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White House Warns of Supercomputer Arms Race

dcblogs writes "The White House's science advisors, in a report last week, said a petaflop-by-petaflop race to achieve number one on the Top500 could prove costly and divert money from supercomputing research. 'While it would be imprudent to allow ourselves to fall significantly behind our peers with respect to scientific performance benchmarks that have demonstrable practical significance, a single-minded focus on maintaining clear superiority in terms of flops count is probably not in our national interest,' the report said (PDF). It is urging the supercomputing community to expand its benchmark measures beyond the Top500's Linpack. It says the Graph500, for data-intensive applications involving the rapid execution of graph operations, 'will be more relevant,' but also acknowledges that it will difficult to rely on any one measure."

123 comments

  1. Arms Race? by Culture20 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Supercomputer Race. Unless supercomputers start blowing up or growing arms.

    1. Re:Arms Race? by Arancaytar · · Score: 2

      "Arms race" is a single term that stands for competitors attempting to gain a technical or material advantage faster than each other. "Supercomputer race" would simply be a race between supercomputers.

    2. Re:Arms Race? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think it was purely hyperbole.

    3. Re:Arms Race? by Metabolife · · Score: 1

      Don't underestimate them.

    4. Re:Arms Race? by The_mad_linguist · · Score: 2

      Supercomputer competition. Unless supercomputers start high-speed drifting through Tokyo.

    5. Re:Arms Race? by somersault · · Score: 1

      Computer competition. Unless computers can fly and work for the Daily Planet.

      --
      which is totally what she said
    6. Re:Arms Race? by Jah-Wren+Ryel · · Score: 2

      Supercomputer Race. Unless supercomputers start blowing up or growing arms.

      It's likely that the single largest driver of US government spending on supercomputers is for nukes.

      --
      When information is power, privacy is freedom.
    7. Re:Arms Race? by Culture20 · · Score: 1

      Computer competition. Unless computers can fly and work for the Daily Planet.

      I think Superman's robot doubles might qualify. I'm sure there has to have been a comic where he ordered a double to replace Kent for a day or two of work.

    8. Re:Arms Race? by Your.Master · · Score: 2

      "Supercomputer race" would simply be a race between supercomputers.

      Why is that a problem? It seems like a perfectly apt description to me.

    9. Re:Arms Race? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, anyone with more than two brain cells can look at the top ten of the TOP500 list and note that four of the computers on that list are at the two primary sites involved in the Manhattan Project (Los Alamos and Oak Ridge National Laboratories). Though I think a lot of the research these days is shifting over to other energy-related computational projects, such as biofuels.

    10. Re:Arms Race? by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 2

      Well, at least those nukes budgets have some value: improving supercomputer performance, that can be used for actually useful applications.

      Maybe someday we'll get smart and use the computers for only that kind of apps, like weather and climate modeling, and energy physics research that doesn't make bombs.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    11. Re:Arms Race? by Jah-Wren+Ryel · · Score: 1

      Maybe someday we'll get smart and use the computers for only that kind of apps, like weather and climate modeling, and energy physics research that doesn't make bombs.

      Those budgets are for modeling the degradation of current nuclear weapons under the START and now the New START treaties.
      They are specifically to avoid building new weapons - if we can model the degradation we can be confident that the current arsenal is intact and functional so does not need replacement.

      --
      When information is power, privacy is freedom.
    12. Re:Arms Race? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe ARM can get into supercomputers?

    13. Re:Arms Race? by poetmatt · · Score: 1

      it's an imaginary race this time.

      the reality is that lots of people can have legitimate and good uses for supercomputers. to try to add anything about "This takes away from research" when this is research by definition, is idiotic.

    14. Re:Arms Race? by Have+Brain+Will+Rent · · Score: 1

      If the Supercomputer race wanted to race wouldn't they need to grow legs more than arms?

      --
      The tyrant will always find a pretext for his tyranny - Aesop
    15. Re:Arms Race? by Concerned+Onlooker · · Score: 1

      If you're familiar with EAR and ITAR you will know that software can be classified as a munition. It's not such a leap to think of computers as arms.

      --
      http://www.rootstrikers.org/
    16. Re:Arms Race? by rbmyers · · Score: 1

      Anyone who thinks that planning World War III based on model calculations is a good idea is probably already safely behind barbed wire at one of our bomb labs. Nothing short of the commencement of actual hostilities or the resumption of nuclear testing is going to resolve anything. We are stuck paying blackmail in perpetuity to a program whose success cannot be proven or disproven, short of Armageddon or a dangerous step toward it.

    17. Re:Arms Race? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Arms Race" is a war metaphor, meant to keep a country socialized to a certain state of mind. You see it in business all the time now too; we used to use sports metaphors, now it's all "product wars" and "command centres". I'd say the general re-programming of the public appears to be working well. Does that make me a terrorist?

    18. Re:Arms Race? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My computer is a cloud-based tera-core, tera-flop Beowolf cluster of nodes running 1024-bit GNU/Linux with 64 QB (quadrillion bytes) of plankton for high-speed, fault-tolerant, self-replicating SuperRAID primary storage all powered by the energy of the sun, actually solar powered not burning gas powered. Afterall, my supercomputer is enviromentally-friendly and 100% recyclable.

    19. Re:Arms Race? by Fulcrum+of+Evil · · Score: 1

      Don't be silly, Supercomputers can't run.

      Anyway, we're moving to CUDA based hardware for a lot of things, so what's the big deal?

      --
      "We returned the General to El Salvador, or maybe Guatemala, it's difficult to tell from 10,000 feet"
    20. Re:Arms Race? by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      I'd like to see a reliable budget explanation of how much is spent on modeling the degradation of the arsenal. Vs how much is spent the development of new weapons by modeling simulated tests on stored data from old tests, under the old weapons test ban treaties.

      I'm not at all confident that any of what we do, including the original production, has ever given us a working arsenal of nukes. But if our enemies and rivals believe we've got one, that's good enough for me. Indeed, given the proliferation, sabotage and accident probabilities over time, I'd rather have nothing but simulations and belief in them than the real thing.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    21. Re:Arms Race? by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      Resumption of physical nukes testing wouldn't resolve anything. And the only thing that commencement of actual hostilities would resolve would be everything. We are stuck no matter what we do, now that the cat's out of the bag. And as we develop ever more ways to quickly release lots of energy, especially at a distance, especially cheaply, we're going to be stuck with lots more cats.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    22. Re:Arms Race? by Jah-Wren+Ryel · · Score: 1

      I'd like to see a reliable budget explanation of how much is spent on modeling the degradation of the arsenal. Vs how much is spent the development of new weapons by modeling simulated tests on stored data from old tests, under the old weapons test ban treaties.

      The programs I linked to are purely simulation. I expect their budgets are public info.

      --
      When information is power, privacy is freedom.
    23. Re:Arms Race? by rbmyers · · Score: 1

      There have been specific issues that could have been resolved by underground testing on which a great deal of money and computer time has been spent. At a MINIMUM, LLNL would no longer have an excuse for the NIF boondoggle.

    24. Re:Arms Race? by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      And there are specific problems that would be reborn if we resumed physical testing. Like the problems that N Korea is deliberately causing by doing so. All the budget boondoggles are worth avoiding actually detonating nukes, which always brings the world closer to detonating them near people.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    25. Re:Arms Race? by rbmyers · · Score: 1

      In order to believe that the sandbox exercises at the bomb labs serve any purpose whatsoever, you have to believe that, tomorrow, if you needed to launch a fusillade from an SSBN, you could do so with the reasonable assurance that the iffy warheads on the Trident D5's that would be launched would work to the extent that the possibility of a retaliatory response is negligible. I don't believe that any such assurance is currently available, and I don't see the situation improving in any way with the passage of time. On the contrary, there will be less and less reason to be certain of anything because the critical components will not have been tested for decades. Simply spending money writing reports isn't going to change anything.

    26. Re:Arms Race? by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      Actually it does help, it helps with the monumental bullshit that has kept us from blowing each other up since WWII, I'm of course talking about Mutually Assured Destruction, or MAD. Now could the Russians guarantee that if we had used a couple of SSBNs off their coast that they could hit us back with any real power? Nope but that didn't matter all that mattered was we thought they could and there wasn't any way to know for sure except take our chances and possibly get blown to bits. Same thing the other way around, no way for Russia to launch without basically sticking their balls on the chopping block and hoping we didn't have a nice axe they didn't know about.

      Now that these missiles are getting older than dirt some are doubting they will work, that is where the supercomputer tests come in. Are the tests bullshit? Well of course they are, that's not the point. The point is to be able to stand at a press conference in front of the world and say "Our baddass computer says our missiles will blow your ass into the next life!". Now whether or not that is bullshit doesn't matter, all that matters is the world knows that A.-We have a big bad supercomputer, and that B.-We have run tests of our nukes using it. Because all you need is that big giant question mark that says "If I launch at them even if I hit them hard they may blow my ass up good!" for the weapon to be effective.

      So that's all those tests do, they make sure the USA is still a big question mark. And of course we get as a nice bonus nice computers that can be used all over the place for things like climate data and biofuel research. But as long as the world knows there is a risk the entire USA nuke arsenal functions and can be flung at their asses? Well then it is doing its job, and the computers tests give them that worry.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    27. Re:Arms Race? by oiron · · Score: 1

      Cuda != supercomputers.

      Apart from the fact that CUDA/OpenCL/whatever processors are useless for highly I/O dependent tasks, try doing a conditional on any of them and watch your performance drop like crazy...

      SIMD has its place, but a multi-core supercomputer is effectively MIMD, and can actually run parallel tasks (or parallely run independent parts of a task).

      They really address different segments.

    28. Re:Arms Race? by Fulcrum+of+Evil · · Score: 1

      Cuda has pretty good IO (although branching sucks) as long as your problem size is small enough - it's good enough to replace some of what supercomputers are good at.

      --
      "We returned the General to El Salvador, or maybe Guatemala, it's difficult to tell from 10,000 feet"
  2. PETA & Arms Race by BoRegardless · · Score: 1

    PETA doesn't want anymore arms used against defensless animals, or inevitably more animals will flop on the ground.

    1. Re:PETA & Arms Race by slick7 · · Score: 1

      PETA doesn't want anymore arms used against defensless animals, or inevitably more animals will flop on the ground.

      Humans are defenseless animals compared to SKYNET. All we need to do is to create a computer that sees humanity for what it is, we are doomed.

      --
      The mind conceives, the body achieves, the spirit manifests.
  3. This is how a superpower dies by mewsenews · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If another country starts to outshine you, try changing the rules.

    America's strength used lie in an immense manufacturing culture, and that's given way to "intellectual property". Instead of dealing with tangibles, America is content to sit behind a desk and let the Chinese labour.

    1. Re:This is how a superpower dies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      No. It's creating more fear of the outside World: terrorism, other countries "attacking" us, others getting "ahead" of us, an infinitum.

      Nuclear war and the Soviets are gone. Our leaders need other bogeymen - their version of "Goldstein" - to keep us in fear. Because those of us who have been educated outside of the corporate system - any type of education that doesn't train one for a vocation - fear is how you control the little people. Apparently the scare of terrorists and Muslims aren't enough.

    2. Re:This is how a superpower dies by betterunixthanunix · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Why would any American want to change that? Look at how people get to live right now: no need to choose between having a computer, having a cell phone, or having a nice pair of shoes; you can have them all, because they are cheap, because they are produced in countries where wages are low. Something is broken? Don't fix it -- just replace it! Cheap!

      Sure, eventually it will all come crashing down and we'll all get a rude awakening, but until that happens, I do not think anyone will want to change the current system.

      --
      Palm trees and 8
    3. Re:This is how a superpower dies by Charliemopps · · Score: 2

      It's already come crashing down, it's just that most of the country doesn't realize it and out News Orgs and political leaders are too cowardly to tell them.

      http://grandfather-economic-report.com/debt-gdp-1916-2008.jpg ...and if you're wondering what that first peak is in 1933, that would be the great depression.

    4. Re:This is how a superpower dies by CmdrTacoisafag · · Score: 1

      That true because after all - America doesn't make anything anymore and we don't export anything either. (hint if you think this is the case, please - for the love of god - don't breed).

    5. Re:This is how a superpower dies by harrytuttle777 · · Score: 0

      So What you are saying is that America is now the master of bullshit. Are most respected individuals are all bullshit artists (lawyers) and pop stars We spend hours each night listening to the television tell us about bullshit. We can't make anything so we bullshit ourselves and believe we are now in the 'information economy'.

    6. Re:This is how a superpower dies by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      How do you figure it'll come crashing down? Most manufacturing will simply move to automation locally (ever see the robotic system Caterpiller uses to build Diesel engines in Ohio with only a handful of people? Pure awesome).

      Building things can always be fully automated. Research and critical thinking? Not so much.

    7. Re:This is how a superpower dies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It seems like this is the natural progression of a wealthy state, not a fringe case of the US being lazy. Western Europe isn't much getting their hands dirty either. Because they're rich too.

      Yes, if we ever reach a certain level of global economic balance, things will probably start to level out. But that's either very far off or downright impossible.

    8. Re:This is how a superpower dies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's worth pointing out that due to their currency manipulation policies over the last several years, China have been near begging for more US government bonds to be issued - demanding that they be allowed to lend more money regardless of how low a rates get.

      You manipulate a currency by setting a price for it against another currency, and committing to buy at that price, no matter what. So if you want the yuan low against the dollar, you've just committed to buying wtflolhuge amounts of dollars, and you can't sell them again without undoing the price you've tried to set up. In that situation your only choice is to invest the cash, and where else but the US can you lend out dollars in such vast quantities?

      If somebody is desperate to give you money and will happily lend it at trivially cheap rates, you'd be insane to turn them down. Unlike China, the US government can invest dollars in internal projects.

    9. Re:This is how a superpower dies by Sique · · Score: 1

      But supercomputers are supposed to automate large parts of research. Imagine modelling a whole planet system coming into being from a stellar dust cloud without computers!

      --
      .sig: Sique *sigh*
    10. Re:This is how a superpower dies by slick7 · · Score: 0

      It's already come crashing down, it's just that most of the country doesn't realize it and out News Orgs and political leaders are too cowardly to tell them. http://grandfather-economic-report.com/debt-gdp-1916-2008.jpg ...and if you're wondering what that first peak is in 1933, that would be the great depression.

      After looking at your graph, I made a correlation between it and when the the Federal Reserve came into being. The first big jump occurred around WWI, culminating in the depression. With the gold standard in place, even the Korean war and Viet Nam war (yes it was a war, not a police action) did little to affect the GDP. However, when the US dropped the coupling of the currency to the gold standard, whoosh.
      Just Google it and you will see what I mean.

      --
      The mind conceives, the body achieves, the spirit manifests.
    11. Re:This is how a superpower dies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > This is how a superpower dies
      > If another country starts to outshine you, try changing the rules.
      > America's strength used lie in an immense manufacturing culture

      The rules are in a continual state of flux. There was a time where the strongest civilization was the one with the most bronze, or grain, or steel, or coal. But as other civilizations got enough of those things, those materials were no longer as important a factor. You still need a certain amount of some of them as a pre-requisite for greatness, but it's not the sole determinant anymore. You lose power if you stay the same; you lose power if you miss the change.

      Manufacturing by mass physical labor has been less and less important over the last few decades; much of the world has already industrialized, such that the industrialized nations can produce the same quality and quantity as their peers. Manufacturing hasn't "left" the US - it still produces an immense amount of stuff - but it's no longer the primary indicator of a nation's power.

      Personally, I'd say it isn't any one thing right now. Access to energy is high priority (you need it for everything else important, and you can get rich even if you have ONLY energy and nothing else). Access to electronics would be another one, since, again, you need it to do a lot of stuff and to keep moving forward. Expertise in general would be a third leg; again, you need it to do the other stuff and to do new stuff. Note that by these criteria, we're already settling into a multipolar (politically/economically) world, because many regions excel at all three and many other regions are gaining competence.

      I couldn't tell you exactly what the next thing-to-have will be. Anything that makes energy cheaper and more plentiful is a terrific game-changer at this point. Everything else that comes to mind is knowledge-and-technology based. Certain nanotech, biotech, and AI advances would be incredible advantages to whoever gets there first, and could possible be the trigger for pulling into the lead for a few decades.

    12. Re:This is how a superpower dies by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      you can have them all, because they are cheap, because they are produced in countries where wages are low.....Sure, eventually it will all come crashing down and we'll all get a rude awakening, but until that happens, I do not think anyone will want to change the current system.

      Typical of America: we overdo something until it springs back and tags us in the face.
         

    13. Re:This is how a superpower dies by ultranova · · Score: 3, Insightful

      America's strength used lie in an immense manufacturing culture, and that's given way to "intellectual property". Instead of dealing with tangibles, America is content to sit behind a desk and let the Chinese labour.

      The problem is not "intellectual property", the problem is service economy. Manufacturing, no matter what you're producing, be it cars or blueprints for them, creates value. Service jobs don't. That's why they pay so badly. As economy increasingly gets all of its growth from services, rather than industry, the amount of stuff - also known as wealth - circulating does not grow. That is why we are seeing so much economic problems.

      The Western world is de-industrializing as all manufacturing jobs are moved to China, and design jobs are following since few people can actually do them well. We are simply returning to the pre-industrial situation where the only ones who have significant amount of wealth are the nobles, and they are so much richer than everyone else that they have a practical monopoly on power as well. Whether this was by design or by accident I can't say, but whichever the reason, the increasing poverty and destruction of Western civilization is in the best interests of our overlords, so it will continue.

      Oh well, another few millenias under ruthless Chinese dictators. When they take over I at least hope they reward our traitors as a traitor deserves. A pity for the children, thought; good thing I don't have them.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    14. Re:This is how a superpower dies by Xyrus · · Score: 1

      Computational speed is actually useless if you have no way to access, store, or process the data being produced in an efficient way.

      The real problem is on the data side. A petaflop system could easily generate peta or exabyte scale data. How do you quickly store and access this data? How do you analyze it? The computations are always fast, but how fast will your app run if it is spending 30% of it's time waiting on IO?

      Computational benchmarks really are pointless when it comes to real system utilization. They give you a possible "best case" scenario, and that's about it.

      --
      ~X~
    15. Re:This is how a superpower dies by Lawrence_Bird · · Score: 1

      Thats a wonderful soapbox speech which has nothing at all to do with supercomputers or the issue at hand. Linpack is no longer the most relevant benchmark and just as we saw in benchmarks for video cards, the system can be gamed to show exceptional performance on the benchmark while failiing to live up to that same standard on real world work. For instance, current and near term systems from IBM are exceptional and place more emphasis on memory bandwidth and power use than just pure compute ability. Focusing just on Linpac is similar to just focusing on clock speed. There are a number of new benchmarks being developed which attempt to quantify performance other than solving sets of dense linear equations.

      See for instance graph500 or green500 or hpc challenge

  4. Curses! by Haedrian · · Score: 3, Funny

    We cannot allow a Supercomputer gap!

    1. Re:Curses! by bosef1 · · Score: 1

      Which, of course, is compounded by the looming "Minesweeper" gap.

    2. Re:Curses! by slick7 · · Score: 1

      We cannot allow a Supercomputer gap!

      When so many countries have super-computers, how do you do a dis-super-computer-ment, to stem the rampant super-computer proliferation?
      Think of the children (OLPC)

      --
      The mind conceives, the body achieves, the spirit manifests.
  5. War races by gmuslera · · Score: 1

    At difference with War Games, playing is the only way that everyone wins.

    1. Re:War races by slick7 · · Score: 1

      At difference with War Games, playing is the only way that everyone wins.

      However, a glitch in the form factor on CPU APN/25689721/2A (Made in China) calculates that the game is winnable, ..
      Initiate countdown...
      Launch all missiles...

      --
      The mind conceives, the body achieves, the spirit manifests.
  6. True to an extent by GigsVT · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If you really need to crunch a lot of numbers and are willing to spend a lot to do it, it often makes more sense to develop an ASIC or FPGA type solution. I know the EFF put together a key cracking system for $250,000 that would probably still blow modern supercomputers out of the water for that specific application.

    --
    I've had enough abrasive sigs. Kittens are cute and fuzzy.
    1. Re:True to an extent by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      http://www.conveycomputer.com/products.html

      People realize that and have created a not absurdly expensive solution.

    2. Re:True to an extent by Fulcrum+of+Evil · · Score: 1

      Nah, just get a fast GPU and use this.

      --
      "We returned the General to El Salvador, or maybe Guatemala, it's difficult to tell from 10,000 feet"
  7. And while we're at it by hammarlund · · Score: 2

    "Mr. President, we must not allow a mineshaft gap!"

    1. Re:And while we're at it by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1, Insightful

      The president is already shafting anybody with a mind.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    2. Re:And while we're at it by slick7 · · Score: 1

      "Mr. President, we must not allow a mineshaft gap!"

      "Mr. President, we must not allow a goatse gap!"

      --
      The mind conceives, the body achieves, the spirit manifests.
    3. Re:And while we're at it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nice.

      Best post ever on slashdot. Parent needs to be at +6.

  8. If the rules are stupid, then you change them by Brannon · · Score: 1, Troll

    If you honestly think that the US can't cable together thousands of US GPU's in order to set yet another meaningless Linpack milestone, then you are not that bright.

    1. Re:If the rules are stupid, then you change them by jbssm · · Score: 2

      If you honestly think that the US can't cable together thousands of US GPU's in order to set yet another meaningless Linpack milestone, then you are not that bright.

      US GPU's? Funny, I thought they where all manufactured in China. Oh let me check my NVIDIA GTX 570 box ... yeah that's right, they ARE made in China.

    2. Re:If the rules are stupid, then you change them by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      The board is assembled in China. For semiconductor production (the actual GPU) NVIDIA uses Global Foundaries, a US company. Their newest facility and the most advanced fab in the world is not far from where my brother lives.

      http://fab2construction.com/

    3. Re:If the rules are stupid, then you change them by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      LOL!! You're such a moron it isn't even funny....

    4. Re:If the rules are stupid, then you change them by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Global Foundries is now owned by a UAE consortium, Abu Dhabi's Advanced Technology Investment Co.,, AMD sold it off. NVidia is manufactured by TSMC not GF anyways.
      Fab 1 is in Dresden, Germany
      Fab 7 is in Singapore
      Fab 8 is the one being built in Saratoga County, New York
      Other fabs used to be owned by Chartered Semiconductor.

      TSMC is in Taiwan.
      So far neither AMD/ATI nor Nvidia have had any GPUs made by GF.

  9. Re:Chapter 1 by Iceykitsune · · Score: 1

    Warning: PDF!

    --
    GENERATION 24: The first time you see this, copy it into your sig on any forum and add 1 to the generation. Social exper
  10. so will the public have (cheap) access? by monkyyy · · Score: 0

    while they are sitting there doing nothing waiting for cyber mutual assured destruction

    --
    warning pointless sig
  11. When spending money on a supercomputer by Lord+Lode · · Score: 1

    When spending money on a supercomputer, wouldn't you do it to do something useful with it? I'm sure if it gets built, it's built and optimized for a certain purpose other than just being in spot 1 of the Top500 list. On the other hand, if someone does spend the money on a supercomputer purely to have it be in spot 1, well, it's their money and their choice...

  12. Hahahaa. external threats again. by unity100 · · Score: 0

    so that people can sleep like morons, forgetting that the current government is practicing a worse type of censorship and repression on all freedoms in collaboration with private interests - worldwide too. popping up one censorship method after another, pressurizing foreign governments to implement censorship laws, trying to label journalists who go 'out of line' as terrorists ....

    just like it was with 'terror' an external threat needs to be invented so that all kinds of practices violating freedoms can be justified.

    censorship ? we are doing it for security on internet.

    1. Re:Hahahaa. external threats again. by Godskitchen · · Score: 1

      so that people can sleep like morons...

      How do intelligent people sleep? I used to think that while I slept, I sipped tea (with both pinkies elevated), composed symphonies and pondered the financial situation over in France; but alas, my wife has informed me that I just drool into my pillow and mumble incoherently.

  13. It's not the supercomputer, it's the software by pclminion · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The "race" is not about the hardware. All modern supercomputers are massively clustered, using various shared memory architectures. The technology is commodity level, and even a small sum like $10 million can buy a SHITLOAD of hardware. The challenge, and the point of competition, is the creation of software technologies and algorithms to effectively make use of clustered hardware. It's a question of who has the best minds working on the software. The hardware is a given. People have constructed impressive massively parallel processors using game consoles, after all.

    It's the programmers, not the supercomputer makers, who will make the difference in this "race."

    1. Re:It's not the supercomputer, it's the software by alexo · · Score: 1

      The technology is commodity level, and even a small sum like $10 million can buy a SHITLOAD of hardware.

      Would you mind lending me a small sum?

    2. Re:It's not the supercomputer, it's the software by dkf · · Score: 1

      All modern supercomputers are massively clustered, using various shared memory architectures.

      Actually, they do very little memory sharing because it doesn't scale at all. Shared memory systems top out at on the order of 1k cores, after which the memory backbone becomes just too damn expensive, even by supercomputer standards. Instead, supercomputers use message passing (especially various MPI implementations) over what is still very fast dedicated interconnect. Algorithms have to be very carefully written to take good advantage of that sort of system. (Some will actually have a mix of technologies, being essentially a cluster of smaller shared-memory machines, with the programming model being mainly OpenMP within each smaller unit, and MPI between them. But that's getting a bit esoteric and difficult to develop for.)

      To my mind, it makes much sense (where possible) to split the program up into smaller pieces that can run pretty much independently on commodity hardware. That fits an awful lot of scientific and engineering problems, and scaling up to full datasets is just a matter of using more nodes. I've been doing such things successfully (using both clusters and the cloud) for some time now. The systems we use don't enter into the top500 but we've got access to lots of them, and can process full parameter sweeps and datasets quite fast enough to be really useful.

      --
      "Little does he know, but there is no 'I' in 'Idiot'!"
    3. Re:It's not the supercomputer, it's the software by Xyrus · · Score: 1

      The technology is commodity level

      No. No it isn't. Supercomputers require high-speed optical interconnects and extremely fast switches to handle the bandwidth from massive computations with sub-millisecond latency. The coms hardware alone alone will run you into the millions for any decent powered supercomputer. Then you start getting to blades which use high reliability components, ultra-fast drives, and even customized hardware in some cases. Then you've got the cost for maintaining and administering the system, which is far from cheap. Then the power, cooling system, etc. . All in all, it takes millions to buy the hardware and millions to maintain it.

      $10 million won't buy you much for a good super computer. Even a low end supercomputer will probably cost about $1million with an annual upkeep of about half that. You can take that money and build yourself a grid out of commodity hardware, but it won't perform anywhere near what a supercomputer is capable of. And you still have to deal with all the other costs as well.

      People have constructed impressive massively parallel processors using game consoles, after all.

      Yes, and those are useful for embarrassingly parallel problems. Most problems are not. For example, a climate model would run orders of magnitude slower on a cluster than they would on a supercomputer just from the latencies.

      It's the programmers, not the supercomputer makers, who will make the difference in this "race."

      Actually, it's neither. Computational scientist already do a good job utilizing the hardware (GP-GPU programming is a little more recent so that may take more time). The real problem to solve is going to be data management. Peta-scale sized problems are going to require peta-scale sized data management, and that's not trivial. It's pointless to have a really fast machine and really fast algorithms if you cannot access, utilize, and store the data quickly and efficiently. In fact, this has been a top topic of conversation at supercomputing conferences.

      --
      ~X~
  14. Idle time by betterunixthanunix · · Score: 1

    A lot of supercomputers are not used to their fullest extent; often, this is because scientists either do not know how to program a supercomputer, or do not have enough data, or have computations that are not easily parallelized. Some supercomputer centers have started renting their time to Wall St. firms, because there is not enough demand from scientists or engineers.

    --
    Palm trees and 8
    1. Re:Idle time by Monkeedude1212 · · Score: 1

      Dan Brown led me to believe the Gov't used their supercomputers to break encryption on emails and other net traffic to catch various criminals.

      But then again, thats probably too smart an Idea to have actually been implemented.

    2. Re:Idle time by hardburn · · Score: 2

      You only see that in Dan Brown novels because it's too dumb of an idea to be actually implemented. Short of a massive breakthrough in computer speeds that they've somehow managed to keep secret, even all the secret government supercomputers in the world would have a hard time breaking AES-128 or RSA-4096 in a reasonable amount of time.

      If the government needs to break somebody's crypto, it's done through side-channel attacks. Anything else is a waste of effort.

      --
      Not a typewriter
  15. Yeah. by Godskitchen · · Score: 1

    'cuz we wouldn't want China to discover the eleventy-billionith prime number before we do.

    1. Re:Yeah. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh, come on... everyone knows the eleventy-billionith digit of pi is way more important.

    2. Re:Yeah. by Sulphur · · Score: 1

      Oh, come on... everyone knows the eleventy-billionith digit of pi is way more important.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simon_Plouffe

  16. The Voice Of Reason. by Toon+Moene · · Score: 1

    'While it would be imprudent to allow ourselves to fall significantly behind our peers with respect to scientific performance benchmarks that have demonstrable practical significance, a single-minded focus on maintaining clear superiority in terms of flops count is probably not in our national interest,"

    Now try to explain *that* to your TayPartists ...

  17. Let's look at the bigger picture, why don't we? by cashman73 · · Score: 2
    If we look at the top 10 on the TOP500 list, it's still pretty dominated by the USA:

    1. Tianhe-1A (China)
    2. Jaguar (USA, ORNL)
    3. Nebulae (China)
    4. TSUBAME (Japan)
    5. Hopper (USA, LBNL)
    6. Tera-100 (France)
    7. Roadrunner (USA, LANL)
    8. Kraken (USA, UT)
    9. JUGENE (Germany)
    10. Cielo (USA, LANL)

    So, let's see -- half of the top ten are in the USA, two in China, two in Europe, and one in Japan. Granted, China is catching up (rapidly), but if you look beyond the #1 spot, the USA still pretty dominates the overall list. Expand this list out beyond the top ten, and SEVEN supercomputers from 11-20 are also in the USA (11-16 & 18), one is in Russia (17), and two in South Korea (19 & 20). So let's not all freak out here about China stealing the #1 and #3 slots on the list -- the USA still has quite a bit more computational resources than the Chinese,. . .

    1. Re:Let's look at the bigger picture, why don't we? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Whatever, commie. Amurica should be #1! Woooooo!

    2. Re:Let's look at the bigger picture, why don't we? by Fallen+Kell · · Score: 1

      Whatever to you too. In the Top500 you are almost always only number 1 for 6 months, maybe a year top. It takes about that long for the next generation of CPU's to be available and someone to put just the same number of computers/processors together as you just did and have a 5-10% increase in overall speed. There comes a point where you have enough computing power to do whatever you are trying to do. And once you hit that point, a faster/more powerful supercomputer would not help you if it is sitting idle. I you can't fill your supercomputer with at least 60-70% average load 24x7 with peaks of 100% you are wasting it.

      --
      We were all warned a long time ago that MS products sucked, remember the Magic 8 Ball said, "Outlook not so good"
    3. Re:Let's look at the bigger picture, why don't we? by pspahn · · Score: 2

      Yeah, but China's #1 system is the Tianhe-1A. 1A, which probably means it's the first one. Just wait until they get to 1B, 1C, etc. Alas, woe is us.

      --
      Someone flopped a steamer in the gene pool.
    4. Re:Let's look at the bigger picture, why don't we? by cashman73 · · Score: 1

      Actually, Tianhe-1 was their first, so Tianhe-1A is the second generation.

    5. Re:Let's look at the bigger picture, why don't we? by boreddotter · · Score: 1

      a nice graph showing the US is way ahead of everyone else can be found here http://www.top500.org/charts/list/36/countries

  18. "Mr President, we face a petaflop gap" by opencity · · Score: 1

    "The Republicans/Democrats/Whigs are dangerously naive about Soviet/Al Qaida/Chinese/Brazilian intentions regarding multicore MIMD instruction code. We must maintain supremacy in cyberspace to protect FREEDOM."

    This would be almost as good as a bridge across the Pacific for keeping cold warriors busy.

    --
    Physics is like sex: sure, it may give some practical results, but that's not why we do it.
  19. if you describe everything in terms of war by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    you're always at war -- might as well kill yourself

  20. How a Superpower Rules by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 4, Informative

    The advice to the president doesn't change rules for "fastest supercomputer". It tells the president not to be suckered into a supercomputer race measured on only the FLOPS, but rather on more useful performance measures. Because getting sidetracked into less useful metrics to see who's winning the race will waste US resources in winning the race, but not producing the most useful computer. And the US interest is in producing the most useful computer, not in nominally winning the race.

    In fact, that report says "let China dominate the Top500, if the US still has the better computers". Which is exactly what I want the US doing, and what I prefer China to be doing rather than leaving the US behind in actual usefulness.

    But if you want to get caught up in "the USA is dead" trip that leads into traps that actually would hurt the US if acted on, go ahead. You're not having any effect on the US supercomputer effort.

    --

    --
    make install -not war

    1. Re:How a Superpower Rules by UBfusion · · Score: 1

      There is substance and there are appearances and perceived effect (within US and globally).

      Being #1 in supercomputer power is the 2010 perceived equivalent of technological superiority as was the 1969 landing of the first man on the Moon. I may not be an expert on NASA history, but I bet that there were big debates at the time whether the latter was actually a "useful performance measure" or a "waste of US resources".

      In such a perspective the boundaries between substance, appearances and theater (as is insightfully suggested in some of the comments) can get very blurry.

    2. Re:How a Superpower Rules by blind+monkey+3 · · Score: 2

      I don't believe the US is dead int the water - far from it, they I believe they are still leaders in technological innovation - but it seems a strange time to come out and say "we're not racing" after you've just been overtaken.
      The U.S. has been a willing and active participant in this so call race for the "biggest and best" for a long time, they have just been over taken for number 1 spot and now all of a sudden it is not important.
      Far better to say nothing and concentrate on what you believe is the correct path to take.

      --
      BM3
    3. Re:How a Superpower Rules by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The reason the US was overtaken in this particular metric is that the US is no longer devoting resources to being at the top of it, because those resources go into being top in the other metrics that actually do matter. The Chinese moved into the top spot after it ceased to be the most important.

      This report is advising the president not to be tricked into wasting resources competing with China in that less important category at the expense of retaining leadership in the other categories.

      The US doesn't build the tallest skyscrapers anymore, because we built an even bigger suburban infrastructure around cities, making such density less valuable. Other countries that do build the world's tallest building (for a while) are either wasting their time, or competing in an unnecessary race the US has no real value anymore in winning.

      The US has a largely transparent government, and this advice from an advisory group to the president is good advice. Far better to compete in what matters, and to tell the truth about why. If the president were in the critical path to building the tallest buildings, the focus away from them to other development patterns would have become better known, though just as aptly practiced.

      The people who misunderstand this report and the US compliance with it are not important in the supercomputer industry. Just as people who whine that the US doesn't have the world's tallest buildings anymore aren't important to the construction industry.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

  21. This is progress by Drakkenmensch · · Score: 0

    The race to shave yet another hundred of a thousandth of a second when launching your Minesweeper game.

  22. Re:Chapter 1 by .tekrox · · