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Methane-Trapping Ice May Have Triggered Gulf Spill

sciencehabit writes with an excerpt from Science that begins: "Methane-trapping ice of the kind that has frustrated the first attempt to contain oil gushing offshore of Louisiana may have been a root cause of the blowout that started the spill in the first place, according to [UC Berkeley] professor Robert Bea, who has extensive access to BP p.l.c. documents on the incident. If methane hydrates are eventually implicated, the US oil and gas industry would have to tread even more lightly as it pushes farther and farther offshore in search of energy."

341 comments

  1. Spill baby spill! by BlueKitties · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Yeah, so I'm trolling, wanna fight about it? But in all seriousness, this is why I'm against sudden rapid expansions of industry into sensitive environmental areas.

    --
    "Sorrow is better than laughter, for by sadness of face the heart is made glad." [Ecclesiastes 7:3]
    1. Re:Spill baby spill! by interkin3tic · · Score: 5, Insightful

      this is why I'm against sudden rapid expansions of industry into sensitive environmental areas.

      Article says "Drillers have long been wary of methane hydrates because they can pack a powerful punch. One liter of water ice that has trapped individual methane molecules in the "cages" of its crystal structure can release 168 liters of methane gas when the ice decomposes."

      Doesn't exactly sound like this was a new and unforseen problem, it doesn't sound like this happened because we were being hasty. It sounds like it happened because they were on some level being stupid and ignoring a well-known risk. In my book, that's an even stronger reason not to drill. We've known about that for a long time and the oil companies -still- haven't made sure this can't happen? These are not people who should be making potentially environment-altering decisions for the rest of us.

    2. Re:Spill baby spill! by Shakrai · · Score: 5, Interesting

      One liter of water ice that has trapped individual methane molecules in the "cages" of its crystal structure can release 168 liters of methane gas when the ice decomposes."

      I wonder if that can be harnessed as an energy source?

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    3. Re:Spill baby spill! by Dragoniz3r · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You'd sure think so. If, with my 20 liter tank, I can store over 3000 liters of methane gas, that would seem to me to be a fairly efficient fuel storage mechanism. The devil may be in the details of keeping the ice frozen, and decomposing it in a controlled fashion though.

    4. Re:Spill baby spill! by binarylarry · · Score: 3, Funny

      ....need more vespene gas?

      --
      Mod me down, my New Earth Global Warmingist friends!
    5. Re:Spill baby spill! by jbengt · · Score: 5, Informative

      Article says "Drillers have long been wary of methane hydrates because they can pack a powerful punch.. . . " . . . Doesn't exactly sound like this was a new and unforseen problem, . . .

      The drilling is taking place in deeper and deeper water. Deep waters have high pressure and the low temperature. Both of these make formation of methane clathrates more likely. The high pressures a mile beneath the ocean surface also make it easier to dissolve gas in the oil. Avoiding pipeline blockages and explosive decompressions is not trivial. To the extent the industry is pushing the limits of what has been done before (and they are pushing limits of depth) they can be surprised by details that they haven't encountered before.

    6. Re:Spill baby spill! by Lars+T. · · Score: 4, Interesting

      this is why I'm against sudden rapid expansions of industry into sensitive environmental areas.

      Article says "Drillers have long been wary of methane hydrates because they can pack a powerful punch. One liter of water ice that has trapped individual methane molecules in the "cages" of its crystal structure can release 168 liters of methane gas when the ice decomposes."

      Doesn't exactly sound like this was a new and unforseen problem, it doesn't sound like this happened because we were being hasty.

      But it does sound like a sudden rapid expansion. And it sure does sound that the problem was hastily ignored, because preventing it simply cost too much money.

      The good news is that there will be a charity concert in New Orleans, so BP won't have to pay so much money to their victims.

      --

      Lars T.

      To the guy who modded me down from perfect to terrible Karma - Apple haters still suck

    7. Re:Spill baby spill! by Loki_1929 · · Score: 3, Informative

      Our options are as follows:

      1) Continue drilling and have an accident every few decades
      2) Switch to wind/solar with all-electric vehicles immediately and pay about 5000% of world GDP in the next 10 years doing it and 3 - 5x current energy prices thereafter
      3) Switch to an all-Amish life
      4) Work on a gradual transition to cleaner and more sustainable energy sources by continuing to utilize what we have and what works while developing new stuff that actually works

      You seem to be advocating options 2 or 3. Some people seem to be in favor of option 1. The only option that makes any sense at all to me is number 4. That requires that we drill for a while longer to continue supplying ourselves with the energy we need today while we develop better sources for the energy we'll need tomorrow. This spill, while terrible and unfortunate, is nothing compared to the havoc and destruction that will be wrought by either inaction or wrecklessly rushed actions on the part of humanity trying to fill its ever-growing thirst for energy.

      That the largest economy and energy consuming nation in the world is even considering allowing its entire energy policy to hinge on a single accident is sheer lunacy. The only sane path is a slow, deliberate one dictated by need and reason alone.

      --
      -- "Government is the great fiction through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else."
    8. Re:Spill baby spill! by cyn1c77 · · Score: 1

      We've known about that for a long time and the oil companies -still- haven't made sure this can't happen?

      You're joking right? It's not worth their time to work out how to deal with those issues if they have a "small chance" of causing a failure.

      Here's the algorithm that all the oil companies use:

      If(Oil profit - Drilling_Expense - Environmental_Disaster_Fees > 0) {Drill!}

    9. Re:Spill baby spill! by lonecrow · · Score: 1

      It sounds like it happened because they were on some level being stupid and ignoring a well-known risk

      Sounds like as good a definition of "hasty" as any.

    10. Re:Spill baby spill! by danlip · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The problem is that #4 is ofter #1 in disguise, i.e. nothing much happens to make the transition. And no one is really advocating #2 or #3, they're just used as the bogeyman by the people trying to stop the real #4.

    11. Re:Spill baby spill! by budgenator · · Score: 5, Interesting

      "This well had been giving some problems all the way down and was a big discovery. Big pressure, *16ppg+ mud weight*. They ran a long string of 7" production casing - not a liner, the confusion arising from the fact that all casing strings on a floating rig are run on drill pipe and hung off on the wellhead on the sea floor, like a "liner". They cemented this casing with lightweight cement containing nitrogen because they were having lost circulation in between the well kicking all the way down. The calculations and the execution of this kind of a cement job are complex, in order that you neither let the well flow from too little hydrostatic pressure nor break it down and lose the fluid and cement from too much hydrostatic. But you gotta believe BP had 8 or 10 of their best double and triple checking everything. On the outside of the top joint of casing is a seal assembly - "packoff" - that sets inside the subsea wellhead and seals. This was set and tested to 10,000 psi, OK. This was the end of the well until testing was to begin at a later time, so a temporary "bridge plug" was run in on drill pipe to set somewhere near the top of the well below 5,000 ft. This is the second barrier, you always have to have 2, and the casing was the first one. It is not know if this was actually set or not. At the same time they took the 16+ ppg mud out of the riser and replaced it with sea water so that they could pull the riser, lay it down, and move off. When they did this, they of course took away hydrostatic on the well. But this was OK, normal, since the well was plugged both on the inside with the casing and on the outside with the tested packoff. But something turned loose all of a
      sudden, and the conventional wisdom would be the packoff on the outside of the casing. Gas and oil rushed up the riser; there was little wind, and a gas cloud got all over the rig. When the main inductions of the engines got a whiff, they ran away and exploded. Blew them right off the rig. This set everything on fire. A similar explosion in the mud pit / mud pump room blew the mud pumps overboard. Another in the mud sack storage room, sited most unfortunately right next to the living quarters, took out all the interior walls where everyone was hanging out having - I am not making this up - a party to celebrate 7 years of accident free work on this rig. 7 BP bigwigs were there visiting from town. In this sense they were lucky that the only ones lost were the 9 rig crew on the rig floor and 2 mud engineers down on the pits." TRANSOCEAN DEEPWATER HORIZON EXPLOSION-A DISCUSSION OF WHAT ACTUALLY HAPPENED? Reply by Garry Denke on May 4, 2010 at 6:06pm

      The "kicks" he's talking about are pressure surges from gas in the well, so everybody knew what the well was doing because it was kicking all the way down, so no surprises there. The well was drilled, Halliburton was contracted to cement the casing which was done and tested and they were pumping out the mud from the riser pipe and filling it with seawater when the explosion occurred. The riser pipes is rated for 15,000 PSI and have a 3.5 million pound load-carrying capacity, between these riser pipes and the blowout preventer is a connector device rated for 7 million foot-pounds of bending load capacity. Right now this riser pipe comes out of the well head goes up 1500 feet and is bent over and the free end is now buried in the seabed. I don't see where they were cutting costs too much. Deepwater Horizon would probably have disconnected from the well and moved on in a day or two if there hadn't been an explosion.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    12. Re:Spill baby spill! by ormondotvos · · Score: 3, Informative

      The gas to oil ratio in that well is 3000 to one. Not a typo.

    13. Re:Spill baby spill! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      You forgot an option.

      5) Nuclear power.

    14. Re:Spill baby spill! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Yes, tea-partier, we can do much better, we can get that deep sea drilled oil from Brazil. They doing that way much deeper than BP was trying to do, and is costing them only 17 bucks per barrel, way much better than we ever did.
      Our oil industry always sucked ass and balls anyways. if we didn't had our boys dying in wars so they can get fields in Iraq for free they probably be bankrupt long time ago.
      Now, pack your shit and go hide in Nazi Germany, err, sorry, Arizona, together with the other Aryan retards that think like you...

    15. Re:Spill baby spill! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't see where they were cutting costs too much.

      You mean they are going to agree to pay damages above the $75 million cap?

      http://www.salon.com/news/feature/2010/05/10/oil_spill_causes_climate_progress/index.html

    16. Re:Spill baby spill! by thegarbz · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The problem is that #4 is ofter #1 in disguise

      You deserve every mod point I have. People are instinctively reacting to the news of the disaster. They do this all the time. OOOHH there's a spill leaking out huge amounts of oil, EVIL oil companies, BAD oil companies, this would NEVER happen if we would just all switch over to alternative energy sources.

      I have seen the Exxon Valdez quoted time and time again in comments here on slashdot. All I can say is wake up and expand your horizons people. Look outside the oil industry. If you want to judge human progress look at all major accidents. No one wanted to make Chernobyl melt. No one wanted to cause problems at 3-mile island. Yet while driving home from work in a Ford F250 drinking water from plastic bottles people are muttering about the evil oil companies, whereas the simple fact is as human technology evolves there will be accidents, there will be situations that have not yet been encountered before, and there WILL be dire consequences.

      Or maybe I'm wrong. Maybe this is the last accident we'll ever see. Maybe there will be no more death from mining, maybe environmental destruction from bitumen mining in Canada (honestly this puts the BP spill to shame except that it comes with a government granted licence) will stop tomorrow. ...

      A far more likely scenario is that in 50 years when the world is running of clean efficient fusion power there will be an industrial accident that will remove a small country from the world maps, and then here on slashdot with it's shiny new web 5.0 interface we can discuss how it's unsafe and we should be moving to a new source of energy.

    17. Re:Spill baby spill! by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      One liter of water ice that has trapped individual methane molecules in the "cages" of its crystal structure can release 168 liters of methane gas when the ice decomposes

      Pretty lucky the US sticks to gallons, or the tragedy could have been 3.8 times as worser!

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    18. Re:Spill baby spill! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Isn't this what China *just started doing?

      http://www.physorg.com/news187622107.html

    19. Re:Spill baby spill! by M8e · · Score: 1

      By weight or volume?

    20. Re:Spill baby spill! by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      These are not people who should be making potentially environment-altering decisions for the rest of us.

      Just as a matter of interest, how many miles a day do you clock up on your push bike? Most likely it's so close to zero as to not matter.

      If there wasn't a demand for the fuel, there wouldn't be much pressure to extract it. And people's desire for rapid personal transportation is one of the biggest demands for fuel. Each time you turn the key in the ignition, you press for more oil extraction from environmentally and/ or politically unstable areas.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    21. Re:Spill baby spill! by BlueParrot · · Score: 2

      1) Continue drilling and have an accident every few decades
      2) Switch to wind/solar with all-electric vehicles immediately and pay about 5000% of world GDP in the next 10 years doing it and 3 - 5x current energy prices thereafter
      3) Switch to an all-Amish life
      4) Work on a gradual transition to cleaner and more sustainable energy sources by continuing to utilize what we have and what works while developing new stuff that actually works

      You forgot

      5) Invest in a comprehensive expansion of nuclear power, electric vehicles and ground-source heat pumps.

      Somehow people frequently find it convenient to forget that possibility when portraying us environmentalist as all being self-righteous Greenpeace members who care more about promoting our own ideology than coming up with a practical solution.

    22. Re:Spill baby spill! by w0mprat · · Score: 1

      3000 litres of methane at sea level is about 1.7 kg or about equivelent to third a US gallon of gasoline. So no, not very practical.

      My parents use to have a CNG (compressed natural gas http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compressed_natural_gas) dual fuel kit for their car, while there was this infrastructure available in my area (government removed subsidies through the 90s). 10kg of CNG (Methane) would give 100-150km of driving, no more than 200km at the outside.

      I'm not sure of the pressure required to keep methane clathrate solid, but I know it's found at around 800m depth around continental shelves, so thats over 100 atmospheres of pressure or 1500psi thereabouts. The CNG tank for the car was not more than 150-200 bar

      Methane ice would be prone to sudden decomposition when warmed up or depressurised (boom!) whereas CNG tanks were sufficiently engineered to survive a crash that would total the rest of the car, and worst case the safety valve would vent harmlessly.

      So at a guess there would be little advantage in methane ice in a automobile tank, obvious dangers asside. Once the gas has been released you have residual water/water ice to somehow extract or reuse too.

      --
      After logging in slashdot still does not take you back to the page you were on. It's been that way for 20 years.
    23. Re:Spill baby spill! by Anenome · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You couldn't stop #4 from happening if you wanted to.

      --
      "I Don't Have Enough Faith to be an Atheist"
    24. Re:Spill baby spill! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "2) Switch to wind/solar with all-electric vehicles immediately and pay about 5000% of world GDP in the next 10 years doing it and 3 - 5x current energy prices thereafter"

      BOLLOCKS.

      You'd pay less than 1% GDP doing it and pay less than current prices afterward.

      The wind and sun pass us for free. Once you've made your windmill, it's all gravy. And windmills are cheaper per kWh buildout than nuclear stations.

    25. Re:Spill baby spill! by ultranova · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It sounds like it happened because they were on some level being stupid and ignoring a well-known risk. In my book, that's an even stronger reason not to drill. We've known about that for a long time and the oil companies -still- haven't made sure this can't happen?

      It could also be that it's simply impossible to eliminate the risk completely. While I doubt that the oil companies are concerned about the environment, I also find it unlikely that they want to waste valuable oil by spilling it into the ocean, not to mention get all the badwill they do when that happens.

      The nasty, awful, horrible truth is that sometimes shit happens, no matter how cautious you are.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    26. Re:Spill baby spill! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      With oil running out, they are drilling in ever deeper and colder water, increasing the chance to stumble upon methane hydrates.

    27. Re:Spill baby spill! by TheDarkMaster · · Score: 1

      Is a good idea. Maybe a 50 liters tank with this ice on a car?

      --
      Religion: The greatest weapon of mass destruction of all time
    28. Re:Spill baby spill! by CraftyJack · · Score: 1

      The nasty, awful, horrible truth is that sometimes shit happens, no matter how cautious you are.

      "A new car built by my company leaves somewhere traveling at 60 mph. The rear differential locks up. The car crashes and burns with everyone trapped inside. Now, should we initiate a recall? Take the number of vehicles in the field, A, multiply by the probable rate of failure, B, multiply by the average out-of-court settlement, C. A times B times C equals X. If X is less than the cost of a recall, we don't do one."

    29. Re:Spill baby spill! by Remus+Shepherd · · Score: 1

      5) Kill off 4 out of every 5 human beings on the planet.

      That's not a solution we should be aiming for. But it's the simple, natural solution to our problems of overconsumption, which comes down to overpopulation. If we don't fix our problems by some other means, this is the solution that nature will eventually enforce on us, one way or another.

      --
      Genocide Man -- Life is funny. Death is funnier. Mass murder can be hilarious.
    30. Re:Spill baby spill! by Locke2005 · · Score: 1

      As long as paying for damages is cheaper than outfitting all equipment with safety measures, corporations have a fiduciary obligation to their shareholders to skimp on safety measures. The only way to modify this behavior is to make the cost of a spill far more expensive than the cost of preventing a spill.

      --
      I've abandoned my search for truth; now I'm just looking for some useful delusions.
    31. Re:Spill baby spill! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      2) Switch to wind/solar with all-electric vehicles immediately and pay about 5000% of world GDP in the next 10 years doing it and 3 - 5x current energy prices thereafter

      This is the real solution, all you have to do is take out your useless made up bullshit numbers and sub in what the real costs would be.

    32. Re:Spill baby spill! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, #2 doesn't bother me all that much. 5000% of World GDP is bullshit. Wasn't there an article in The Economist recently which suggested that converting to carbon-free fuels (including nuclear) would cost something like 2% of World GDP? And of course while paying 3-5x the current cost for energy sounds bad, there's this thing called the free market which tends to deal with problems like that. How much do you want to bet that energy efficiency will become highly marketable and we'll soon be using 1/3rd to 1/5th as much energy as before?

    33. Re:Spill baby spill! by moosesocks · · Score: 1

      4.5) Build passively-safe nuclear power plants, and lots of electrically-powered mass transit.

      We have the technology and the money to to this. Even outlandishly expensive public transportation usually turns out to make more sense than car ownership, provided that you can maintain frequent service levels.

      4.75) Abandon the suburbs. Build up the ones that can be salvaged. The average New Yorker uses virtually no fossil fuels over the course of a day.

      --
      -- If you try to fail and succeed, which have you done? - Uli's moose
    34. Re:Spill baby spill! by JustABlitheringIdiot · · Score: 1

      problems of overconsumption, which comes down to overpopulation.

      Well that is really quite the understatement. The largest consumer of energy, the United States, is not even remotely over populated. If you look at the most "over populated" countries in the world only one of them is a large and soon to be over consumer of fossil fuels and that is China.

      So what you are advocating (albeit as unappealing) is genocide in China and the mass murder of billions of poor folks who aren't consuming nearly as much energy as the typical American just so they can pay lower prices for energy and not have to give up their SUV and plastic bottle of water?

    35. Re:Spill baby spill! by HiThere · · Score: 1

      That's a reasonable explanation. But it's no kind of excuse at all. If they didn't know that ahead of time they're GROSSLY incompetent.

      Hell, *I* knew that cathlates were there*, and were touchy, and could detonate with small changes in temperature or pressure, and I'm no kind of oil expert at all. much less a well engineer.

      * Well, not that specific location. But common in deep water abutting the continental shelves.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    36. Re:Spill baby spill! by Remus+Shepherd · · Score: 1

      Read my post again -- I'm not advocating any of that. I'm saying that's what will happen if we don't solve the problem in some more sensible way.

      Plagues, wars, environmental collapse...however it happens, nature will find a way to kill us off unless we learn to live in equilibrium with it.

      --
      Genocide Man -- Life is funny. Death is funnier. Mass murder can be hilarious.
    37. Re:Spill baby spill! by JustABlitheringIdiot · · Score: 1

      Read my post again

      I did realize that after I typed out all that.
      Nothing against your post, it's just that I am sure somebody lurking in the dark or AC will advocate just that and I wanted to make a point.

    38. Re:Spill baby spill! by HiThere · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Sorry, but windmills require maintenance. It's not "all gravy" once you get the mill built.

      It *IS* true that with well designed equipment the maintenance costs are lower than with oil...but they need to be, because there are other costs. Specifically line ballasts to handle the periods when the wind isn't blowing and the sun isn't shining. That basically means that you need to store about two weeks usage at the rate if usage of the coldest (or hottest) part of the year. Even that's cutting your margins a little close, but you can probably import power given that much warning. (Which, of course, you don't get. You don't know how long you'll be "becalmed". If I recall correctly occasionally sailing ships would be becalmed for a month or longer.)

      Solar cells are a bit more predictable, but the prediction isn't always to their benefit. In some locales you can predict a month or more of overcast per year. (I remember when I was growing up in South San Francisco it seemed like there were years without a single sunny day...though I'm sure that was an overestimation.)

