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Bruce Bueno de Mesquita Uses Games To See the Future

Posted by timothy on from the shall-we-play-a-game dept.

parallel_prankster writes "Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is a professor of politics at New York University and a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University in California. In his new book, The Predictioneer (The Predictioneer's Game in the US), he describes a computer model based on game theory which he — and others — claim can predict the future with remarkable accuracy. The website also has a game page where he provides an online version of the game and information on how to play." The (semi-paywalled; may need to register) New Scientist has a story on de Mesquita, too; a snippet: "Over the past 30 years, Bueno de Mesquita has made thousands of predictions about hundreds of issues from geopolitics to personal problems. Overall, he claims, his hit rate is about 90 per cent."

9 of 134 comments (clear)

  1. Bruce Bueno de Mesquita predicted this first post. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    ..................what an amazing individual!

  2. If he isn't already rich then he's lying by pizza_milkshake · · Score: 4, Funny

    But then, he knew I'd say this.

    1. Re:If he isn't already rich then he's lying by zmollusc · · Score: 5, Funny

      You used 'lose' instead of 'loose' when the correct word is 'lose'. Is the interweb broken? Next we will see someone in a car analogy slowing the vehicle by applying the 'brakes'.

      --
      They whose government reduces their essential liberties for temporary security, receive neither liberty nor security.
    2. Re:If he isn't already rich then he's lying by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      Not if they specify Toyota.

    3. Re:If he isn't already rich then he's lying by Imsdal · · Score: 2, Funny

      As MAD Magazine said years ago: "The best things in life are free. The expensive part is paying for the dinner and movie that comes first".

    4. Re:If he isn't already rich then he's lying by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      What I don't like about him is that he manipulates (read the book).

      Nice try, prof. de Mesquita, but we know about sarcasm.

  3. Already been done. by dynamo52 · · Score: 4, Funny

    Hari Seldon invented psychohistory.

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  4. Re:Irrelevent - English is dead by Jedi+Alec · · Score: 2, Funny

    Oh, a kingdom for the option to mod a post ironic, no matter how irrelevant it may be.

    --

    People replying to my sig annoy me. That's why I change it all the time.
  5. Re:Irrelevent - English is dead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    If not Him, then who?
    or Hoo!