Your Wad Too Early by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Too bad we spend a trillion dollars invading the wrong country based on obvious lies and fabrications. I think we would have been better off spending that money on cool space toys or at least getting Afghanistan right the first time.

    We will be paying for the George W Bush's disastrous presidency for a very long time.

    1. Re:Blew Your Wad Too Early by ColdWetDog · · Score: 4, Informative

      We will be paying for the George W Bush's disastrous presidency for a very long time.

      Don't worry, we aren't paying for it. Our putative children (and their children) will be paying for it. We just put in on the big VISA card in the sky.

      Ka-Ching!

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    2. Re:Blew Your Wad Too Early by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Too bad we spend a trillion dollars invading the wrong country based on obvious lies and fabrications.

      Over what, eight years?

      We just spent almost a trillion in one year as a "stimulus" that has apparently helped nothing...

      ... and you conveniently overlook that it was the Bush administration that encouraged and started the stimulus spending before Obama took office.

    3. Re:Blew Your Wad Too Early by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 3, Insightful

      or why not just get the hell out of deciding whats good for other cultures and peoples ?

      Too be fair that particular criticism applies to a lot more than just one country. The list of nations that are not guilty of that now or in the recent past is quite small.

    4. Re:Blew Your Wad Too Early by CannonballHead · · Score: 2, Insightful

      thankfully, the grownups have taken over running this country

      Ah yes. Reid and Pelosi, Axelrod, Gibbs, and even Obama at times, definitely act like grownups. Especially when they cry about Republicans not being bipartisan and then - for the first time in the history of the rule, I believe - push a bill out of committee without the quorum of two minority group members.

      Actually, IMO, it seems most Senators - on both sides - act more like three year olds than what "grownups" are supposed to act like.

      I guess the 70s was the conservatives' fault and the 80s and 90s were the liberals' fault? Meaning the unemployment and inflation in the 70s, and the rather good and rising economy of the 80s and 90s.

    5. Re:Blew Your Wad Too Early by Abcd1234 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      We just spent almost a trillion in one year as a "stimulus" that has apparently helped nothing... and if it has, very little and it's really hard to tell and it appears that a lot of it is being wasted.

      So, wait, let me get this straight... it's "really hard to tell" if the stimulus has done anything. But, despite that admission, in the very same sentence, you claim it has "apparently helped nothing... and if it has, very little".

      Uhuh.

      Yup, definitely a clear, unbiased, level-headed analysis, there...

    6. Re:Blew Your Wad Too Early by Aereus · · Score: 4, Informative

      Our national debt went from 4 trillion to over 8 trillion during Bush's tenure in what was supposedly very good economic times. The economic policies pursued during that same administration led to the greatest economic meltdown the country has seen in 80 years. The stimulus package planning was begun under the Bush administration, and finalized in the early months under Obama in order to partially mitigate the poor choices made by our banks and Wall Street.

      A number of recent economic markers are pointing to the economy starting to be on the way up again -- I would say that 12-18 months turnaround on this depression is fairly quick compared to recessions of the past. FDR's economic policies in the 30s may have been shocking back then, but Americans expect far more "socialist" programs out of their government nowadays. Not spending any money certainly wouldn't lead to less unemployment, and very likely would cause the depression to last longer as the banks are still hesitant to do any sort of major lending -- which leads to companies hesitant to do new hiring.

    7. Re:Blew Your Wad Too Early by Abcd1234 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Ah yes. Reid and Pelosi, Axelrod, Gibbs, and even Obama at times, definitely act like grownups. Especially when they cry about Republicans not being bipartisan and then - for the first time in the history of the rule, I believe - push a bill out of committee without the quorum of two minority group members.

      Just on this topic, ignoring the bailouts and all that, the Republicans have taken on a very simple strategy in the last six months or so: Block *all* proposals coming from Democrats. Period. How the hell can you possibly expect the Democrats to fulfill their promises of bipartisanship if the Republicans do everything they possibly can to hijack the democratic process?

    8. Re:Blew Your Wad Too Early by CannonballHead · · Score: 4, Insightful

      How the hell can you possibly expect the Democrats to fulfill their promises of bipartisanship if the Republicans do everything they possibly can to hijack the democratic process?

      But the Democrats won't listen to or accept a single change to bills from Republicans, apparently, unless it is one that the Democrats all approve of in the first place.

      In other words, the bipartisan effort in the Obama administration/current Senate goes something like this: Hey, why don't you just agree with us and be bipartisan?.

      And if they don't agree, they are being "partisan." Or racist, for that matter.

    9. Re:Blew Your Wad Too Early by CannonballHead · · Score: 2, Informative

      Because there is always evidence for anyone's point, these days, and you can find economists that say the stimulus hurt and the stimulus helped the economy.

      But I haven't read any that said it helped very significantly.

      If you asked me what I actually thought - in my non-economist and "my macro-econ class boiled down to really complex terms for really simple ideas"-mindset opinion - I would tell you that I think it did nothing good and, if anything, some amount of bad. All it seemed to do to me is put the US government even further into debt. I know, we can't get rid of all debt ...

