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The Arctic Is Leaking Methane

registerShift and other readers sent in news that the Arctic Ocean seabed is leaking methane. "...climate experts familiar with the new research reported in Friday's issue of the journal Science that even though it does not suggest imminent climate catastrophe, it is important because of methane's role as a greenhouse gas. Although carbon dioxide is far more abundant and persistent in the atmosphere, ton for ton atmospheric methane traps at least 25 times as much heat. ... [One scientist] estimated that annual methane emissions from the East Siberian Arctic Shelf total about seven teragrams. (A teragram is 1.1 million tons.) By some estimates, global methane emissions total about 500 teragrams a year. ...about 40 percent is natural, including the decomposition of organic materials in wetlands and frozen wetlands like permafrost."

65 of 303 comments (clear)

  1. Fuel? by hackwrench · · Score: 4, Interesting

    So can it be capped and used for fuel?

    1. Re:Fuel? by carlhaagen · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Wouldn't it just be easier to collect the staggering amounts of methane byproduct from all our cattle and other livestock? Surely the methane resources in these "establishments" are far more manageable than those of an arctic plain.

    2. Re:Fuel? by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 4, Interesting

      In most cases, probably not. The methane is seeping out at low local concentrations over a vast area - there is no huge concentrated deposit like it is the case with oil or natural gas. Instead it is dissolved at low concentrations in the soil. Pure, concentrated methane hydrate deposits exist and might be useable for fuel extraction, though. Those are usually deeper in the oceans, where the hydrate is stabilized by water pressure. Getting the stuff to the surface without prematurely releasing the methane due to the pressure reduction is non-trivial, though. I suppose oil and natural gas are too cheap to make harvesting such methane hydrate deposits economically viable at the moment.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    3. Re:Fuel? by ItsJustAPseudonym · · Score: 5, Funny

      "Hey Elsie, pull my hoof. Moo."

    4. Re:Fuel? by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Natural gas is indeed mostly methane, with some ethane, propane, CO2 in the mix. I was using the term to refer to fossil gas mostly associated with oil deposits and the like. I just looked it up and found that the distinction between fossil gas, methane clathrates and swamp gas seems not to be that strong in English, which is not my first language.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    5. Re:Fuel? by Yvanhoe · · Score: 2, Informative

      Yes

      Obviously this comment is too short to be informative as I wrote it quickly. Gah.... I wish Slashdot would grow a bit over this time limitation for posts...

      --
      The Wise adapts himself to the world. The Fool adapts the world to himself. Therefore, all progress depends on the Fool.
    6. Re:Fuel? by Blakey+Rat · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Are you volunteering to plug in all the nozzles?

      The problem with this plan is two-fold:
      1) The gas isn't centralized. Where it is (say, sealed garbage dumps), methane is already harvested and used.
      2) Setting this up is far, far more expensive than just buying your gas from the local utility company. Why would anybody bother if it doesn't save them money and they have to attach balloons to cow asses for the rest of their lives?

    7. Re:Fuel? by BobMcD · · Score: 3, Interesting

      See my post above, but also, Re #2:

      http://minnesota.publicradio.org/display/web/2008/06/26/methane_digester/

      The cost of the setup is here:

      The biggest hurdle is cost. This on-farm power plant, called a manure digester, is only the third in the state, and it has a half a million dollar price tag. Federal, state and local grants paid for much of it, but the farmer paid the remaining $100,000.

      The savings seem less clear, though he does expect to drive his car for free, power the process for free, and earn $400/week from pumping power back into the grid. Without knowing his costs, it is hard to say for sure how long it would take him to reclaim even his own $100,000.

      We can guess though, from this site:

      In South Dakota, for example, electricity alone represents 30 cents per 100 pounds of milk.

      and

      The 200 cows on Jerry Jennisson's central Minnesota dairy farm make 1,100 gallons of milk every day.