      So... you've got to suit your power source to your site, and you need lots of backup power. It's no wonder that oil can coal looked like better solutions, though now they're causing global problems.

      Everything has problems. The question is "Which problems are easiest to solve?"

      FWIW, I think that a combination of wind and solar is usually the best choice, but it comes equipped with many problems that need to be dealt with. (E.g., as a backup power source, how about you pump a bunch of water into a reservoir in a high location...perhaps with an airtight pressure cover. Then when you want to supplement your power you run some of the water into a lower reservoir via a turbine. It works, but it's not cheap.) Just remember to identify the costs of the problems, and factor them into the cost of your proposed solution. (Yes, it will make you look expensive compared to coal and oil. But they *aren't* including the costs to the problems they cause as a part of their estimated costs. They're insisting that someone else pay those costs.)

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    39. Re:Spill baby spill! by ardle · · Score: 1

      Doesn't exactly sound like this was a new and unforseen problem

      It certainly wasn't.

    40. Re:Spill baby spill! by elfprince13 · · Score: 1

      Yes, it can, and I remember reading that the Japanese were looking into it a few years back, but it is very very dangerous, both in terms of small explosions like this, and catastrophic explosions that could release huge amounts of methane into the atmosphere (where it is a greenhouse gas 20 times more potent than CO2)

    41. Re:Spill baby spill! by Mr+Bubble · · Score: 1

      The question is not whether or not their will be accidents. The question is whether industry is willing to cut into their huge profits a little to have adequate safety, training, and response mechanisms commensurate with the challenging and environmentally sensitive areas that are left to drill in. This disaster shows they are not. And, if they are not, will the government do the right things and set reasonable regulations to ensure they do it against their will. Furthermore, since these accidents may very well happen, they need to be accounted for in the true price of oil and not be looked at as freak anomalies. Factoring in the billions of dollars and disruption to entire eco and economic systems starts to make the price point of solar and other alternative energy systems look much better.

      --
      "The world is a construct of forceful imagination. Those who don't know walk around in the reailties of those who do"
    42. Re:Spill baby spill! by budgenator · · Score: 1

      You didn't even post the "good" part from your link

      Becnel tells me that one of the platform workers has informed him that the BP well was apparently deeper than the 18,000 feet depth reported. BP failed to communicate that additional depth to Halliburton crews, who, therefore, poured in too small a cement cap for the additional pressure caused by the extra depth. So, it blew. The three causes of BP's oil disaster

      If that is true, it would explain a lot. Additionally it seems like a simple inventory would reveal whether there was 2 to 4 thousand feet of very expensive pipe unaccounted for.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    43. Re:Spill baby spill! by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      We're again back at evil cost cutting putting safety at risk. Here's a question: What's an appropriate safety measure for drilling in an environment where drilling has never before been performed? A lot of people forget that nearly all industrial process safety is based on not repeating past mistakes. When doing something that's never been done, what's your reference for process safety?

      Not drilling is an option that is at the sole discression of the government since you can't blame any oil company for asking for permission. If you have a better safer solution that is guaranteed to work at these insane depths, even if it's more expensive I'm sure the evil oil companies will be wanting to hear from you.

  2. interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by Trepidity · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Since these methane hydrates contain a significant amount of methane (i.e. natural gas), in the years since it was discovered that there are large deposits of them, they've periodically been touted as something we should actively drill for, as e.g. in this 1997 PopSci article.

    1. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by je+ne+sais+quoi · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yeah but they never get past the "touted as the next best thing" and graduate to the "best thing". The issues are precisely what is the problem with the dome on the deepwater horizon well -- the clathrates (gas hydrates) clog everything. Also, since they're a solid phase, they don't flow very well while trying to extract them. You can try heating sections of subsurface to thaw them, and you get some, but then they freeze again on the way up to the surface. You can try reducing the pressure to inhibit freezing, but then you're also reducing flow. As far as I know, to date there's only one well that's ever actually produced any significant amount of gas from the clathrates and that was essentially a fluke since the clathrates were sitting just below a traditional gas reservoir and as the gas came up from that, the clathrates sublimated and boosted the pressure slightly.

      --
      Gentlemen! You can't fight in here, this is the war room!
    2. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by LockeOnLogic · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Yea cause that's just what we need, another source of fossil fuel to further delay action on the energy crisis.

    3. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by interkin3tic · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Since these methane hydrates contain a significant amount of methane (i.e. natural gas), in the years since it was discovered that there are large deposits of them

      The article says 168 liters of methane from 1 liter of methane hydrates... I have no idea how much methane hydrates would be released, or how much methane would have to be released before it became an issue, but that sounds like a lot of methane and I've heard methane is quite a bit better at soaking up heat from solar rays than carbon dioxide.

      So, is that a concern, or would that just be a small drop in the bucket?

    4. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by mr_mischief · · Score: 4, Interesting

      If it's methane gas that will otherwise be freed to the atmosphere, it's much better to burn that for fuel than to free it and drill for oil under it. Methane is a much more powerful greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide, by about 80 times.

    5. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by clustermonkey · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Yeah, 'cause artificially limiting the use of available energy sources while not providing any viable alternatives won't deepen the energy crisis.

      We need innovative people to come up with viable alternatives, not endlessly complain about the impacts of available options. If someone actually comes up with a feasible, scalable alternative to fossil fuels, the switch to using that idea would just take care of itself due to market forces. The ugly truth is - there's currently no real alternative to switch to and complaining without providing viable alternatives won't change that.

    6. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      That was before the global warming hysteria started. Now any discussion of peak oil is irrelevant unless it is being used as justification for switching to more environmentally friendly power sources (or as just a reason why we should all go live in trees). There was a time when peak oil was an economic argument, but now it is firmly a doom-and-gloom, we're-killing-the-earth argument.

               

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    7. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by jbengt · · Score: 1

      It is a concern that release of methane from clathrates could be one of the positive feedback mechanisms: Warmer oceans could cause the clathrates to decompose, releasing methane, which would add to the greenhouse effect, further warming the oceans. On the other hand, methane doesn't last as long in the atmosphere as carbon dioxide, only 10 to 15 years compared to centuries for CO2. Still, CH4 is a much more powerful greenhouse gas, and over 100 years has a much bigger impact than CO2 (23 GWP or so).

    8. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by Idiomatick · · Score: 1

      Uh... obviously it would. If we banned all forms of energy production, deforestation and .... forest fires the agw climate crisis would be solved. Itd suck for humans and such for a while. But I imagine we'd come up with a really clean alternative in a few years being sufficiently motivated. That OR we could just switch over to nuclear plants and electric cars within 20years and end the issue entirely for another 100+ years.

    9. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by h4rr4r · · Score: 1

      Any discussion of peak oil always was about switching away to something better. Sorry if the truth has a liberal bias. Killing the earth is not profitable in the long term numbnuts.

    10. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, that exactly what we need. We need an energy crisis like we need a hole in the head.

    11. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by ArcherB · · Score: 4, Informative

      ya know, I hear this all the time but no-one ever provides a citation. Do you have a citation? (don't go look one up, you said it with such authority, you should have one already).

      I don't know if you are trying to be funny or if you are just too lazy or stupid to google it yourself. Either way, I took the liberty of doing it for you. I typed in "Methane greenhouse gas" (no quotes) in the google box and pressed enter. The first link, first paragraph showed me this:

      Methane

        Methane (CH4) is a greenhouse gas that remains in the atmosphere for approximately 9-15 years. Methane is over 20 times more effective in trapping heat in the atmosphere than carbon dioxide (CO2) over a 100-year period and is emitted from a variety of natural and human-influenced sources.

      From now on, I expect you to be a big boy and find your own citation.

      Seriously, if you were trying to be funny, then I guess the joke's on me because I don't get it. I'll be an optimist and hope that a Slash reader and contributer would know better. Allow me to "woosh" myself in the hope that it truly was a joke.

      --
      There is no "I disagree" mod for a reason. Flamebait, Troll, and Overrated are not substitutes.
    12. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by ArcherB · · Score: 1

      Any discussion of peak oil always was about switching away to something better. Sorry if the truth has a liberal bias. Killing the earth is not profitable in the long term numbnuts.

      Sorry, but there is nothing better. I'm sorry if reality runs counter to you "liberal bias".

      Well, OK, there is nuclear. But as I recall it was the liberal bias of all those GreenPeace types that killed it. So, it looks like liberal bias fucked us before and is coming back for seconds!

      --
      There is no "I disagree" mod for a reason. Flamebait, Troll, and Overrated are not substitutes.
    13. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by falconwolf · · Score: 4, Informative

      If someone actually comes up with a feasible, scalable alternative to fossil fuels, the switch to using that idea would just take care of itself due to market forces.

      Only if that were true, but it's not. Those who use fossil fuels get to pass on the external costs to others. One way to make polluters pay is by taxing carbon. But of course some complain that that harms businesses or people. Are you one of them?

      And that's only half of it. Fossil fuel supporters complain about how alternative energy sources get subsidies. Well, guess what? So do fossil fuels. Here's Rep. Edward Markey (D-MA) bragging about how his bill 'Has Huge Subsidies For Clean Coal! Huge!'. He starts by saying the Nuclear Power industry has received $145 Billion in federal subsides over the years. But combined solar and wind have only gotten $5 billion. In another video the CEO of Chevron agrees to lobby with Sierra Club to end coal subsidies. Those subsidies for nuclear power above? The Freemarket CATO institute reprinted a "Forbes" article printed on 26 November 2007 about how the Nulear Power Industry is Hooked on Subsidies. Among other things it says "How do France (and India, China and Russia) build cost-effective nuclear power plants? They don't. Governmental officials in those countries, not private investors, decide what is built. Nuclear power appeals to state planners, not market actors." In 2007 in the US all alternative energy sources including the $3.0 Billion corn based ethanol got, when corn is not a good feedstock for ethanol, got $4.875 Billion dollars. Subtract that $3 Billion and geothermal, solar, wind, and others only got $1.875 Billion. Coal got $3.760 Billion. Itself, oil has gotten the majority of federal energy incentives.

      What is happening is the government and not a free market is picking winners and losers. The government should end all subsidies, including allowing industries to pass external costs to others, and let the different players compeat.

      Falcon

    14. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by ArcherB · · Score: 1

      No.... my point was that you had to search. The guy I was replying to said it with authority without even bothering to provide a reference. Now you've gone and provided him with one and I bet he still hasn't learnt the lesson. Thanks asshat.

      And, btw, please provide a reference for the "by about 80 times" claim. Accuracy, it's not too much to ask.

      Now, now. If I were an asshat, it would have smacked my head instead of whooshing by. Now that wouldn't make for a very good "whoosh" meme, now would it.

      Either way. I get it now. It appears we were both asking the same thing except one of us was not very clear and other got his asshat knocked off by something that went "whoosh" as it flew over. :-)

      --
      There is no "I disagree" mod for a reason. Flamebait, Troll, and Overrated are not substitutes.
    15. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If your head had no holes in your head you would die, but maybe thats what you meant.

    16. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by smaddox · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I would like to point out 2 things.

      First of all, 20x more effective at trapping heat is very different from the 80x more powerful than the GP quoted.

      Second of all, the half life of CO2 is ~38 years, which is several times longer than methane. So, although methane traps more heat while it is in the atmosphere, it does not stay in the atmosphere near as long.

    17. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by timmarhy · · Score: 0
      if you cut off all forms of energy prouduction, what are you going to develop alternative solutions with? it doesn't matter how motivated you are if you don't have the resorces to follow through.

      this is a concept a lot of AGW people struggle to get - you need oil and coal to get off oil and coal.

      --
      If you mod me down, I will become more powerful than you can imagine....
    18. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You actually pump pressure topside downhole against the hydrate to thaw them.

      IMO hydrates are probably not the problem. The BOP would have had to sit idle for a substantial amount of time for them to form. Time is big money in the oil industry as these rigs can go for over 800k USD per day rental.

      It was most likly the sheer rams on the BOP failing due to mechanical problems.

      Now that I think about it... it was probably a hydrate in the hydraulic lines that power the BOP sheer rams. I work on with these things often if you have not figured it out by now.

      For those who do not know, the sheer rams are two giant steel wedges inside the BOP. When shit hits the fan they hit the o shit button. These two wedges slam against each other sheering all things inside the bop leak path. Drill pipe and all.

      A hydrate would not be able to stop these in most cases. I bet a wash tool was directly in the path of the sheer rams.

    19. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Did you fail to think beyond the mathematics and evaluate the information in the context of deep-water drilling. The practice is new, but the clathrates are old and abundant. If drilling in the gulf means dealing with methane/ice as a matter of course, and the oil companies haven't yet figured out how to protect their capital investment (rigs) from the operational dangers they represent, then they certainly aren't setup to capture the methane that might/could/will make it up from deep since, "The observed density is around 0.9 g/cm." (According to the same Wikipedia citation, which means the stuff floats.)

      Ergo, it is logical to assume that oil drilling in the Gulf, in the absence of enforced regulation, WILL result in an increase in atmospheric methane. And even though, as you pointed out, the half-life of atmospheric methane is less than that of CO2, it is still 20x more effective at trapping heat.

      So what was it you hoped to add to the discussion? That we should be less concerned about the methane because.... hmmm. Then answer must be down there with the bodies of the 11 men who BP cared so much about.

    20. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by j_sp_r · · Score: 1

      Why is "o shit" button needed? Won't they shut when the tether is broken, as might happen with explosions/hurricanes etc. Accidents happen, BOP's should not fail! I think there should be a billion dollar (or 10) fine for every failed BOP, so high costs can be justified.

    21. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by Nutria · · Score: 1

      If drilling in the gulf means dealing with methane/ice as a matter of course, and the oil companies haven't yet figured out how to protect their capital investment (rigs) from the operational dangers they represent

      Apparently, you don't realize how many decades (3) that oil companies have been drilling deep (300+ meters) into the Gulf of Mexico. And this isn't the 3rd 1600m oil rig in the Gulf, either...

      --
      "I don't know, therefore Aliens" Wafflebox1
    22. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by michaelhood · · Score: 1

      If it's methane gas that will otherwise be freed to the atmosphere, it's much better to burn that for fuel than to free it and drill for oil under it. Methane is a much more powerful greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide, by about 80 times.

      parent and his ilk surely know that, but there's no money to be made selling [carbon] credits to the ocean floor now is there?

    23. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The ugly truth is, you limit your consumption if no alternatives exist, rather than ruining your grandchildren's planet. THAT IS the ugly truth.

      Thousands of generations at least, have done without what you "need", and they did it with little knowledge and little technology. You can do better.

    24. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by DMiax · · Score: 1

      "20 times more effective over 100 years" should have told you something... Probably it is around 80 times more effective in the short period and the shorter decay rate helps a bit on the long run. And 20 times is still a lot in case you did not notice.

    25. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by M8e · · Score: 1

      http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/wg1/ar4-wg1-chapter2.pdf

      Table 2.14.

      (CH4 is "about 80"(72) in a 20 year "Time Horizon")

    26. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by mr_mischief · · Score: 1

      Here are citations for a GWP of 72 over 20 years:

      Those above do not, AFAIK, take into account the greenhouse gases that are formed when the methane itself reacts with other parts of the atmosphere. They all talk about the methane breaking down quickly, but carbon dioxide and ozone are two of the gases formed when that happens IIRC.

      There are also reports that don't mention time frames that list methane as anywhere from 10 to 58 times as effective as carbon dioxide as a greenhouse gas.

      The 100-year figure you're likely to read is anywhere from 20 to 33 GWP for methane, with 33 being common in recent reports.

      I'm not a climatologist, but I know how to read news sites and I know how to search the fucking web for my damn self. Do you?

    27. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by mr_mischief · · Score: 1

      Methane has a GWP of 33 in the latest reports, not 20, over 100 years. It has a GWP of 72 over 20 years.

      One cubic meter of methane hydrates at the sea floor expands to over 164 cubic meters of natural gas at the surface.

      The methane being released from the world's oceans is estimated at 14 teragrams (about 15.4 tons) a year, half of which is from just the East Siberian Arctic Shelf. Researchers are pretty sure the reason it's matching the rest of the oceans is because the type of methane hydrates that we've been talking about are releasing gas and becoming increasingly unstable.

      It seems some researchers blame releases from methane hydrates below the seas and below melting permafrost for past rapid warming trends. This is said to be the sort of warming feedback loop that carbon dioxide by itself probably couldn't trigger.

      Do note the dates of some of these articles. This is recent reporting.

      The short-term effects of methane are very important.

      For one, you and I probably won't be worried about it personally in a century. For another, when you have methane estimated in the billions of tons in little sections of the ocean and it seems that a little warming gets that all released, things start to compound rapidly.

    28. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by mr_mischief · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      You asked for citations, and I provided six. There's no need to bitch about it again in a separate post. Dick.

    29. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by illumin8 · · Score: 1

      Nuclear power appeals to state planners, not market actors.

      I don't care who nuclear power appeals to. I'd rather spend $billions building and running nuclear power plants than $billions drilling for oil, or $billions on the military to protect that oil. In the end, taxpayer money is being spent regardless. Whether it's on the power generation itself, or the externalities associated with the power generation, the costs to society are much higher for fossil fuels.

      --
      "When the president does it, that means it's not illegal." - Richard M. Nixon
    30. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

      First, methane is nearly 80x more powerfull than CO2, but it decomposes. Amortized on a century, it entrapes nearly 20x more energy. Yes, it doesn't stay at the atmosphere for long, but it is still way better to burn than to release it.

      Second, CO2 does not decompose at the Earth atmosphere, so there is no defined half life for it. It just stays there untill something, normaly life, takes it out. That process normaly takes thousands of years (and lots of the carbon that go to the fast carbon sinks will come back to the atmosphere during it).

    31. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by GooberToo · · Score: 1

      And at the end of the day, this is what anti-nukers completely miss. We know for a fact there are many drastically safer nuclear designers currently available, right around the corner, and right beyond our current technological grasp. With each new design comes more power, ever increasing safety, and better bang for the buck. But since whack jobs have effectively shut down the nuclear industry, effectively making them uninsurable (without government backing), new sites unobtainable, replacement of worn out equipment all but impossible, no solutions for spent fuel, and ever growing level of bureaucracy, legendary, they have condemned us to fossil fuels. Period.

      Frankly, nuclear is without a doubt the best route to go. Over time it will be come more cost effective and likely incredibly profitable. But with natural market evolution made completely impossible by anti-nuke whack jobs, our ONLY option is fossil fuels.

      At this point, there isn't an anti-nuke whack job that doesn't deserve a seriously hard whack on the head because they are themselves the world's biggest problem. Literally.

    32. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by HiThere · · Score: 1

      You may not have a doubt that nuclear power is the way to go, but *I* do.

      Mind you, I have no doubt that nuclear power could be made much better than oil. But nuclear plants are, inherently, centralized. As such the foster centralizations of power. This is a clear drawback. (But *IF* you go nuclear, please have all the plants owned by the government. Not by contractors who save money by cutting back on safety.)

      Also, if we do go with nuclear as any significant part of our power source, we need to start building breeder reactors QUICKLY!! There isn't that much U235 available in rich ores. That could spark another militaristic foreign policy "to ensure our energy future". Additionally, breeders can consume the fuel down until it's safe. There doesn't need to *BE* any hot waste. (To speak of. Nothings quite perfect.)

      But I think that a combination of wind and solar is our best staple power source. OTOH, I'm not totally certain that solar cells are the best for a centralized power plant. Using mirrors to heat a centralized element until it's hot enough to melt sodium has a lot to recommend it. And the, e.g, Sahara could then export a lot of it's heat as power. (Again, though, we end up with a large centralized energy source. Also transmission losses.)

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    33. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by tuomoks · · Score: 1

      "Accidents happen, BOP's should not fail! I think there should be a billion dollar (or 10) fine for every failed BOP, so high costs can be justified."

      Yeah, just one problem, the company responsible of BOP was Halliburton - never heard of them? This is USA - Halliburton has never and can never do anything wrong so how would / could you fine them?

    34. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by jwhitener · · Score: 1

      "The government should end all subsidies, including allowing industries to pass external costs to others"

      That would be a step in the right direction, but I don't think it is enough.

      In addition to all the other factors stated in posts above, we have to consider the massive infrastructure in place to support the status quo.

      Without subsidizing alternative energy, it might end up taking 50-100 years to completely replace all the infrastructure that currently supports coal and oil.

