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Gulf Gusher Worst Case Scenario

An anonymous reader writes "Here's a listing of several scientific and economic guides for estimating the volume of flow of the leak in the Gulf of Mexico erupting at a rate of somewhere around 1 million barrels per day. A new video released shows the largest hole spewing oil and natural gas from an aperture 5 feet in diameter at a rate of approximately 4 barrels per second. The oil coming up through 5,000 feet of pressurized salt water acts like a fractionating column. What you see on the surface is just around 20% of what is actually underneath the approximate 9,000 square miles of slick on the surface. The natural gas doesn't bubble to the top but gets suspended in the water, depleting the oxygen from the water. BP would not have been celebrating with execs on the rig just prior to the explosion if it had not been capable producing at least 500,000 barrels per day — under control. If the rock gave way due to the out-of-control gushing (or due to a nuke being detonated to contain the leak), it could become a Yellowstone Caldera type event, except from below a mile of sea, with a 1/4-mile opening, with up to 150,000 psi of oil and natural gas behind it, from a reserve nearly as large as the Gulf of Mexico containing trillions of barrels of oil. That would be an Earth extinction event."

24 of 799 comments (clear)

  1. Oh god. by dlsso · · Score: 5, Funny

    We're all going to die!

    1. Re:Oh god. by BlackSnake112 · · Score: 4, Funny

      I'm in Florida so I'm stealing a Cessna 172 and flying to the Bahamas! My last moments will be sipping a beer watching the fireworks from the dock of the Big Game Club in Bimini. Who's with me?

      For some reason, spending my last moments alive with a really hot woman is better. If life on this planet was about to die, I might actually stand a chance.

    2. Re:Oh god. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

      What part of "...not ever if you were the last man on Earth!" don't you understand?

    3. Re:Oh god. by tobiah · · Score: 4, Funny

      I keep being told I am a 'nice guy'. I need to cure this nice guy syndrome as fast as possible.

      Getting drunk and stealing a plane might be a good place to start.

      --
      "The ability to delude yourself may be an important survival tool" - Jane Wagner -
    4. Re:Oh god. by turbidostato · · Score: 3, Funny

      Yes in fact we are all going to die. ... Most of us in 30 to 50 years but yes we are all going to "die."

      But, but... that's not supported by statistics!

      Only about 50% of all the people from all History has ever died, and those that did, died just once!

  2. I Saw That by Anne_Nonymous · · Score: 4, Funny

    Wasn't this the movie that killed John Cusak's career?

  3. Re:My Estimate ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    I don't understand, how many in Library of Congresses?

  4. It's volume, dumbass . . . by 93,000 · · Score: 4, Funny

    use Volkswagen beetles, not LOCs.

    1. Re:It's volume, dumbass . . . by madmaxmedia · · Score: 3, Funny

      It's the size of Texas sir.

    2. Re:It's volume, dumbass . . . by Chris+Burke · · Score: 4, Funny

      4.45 OSPs/fortnight.

      easily approximated by looking at your fingers

      Note: Precision of the approximation may be greater for shop teachers.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
  5. This post was a volcano of punctuation marks by AtlantaSteve · · Score: 5, Funny

    I think that the second half of this post says that that the oil leak is bad, or could cause the end of the world, or something. However, it's such a gusher of spastic sentence fragments that I can't quite be certain.

    Someone should drop a containment dome over this guy's keyboard until he's learned to organize his thoughts.

  6. Re:Actually it wouldn't... by Sponge+Bath · · Score: 4, Funny

    Most people would starve to death.

    The obesity epidemic cured in one blow! Thanks BP, Transocean, and Halliburton!

  7. Re:Exponential rate by kidgenius · · Score: 3, Funny

    There are 42 gallons, not 55, in a barrel of oil.

    Not that it makes it any less of a disaster, but it is the correct number.

    Ah, you're thinking in METRIC barrels, not IMPERIAL barrels

  8. Re:This just doesn't make any sense... by John+Pfeiffer · · Score: 3, Funny

    Still, (as of yet) clean beaches and untainted food seem to scare consumers away from vacations and shrimp, not because there's a risk, but because most consumers are total alarmist bozos, just like most career-environmentalists.

    Agreed. Personally, my reaction to the situation is "Eh, whatever." and will likely remain such right up until there's a flaming cloud of shit hanging overhead. Freaking the hell out never improves situations.

    --

    Friend: "The NIC is misconfigured..." Me: "No prob, I'll just telnet in and fix it." *Silence*
  9. Re:Actually it wouldn't... by clone53421 · · Score: 5, Funny

    Pfff, that can’t happen until after Revelation 8:7.

    --
    Alexander Peter Kristopeit bought his basement from his mommy for one dollar.
  10. Re:Actually it wouldn't... by WrongSizeGlass · · Score: 4, Funny

    "Extinction" is a very high bar to clear, except for losers like panda bears that are large enough to shoot and barely capable of reproducing without assistance.

    You realize that you just described most overweight geeks, nerds and dweebs on the planet, don't you?

  11. Re:Actually it wouldn't... by WrongSizeGlass · · Score: 5, Funny

    But what if, when Jesus said "and the first shall be last, and the last shall be first", he was talking about those angels? ;)

    Clearly he was describing a LIFO queue data structure, not angels.

  12. Re:It's volume. . . by element-o.p. · · Score: 4, Funny

    Texas, Schmexas. I live in Alaska, which if cut in half, would make Texas the third largest state in the country :D

    --
    MCSE? No, sir...I don't do Windows. Yes, I am an idealist. What's your point?
  13. Re:Reality Check by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 3, Funny

    Hey, everyone here knows that software engineers are quite wary of Caldera type events, for a good reason.

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
  14. Re:My Estimate ... by Pharmboy · · Score: 4, Funny

    Is that in Imperial or Metric?

    First one, then the other.

    --
    Tequila: It's not just for breakfast anymore!
  15. Re:Actually it wouldn't... by Bakkster · · Score: 3, Funny

    Unless all written knowledge is wiped clean (I doubt it), then our books would still be around to transfer the knowledge.

    At least, until Amazon decides to remove them from our Kindles.

    --
    Write your representatives! Repeal the 2nd Law of Thermodynamics!
  16. I thank the Lord each day.. for the Apocalypse by sick_soul · · Score: 3, Funny

    The population is greatly decreased,
    and now the odds are greatly increased,
    that I may someday get a chance
    to kiss your lips.

    I thank the Lord each day,
    for the Apocalypse.

    Folks are mostly disfigured or dead,
    but sugar I won't let it go to my head

    My Mammas face has dripped down into the dirt,
    but I'm still chasing chittlins, whiskey and skirt.

  17. Re:Actually it wouldn't... by lennier · · Score: 4, Funny

    panda bears that are large enough to shoot

    But after eating and before leaving?

    --
    You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
  18. Re:Just Think.. by Zancarius · · Score: 5, Funny

    I swear to god, it's like knowledge is actually taboo to you people.

    I just had a troubling thought... imagine telling them how the sun works.

    I can see it now: A mad rush to mail/telephone their representatives to ban that burning thermonuclear device in the sky.

    --
    He who has no .plan has small finger. ~ Confucius on UNIX