      Google holds the weight of milk at '4.5 lbs/gallon'... So a little rough math puts the dairy farm's operation at 4950 pounds and $14.85 per day.

      Total revenue, from what we know, generated by the digester is something in the area of ($5,420.25 + $20,800) $26,220.25/year. He'd get his money back out in four years, or so, and the total break-even is twenty years. None of this accounts for the other economic factors. There are likely additional positives and negatives to the formula, but at the end of the day it actually does earn money.

      Also, this is first-generation tech. Efficiency will undoubtedly go up, increasing revenue and lowering costs. There were only three at the time of the writing, which means they were not being mass-produced, but custom built.

    8. Re:Fuel? by pugugly · · Score: 2, Funny

      Feed them Bubblegum?

      --
      An Invisible Entity of Vast Power whose existence must be taken on faith alone: Liberal Media
    9. Re:Fuel? by necro81 · · Score: 2, Informative

      Google holds the weight of milk at '4.5 lbs/gallon'.

      For what it is worth, milk is more than 90% water, which weighs in at about 9 pounds per gallon. The rest of milk is mostly fats and proteins, which are not drastically different in density than water.

      A little searching around yields the density of milk to be around 1.02-1.06 g/cc (or kg/L). This translates to, you guessed it, about 9 pounds per gallon.

      Also, any farmer could tell you that a hundredweight of milk (a touch over 100 pounds - go figure) is about 12 gallons.

      So there's a factor of two (or one half) to muddle into your calculations.

  2. 1 teragram is not 1.1million tons by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    It is 1 Million tonnes.
    it is 1 Megaton
    it is 10^12 gram
    it is 10^9 Kilogram
    it is very easy to multiply with 10 in a 10 digit-system, so learn to do it right?

    1. Re:1 teragram is not 1.1million tons by Xiph · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That's what happens when you convert from metric to imperial, round up, then convert back to metric.
      It is shoddy journalism and very poor of the submitter not to catch it when copy pasting.

      Hi kDawson.

      --
      Blah blah sig blah blah blah irony blah blah
    2. Re:1 teragram is not 1.1million tons by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

      Uhhh, 1 teragram is 1,102,311.31 tons. How is that not 1.1 million tons? And how is that shoddy journalism again? Or are you pissed because they're not expressing it with the correct number of sigfigs or something?

    3. Re:1 teragram is not 1.1million tons by bloobloo · · Score: 3, Informative

      Having to worry about short tons vs long tons mean that the US system is bizarre.

    4. Re:1 teragram is not 1.1million tons by PPalmgren · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Do you want to pay for the conversion? The reason it isn't done is it is not worth the cost. Buttloads of industries use tools and supplies that have measures set in the imperial system, like piping. Converting all of these would require massive investment, and incur complications much more expensive than leaving it be. If you simply changed the measures without dimensions it wouldn't help, because "gimme that 1/4'' pipe" is much easier than "gimme that .635cm pipe" for people who would use it, and people would continue to use imperial regardless. This doesn't even include the re-education of the general populace that rarely uses measurements, which is daunting and expensive.

      The people who require precise measurement and an international system both use metric and know how to convert to it. Their mistakes are simply negligence and laziness (this is coming from someone in the shipping industry who uses short ton [2000lb], long ton[2240lb], and metric ton[1000kg] regularly). Forcing everyone to convert because it would make everything equal for the OCD crowd is not a valid reason.

    5. Re:1 teragram is not 1.1million tons by OakDragon · · Score: 4, Funny

      You know what's funny - if the story were about metric vs. U.S. vs. Imperial measurements, the conversation would devolve into a global warming flame-fest.