      ... but according to wikipedia, the US is around 90% of GDP in debt (estimated for 2009; 70% in 2008). Also according to wikipedia, there are very few countries even above 70%. Above 70% are Hungary, Israel, Sri Lanka, Barbados, Belgium, Bhutan, Egypt, Sudan, Greece, Seychelles, Italy, Singapore, Jamaica, Lebanon, Japan, and Zimbabwe.

      I read the "you don't get it, we need debt, too" comments a lot on Slashdot. My response is ... they don't get it; we don't need THAT much debt, unless we want our economy to look like the economy of the ones I just listed. The only "good economy" - and actually, the only real "world power" - that I see in that list is Japan.

    10. Re:Blew Your Wad Too Early by Abcd1234 · · Score: 3, Informative

      But the Democrats won't listen to or accept a single change to bills from Republicans

      The Republicans aren't proposing simple changes. Once again, their approach is simple: our way or the highway. That's it. Meanwhile, the Democrats have been folding on some of their core proposals in order to get things moving (a public healthcare option being the most glaring). There has been *no* attempt from the right to work toward a bipartisan solution. NONE. The Democrats can hardly be faulted for that kind of uncooperative, even childish behaviour.

      Worse, in cases like healthcare, the Republicans are actively blocking measures that over *60%* of the US population supports. If that isn't pure, unadulterated political brinksmanship, I don't know what is.

    11. Re:Blew Your Wad Too Early by Abcd1234 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      As an aside, I happen to think this whole idea of bipartisanship is, at this point, completely absurd. Since the last election, the Republicans have clearly chosen to swing even further to the right (one need only see the NY-23 election to see that), latching on to the extreme right-wingers like Sarah Palin. As such, I simply don't think there *can* be any kind of bipartisan effort between the Democrats and the Republicans, simply because they're so distant ideologically. Meanwhile, the Republicans are really interested in one thing at this stage: tearing the Democrats from power. And if that means blocking any and all attempts and meaningful reform, then so be it.

      In fact, I would go so far as to say they've concluded that it's in the Republicans' best interests to ensure that *nothing* the Democrats want gets passed, as if the Dems can show any success on the issues that people actually care about (healthcare, the economy, etc), it'll only solidify their hold on the political ground they've gained during the last 4 years. Much like our good friend Rush Limbaugh, I really believe the Republicans hope Obama and the Democrats fail and fail miserably, regardless of the consequences it may have for America.

    12. Re:Blew Your Wad Too Early by CannonballHead · · Score: 4, Interesting

      So, Republicans can only propose minor details, not large changes? If Republicans want, say, investigation into nuclear energy but Democrats don't, they aren't allowed to suggest it - it's too big of a change? Or too complex? Or whatever?

      It seems that most of the current bills are very ideologically Democrat centered. Public healthcare and climate change stuff (but not nuclear, it seems). As I recall, House Republicans/conservatives submitted a lot of proposals from the so-called tort reform to abortion to making sure illegal immigrants don't get the public healthcare insurance option. None of them - and those are not "major" in comparison with the bill - were accepted.

      Meanwhile, the Democrats have been folding on some of their core proposals in order to get things moving (a public healthcare option being the most glaring).

      They folded on that? It's still in almost all of their bills, if not all of them, and it is one of the major things that many people don't want. As you mention, "60%" of the US population supports ... what? Supports healthcare reform or supports the current bills, as they are, in the House, including the public option? There's a huge difference there.

      The Democrats have not folded on a public healthcare "option." Actually, I can't really find anything they have folded on, at the moment. Pelosi and Reid have repeatedly said they refuse to have a bill without a "public option" though.

      The American public is a lot more split than you think on healthcare, according to Gallup.

      Saying one party or the other, at the moment, is at fault and doing "pure, unadulterated political brinksmanship" appears to be dependent on who you read/listen to. I try to stay out of the finger pointing, and blameshifting, as that appears to get nowhere - and Republicans and Democrats are very at fault for doing that. Right now, it seems to me that we have some very libecal Senators/House Reps that are trying to push a certain ideology.

    13. Re:Blew Your Wad Too Early by Mo+Bedda · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The unfunded liabilities of universal health care will make Medicare part D look like pocket change.

      Well, lucky for us there aren't any unfunded universal health care bills on the table. Perhaps you should inform yourself on what health care bills are currently under consideration.

    14. Re:Blew Your Wad Too Early by khallow · · Score: 2, Insightful

      How the hell can you possibly expect the Democrats to fulfill their promises of bipartisanship if the Republicans do everything they possibly can to hijack the democratic process?

      I personally don't care. The junk coming from the Democrats is extremely harmful to the future of the US and unworthy of bipartisan compromise. The Democrats have majorities in both branches of Congress. If they can't get their own members to vote for these bills, then why should they expect Republicans to vote for them?

    15. Re:Blew Your Wad Too Early by khallow · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Something I've noticed is that the Democrats have a majority in both branches of Congress. If they can't pass their agenda over the objection of the Republicans, then something is wrong on the Democrat side.

