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Humans Nearly Went Extinct 1.2M Years Ago

Hugh Pickens writes "Scientific American has a story on researchers from the University of Utah who have calculated that 1.2 million years ago, at a time when our ancestors Homo erectus, H. ergaster, and archaic H. sapiens were spreading through Africa, Europe, and Asia, there were probably only about 18,500 individuals capable of breeding in all these species together (PNAS paper here). Pre-humans were an endangered species with a smaller population than today's gorillas and chimpanzees. Researchers scanned two completely sequenced modern human genomes for a type of mobile element called Alu sequences, then compared the nucleotides in these old regions with the overall diversity in the two genomes to estimate differences in effective population size, and thus genetic diversity between modern and early humans. Human geneticist Lynn Jorde says that the diminished genetic diversity one million years ago suggests human ancestors experienced a catastrophic event at that time as devastating as the Toba super-volcano in Indonesia that triggered a nuclear winter and is thought to have nearly annihilated humans 70,000 years ago."

31 of 356 comments (clear)

  1. Pfft... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    That's nothing. I mean, the whole race started from just two people, right?

    1. Re:Pfft... by dkleinsc · · Score: 4, Funny

      And a mere 6000 years ago too. All that business about 70,000 and 1.2 millions years ago is a distraction to test our faith.

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    2. Re:Pfft... by xouumalperxe · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I mean, the whole race started from just two people, right?

      More like from a guy having sex with his rib.

    3. Re:Pfft... by toriver · · Score: 5, Informative

      We also have written evidence that Frodo set forth from the Shire in order to destroy the One Ring before it fell into the hands of Sauron. But so what?

    4. Re:Pfft... by Zoolander · · Score: 5, Funny

      So that's what 'Ribbed for Your pleasure' comes from!

      --
      Meep.
  2. This means ... by BlackPignouf · · Score: 4, Insightful

    this means that we're really all brothers and sisters, right?

    1. Re:This means ... by mcgrew · · Score: 4, Interesting

      More than that, I read a year or so ago (it may have been covered at slashdot, I don't remember) that it was mathematically proven that everyone on earth shares common anscestors from as little as a thousand years ago.

      Besides, there was the other near extinction 70K years ago. Wht I find interesting is the near extinctions were probably what led to modern humans' intelligence and other traits (like humor) that makes us so different from other species.

    2. Re:This means ... by MBGMorden · · Score: 4, Informative

      You can find just about any belief "in some societies" if you look hard enough. The reality though is that in the English language the words brother and sister have a specific meaning: persons who share at least 1 biological parent. Some relatives from millions of years ago don't count.

      Besides, from a biological standpoint, once you're to the genetic "distance" of only first cousins (1/8th DNA in common) the chance of birth defects drops off to the point of being completely fine. Indeed "in some cultures" marriages between cousins is very common (heck even in the US with all the attached stigma it's still perfectly legal for cousins to marry in most states). Thinking "we're all related man!" is only a problem from the standpoint of cultural taboo. Beyond the very immediate family it's not a problem.

      --
      "People who think they know everything are very annoying to those of us who do."-Mark Twain
    3. Re:This means ... by MyLongNickName · · Score: 4, Funny

      I think I heard something.
      I am not sure I remember it right.
      I can't be bothered to look it up.

      Clearly a prime candidate for an Insightful mod.

      --
      See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
    4. Re:This means ... by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 4, Informative

      I read somewhere the the most removed any two humans are from each other is 53rd cousins

      First cousins have a common ancestor two generations back. So 53rd cousins should have a common ancestor 54 generations back.

      54 generations ago, you had (theoretically) 2^54 ancestors (~180,000 trillion). Which means that statistically speaking, every human alive ~1200 years ago was about 200,000,000 of your ancestors.

      In other words, such a number is pretty much meaningless....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    5. Re:This means ... by al.caughey · · Score: 4, Funny

      However, you are genetically diverse enough from your first cousin that there are no genetic problems, other than sharing undesirable, recessive, genetic diseases.

      And of course, sharing undesirable relatives

  3. So... BSG was right. by Sasayaki · · Score: 4, Funny

    Obviously this is when Adama and the fleet landed on Earth. BSG was right all along!