    6. Re:1 teragram is not 1.1million tons by maxwell+demon · · Score: 2, Funny

      I would certainly rather have a tone of British ail then a ton of American light beer

      You like to listen to suffering Brits, and afterwards get drunk with American beer? Pervert! :-)

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    7. Re:1 teragram is not 1.1million tons by BlackThorne_DK · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Last I checked the country I live in was largely metric. Water pipes, TV screens and some sizes of lumber is still in inches though. It's kind of a transition fase that was never really completed. Not a real problem here, but I struggle to keep track of short and long tons.. Here a ton equals 1000 kilograms.

  3. Nothing to see here.... by Van+Cutter+Romney · · Score: 2, Informative

    Seen already.

    ...but can we do something about it?

    --
    Help a man when he is in trouble and he will remember you when he is in trouble again.
    1. Re:Nothing to see here.... by Khomar · · Score: 5, Insightful

      ...but can we do something about it?

      Sure. Give them millions of dollars of grant money to do more research while we pass legislation to make manufacturing even more difficult in America so we can export the rest of our jobs to China where they can ignore all environmental laws. Of course, at present rate, the world-wide economy will soon be completely shot, so after we kill off a couple billion people from the resulting unrest, diseases, and famines, our human contribution will be greatly reduced... to negligible effect.

      So no. Not really.

      --

      I believe in de-evolution. God made the world perfect, man fell, and its been going downhill ever since!

    2. Re:Nothing to see here.... by PakProtector · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Parent is insightful, +5.

      We have, as a nation, in the name of Corporate Greed and the Maximization of Profit, destroyed our manufacturing sector, which was the world's greatest after WW2. We have ceased to create real Wealth, and now we produce only imaginary Wealth. Not everyone can be a Doctor or a Lawyer or an Engineer. We need actual jobs that actually produce things.

      Our entire system is based on a redistribution of wealth; we take it from the many and concentrate it into the hands of the few.

      --

      Edward@Tomato - /home/Edward/ man woman
      man: no entry for woman in the manual.
      "Qua!?"

  4. Let It Burn! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Methane being 25 times more hazardous to the climate than CO2 then surely even burning it in-situ would be ecologically sound byproduct is CO2 + 2H20

    1. Re:Let It Burn! by pydev · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Methane being 25 times more hazardous to the climate than CO2 then surely even burning it in-situ would be ecologically sound byproduct is CO2 + 2H20

      That's not true. Methane's half-life in the atmosphere is so short that it is not a significant risk; in a year, all that methane is going to be CO2 anyway and only 1/25th as potent for global warming.

      CO2 is risky because it has a half-life of over a century.

    2. Re:Let It Burn! by agw · · Score: 4, Funny

      Forgot to mention that nuking the arctic is the only solution to this most trying problem.

      Right. Do it from orbit. It's the only way to be sure.

    3. Re:Let It Burn! by PopeRatzo · · Score: 3, Funny

      Forgot to mention that nuking the arctic is the only solution to this most trying problem.

      Clearly the arctic is in on conspiracy to try to make it seem like the earth is warming.

      It's well-known that the Earth itself has a liberal bias.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    4. Re:Let It Burn! by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 4, Informative

      From Linky:

      Methane has a large effect for a brief period (a net lifetime of 8.4 years in the atmosphere)

      Methane is a relatively potent greenhouse gas with a high 'global warming potential' of 72 (averaged over 20 years) or 25 (averaged over 100 years).

      Global Warming Potential is a relative scale which compares the gas in question to that of the same mass of carbon dioxide (whose GWP is by convention equal to 1).

      So methane is 70 times worse then CO2 over 20 years and 25 times worse over 100 years. Not exactly insignificant...

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    5. Re:Let It Burn! by pugugly · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Ouch - I was familiar with the numbers, but not the curve.
      So, fundamentally the effect is frontloaded, so the direct effect is to warm up faster and the indirect effect is to release more methane as it does so.
      And, if I'm reading the formulae in the wiki article right, those numbers are direct effect numbers, not taking into account feedback loop effects. Understandable - much easier to calculate, less assumptions, but as methane leaks out of permafrost, it's going to cascade a lot.