    16. Re:Blew Your Wad Too Early by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The only people that will lose if health care is cleaned up are the insurance companies and the most dishonest drug companies

      That is a true statement. Now how likely do you think that what the government is trying to do will in any way "clean up" the health care system? The plan most likely to pass forces the entire population to buy the insurance companies' product! Compared with plans that actually attempt to solve the problem it is clear that the only thing that congress will pass is corporate welfare for insurance companies and unions.

  5. Government Fail. by Jugalator · · Score: 2, Interesting

    So Bush initiates Project Constellation, and at a time when it's barely started, after lots of time and resources have been plown into structuring the project, it's on the verge of being shut down?

    Well, if it's shut down, at least we saw some cool flames at the back of a rocket!111 Durr...

    --
    Beware: In C++, your friends can see your privates!
  6. 5 years? by methano · · Score: 2, Funny

    It will take 5 more years to get another one ready for testing? Clearly someone else (yea, I know, the nazi) was running things back in the old days when they went from speech to stepping on the moon in about 8 years.

    1. Re:5 years? by eln · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Back then they were able to link landing on the moon with beating the Russians, which at the time virtually guaranteed as much money as you could possibly want to accomplish the goal. Having the goal set by a president who was later assassinated, and carried on by his VP who basically set himself up to be the guy who would carry on JFK's legacy, didn't hurt either. Of course, after that goal was reached, NASA's funding was slashed, and they've been unable to accomplish much in the way of manned exploration since then.

      Now, if you could somehow link landing on Mars to beating the terrorists, we could get all the money we need to get this thing done quickly. Until then, though, they can only do things as fast as their ever-shrinking budget will let them.

    2. Re:5 years? by natehoy · · Score: 3, Funny

      Woulda worked better back in the commie days. "Beating the reds to the red planet" would have had so much good marketing in it.

      --
      "This post contains words, known to the State of California to cause thought. Wash brain thoroughly after reading."
    3. Re:5 years? by DerekLyons · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Back then they were able to link landing on the moon with beating the Russians, which at the time virtually guaranteed as much money as you could possibly want to accomplish the goal.

      Of course, after that goal was reached, NASA's funding was slashed

       
      That's what the urban legend would have you believe, but as usual, the reality is much different.
       
      In reality, NASA's peak funding (during the Moon race) was in 1965 - and was slashed dramatically in '66/'67. (Before the Saturn V even flew, it's production was already capped!) By the time Apollo 11 landed, four missions of the planned sequence had already been cut and the program was starting to run on fumes.

    4. Re:5 years? by khallow · · Score: 2, Funny

      You mean like faking the moon landings entirely? ;)

      Not that. They went all out on that set.

  7. Re:More proof... by CannonballHead · · Score: 3, Insightful

    ...that Obama is really a conservative, not a liberal.

    I hope you're joking...

    I suppose in some very liberal circles, Obama is conservative ... if you use "conservative" as a "relative" term. But you usually don't use it in a relative term without stating what it is relative to. A conservative democrat? A conservative republican? Conservative conservative?

    Anyway, Obama seems to be more "populist" than anything. He won based on his popularity and charisma, not so much his liberal or conservative policies. From my viewpoint, Obama is very liberal. But then, I'm very conservative. So there you have it.

  8. Space program != science by KingSkippus · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I really wish we would someday get a leader who is interested in science and the future of our species.

    Have you seen his energy initiatives? You can pursue science and "the future of our species" without spending billions on pie-in-the-sky space projects.

    Don't get me wrong, I'm a space junkie. I like Battlestar Galactica just like any other red-blooded American geek. And if we were overflowing in riches right now, I'd say let's go for it.

    But the practical fact of the situation is that space exploration is only one miniscule part of science, and it is very, very expensive. Yes, you make engineering discoveries, and some of it is really glamorous on the 6:00 news. But if you're looking for bang for your buck, let's be honest. You can pursue science that is much cheaper and which has much more immediate gains by investing in stuff like developing alternative energy, beefing up our computing infrastructure, etc.

    Just because money isn't spent on the stuff that you personally think is neat doesn't mean that it's not being well-spent or being put to productive use.

    1. Re:Space program != science by BJ_Covert_Action · · Score: 5, Insightful
      I'm am going to play the false dichotomy debuff card on your fallacy and add an alternative perspective to the game. From the way you presented your comment it sounded as if you were saying that we have the choice to either invest in useful cheaper science here on the ground, or invest in expensive fluff science up in space. I would assert that we can, and should do both. The federal government annual budget is not a simple pie that is divided into a few equally sized proportions. It is made up of thousands of expenditures on everything from federal employee wages to excessively expensive arms contracts to student grants for college assistance. If we cut spending on some of our more absurd money sinks that are not as valuable to science as say, alternative energy and space exploration, we could easily afford to fund useful science like alternative energy and space exploration simultaneously.

