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A Skeptical Reaction To IBM's Cat Brain Simulation Claims

kreyszig writes "The recent story of a cat brain simulation from IBM had me wondering if this was really possible as described. Now a senior researcher in the same field has publicly denounced IBM's claims." More optimisticaly, dontmakemethink points out an "astounding article about new 'Neurogrid' computer chips which offer brain-like computing with extremely low power consumption. In a simulation of 55 million neurons on a traditional supercomputer, 320,000 watts of power was required, while a 1-million neuron Neurogrid chip array is expected to consume less than one watt."

44 of 198 comments (clear)

  1. Does anyone really know what a cat thinks? by cyberspittle · · Score: 5, Funny

    Think about it. Think about it like a cat.

    1. Re:Does anyone really know what a cat thinks? by marqs · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "If a lion could talk, we could not understand him."
      Ludwig Witgenstein - tractatus logico-philosophicus

    2. Re:Does anyone really know what a cat thinks? by Jesus_666 · · Score: 4, Funny

      Okay.

      Give me food. Now.

      --
      USE HOT GRITS WITH STATUE OF NATALIE PORTMAN (NAKED AND PETRIFIED)
    3. Re:Does anyone really know what a cat thinks? by Jesus_666 · · Score: 4, Funny

      Where's my food? I asked for food more than one minute ago and there's nothing here yet. I am outraged.

      --
      USE HOT GRITS WITH STATUE OF NATALIE PORTMAN (NAKED AND PETRIFIED)
    4. Re:Does anyone really know what a cat thinks? by Jesus_666 · · Score: 4, Funny

      I still see a distinct lack of you-provided food around here. Make it snappy, can opener slave!

      --
      USE HOT GRITS WITH STATUE OF NATALIE PORTMAN (NAKED AND PETRIFIED)
    5. Re:Does anyone really know what a cat thinks? by jhoegl · · Score: 5, Funny

      Hey... whats that moving dot on the wall? Why is it there? I must have it! Great! I captured it! Wait, whats this? It escaped me, inconceivable!!! What luck, it stopped right by my paw, Ill will capture it again! NNNNOOOOOOO!!!! Look, look there, its something moving under my feet. I must pounce it to figure out what it is! Weird, I pounced it and its still moving. Ill pounce it again! Ah, there it stopped moving, Ill sniff it now. Wait, its moving again... Curse you!

    6. Re:Does anyone really know what a cat thinks? by Critical+Facilities · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Insightful??

      Hmmmph! My cat Phydeaux must have mod points again.

  2. Okay... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    Somehow my pet parrot now seems oddly... delicious. :O

  3. nonlinear by Garble+Snarky · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Wouldn't power consumption grow more than linearly with neuron count? I would think the number of connections is the dominant factor - so the comparison of two data points of power consumption vs neuron count is meaningless.

    1. Re:nonlinear by jabuzz · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You assume all neurons are connected to all other neurons. My brain does not work like that, so why you would expect a simulated brain to work like that does not make sense.

    2. Re:nonlinear by gnick · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You assume all neurons are connected to all other neurons. My brain does not work like that...

      Are you sure? I know that all of the neurons in your brain are not directly connected, but that doesn't imply that there's no path between them. So, while the power consumption involved with neuron interaction may not increase quite as much per added neuron as if you had direct connections between each of them, it still seems that it would be more complicated than a direct linear correlation.

      --
      He's getting rather old, but he's a good mouse.
    3. Re:nonlinear by MrNaz · · Score: 3, Funny

      It makes sense if you assume that *his* brain works like that.

      --
      I hate printers.
  4. All those neurons using less than 1 watt? by drainbramage · · Score: 5, Funny

    All those neurons using less than 1 watt?
    I know some people like that.

    --
    No brain, no pain.
    1. Re:All those neurons using less than 1 watt? by Nerdfest · · Score: 3, Funny

      I'm being environmentally, friendly you insensitive clod!

    2. Re:All those neurons using less than 1 watt? by dontmakemethink · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Actually if you read TFA, the long-pondered question of why humans only use 1-15% of their brain is largely a matter of power consumption, and the reason for the abundance of dormant neurons is for greater potential diversity of thought.

      "While accounting for just 2 percent of our body weight, the human brain devours 20 percent of the calories that we eat."

      "The brain achieves optimal energy efficiency by firing no more than 1 to 15 percent—and often just 1 percent—of its neurons at a time."

      That seems to indicate that a human brain would burn more calories than the rest of the body if it were "always on".

      Being a hypoglycemia sufferer, I can attest to the severe limitations of brain activity when deprived of sugar. Before being diagnosed I underwent tunnel vision and black-outs, not to mention the typical mood swings, shakiness, cold sensations, etc.

      Never has my nickname been more appropriate...

      --

      War as we knew it was obsolete
      Nothing could beat complete denial
      - Emily Haines
  5. Brain Power by Trevin · · Score: 2, Informative

    The cat's brain is made up of 1 BILLION neurons and 10 trillion synapses. So with the nuerogrid chips, it will require at least a kilowatt to simulate.

    1. Re:Brain Power by L4t3r4lu5 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So with the nuerogrid chips, it will require at least a kilowatt to simulate.

      So, a reduction of 319kW, then? That's pretty good.

      --
      Finally had enough. Come see us over at https://soylentnews.org/
    2. Re:Brain Power by Xest · · Score: 2, Funny

      Damn, if only we could find such a great source of power!

    3. Re:Brain Power by Yvan256 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      In a simulation of 55 million neurons on a traditional supercomputer, 320,000 watts of power was required, while a 1-million neuron Neurogrid chip array is expected to consume less than one watt.

      320kW / 55 = 5.818kW per million of neuro with a traditional supercomputer.
      One watt per million of neuro with a Neurogrid chip array.

      So if a cat's brain is 1 BILLION neurons, that would require 5818.182kW with a supercomputer and 1kW with the Neurogrid chip array.

      A reduction of 5817.182kW.

    4. Re:Brain Power by hattig · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Their chip uses 340 transistors to model a neuron, and has 65536 neurons.

      That means it has ~22m transistors for neurons, although there certainly more transistors managing non-neuron aspects.

      It looks like it was made on a 130nm - 250nm process for the die size.

      Shrink that to 45nm once the technology is proven, and you'll have 8 to 32 times as many neurons in a single chip. That's 512Ki to 2Mi neurons per chip.

      A chip makes up a neural cluster, and you use multiple chips to simulate multiple neural clusters, like a brain. They're using 16 chips at the moment for 1Mi neurons. They'll get to 64Mi neurons easily, and with more clusters, 1Bi doesn't seem out of the question in a few years.

  6. The power of custom silicon by jabuzz · · Score: 3, Interesting

    If you have custom silicon to do each neuron then you are going to be hugely more power efficient that a general purpose processor simulating a neuron in software. There is nothing new there and anyone who thinks otherwise is just clueless. Given IBM have the facilities and resources to fabricate some custom silicon I fail to see the issue.

  7. long ways to go yet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    From the original FA: "The simulation, which runs 100 times slower than an actual cat's brain, is more about watching how thoughts are formed in the brain and how the roughly 1 billion neurons and 10 trillion synapses in a cat's brain work together."

    So the most bad-ass computer simulation, assuming it worked, which this guy is saying it probably didn't, was still 100 times slower than a real cat's brain. A real cat's brain also fits inside a tiny furry space the size of a baseball... and it runs on a once-daily small bowl of cat food. We have a long ways to go.

    1. Re:long ways to go yet by slashchuck · · Score: 2, Informative

      ... A real cat's brain also fits inside a tiny furry space the size of a baseball...

      The brain size of the average cat is 5 centimeters in length and 30 grams.

      --
      $sig not found
    2. Re:long ways to go yet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      More than this, their simulated neurons aren't anywhere close to the real thing. A real neuron, an individual cell, has tremendous computing power due to the distribution of a bunch of different ion channel types (active conductances) in a highly complex dendritic tree. Simulating a few seconds of just ONE neuron accurately can take several minutes to several hours of supercomputer time. I know this because I do it for a living.

    3. Re:long ways to go yet by toppavak · · Score: 5, Informative

      He's not arguing that it didn't work, he's arguing that they essentially ran a simulation of a large Artificial Neural Network, a relatively trivial task as long as you have a big enough computer behind it. ANNs are essentially points that connect to each other and learn by assigning weights to these various connections- this is essentially the simplest possible way to simulate the behavior of a neuron. The argument is being made that to claim an ANN, regardless of its size, approaches the capabilities of any mammalian brain is simply wrong, and that a true attempt to create such a simulation would need to factor in the stochasticity of ion channels, branchings in neurons and various other biological phenomena that have a tremendous impact on how our brains work.

      Without reading more details on the original work, I'm inclined to say that he has a very valid point if they were indeed only running a large ANN model.

    4. Re:long ways to go yet by L4t3r4lu5 · · Score: 3, Funny

      The simulation, which runs 100 times slower than an actual cat's brain, is more about watching how thoughts are formed in the brain...

      What? I can already tell them that!

      IF $stomach_contents = 0 THEN ConsumeFood;
      IF $claw_count > 0 THEN ScratchShitOutOfFurniture;
      IF $Sphincter_Tension > 0 THEN PoopAnywhereYouWant;
      IF $TimeSinceSleep < 1800 THEN $TimeSinceSleep = $TimeSinceSleep + 1 ELSE YawnFishBreathInOwnersFaceAndFallAsleepOnComputerChair;

      --
      Finally had enough. Come see us over at https://soylentnews.org/
    5. Re:long ways to go yet by fbjon · · Score: 2, Insightful

      No surprise there. Raytracing a photorealistic scene takes far longer than just bouncing some photons around. Running Windows in a VM makes it really slow compared to running on hardware. This "brain" isn't all that different.

      --
      True confidence comes not from realising you are as good as your peers, but that your peers are as bad as you are.
    6. Re:long ways to go yet by Neil+Hodges · · Score: 4, Funny

      ...I know this because I do it for a living.

      Don't each of our brains do this for a living, too?

    7. Re:long ways to go yet by Zackbass · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Considering how little we know about the emergence of intelligence from networks how is it possible to claim outright that an ANN can't approach the capabilities of a human brain? Real neurons are vastly more complex and aren't accurately modeled with such simple systems, but we don't have any idea what those complexities have to do with intelligence, so it seems to be quite the leap of faith to make claims on the topic.

      --
      You gotta find first gear in your giant robot car
    8. Re:long ways to go yet by Xest · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It basically just seem to be a case of the same old AI arguments we've always heard even since Turing's days.

      The problem is, we don't actually know what the limits of ANNs are, there is no proof that suggests that they can't, given ever greater amounts of computing power allow for the emergence of (at least seemingly) truly intelligent response to an event.

      So on one hand we have the IBM guys overstating what they've achieved, and on the other we have a guy spouting out a view of the limits of ANNs without actually putting any effort into providing evidence for their limitations.

      I don't know why but the AI field has always been horifically polarised, the kind of arguments you get in that field are just so immature it's beyond belief. You have people in the AI field following their viewpoint religiously, completely unwilling to consider the other viewpoint. To see what I mean just look up some of the discussions on Searle's chinese room argument.

      If AI scientists spent as much time on research as they did bitching at each others experiments and theories we'd have a walking talking robo-jesus by now that could build worlds.

    9. Re:long ways to go yet by Rod+Frey · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Isn't there value in moving to a higher level of abstraction than a single neuron though? Or simplifying the basic elements for the sake of a tractable broader model?

      Simulating a single atom, for example, is reasonably complex: it would be impossible with current computational resources to simulate the electromagnetic properties of a metal if we required accurate simulations of individual atoms. Yet despite ignoring what we know about the atomic models, the higher-level models are very predictive.

      Not that we have such predictive, higher-level models for the brain. That's what some researchers are searching for: I'm just suggesting that those models hopefully won't require accurate simulation of individual neurons. That seems to be the pattern in other domains.

  8. Brute force neurons... by xtracto · · Score: 4, Insightful

    So according to this guy rant letter, the "cat-brain simulation" was nothing more than the simulation of a ANN wiht X number of neurons with X equal to the average number of neurons in a cat.

    However, it seems the /complexity/ of the simulated neurons is not remotely similar to that of the neurons of a real cat.

    With that view, yes it seems less breakthrough. The experiment reminds me of AI researchers that thought that we could get intelligent machines using a brute-force kind of approach; this by adding /enough/ knowledge-rules, /enough/ processing power, etc...

    --
    Ubuntu is an African word meaning 'I can't configure Debian'
  9. Skeptical? by golden+age+villain · · Score: 5, Interesting

    This IBM announcement was just ridiculous. To cite only one argument, the brain does not consist only of neurons. It contains at least as many other cells which are also involved in signal processing. Mohda would be laughed at in any neuroscience conference and he certainly doesn't help the cause of theoreticians in the neuroscience field by making such stupid announcements. Eugene Izhikevich who designed the neuron model being used for these simulations had a PNAS paper not too long ago modeling the entire human brain and he did not claim that he successfully modeled the human brain. Plus no one has any clue how the brain computes really so making a claim about the formation of thoughts is just nonsense.

    1. Re:Skeptical? by radtea · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Plus no one has any clue how the brain computes really so making a claim about the formation of thoughts is just nonsense.

      Unfortunately, what a certain class of pseudo-scientist has learned is that monkeys in suits are too stupid to know the difference between real, conservative, careful science and over-hyped handwaving. Since we live in a world where monkeys in suits have managed to get almost total control of the corporate system and used that to leverage thier way into political power, people who suck up to the monkeys and make them feel good about themselves and their world by making outrageously false claims get rewarded with cash, while real scientists get left behind.

      Our world increasingly looks like Fredrick Pohl's story "The Marching Morons", in which idiots have taken over the world (it's much more clever than the film "Idiocracy" was) and the idiots refer to the few remaining smart people, who keep things running, as "dummies". In retrospect, Pohl's story seems less about genetics (intelligence being at best very weakly heritable, as everyone with a brain knows) and more about the social factors that put money and power into the hands of exactly the kind of human who seeks money and power (rather than knowledge and serenity.)

      --
      Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
  10. Re:Except by eldavojohn · · Score: 4, Informative

    Except that individual neurons have tens of thousands of possible connections to other neurons, and continually morph and change those connections. That's impossible to do on a rigid piece of hardware.

    I'm no expert and I've just been reading the second link's project site on Stanford's page but your assertion to continually morph and change those connections seems to be mitigated by this strategy:

    Neurogrid simulates six billion synaptic connections by using local analog communication, another choice motivated by cortical studies. Cortical axons synapse profusely in a local area, course along for a while, then do it again. Thus, nearby neurons receive inputs from largely the same axons, as expected from the map-like organization of cortical areas. Local wires running between neighboring silicon neurons emulate these patches, invoking postsynaptic potentials within a programmable radius. Using a patch radius of 6 lets us increase the number of synaptic connections a hundredfold—from 600 million to six billion—without increasing digital communication.

    If they connect most (if not all) possible connections that the morphing/changing synaptic channels can take, then they use a sort of addressing technique and RAM strategy to continually morph and change:

    Instead of hardwiring the silicon neurons together, as Mead did in his silicon retina, we softwired them by assigning unique addresses. Every time a spike occurs, the chip outputs that neuron’s address. This address points to a memory location (RAM) that holds the synaptic target’s address, or to multiple memory locations if the neuron has multiple synaptic targets. When this address is fed back into the chip, a post-synaptic potential is triggered at the target. An extremely efficient technique, as the same post-synaptic circuit serves all the synapses that neuron receives—virtual synapses! Encoding, translating, and decoding an address happens fast enough to route several million spikes per second, allowing a million connections to be made among a thousand silicon neurons. These softwires may be rerouted simply by overwriting the RAM’s look-up table, making it possible to specify any desired synaptic connectivity.

    Although their page is really hard for a lay person like myself to get through, it's very informative. Having read it, I'm considerably more optimistic about the future of biological tissues and nervous systems being translated to hardware. At least people are starting back at the simple components and adding new twists.

    --
    My work here is dung.
  11. Oblig. Penny Arcade ref by L4t3r4lu5 · · Score: 2, Funny
    --
    Finally had enough. Come see us over at https://soylentnews.org/
  12. Not surprised, remember Deep Blue? by NapalmScatterBrain · · Score: 2, Interesting

    IBM has a known history of making overblown claims. This is what happens when you let your PR mesh with your technical research. Deep Blue was a giant PR stunt, and they had humans retooling the code in between matches. What a crock. When they get a robot that catches mice, purrs, and jumps on the table to eat my burger when I leave the room for 2 seconds, maybe then I'll believe it.