      We may have hit tipping point.

      Pug

      --
      An Invisible Entity of Vast Power whose existence must be taken on faith alone: Liberal Media
  5. Old news by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Researchers have measured methane in the region before. Of course, now you can't find those reports because they're buried by this press release.

    1. Re:Old news by NewbieProgrammerMan · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Releasing a press release causes earlier reports to become forgotten? I didn't know that the archive of all news stories ever written is solely stored in Homer Simpson's brain.

      --
      [b.belong('us') for b in bases if b.owner() == 'you']
  6. Chuck by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    Man, it's just a shame global warming isn't real. Then this story may actually have some relevance.

  7. This will NOT stand!! by navygeek · · Score: 4, Funny

    Quick! Someone make an impassioned plea to the U.N. to write a strongly worded letter informing the Arctic that its actions are unacceptable and intolerable. We must not abide this clear violation of greenhouse gas limitation policy. Please, be sure the letter is *strongly worded*!!!

  8. Let me get this straight by kiick · · Score: 5, Funny

    The ice cap is farting?

    1. Re:Let me get this straight by McNihil · · Score: 4, Funny

      Not only that, it is doing it in our general direction!

    2. Re:Let me get this straight by Wiarumas · · Score: 3, Funny

      Yes, the ice cap is farting. Slowly, silent, and deadly. Isn't there a slang word that can be turned into a buzzword for that? Ah, yes: silent but deadly. It should make its way into white papers soon.

      --
      I will bend like a reed in the wind.
  9. US tons are lighter than the rest of the world by YA_Python_dev · · Score: 5, Funny

    1 teragram is exactly 1 milion metric tons, but it's also approximately 1.1 million funny American tons.

    --
    There's a hidden treasure in Python 3.x: __prepare__()
    1. Re:US tons are lighter than the rest of the world by roman_mir · · Score: 5, Funny

      Or in more US friendly units, it's 22 your mommas.

    2. Re:US tons are lighter than the rest of the world by tgd · · Score: 2, Funny

      Ask yo momma, she's seen my furlong.

  10. Correction by neuromountain · · Score: 5, Informative

    It should be noted that 100-year global warming potential is around 23 -- the 20-year GWP is actually about 72. So the effects of permafrost thawing and possible release of any clathrate methane and the real warming impact in the short-term will be more extreme.

  11. For clarity by HungryHobo · · Score: 4, Interesting

    7 teragrams = 7,000,000 metric tons.

    Far easier to think about if you work in units people are used to.

    To compare to something in human terms:

    The British Emerald is the largest LNG carrier I can find and can carry somewhere in the region of 77500 metric tons of gas (155,000 cubic meters with LNG having a density of about 0.5 kg/L).

    So this is something like approximate to the largest natural gas tanker in the world releasing it's entire load into the air about 90 times over.

    any corrections to figures welcome.

    1. Re:For clarity by L4t3r4lu5 · · Score: 4, Informative
      Only one correction:

      So this is something like approximate to the largest natural gas tanker in the world releasing it's entire load into the air about 90 times over per year.

      --
      Finally had enough. Come see us over at https://soylentnews.org/
    2. Re:For clarity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      The EPA estimates: "Globally, ruminant livestock produce about 80 million metric tons of methane annually"

      That's an order of magnitude more than the estimated amount of methane leaking from the Arctic.

    3. Re:For clarity by Bartles · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Where does the methane that the animals fart out come from? I would think animal methane is carbon neutral.

    4. Re:For clarity by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 2, Informative

      Two basic problems with animal methane:

      Even in situations where it is in fact carbon neutral(atmospheric co2 -> plant -> cow -> atmospheric methane) you are turning a less potent, in greenhouse terms, flavor of carbon into a more potent one.

      Second, in much of modern agriculture, there is substantial input of fertilizers and pesticides and things, many of which are petrochemically derived. In these cases, you get all the disadvantages of the carbon neutral case, plus some fossil carbon coming back out to play.