    --
    Check out my sci-fi book "Lacuna" at http://goo.gl/MVxX8
  4. Re:"Nuclear" Winter by ShadowRangerRIT · · Score: 5, Informative

    The end result is the same as that predicted for nuclear winter. Radiation is not the primary danger from a "real" nuclear winter, it's the smoke and soot that would spread through the atmosphere, drastically reducing the amount of sunlight received at the surface, killing plants and reducing temperatures everywhere. When a supervolcano goes off, the effects are nearly identical.

    --
    $_ = "wftedskaebjgdpjgidbsmnjgcdwatb"; tr/a-z/oh, turtleneck Phrase Jar!/; print
  5. Summary is wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    The 18500 people quoted is not the number of people capable of breeding, but the "effective population", an abstract measure of genetic diversity in a species. According to TFA, the effective population of modern humanity is about 10000, and the argument in the article is that this much lower diversity indicates that a lot of genetic material must have been lost in a near-extinction event.

  6. say that to the tasmanian wolf by chichilalescu · · Score: 4, Insightful

    (not trying to rain on your parade or anything)
    Back on topic. Humans nearly went extinct during the nuclear missile crysis... In terms of survival requirements, we should have already sent a few groups to the moon and mars.
    People enjoy watching disaster movies like 2012 (I saw it as a comedy myself), but they should realise that focusing all your resources (as a species) on "I want a TV in every room" is a losing strategy.
    If I had the money, I would be long gone. "Yes, 21st century society is very advanced and we have everything we need, but if they have a power outage or similar in a hidden bunker in Russia, we all die".

    --
    new sig
    1. Re:say that to the tasmanian wolf by corbettw · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Humans nearly went extinct during the nuclear missile crysis [sic]

      Nuclear war would not have wiped out humanity. It could've killed tens of millions of people immediately, and maybe hundreds of millions more after two years of poor crops and contaminated water, but large pockets would've survived pretty much unscathed. Most of South America, Africa, and Australasia (with the obvious exception of Australia itself on the coasts) would not have been hit at all, in all likelihood. And life would've been rough for those people for a few years, the earth has phenomenal ability to heal itself. Hell, people live in Hiroshima and have picnics at ground zero; I hardly doubt later nuclear weapons would've had longer-lasting effects than the first weak, but extremely dirty, bombs did.

      --
      God invented whiskey so the Irish would not rule the world.
  7. There's a message in this somewhere by NotBornYesterday · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I think this means we are a stubborn infestation, successfully resisting the Universe's attempts to exterminate us thus far. The Universe realized that we are harder to kill than cockroaches, and concluded that the only way to wipe us out is to place the means of our destruction in our own hands. Now, it's just a waiting game.

    --
    I prefer rogues to imbeciles because they sometimes take a rest.
  8. Re:Slow news day? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Because 1.2 million is the same as 70,000, right? You must work for Goldman Sachs.

  9. Re:"Nuclear" Winter by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The effects might be similar, but the fact remains that they're different things. The end effect of a brain aneurism is also "nearly identical" to being shot in the head - you die due to loss of brain function. There's nothing "nuclear" about climatic changes brought about by volcanic activity. It's a thoughtless grasp for "gee-wiz" vocabulary, and thus bad journalism.

  10. Re:The new dogma of genetics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The DNA that creates different physical traits does mutate in (more or less) unpredictable leaps and bounds as time goes on. But that's not the DNA they look at in cases like this. There's long strings of junk DNA that does nothing at all - random leftover of mutations that didn't happen to affect our survival one way or the other. Because these don't affect physical traits, they aren't selected for or against and are subject to only one 'force', genetic drift. That's why they're fairly constant.

  11. Re:The new dogma of genetics by TheKidWho · · Score: 4, Informative

    But why should we assume a uniform rate over time, when evolutionary theory says that genetic differentiation happens in leaps and bounds?

    See, here is your problem, you're assuming evolutionary theory is correct to begin with.

    Indeed, much of science is based on a giant leap of faith in linear regression; physicists, chemists, doctors, engineers, all use linear regression without questioning its assumptions.

    No, they use linear regression and then test to prove it's a reasonable assumption.

  12. Re:Nuclear Volcano? by vlm · · Score: 4, Informative

    What happened to those? Sounds like an excellent power source...

