Newspapers Face the Prisoner's Dilemma With Google
Hugh Pickens writes "Nicholas Carr has an interesting analysis of Rupert Murdoch's threat to de-list News Corp's stories from Google and Microsoft's eager offer to make Bing Murdoch's exclusive search engine for its content. Carr writes that newspapers are caught in a classic Prisoner's Dilemma with Google because Google's search engine 'prevents them from making decent money online — by massively fragmenting traffic, by undermining brand power, and by turning news stories into fungible commodities.' If any single newspaper opts out of Google, their competitors will pick up the traffic they lose. There is only one way that newspapers can break out of the prison — if a critical mass of newspapers opt out of Google's search engine simultaneously, they would suddenly gain substantial market power. Murdoch may have been signaling to other newspapers that 'we'll opt out if you'll opt out,' positioning himself as the would-be ringleader of a massive jailbreak, without actually risking a jailbreak himself. There are signs that Murdoch's signal is working, with reports that the publishers of the Denver Post and the Dallas Morning News are now also considering blocking Google. In the meantime, Steve Ballmer is more than happy to play along with Murdoch because although a deal with News Corps would reduce the basic profitability of Microsoft's search business, it would inflict far more damage on Google than on Microsoft."
What is a newspaper?
When it comes to Google and other aggregators, newspapers face a sort of prisoners' dilemma. If one of them escapes, their competitors will pick up the traffic they lose. But if all of them stay, none of them will ever get enough traffic to make sufficient money. So they all stay in the prison, occasionally yelling insults at their jailer through the bars on the door.
So ... the original prisoner's dilemma (if I recally my AI coursework) was basically comes down to two or more prisoner's arrested as suspects in a crime. They are immediately separated into different interrogation rooms. The police officers use every trick they can to get any of the prisoners to lay claim to committing the crime and receive a plea bargain if they testify against the other suspects. If no one caves, then everyone walks. Now, the important thing to note here is that if one suspect caves and the other n-1 suspects don't, then that suspect receives a sub-optimal reward of a lighter sentence while those that did not own up to the crime receive very harsh penalties. And so you have a dilemma ... did one of your crew rat you out already? Should you take the guaranteed three months in prison versus a potential ten years?
... but the most important problem is that no one knows if the current situation is a suboptimal goal or optimal goal. And no one's going to find out until they leave Google. If a single newspaper leaves Google, they ruin it for themselves (unlike the prisoner's dilemma) and no one else. In fact, the others might even benefit from that.
The important thing is that one rogue actor could ruin it for everyone.
So the analogy seems to imply that newspapers have taken a suboptimal goal (being in jail)
What this is a closer analogy to is the MLB strike you may (or may not care about) remember. Basically the baseball players didn't think they were making enough bank so they went on strike. If anyone of them said, "Screw it, I'm leaving the league, I'm going to literally take my bat and ball and go elsewhere," then they would have been broke. But the whole league went on strike, they could have formed a new league, they could have went to a different league, they could have entered talks with the European league to open leagues in the US, etc.
The newspapers should continue to court Microsoft and play the two search leaders off against each other. Also, I'm no robots.txt expert but I think there is a disallow from certain domains syntax they can use to block Google, Microsoft or white list one of the two. Another strategy might be to go on strike and have all newspapers request to be removed from Google for one week. Let the system break down and then enter negotiations with the giant.
One thing is pretty clear, they must unionize/unify and act as a single entity in either leaving or negotiating. And I don't really see that happening. They might be able to negotiate between Microsoft and Google on a case by case basis but Google is still too much larger than Bing to do that.
My work here is dung.
There is no dilemma, there is only change. The Internet is a tsunami that is roaring over all aspects of our society. In the content industries it is clearing land for some while washing away the livelihoods of others. It is a force of its own. You can manage somewhat as you go but one thing is certain: it is now impossible to stop it, we have passed the tipping point. You might as well curse the wind, or you could adjust your sails to the best of your abilities.
Shh.
Unfortunately, it seems the newspapers can't make money. (I know I haven't bought one in years.) As such, they're turning to desperate measures in their death throws. It is sad, since future generations may or may not be able to look up information as readily in newspapers which are not sufficiently archived.
The Kai's Semi-Updated Website Thingy
Does this mean all those stupid sensationalist entries will disappear from my Google news page! Great - can't wait!
Really? Losing links to the various News Corp sites will "inflict damage" on Google's business?
Really?
If a critical mass of newspapers opt out of Google's search engine simultaneously, then a critical mass of newspapers will all see their traffic drop significantly. Newspapers are FAR from the only source of news on the internet. Delisting on Google will just allow others to gain more marketshare.
If newspapers opt out of google, they will opt out of existence - already few people want to use them for news anyway, making them harder to ever read or find will just destroy readership further.
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
...my mainstream media free google news search hits. Let me support some motivated, independent amateur investigative reporters... I have had waay enough of the corporate parrot news line for the self-proclaimed "professionals".
Maybe, just maybe, consumers who value actual news over sensationalized claptrap are finding that the opinion pieces and "human interest" stories which dominate Murdoch's offerings are fungible commodities.
Good bye Wall Street Journal. You were a reputable publication at one time.
When the newspaper corporations continue to spout how the visitors brought in by the search engines are worthless because those people are drive-by visitors, I have to wonder about their content. If someone is brought in by a search engine they should be considered an opportunity. If you are not taking the time to ensure your design and content are meant to draw those opportunities into a goal, well, I think you're looking at this from the wrong way.