      If I were to try to compete with series of coal-->electricity plants by building up a series of say, wind farms, I'd face pretty large obstacles that coal does not face.

      Where to store the energy for later use or low wind times?
      Not being able to build near existing lines if there isn't wind there.
      Power grid not designed to handle spikes in power,
      etc etc etc

      Likewise if I wanted to start an electric car line. No 'recharge stations', no bulk battery makers, battery technology research needs to be furthered, etc..

      Subsidize should be used to encourage industry to move in the direction the benefits the public. Unfortunately, they don't seem to be used in that fashion very consistently.

    35. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      I don't care who nuclear power appeals to. I'd rather spend $billions building and running nuclear power plants than $billions drilling for oil, or $billions on the military to protect that oil. In the end, taxpayer money is being spent regardless.

      If government is going to spend any money on energy I'd rather it spend money on geothermal, hydrogen, solar, wind, and other sources before spending any on coal, nuclear, or petroleum energy. But as I've said elsewhere I don't want government subsidizing any of them. Instead what I would like to see is taxes cut, freer markets, as a consumer the ability to decide who I buy electricity from whether it be from coal or the wind, and as an investor have more money to invest how I want.

      Falcon

    36. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by GooberToo · · Score: 1

      You may not have a doubt that nuclear power is the way to go, but *I* do.

      That's fine and I can respect that.

      Mind you, I have no doubt that nuclear power could be made much better than oil. But nuclear plants are, inherently, centralized.

      Actually, they are not. There are designs which could make a reactor scale down for underground installation on a per neighborhood and even per house basis. They would then be interconnected to allow for redundancy.

      I think you'd truly be surprised about the huge variations is designs and safety improvements which are available - if even only in theory.

      But I think that a combination of wind and solar is our best staple power source

      Both of those have a lot to prove yet. I believe they have lots of potential. Just the same, thermal solar has yet to be proved a viable solution and the actual costs are still out. And photo solar is simply too expensive and too short lived. Which means wind is realistically the only short term up and coming alternative to nuclear.

      Just the same, as Pickens found out in Texas, the grid isn't built to support decentralized power distribution and power companies don't want to spend the billions required to change that. Which, sadly, brings us full circle to nuclear. Right now, with just existing fuel, we have enough fuel to run nuclear reactors for the next thousand or two years. Remember, nuclear power plant technology goes well beyond the designs created during the 1950s and 1960s. Unfortunately, that's largely all we have running world wide. A lot of our technology and nuclear understanding has drastically improved since then; as has material and manufacturing sciences

    37. Re:interestingly, themselves sometimes touted by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      "The government should end all subsidies, including allowing industries to pass external costs to others"

      That would be a step in the right direction, but I don't think it is enough.

      Neither do I. Another part of the problem is the grid, it is old and dumb. The national grid needs to be rebuilt and made smart.

      In addition to all the other factors stated in posts above, we have to consider the massive infrastructure in place to support the status quo.

      The infrastructure as it is today is part of the problem. Power outages in the US costs almost $100 Billion a year. So rebuild it using smart grid technologies. Now that is one place where government is needed, only government can allocate the easement or right of way needed for the cables and such.

      Without subsidizing alternative energy, it might end up taking 50-100 years to completely replace all the infrastructure that currently supports coal and oil.

      Not really, if anything blackouts, whether accidental such as those in the Northeast US and part of Canada in 2003 or rolling blackouts shows the national grid needs to be rebuilt. Businesses won't stand by idly losing billions of dollars year after year. Some are already working on it installing alternative systems of their own for instance.

      Where to store the energy for later use or low wind times?

      Coal doesn't have that problem because it's always being burned.

      Not being able to build near existing lines if there isn't wind there.

      Power grid not designed to handle spikes in power,

      As stated above the grid needs to be rebuilt anyway, just make it smart and include methods by which energy can be transmitted.

      Likewise if I wanted to start an electric car line. No 'recharge stations', no bulk battery makers, battery technology research needs to be furthered, etc..

      There weren't gas stations everywhere when autos were first built either. Actually the first autos were electric. The internal combustion engine only came after electric vehicles.

      Subsidize should be used to encourage industry to move in the direction the benefits the public. Unfortunately, they don't seem to be used in that fashion very consistently.

      No, economically they were only meant to allow enterprises to get off the ground but they are not used that way at all. Frequently subsidies are used to prop up businesses that would otherwise fail or put more money into already wealthy people's pockets.

      Falcon

  3. Farther offshore? by Dan+East · · Score: 1

    "would have to tread even more lightly as it pushes farther and farther offshore in search of energy"

    Is there a correlation between the amount of methane hydrates and the distance from shore?

    --
    Better known as 318230.
    1. Re:Farther offshore? by maxume · · Score: 5, Informative

      Depth, pressure.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    2. Re:Farther offshore? by T+Murphy · · Score: 5, Funny

      Sharks, which tend to stay relatively close to shore, eat the hydrates to power their lasers. This has caused the hydrates to be in relatively low concentration in shallower areas.

    3. Re:Farther offshore? by TubeSteak · · Score: 5, Informative

      Is there a correlation between the amount of methane hydrates and the distance from shore?

      The correlation is between distance from shore and depth + temperature.
      Here's some nice graphs showing depth vs temperature for methane hydrates

      And here's a picture of seafloor depths for context

      --
      [Fuck Beta]
      o0t!
    4. Re:Farther offshore? by MichaelSmith · · Score: 2, Funny

      Whats needed is a fully submersible drilling platform. Fortunately Ed Harris is still available.

    5. Re:Farther offshore? by Xyrus · · Score: 1

      It's related to the decline in pirates. Pirates produce methane, and that is processed by midgets to make the methane ice to feed the sharks. Thus completing the great circle of life, as dictated by his noodliness.

      Ramen

      --
      ~X~
    6. Re:Farther offshore? by Shakrai · · Score: 1, Offtopic

      Sweet. Mary Elizabeth Mastrantonio has a nice rack. Didn't they make a movie about that once that happened to take place underwater? ;)

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    7. Re:Farther offshore? by T+Murphy · · Score: 1

      5 funny doesn't discern between popular and quality jokes. I don't claim originality or quality on my above shark joke, although I at least claim originality on other jokes I've made here on slashdot. I kind of agree with your sentiment about over-used jokes, but I think c'est la vie applies first.

    8. Re:Farther offshore? by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 1

      More like PV=NRTk.

      Gas at 170+bar expanding to one bar absorbs tremendous heat.

  4. Arctic? by RobertM1968 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I wonder how they've avoided the problems up around Alaska or other places where it's actually cold enough for there to be ice - much less methane trapping ice.

    1. Re:Arctic? by Trona+Andy · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      It still doesn't get down to 259 F in Alaska, the freezing point of methane, even after the resignation of Sarah Palin.

    2. Re:Arctic? by Trepidity · · Score: 5, Informative

      This doesn't really answer why it's not a problem in Alaska, but the temperatures aren't actually much different. Alaskan offshore drilling is in relatively shallow water, which at those latitudes is somewhere in the low single digits C once you get below the ice pack; while this operation in the Gulf was at about 1700 meters depth, where the temperatures are also in the low single digits C. (There's lots of complicating factors, but this graph of depth v. temperature for three different latitudes gives an idea.) There's differences in pressure, which might matter, but also big differences in geology.

    3. Re:Arctic? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's mostly due to the high pressures at the depth they are drilling, not due to temperature.

    4. Re:Arctic? by ooshna · · Score: 1

      I don't think you've ever been to Alaska hell I can tell by pictures of it that it gets well below the boiling point of water. In fact most of the year it seems to be below the freezing point of water also.

    5. Re:Arctic? by LehiNephi · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Hydrates require both high pressure and low temperature to form, along with the proper composition of water and methane. Take away any of the three, and hydrates disappear. Typically the gas/water/oil is warm enough when it reaches the surface that hydrates do not form, and by the time it cools down enough, it has already been processed so that the water and methane are no longer mixed.

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    6. Re:Arctic? by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      You misread my post... ;-)

    7. Re:Arctic? by ooshna · · Score: 1

      No Trona Andy mistyped

    8. Re:Arctic? by Albinoman · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I've been wondering how warm oil is coming out of ground. Surely the oil coming out from such deep depths and with all the friction from the sand it carries along the way, the oil should be pretty hot.

    9. Re:Arctic? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The reason why they aren't more of a problem around Alaska is because methane hydrates aren't formed on the surface, where surface temps would come into play. Instead they form at the bottom of the ocean, where the temp is ~33 degrees pretty much everywhere on earth and where there is enough pressure to cause a phase change in the methane from gas to solid.

      I believe the actual source of the methane is from cracks in the ocean floor, but i'm not as sure about that one.

    10. Re:Arctic? by Trona+Andy · · Score: 0

      Ooshna is right. That's supposed to be -259 Farhrenheit. I'm not much of a copy editor.

    11. Re:Arctic? by Nebvin · · Score: 5, Informative

      I wonder how they've avoided the problems up around Alaska or other places where it's actually cold enough for there to be ice - much less methane trapping ice.

      I'm a gas field operator in Alberta, and hydrates can be a massive problem, especially when the wells are not big enough to justify dehydrating the gas at the well site and has to flow to a central facility. Since I operate a sour gas field (contains hydrogen sulfide) the problem is even worse. At our normal field pressures the gas starts to hydrate at around 20 C (68 F) if we are not taking extra steps to control it. It is one of the biggest causes of equipment damage and injuries/deaths. I have never operated oil wells so I am not knowledgeable about how they effect production of oil, but I have read about deaths due to mishandling hydrates at the wellhead of oil wells in Alberta and BC. To reduce the rate that they form, we inject chemicals such as methanol into the gas, and have line heaters at regular intervals along the pipeline. They are a regular problem and danger.

    12. Re:Arctic? by arkane1234 · · Score: 1

      We have this massive amount of magma along with a core of iron that is molten... it heats things up that are buried that deep in the ground.

      --
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    13. Re:Arctic? by willyg · · Score: 1

      Here, Let Me Google That For You (LMGTFY)...

      Here's a map from the American Association of Petroleum Geologists assembled to answer this very question...

      http://smu.edu/geothermal/2004NAMap/2004NAmap.htm

      I'll let you spend the money to get your answer...

      For a quick and cheap estimate, here's a publication specific to one particular field in the Gulf of Mexico:

      http://www.searchanddiscovery.net/documents/2007/07013forrest/images/forrest.pdf

      To quickly summarize from reference # 2, in the Gulf of Mexico, you might assume a static "surface" temperature of about 73 degrees F, and an increase of about 1.17 degrees F per 100 feet of well depth.

  5. oil leaks aren't natural? by 3seas · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Don't cha just gotta wonder with ocean floor earthquakes why we havn't have more natural oil spills in the ocean?

    1. Re:oil leaks aren't natural? by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 4, Informative

      Of course we do. The Gulf is said to leak 2000 barrels a day naturally.

      Some natural leaks in the gulf of California are even bigger.

    2. Re:oil leaks aren't natural? by Rijnzael · · Score: 1

      Possibly because if there were oil near faults, it would be boiled and/or ignited (oxygen permitting). It's entirely possible that there are oil deposits near these places, but the proximate volcano would likely grab our attention more so. But IANAG (I am not a Geologist).

    3. Re:oil leaks aren't natural? by Daetrin · · Score: 1

      The short answer is that we do have natural oil spills in the ocean. It's at a comparatively small amounts leaking through indirect cracks spread over wide areas and over long periods of time, so nature is able to adapt to it. That's as opposed to a giant hole drilled directly into the oil field allowing it to gush out at a rapid rate in a very small area. Believe it or not concentration and/or intensity of something often makes a big different on the effect it has. Take a look at little kids setting insects on fire with magnifying glasses. Sunlight is natural, so it can't be hurting the insects, right?

      --
      This Space Intentionally Left Blank
    4. Re:oil leaks aren't natural? by Alwin+Henseler · · Score: 1

      Not really - for oil deposites as they're found today: they've been sitting where they are for the millions of years it took to form them, without major leakage. So what are the chances of natural leakage within the few centuries that mankind has been looking? And perhaps where major leakage has happened (loooonggg ago), that oil deposit just wouldn't be there anymore.

      Also no one is saying there aren't any oil leaks with natural causes - it's just that the vast majority has human causes (or at least I'd guess that to be the case).

    5. Re:oil leaks aren't natural? by Huntr · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The oil deposits are about 20000 ft below the sea floor. If there were an earthquake that could unleash a significant amount of oil from 4 miles down, i.e., similar to this or other man-made oil disasters, we might have bigger problems to worry about.

    6. Re:oil leaks aren't natural? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It takes a really long time for oil to form, and only a relatively short time for it to leak. There are natural leaks, but any natural leak this size would have run dry long ago.

    7. Re:oil leaks aren't natural? by capnkr · · Score: 3, Informative

      ..and 2000 *barrels* @42 gal/per = 84,000 *gallons* per day. (Barrels to gallons conversion made because otherwise the numbers seem so disparate...).

      The California seafloor leaks are much larger. I don't think they know exactly how much, but this source quotes "8-80 Exxon Valdez spills", I would guess they mean annually. That's somewhere between 86.4 and 864 million gallons.

      --
      "...there are some things that can beat smartness and foresight. Awkwardness and stupidity can." ~ Mark Twain
    8. Re:oil leaks aren't natural? by Lars+T. · · Score: 1

      The California seafloor leaks are much larger. I don't think they know exactly how much, but this source quotes "8-80 Exxon Valdez spills", I would guess they mean annually. That's somewhere between 86.4 and 864 million gallons.

      Actually, I believe it's much less than that:

      Oil content of sediments is highest closest to the seeps and tails off with distance, creating an oil fallout shadow. The amount of oil in the sediments down current from the seeps is the equivalent of approximately 8 to 80 Exxon Valdez oil spills, the study said.

      Sounds more like the sum over the whole time of the spill

      There is an oil spill everyday at Coal Oil Point (COP), the natural seeps off Santa Barbara, where 20-25 tons of oil have leaked from the seafloor each day for the last several hundred thousand years.

      And here we have an estimate not only for that duration, but also one for the daily spill - though the "tons" could mean a lot of things, it's likely following this, so 20-25 tons of crude oil are about 145 to 185 barrels. For an Exxon Valdez (250,000 barrels) spill this would take a little over 4 years - but they only talk about the oil in the sediments, not the one that got eaten by bacteria, or drifted ashore or into the Pacific.

      --

      Lars T.

      To the guy who modded me down from perfect to terrible Karma - Apple haters still suck

    9. Re:oil leaks aren't natural? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >But IANAG (I am not a Geologist).

      That is clear. Nothing else in your post made any sense, except for "It's entirely possible that there are oil deposits near these places," but unfortunately you continued on with "but the proximate volcano would likely grab our attention more so" which ruined what was already a shaky start.

      It is frustrating that it seems almost no one on Slashdot seems to know a bloody thing about geology. As a rule, if you see a comment that involves some discussion of subjects that relate to geology, it is usually pretty much wrong in all material respects.

      For the record: faults and oil often occur near one another -- an observation tempered by the fact that faults of varying sizes, both dormant and recently active, occur pretty much everywhere; oil is extremely rarely if ever naturally boiling or ignited for any reason; faults certainly don't continuously generate heat, although they may channel it near the surface of the earth thanks to hydrothermal circulation; volcanoes often don't grab your attention (if I showed you two pictures of mountains, one a volcano and one not, could reliably identify the volcano?); and finally, the presence of a fault does not in any way indicate the presence of a volcano.

      Sorry.

    10. Re:oil leaks aren't natural? by Rijnzael · · Score: 1

      Hey, no need for your introduction paragraph or the "Sorry". People love facts/corrections with merit on /., even if sometimes they're hard to come by (especially in such topics). Next time head off bad comments such as mine at the pass and post your own rendition (and not as an AC so people will actually see it). It's not about who can prove who wrong or who has the best point by point argument.

    11. Re:oil leaks aren't natural? by wkcole · · Score: 1

      Of course we do. The Gulf is said to leak 2000 barrels a day naturally.

      Technically a truism, but is there someone other than you by whom that is said?

      Some natural leaks in the gulf of California are even bigger.

      Which ones?

      In 1995, the Smithsonian was saying that natural seeps globally totaled 62 million gallons/year which is about 4k barrels/day. In 2000, NASA put a number around 1.5k bbl/day on Gulf of Mexico seepage, with a methodology that couldn't fully exclude human-caused leakage but only included the northern GoM. The 2003 NRC "Oil in the Sea" report put global seepage at 600k tonnes/year which is about 12k bbl/day, and extrapolated the NASA GoM seepage data to 140k t/y for the whole GoM, or 2.8k bbl/day.

      My point is not that 2k bbl/day is a wrong number, but that (as that NRC report made clear) natural seepage numbers are only a little more than order of magnitude estimates, and at best have only one significant digit. That is largely because the nature of marine seepage is such that it generally does not cause noticeable effects. The spread of those few thousand barrels per day across the whole of the GoM has led to the development of ecological systems that can degrade that widespread and essentially continuous input of oil that is seeping slowly in any single location and doing so through porous areas in sedimentary deposits that have effects on what reaches the open water. A well blowout is fundamentally different because the oil is spewing out of an open channel to a sub-surface reservoir which in most cases worth drilling has a non-porous cap layer above it. So even a partial well blowout like the current one brings both a gross carrying capacity overrun with more "oil" coming out in one place than the whole GoM system normally handles and a qualitative difference in what that "oil" consists of.

    12. Re:oil leaks aren't natural? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You know, drilling for oil actually causes earthquakes. Especially pressurized wells like this. You're taking away what is essentially a giant shock absorber in the Earth's crust. The oil gushes out, the crust gradually moves together, then they pump water in to get the rest of the oil out. This water liquifies some of the mud down there and makes it even slipperier.

      That's why there are so many Earthquakes in Iran. It may have caused several of the largest earthquakes in Alaska in the 50's and 60's and several of the California earthquakes of the early 1900's. Haiti, 2010?

      It doesn't take a lot of movement of stuff to make the crust unstable. Man is has been able to move enough oil to cause disruptions for at least 100 years, and for longer than that we've made gigantic dams that also cause problems. Look at recent events in China after the giant dams they've made have brought water to previously "dry" joints in the Earth's crust. Look at the data.

    13. Re:oil leaks aren't natural? by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      I'm not disagreeing with you. My figures for the Gulf came from an NRC report that claimed 140,000 tons per year and the same accuracy.

      The issue here is to realize that while the BP leak is a major news event, and a point source, the spread of the oil through the Gulf is not going into a pristine environment which is not adapted to the presence of oil. Far from it; the Gulf has been exposed to these materials for millions of years, and the BP leak is the same order of magnitude as the natural exposure.

      All of this makes me believe that this isn't going to amount to the "end of the world".

  6. probably a bit ignorant here by nimbius · · Score: 3, Insightful

    but if the risk of offshore drilling is so great why do we continue to do it? if it costs more to make alternative fuels, where is the breaking point where a disaster is more or less expensive? why are we still allowed to continue drilling offshore when known unknown conditions exist which have not been fully counter measured?

    --
    Good people go to bed earlier.
    1. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Uh, dude, look around you. 99.99% of everything you eat, own, use, buy, throw away or want is brought to you by oil. *Nothing* matches it for chemical versatility, nothing else even comes close to the energy density of oil.

      It's one of our very few true energy sources. There is also hydro-electricity, nuclear electricity, and coal/gas electricity. Everything else is farts.

      You can't run our civilization on electricity alone. All air traffic would immediately and forever stop. Car traffic would essentially disappear. You'll go back to wooden sail ships (how are you gonna mine, refine and transform metal without oil? With coal? Good luck with that, *no one* is gonna want that in their backyard, except poor countries...)

      Food production depends on oil for everything. Fertilizers, harvesting, transportation, transformation and your drive to the supermarket. All oil.

      Your job, your house in the suburbs, your car? Oil.

      You want to know what your kids should learn?

      How to raise, breed and ride horses.

    2. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by fwr · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The amazing thing is, if we allowed ocean drilling much closer to shore we wouldn't have these problems. One, the depth would not be so great that the pressure created these methane and ice / sludge pockets. Two, a leak, if one were to occur, would be much easier to contain. You could actually send someone down to fix the problem if it were close enough to the shore. You are not sending someone down under 5000 feet of water... So, ironically, it is the wacko environmentalists that are to blame for this situation. Their answer? Either don't drill at all, or if you do, drill even further out, where the problems are even greater. Yea, that makes a lot of sense...