      If you take an hour out of your day (really, you have plenty of time left in your life, you can survive 1 hour) to do some poking around over at USASpending.gov you will see figures pop up like the fact that the top five federal contractors this year were:

      1 LOCKHEED MARTIN CORPORATION ... $29.748500571 Billion
      2 THE BOEING COMPANY ... $18.231538802 Billion
      3 GENERAL DYNAMICS CORPORATION ... $12.318737574 Billion
      4 NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORPORATION ... $11.900713440 Billion
      5 RAYTHEON COMPANY ... $11.156782353 Billion

      Now you may already know this, but if not, another hour of research won't kill you, but each of those companies is very diversified in the types of products the provide to their customers. They work on everything from appliances, to housing, to spacecraft. However, a little more research and a little intuition will show you that these companies are, above all else, arms developers. And the majority of their contracts coming from the federal government are those dedicated to developing the new, powerful, absurdly capable weapons that would have been useful in the Cold War, which ended ~20 years ago. If you add up the total monetary value of the contracts provided to these five companies for FY 2009, you see that, together, $88.356272740 Billion (with a B) was awarded to companies that are essentially developing technology to fight a war that fizzled out 20 years ago. Now of course, neither economics or politics are as simple as I am making this out to be, but it does illustrate a point. While these companies probably are also getting plenty of money for advancing science and engineering in general, the mass majority of the spending by the federal government is spent ramping up what is already the most powerful and capable military in the world right now.

      Suppose, for a second, that the war-machine lobby groups could be quelled long enough that the exorbitant level of funds being diverted to arms development and obscure wars on ideas (terrorism, drugs, etc.) could, instead, be cut significantly and diverted instead to, as you put it, meaningful science pursuits. We could, quite easily, save money on a federal level AND fund space exploration (manned and unmanned) AND fund alternative energy AND fund stem cell research AND fund computer infrastructure development etc. Instead, however, we have allowed our federal government to be infiltrated and overtaken by corrupt, greedy, selfish corporate interests. Thus, rather than funding valuable, civil science and tech, we have a government whose spending levels are out of control. A good amount of that spending goes towards funding wars that are sketchy at best, and a dormant lion of a military that needs nothing more than a twitchy trigger finger on its leash to free an unholy uproar of annihilation and chaos.

      In short, our current priorities are the only thing that keep our country from properly funding the sciences that both you, and I, find valuable simultaneously

    2. Re:Space program != science by Apocryphos · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The fact that there is this kind of money to be spent is rather dependent on the overwhelming power of the US military at this point.

      As long as the US is The Superpower, their money will hold value no matter how much debt they go into.

      Divert the funds into what you describe sure, but if it doesn't yield marketable results quickly, the US would end up in trouble.

  9. To be fair, W and reagan's by WindBourne · · Score: 4, Interesting

    were about the same. Both ran up monster deficits for no real reason. Both had economic bumps up front, so, I could not blame them for that spending. BUT, once the economy turned, they both increased the debts and threw money away. Between their debts, invasions of other countries, stealing of American rights, etc, the American dream is about to be the American nightmare.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  10. Obama might also increase the funds, no? by blind+biker · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Change you can believe and stuff? What better than a daring scientific project of national proportions to catalyze the United States, to unite the minds and the hearts of all the people, to inspire them, to give them hope and a vision?

    During the Apollo missions America had a dream larger than life, a vision that propelled her forward for decades to come. The creativity, genius and overpowering enthusiasm that this country showed was what, I think, eventually broke the USSR - the Star Wars "threat" was so much more frightening to the Soviets, because they (the old gard, anyway) still had in mind the Apollo missions and thought that these crazy yankees might just pull this off!

    America is now just a shell of its former self - a gigantic trade and budget deficit, a country wholly subservient to foreign (mostly arab) oil, and almost bought out by the Chinese government.

    You want a stimulus, one that will really stimulate all the people, all their endevours, all their emotions? Give NASA more, much more money, and tell them to dream big!

    --
    "The agriculture ministry is not in charge of Gundam" - Japanese ministry official.
  11. For example... by KingSkippus · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'm going to break Slashdot etiquette by replying to my own reply, but this is the kind of thing I'm talking about.

    If you were president, and you had the choice to, say, send a manned mission to Mars to collect some dirt and maybe begin the steps it would take to, if we're lucky and very, very good, colonize the planet a century or two from now, or roll out a national energy infrastructure that will get us off of fossil fuels today, thus keeping our own planet from boiling away (and most likely discovering a lot of very useful stuff that would make such a manned Mars mission much cheaper, safer, and more practical when we DO do it), which would you choose?

    Some people are still under the misguided notion that we don't have to make such choices, that we can just do both. That's one of our problems with science initiatives today. We're trying to do everything, and we end up half-assing it all and nothing gets done.

    Personally, I'd rather just not have a space program (well, nothing much more than putting satellites in orbit now and then) than spending billions on the white elephant of one that we have today.

    1. Re:For example... by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 5, Insightful

      We're going to get the worst of both worlds: no manned space exploration program and a white elephant "green" energy infrastructure that won't be good for much except making the investors who started the Chicago Climate Exchange richer.

    2. Re:For example... by morgauxo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      As the price of fossil fuels rise the market will fund alternative energy sources. For the market to fund the steps towards colonizing the solar system the price of space travel must fall. The first will happen in spite of what anyone does. The second requires someone who can spend money without expecting a profit to do the initial work, ie taxpayer dollars ie government.