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geothermal_gradient

    "The Earth's internal heat comes from a combination of residual heat from planetary accretion (about 20%) and heat produced through radioactive decay (80%)"

    In a sense, those "green geothermal" power plants are really nuclear power plants.

    --
    "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
  13. Re:The new dogma of genetics by Rhaban · · Score: 5, Funny

    But why should we assume a uniform rate over time, when evolutionary theory says that genetic differentiation happens in leaps and bounds?

    Sources should always be cited when making this kind of argument. I'll do it for you this time:

    Pr. Charles Xavier, X-Men movie introduction speech

  14. Re:Insightful Troll! by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If this is a troll, it must be a kick-ass troll ...

    I think parent poster should be getting insightful instead; talking about not trusting blindly; even if it is science ... It's only with an open mind, more options can be found. Remember; there used to be science about the earth being flat ages ago.

    "not trusting it blind, even if it is science", "open mind", "science used to be wrong" etc are expressions and phrases very heavily overused by creationists. He gives the game away by saying things like, "I used to be an Atheist", "science wants simple answers", "Science is as irrational as Wahhabism". It is very difficult to tell a troll from a true believer in Creationism. If Creationist walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, let us just call him a duck and be done with it.

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
  15. Re:Toba volcano ? Nuclear winter ? by EllisDees · · Score: 4, Funny

    From The Onion:

    Sumerians Look On In Confusion As God Creates World

    "Members of the earth's earliest known civilization, the Sumerians, looked on in shock and confusion some 6,000 years ago as God, the Lord Almighty, created Heaven and Earth.
      YIR numbers web 5

    According to recently excavated clay tablets inscribed with cuneiform script, thousands of Sumerians--the first humans to establish systems of writing, agriculture, and government--were working on their sophisticated irrigation systems when the Father of All Creation reached down from the ether and blew the divine spirit of life into their thriving civilization.

    "I do not understand," reads an ancient line of pictographs depicting the sun, the moon, water, and a Sumerian who appears to be scratching his head. "A booming voice is saying, 'Let there be light,' but there is already light. It is saying, 'Let the earth bring forth grass,' but I am already standing on grass."

    --
    -- Give me ambiguity or give me something else!
  16. Re:Nuclear Volcano? by lena_10326 · · Score: 4, Funny

    In a sense, those "green geothermal" power plants are really nuclear power plants.

    Oh no. We better get greenpeace on that to put a stop to that nuclear nonsense.

    --
    Camping on quad since 1996.
  17. Re:"Nuclear" Winter by Captain+Splendid · · Score: 5, Funny

    I don't expect them to use the term 'catastrophic clamactic event' in a flowing sentence.

    Quite right. Such terms should be reserved for events like the 1912 San Francisco Shellfish Riots.

    --
    Linux, you magnificent bastard, I read the fucking manual!
  18. alternative: small population left africa by peter303 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The TWO (only two) genomes analyzed were from the subpopulation which left Africa. If you fully sequence a native south African more genomic variety, this hypothesis may not hold up.

  19. Re:Toba volcano ? Nuclear winter ? by Chris+Burke · · Score: 5, Funny

    "I do not understand," reads an ancient line of pictographs depicting the sun, the moon, water, and a Sumerian who appears to be scratching his head. "A booming voice is saying, 'Let there be light,' but there is already light. It is saying, 'Let the earth bring forth grass,' but I am already standing on grass."

    So... an alternate headline would be "Ancient Sumerian on grass hears voice of God".

    --

    The enemies of Democracy are
  20. Re:"Nuclear" Winter by JoeMerchant · · Score: 4, Interesting

    But, the effect was spread on all H. Sapiens level species more or less equally, giving the more adaptable group the advantage of a sparse landscape. If the near-extinction event hadn't happened, H. Sapiens would likely have been out competed by entrenched specialists.

  21. Humans Nearly Went Extinct 1.2M Years Ago by 3-State+Bit · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Bah, you call that news? Try:
          "Humans Nearly Went Extinct 27 Years Ago"
    the commander's Wikipedia entry says he:

    "deviated from standard Soviet doctrine by correctly identifying a missile attack warning as a false alarm on September 26, 1983.[1] This decision most likely resulted in preventing an accidental retaliatory nuclear attack on the United States and its Western Allies."

    You can follow any of the links in the above search, or here's a particularly lively read.