  12. Re:Are we not able to ... by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Low concentrations over a substantial area, much of it dissolved in seawater.

    Unless Maxwell's demon would be willing to take the job, it'd probably take more energy to collect than it would produce when burned. It isn't even concentrated enough to just burn off on site(which, given the relative efficacy of methane and carbon dioxide as greenhouse gasses, would be desireable).

    If there were just a single hole in the ground somewhere, leaking methane, this would be an opportunity. Low but alarming concentrations over a substantial area of ocean are completely useless as an energy source; but still a potentially massive emitter.

  13. It's from the under ocean citys by Joe+The+Dragon · · Score: 2, Funny

    It's from the under ocean citys

    1. Re:It's from the under ocean citys by Hurricane78 · · Score: 3, Funny

      Poseidon? Cthulhu need so lay off his Poseidon Masala! ^^

      --
      Any sufficiently advanced intelligence is indistinguishable from stupidity.
  14. So Much Evidence And Yet Business Interests Resist by curmudgeon99 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    What a bunch of stupid humans we are. We're killing our planet and yet we have to fight these stupid, selfish, self-serving idiots who want to pollute a little longer, so they can buy that Hummer or McMansion. There is going to be hell to pay and all the Sen James Inhofe's of the world will suddenly disappear into the shadows.

  15. "Natural" methane? by BetterSense · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I wonder what exactly "natural" methane is. When it comes from decomposing matter in permafrost, it's "natural" methane, when it comes from the digestion process of human-bred ungulates it's "unnatural" methane? I find it interesting how nothing humans do is considered "natural" despite that we are born here, eat here, shit here, and die here. I wonder just what is so "unnatural" about the human race, especially considering that we now supposedly reject magical thinking that he is divinely created and now believe he is an advanced ape. Yet his impact on his environment is always "unnatural" and impure and somehow different than that of any other species.

    1. Re:"Natural" methane? by klingens · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It is natural insofar as humanity didn't do anything to create it. While the cow herds are expressly bred and raised by humans. A wild cow or zebra or gnu are natural too, even when they produce exactly the same methane.
      In Nature, the amount of cattle raised by humans is not sustainable. It only works for us since we specially grow feedstock using fertilizer and pesticide to get a bigger crop than naturally possible.

    2. Re:"Natural" methane? by Mikkeles · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Firstly: unnatural doesn't mean supernatural. It's idiomatic.

      Secondly: humans capacity for technological development allows us to usurp common and typical natural feedback mechanisms that limit effects of any other species' activities. This allows us to regularly or contiually have potential effects typical only of relatively uncommon events such as major volcanic eruptions, meteor strikes or worse (for us and every other organism).

      Finally: we have the ability to comprehend that there are unintended consequences to our actions and deliberately choose to ignore even the consideration of these even when we can reasonably predict dire results.

      --
      Great minds think alike; fools seldom differ.
    3. Re:"Natural" methane? by Quirkz · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Because the word "natural" is a lot shorter and less awkward than using "non-human-caused-" every time? You can argue semantics all you want, but it's a useful distinction to make, and it's clear enough to most of us.

  16. Re:A simple question. by Colonel+Korn · · Score: 5, Informative

    Earth radiates at around 10 micrometers wavelength. As far as I can tell, methane has no absorption bands near there. So, why is it reckoned that methane is a potent greenhouse gas? Curious minds want to know.

    Three responses come to mind:

    1) Earth radiates across a range of wavelengths, not at a sharp 10 micron peak.

    2) Methane is supposed to have 25x the radiative forcing of CO2 per unit mass. A methane molecule has a mass 16/44 that of carbon dioxide, so a kg of methane produces almost 3x the molecules produced by a kg of carbon dioxide.