    3. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by LockeOnLogic · · Score: 1

      Because there is a very large, very powerful industry whose best interests involve drilling.

    4. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by maxume · · Score: 2, Funny

      Step 1: Use your diesel tractor to plow a field and plant some hay.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    5. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by h4rr4r · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You are not very imaginative. You can run on electricity alone, you use that to make whatever hydrocarbons you want.

    6. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by morgan_greywolf · · Score: 4, Interesting

      And, more importantly, why do we want to make drilling off the cost of Florida legal?

      I'll tell you why: it's the same reason we aren't all driving electric cars. Because the oil industry, by hook and crook, has done everything it can to make damned sure we're totally dependent on them for our transportation needs, such as buying up all the patents to make sure NIMH and Li-Ion batteries couldn't be used in cars, lobbying hard against ZEV-promoting initiatives, etc. See Who Killed the Electric Car?.

    7. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by Trepidity · · Score: 5, Informative

      Oil is really valuable, so there's a very high bar for the monetary cost of disaster to be not worth it, on a purely profits-vs-cleanup-costs basis.

      Some back-of-the-envelope estimates. Say this disaster ends up costing BP $10 billion. Say that any given rig has a 1% chance of causing a disaster of that magnitude. So we assign a $100 million amortized cost per rig, to cover the "chance this rig will catastrophically blow up". Is it still worth drilling in that case? Well, it actually barely changes the economics at all: these deep-water wells cost about $500-600 million to drill and put into production to begin with. So add to $100m to that and total costs are basically still on the same order of magnitude.

      In particular, these rigs can produce a lot of oil. BP's Thunder Horse rig in the gulf produces 250,000 barrels per day. Even if they make only $10/barrel operating profit (probably a low estimate), that's $2.5m per day in profits from the well, i.e. almost a billion dollars per year. Unless fully 10% of such wells incur $10b catastrophic cleanup costs every year, BP comes out ahead.

    8. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by je+ne+sais+quoi · · Score: 5, Informative

      "Wacko environmentalists" have absolutely nothing to do with it. The big problem with doing that is, unfortunately, there's precious little oil left close to shore. You could fill the entire U.S. coast so full of wells it looks like a pin cushion and it would hardly make a dent in the oil price. You can see the chart right here, U.S. oil production has been on a steady decline for decades and will never, ever recover, it doesn't matter how many wells you drill. Even the discovery of the north slope of Alaska and building the pipeline never got the U.S. production to recover from its 1972 peak. ANWR? Forget about it, ANWR's a blip that's laughably too little, too late. This is why the Republican chant of "drill baby drill" is so ridiculous, drilling is pointless without oil to find. We've used up most of the oil near shore, which is why BP was drilling in 5000 feet of water, it has nothing to do with environmentalists.

      --
      Gentlemen! You can't fight in here, this is the war room!
    9. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by Jeffrey+Baker · · Score: 1, Troll

      Alternate theory: you're a total fucking idiot.

    10. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by Shakrai · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You can run on electricity alone, you use that to make whatever hydrocarbons you want.

      Sure. Of course the only carbon free electrical source that can scale like that is nuclear....

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    11. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by interkin3tic · · Score: 1

      The amazing thing is, if we allowed ocean drilling much closer to shore we wouldn't have these problems.

      From what I've read, BP or one of their partners were to blame, this could have been avoided where it was, but corners were cut, regulations were eased, etc. I'm not convinced the way to prevent these things is to let those same idiots drill closer to the shore. I think the way to prevent these things is to not have idiots drilling anywhere.

      ironically, it is the wacko environmentalists that are to blame for this situation

      You have some odd views there. Environmentalists don't want drilling -anywhere-. They're not to blame.

    12. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by tibit · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Finally someone who sees the numbers for what they are.

      I keep saying that BP laughs all the way to the bank.

      What they are doing right now with the dome and booms is just PR stalling. They know full well that drilling the relief is the only way to fix the problem, but the public would go apeshit if they "did nothing" for 3 months. Of course the fact that they are in fact, umm, drilling the relief well is quickly lost on mostly everyone.

      The best thing we can do is buy up as much of their stock as we can. That way we can partake in their profits!

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    13. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by fredmosby · · Score: 1

      Even with the disasters that have happened, in terms of the cost to the human race, it's a lot less damaging than fighting a war to get oil. We should continue to develop new technologies that don't rely on oil. But until those technologies can replace oil offshore drilling is our best alternative.

    14. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by Delwin · · Score: 1

      so far.

      I'd lay odds that orbital solar can bring down a hell of a lot more energy with a lot less mess and risk than nuclear.

    15. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by h4rr4r · · Score: 1

      So use it. I fully support Wind, Solar, Tidal and clean nukes. By clean nukes I mean ones good at breeding fuel, so the waste ratio is lower.

    16. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by h4rr4r · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I think making them pay the actual total cost of cleanup might be a better solution. By that I mean they must clean every grain of sand that oil touched, if this bankrupts them good.

      Only higher oil costs will move us to better fuels.

    17. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Neither are you.

      We are barely able to supply electrical demand as it is. Now you want to suddenly supply all our hydrocarbons with some magical electrical process?

      1) Where are you going to do this? At what scale? With what technology? You will need to build a LOT of these plants to supply the hydrocarbon energy we use daily. A *LOT*.
      2) Where are you going to get this electricity? Still have some snide, off-the-cuff retort? Now please, go ahead and design, plan, implement and pass all the environmental, political and social hurdles for all these plants, everywhere where they will be needed. Pretty much the whole planet.

      Given an unlimited budget, think in even 50 years you'll get ahead with this?

      Nazi Germany was able to gasify coal to run a war machine. It was mostly done with slave labor in a fascist state.... No gas for your pretty SUV and your absurd house in the suburbs. It can't be done economically because it's energy-negative.

      Drilling for oil, even now, still takes less than one barrel of oil to get one barrel out of the ground... When that equation becomes 1:1, what do you think that means? Think about it for more than the time it takes to make some smart aleck remark.

    18. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by je+ne+sais+quoi · · Score: 1

      This is an excellent post. To put it another way though, they certainly have a monetary incentive to cap the well: if the well really is leaking 5000 barrels of oil a day, that's 1.8 million barrels per year. At the current crude oil price of $77/barrel, that's $140 million a year they're losing by having all this oil leak out into the gulf since a lot of their development costs are paid for (i.e., drilling the well). Of course, that 5000 barrels/day estimate is malarky, the WSJ is putting it at more like 25,000 barrels per day, that's $700 million per year.

      --
      Gentlemen! You can't fight in here, this is the war room!
    19. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by h4rr4r · · Score: 1

      I own no SUV nor home in the burbs, oh trollish one.

      I support any and all non-fossil fuel based energy solutions. The reality is this problem will be solved, once the price of oil is high enough alternatives start to look very attractive.

    20. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Precisely. You know what people these days REALLY need to watch? The first episode of James Burke's Connections.

    21. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by khallow · · Score: 0

      I think making them pay the actual total cost of cleanup might be a better solution. By that I mean they must clean every grain of sand that oil touched, if this bankrupts them good.

      Why make them pay for a problem that'll go away in a few years? And sand sort of by definition starts dirty. I think a good faith effort to contain the oil and cap the well is adequate.

    22. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by maxume · · Score: 2, Informative

      Cobasys is no longer controlled by Chevron (it is jointly owned by Samsung and Bosch):

      http://www.cobasys.com/investors/

      They will sell you nimh battery packs:

      http://www.cobasys.com/products/transportation.shtml

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    23. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by maxume · · Score: 1

      The WSJ number is from one guy at Florida State (Or maybe Florida).

      Industry folks with no motivation to lie (it ain't their problem) apparently say he is way out there (but maybe it is leaking lots more than BP says, just not 5x).

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    24. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by hey! · · Score: 1

      Perhaps, but I'd guess he's probably not enough an idiot that he makes arguments about the change in the distribution remaining oil reserves with a plot of gas production for a single year.

      That takes a special brand of idiocy... one that probably requires a new word.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    25. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by h4rr4r · · Score: 1

      Wow, imagine that they now sell batteries to be used in electric vehicles now that they are no longer owned by an oil company. I must say I am totally surprised that it appears an oil company would do something like this.

    26. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by h4rr4r · · Score: 2, Insightful

      In a few years?
      So how many tourist dollars is that?
      How many fishing dollars?
      What about the cost to the environment?

      I think they are lucky more folks are not calling for criminal prosecution.

    27. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by whoop · · Score: 1

      What about the cost to the environment?

      Well, the environment currently runs at no financial cost. So that times say ten years, would be .. um, just under one cent.

    28. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by dakameleon · · Score: 1

      Because those "known unknowns" aren't currently factored into the oil price - though you can guess they soon will be with BP footing the bill for this disaster.

      --
      Man who leaps off cliff jumps to conclusion.
    29. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Never gonna happen.

      Ever.

    30. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As much as I'd love to see a world with 100% clean and safe energy, I don't pretend that we can get there without using the current energy system to transition. We can create a solar, wind, hydro, etc infrastructure faster using oil than we can by stopping drilling (arguably we can't do it at all if we stop drilling). People need to stop the self-righteous political banter about the travesties of oil and the virtues of clean energy. One leads to the other. There's no opposition. Drill Baby Drill is just as stupid as Save The Whales. Yeah, we're in a shitty situation. Yeah, clean energy is eons better for the planet and for our lives. So let's save the whales by drilling ourselves out of the need to drill. Is it so crazy?

    31. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by frank_adrian314159 · · Score: 4, Informative

      I think making them pay the actual total cost of cleanup might be a better solution.

      Unfortunately, their liability was limited to $75M under the 1990 Oil Pollution Act. Of course, wanting to close the barn door after the horse has burned it down, the White House now wants to increase that to $10B, a figure slightly more in line with something that would make an oil company slow down and think about how shoddily their operations are being run.

      --
      That is all.
    32. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by Xyrus · · Score: 1

      The same method is used in all businesses. Basically, it's "How much can we fuck up/ fuck everyone else before the penalties outweigh the benefits?"

      Companies do the stupid, short-sighted, self-serving, amoral things they do because it is profitable to do so. Most transgressions result in warnings or fines. Fines and even threatening to shut down a plant or two isn't going to bother many big companies. In fact, they're likely head to China or India or some other place where restrictions aren't so tight and/or costs aren't so high.

      In fact, companies can do some pretty horrendous things before they get called on it. As long as what the company is doing isn't directly affecting the majority of it's consumer market, people don't really care. Hence the hypocrisy of decrying human rights violations in China and Saudi Arabia while buying a new DVD player made in China and gasoline made from Saudi oil. As long as we get what we want cheap, we're willing to rationalize (if not outright accept) whatever corporations are doing even if it is not in our overall best interests as a nation and/or species. We're even willing to topple governments and go to war for it.

      At any rate, real change doesn't happen until something really bad happens AND the consumers collectively tell the companies to kiss their asses. It doesn't happen very often. Even this spill is unlikely to do much real change.

      ~X~

      --
      ~X~
    33. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "price of oil is high enough alternatives start to look very attractive."

      And then you'll need to convert the whole planet with the only resource that can do it, oil, and you just said it'll be expensive...

      Can you think for more than three seconds why that might be, um, difficult?

      You can't build windmills in a wind-powered economy.

      "I own no SUV nor home in the burbs, oh trollish one."

      Good for you. How may do, though? Think you can convert all those people to a non-fossil lifestyle? Methinks you just don't get it.

      Our life and civilization will be OVER when the oil is gone. Simple as that.

      No doubt we will transform, but the society we will become will be nothing at all like what sci-fi has been pumping into our minds for a century.

      Think horses.

      So anyways, please tell me how you will magically make hydrocarbons with electricty?

      Go ahead, tell me, because otherwise you're just like a child wishing to Santa Claus, or at best a very naive person who thinks problems just solve themselves because other, smarter people will solve them.

      This problem isn't political or intellectual; it's geological. When is that going to sink in?

      Solar power from space? Utterly and completely unfeasible, impractical, and a complete energy sink. It's been that way since it was first dreamt up in the feverish imagination of Space Age lunatics.

      If it were possible, it would have been tried in the four decades we've had since then.

      Guess what? It's far simpler, efficient and actually buildable to just focus a bunch of mirrors at a tower and get all the power you need on Earth.

      Morocco is getting it.

    34. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by TheLink · · Score: 1

      I'm sure they can find military uses for something similar (e.g. to help blast stuff to bits). So it might happen, but not for "low cost energy" reasons.

      --
    35. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by olddoc · · Score: 1

      BP made about $10 billion in the past 1/2 year: http://www.bp.com/extendedgenericarticle.do?categoryId=2012968&contentId=7061409 They will not be happy to spend 1/2 a year's profit on the cleanup. If they have 100 rigs operating, each with a 1% chance of a $10 Billion loss, they are losing 1/2 their profit.

      --
      Power tends to corrupt, and absolute power corrupts absolutely.
    36. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      Of course the fact that they are in fact, umm, drilling the relief well is quickly lost on mostly everyone.

      Um, no it isn't forgotten. It's very good they're doing that for the most likely case that nothing else will work, which makes sense given what an enormous task it is doing anything that deep.

      But you're damn right I'd go ape-shit if they did nothing else, because it's unacceptable for them to not do everything possible to try to stop it earlier.

      You're also right, they're laughing all the way to the bank either way.

      If they want to keep laughing, they'd best get to proving that we have a solution to massive spills like this than letting them spew for months.

      There are serious risks for BP here, and serious costs too.

      Politically, there are big risks. It's one thing to dump a bunch of oil and ruin the lives of a bunch of fishermen on a coast in Alaska with a drunken captain for a scapegoat. There are major population centers along the gulf that are going to notice and care if their coast gets slimed. If they can't stop this soon while the damage is minimal, and the ultimate culprit isn't even human error but the difficulty caused by the insane pressures deep in the ocean? Yeah there goes their drilling plans, future profits from future rigs *poof*, up in smoke.

      And forget the cleanup, they are losing serious money right now! You think BP doesn't really want to reclaim 85% of the spilling oil by putting a dome over the spill asap? Then they can spend the next few months making money off this well before the relief well is done and they seal it off. Make more money and secure their future by reassuring people that the risk of future drilling is minimal?

      Yeah, I have every reason to believe that BP is doing everything they can to stop the leak asap. They have every incentive to do so, and I doubt any of it is just a show. It's still true that it's not extremely likely there's anything they can do. We're all resigned to that, though we all have motivation to try.

      But don't worry, I realize BP will still end up making money, and that they don't fundamentally give a shit about oil spills other than as factors in a spreadsheet.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    37. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by Chris+Burke · · Score: 2, Insightful

      BP has made a lot of noise about how they've paid more than that already, $300 mil+ I remember reading.

      But speaking of closing the barn door, if that sounds like it's just PR, well the PR loss of having this spill go on right as they're talking about expanding off-shore drilling is costing them a lot more money than they're worried about spending on cleanup. Higher liability for this spill means little compared to losing out on profits from a bunch of future wells. Even if they're only delayed.

      --

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    38. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      Oil companies are out there to make money. If you had offered Chevron a high enough price, they probably would have designed and developed batteries for you. And sold them to you. It is not Chevron's fault that a gallon of gasoline is worth 55 man hours of manual labor in terms of energy, and so way less expensive than your batteries.

      Notice how IBM decided to start supporting Linux, despite the fact that it is a competitor to what was then their core products. They would rather cash in on their competitors products than not, especially if it means their competitors won't.

    39. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by poopdeville · · Score: 1

      BP will never go bankrupt over this, unless their assets are nationalized. The elasticity of demand completely outstrips the elasticity of supply. Therefore, any fees levied against BP will be paid for by the consumer of their products. Oil is a fungible good, but it is also an oligopoly at this level. Every oil user will pay for BP's spill, even if they avoid BP.

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    40. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You want to know what your kids should learn?

      How to raise, breed and ride horses.

      And turn the leftover horses into oil, right?

    41. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by mysidia · · Score: 1

      But you need oil to be used in many of the components to build said orbital solar arrays, assuming it is even feasible.

    42. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by randyleepublic · · Score: 0

      I got a better idea. Take the top ten execs, the board of directors, and, for good measure, the actual guy who signed off on not using the safety device, and lop off their heads. Bet this shit doesn't happen again for a long time.

      --
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    43. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1

      So anyways, please tell me how you will magically make hydrocarbons with electricty?

      Use electrolysis to crack H2O to make H and O

      Burn H in the presence of C to make CH4, which is a hydrocarbon, and easy to transport.

      When CH4 is oxidized (ie, burnt) you get CO2 which is used at the head of the process where you use electric power to crack CO2 to produce C+O

      And if Australians like me had brains we would be doing this on an industrial scale right now and selling energy to the chilly northern hemisphere. Unfortunately we don't have the required brains...

    44. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      Except it won't go away in a few years. The beaches coated in oil by the Exxon Valdez still have oil just a few inches down. The fishery in the region is still a shadow of what it once was. Large oil spills create long-term ecological disasters. The pursuit of profit and cheap energy has likely damaged one of the most valuable fisheries in the Americas for decades to come. No matter how much BP ends up paying, it will only be a fraction of the damage it has done.

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    45. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by arkane1234 · · Score: 1

      Watching tv doesn't help...

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    46. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by arkane1234 · · Score: 1

      Buddy, I don't know how many times we need to say this...
      things are made from petroleum simply because it's the most abundant thing in our lives.
      We can make stuff out of CORN if we want, geez... or insert other abundant resource.

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    47. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by khallow · · Score: 1

      The beaches coated in oil by the Exxon Valdez still have oil just a few inches down.

      Glancing through recent articles on the matter, it appears to be a matter of local anaerobic conditions preventing the breakdown of oil and related materials in certain regions. The thing is that these conditions appear to occur anyway, to be a condition of the local environment not of the presence of oil. So it's not clear to me that having oil in these places is all that different from what other organic compounds would be there.

    48. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by mysidia · · Score: 1

      Corn is only abundant due to fertilization. Fertilization utilizes petroleum products.

      Also, abundancy of petroleum is not the main reason petroleum is used for these things.

      Petroleum is the only known material that can be used to create many things, plastics for example cannot be created using corn.

    49. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by khallow · · Score: 1

      We are barely able to supply electrical demand as it is.

      Where is this proof that we can't build more electricity plants? Last I checked, electricity production was no where near any sort of limit.

    50. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      but if the risk of offshore drilling is so great why do we continue to do it? if it costs more to make alternative fuels, where is the breaking point where a disaster is more or less expensive? why are we still allowed to continue drilling offshore when known unknown conditions exist which have not been fully counter measured?

      Actually doing that calculation is very hard.

      There was a very small chance that a very bad accident will happen each day the oil rig ran. You will find it is very hard to find the odds of every possible failure mode. We are a week into this accident, and no one can accurately estimate the cost of cleanup or the cost to other industries. We don't know how large the risks are, and we don't know the costs when bad things happen. Good luck making a reasoned cost benefit trade-off.

      An excellent book on this problem is "The Black Swan", by Nassim Nicholas Taleb.

      Google books has a preview:
      http://books.google.com/books?id=YdOYmYA2TJYC&printsec=frontcover&dq=the+black+swan&hl=en&ei=nO3oS_LgFoWKlwen_rzsCg&sa=X&oi=book_result&ct=result&resnum=1&ved=0CDMQ6AEwAA

    51. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Yes, but the wacko environmentalists do prevent us from getting nuclear, wind, and hydroelectric.

      So, we either "stay the course" with oil or we learn how to use an ox and plow.

      Personally, I'd rather have a nuclear station in my backyard.

    52. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      You and all alike will be dragged into the atomic age, kicking and screaming. Forget the horses and buy a hummer. And if not, the sun shall reverse the process. And even then, there is renewable petroleum at your local restaurant.

      Just so you understand, nuclear has insanely high EROEI. Solar has 20X EROEI. We currently have the technology to do electricity to liquids at %63 percent. I would do this in my house, but I could not get the required catalysts, nor would anyone want to have 50+ atm in their house. Solar PV can provide real gasoline and oil at $9 a gallon currently (actually a few years ago). Wind turbines could potentially do it at less than $3 a gallon. Solar thermal is cheaper. Possibly less if you use the thermochemical engines linked.