  13. Almaden's Dharmendra Modha: You got pwned! by __aailob1448 · · Score: 3, Funny

    I saw that story earlier and dismissed it for the crap that it was. I'd like to thank Henry Markram for vindicating my snap judgment with his flame email.

    1. Re:Almaden's Dharmendra Modha: You got pwned! by yt.rabb+at+gmail · · Score: 5, Funny

      The only thing missing from that email was his momma. Hey Mohda, Your momma's research methodology is so flawed, that she puts the hypothesis to be proven as an assumption. Biatch.

  14. Markram's for real by bellwould · · Score: 5, Informative

    My research recently took me to some of Markram's work - the guy is brilliant and REALISTIC. His research goals are simple and attainable and any claims of success he has are *well* within the real world. He's incrementally worked his way up from a few neurons - the way a *real* scientist works; and to him, the simplest "brain simulation" of any sort is definitely possible, but far off in the future.

  15. Emo Philips by Temujin_12 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    "I used to think that the brain was the most wonderful organ in my body. Then I realized who was telling me this."

    --
    Faith is a willingness to accept something w/o complete proof and to act on it. Reason allows you to correct that faith.
  16. Who cares what consciousness is by wurp · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I think we want a system that we can ask to do a complex task in natural language, and which will perform the task, only asking for further instruction when what we've told it is sufficiently ambiguous.

    I suspect consciousness will be a byproduct in such a system (as it is in us), but to me, consciousness is not the goal. In fact, if we could achieve it without consciousness, that would be better, since a whole swath of ethical issues in AI go away.

    Which reminds me of something else I thought yesterday regarding this: is anyone considering the ethical issues?

    I don't think this simulation approaches the trouble spot yet, but at some point we have a good enough simulation of a brain that we're essentially maintaining a sentient creature in an environment with very limited stimuli (a torture in itself) with a half-functioning brain. I'm sure we'd decide that what we learn is worth it, but we should at least acknowledge the issue.

    Eventually, it's going to be a simulation of a human we're torturing for science.

    1. Re:Who cares what consciousness is by R2.0 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "I suspect consciousness will be a byproduct in such a system (as it is in us)..."

      You are presupposing that human consciousness is an emergent trait, and that manifests itself once a certain level of processing capacity is reached. But that isn't really a position, more of a default - since we really don't know what it is, we don't know how to create it or model it, so we assume it sort of "shows up on it's own." But the problem with that model is that our conception of "intelligence" is inextricably linked with human consciousness.

      You said

      "I think we want a system that we can ask to do a complex task in natural language, and which will perform the task, only asking for further instruction when what we've told it is sufficiently ambiguous.

      How an obvious question is "how do humans do it?" That answer invariably involves consciousness - a human's awareness of the situation, data, and decision process. It's an internal awareness, not an external input.

      My opinion is that one cannot achieve "intelligence" without consciousness, at least as we understand intelligence. Human intelligence is the only one we have as a model. True, we observe and theorize about animal intelligence, but we know so much more about our own. Modeling AI on a cat brain, while an interesting exercise, could only lead to an artificial cat intelligence. But since we don't understand what cats "think" as it is, how do we know we hit the mark?

      If we define intelligence without considering consciousness, we may well achieve AI. But it won't be an intelligence WE understand, and it won't give us insight into our own.

      --
      "As God is my witness, I thought turkeys could fly." A. Carlson
  17. Off-topic correction... by hiryuu · · Score: 2, Informative

    Our world increasingly looks like Fredrick Pohl's story "The Marching Morons"...

    Not saying this because I know better, but because your mention of the story intrigued me and I hoped to find it or at least find out more about it. It appears it was written by Cyril M. Kornbluth, a contemporary and good friend of Pohl's.

    link

    I think I must find this story, as the premise of "Idiocracy" was interesting but the execution seemed, to me, quite flawed.

    --
    Karma: Excellent, but still won't get you laid.