    3) A particular absorption peak or the peak emission wavelength doesn't matter. The important thing is the power change caused by the integral over all wavelengths of absorption multiplied by emission energy at each wavelength. Here that is for methane.

    --
    "I zero-index my hamsters" - Willtor (147206)
  17. Sustainable by copponex · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Nature seeks states of equilibrium. The question is not whether we are a part of nature. The question is whether we are hurtling the earth's climate toward a state of equilibrium that destroys our civilization.

    This does not require the entire earth to become inhospitable. But if there are enough strains on world resources, it will end up putting us through decades of misery which may result in catastrophic wars, food shortages, and the loss of all coastal communities.

    Famines have killed millions in the past, and are still killing millions in Africa. Right now we have easily exploitable resources that allow us to enjoy a certain quality of life, but we are dangerously close to depleting a number of those resources to new low states of equilibrium. Add in unpredictable droughts, rising sea levels, and the loss of many glaciers that supply freshwater through natural processes, and you can see why people are worried.

    1. Re:Sustainable by radtea · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Nature seeks states of equilibrium.

      One might as well say, "Nature seeks extinction", as far more species have become extinct due to entirely natural processes than currently exist.

      The Earth has become uninhabitable at least once already, with the build-up of a highly toxic gas that was the result of the natural metabolism of natural organisms, sometime between 1 billion and 500 million years ago. This entirely natural process killed off very nearly every living thing, driving a vast range of single-celled species to extinction. It also happened to open the door to complex multi-cellular life, which evolved from the few survivors, but that was an incidental side-effect.

      It is the nature of life to use all resources to the maximum extent possible, and evolution is a locally optimizing "greedy" algorithm, at least to first order. The only kind of "equilibrium" nature produces is that of a stalemated war, and that only temporarily.

      --
      Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
  18. My submission was scooped! :) by wisebabo · · Score: 4, Interesting

    But I'm happy about it because I think it is important. Anyway since I spent a while putting my submission together, here it is for your (hopeful) enjoyment:

    Will LIFE almost end AGAIN? Another Great Dying?

    I've said it before (http://slashdot.org/submission/1066423/Another-Permian-extinction-on-the-way?art_pos=62, http://slashdot.org/submission/1056203/Global-Warming-Tipping-Point?art_pos=71) and I'll say it again: there may be a chance that we may be facing another Permian level extinction event. What is that you say? It was the greatest extinction event in earth's history (hence "The Great Dying") causing up to 96% of all marine organisms to go extinct and 70% of terrestrial vertebrates. Remember, these are entire SPECIES that went extinct, individual population losses were obviously higher. The cause? Well according to Wikipedia: "only one sufficiently powerful cause has been proposed for the global 10 reduction in the 13C/12C ratio: the release of methane from methane clathrates;[7]"

    So, as you can see, I keep saying this because the stakes are so high.

    Well now there are reports (http://abcnews.go.com/Technology/wireStory?id=10010948) that the methane clathrates off of Eastern Siberia are releasing 8 million tons of methane a year. While currently "negligible" compared to global emissions of about 440 million tons: "The release of just a 'small fraction of the methane held in (the) East Siberian Arctic Shelf sediments could trigger abrupt climate warming,'" This WILL become more likely because: "If atmospheric temperatures rise, the hydrate stability zone will shift upward, leaving in its stead a layer of methane gas that has been freed from the hydrate cages. Pressure in that new layer of free gas would build, forcing the gas to shoot up." http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/09/090902133637.htm. Of course what's driving this is the quick rise in temperatures in the Arctic/Antarctic, temperatures there are rising twice as fast as the global average (http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2010/jan/14/arctic-permafrost-methane). So even if we manage to keep the temperature rise BEFORE counting in the additional methane release to a very optimistic 2 celsius (3.6 degrees for Americans) it will be twice that for the arctic regions. Remember also that these articles are talking about just a small part of the arctic methane clathrate reserve (which is itself just a tiny part of the global reserve in all the deep sea sediments) and that it is coming out of out of the sea bed in other places too. (http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/09/090902133637.htm).