      Here's the process. Electricity is used to make hydrogen by dipping some stainless steel plates in baking soda. This can be up to %70 efficient. Then, baking soda would be heated to release CO2. The CO2 and the hydrogen would be heated by concentrated sunlight. Once they are heated, the same process the Nazi's and New Zealanders (what a combo) and the same process used to make methanol industrially today will kick in (%80-90). And you will have petroleum. Next time I can do my own project in a real lab, this will be it. Also, since it is %63 efficient, solar will have a real 12.6 EROEI. You and the likes of you can go back to horses, but I'm not going to stop the Chinese guys from taking your land while they drive their nuclear powered hummers.

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    53. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by ColaMan · · Score: 1

      how are you gonna mine, refine and transform metal without oil? With coal? Good luck with that, *no one* is gonna want that in their backyard, except poor countries...

      Electric drive trucks are a reality - there have been trucks using overhead wires when hauling out of pits as a boost for their drive motors for 20+ years. The 100 metres of flat ground they traverse in the pit sans overhead cabling could be sorted. Every other large item in a typical mine can and usually does run on 1000 volts or above - excavators, draglines, crushers, conveyors.

      Blast furnaces - which reduce the raw iron ore to iron - use large, large quantities of coal. Aluminium uses an electrochemical process, no oil required to directly power that.

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    54. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      but if the risk of offshore drilling is so great why do we continue to do it?

      The risk is great but it is not paid for by the oil companies. They have convenient laws in place that limit their liability. Just like they do with nuclear power. It's so cheap because WE the people have to bear the risks.

      Energy companies get to keep the profit and socialise the risk.

    55. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "What they are doing right now with the dome and booms is just PR stalling."

      This is nonsense. They are legally obliged to fix the problem but they also have huge economic incentives to get something working sooner. This is especially the case if they can get the well to stop flowing (not merely capturing what flows out), because uncontrolled flow tends to damage the reservoir and that will hugely affect their bottom line in this field. The total number of barrels they can eventually pump out of this field could be reduced greatly not merely by how much oil flows out (which is relatively small compared to the whole field), but because the rapid flow will mess up the arrangement of the water and oil left in the reservoir. Fingers of water can start to project into the oil and then you'll get a great deal of water mixed with your oil when you try to produce it, leaving much of the oil behind in "bypassed" pockets. This is one of the other reasons blowouts are not a good thing and industry has worked so hard to prevent them: even ignoring the environmental effects they cost you a lot of money. They are drilling the relief well because sometimes that's what it takes to stop a blowout, but there are faster options and they would still pursue them even if there was no environmental issue at all.

    56. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are 100% correct about the chemical versatility of oil, but...

      nothing else even comes close to the energy density of oil.

      Not quite. Especially since you mentioned nuclear power, take a look at the charts here. Uranium is nearly 2 million times more energy dense than oil.

    57. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by petermgreen · · Score: 1

      plastics for example cannot be created using corn.
      Afaict plastics (At least the basic ones) are mainly made from alkenes. OIL happens to be a conviniant and cheap source of these (we crack the long chain alkanes to produce slightly smaller alkanes for petrol and alkenes for plastics) but it's far from the only way to make them.

      The question is not can we produce stuff at all without oil (we can) it's whether we can produce stuff in sufficiant quantities to sustain the earths current population and living standards or worse those of the near future without burning through expendable resources at breakneck speed.

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    58. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by maxume · · Score: 1

      They were selling the batteries long before Chevron sold their stake.

      The point is, if Chevron were trying to suppress the technology, they would not have sold the company.

      Electric cars have not succeeded because the number of people that want $40,000 vehicles with 250 mile daily range is not that big (Especially compared to the market for combustion engine cars costing that much or less).

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    59. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by QuantumPion · · Score: 1

      And, more importantly, why do we want to make drilling off the cost of Florida legal?

      I'll tell you why: it's the same reason we aren't all driving electric cars. Because the oil industry, by hook and crook, has done everything it can to make damned sure we're totally dependent on them for our transportation needs, such as buying up all the patents to make sure NIMH and Li-Ion batteries couldn't be used in cars, lobbying hard against ZEV-promoting initiatives, etc. See Who Killed the Electric Car?.

      Whining that the oil companies are making us dependent on oil makes about as much sense as complaining that the agriculture industry is making us dependent on food.

    60. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, it doesn't. A nuclear plant typically returns 16 times the energy it took to build it. A hydro dam is around 200. Um, not really "insane", now is it?

      "Here's the process. Electricity is used to make hydrogen by dipping some stainless steel plates in baking soda. This can be up to %70 efficient. Then, baking soda would be heated to release CO2. The CO2 and the hydrogen would be heated by concentrated sunlight. Once they are heated, the same process the Nazi's and New Zealanders (what a combo) and the same process used to make methanol industrially today will kick in (%80-90). And you will have petroleum. Next time I can do my own project in a real lab, this will be it. Also, since it is %63 efficient, solar will have a real 12.6 EROEI. You and the likes of you can go back to horses, but I'm not going to stop the Chinese guys from taking your land while they drive their nuclear powered hummers."

      None of which will scale to planet wide distribution.Every step of your process assumes an oil-driven technology in the background driving it.

      Good luck to you, sir!

    61. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by h4rr4r · · Score: 1

      Via thermal depolymerization that is possible actually.

    62. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by h4rr4r · · Score: 1

      I mean in lost resources and in costs to restore habitat. You think cleaning off all those seabirds is free?

    63. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The $75M liability cap is for damages to other people's businesses. It does not include the cost of the cleanup, which will be in the billions.

      There are propositions to lift the limit, retroactively, which legislators think there is precedent for.

      BP's profit is in the tens of billions annually. They will feel this, financially. They may lose the equivalent of an entire year's profit. Of course, what "profit" is according to their financial statements is not truly representative of the total amount of money drawn out of the company by investors, executives, and also into investments which themselves have value. So it won't kill the company, but they'll have to pick who to shaft -- likely the stock holders, customers, government (taxpayer), and anyone they can manage to to pay for the damage they caused them.

    64. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      But the system makes 12 times as much oil as it consumes. So it does not matter if it is and oil driven technology. You can say what ever the hell you want about scaling. It does not make a difference because all the plants are independent, you have built one, you have built two, three, four as your business exponentially grows.

      Good luck to you and your horse commune. You guys haven't drowned in horse crud yet have you? Cause I'm not gonna bail you out.

      Good luck to you too, Oh trollish one.

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    65. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bingo! You are right on the money.

      It is well documented that there is a direct correlation between standard of living and energy consumption. It follows that cheaper energy will increase this standard of living. Just look around you - size of your house, number of cars, boats, computers, pda's cell phones, travel. Every single basic and luxury item takes energy to produce.

      I recommend the film "Crude Awakening" for those that would like to learn more about the oil industry and its impact on the wealth of oil consuming nations.

      Bottom line: We use oil over other energy sources because it is much cheaper than other sources and it increases our standard of living.

      Who is ready to give up their luxuries, dinners out, 2nd car, boat etc etc etc. The problem does not lie with the oil industry, but in human nature.

    66. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by jwhitener · · Score: 1

      I don't think that liability limit can prevent civil lawsuits from taking money from BP though right?

      Fisherman Joe sues in civil court for damages, and the Judge says, sorry, they've been sued enough? Or is that exactly what the limit is designed to prevent?

      For some reason I thought it was a liability limit for federal/state penalties, not citizens or class actions.

    67. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're really this dumb, aren't you. If electric was even close to competitive price-wise it'd already be a mainstay of the car industry. The tech just wasn't there, sweetie. Nice try though. Maybe in a few more years we'll have a viable battery tech that doesn't add $10,000 to the cost of a car, and doesn't raise other issues like how you refuel it on an already strained national energy grid.

      Electric doesn't reduce oil usage anyway, it actually exacerbates it. It's more efficient to bring oil to you than to push electricity along electrical lines.

    68. Re:probably a bit ignorant here by zummit · · Score: 1

      > Uh, dude, look around you. 99.99% of everything you eat, own, use, buy, throw away or want is brought to you by oil. *Nothing* matches it for chemical versatility

      Bear in mind, plastics can be made from cellulose obtained from hemp!

  7. When industry polices itself... by LockeOnLogic · · Score: 1

    This is why government needs to step in and make industry take actions which affect the bottom line adversely but are in the public interest. Will the industry suffer and lose profits from added safety regulation and oversight? Of course. But those profits are unfairly being funded by the damage and suffering resulting from this kind of reckless corperate activity.

    1. Re:When industry polices itself... by maxume · · Score: 1

      It seems pretty clear that they still have no idea why this happened, so it is a bit premature to assume that a government regulator (no matter how powerful) would have been able to foresee the problem.

      If prevention is simply a matter of installing a few million dollars of hardware, you can rest assured that they will do so next time. At a minimum, their insurance company will require it.

      --
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    2. Re:When industry polices itself... by LehiNephi · · Score: 1

      It's really a matter of tradeoffs. Stricter regulation means higher costs, which get passed on to the rest of the economy. Sure, safety can be increased, but at what cost? And how much damage would we prevent? We're really bumping up against the law of diminishing returns.

      Think of it this way: does one major disaster every thirty years (if you take Exxon Valdez plus BP Deepwater Horizon and extrapolate) outweigh thirty years of economic growth made possible by cheap energy? Considering the sheer quantity of oil/gas that is produced worldwide, the fact that so few accidents of this nature occur is really a tribute to how safe the industry (generally) operates.

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    3. Re:When industry polices itself... by XeroSine · · Score: 0

      When will people learn that It isn't the governments job to control private industry? Shit happens, Sometimes it is of no fault to any company or man/woman. Old equipment that they can only service when the government says its okay? Seems to me like the government is the one to blame because of all the regulations and ridiculous tariffs they shove up the industries ass whenever they go and send a crew down to work on oil caps and other equipment that keeps all of this from happening. You want to stop oil spills in the ocean? Let the drills tap more LANDMASS. On water operations are twice as likely to have issues because of all the policies, regulations, and anti-industry/anti-corporation BS they have to deal with. Yes its terrible when something like this happens, but if the industry is allowed to do what they need to do to service their equipment without a bunch of politicians getting involved then i think they would happen far less frequently.

    4. Re:When industry polices itself... by clarkkent09 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The problem is we need oil and we need those companies to drill for it. Given that there are about 4000 oil rigs in the gulf, it is unrealistic to expect 0 accidents forever. When you say the government needs to step in and make industry take actions you are almost always on a very slippery surface. The devil is in the details. Can the accidents still happen even if those regulations are followed exactly? Unless those regulations require miracles then the answer is probably, and they just allow the industry to say "Hew, it's not our fault, we followed the government's safety rules exactly". Much better to require as we do now for the companies that own that oil to pay for the cleanup. What is needed is full enforcement of that, but my prediction is that after years of wrangling and lawsuits, BP will really only pay a fraction of the true cost.

      --
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    5. Re:When industry polices itself... by jbengt · · Score: 1

      Think of it this way: does one major disaster every thirty years (if you take Exxon Valdez plus BP Deepwater Horizon and extrapolate) outweigh thirty years of economic growth made possible by cheap energy?

      Yes.
      If Exxon and BP were forced to make full restitution - to promptly pay fully for every fisherman's lost business. to restore the environment to it's pre-spill conditions, etc., they'd lose money for years.
      There are plenty of other ways to get energy, though they would take fighting the inertia of oil. You mentioned one - natural gas - but unfortunately lumped it together with oil. There is no shortage of methane in the US. In fact, there is a glut of production. If we could learn how to make use of it, we would have no need of foreign oil.

    6. Re:When industry polices itself... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Given that there are about 4000 oil rigs in the gulf, it is unrealistic to expect 0 accidents forever.

      I don't disagree with your statement, but would you apply the same logic for nuclear reactors as well?

      Government regulations and fines can tip the balance just slighly more in favor of it making more sense for a company to focus even stronger on avoiding such accidents to exploit such fields in an economically viable way.

    7. Re:When industry polices itself... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Another issue with proposing increased regulation is that relevant knowledge and experience is rare and expensive. Offshore drilling and production has a small, very highly paid community, where everyone knows each other and they all work for the major companies, directly or indirectly. The majors are the only ones able to fund the multiple billion dollar entry cost to build and operate a deepwater production facility. This means that standards are written by industry bodies, as governments can't realistically offer comparable pay and experience without operating a national oil and gas company.

      Goverment legislation therefore tends to be around the easy to understand edges, such as limiting total emissions and storage procedures, because almost one in the public service actually understands the technical issues involved in oil exploration and production.

    8. Re:When industry polices itself... by Khashishi · · Score: 1

      How do you calculate the true cost? Rather, how do you arrive at a legal judgment of the true cost, given many varying estimates?

    9. Re:When industry polices itself... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The devil is in the fact the BP lobbied against stricter safety regulations on drilling rigs.

  8. earthquake question indeed asked before by Animaether · · Score: 1

    http://news.slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=1639434&cid=32078300

    Whether or not the answer is any good is another matter entirely - I wouldn't know.

  9. Better Article by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 5, Informative

    This one has more detail, and is actually really-well written. Really, an AP story with some investigative journalism. Kudos, guy, you're making your co-workers look bad. :)

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    1. Re:Better Article by nbauman · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I agree. That was the best story of dozens that I read on the entire subject.

      There were 2 reasons for that: (1) Schwartz and Weber interviewed Robert Bea http://www.ce.berkeley.edu/~bea/ and (2) They were smart enough to understand what Bea was talking about.

      The reason Bea is so brilliant is that (1) He understands the technology thoroughly and (2) He concentrates on the question of why engineers don't do what they know they have to do in order to prevent accidents. Bea does for civil engineering what Feynmann did for the Challenger disaster.

    2. Re:Better Article by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

      Cool, thanks for the background info.

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    3. Re:Better Article by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Bea does for civil engineering what Feynmann did for the Challenger disaster.

      Grandstands and performs comic routines that add essentially nothing to advance the inquiry or public understanding of the issues?

  10. It's the BP spill, not Gulf spill. by zero_out · · Score: 1

    Could we please stop calling it the "Gulf" spill? Oil spills are conventionally named after the company responsible. That would be BP, or Transocean (the company that leased the rig to BP). Additionally, it's not really a "spill," but for lack of a clearly better word (gucher perhaps?), I am willing to accept that. Calling it the "Gulf" spill doesn't put enough responsibility on those who should be bearing it.

    1. Re:It's the BP spill, not Gulf spill. by chill · · Score: 1

      Well, it looks like the crew doing the cementing was from Haliburton, so can we call it the Haliburton Spill?

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    2. Re:It's the BP spill, not Gulf spill. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Haliburton Disaster? er... everything they do is a disaster so that doesn't really help matters.

    3. Re:It's the BP spill, not Gulf spill. by dAzED1 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I worry about permanently assigning blame only once those responsible decide they're going to do nothing (or next to nothing) ala Exxon Valdez. Accidents happen, and unless BP acted in gross negligence, and unless they don't put much effort in to fixing the problem, I won't be worried about permanently affixing their name to it.

      But ymmv, I'm not your spiritual leader.

    4. Re:It's the BP spill, not Gulf spill. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, but if you call it the "BP spill", people are going to confuse it with all the other BP spills!

    5. Re:It's the BP spill, not Gulf spill. by topherama · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Could we please stop calling it the "Gulf" spill? Oil spills are conventionally named after the company responsible. That would be BP, or Transocean (the company that leased the rig to BP). Additionally, it's not really a "spill," but for lack of a clearly better word (gucher perhaps?), I am willing to accept that. Calling it the "Gulf" spill doesn't put enough responsibility on those who should be bearing it.

      I'm so tired of this filth people bullshit and then repeat, and it's getting worse even here. The company responsible isn't BP, they're just the company that owns the asset (the rig itself). The company responsible, and thus liable, is the CONTRACTOR. You know, the little engineering company that BP contracted to drill the well, who was supposed to get it working and then hand over control to BP for capturing and refinement. The engineer drilling the well fucked up, his famous last words of "there's water everywhere" (paraphrase) mean the casement was fucked, water was entering the pipe, and everything was coming straight up from 5000 feet like a fatass sucking a shake through a straw. Unequal pressure through incompetent drilling led to the explosion and this whole thing.

      Oh, one more thing, that little engineering company that is LEGALLY LIABLE for the fuck-up is only worth $50 or a $100 million, and just declared bankruptcy (hypothetically, of course). So there goes pretty much all of the money for the clean-up, save what BP donates to make themselves look good. The stupid shit Obama thinks he can pin this on BP, and there's not a chance in hell they're paying a dime more than they want.

    6. Re:It's the BP spill, not Gulf spill. by h4rr4r · · Score: 1

      You mean how BP acted during Exxon Valdez? And here again?

      During Exxon Valdez they lied about cleanup equipment and personnel being available, this time they neglected to use safety equipment other governments would have required.

    7. Re:It's the BP spill, not Gulf spill. by h4rr4r · · Score: 1

      BP is responsible they hired these assholes. You can't push it off on a contractor. Like it or not, their oil is leaking onto someones land, BP's problem to fix.

    8. Re:It's the BP spill, not Gulf spill. by itlurksbeneath · · Score: 4, Informative

      And what if it turns out that, in fact, BP broke no regulations, bent no rules and this was simply something that nobody could have for-seen and no safety equipment on the planet could have withstood the pressure released from below the earth's surface? Would it be the Mother Nature spill?

      Also, I don't think a lot of you appreciate the safety culture in an offshore environment for American companies. Safety is number one. Nobody wants to die on the job, nobody wants their actions to cause somebody else's death and no company wants to tell someody's loved one they died on the job. Safety is a very serious thing offshore - for employees and employers. Following procedures, regulations, safety protocols is paramount to everything else.

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    9. Re:It's the BP spill, not Gulf spill. by topherama · · Score: 1
      That's one hell of a slippery slope you condone there. First, it's not "their" oil. The oil goes to whoever can finance and stick a pipe and distribution system on or close to it. You are aware BP is England's largest corporation, right? You really expect a company based in GB to pay millions of not-legally obligated dollars to help a country halfway across the world? Bad analogies below:

      When your lawyer fucks up your murder trial and you get the death penalty, do you get the blame? No, you get a mistrial. When your house builder hires a contractor and the walls cave in and crush half your stuff, do you get to sue the builder? Maybe, but he turns around and sues the contractor for whatever you squeezed out of him. Most of our legal and social systems are based on contractual obligations and liabilities. You cannot arbitrarily assign blame and start up a lynch mob because your contractor f'ed up. Legally speaking, the only company liable, at the end of the day, is the contractor. That's why they exist. There's no drunk Joe here steering a boat into a coral reef, thus no negligence on BP's part.

    10. Re:It's the BP spill, not Gulf spill. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why stop at BP? Why not put the blame where it really belongs - on everyone who uses the oil. In other words, every person in the US (and the rest of the developed word). It may make is easier for you to sleep at night if you put the blame on BP or 'these assholes', but look in the mirror first.

    11. Re:It's the BP spill, not Gulf spill. by zdv · · Score: 1

      BP bought Gulf Oil, so calling it the "Gulf spill" is perfectly reasonable...

    12. Re:It's the BP spill, not Gulf spill. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    13. Re:It's the BP spill, not Gulf spill. by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      this time they neglected to use safety equipment other governments would have required.

      Citation please. By all indications the Deep Water Horizon was one of the best equipt and truly record setting vessels formally floating in the ocean.

    14. Re:It's the BP spill, not Gulf spill. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      British Petroleum is an American company?

    15. Re:It's the BP spill, not Gulf spill. by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      When your house builder hires a contractor and the walls cave in and crush half your stuff, do you get to sue the builder? Maybe, but he turns around and sues the contractor for whatever you squeezed out of him.

      Wow, you got it 100% right, and still screwed it up. You sue the contractor. You don't have any relationship with the subcontractor, and so have no cause against him. So you contact the contractor. He makes good or you sue him. He pays. What he does with the subcontractor is irrelevant to your position. You didn't select the subcontractor. You didn't deal with him. You didn't verify he was bonded and insured. You hired a licensed, bonded, and insured contractor. If there's a problem, he's 100% liable (from your point of view). Whether he has some 3rd party contract that spreads the cost of that liability to anyone else is irrelevant.

      Same for here. BP is the *only* entity that anyone should go after. If their subcontractor screwed it up, that's an issue for them and BP to work out. BP accepted full responsibility when they got the lease, and they are the only ones responsible.

  11. So does this mean......... by ArcadeNut · · Score: 1

    That they are treading on thin ice?

    --
    Visit the Arcade Restoration Workshop @ http://www.arcaderestoration.com
  12. Shiny object... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "started the spill in the first place" Make no mistake about it, the root cause was our nations dependance on oil. More precisely BP drilling for oil to quench the thirst.
    Look shiny object, now that it has been summed up in some irrelevant detail, we can all go back to not caring.

  13. New buzzphrase by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Spill, baby, spill?

  14. They dug too deep by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's related to the decline in pirates.

    But there are more pirates active now than at any other time in history and the rate of piracy is on the rise. Or is this a localised phenomenon you are talking about? Or is this just typical religious denial of facts? Damn FSM fundies!

    For myself a LoTR analogy suggested itself. As with the Mines of Moria, "they dug too deep!"

  15. You're seeing the problem by sean.peters · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Clathrates require enormous pressures and very cold temperatures to remain stable. Warm them up to room temperature... and let's just say your gas tank won't be remaining whole very long.

    1. Re:You're seeing the problem by apoc.famine · · Score: 4, Informative

      Like you said at first, they ALSO require pressure. And they're shock-sensitive. Shock, minimal temperature changes, or minimal pressure changes can make them go back into gaseous form.

      There is a ton of energy available in this form, throughout the oceans. It's a concern that the instability of these methane structures could actually cause some rapid climate change, if they're disturbed by warming oceans, current changes, etc.

      That same instability makes them damn hard to mine for energy. A number of companies and research organizations have tried, but so far, everyone that's disturbed them has watched as the methane bubbled up to the surface, and escaped into the air.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    2. Re:You're seeing the problem by b4upoo · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I do not get why lowering a containment dome over the leak allowed freezing. I don't know what an oil and water mix can take to freeze solid. If that is the issue why not simply add a heater inside that container?
                          Further why do we not have containers poised above every valve cluster in case of urgent need? Why was this never required? Why were the shut off valves not tested every day or two? And why not simply bolt some lead on that container to increase its weight? I am on the edge of believing that the entire drilling industry is not composed of mental rejects with about the morality of a mass murderer.

    3. Re:You're seeing the problem by ormondotvos · · Score: 2, Informative

      Go the theoildrum.com for the complete explanation by "shelburn" and until then stfu.

    4. Re:You're seeing the problem by Schemat1c · · Score: 1

      Go the theoildrum.com for the complete explanation by "shelburn" and until then stfu.

      A very busy site. Maybe post a direct link or "stfu" yourself?

      --

      "Nobody knows the age of the human race, but everybody agrees that it is old enough to know better." - Unknown
    5. Re:You're seeing the problem by Laser_iCE · · Score: 4, Informative

      I went there, CTRL+F "shelburn" and found this article on the home page.

    6. Re:You're seeing the problem by NicknamesAreStupid · · Score: 1

      Yes, at a depth of 1.6 kilometers the pressure is about 160 atmospheres or ~160kg/sq. cm. Liquid methane needs about 45 atmospheres at a critical temperature of about minus 88 degrees Celsius, much colder than ocean water even at that depth. Any warmer and methane becomes a gas no matter what the pressure. Methane hydrates are methane gases trapped inside frozen water that can exist at up to water's freezing point. While not a liquid, methane hydrate is compressed to about 40 times the volume of the liquid, ~1g/cm3 at zero C. BTW, it takes a lot of frozen water to trap methane, more than five times the mass of the gas.

    7. Re:You're seeing the problem by davaguco · · Score: 2, Informative
      --
      Please google and research "peak oil" a bit. You will discover this crisis is a lot worse than they have told you
    8. Re:You're seeing the problem by fractoid · · Score: 1

      Like you said at first, they ALSO require pressure. And they're shock-sensitive. Shock, minimal temperature changes, or minimal pressure changes can make them go back into gaseous form.

      There is a ton of energy available in this form, throughout the oceans. It's a concern that the instability of these methane structures could actually cause some rapid climate change, if they're disturbed by warming oceans, current changes, etc.

      Sounds to me like they'd be vulnerable to a Dr Evil-style ecoterror plot where you threaten to detonate a large conventional explosive under the ice cap, setting off a large area of this stuff in one go and generally causing an ice shelf or two to go BOOM.

      --
      Rampant carbon sequestration destroyed the Dinosaurs' tropical paradise. I'm here to help repair the damage.
    9. Re:You're seeing the problem by Marcika · · Score: 1

      Like you said at first, they ALSO require pressure. And they're shock-sensitive. Shock, minimal temperature changes, or minimal pressure changes can make them go back into gaseous form. There is a ton of energy available in this form, throughout the oceans. It's a concern that the instability of these methane structures could actually cause some rapid climate change, if they're disturbed by warming oceans, current changes, etc.

      Sounds to me like they'd be vulnerable to a Dr Evil-style ecoterror plot where you threaten to detonate a large conventional explosive under the ice cap, setting off a large area of this stuff in one go and generally causing an ice shelf or two to go BOOM.

      Sort of like in The Swarm (well maybe without the alien involvement)...

    10. Re:You're seeing the problem by apoc.famine · · Score: 1

      If Dr. Evil had a bomb large enough to do that, you'd better be worrying about the bomb....

      The methane hydrates/clathrates in the ocean are deep, buried in sediments, and well spread out. A single event like a bomb won't release much at all. You'd be better off blowing up an oil rig with the explosives.

      However, a small change in temperature of part of an ocean could theoretically change the path of some currents, and those, in turn, could disrupt the methane. That's the real worry - you need something enormous to disrupt enough of them. It either has to be a change in currents/temperature, or cthulu.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    11. Re:You're seeing the problem by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      Wikipedia says that methane clathrate "is stable at a temperature of up to around 0 C, at higher pressures ... remain stable up to 18 C."

    12. Re:You're seeing the problem by beniform · · Score: 1
      Could spontaneous decomposition of methane hydrates trigger a tsunami producing seabed avalanche?

      Positive feedback: landslide -> heat + hole in sea->reduced pressure -> more decomposition

    13. Re:You're seeing the problem by apoc.famine · · Score: 1

      Theoretically, sure. There's speculation that they could be responsible for ships disappearing in the Bermuda Triangle region. A massive release of gas underwater creates a big bubble, and when it hits the surface, ships suddenly find themselves sailing on air. They fall into the bubble, the waves crash over, and in a matter of seconds they are gone with all hands on deck.

      If that's the case, then the massive pressure change relating to that would definitely cause disturbances on the seafloor. Enough to make a positive feedback? It probably depends on the distribution and density of the methane ice.

      However, that's unlikely to produce a tsunami. The primary driver of tsunamis is a rapid change in height of a long, narrow amount of seafloor. Landslides are usually more spread out, as they're gravity driven rather than tectonically forced like faults are. Maybe, but it wouldn't be overly impressive unless the landslide was on the order of tens of kilometers.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
  16. Clathrates == Oceanic farts: smelly and too warm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    So, is that a concern, or would that just be a small drop in the bucket?

    Read up on the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum. The whole world was so warm, there was basically no ice anywhere on the surface (maybe some at extreme depths), and the Arctic Ocean was warm enough for alligators. One theory for why temperatures spiked so high has to do with a runaway positive feedback loop, where rising temperatures cause clathrates to melt out, which causes more heating.

    So no, not just a drop in the bucket.

    Cheers,

  17. Alternative sources could compete by sean.peters · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ... if 1) we didn't massively subsidize the use of fossil fuels, and 2) the price of various forms of environmental devastation wasn't treated as an externality. Consider that the continental shelf is the property of the US government, and we have been and continue to lease the mineral rights to BP, et al, for way below market rates. And that we provide massive security services to various oil companies in the form of huge military commitments in the Middle East. And we provide an enormous interstate highway system, the cost of which is only partly offset by user fees such as tolls and gas taxes.

    Also, consider that fossil fuel extractors and consumers are essentially paying nothing for the privilege of dumping huge amounts of greenhouse gases and other pollutants into the atmosphere, even though everyone is paying the cost in the form of climate disturbances, poor air quality, etc. And that when these major spills happen, the companies involved generally get off without paying significant damages (note that after years of litigation, Exxon ended up paying a tiny fraction of the total estimated damages from the Exxon Valdez spill - local fishing and tourism industries were left holding the bag).

    Greener alternatives such as wind and solar could compete, if the true costs of fossil fuels were paid at the pump. But they're not.

    1. Re:Alternative sources could compete by oldspewey · · Score: 5, Insightful

      To badly paraphrase Noam Chomsky, capitalists are actually big fans of socialism. They love the idea of socializing harm ... it's the profits they don't like sharing.

      --
      If libertarians are so opposed to effective government, why don't they all move to Somalia?
    2. Re:Alternative sources could compete by zach_the_lizard · · Score: 1

      It depends on what you mean by capitalist. If by capitalist, you mean the current (and past) crop of business leaders and politicians, then you are correct in most cases. Those on top want to remain on top, and they will use whatever language available to maintain their position. Of course, the word has become distorted and made to mean so many things, just like the word socialism, that I find the term to have little value.

      --
      SSC
    3. Re:Alternative sources could compete by falconwolf · · Score: 4, Insightful

      To badly paraphrase Noam Chomsky, capitalists are actually big fans of socialism. They love the idea of socializing harm ... it's the profits they don't like sharing.

      No, that's neither capitalists nor free market supporters. What those are are corporatists or Fascists.

      Falcon

    4. Re:Alternative sources could compete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What does a gas bag like you pay for farting greenhouse gases into the atmosphere through your mouth?

      "Paying" for carbon is a made up scam. Just another source of revenue for the gov to flush down the drain on losers and illegals.

    5. Re:Alternative sources could compete by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      Ya know, it sounds like you just made an economic argument without a single number.

      Maybe I'm just being picky.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    6. Re:Alternative sources could compete by arkane1234 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      which embody most of the capitalistic world, so let's not go splitting hairs.
      If it quacks like a duck...

      --
      -- This space for lease, low setup fee, inquire within!
    7. Re:Alternative sources could compete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, all leftists in business are corporatists or fascists. There ya go.

    8. Re:Alternative sources could compete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Humpty Dumpty, you're wrong. Capitalism is a well defined word and much simpler and broader than you seem to think. Fashism and capitalism are not mutually exclusive.

    9. Re:Alternative sources could compete by Aceticon · · Score: 1

      No, that's neither capitalists nor free market supporters. What those are are corporatists or Fascists.

      It might very well be the case that (perfect) Capitalism, like (perfect) Communism, is unstable because it does not take in account the inherent characteristics of Human beings and societies.

      True Capitalism should sit somewhere between Anarchy and Corporatism:
      - Capitalism cannot work in a rule-less world (ie Anarchy) since some regulation and enforcement is required for things like enforcing contracts and enforcing property ownership (in an Anarchist system, ownership is decided by your ability to defend it yourself) which in turn are a pre-requesite for effecient working Markets, without which there is no Capitalism.

      On the other hand extreme, Corporatism is a situation where Corporations have taken over the mechanisms for Rule Setting - in other words, the game is fixed.

      So the ideal notion of Capitalism places it at a point between Anarchy and Corporatism where there are enough Rules and Enforcement to make the Markets work but no Market player, no mater how big or powerful, has the ability to influence the Rules or their Enforcement.

      I postulate that, given the way Politics (the rule setters), Power and Money interact, it is impossible to have a situation where the Players do not influence the Rules and furthermore, the bigger the player the more influence they have in setting the Rules.

      In other words, a Capitalist system is an unstable social construct that tends to slide into Corporativism.

    10. Re:Alternative sources could compete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "and we have been and continue to lease the mineral rights to BP, et al, for way below market rates."

      What are you talking about? There is a competitive bid process. Companies have to bid on the land and the highest bid wins. How could that be "below market rates" when it is a competitive market that establishes the rate? Or do you mean the production royalty rate once (if) they are successful? Keep in mind they also have to pay for the dry holes.

      The rest of your points may be valid, but I don't see solar power paying for, say, the environmental costs of extracting silicon and the greenhouse gasses that generates either.

    11. Re:Alternative sources could compete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Have you ever heard of these newfangled things they call "trains" and "riverboats"?

      Sheesh...

      Otherwise, yes, it's harsh. But many people will survive; just learn that your shopping trip with your wheelbarrow will take you 80 km instead of 2 :-/.

    12. Re:Alternative sources could compete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "No, that's neither capitalists nor free market supporters"

      But they masquerade as capitalists and free market supporters, they dominate the economic policy making process, and hardly anyone with a public voice calls them on it. The problem with it is not what it's being called...

    13. Re:Alternative sources could compete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh yes, but you need coal, petroleum, or natural gas to power these trains and riveerboats. Even though you fucktarded Communists feel solar and wind energy will power everything it will not be enough to power the fucking infrastructure.

    14. Re:Alternative sources could compete by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      which embody most of the capitalistic world, so let's not go splitting hairs.

      One, it's not splitting hairs when correcting other for the improper use of words. And two, communications requires people to use words correctly. Why communicate when the definitions of words can't even be agreed upon? Newspeak is only good for pulling the wool over people's eyes or make them ignorant.

      If it quacks like a duck...

      It might be the dictator trying to brainwash people.

      Falcon

  18. This may be secondary by no-body · · Score: 1

    To me, the underlying cause is that some disconnected individuals in a power hierarchy are taking irresponsible risks playing Russian Roulette with our environment.

    Details on this and against it can be easily researched. If one takes a more distant perspective, it may become more clear - or not - who cares at the moment?

  19. Article says 7665 gal/day. by Chris+Burke · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The California seafloor leaks are much larger. I don't think they know exactly how much, but this source quotes "8-80 Exxon Valdez spills", I would guess they mean annually. That's somewhere between 86.4 and 864 million gallons.

    They're talking about the total volume of oil residue contained in the down-stream sediments in the seabed, deposited over an unknown period of time. And it seems like they're talking equivalent pre-biodegraded volume, but I'm not sure.

    The statement about the rate of seepage was slightly further down:

    There is an oil spill everyday at Coal Oil Point (COP), the natural seeps off Santa Barbara, where 20-25 tons of oil have leaked from the seafloor each day for the last several hundred thousand years.

    25 tons/day * 7.3 bbl/ton * 42 gal/bbl = 7665 gallons/day.

    That's tiny compared to this spill at 200,000 gal/day.

    --

    The enemies of Democracy are
  20. compensation for vicrims by falconwolf · · Score: 5, Informative

    The good news is that there will be a charity concert in New Orleans, so BP won't have to pay so much money to their victims.

    If it ends up like Vladez oil spill BP won't have to pay anything. More than 20 years later the fish have not recovered and the fishermen have not been compensated. Heck, oil still persists, is still found. Large corporations laugh while going to the bank to make another deposit while the people pay.

    Falcon

    1. Re:compensation for vicrims by mi · · Score: 5, Insightful

      If it ends up like Vladez oil spill BP won't have to pay anything.

      The compensatory damages, that Exxon is on the hook for, exceed half a billion dollars. That's in addition to their spending on the actual clean-up...

      The Supreme Court (in a 5-to-3 vote, with your beloved David Souter writing for the majority) did remove the punitive $2.5 billion as "excessive"... But the compensatory $507 million were left standing... Yes, it took much too long. Maybe, if the plaintiffs weren't greedy (greed is only good, when you are making something, that other people want), they would've gotten their compensation 20 years earlier...

      while the people pay.

      "The people" (including The Children[TM]) also use the oil. Every day... We can't do anything without it.

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    2. Re:compensation for vicrims by mysidia · · Score: 1

      "The people" (including The Children[TM]) also use the oil. Every day... We can't do anything without it.

      It is their fault for providing it.

      If the Oil companies did not provide it, ingenious humans would find a better way.

    3. Re:compensation for vicrims by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      your beloved David Souter

      What am I thinking of now?

      If you guessed I was thinking you're a troll you're right, but I seriously doubt it.

      Falcon

    4. Re:compensation for vicrims by DigiShaman · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Really, oh great prophet? And what better way would that be? Keep in mind that everything modern is based on the hydrocarbon, from lipstick to plastics. Quite frankly, I'm not sure we would have reached the technological progress we have so quickly without it. Whether or not the time compression was worth it or not, I will leave up to you to decide.

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    5. Re:compensation for vicrims by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Thanks to Exxon Valdez, there is no longer a commercial fishing industry in Prince William Sound. No doubt you would be content to just roll over if some multinational corporation took away your ( and your children's) livelihood tomorrow.

      This "greed" you speak of amounts to a couple of years worth of fishing income, in exchange for a lifetime of lost fishing opportunities. Exxon should be parted out and obliterated to pay for the damages they did to Alaskan fishermen.

    6. Re:compensation for vicrims by arkane1234 · · Score: 1

      Let's not get nutty and start spouting off about how something cannot disappear because so many things are made from it.
      The reason things are made from it is primarily because it's in great abundance.
      If we suddenly awoke tomorrow and petroleum disappeared from the ground, after the sudden earth shattering ground collapses we'd be working on implementing nuclear/solar/wind/ for power, and we'd be implementing another source to make lipstick/plastics/etc. Especially since plastics can be created without petroleum, and it's merely a medium...

      --
      -- This space for lease, low setup fee, inquire within!
    7. Re:compensation for vicrims by tftp · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      If we suddenly awoke tomorrow and petroleum disappeared from the ground, after the sudden earth shattering ground collapses we'd be working on implementing nuclear/solar/wind/ for power, and we'd be implementing another source to make lipstick/plastics/etc.

      If we wake up tomorrow and find that oil disappeared from the ground, the best next thing is to go and buy a nice, comfortable coffin. This is because no amount of horses would be sufficient to deliver food from places where it is made to places where it is consumed. Hundreds of millions of city dwellers will be left without food; what do you think will happen next? I think making a new kind of lipstick would be rather a low priority project.

    8. Re:compensation for vicrims by DigiShaman · · Score: 1

      I suggest you watch Modern Marvels: Secrets of Oil. For 60 minutes, you'll get a pretty good insight at just how dependent we became on it, and why we still are.

      Seems someone posted it on Youtube broken up in five parts. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WEGddtKiMRc

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    9. Re:compensation for vicrims by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      This is very true.

      --
      Responsibility is an addiction
      Virtue is a temptation
      Community is a cartel
    10. Re:compensation for vicrims by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Right, it was the plaintiffs' greed that prevented Exxon for paying their damages. Mega-eye-roll.

    11. Re:compensation for vicrims by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exxon still hasn't paid. The case is back in the legal system to determine if Exxon needs to pay 21 years of interest or not. Fucked up if you ask me.

    12. Re:compensation for vicrims by fractoid · · Score: 1

      If we wake up tomorrow and find that oil disappeared from the ground, the best next thing is to go and buy a nice, comfortable coffin. This is because no amount of horses would be sufficient to deliver food from places where it is made to places where it is consumed. Hundreds of millions of city dwellers will be left without food; what do you think will happen next? I think making a new kind of lipstick would be rather a low priority project.

      If we wake up tomorrow and find that one of the mainstays of modern infrastructure has been destroyed (the power grid, our source of petrochemicals, our road transport system, etc.) then the safest place to be would be the furthest away from the city. You could live almost indefinitely on some outback farm with some cows, as long as ravening hordes of starving cubicle-dwellers don't descend to eat your farm.

      --
      Rampant carbon sequestration destroyed the Dinosaurs' tropical paradise. I'm here to help repair the damage.
    13. Re:compensation for vicrims by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's in addition to their spending on the actual totally cosmetic and ecologically completely ineffective "clean up"

      There fify

      You can turn over any rock in on the coast and find oil/tar on and under it. The "cleanup" was PR BULLSHIT.

      If corporations are "people" then they should be punished exactly as people would, including the death penalty when appropriate.
      Mass murder in the name of money? Sounds like capital murder to me.

    14. Re:compensation for vicrims by ultranova · · Score: 1

      You could live almost indefinitely on some outback farm with some cows, as long as ravening hordes of starving cubicle-dwellers don't descend to eat your farm.

      And as long as you have the equipment to farm without fuel or fertilizers. And can keep your cows from dying from illness or predators - a pack of wolfs is a lot scarier once you run out of bullets. And can somehow fix the rusted and worn-out equipment. And can transport wood from forest to cook and boil drinking water. And don't become ill, since nobody's making efficient medicine anymore. And... Sorry, farm boy, you're dead too.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    15. Re:compensation for vicrims by Khashishi · · Score: 1

      You don't need all that equipment to feed yourself. The equipment makes you more efficient so that you can feed all the city-dwellers with your large plots of land.

      But, to feed yourself and your family, you don't need fertilizers, tractors, etc. Unless the peasants of the past had some secret technology we didn't know about.

    16. Re:compensation for vicrims by fractoid · · Score: 1

      Well, actually I'm city boy so I'd be in trouble, but I married a farm girl and from what she's said, it'll be a couple of weeks at least, maybe a month before you really notice the apocalypse. And that's without even trying to stretch supplies. Sure, that's not much if you're talking a permanent dwelling, but you'll still look mighty tasty to city folks after two weeks with no meals.

      If you survive the first couple of weeks after an apocalyptic event, I'd imagine your survival rate improves dramatically, since 90% of your competition will (a) be dead, and (b) be a distraction for animals which would otherwise eat you. After that... as a species we tend to do pretty well vs. other animals, even when armed only with fire, spears, and maybe a longbow or a sling.

      --
      Rampant carbon sequestration destroyed the Dinosaurs' tropical paradise. I'm here to help repair the damage.
    17. Re:compensation for vicrims by tftp · · Score: 1

      I tend to agree with fractoid and Khashishi. The land will feed you, even if you are not a farmer. Anyone is smart enough to grow potatoes and gather fruits from trees. Other plants are also doable if you are willing to look at what your more experienced neighbors do. Humans learned all this stuff from each other for most of the known history, without books.

      It is true that you will need horses. There are few domesticated horses in the USA, but many more are freely roaming BLM lands. They can be caught if anyone wants them. Meanwhile even the power of one human (or one family) is enough to keep them alive, that had been proven too many times in history.

      There are very few wolves in the USA; but they are being reintroduced, against the best judgement of competent people. Certainly running out of ammo is unpleasant, since you need it for hunting too. But there are plenty of modern muzzleloaders on the market and in hands of hunters; they require fewer factory parts to operate. In any case, wolves typically don't read newspapers, and they will not know that a social disaster struck; they will be just as active (or inactive) as they are today - for a while. Right now wolves are protected and can't be shot for any reason; damage to cattle so far is small.

      With regard to healthcare, indeed only the primitive forms of it will survive. The average lifespan will drop to 40-50 years. There certainly are advantages to living in the modern technological society. But without oil that society will die in an amazingly short period of time, like a few weeks. With regard to roaming gangs of city dwellers, that's definitely possible, but consider that gas is a precious commodity, and there is hardly anything to plunder at the countryside at any given time, unless the gang wants to steal a cow. IMO, for a while the gangs will be busy in cities, and when they are done there they may be already too weak to mount a serious attack on a farming community a hundred miles away. This is just a guess, of course - it may be possible that city thugs *will* be conducting raids to get food, especially if they are hungry.

    18. Re:compensation for vicrims by mi · · Score: 1

      If you guessed I was thinking you're a troll you're right

      Is this all you can say, after I've demonstrated you 100% wrong on the topic? Not the "oh, wow, I missed that one"? Not the "hey, thanks for the pointer, didn't know..." All you did, was pick on an insignificant figure of speech?

      In this case, perhaps, it would've been better for you to say nothing at all...

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    19. Re:compensation for vicrims by ultranova · · Score: 1

      But, to feed yourself and your family, you don't need fertilizers, tractors, etc. Unless the peasants of the past had some secret technology we didn't know about.

      Peasants of the past lived in the constant fear of starvation. A single bad year would cause mass dieoffs. That's one of the reasons why Black Death was so devastating in Europe: the people were weakened by constant malnourishment.

      And yes, farming without modern equipment and fertilizers very likely requires at least some techniques that have been forgotten. Most aspects of medieval life did.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

  21. Energy density by sjbe · · Score: 1

    ...nothing else even comes close to the energy density of oil.

    Want to try again? Oil is definitely not at the top of the heap on energy density. I agree completely with you regarding it's importance and versatility and ubiquity but it's not the most energy dense substance out there.

    1. Re:Energy density by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      None of these are energy *sources*. They all take oil to manufacture...

  22. Just say no... by vudufixit · · Score: 1

    To Crystal Meth while drilling!

  23. peak oil by falconwolf · · Score: 1

    There was a time when peak oil was an economic argument, but now it is firmly a doom-and-gloom, we're-killing-the-earth argument.

    The use of fossil fuels is both an economic and an environmental issue. Just because more people are concerned about pollution that doesn't negate peak oil. Well, environmental issues become economic ones too. More than 20 years later the fish still have not recovered, nor have the fishermen been compensated, from the Exxon Valdez Oil Spill. Fishermen in Alabama and LA are already feeling the economic effects of the Gulf spill.

    Falcon

    1. Re:peak oil by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      Fishermen are throwback hunter/gathers. Farming.. heard of it?

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    2. Re:peak oil by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      Fishermen are throwback hunter/gathers. Farming.. heard of it?

      Fertilizer, ever heard of it? Ever hear fish are among the most heart healthy? Ever hear of land being polluted?

      Falcon

    3. Re:peak oil by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      Siiiigghhh.. fish farming.. you know, as opposed to getting in your boat and going out to fish in the ocean then being surprised when one day there's no fish?

      This is stuff that people figured out thousands of years ago. It's the basis of civilization.

      We're supposed to feel sorry for people who haven't even caught up with animal domestication?

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    4. Re:peak oil by falconwolf · · Score: 3, Informative

      Siiiigghhh.. fish farming.. you know, as opposed to getting in your boat and going out to fish in the ocean then being surprised when one day there's no fish?

      Oh that's what you mean? Like farmed fish don't need to be fed and don't know massive amounts of antibiotics. Except they do. Farmed fish requires vast amounts of wild caught fish to feed. Daniel Pauly "a professor of fisheries science at the University of British Columbia, has calculated that it takes 2 to 5 lbs. of anchovies, sardines, menhaden and the other oily fish that comprise fish meal to produce 1 lb. of farmed salmon". Because they are packed into small areas they also need those antibiotics, which end up in the ocean leading to antibiotic resistance. Fish farms also create dead zones.

      1. Seven Reasons to Avoid Farm Raised Salmon.
      2. Fish Farms: Underwater Factories
      3. Farmed or wild fish: Which is healthier?

      Still think fish farming is the answer?

      Falcon

  24. Well, OK, there is nuclear. by falconwolf · · Score: 1

    But as I recall it was the liberal bias of all those GreenPeace types that killed it. So, it looks like liberal bias fucked us before and is coming back for seconds!

    Except that ignores reality. Not even China, France, India, or Russia finds nuclear power profitable. Nuclear power appeals to state planners not businesses.

    Falcon

    1. Re:Well, OK, there is nuclear. by ArcherB · · Score: 1

      But as I recall it was the liberal bias of all those GreenPeace types that killed it. So, it looks like liberal bias fucked us before and is coming back for seconds!

      Except that ignores reality. Not even China, France, India, or Russia finds nuclear power profitable. Nuclear power appeals to state planners not businesses.

      Falcon

      Profit, schmoffit. The GP was talking about saving the Earth, not about making money. Seriously, can you put a price on Earth?

      OK, sarc off. These people don't grasp the concept of how economies work. To them, it's all pixie dust and unicorn farts and multi billion dollar projects can be paid off with warm emotions and good intentions.

      For Pete's sake, the guy was saying we should stop oil production to force people to use non-existent renewable energy. I never occurs to them that in the real world THERE IS NO SUCH THING. If we were to stop all fossil fuel production, he wouldn't be able to log into slashdot to see how his plan worked out. No, really! The guy using what is more than likely a fossil fuel power computer to bitching about using fossil fuels. If he were really concerned and willing to put up with the same hardships he wants to put us all through, he'd turn the fucking thing off and hook up a peddle powered generator to run his machine long enough to make his post, Gilligan's Island style!

      --
      There is no "I disagree" mod for a reason. Flamebait, Troll, and Overrated are not substitutes.
    2. Re:Well, OK, there is nuclear. by quokkaZ · · Score: 1

      Under the cloak of "realism" your response is nothing other than ideological - a blind acceptance and defense of current economic organization.

      When it comes to realism, I'm afraid that Greenpeace et al have it right, at least in broad principle even if the details are occasionally a bit rough.

      The reality is that we are reaching planetary limits, in climate change, destruction of biodiversity, the nitrogen cycle and the phosphorus cycle with problems with fresh water availability and ocean acidification waiting in the wings. Today there are something like 25 - 30% fewer wild creatures living on the planet than in 1970. The planet could not support it's 6 billion humans consuming resources at the same rate as US or Australia (to name the worst culprits).

      It the true realists that recognize this situation. Proposed actions to mitigate the problems might not always be perfect but business as usual is just crazy.

    3. Re:Well, OK, there is nuclear. by quokkaZ · · Score: 1

      We absolutely MUST replace coal fired electricity generation with low CO2 methods. Coal is the worst CO2 emitter.

      I very much doubt that current renewable technologies are sufficient. The only stuff that is immediately deployable is wind and solar. Wind certainly can't provide baseload power. Solar is still problematic though solar thermal is promising. Wave power is still really experimental. Enhanced geothermal is very promising but there is still no commercial size power station.

      If it comes to raising the planet's temperature by 5C or nuclear power, I'd have to say nuclear is the clear choice.

      There are newer options in nuclear power generation that could be much superior to most of the current stuff in efficiency, safety, far lower production of high level waste and cost. These are the so called forth generation reactors.

      One such is the Integral Fast Reactor (IFR) which

      1. Uses far less nuclear fuel - maybe 100 times less.

      2. Can use existing nuclear waste, depleted uranium or plutonium from decommissioned nuclear weapons as fuel. It can in fact help with existing waste problem.

      3. There is enough existing fuel to last a long time. Uranium mining not needed.

      4. Waste processing possible on site, vastly reducing security and safety risks of transporting large quantities of dangerous materials.

      5. Produces much less high level waste than current designs. Perhaps 1%. And the waste mostly has a shorter half life.

      6. "Softer" failure modes => better safety.

      7. Maybe possible to prefabricate in factories => cheaper.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Integral_Fast_Reactor

      When all is said and done, I think that the carbon pollution problem will only be solved by inexpensive clean electricity. Some hard choices will have to be made.

    4. Re:Well, OK, there is nuclear. by h4rr4r · · Score: 1

      You sure can put a price on that. It would be far more than you imagine. Nice projecting though.

    5. Re:Well, OK, there is nuclear. by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      We absolutely MUST replace coal fired electricity generation with low CO2 methods. Coal is the worst CO2 emitter.

      I didn't say anything about replacing coal in the post you replied to. All I said was that nuclear power appeals to state planners not businesses.

      I very much doubt that current renewable technologies are sufficient. The only stuff that is immediately deployable is wind and solar.

      They are sufficient now. Those who build off the grid do so every day. And yea, solar and wind is employable today unlike nuclear power. According to Infoplease the Palo Verde 2, Ariz. is the largest reactor in the US, at 1,335 MWs. According to Wiki construction started in 1976 with it's first year of commercial operation in 1988, 12 years later. Now take wind turbines, erect and connect 10 5 megawatt turbines a month, and there are larger turbines, and in 1 year you've added 600 MWs or in 2 years 1,200 MWs. That's almost as much as Palo Verde 2 provides, in 1/6 the tyme. SciAm's A Solar Grand Plan says solar power "could supply 69 percent of the U.S.'s electricity and 35 percent of its total energy by 2050." The Wind Energy Resource Atlas of the Unites States, created by the National Renewable Energy Lab of the Department of Energy, details the wind potential of various regions of the US. The Rocky Mountains along contain enough potential energy to electrify the US, but that's not the only region with large wind potential. On the East Coast from Massachusetts to North Carolina offshore wind farms could "supply all the energy needs of much of the East Coast and then some". From British Columbia to Southern California on the Pacific Coast could provide a lot as well. Actually hook a hard left in S Ca through AZ and NM to western Texas and the wind potential grows.

      For baseloads geothermal is good though not for all of the baseload. Until large scale storage is available currently used power plants could provide the baseload.

      Enhanced geothermal is very promising but there is still no commercial size power station.

      Ah but there is commercial scale geothermal right now. In CA geothermal provided 13,000 gigawatt-hours of electricity in 2007. It provides 20 percent of Hawaii's Big Island electricity. Geothermal provides 27% of Philippine's energy. Geothermal is even available and used in New York City.

      If it comes to raising the planet's temperature by 5C or nuclear power, I'd have to say nuclear is the clear choice.

      Fine, let businesses pay for it not taxpayers. No loan guaranties, limited liability, or other subsidies. However left to their own devices corporations will not build nuclear power plants.

      When all is said and done, I think that the carbon pollution problem will only be solved by inexpensive clean electricity. Some hard choices will have to be made.

      Unfortunately there is no inexpensive clean electricity. Well, except for the Negawatt, the energy not produced due to energy efficiency or simply cutting the energy used. Therein lies the hard choice, people don't want to give up what they have even if they will s

    6. Re:Well, OK, there is nuclear. by quokkaZ · · Score: 1

      Current rollout of renewables is clearly not sufficient because carbon emissions continue to rise at the top end of IPCC projections. And new coal fired facilities are still being built (and not just in China).

      The problems with wind and solar are that they are not base load. When the wind doesn't blow and the sun doesn't shine they don't produce power. Certainly if sufficient energy storage could be provided in the grid, things would be different, but it would be ruinously expensive to do so with current technology. There is no way that currently solar and wind could completely replace current baseload facilities - not even a little bit close. Not even with "smart grids" - it is not a trivial problem. Which is not to say that they have don't have a place - anything that helps get us off coal does.

      I was referring to enhanced or engineered geothermal - EGS - (AKA hot rock geothermal) which theoretically has huge potential. It involves deep bores (4km +) into hot granite below sedimentary rock, injecting water, fracturing the granite and circulating superheated fluid to the surface to drive conventional steam turbines. The potential is vastly greater than the limited resources of existing geothermal, with some prospect of eventually providing a significant portion of baseload power worldwide.

      To my knowledge the closest to getting EGS commercially operating is Geodynamics at their facility in the Cooper basin in Australia which was supposed to have 25MW pilot in 2013. After an accident in 2009, followed by massive flooding of central Australia their 1MW demo has been put back two years to 2012. It's going to be a while yet.

      As to whether nuclear appeals to state planners or businesses, even if that assertion is true (which it may or may not be) who cares? What we want is the best decision.

    7. Re:Well, OK, there is nuclear. by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      Current rollout of renewables is clearly not sufficient because carbon emissions continue to rise at the top end of IPCC projections. And new coal fired facilities are still being built (and not just in China).

      Of course new coal power plants are still being built, because they pass external costs to others they are still the cheapest power source for those whop build them. If however caps or carbon taxes were placed on coal then the picture would be different. Of course some accuse cap and trade or similar ideas of harming the poor. That can be mitigated though, the average increase on people's utility bill can be offset by reducing their income tax the same amount. And for those who do not pay income tax then a credit could be given to them. Say for instance the average residential power bill went up $1000 a year they could be given a check for $1000 at the beginning of the year. Or so they won't spend it all on something else at once, they can be given $120 a month. It can even be included on their EBT card.

      Besides China India is also building coal fired power plants fast. Kyoto exempted both nations from carbon emission limits. However China is doing more than just using coal. China is the world's fastest, largest, green energy market. Notice that that link is to an article on Bloomberg Businessweek's website and Bloomberg isn't exactly known as an environmental hotbed.

      The problems with wind and solar are that they are not base load

      I have already addressed the baseload. One, geothermal can be used as the baseload. Two, because Natural Gas fired power plants can quickly be ramped up or slowed down, unlike both coal and nuclear power, they can be used for the baseload until cleaner alternatives emerge.

      When the wind doesn't blow and the sun doesn't shine they don't produce power.

      The sun is always shining somewhere and the wind is always blowing somewhere. As I have also stated power blackouts costs US businesses almost $100 Billion a year, according to a sidebar to SciAm's A Solar Grand Plan businesses loss $80 Billion a year from blackouts. The US National Grid is old and failing so it needs to be rebuilt period. Rebuilt it can use High-voltage direct current or HVDC powerlines from coast to coast and north to south. HVDC loses less energy over long distances than AC does, of course there is power loss from conversion from AC to DC then back but it's not as much as the loss from AC transmission over long distances. And while Concentrated Solar Power may need to be converted, depending on whether steam or something else is used to drive a generator, PVs don't.

      I was referring to enhanced or engineered geothermal

      Okay, however geothermal is being used commercially. Just not "enhanced or engineered geothermal" whatever those are, all those plants where it is used requires enhancements and engineering.

      As to whether nuclear appeals to state planners or businesses, even if that assertion is true (which it may or may not be) who cares? What we want is the best decision.

      If it takes state planners likely it's not a good idea. Government has to support nuclear power because businesses won't, it's too risky. Mind you I'm not saying everything government does is bad, there are areas where it does well relatively, but it can do better in areas by making sure others pay all their costs, keeping a level playing field, and regulating monopolies. Businesses though are investing in and supporting solar and wind power as well as geothermal, tidal, and other energy

  25. citations by falconwolf · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    I expect you to be a big boy and find your own citation.

    And what if there are none? Say for instance someone pulls something out of their ass, how will someone else find a citation supporting it? No, the one who makes a statement has the responsibility to back it up.

    Falcon

    1. Re:citations by ArcherB · · Score: 1

      I expect you to be a big boy and find your own citation.

      And what if there are none? Say for instance someone pulls something out of their ass, how will someone else find a citation supporting it? No, the one who makes a statement has the responsibility to back it up.

      Falcon

      I don't know who modded you down, but evidently they didn't realize that the GGP had quoted 80 times and the quote I provided listed it as 1/4 that at 20x.

      Either way, to answer your question:
      When pulling figures out of one's ass, it is important to publish those figures somewhere. When dealing with money that is obtained illegally, the process of making the money appear legit is called "laundering". When pulling figures from your ass, the process is of providing self citation called "wiping" and should always be done whenever figures are removed from the rectum. It is also commonly referred to as "making sure the paper work is done".

      Also, always pick up a turd by the clean end.

      --
      There is no "I disagree" mod for a reason. Flamebait, Troll, and Overrated are not substitutes.
    2. Re:citations by M8e · · Score: 1

      "Methane is over 20 times more effective in trapping heat in the atmosphere than carbon dioxide (CO2) over a 100-year period"

      What about other periods? It's 72 times more effective than co2 over a 20-year period.

    3. Re:citations by mr_mischief · · Score: 1

      GWP of 20 (to 33, with 33 being more accepted lately) is for 100 years. Over 20 years, it's a GWP of 72 or so for methane. I'm not sure that includes the byproducts of methane breaking down in the atmosphere in the 100-year figure or even the 20-year figure, because it doesn't last that long as methane typically. Some of the reactions that break it down result in other greenhouse gases, though.

      What's more important for short-term policy, the 100-year load of a gas or the 20-year load of the same gas?

  26. Compared to Chernobyl ? by adaviel · · Score: 1

    There have been suggestions that if this leak had happened in the Arctic, it could have an environmental impact for centuries, quite apart from being a lot more difficult to fix. I was wondering how the environmental impact compares with nuclear accidents. As a child, I remember reading of the Windscale leak poisoning pastures with radioactive iodine, so that a month's milk was thrown away. The Deepwater Horizon leak has already closed down shrimping and other fisheries for an extended period, with no end in sight.
    Chernobyl, as I recall, has turned into a kind of wildlife refuge (disappointing legions of Farside fans with an absence of 3-eyed deer and size-legged wolves)

  27. Then Perry was right by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

    It was an act of god!

    Let's see if the insurance companies can get their money back

    --
    “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
  28. ExxonMobile doing great by jeffsenter · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Sadly, BP should hope that things work out for it the way things worked out for ExxonMobile after the catastrophe of the Exxon Valdez.

    Exxon had a drunk for a captain who crashed a poorly designed oil tanker causing one of the worst environmental disasters in history. The region's environment still has not recovered two decades later. But ExxonMobile sure has! ExxonMobile is the most profitable company in the world. From 2005-2009 the annual profit for ExxonMobile averaged $36 Billion!

    The US Supreme Court was also generous enough a few years ago to reduce the punitive damages award against ExxonMobile for the Valdez from an original jury amount of $5 Billion down to $500 Million (about five days worth of profits).

  29. An hypothesis ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    from the Transpiration Security Agency posits that a North Korean sub with 21, otherwise homeless Saudi and Egypt nationals, attached the BP rig and sunk it.

    Where is the smoking gun?

    BP disperately needs an "Act of God" to mitigate the dead families claims and counter-suits of malphesense.

    The Govenor of Louisiana, the gubernors of the Department of Interior and the Chief "burp" Executive on watch at the time "Bush-Baby" will have to answer about the Ca$h that BP payed them to grant, EXECPTIONS. ;)

    OH BOY! This is the story that keep on giving!

  30. Either way, to answer your question: by falconwolf · · Score: 1

    That was no answer, at least for debating or otherwise trying to get someone to change what they believe. Fine if you don't want to persuade others you're right but if so then why speak at all?

    Falcon

    1. Re:Either way, to answer your question: by ArcherB · · Score: 1

      That was no answer, at least for debating or otherwise trying to get someone to change what they believe. Fine if you don't want to persuade others you're right but if so then why speak at all?

      Falcon

      Sorry, Falc. I miss understood what you were saying. You make a good point. Although, in this case we are really not talking about proving a negative here. GGGP said X (and pulled figures out from his rectum). GGP said Prove it. GP (me) said, Here ya go, proof... sorta (GGGP numbers were way off but the fact remained). And you know what you said and so on.

      Now, GGP was pointing out that GGGP was off and should really confirm facts before spouting them off. I didn't get it and looked like an ass. I read your post and thought that you were pointing out that the GGGP pulled the numbers out of his ass and would not be able to prove it. And then... Oh screw it.

      To answer your question... when someone makes up their own "Facts" ("someone pulls something out of their ass" as you eloquently put it), you counter with real facts and a respectable source (not your own ass) to back them up... or "flushing" as it is more commonly known.

      --
      There is no "I disagree" mod for a reason. Flamebait, Troll, and Overrated are not substitutes.
  31. energy by falconwolf · · Score: 2, Informative

    For Pete's sake, the guy was saying we should stop oil production to force people to use non-existent renewable energy.

    Ever hear of geothermal? Solar? Wind? They all exist. And if they were given as much in subsidies as coal, nuclear power, and petroleum they would be producing a lot more energy.

    Falcon

    1. Re:energy by ArcherB · · Score: 2, Informative

      For Pete's sake, the guy was saying we should stop oil production to force people to use non-existent renewable energy.

      Ever hear of geothermal? Solar? Wind? They all exist. And if they were given as much in subsidies as coal, nuclear power, and petroleum they would be producing a lot more energy.

      Falcon

      Um... no. No they would not.
      Geothermal, while prevalent in some parts of the world, is not that big of a resource here. And most of the places where geothermal is available are national parks. Could you imagine the uproar if you tried to build a power plant at Yellowstone?
      Solar is nowhere near efficient enough to power the country. It can be a nice boost, hardly economic, and government subsidies are not enough to help. For starters, government subsidies exist. There are also several tax breaks you can receive for "greening" your home, but it will never be enough to make it cost effective:

      He found the cost for an installation ranges from nearly $86,000 to $91,000, while the value of the power produced ranges from $19,000 to $51,000.

      I don't know about you, but I don't have an extra $91,000 sitting around to spend on something that will save me $51,000 over the next 20 years. Also, this study fails to consider the sunk costs. In other words, if I were wisely invest that $90 G's instead of blowing it on solar panels, it would grow. Take whatever money it would have made and add that to the loss. I'm not alone here. A very small percentage of Americans have $900.00 to spend, much less $90,000.00. Oh, and then there are cloudy days, night, snow covered roof tops, hail, shadows from when the sun crosses to the other side of your house and so on that make solar an even less economic proposition.
      Now, if you are talking about massive power plants located in the desert, when then you have other issues. See, you green buddies at the Sierra Club tend to block most of these programs because, even though they could save the earth, they may endanger a turtle that lives in the sand. That pretty much stands for any of these green projects. Someone, somewhere is going to get their feelings hurt. And these someones tend to have lawyers. So, don't bitch at me. Call the Sierra Club!
      Finally, Wind! Wow! This is a fun one. I'll start with this quote:

      Another interesting point with wind systems is that fossil fuel plants normally run on standby to support the wind fluctuations that occur. So, not only do we see only 8 to 10% of a rated power output, but this is offset by the fossil fuel consumed an not delivered to the grid. The net result is that most wind packages deliver less then zero power, when you consider the wasted fuel at the fossil fuel plant.

      Of course, as the Kennedys showed us, some people don't like the way they look. You remember Ted Kennedy, right? That big green liberal that BLOCKED wind power because it might disrupt the view from some of his mansions?

      So, in to put it more succinctly, renewable energy does not exist, at least not to the point where it can completely replace fossil fuels. While all these other ideas do produce energy and will reduce our fossil fuel dependence for producing electricity, I believe the only viable solution is nuclear. Oh, your green buddies blocked that too!
      Now the elephant in the room that I've ignored until now is that all the proposals yo

      --
      There is no "I disagree" mod for a reason. Flamebait, Troll, and Overrated are not substitutes.
    2. Re:energy by DamienNightbane · · Score: 1

      Well, since hippies hate nuclear (because of a very small chance of a meltdown), wind (because it kills birds), hydroelectric (because it interferes with fish), solar (because it's ugly/turtles/godknowswhy), coal (because it's dirty), oil (because it's dirty), gas (because it's dirty), geothermal (because it requires you to dig holes), and even wood (because you have to cut trees and make smoke), why don't we just cut the middle men and burn hippies for power?

    3. Re:energy by ArcherB · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well, since hippies hate nuclear (because of a very small chance of a meltdown), wind (because it kills birds), hydroelectric (because it interferes with fish), solar (because it's ugly/turtles/godknowswhy), coal (because it's dirty), oil (because it's dirty), gas (because it's dirty), geothermal (because it requires you to dig holes), and even wood (because you have to cut trees and make smoke), why don't we just cut the middle men and burn hippies for power?

      Your ideas fascinate me. Where can I sign up for your newsletter?

      Actually, I think the goal is not saving the earth, turtles or fishes. I believe that they hate the fact that someone, somewhere is using more than someone else. Actually, it's not even the fact that someone has more than someone else so much as it is the fact that someone has more than they do. If they can drive all of mankind back to caves and trees, we'll all be equal. It doesn't matter if we are all equally impoverished and equally miserable. All that matters is that no one is getting more than they are. I sincerely believe that is the goal.

      Case in point.

      --
      There is no "I disagree" mod for a reason. Flamebait, Troll, and Overrated are not substitutes.
    4. Re:energy by DamienNightbane · · Score: 1

      Fortunately, my proposal solves that problem too.

  32. Oil is not an energy source. by symbolset · · Score: 1, Insightful

    It's a storage medium. TANSTAAFL.

    --
    Help stamp out iliturcy.
    1. Re:Oil is not an energy source. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We didn't put it there, but we're taking it. How is that difficult to grasp?

    2. Re:Oil is not an energy source. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Witty but pointless. With that reasoning, the only energy source is the big bang. Everything else is just a storage medium.

    3. Re:Oil is not an energy source. by symbolset · · Score: 1

      The observation is useful in itself. Hydrogen + Oxygen = water. If you use energy to split the hydrogen from the oxygen in water and combine the hydrogen with carbon you get two things: breatheable oxygen, and hydrocarbons which are useful for many things - and the only known durable storage medium for Hydrogen.

      People need to be reminded that (to us) all energy is nuclear energy, and our most common nuclear energy source is that bright ball in the sky. Even Hydro power is derivative of nuclear energy (The sun (nuclear source) warms water in the oceans that falls on mountains that flows down rivers into the aqueduct that feeds the dam that provides power to the Western US.

      If common folk find a way to understand the difference between storage media and energy generation, it'll go a long ways toward real progress in green energy.

      --
      Help stamp out iliturcy.
  33. Options... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    You are being disingenuous: there is a continuum between option 4 and options 2&3. And it is clear that we have to aim at some point on this continuum right now. That means raising the energy prices in a gradual and predictable manner starting now (heck -- we should have started 10-30 years ago, but wtf), re-investing every penny raised this way into cleaner energy sources.

    Oh, and the price raise should be noticeable enough that it motivates us to spend less energy. If it doesn't change (a bit) our ways of life, then it ain't no good -- we are living unsustainably after all.

    But meh.

  34. Article Translation by maroberts · · Score: 1

    Earth farts, gigantic brown sludge results.

    I wonder if they've tried pumping some Imodium down...

    --

    Donte Alistair Anderson Roberts - hi son!
    Karma: Chameleon

    1. Re:Article Translation by Capt+James+McCarthy · · Score: 1

      Earth farts, gigantic brown sludge results.

      I wonder if they've tried pumping some Imodium down...

      The original mud butt!

      --
      There are no loopholes. It's either legal or it's not.
  35. gas/oil ratio units by Zinho · · Score: 2, Informative

    By weight or volume?

    It's by volume, in units of standard cubic feet [1] of produced gas per barrel [2] of oil produced (i.e. after the gas has escaped).

    [1] "standard" meaning "at standard temperature and pressure"
    [2] 1 barrel = 42 US gallons

    --
    "Space Exploration is not endless circles in low earth orbit." -Buzz Aldrin
  36. You can if the contractor guarantees the work by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You can if the contractor guarantees the work. How else can you rely on work done by someone installing new windows (or whatever)? After all, they are contracting and YOU contracted them to install the windows, so any guarantee has to come from you...

    PS I think the reason you're so for this is that you're under the misapprehension that BP is a british company. But the CEO is USian and the branch that did the drilling is completely US.

    1. Re:You can if the contractor guarantees the work by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      You can if the contractor guarantees the work. How else can you rely on work done by someone installing new windows (or whatever)?

      You make sure they are bonded for more than they could screw up by. I like guarantees. They make me feel good, but don't actually have any weight behind them. I like guarantees backed by insurance and government-held bonds for more than any possible screw-up could cost me. If there's a problem, and I'm right, then the government will give me their money and close them down if they refuse to make it right.

      Contracting with a company who can't make good on an error is not sufficiently different from one not insured and bonded. If BP was really doing business with contractors who were not financially set up to handle a single error of this type, then BP is liable. Liability doesn't pass to the contractor if the contract says it will. You can't contract away liability. You can contract away who of the two pays first. But if the contractor can't fix the problem, then BP is still on the hook.

  37. Big Smash 2 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Somewhere in the Gulf on Aircraft Carrier La Forshe: This is Richard Viagra for ZNN. Having failed to squelsh the errent oil leak on the bottom of the Gulf with the 100,000-ton brick, crack scientists at BP have come up with a plan to use a giant nuclear depth-charge to close off the leak. As one BP scientist put it [que tape] "... we gonna blow the shit out of diss fucker." This is Richard Viagra reporting for ZNN from the Aircraft Carrier La Forshe somewhere in the Gulf.

  38. oxygen tank by mdsolar · · Score: 1

    Seems to me that bleeding a small amount of oxygen into the oil spill cap and burning it like a torch in the collected oil would warm the contents up enough to allow them to flow to the surface. Oxygen tanks could be lowered pretty easily and the robots can be used to switch them out as they empty.

  39. Re:When industry polices itself...Disaster is a gr by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    does the methane on the Discovery Horizon seabed floor need just the heated water from the engines on the ships above
    to heat up and send it up the delivery pipes to the awaiting tankers at the surface? Will the methane hydrates expand
    enough at 300 meters depth to be sent through an ocean floor pipeline?
    Disaster is a great opportunity.
    Since the energy represented in the methane hydrates is variously estimated at several hundreds to several THOUSANDS
    of times the total energy needed - How can it be delivered?
    Further drilling will undoubtedly reveal more hydrate.
    http://www.killerinourmidst.com/methane%20and%20MHs2.html
    at Woods Hole:
    http://marine.usgs.gov/fact-sheets/gas-hydrates/title.html
    and
    http://www.futurepundit.com/archives/005785.html
    The Japanese are big time into gas hydrate extraction. They have an excellent gas distribution network (everything that is not nuclear is powered by natural gas) and have huge hydrate resources off their coasts (both Pacific and Japan Sea sides). If they are successful in developing the extraction technology, they expect to be free from natural gas imports by 2015, which would boost their economy. As you may or may not know, the Japanese import all of their natural gas and oil from foreign sources. They will also license the technology to the Koreans and Chinese, who also have large hydrate resources off their coasts.
    The Japanese are pursuing deep geothermal technology as well.
    BTW, the Japanese have also developed more efficient methods of producing "syngas" (motor fuel) from natural gas. They built several pilot production plants in Iran in the late 90's. Iran has considerable natural gas resources, but so much much oil. Also, Japan and Iran have close commercial relationships with each other. So, if they start getting their natural gas from the hydrates, they will probably convert some of it into syngas for use as motor fuel. The Japanese pay more for their oil and natural gas because they have to pay in U.S. dollars rather than Yen (although this could change in the future).

  40. Yeah, it's obvious by SlippyToad · · Score: 1

    That neither BP nor any other drilling outfit has the expertise or quality control to do this kind of a job right. They keep whining about how "hard" it is to do this kind of work. Maybe they should get into something easy like ditch-digging.

    I imagine how that kind of attitude would go over well with my management. "It's just too hard" to be oncall for a week out of every three. And I fuck up badly enough that the entire company is in jeopardy, and it's "just too hard" for me to clean it up.

    "I'm sorry, mr. Toad. I guess you should try something easier, like flipping burgers!"

    --
    One day I feel I'm ahead of the wheel / the next it's rolling over me / I can get back on / I can get back on
    1. Re:Yeah, it's obvious by BlueKitties · · Score: 1

      A bunch of engineers (yes, engineers built the rig) accidentally made something go BOOM. It happens when you push Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics to their far limits -- when stuff goes BOOM, sometimes bad things happen. It's like that Time Machine movie where engineers accidentally made the moon crash into the Earth, because they wanted to build an ocean on it using explosives. Well, they wanted to go thousands of feet below the ocean to suck up millions of gallons of fuel buried below the Earths surface, and it went BOOM. I can't blame them, an engineer somewhere is probably crapping himself because he knows it's his fault.

      --
      "Sorrow is better than laughter, for by sadness of face the heart is made glad." [Ecclesiastes 7:3]
  41. What's the dillio by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So what are you tree huggers crying about? The oil is now more easily accessable after it's pouring out from under the sea bed.

  42. When Drilling a Bore... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    When you drill a bore into anything, you are responsible for whatever comes out. This includes oil, aliens, or even the Dark One.

    BP is working on the Seven seals right now, and will probably end up tainted by the Dark One. But maybe someone will come along later and cleanse the taint, or maybe just put in a relief well.

    *Apologies to Robert Jordan*

  43. Thanks for volunteering! by Xaedalus · · Score: 1

    Great! I'll start with you first and then pick three other people.

    --
    Here's to hot beer, cold women, and Glaswegian kisses for all.
  44. On alternative solutions... by MediaCastleX · · Score: 0

    How exactly do they get the oil out of the water? This type of incident has only happened twice in my lifetime and I was a bit young during the last one...for some reason I can only imagine a ship that intakes the oil while simultaneously cleaning the water, as if that were possible! How does it work, if at all?! I know, dumb, right?

  45. The Deep Ones are gettiring irritated by John+Guilt · · Score: 1

    See "The Jennifer Morgue" for details.

  46. Circular logic by sjbe · · Score: 1

    None of these are energy *sources*. They all take oil to manufacture...

    I should know better than to argue with an AC but that's the most retarded argument I've heard in some time. Hydrogen is what powers the Sun and it in no way shape or form requires oil to be a source of energy. Without hydrogen, oil as we know it (along with everything else) doesn't exist. Oil is at it's root a product of photosynthesis which does not require any oil or other man-made product.

  47. They were sure quick to start pointing fingers tho by hallux.sinister · · Score: 1

    BP & their "partners" sure were quick on the finger-pointing blame-evasion dance, weren't they? Maybe drilling for something hazardous and poisonous which floats, (mostly) and is sticky, etc. etc. in WATER is a stupid idea. I guess we'll continue to allow it though, because we can put a man on the moon but we can't figure out how to get a person from a to b without fossil fuels. GAURSH!

  48. I call BS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That is such a ridiculous amount of BS.

    1) The BOP design they used was suspected of failure at great depths due to hydrostatic pressures, in a Fed report from a few years ago.
    2) There exists a super-BOP that would work but has not been used here because it is more expensive, so don't give me the "safety first" BS.
    3) Other countries such as Norway and Brazil have procedures in place to test the BOP once installed. This would have found out that the BOP would fail but delays the detach by a day or two because the pipe sections need to be replaced. Care to guess if BP has done the BOP test ?

  49. capitalism and corporatism by falconwolf · · Score: 1

    a Capitalist system is an unstable social construct that tends to slide into Corporativism.

    Only if the rules for granting corporate charters are not observed. Corporate charters, which grant limited liability, were only granted when it served the common or public good. That is why the Dutch East India Company in 1602 and the British East India Company in 1600 were granted their corporate charters. They were both shipping companies and it was understood that international trade was positive, however shipping was a risky business. Ships, their cargo, crews, passengers, and the ships themselves were frequently lost due to bad weather or pirates. Without limited liability people did not want to risk everything they owned, including their homes, by investing in shipping. Those charters can be revoked though.

    Thomas Jefferson warned about the Corporate Aristocracy, saying "I hope we shall... crush in its birth the aristocracy of our moneyed corporations, which dare already to challenge our government to a trial of strength and to bid defiance to the laws of their country." Corporations no longer have to challenge our government, instead they buy the politicians who make the laws and the bureaucrats who enforce them. With a smaller, limited, government they wouldn't be able to do so.

    I postulate that, given the way Politics (the rule setters), Power and Money interact, it is impossible to have a situation where the Players do not influence the Rules and furthermore, the bigger the player the more influence they have in setting the Rules.

    That's true because of the size of government and it's regulations grows. Corporations use regulations, and often take part in writing those regulations, to limit their competition. For instance lawn care businesses like TruGreen lobby local governments to regulate lawn care businesses going so far as to require licenses. Hell, some places even regulate yard sales.

    Falcon

  50. alternative energy by falconwolf · · Score: 1

    Um... no. No they would not.

    Yes they would. Simple economics says that as the cost of something goes up people look for cheaper sources or reduces the amount needed. That has been proven throughout history, even if not by choice. And as today's conventional energy gets more expensive people will move to other sources.

    Geothermal, while prevalent in some parts of the world, is not that big of a resource here. And most of the places where geothermal is available are national parks. Could you imagine the uproar if you tried to build a power plant at Yellowstone?

    The only reason it is not big here, in the US, is because little has been done to develop it. And it is even used in New York City. I myself have proposed geothermal in Yellowstone, but you're right so called environmentalists even oppose offshore and onshore wind farms. "Not in my backyard!" Of course I'd want a Yellowstone geothermal power plant to be blended into the landscape and I'd love both solar panels and a wind turbine on my property.

    Solar is nowhere near efficient enough to power the country. It can be a nice boost, hardly economic, and government subsidies are not enough to help. For starters, government subsidies exist

    Wow! Solar power got $62 million for R&D. That's dwarfed by coal's $3.302 Billion in 2007 alone or Nuclear Power's $145 Billion over the years. "My Climate Bill 'Has Huge Subsidies For Clean Coal! Huge!'" Wars are even started over oil.

    There are also several tax breaks you can receive for "greening" your home, but it will never be enough to make it cost effective

    Tell all those who build off the grid that it's not effective. Solar hot water has a payback period as short as 5 to 6 years, and the equipment lasts a lot longer. The payback for PV panels is much harder but estimates have been as low as 7 years and panels come with 20, 25, even 30 year warranties. Even pro-rated replacing equipment is cost competitive. Individually owned PVs aren't the only way to go solar either. The same publication you provide a link to your article, Science Daily, also has this article, Solar Power in Ontario Could Produce Almost as Much Power as All U.S. Nuclear Reactors, Studies Find. On large scales concentrated solar power may be more effective. Another article it has, Fossil-Fuel Subsidies Hurting Global Environment, Security, Study Finds.

    Oh, and does he consider the subsidies conventional energy gets too in the study? Does he factor in the billions of dollars coal and nuclear power get? The only mention I see about them is where "he favors more state and federal funding for research and development." Personally I don't think government should be subsiding most of what it does, whether energy or farms or ...

    Of course, as the Kennedys showed us, some people don't like the way they look. You remember Ted Kennedy, right? That big green liberal that BLOCKED wind power because it might disrupt the view from some of his mansions?

    I don't know how many tymes I commented, but I didn't find any, I posted about how Kennedy or that NIMBY environmentalists opposed wind farm o