    3. Re:For example... by morgauxo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Our population rises exponentially. No matter how green our technology gets we ultimately have 3 choices.
      Extinction.
      Kill our excess children.
      Expand out into the rest of the solar system and beyond

      The only thing really up for argument is how long we have until we have to make the choice. The thing about that third choice however is that if we don't start it soon enough there won't be time before we have to choose between the other two.

      That being said.. Let the market push green technology. Have you been watching the price of oil? There are fortunes to be made! There are many fortunes to be lost before we colonize space. There is too much technology to be developed yet so the market isn't going to do it. We need a money source which isn't required to justify itself by earning a profit to develop space travel technology. We need it to be cheap enough that corporations start shipping people off world to look for resources they can turn into money. The only source I know of is tax dollars.

    4. Re:For example... by JWW · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Um, if _I_ were President, I would immediately put a stop to the Treasury handing out any more TARP money and fully fund NASA's budget.

      There that wasn't so hard.

      And yes, it is what I would really do if I were President. I believe completely that the TARP program was one of the worst things my Government has ever done.

    5. Re:For example... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      ".. billions on the white elephant..."

      If you knew what the hell you were talking about with regard to what the U.S. Budget ACTUALLY spends its money on, you would have a heart attack right now,and save /. the time of reading your banalities.

      You know what happens if we drop NASA and keep space exploration strictly private? You and I lose, the Corporations win ( and probably at 3x the actual cost), and China surpasses the US technologically.

      Yes. We SHOULD completely drop all government funded space endeavors. Thank you for suggested we plateau the adventuresome spirit our species once had. You are truly a fore-thinker and futurist.

    6. Re:For example... by Again · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Our population rises exponentially. No matter how green our technology gets we ultimately have 3 choices. Extinction. Kill our excess children. Expand out into the rest of the solar system and beyond

      Well that's a false trichotomy if I've ever heard one.

      We can also slow our population growth to 0 by using birth control.

    7. Re:For example... by RzUpAnmsCwrds · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I partially agree with what you're saying.

      One one hand, we could get more scientific value out of launching 5 or 6 Mars Science Laboratory type projects (or 12+ MER-type projects) per year than a few Shuttle or Ares missions. The human spaceflight program does produce useful science, but it's very, very expensive compared to unmanned missions.

      Note that I said science, not engineering. The human spaceflight program does far more for developing our ability to build and survive in space than an unmanned program could. But we need to evaluate just how important that ability is.

      On the other hand, NASA's budget is tiny compared to the DOD or many, many other programs. Compare, for example, the cost of the F-22 program, which is equal to about 6 years of Space Shuttle missions.

    8. Re:For example... by uncqual · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Or, world population growth trends might just continue and the world population will stabilize. Last week's Economist has an article that discusses this trend. The article projects that world population will reach 9.2 billion in 2050 and stabilize at that level. Of course, it's just a projection, but that's all anything is for the 2050 time-frame.

      Birthrates drop as people become more wealthy and some of the poorest areas of the world have the highest birth rates. The notion that the solution to excessive population growth is to put the "excess" bodies on space ships and send them to live somewhere else is absurd - the cost of the launch alone likely exceeds the total cost of caring for the kid here on earth for the rest of their lives.

      The supply of humans, like rabbits, is nearly unlimited - only the resources to provide for them are limited. It might make sense for some reason to send a few prime "breeding pairs" (human and/or non-human) to populate other celestial bodies - for example, if one believes that forms of life on Earth are unique enough in the universe and superior in some way to other life in the universe that it's important for some moral, ethical, or religious reason to preserve and propagate Earthly species even after the Earth is uninhabitable (having been baked to a crisp by our sun for example). But, doing so won't have a measurable impact on Earth's human population.

      --
      Why is there an "insightful" mod and why isn't it "-1"? If I wanted insight, I wouldn't be reading /.
    9. Re:For example... by donaggie03 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It isn't a false trichotomy if the antecedent remains true. You falsify the antecedent by changing the rate of population growth by making everyone use birth control. GP would have been a lot closer to correct if he said "IF our population rises exponentially, then . . " Of course that's all just semantics about logic statements, and people could argue both points . . i.e. is it likely that we as a population will ever be able to change our growth rates, using birth control or otherwise? Maybe, maybe not. People who argue no have that previous trichotomy to work with. People who say yes have a whole lot more options. Some other options would be to wipe out large populations through, plague, war or genocide. Or sexual segregation. All women are physically separated from men. But then you run into another problem. A lot of people would consider any method of population management as being inhumane. Not because you are trying to manage the population, but because inhibiting a person's reproductive rights or starving them or killing them are all bad things to do. If this logic holds, then you cannot control the population growth, which means the original antecedent remains true, which means GP was correct. Now wasn't that fun?