    If the temperature rises cause enough methane to come out to cause the temperature to rise even more we could be in for a very bad greenhouse effect. Methane is 20x more powerful a greenhouse gas than CO2 and there are 500-2500 Gigatons of the stuff on the ocean floor compared to just 700 Gigatons of CO2 in the atmosphere. So if just 5% of the stuff comes out, we've doubled the heat retained in this manner by the atmosphere!

    Now I probably lost the climate-denialists/creationists/young-earthian/Republicans a while ago but to those of you still reading please consider that this is an EXISTENTIAL threat, that is it threatens our (humankind's) very existance. Maybe if temperatures soar into the mid-one hundreds, people will still be able to walk outside/in the winter/in Antarctica and exist in air-conditioned caves elsewhere but I think you'll agree we will have made our own hell on earth. So even if the chance of a semi-runaway greenhouse effect is very small we should really REALLY be careful. (To see the effect of a full runaway greenhouse effect, just visit Venus, hot enough to melt lead!).

    Sure prediction, especially about the future, is hard. But the vast majority of climate scientists think we are headed for a cliff in the fog, fast. They may dis

    1. Re:My submission was scooped! :) by radtea · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Why do people think climate scientists are any different,

      Because they work in a field that is extremely messy and fraught with uncertainty and yet promote the results of their unphysical computational models as being virtually certain, and they lead their arguments with fearmongering language about the risk of dire consequences rather than the science.

      If anyone believes that climate models are an adequate basis for public policy, then they also necessarily believe we ought to immediately implement global free trade, because economic models are of far higher quality than climate models, and the underlying processes are far better understood, and all economic models show that global free trade would be of vast economic benefit, to the extent of saving millions of human lives per year.

      So give that you are assuming that climate models are a sufficient basis for public policy, am I correct in assuming you are also absolutely in favour of global free trade? Can you point to any impassioned articles you have written on this subject, and the millions of lives that are lost each year as a result of not adopting this policy? You are clearly deeply concerned with things that will better humanity's future, so surely you must have written such things.

      If not, why not?

      --
      Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
    2. Re:My submission was scooped! :) by Late+Adopter · · Score: 2, Interesting

      If the vast majority of medical experts told you that you had a disease that was curable but only if you acted quickly wouldn't you do so?

      Suppose one believes the full corpus of scientific literature on AGW. What do you do next? The IPCC report says that trends don't predict an extinction level event, but *do* constitute a certain amount of cost to global society. Do we have a model that says if we put Treaty X into effect as soon as possible we avert all that cost? Well how much of it CAN we avert? And how much does that affect the world around us? Will China comply? Do we lose even more of our manufacturing industry? Does it bite into GDP? Jobs?

      It's not as black and white as "slam on the brakes". There's real costs and potentially real benefits that have to be weighed, and I don't see literature that realistically shows either is higher than the other (though I'm willing to be pointed to sources).

  19. Re:So Much Evidence And Yet Business Interests Res by DigiShaman · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The world changed, has always changed, and will continue to change. Be it by our hand, or natures. One would argue it's one in the same. So would argue that extra CO2 and heat will *increase* vegetation and improve bio diversity that goes along with it. Meanwhile, Humans continue to become the most adaptable mammal on the planet. This did not happen over night.

    Sit back, take a chill-pill, and relax. Oh, and burn some oil. Life thrives on carbon and CO2, for you are the LIFE GIVER!

    --
    Life is not for the lazy.
  20. Re:Suicidal? by SharpFang · · Score: 2, Informative

    Global warming is disastrous to cities only, and changing for many regions, some for better some for worse. It is not suicidal for the Nature, just opposite, it may grant it some relief from the human problem...

    --
    45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
  21. Better headline by geekoid · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "The Arctic Is Leaking Methane, as predicted by Global Warming."

