Slashdot Mirror


National Academy of Science Urges Carbon Tax

eldavojohn writes "Moving for the first time from a cautious message to a message of urgency, the National Academy of Science has advised the United States government to either adopt a carbon tax or cap and trade legislation. This follows a comprehensive study in three parts released today from the National Academies that, for the first time, urges required action from the government to curb climate change."

15 of 875 comments (clear)

  1. First warning. by TapeCutter · · Score: 5, Informative

    This may be the first time the NAS have advised specific policies. However the first time NAS warned the US government of the problem was in 1958. This Bell Labs video summarises the contents of that first warning. The NAS has not suddenly flipped from cautious, the urgency has steadilly increased over the last 50yrs to the current position of virtually screaming at congress to pull their head out of their collective arses.

    --
    And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  2. Volcanos: not responsible for warming, sorry by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 4, Informative

    [who is going] to tax all the volcanos around the world for their CO2 production?

    The CO2 out gassed by active volcanoes comes to about one percent of anthropogenic emissions.

    Learn to be check the numbers when you hear outrageous claims like this.

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
    1. Re:Volcanos: not responsible for warming, sorry by PopeRatzo · · Score: 4, Informative

      The CO2 out gassed by active volcanoes comes to about one percent of anthropogenic emissions [grist.org].

      Learn to be check the numbers [skepticalscience.com] when you hear outrageous claims like this.

      Just imagine how different our society would look if every citizen took the time to check outrageous claims, even the ones that sound truthy.

      But I wonder if it would even help if the outrageous claims of certain agenda-driven media outlets and purveyors of hate were to be exposed. At some point, people will believe what fits their inner narrative before they will believe what can be demonstrated to them to be true.

      For example, if you hate those elite college-educated types and high-falutin' liberals like Al Gore, when someone tells you that global warming is just a scam and a conspiracy dreamed up by the majority of climate scientists who are all being paid off by the filthy rich Sierra Club, it's going to fit your inner-narrative, and you're going to believe it. So when you see a report that the last 12 months were the warmest year in recorded history, you're going to dismiss it as just part of the conspiracy.

      "Checking the numbers" only works on those whose minds are open enough to step outside the comforting, narrative-supporting cocoon of Fox News and question the notion that everything that challenges your assumptions is part of the conspiracy. And even well-educated, otherwise mentally-capable people can be imprisoned by that narrative, because it's comforting.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
  3. Re:Grandfathered in by theaveng · · Score: 4, Informative

    It hasn't been okay to pollute the air for several decades now. That's why cars have catalytic converters to scrub-out human-damaging pollutants like NOx and HC (produce ozone) and CO (poison). Power plants have scrubbers to eliminate the same things, plus soot, so you no longer see black smoke but white stream coming from their towers.

    --
    FOX NEWS.com should be BANNED from television and internet. Have the Congress take it over and give us Truespeak.
  4. Re:externality by lgw · · Score: 5, Informative

    A tax on carbon is a tax on everything. Food prices will rise. The price of everything ordered on Amazon will rise. The price of everyhtng transported by road or rail will rise. The price of running your heater or AC will rise, a lot. And it's a regressive tax, like all consumption taxes.

    The last time America had a serious economic crisis, it was pretty directly caused by energy prices rising. Why are we so determined as a nation to magnify and extend the current economic crisis to match the Carter years?

    --
    Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
  5. Re:Experts by khayman80 · · Score: 4, Informative

    Notice that they're meteorologists. In other words, they study short term trends and don't have PhD-level understanding of ensemble averages and other techniques necessary to analyze long term trends. (Heck, they're TV personalities. They might not know more than how to wave their hands around a green screen.)

    But sqrt(2) is right to say that most scientists agree that anthropogenic CO2 is causing a dangerous temperature increase. The percentage of scientists who agree with this statement increases with increasing relevance of the scientist's field.

  6. Re:externality by EllisDees · · Score: 5, Informative

    >because you haven't sufficently proven that CO2 is the cause, thats why. the current 10 year trend is actually cooling.

    Oh, Really?

    "April this year was the hottest on record, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has announced.

    The combined surface temperatures on land and at sea averaged 14.5 C, some 0.76 C above the 20th century average. Average ocean surface temperature was the warmest on record for April and the global land surface temperature was the third warmest on record for the month.

    NOAA also says that Arctic sea ice was "below normal for the 11th consecutive April" while "based on NOAA satellite observations, snow cover extent was the fourth-lowest on record" since 1967."

    --
    -- Give me ambiguity or give me something else!
  7. Are you serious? by XiaoMing · · Score: 5, Informative

    Remember that post a few hundred lines up that suggest fact checking? I would suggest some sanity-checking.

    So for a simple tweak in software, cars would not only gain performance, save more gas, but also eliminate the need for expensive (cats are one of the world's biggest uses platinum) catalytic converters?
    Man, it makes complete sense now that the car companies of the world, especially those on the verge of bankruptcy in this economy, don't want the public to know that they are totally IGNORING this simple reprogramming of the ECU for the great reason of... ... oh yeah it's completely wrong and stupid.

    Cats are there to change NOx (smog, eventually becomes ground level ozone, the kind you WANT depleted) emissions into more harmless NO2.
    Problem is NOx emissions come from higher ignition temperatures (why Diesels get great fuel economy and power, but have always been seen as a dirty fuel source/powertrain), _which are a result of running lean_.