      --
      Three days from now?? Thats tomorrow!! ~Peter Griffin
    10. Re:For example... by khallow · · Score: 3, Interesting

      If you were president, and you had the choice to, say, send a manned mission to Mars to collect some dirt and maybe begin the steps it would take to, if we're lucky and very, very good, colonize the planet a century or two from now, or roll out a national energy infrastructure that will get us off of fossil fuels today, thus keeping our own planet from boiling away (and most likely discovering a lot of very useful stuff that would make such a manned Mars mission much cheaper, safer, and more practical when we DO do it), which would you choose?

      I'd weigh the cost/benefit of each. Odds are really good that I would do neither. The Mars program would probably take place in the absence of any economic launch infrastructure to space and hence, be hideously expensive. The national energy infrastructure would most likely be a boondoggle and a bad choice. It's better to allow the market to chose a energy infrastructure rather than impose a bad idea (especially one chosen on the basis of what selfish special interest groups are most powerful).

      Instead, I would probably focus on spending reduction, not just of expensive, delusionally misguided military projects, but everything including entitlements.

    11. Re:For example... by khallow · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Our population rises exponentially.

      No, premise is wrong. Some parts of "our" population have exponential growth rates and some have exponential decay rates. And projections are that the global population will start to decline around 2050.

    12. Re:For example... by DirePickle · · Score: 2, Informative

      Guh? How does spreading out into space help our population problem? It gives us redundancy, yes, but there are 200,000 (from my first Google hit) more people born every day than die. That's 550 747s worth of people we'd have to fire out of cannons at other planets every day to maintain a steady population. The physics of escaping from gravity wells isn't very nice to such ideas.

    13. Re:For example... by Chris+Burke · · Score: 4, Insightful

      As the price of fossil fuels rise the market will fund alternative energy sources. [Moving to non-fossil energy sources] will happen in spite of what anyone does.

      Of course they will, but the question is will this funding be soon enough and large enough to sufficiently replace fossil fuels at a pace that matches the rise in oil prices?

      Our entire economy is dependent on fossil fuels. If the price goes up, and there isn't enough alternative sources available so that we need to continue paying this increasing cost, it will put a severe drag on our economy. If the price of oil rises to quickly, and the alternative energy sources are not ready, it could drive us into a depression far worse than the mere recession we're still struggling with now. Where, then, will the money come from to continue developing alternative energy? And what good will it do when it takes years and years to build up?

      We are facing a severe problem with fossil fuels if we don't do something about it well in advance. If "the market" is going to wait until the price of oil is prohibitively expensive, then it's going to be too late.

      Funding alternative energy means getting the free market to do something it normally doesn't very well, which is respond to obvious problems before they materially hurt the market's bottom line.

      Personally I think we can fund NASA too, but that's me.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    14. Re:For example... by camperdave · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Our population rises exponentially. No matter how green our technology gets we ultimately have 3 choices. Extinction.
      Kill our excess children.,br> Expand out into the rest of the solar system and beyond


      Expanding into Space doesn't help. Imagine a sphere centered on Earth, and expanding outwards over time. That sphere will grow geometrically, eg t^3. As you've posited, our population rises exponentially n^t. Eventually, we will overpopulate space. Expansion is not an option.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
  12. Making Hay by Nethemas+the+Great · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The summary is trying to make hay. There are other tests already on the board between now and the 2014 Ares I-Y test flight. Project managers simply decided that the objectives of that particular test fly could be achieved by other means (test flights) thereby saving the program unnecessary expenses. A very helpful thing considering their already tight budget.

    --
    Two of my imaginary friends reproduced once ... with negative results.
  13. Re:More proof... by SECProto · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Actually, conservative is always used in a relative sense - see for example the Conservative Party of Canada. While they are quite conservative relative to most Canadians and Canadian political parties, they really would not be branded as such south of the 49th.

  14. Re:The whole program should be scrapped by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The saddest part is the test launch of the Falcon 9 has been sitting on the pad since JANUARY. It's been tied up in paperwork ever since. If I had my tinfoil hat handy, I'd say it was tied up solely to make sure the Ares launch happened first. SpaceX has demonstrated their competence with a successful payload delivery to orbit on board a Falcon 1. Not giving the go-ahead for the Falcon 9 smells of excuses, to me. Canaveral is built to handle rockets that size, and the Canaveral range officers have a fine understanding of rockets that size. They know how to use an abort button if necessary. There isn't any danger to anybody, anywhere, whether it works or not. The hazards are to Elon Musk's wallet and to certain pork barrel charity-for-engineers NASA programs. Playing politics has crippled space efforts more than any launch fatalities, anywhere.

  15. Re:More proof... by kevinNCSU · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I'm not sure not spending money on space flight in a conservative philosophy as I at least would consider space abilities to be very much in line with providing for the national defense. There's a lot of overlapping technology and abilities in that realm and most conservatives don't have a problem with the government spending money on programs that are huge boons to our technology/industry/defense sectors. I've lived in both New York and conservative North Carolina and I've never heard any backwoods Conservatives down there complaining about spending money on NASA. But I have heard a lot of saved the world through government programs liberals complain about spending money on space flight when we could be feeding people instead. In reality I think there are people on both sides of the fence that support it and people on both sides of the fence that don't

    Either way the one thing we POSITIVELY want to avoid is anyone managing to label supporting space exploration as a "liberal" or "conservative" policy and having party lines drawn on the issue as that way we'll never get it done. Space Exploration isn't something we can accomplish during the time span that one party is in power, it has to be a common endeavor supported by the entire nation.