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    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  22. Potential, still needs some work by zogger · · Score: 2, Interesting

    There's a lot of it being done small scale in places like India and Pakistan, a lot of households run on biogas, but in areas with stacks of regulations, etc, it is not quite as popular. The hoop jumping requirements are Olympic caliber. On big scales it takes good quality expensive materials,as it tends to eat up steel. I've done it on a small scale, made some test runs using junk plumbing parts and tubs and old barrels, that's it. You do get good burnable gas relatively easy, it's those fine picky points of engineering that need to be sorted out and where the big costs lie.

    In the US, the most common biogas harvesting is methane extraction from old dumps. On farms so far there are some examples, but it's just too expensive for most guys to build. There's a lot of interest to be sure, but once they look at the costs and regs, the enthusiasm drops fast. Even just composting on large scales is expensive and has some serious regs associated with it, and the fines for non compliance are bankruptcy class quickly.

        We have three large scale litter composting sheds here, large scale as in hundreds of tons total at any given time being composted, and they have to be approved design, covered buildings, and once you jump through those expensive hoops to get that built, then you have new buildings that just add to your local taxes. Oh, then you need a hundred grand and up big loader, and one or two smaller bob cat loaders just to rearrange the composting litter. Then some spreader trucks, which ain't cheap either. More expense, more taxes and insurance, etc. So you try to do good, and they charge you more for that effort.

      The government makes it almost a no win situation with that in other words. We've looked into shifting to biogas..ain't happening right now.

    Start paying farmers more for their products than the wall street speculators get for server entry shuffling and flash trades, etc. on commodities....we'll talk. We'd have the re$ource$ then to do stuff like this more, and most farmers would love to go for it, because energy costs are killer, and farmers just love building *neat shit*. We are outdoor and equipment nerds. Our gadgets are big and expensive, so that means they have to pay, else you can't afford them. Nothing is pocket change, nothing. Everything is always "man this just sucks" expensive just to purchase or build, then ongoing maintenance, which is a huge set of overlapping projects all the time and repairs, etc.. Our farm has medium beefy data center energy costs, some thousands of bucks a week depending on weather extremes for electricity and propane. And you really can't chance, nor do they like to offer, any huge loans for this stuff, as one bad season, etc, could wipe you out completely. Ain't worth the risk, you most likely couldn't get the loan anyway, catch 22 and a half there.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Biogas

    1. Re:Potential, still needs some work by Retric · · Score: 2, Interesting

      If you are using propane for heating you may want to look into building a solar hot water heating system. http://www.energysavers.gov/your_home/water_heating/index.cfm/mytopic=12850. Assuming you target an 80% solution (aka use 80% less fuel than you did) they can useually pay for them selves in 3 to 7 years. With larger scale systems having a faster payback time.

  23. Re:So Much Evidence And Yet Business Interests Res by geekoid · · Score: 2, Insightful

    " Life thrives on carbon and CO2,"
    No. CO2 it important to the cycle, but too much has effects that make the planet less habitable for humans.

    While humans are adaptable, the Global warming changes are happening very fast compared to out evolution.

    Too much CO2 will kill humans.

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    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  24. right..... by malp · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Just like the United States could refer to the USA or to United States of Mexico, America can refer to the USA or to the two continents. Which is to say, only an idiot would use the latter meaning.

  25. yes by zogger · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Sold a lot of those things back during the first big energy crisis then tax credits deal back in the 80s. They were basically *free* then if you had enough taxes taken out, so it was an easy sell. Carter sucked on most issues, but for energy, he was our top prez ever, and IF we had followed through with those goals from back then, we'd be doing a lot better today.

        Ya, they work well. There's a lot of nice solar thermal stuff that people forget about it, only thinking about solar PV. In fact, my first solar project was a swimming pool heater in the 60s. How about solar ovens for cooking and water purification? I have some of that stuff, too, along with my PV.