    As a general point, it's also important to remember that CO2 emissions are different from the "Emissions" that they usually talk about in cars (LEV, ULEV, ZEV). Even the "Zero emission vehicles" (many of which are fuel celled) still emit CO2 and water, it's just that they don't burn anything containing nitrogens, and thus emit "zero" NOX (still a bit arguable since fuel cells run hot, and the atmosphere is 80% diatomic nitrogen).

    Anyway, point of the matter, and man I hope people have read this far, is that CO2 is what is being attributed to global warming (save that debate for another thread), but the "emissions" coming out of tailpipes are what's important for whether your children have chronic asthma by their teenage years.

    1. Re:Are you serious? by XiaoMing · · Score: 4, Informative

      Doubt anyone will have read that previous post unless they care, so here's an errata addendum:

      NO2 should have read O2 and N2, NO2 is still an NOx (x being integer), the platinum traps that molecule til another NO comes along and smacks into it, and changes both into diatomics.

      Another point is that CO2 and "emissions" can both still be attributed to cars (although more CO2 from power sources like coal fired plants).
      This is where the debate between mpg and "emissions" comes in, and why depending on where you're from, some "emissions" are worse than others because of politics (europe vs CARB vs rest of America), but why everyone thinks better mpg (less CO2) is awesome.

  8. Re:Who is going by wanerious · · Score: 5, Informative

    Right, but that's 3% over equilibrium, and it's cumulative.

  9. Re:Someone Please Explain by enodo · · Score: 5, Informative
    So do you know how the continents were arranged then, and what effect on climate that had? Any idea how different the solar irradiance was at that time? What the sea levels were? If not, why are you asking this question?

    Do you really think that the members of the National Academy of Sciences haven't thought of these obvious questions?

    If you really want to know the answers, you could start by reading articles on Wikipedia:

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Faint_young_sun_paradox
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Permo%E2%80%93Carboniferous_Glaciation
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paleozoic#Climate

  10. Re:Who is going by CyberSaint · · Score: 4, Informative

    http://volcanoes.usgs.gov/hazards/gas/index.php

    Not even a percentage point, nice try though.

  11. Re:Grandfathered in by MichaelSmith · · Score: 4, Informative

    the fact is CO2 is not toxic, it only becomes a problem if it displaces enough O2 for the O2 level to drop below 21%.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbon_dioxide#Toxicity
     

    Due to the health risks associated with carbon dioxide exposure, the U.S. Occupational Safety and Health Administration says that average exposure for healthy adults during an eight-hour work day should not exceed 5,000 ppm (0.5%). The maximum safe level for infants, children, the elderly and individuals with cardio-pulmonary health issues is significantly less. For short-term (under ten minutes) exposure, the U.S. National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH) and American Conference of Government Industrial Hygienists (ACGIH) limit is 30,000 ppm (3%). NIOSH also states that carbon dioxide concentrations exceeding 4% are immediately dangerous to life and health[48] although physiological experiments show that such levels can be tolerated for some time [49].

    ...and so on. Have a read. Its very interesting. Or give Jim Lovell a call. He will tell you all about it.

  12. Re:Cap Tax by ShakaUVM · · Score: 4, Informative

    Just because it's funny to say "Straight from the horse's mouth":
    http://www.speaker.gov/newsroom/pressreleases?id=1109

    But here's the primary link:
    http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/endangerment.html

    They're using the endangerment clause ("air pollution which may reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health or welfare") of the Clean Air Act (http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/html/uscode42/usc_sec_42_00007521----000-.html), intended to be used to regulate actually dangerous emissions, to regulate CO2.

    Enough links? =)

  13. Re:Grandfathered in by ChatHuant · · Score: 4, Informative

    If you then show these people that (a) Zero people died because of Three Mile Island, (b) 46 firefighters died in the Cherynobyl accident, and (c) nobody died in Japan you will be branded a liar and some kind of anti-environmental kook

    Well, here's what the World Health Organization says. Some significant quotes, for people who don't want to bother reading:
     
     
    A large increase in the incidence of thyroid cancer has occurred among people who were young children and adolescents at the time of the accident and lived in the most contaminated areas of Belarus, the Russian Federation and Ukraine. This was due to the high levels of radioactive iodine released from the Chernobyl reactor in the early days after the accident.

    In Belarus, the Russian Federation and Ukraine nearly 5 000 cases of thyroid cancer have now been diagnosed to date among children who were aged up to 18 years at the time of the accident.

      It is expected that the increased incidence of thyroid cancer from Chernobyl will continue for many years, although the long-term magnitude of the risk is difficult to quantify.

    The Expert Group concluded that there may be up to 4 000 additional cancer deaths among the three highest exposed groups over their lifetime (240 000 liquidators; 116 000 evacuees and the 270 000 residents of the SCZs).

    Predictions, generally based on the LNT model, suggest that up to 5000 additional cancer deaths may occur in this population [ Belarus, the Russian Federation and Ukraine] from radiation exposure

    The numbers in this report are contested by a Greenpeace study (available here). Greenpeace estimates the number of cancers attributable to the Chernobyl accident to 270000, out of which 93000 fatal.

    Even ignoring the Greenpeace numbers, if you'll say only 46 people died at Chernobyl, but omit the fact that thousands more have contracted cancer as a direct consequence of the Chernobyl accident and 4000 more are expected to die of it, then you're indeed a liar and a kind of anti-environmentalist kook.