  16. Re:Sad, but kind of Accurate by JWW · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Well NASA sure as heck isn't raking in the funding under Obama either. And don't go saying he'll be giving more funding to have NASA do Earth Science either because of his stance on Global Warming, because he isn't doing that either.

    All I see right now is liberal special interest groups getting waaaayyyy more money than NASA is even asking for showered on them and NASA continuing to get the shaft from this administration just like they did from the last one.

    I am sick of hearing how science can now breathe a sigh of relief because Obama's in the White House. They won't be doing anything at all unless they get some real funding pretty soon.

  17. Re:More proof... by lennier · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Yes, since when did 'conservative' start to mean 'dedicated to spending as much as possible on massive military buildup and wars of world domination', anyway?

    And when did 'spreading the wealth' become un-democratic?

    --
    You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
  18. Re:More proof... by radtea · · Score: 2, Insightful

    A liberal, as defined in this era, would not want to spend the money because it doesn't do anything to further their socialist agenda and spread the wealth.

    The problem is that "liberal" and "conservative" as defined in the US have no substantive policy differences, just different talking points that the American media sells to American consumers as profound and fundamental differences in policy, to the extent that when members of your two nominally different poltical parties do exactly the same thing those actions are universally believed to have different meanings.

    When a "conservative" runs up a massive budget deficit it's to keep America safe. When a "liberal" does exactly the same thing it's because they're growing government power to promote their socialist agenda.

    When a "conservative" bails out a business it is "saving the American free enterprise system" (still don't understand that, but that's what "conservatives" say.) When a "liberal" bails out a business it's to reward their friends in Big Labour and promote their socialist agenda.

    When a "liberal" says we must "spread the wealth" it's furthering thier socialist agenda, but when Sarah Palin said it--which she did!--it's "conservative" government support of the common man, or Real Americans, or something.

    I've put the above examples in conservative-interpretive terms because conservatives are the dominant political and cultural force in America today, as suggested by Obama's continuance of almost all substantive Bush-era policies on killing people around the world and looting the national treasury in favour of Big Business. But one could just as easily put a liberal-interpetive spin on them: "conservative" spending is "supporting the military-industrial complex" while "liberal" spending is "providing jobs for our hard-working men and women" (in the military-industrial complex.) And so on.

    No actual policy ever changes as presidents and congreses come and go: the single-party oligarchs and keptocrats change the window-dressing and continue to amass power and loot, and the nattering idiots that populate American political discourse continue to steadfastly quibble with each other as if the two wings of the Party were the least bit different from each other in any substantive sense.

    For your own sake: wake up, people. Please.

    --
    Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
  19. Better by KingSkippus · · Score: 2, Insightful

    What better than a daring scientific project of national proportions to catalyze the United States, to unite the minds and the hearts of all the people, to inspire them, to give them hope and a vision?

    How about a project of national proportions to get us off of fossil fuels, or at least completely energy-independent, today, and for a fraction of the cost of whatever you have in mind?

    How about a project of national proportions to beef up our computing and telecommunications infrastructure so that every American has pretty much instant, real-time access to, well, pretty much everything?

    Or for that matter, how about a massive funding effort of national in medical research, with the end goal of something like a cancer vaccine, maybe even a cure, or other goals such as extending the quality and quantity of life in general? That would certainly captivate me.

    I love sci-fi, I love sci-reality, I've been a space junkie since I was a kid, and if I had the chance to go to Mars, I'd sign up tomorrow. But I'm also practical, and I realize that there are a lot better things that we could spend a lot of money on than the space program.

    Maybe "change I can believe in" means "we're going to stop spending billions of dollars on white elephants and put that money to more practical use." If so, consider me on board. I don't want the space program to die any more than anyone else, but I do think that as a country, we have much higher priorities that we should concentrate on.

  20. Re:The whole program should be scrapped by cheesybagel · · Score: 3, Interesting
    Eh? No. The Falcon 9 stuff you saw on January was just a photo opportunity. The upper stage was a mockup and they didn't have sound suppressors in the pad, or liquid propellant tanks to fill the vehicle.

    The first stage was sent back for more testing. Then they did second stage engine tests without the engine nozzle. Second stage mechanical tests. They should still need to make a second stage engine test with the nozzle on, an integrated second stage fire test, vehicle hold down firing tests. Pad work probably isn't 100% finished either.

  21. Re:Ares should be funded and continued. by camperdave · · Score: 2, Informative

    Actually, it would be foolish to continue with Ares-1. It has no distict advantages over the Delta-IV and Atlas rockets, or the proposed commercial rockets (Falcon 9). It can't lift much more, and it costs a lot more. NASA's been trimming the Orion crew module to make it light enough to lift. (Backwards thinking. Design the crew module, then build a rocket large enough to lift it.)

    The biggest cost (both in terms of dollars and time) in rocket development is the design and testing of new engines. This cost could have been completely avoided if NASA had adopted the DIRECT plan. The DIRECT plan involves taking the engines out of the shuttle and tacking them onto the bottom of the external tank. Mount the Orion crew module on the top of the external tank, and away you go. This configuration, called the J-130 could be flying in three years. It would easily be able to lift a fully stocked Orion crew module, plus an extra 20 metric tons of supplies to the ISS. The Jupiter, because it is made of existing shuttle parts, allows most of the people currently employed in building and deploying shuttles to keep their jobs (especially if the shuttle program is stretched out for a couple of years.

    By adding a fourth engine and an upper stage, you transform the J-130 into the J-246. It is capable of lofting 85 metric tons into orbit. The upper stage is similar to the upper stage currently used on Centaur rockets. (It can even use an existing Centaur upper stage, I believe.) Because it uses the same core configuration as the J-130 (which is itself a minor variation of the existing shuttle), it can be built, deployed, and launched on the same lauch pad, using the same gantry cranes, by the same experienced personnel that will be running the J-130. ARES cannot do this because the rockets are so dissimilar.

    Now, the ARES program is called a 1.5 launch configuration. The 1 launch is the ARES-V, and the 0.5 launch is the ARES-1 with the crew. No matter what you call it, it is still two launches (of significantly different rockets). With the DIRECT plan, you still launch two rockets, but because they are both carrying cargo, you wind up with more tonnage in orbit. Also, since the rockets are practically identical (apart from the upper stage and additional first stage engine), you don't need separately trained personnel. Best of all, both the J-130 and J-246 can be built and flown with NASA's current budget. We could be on the moon by 2020 if we so desire.

    Now don't think that all of the development that went into ARES would be lost. By no means! Development of the human rated RS-68s would continue. When ready, they would replace the SSMEs used on the Jupiter core. Development of the J-2X could continue as well. The thing is, they would be optional upgrades, and not required equipment.

    --
    When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
  22. Re:Ares should be funded and continued. by Eravnrekaree · · Score: 2, Insightful

    We do want to control malpractice insurance costs. I agree with you there! The system is just far too litigation happy and we have lawyers who make a living off frivoulous lawsuits. But Part of the problem though is insurance companies with have 30% overhead compared to 4% for medicare. If we got rid of the insurance companies and replace it with medicare for all, we would save enough money to cover everyone in the country. Just by getting rid of private insurance and their $120 million dollar salary executives! The insurance companies have so corrupted government, especially repubs. but also the democrats, like Max "Insurance company lapdog" Baucus, that we will never see a real universal single payer system that works best for americans rather than insurance companies. The public option was the middle ground between the conservatives want, the current corrupt, fatten up the wealthy on the pain and suffering from out of control costs on average americans, private health care systems, and the ideal and best option single payer. Single payer would actually give you the most choice, under progressive proposals, to choose any doctor, adn there would be no bureaucracy, doctors and patients would make the decisions about what treatment is best. it would be the opposite of death panels because you would not have private insurance denying life saving treatments so the CEO can get another yacht, and millions of uninsured and dying off. The Republicans are such an immoral and scandalous, outright liars to propogate this totally false lie that there would be death panels in the bill, when the private insurance system they protect IS a death panel and the Republicans are responsible for 40,000 children dying every year due to lack of healthcare so some sleazy CEO can get rich!

  23. Re:Sad, but kind of Accurate by WindBourne · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The man has been in there for 10 months, has been dealing with the 2 wars, the worse economy since 1935, massive corruption in the previous admin, taking American rights, quite possibly war crimes by the previous admin, and you think that NASA's underfunding by the neo-cons for 7 long years is his top priority? Really?

    So far, Obama has nearly DOUBLED the amount of money being spent on Science that W/Neo-cons did, and I HOPE that Obama will br brighter than them.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  24. Bullshit. Total Bullshit by WindBourne · · Score: 4, Informative

    Since Nixon, the budget has been at ~1% of the federal budget. It dropped pretty heavily under reagan and W, stayed mostly even with Clinton and Carter (though both dropped it in their last years due to the economy) and increased with Poppa bush. This current budget which is W's has it at .52% of budget.

    It remains to be seen what Obama/Dems will do with it. When it comes to ppl screaming that they do not live in their budget, I see nothing by idiots. The president SETS NASA'S DIRECTION. W set it to be massive new undertaking, but then grossly underfunded it (just like everything he did).

    Right now, everybody is screaming for NASA to push THEIR idea of what should happen, and few want to provide proper funding for any of it. Personally, I hope that the dems get the clue that the neo-cons did not; Space is near to being able to survive on its own and grew RAPIDLY. This is the time for the dems to pour a BIT of money into it and get this set up. It is NOT hard to do. What is amazing is that with less than and increase of 3 billion next year, 2 billion the year there after, and then 1 extra billion for the next few years thereafter, they can create in space what the Internet did; massive jobs and new frontiers.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  25. Re:More proof... by guppysap13 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I think you mean Republican and Democrat. Neither party seems to fit the old distinctions of conservative and liberal. Instead, they have just been used by the media to polarize the country, while in the end they aim for the same things.