This is yet another reason why the newspaper industry just doesn't get it. Google gets it and so do the consumers. Microsoft doesn't get anything more than the bone they are being thrown.
I wish people would stop reporting on this story as, honestly, it's just a lame attempt at getting attention.
I don't think Google will care in the slightest if all the newspapers removed themselves from its index. There are still plenty of online only news sites, specialist media sites and so on that Google can point to. If people know they want to read one of Rupert Murdoch's offerings, they would go there direct, not via Google, and most Google customers aren't going to go to Yahoo or Bing to compare the search results they get.
So even if Google doesn't index, say, the Wall Street Journal, can't Google still get the same news contributions form the AP newswire?
Or is there something special about AP license terms or something?
-- Erich
Slashdot reader since 1997
Will the BBC join? No! So international news is hopeless. Do people care about local news?
What if google endowed a nonprofit news organization? Or just bought wikinews the rights to use AP feeds?
The Christian religion has been and still is the principal enemy of moral progress in the world. -- Bertrand Russell
So how would a deal with News Corps reduce the basic profitability of Microsoft's search business?
This is going to be as funny as hell.
What he can't kill, he has sex on. Trent.
There is reason for hope however. Like all complex systems we will find a new equilibrium until something like this happens again. We are in the transition period right now into the Information Age. A new order will establish itself but because of the stochastic nature of the process we do not know what it will be. Also, there will be a much higher frequency of bifurcation throughout our fabric as a whole. But overall the equilibrium should be stable. If you knew where to look these things are apparent. I'm not being snide, I've read stuff and I'm sharing it with you to explore. Research and prove you are right too.
Shh.
Neither one of these has anything to do with Google, however surviving Google (or it's replacement) requires doing one and or the other. The fact that Google is the delivery mechanism for much of their traffic is moot. Changing the delivery mechanism won't change the fundamentals behind the issue. What newspapers need to do is learn how to keep the traffic they get once visitors find their site.
Even if what seems like a critical mass ouf publishers start delisting from Google, Google's search engine and advertising power and weight is such that other publishers and smaller news sites would simply move in and fill the void. Google might also be more than happy to get less hassle. It certainly won't work if publishers who want to delist start wanting to charge for news, and Microsoft will simply be pouring money down a drain if they pick up that slack and pay the publishers themselves.
It's a horse that won't run and the only reason why Murdoch is banging on about it is because News Corp is making some sizeable losses with no end in sight.
Carr has railed about this problem before, and he's still just as wrong as he ever was.
Here's his analysis of Murdoch's first pronouncements on the topic back in April. And here's why he's just as wrong now as he was then.
(I later turned that post into a newspaper column in the country where I live. It's longer and slightly more polished, but more focused on our particular issues, which aren't necessarily germane to the larger debate.)
Crumb's Corollary: Never bring a knife to a bun fight.
We get the Philadelphia Inquirer and they give us the weekly paper basically for free. My wife wanted just the weekend paper for the fliers for shopping, and I don't feel like going to the end of the driveway to just pick up the paper and throw it out, but they were so enthusiastic about giving us the weekly paper for free we said ok. With that in mind, I can see how papers may feel the need to try and take some control back, however I don't see how this works unless they are hoping to just use it as a bargaining chip with Google.
When I want to look up some news tidbit, I don't want to have to go to each individual news site I'm aware of just to see if 'oh hey, maybe the Denver paper is covering this'. And even though I don't use Bing in general, I can't see people really thinking 'well, maybe I'll research this news topic on three different search engines and make sure I get a comprehensive point of view'. All I really see is this giving everyone who opts out a substantial hit in eyes on their site.
I will shred my adversaries. Pull their eyes out just enough to turn them towards their mewing, mutilated faces. Illyria
If the biggest media players cooperate like this, they will be breaking anti-collution, anti-competition or somesuch laws.
They have simply become too big to be afforded that kind of flexibility from society.
IANAL And I don't pretend to be on /. ;-)
How does moving off of Google to Bing make them more money? I know Microsoft is paying them but I still don't see how this beneficial. If they kill Google and Bing fills in the void marketshare wise won't they just have the same problem?
No, you completely misstated the prisoner's dilemma, which is impressive, given you linked to a Wikipedia article for it which gets it right. Please go read that article and try again.
The matrix surrounds us, it penetrates us.... But it is not there, it is an illusion. The car is our society and we are but passengers. There are only atoms everything beyond that is an abstraction and therefore relative to everything else. When comparing abstractions you can establish equivalence. My brain causes my mind. My mind is in an abstract reality of its own. So is yours. They are examples of systems. So other systems also being abstract share a reality that is as valid as yours or mine but may be of a different degree of complexity. There is only dust, we, they, and it are metaphysical.
Shh.
Actually, trading Google for Bing would be trading one evil for another. The newspapers would be screwed either way. And Google's motto, "Don't do evil" doesn't apply to Bing.
Craig ate the newspapers lunch (their classified ads) with his list. He could atone for this by setting up a news search engine that shares the profits with the newspapers.
I was searching the internet recently for some breaking news (on a Congressional Act that was due to pass that day). Google, with all of it's billions of pages, was almost useless. I wasn't interested in all of the blog posts that had been yakking about the issue for months, or the newspapers saying that a vote was coming up. A very limited search engine (invited news media only) that avoided all of the search engine optimization crap that puts useless information at the top of the list would be a boon to the internet. Craig Newmark, with his non-greedy approach to the issue would be ideal.
Of course, Rupert Murdoch wouldn't be able to understand him.
So, let me get this straight, Fox News is threatening to remove their "news stories" from showing up in the feeds I see at Google News? That's it? I see no problem here.
these things happen to other people
This is great. I can't stand Fox fake news so if they voluntarily remove themselves from my searches I never have to worry about supporting them accidently by using google news. Makes it easier for me to avoid every seeing their awful content and supporting them in any way. So please do!
Not quite...
In the prisoner's dilemma both prisoners are facing short prison sentences for a minor crime. Each is offered a deal to go free for ratting the other out for a much more serious crime. However if both rat on each other, both go to prison for the serious crime but with a reduced sentence.
For example:
If neither talks, both get 1 year in prison.
If one rats on the other, the rat goes free, while the other gets 20 years in prison.
If both rat on each other, both get 10 years.
The dilemma is in determining the optimal answer. When iterated there is a clear answer that you should never talk because you will be punished for it. But when applied only to a single event the answer is unclear.
Still, as the parent points out, I fail to see how the situation described is in any way similar to the prisoner's dilemma. Just a bad headline by someone trying too hard to sound smart.
You may wonder why...
If the content they provide can ONLY be gotten from the Wall Street Journal, then Murdoch is onto something here. if not, then I am sorry they are in trouble.
Just answer me: What can I get from the WSJ that I cannot get from anywhere else?
Murdoch and supporters are assuming that everything will remain the same after he takes his news and go home. It won't. If news organizations decide to remove their news from public view, rest assured that someone will fill the void in no time.
In fact, this stupid move may become the biggest boost ever for citizen journalism, NPR, bloggers, and everyone else that cares to do good reporting. Things will improve quickly.
Murdoch is a master salesman, he'll continue to milk this to generate interest for as long as he can.
A more interesting scenario would be if Google started paying for the wire feeds instead of linking to the biased rewrites of them from CNN, Fox, NYT, MSNBC, etc. But I doubt we'll see that either because the newspapers know it would hurt them even more than Google aggregating the stories.
I'm sure Google's now big enough to get into the news business for itself. This could be a good opportunity for them.
Also, I'm no robots.txt expert but I think there is a disallow from certain domains syntax they can use to block Google, Microsoft or white list one of the two.
To block Google from all site pages:
User-agent: Googlebot
Disallow: /
To block Google indexing a certain page (exchange brackets for > / <):
[meta name="googlebot" content="noindex"]
To be less specific in the user-agent line of robots.txt:
User-agent: *
Reply to That ||
Alright, so some American newspapers put up walled gardens. No problem, I'll just read the foreign press. BBC does a good job, and so do many others.
www.eissq.com/BandP.html Ball and Plate System. Amuse your friends. Crush your enemies.
You are correct. The equilibrium may not be stable. It may be a form of perpetual chaos. That would be very bad. I tend to focus on the positive. I have faith that no matter what we can work through our challenges. Even if that means returning to an agrarian society. Incidentally, I do believe completely electronic will be where it settles: it is simply the most efficient use of resources to ignore.
Shh.
Newspapers seem to be doing everything possible to fail. News becoming a commodity - no problem, let's get all our news from wire services and the NYT / Wash. Post. Free opinion / analysis readily available on the web - lets move opinion journalism to page one. Readership falling - put our product behind a pay wall and raise prices.
Here's what they SHOULD be doing:
1) National / international news is a commodity. Good state and local news is harder to obtain - report IN DEPTH on state and local stories. Report real news, not opinion, not agenda driven, not drivel (hint: if your "articles" appear regularly in Fark, you're doing it wrong).
2) Lose the dead trees - ELIMINATE print and distribution costs, go entirely on-line. Support not just the Web, but mobile devices and e-reader distribution.
3) Learn from Google, make the site searchable by keywords, topics, time, and geography. Especially advertising, let me find a store selling a particular product / service at a particular time near my home.
4) Leave the "print mentality" behind - use graphics, audio, and video on news sites (without looking like someone's myspace page).
5) Community - interact with your readers - particularly on local stories / issues. Tie in with web 2.0 sites like Facebook, Twitter, Linked-In, etc.
[Insert pithy quote here]
Rupert and Newscorp threatens Google that they will stop Google from indexing their websites.
Google's response should be?
CNN NEWS HEADLINE: Google stops indexing Newscorp, traffic drops 50%. Shares off sharply. Film of Rupert crapping himself at 11.
If the interviewer asked Mr. Murdoch, so what do you think HTML stands for; what would he say? Does he know what HTML stands for? The reason I ask is that I suspect he does not know the words the acronym represents. In fact based on this, I am not sure he understands what the internet is and the fact that not only are there pages, but there are links. In fact the links and relationships between information is to be considered just as 'valuable' as the information itself. Without those relationships, without the fragmentation all you have left is propaganda. Switching to Bing won't be any different, just an older asshole that yells into his speakerphone.
Fundamentally I think older people see the internet as a communication channel like a pipe, instead of a shared network. I think older people imagine something like a PSTN but with fancier features, Murdoch included. Although Google is mentioned here as some kind of adversary and drain of revenue, the rationale to block any search engine from content, is fundamentally an act to block people from content. Murdoch is against the internet.
From a thanksgiving discussion I described the continuing decline of M$ coming down to hubris, and a simple choice they made a long time ago; to be in business or to help people. Murdoch is simply in business and could give a shit about helping people. The things happening around you whether near or far is bait for advertising for the newscorp. The middlemen are indifferent and occassionally haphazard with the content so long as revenue is coming in. Rather than change, or improve the quality of their delivery there is a chance to scapegoat and rally some shared hate amongst all those who share the same folly. Its kind of like looking across a population of mixed ethnicity in a political race and asking yourself, which ones can we massacre that would make everyone else happy? Of course this only works if everyone is ignorant of your efforts to single out the 'demon', so they don't see who the real demon is.
This is a last ditch effort and they see and feel the decline coming. If they take their content off search engines, it violates fundamentally the mission of a news agency which is to reflect the world in a timely fashion without bias. Maybe they would rather setup their own prodigy or compuserve or AOL network that they own and can control.
The future of media is with individuals and aggregators and the internet is the nervous system that connects them.
China is not fond of, and is also very opportunistic with the internet. Their reasons for blocking and filtering the internet are the same as Murdoch's. Murdoch made the choice a long time ago to be in business first and help people second. That obviously came with some profit.
The news is not his any more than the world is. If Murdoch pulls his agencies from the google index, it will be a perfect expression of bias that has existed in his content all along. Others that follow suit are propagandists who would rather hiss in a closet than speak in the world.
Google already licenses the AP feeds. Click any AP story and you go to the Google-hosted AP text.
This is why this scheme is NEVER going to work. Google already licenses AP, which creates 75% of the content in all these papers anyway. Also there are many major international players, like the NPR and BBC and CBC, that will never opt out of Google, as they are not-for-profits in the first place.
The end result is everyone will get their local news from NPR/CBC/BBC, and all these newspapers will just go under FASTER.
No one will pay for news online. Give it up.
There's no dilemma here! There's only dinosaur newspaper management who mistake Google as an enemy. Why would google be an enemy? What basis is there for the quote that it 'prevents them from making decent money online — by massively fragmenting traffic, by undermining brand power, and by turning news stories into fungible commodities.'
1) What money? What does Google do that prevents them from making money? List other possible sources of news? That's like saying the yellow pages prevent you from making decent money because it lists competitors that might be cheaper
2) Undermining brand power? If your brand is preserved by the fact that customers don't know the value of the competitors products, you're doing something wrong. Isn't brand power based on a quality product and service? I don't see how Google linking to you or others has anything to do with that.
3) Fungible commodities? See 1 and 2, but besides that, welcome to the world of the 21st century. We've got the internet now, and copying is punished here. Back when people had no choice, they read their favorite paper to get the news. News was a fungible commodity back then as well, but there was no sense in buying multiple papers. The internet just helped people realize how fungible news really is. If you want people to come back to your site, you have to have your own style, your own news, something that differentiates from all the other papers.
Newspapers "grew up" in a time when they had to be alike to be read. They all had to report on everything in order to compete, otherwise people would buy another paper which had "more" news. They made themselves "fungible". If you look around on the internet, there are lots of sites/blogs reporting news from really small "niches". Think of a sport, hobby or interest, and you'll be bound to find (using Google!) a website reporting exclusively on that subject. Yet despite their niche appeal these sites thrive and flourish, and the bigger blogs even generate nice profits for the owners. Why? Because they're unique, either in style or in content. Newspapers should learn from that, instead of misguidedly bashing Google.
You forgot about the most important aspect of the prisoner's dilemma: Whatever the others do, you are better off to confess. Typically, the dilemma is presented with two prisoners: - If both keep silent -> both get one year jail based on weak evidence - If both confess -> both get three years jail - If one confesses, and the other keeps silent -> the one that confesses walks out free, the other one gets ten years jail Now what do you do if you are the prisoner. There are two possibilities what the other one has done: - If the other one has kept silent, you will get one year jail if you also keep silent, and walk out free if you confess -> Better to confess in this case - If the other one has confessed, you will get ten years jail if you keep silent, and three years if you confess -> Better to confess in this case So irrespective of what the other one is doing, you are better off confessing. So the only rational choice is to confess. Since both prisoners face the same incentives, both will confess and both get three years jail. There is no way for them to reach the clearly superior outcome of only one year of jail for both of them.
Who is Bing Murdoch?
Wouldn't it be easy for Google or anyone else to bypass a block and use a third party to mine that data? It seems to me that as long as their data is open to one it will sort of remain open to all.
In the prisoner's dilemma it is always in the suspect's interest to cooperate with the investigators regardless of what the other party does. However, if both suspects rat each other out, they will both be worse off than if they both stayed quiet.
If there were only a few newspaper providers, this might work. But there's too many for cooperation in my opinion. And sooner or later (assuming generously it hasn't happened years ago) someone is going to figure out how to make money from that Google traffic. That means you'll have news providers who won't block Google traffic because it would lose them money. At that point, you no longer have the Prisoner's dilemma. Cooperation is no longer the best long term strategy.
News used to be primarily distributed through newspapers as a medium and each newspaper generally was distributed in a smaller geographic market (minus some of the big papers). Ad spaces were sold for a high price because of that (and I could say because of the more locally focused content) Now the Internet is the dominant distribution mechanism along with search engines like Google enabling us to find our content. The newspaper companies don't hold the power they had once. People can read national/international news stories quite easily now. The news organizations that will continue to have a healthy future will be dealing heavily with LOCAL content. (These "national" or "international" news organizations have been cutting back on this for years and its their OWN fault now). Business models change and margins on the Internet are not going to be as high EVER as they were in the TV or news print ages. You have a large potential audience, but at the same time face a larger pool of competition. This will force the price lower always unless you are providing something of REAL differentiating value.
If News Corp, the Denver Post and the Dallas Morning News all are thinking about blocking google, then why don't they actually do it for a week and see what happens? All this talk about the possibility of leaving google is just that, all talk. I'm sure that bing also has sent their little robots to index these sites so if you are using bing over google then people will still be able to find your stories. But the real issue still lies with the fact that they can't just abandon the search engine with the biggest share of the search market. Not just nationally, but globally. As of October 09, google has 80% of the US market and 90% of the global market according to StatCounter Global Stats. IMHO it sounds like it is a much bigger risk for the newspaper companies to lose google than the other way around. As stated here before, there are many sources for the news other than the newspaper and their internet sites.
> ...if a critical mass of newspapers opt out of Google's search engine
> simultaneously, they would suddenly gain substantial market power.
It is called "a combination in restraint of trade". Combinations in restraint of trade are illegal in the USA.
Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.
"while Google's search engine 'prevents them from making decent money online — by massively fragmenting traffic, by undermining brand power, and by turning news stories into fungible commodities.'"
- How about offering accidental readers incentive to visit your main page more often?
- How about leveraging Google's search results to boost your own brand power?
If you wait on Google to boost your own brand then you're doing it wrong.
And it's the newspapers that treat news as commodities, not Google.
Let's not lay the blame for mainstream newspapers' failure to grasp the 21st century.
80 CC D8 AF AE D3 AB 54 B7 2E CE 67 C7
its really newspapers versus the internet and the newspapers are going to lose. If all of the newspapers together blocked google tomorrow I suspect that the majority of people using google wouldn't notice. The problem for newspapers is that they neither create nor own the news which is their major product. They are merely a distribution channel for that news. While they have served us well for many years as a good and professional distribution channel there are now so many other ways to get that same news that they are in danger of becoming irrelevant. Their only remaining market power is the fact that they offer a higher quality distribution channel than random internet posters but In the battle between quality versus convenience, convenience wins. If newspapers remove their offerings from the internet's largest search engine they make their services much harder to use and pretty much destroy whatever little market power they have remaining.
Big talk from people that see a sad future for the INTERNET.
Changing the internet from the free expression information highway to the
pay for content quagmire won't come easy, and will probably fail.
De list all of Murdoch's stuff, please, it's all biased and negative content anyways...
We'll make do with bloggers and open minded sources of "news" and "information" without
having to filter his muck. Microsoft ? well, the day we have to pay to get access to
their websites they'll see traffic drop in conjunction with online sales and profits.
It's just like the music industry, the more you squeeze the customer, the less he will spend.
I don't really think that Murdoch has a lack of understanding the net, I just think he
wants to turn it into his own view of it's potential as a direct marketing source with
complete control, something the internet isn't set up to do at the moment. The Internet is
and hopefully will continue to be somewhere we can all have freedom of choice, information
and navigation. The day they throw up pay booths we'll just start using side roads, until the
whole net turns into a line of sign two way transaction system.
I might just start running a BBS again...lolz.
End of Line.
This is a Prisoner dilemma where at any point a new prisoner may be introduced, thus making it less and less likely it will succeed.
The Kruger Dunning explains most post on
The information transfer that occurs during a game can be viewed as a physical process. In the simplest case of a classical game between two players with two strategies each, both the players can use a bit (a '0' or a '1') to convey their choice of strategy. A popular example of such a game is the Prisoners' Dilemma, where each of the convicts can either confess or defect to having committed the crime. In the quantum version of the game, the bit is replaced by the qubit, which is a quantum superposition of two or more base states. In the case of a two-strategy game this can be physically implemented by the use of an entity like the electron which has a superposed spin state, with the base states being +1/2(plus half) and -1/2(minus half). Each of the spin states can be used to represent each of the two strategies available to the players. When a measurement is made on the electron, it collapses to one of the base states, thus conveying the strategy used by the player.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quantum_game_theory
Exception Duck - may or may not contain chicken.
Biased, targetted news sells well. Those are the facts. Whether you prefer Fox News or Huffington Post, people enjoy going to a news source that tells people what they want to hear.
Newspapers need to find their niche in targetting local news. Here in Omaha, the big news is stories on the Nebraska Cornhuskers.
Furthermore, I know that I am fairly agnostic about generic news, but I do search out certain authors I enjoy reading. I just left a newspaper, but I often encouraged them to do more to brand their writers. Put more photos of writers in the paper. Push those huge bylines. If someone really likes reading Tom Shatel (local sports columnist for the paper I just left) then they will specifically look for his content.
Furthermore, Google has already said they want to pay newspapers for the content they produce. Our stories already go into an AP feed that others aggregate for free. When big stories happen (our mall shooting last year for instance) we had people all over the world recycling the World-Herald's story. Some linked back, and others didn't. When the BBC recycled the story, they didn't pay the World-Herald for it. However, Google is saying they do want to pay for content.
So how is Google this evil entity that newspapers must rail against? If they were smart, they'd sign up with Google to start selling their content today, and start collecting checks. Newspapers who want to survive in the new market must transition somewhat to a content producer rather than focusing solely on selling a printed product.
http://blindscribblings.com - Tasty pop-culture in conceptual fashion.
"The important thing is that one rogue actor could ruin it for everyone. "
Be that one Rouge actor, boycott the cartel-building Murdoch and his efforts to game the internet for his personal profit.
Boycott everything that is Murdoch and teach the budding cartel that we don't need their stinking "news"! We will decide what is news and how much we want to pay for it.
Even Murdoch's own son is bailing out on this greedy dinosaur and is selling his shares in News Corporation to buy a different media enterprise, while the stock still has value.
Distributing content is not about rights, that's insane. Making real money off content is about ABILITY. Movie's make money because we can do 40 foot screens. 3D movies are a draw because there is no 3D at home. Before we couldn't burn CD's so the actual value of a disk was way higher. News can be redistributed easier than practically any other content. Why...because we know news by definition is to be shared. Get over yourself and stop making massive asses out of your-self's. The nature of people is to share (news, songs, movies) the business end is trying to get us to pay for something we are going to do anyway. You want to make cash... then offer us something we can't do!
I'm sure even Murdoch must be aware of robots.txt by now, and he must have someone on his staff who knows how to use it. But Murdoch needs Google much more than Google needs him, given that as at least one earlier poster mentioned, few people actually google for news. They'll go straight to the news sites most congenial to their interests.
Murdoch has no interest in blocking Google, he just wants to gouge them for money. Hopefully Google will have the balls to just tell him to get fucked. Or perhaps more professional words to that effect - like "Go get professionally fucked".
Steve Ballmer is more than happy to play along with Murdoch because although a deal with News Corps would reduce the basic profitability of Microsoft's search business, it would inflict far more damage on Google than on Microsoft
That is because Microsoft looks further down the road then most, and has the money to fund the 'short term loss' required to outlast your competition in a war of attrition. Much in the same way that they look at the various fines being levied against them for unfair practices. its just another business expense.
---- Booth was a patriot ----
So newspapers have the choice to innovate or die a slow death staying with the current model at Google.
How to innovate? Obviously there's a need to shake up the business model and provide value to customers but that's too much work teaching old dogs new tricks.
Other options are form some sort of union and use the collective bargaining power to force Google into an alternative business model for newspapers.
But if you can get all the newspapers and mainstream media together then why not just take all your content and build a new search engine with different revenue models better suited to their needs....
Something will be drastically changing in this niche and it's going to be an interesting one to get into
New View Media - Custom Website Design
Doesn't Google have a deal to just index the AP directly? Who cares if the Washington Post or an individual paper leaves. They aren't going to leave the AP anytime soon. So long as invidual papers feed the AP, and Google pays the AP for their feed, it won't matter.
The Washington Post won't get direct traffic from Google, which will hurt the Washingston Post, and Google still gets their news. How is this good for papers again?
http://blindscribblings.com - Tasty pop-culture in conceptual fashion.
Most newspapers haven't clued into something very important - things are changing. You'd think that an industry that is focused on staying current with events would have noticed this, but they are dinosaurs holding on to a bygone methodology (hello music industry). The key thing is this - news is out there, in abundance. People don't _need_ to buy _that_ newspaper to get the news - they can get it from 1001 different sources. What the news industry needs to do is make people _want_ to get it from their source rather than someone else's source.
ted.com has a great lecture by Jacek Utko about using design to save newspapers. Now, I'm biased since I'm a graphic designer so any story about graphic design having a major beneficial impact on a product is one that is going to interest me but the results of Jacek's work are impressive. He made his clients newspapers special - different. There was a reason for people to _want_ to buy them to get the news from that source rather than the other sources available. It took a major leap of faith and some radical change but that's what's happening, whether people want it or not - change is going to happen. You can either sit back and try to hold on to the days gone by and let change happen to you or you can step up and proactively make some changes on your own. I suspect those that do the former are doomed to vanish into obscurity.
One thing is pretty clear, they must unionize/unify and act as a single entity in either leaving or negotiating. And I don't really see that happening. They might be able to negotiate between Microsoft and Google on a case by case basis but Google is still too much larger than Bing to do that.
When people unionize, it's protected by the law. When corporations unionize, it's called collusion, and is forbidden by law. When corporations compete, it's good for the consumer, and that's who the laws should be protecting.
It sounds to me not that the newspapers aren't playing a game of the prisoner's dilemma, they're playing a game of buggy-whip-making. If they don't re-invent themselves for the new marketplace, they will become a historical footnote.
I agree with your sentiments completely, but there is a big problem with this solution. It was noted by Adlai Stevanson when running for president against Ike.
One enthusiastic supporter shouted out to Stevensen "You are every thinking man's candidate", to which Stevensen replied "Thank you, but I need a majority."
The problem for newspapers is that the number of thinking people is shrinking, while the number of those who now simply own a keyboard is increasing.
You can see this effect in the Huffington Post. During the run up to the 2010 election it was full of investigative reporting and could be seen as a source for substantive "news". Now, its full of "news" stories about Amazonian models, breast implants, and other things that cater to those seeking self-titilation rather than any deeper understanding.
A monthly bill from the WSJ.
The Kruger Dunning explains most post on
Should add:
3) Get rid of expensive salaries for CEO's and other greedy corporate insiders, who have done for newspapers, what they did for General Motors.
Newspaper should advertise that they promote exercise for overweight American's too lazy to get their larded asses up out of their chairs and away from the computer screen just long enough to walk to the end of the driveway!
And with more advertisements newspapers would be heavier too, making for even more exercise.
Google is big enough to just buy or create their own newspaper. If the newspapers cut themselves off from Google there is no reason for Google not to compete with them. Hire their own journalistic team to create high-quality content that people actually want to see instead of the dribble in most newspapers. They could take advantage of technology to be something between a newspaper (text) and tv news (multimedia).
At what price learning? At what cost wisdom? The price is a man's peace of mind, and the cost is his life.
Why is cnbc slamming google? Why is everyone slamming google? news.google.com is all you need.
For the past week I've been seeing nothing but negative reviews about google. Who's getting paid to do this?
Does anyone have one already? Or do I have to wait until they block themselves?
and Good-Riddance.
They need to get out of the news print business. I was JUST playing pundit about this the other day:
http://lusislog.blogspot.com/2009/11/saving-newspaper-industry.html
You are NOT going to be able to compete with instant information via print that I can see.
"Fighting the underpants gnomes since 1998!" "Bruce Schneier knows the state of schroedinger's cat"
I ANAL, but:
One thing is pretty clear, they must unionize/unify and act as a single entity in either leaving or negotiating. And I don't really see that happening.
I'm pretty sure that would amount to illegal market collusion among competitors. They might be able to signal their intent to each other through the marketplace (like what Murdoch appears to be trying to do) but an actual binding requirement on each for behavior would be a no no.
What the market is clearly asking for is one national news service, with perhaps regional stories provided by local news sources. Newspapers are in trouble because they each reprint each others national stories, and there's no need for that replicated distribution in the age of the internet.
--
$tar -xvf
news corp agreeing to pay microsoft to be listed in their search engine is a good thing. Newspapers have not been paying for all the traffic search engines have been sending to them for free, but they should. And taking control of the news out of the hands of the few and putting it into many is only a good thing.
One of the biggest weakness of Bing is that when I type in a search for an address (in London,UK), it does not bring up google maps http://www.bing.com/search?q=1+exchange+square+london+uk&go=&form=QBLH&filt=all. With google maps, I can see nearly transport options and I can quickly see nearby candidate restaurants and coffeeshops after an event http://www.google.co.uk/search?q=1+exchange+square+london+uk&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8&aq=t&rls=org.mozilla:en-US:official&client=firefox-a.
It's a tragedy of the commons.
The Kruger Dunning explains most post on
If the newspapers collude they can be brought to court under the sherman anti-trust act for cartel activity. They are not exempt.
VLC FOR MAC IS DYING! IF YOU DEVELOP, PLEASE SAVE IT!!
The BBC is really the gold standard here. A well funded public project to deliver news, more or less autonomous from government, more or less autonomous from corporate influence. As long as their are multiple nation states with their own version of publicly funded news, there will be someone somewhere who can get your story out. Throw in a mix of completely autonomous news sources and local blogs/papers, and I tend to agree that the future doesn't look that bleak.
The NYT and the Post and the rest are still subject to the whims of their advertisers, and are therefore pretty worthless as unbiased sources of information.
Something that was apparently not considered is the echo chamber nature of the American press. So much of what we read in newspapers actually originates somewhere else.
Even if Google lost half or more of the newspapers from their index, they would be unaffected because the ideas presented and stories covered by newspapers are homogenous across the nation.
It's like Starbucks or McDonalds. We won't really miss anything if half of them close their doors. The newspaper of McDonalds on my side of town is identical to the one across town, or across the country.
Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
Microsoft knows their days are numbered. Anyone thinking Open Source will not rule the world is delusional. The deal with Rupert dipstick is Microsoft moving into the content provider business...after all, look how well that's worked out for Yahoo.
...a Firefox add-on to block all Murdock domains, you know, just to help him out.
Paying for news on the internet is kinda like paying for porn on the internet. Why pay for it when so much of it is free? :)
Ok, let's see how this pans out,
Let's assume Murdoch and Microsoft manage to block all of the public news. The public response is simple. Small web sites popup that summarise the news headlines from other sources. Voilais - you're back to step 1 and news is free again.
Dear Murdoch
- You're a smart man. I don't think you realise that information wants to be free. Sorry to break it to you mate. Anything you do to control the masses will be worked around, guaranteed. You can use all the lawyers you like. See thepiratebay for a good example.
Dear Ballmer
- I was brought up to believe that if I don't have anything nice/positive/constructive to say about a topic (in this instance, you and Microsoft) that I should say nothing. Enough said.
AC
Leeeet's see here. How do people get their news? They... Google it, a lot of the time. If all the big sites opt out of Google (or any other search engine), what do they get?
Lost profits and lost traffic. That's it.
People will still Google the news. People will ALWAYS Google the news. Maybe this guy doesn't understand, but there is such a thing as "independent words" now. So, people won't see the big-bad-news-company's twisted and biased words anymore (Love ya for opening my eyes to that, Fox News). In place of that, the top result will be the leading independent news site's posting on the matter. And they'll get the ad revenue and brand impression. Score one for the little guy, I guess.
That internet-box is evil, I say! I hate senile old farts. *facepalm*
If it where as new as the name make us believe, I'm sure I would have read about it on the internets.
Most content of most print newspapers is the same wire news.
Online, anyone can see the wire source-- so what is the value in the local paper?
That and the fact that as papers stopped doing true "deep" news, they lost their value against TV and magazines.
She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
We have the 24-Hours newspaper that is free and I find it a good source of information. Before the free newspaper I got all my news online.
Microsoft, Apple, Google, Amazon what's the difference? All steal money from devs and control with walled gardens.
Am I the only one that sees this as a massive attempt by the new + Microsoft agency to push another monopoly game on the financial industry?
Please, can we think about this as the one that would try to profit from the actions therein?
The analogy works pretty well, actually, if you let not leaving google correspond to confessing, and leaving google correspond to hoping nobody else confesses.
If a small group of newspapers remain on google after a bulk of them "escape", they will get a humongous market advantage over the escaping newspapers. If no newspapers leave google, they are at a suboptimal stalemate. If every single newspaper escapes, they reach an unstable optimal situation.
Though in the end, the only newspapers that benefit from leaving google are newspapers with established brands. But in doing so, they would hand over large quantities of readership to smaller newspapers with no established trademark that would not benefit from leaving google. The prisoner analogy would be that 5 guys are brought in for questioning with regards to a bank heist, and 3 of them did the actual bank job and face serious jail time, one guy drove the car and face less jail time, and one guy was marginally involved and faces a fine and community service -- the price for confessing and keeping quiet are unevenly distributed, which changes the dynamics of the game significantly. It isn't even really a dilemma any more, as the guy facing a fine will walk if he confesses.
GAAH! MY PRINTER IS ON FIRE!!! PUT IT OUT! PUT IT OUT!
'we'll opt out if you'll opt out,'
4th grade, private school.
Had some stupid music class we had to take, and they were giving us a test. a group of had decided to purposely flunk the test.
Well, ends up I was the only one who purposely flunked the test.
Sure, maybe I was an idiot for thinking they do it to, or maybe I was just someone talked into it because I was a bit naive. But what it did was tell me not to trust the word of anyone.
Dude is posing. He's apparently too told to figure out how to make money in the modern day, and wants to be remembered or something.
Life is evolution. Life constantly changes. You gotta just accept it.
No one is going to pay for news. seriously, no one wants to pay for anything now.
Be seeing you...
Let's see now: Microsoft pays Murdoch - if he agrees to block Google (Microsoft's competitor) from indexing his site. Nothing illegal about that, is there?
No, really, who cares at this point? Is there anyone here who isn't aware that the news that comes from News Corp is utterly skewed by the reigning powers in politics and industry? This wouldn't be a loss, it would be a gain, people would get news results from independent journalists instead of a media conglomerate. I can promise you that the losses to Google's engine use by a move like this would be negligible at worst.
If you aren't angry, you aren't paying attention.
What if all the major newspaper block Google. And suddenly ...
... OR
... OR
.. wiki-type news, etc. That become mainstream.
1. All us Google users realized that we can survive without those newspaper, and can find news sources elsewhere
2. One of the newspaper play dirty and license their news to a 'subsidiary' that does not block Google
3. Alternative news source sprung up
If any of these happened, suddenly the newspaper will find themselves on a deadly path with no return. The whole business could be lost.
I think that's why they are still talking and not actually blocking Google already.
...making enough bank...
Let me guess: do you ever use the words, 'bling' or 'swag' in casual conversation?
Yes, I know already, the English language continuously evolves, blah, blah, blah.
These publications are the establishment, and exist mainly to amplify the gov's messages. Judith Miller
The amount of independent, investigative journalism they do is very small, despite bragging such as this:
http://voices.washingtonpost.com/white-house-watch/
All of that is undercut by the very many editorials and articles that support the administration's line. When was the last time any of these publications opposed any war?
The rest of it puffery, their recent Pulitzer on Walter Reed's medical care for Vets was very likely the result of a large number of vets trying to get their attention, not any deep digging.
It isn't at all like buggy-whip manufacturers. Buggy-whips became obsolete, so nobody wanted to buy them. News content still has value. People still read it, and advertisers are still willing to pay to reach those people. The problem is that the news aggregators like Google have figured out a way to siphon off most of the advertising revenue and turn the upstream content production into a commodity industry with an expected profit of zero. News organisations produce all the content and news aggregators siphon of all the profit.
I don't think Google will care in the slightest if all the newspapers removed themselves from its index. There are still plenty of online only news sites, specialist media sites and so
Don't forget bloggers. Newspaper's don't face the prisoner's dilemma. They face the under paid 3rd world factory worker's dilemma. The whole workforce could quit en mass, and there would STILL be plenty of people willing to take the jobs that have just been abandoned. Threatening to walk out, even if you organise with others, is just bunk.
These posts express my own personal views, not those of my employer
Britain's economic & political influence are enormously augmented by the BBCs reputation for high quality reporting, which nevertheless always communicates the British opinion.
The Christian religion has been and still is the principal enemy of moral progress in the world. -- Bertrand Russell
If the US newspapers pulled-out of Google Search, Americans might finally get easy access to a broader range of newspapers such as The Economist, The Guardian, Finanacial Times, Independent. to just name a few newspapers in the UK, and not to speak of English language editions of European journals such as der Spiegal. In general, more intelligent and diverse journalism.
As many have already said, AP and Reuters provide the source of the news, and far far to many 'newspapers' just republish it.
People like content, which Murdoch seems to forget about his own site, WSJ was good and people pay for it because it was more than just AP reprints, it was decent articles...similar to the BBC they tend to start with a summary and then add value by adding more detail.
It's like the difference between Engadget and AnandTech, Engadget will tell you Intel have launched i7 and some bullet points. Anandtech will have a 10 page analysis. I read both, but would only ever consider paying for Anandtech, knowing that I could get the same info as the Engadget from hundreds of other sites.
Newspapers need to reposition themselves, either go back to geographical seperation, or hirer proper journalists that can write proper stories, there will be less news per paper, but should better information, that I can't get elsewhere.
----- I refuse to have an argument with an unarmed person
Local TV stations actually have pretty decent news still (at least in my area) without all the pretension of a newspaper.
But also there are sites like Yourhub, there are a lot more people willing to devote some time to citizen journalism now and the people of a community are the best ones to report what is going on. It's also much easier that way for some regions to not be overlooked.
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley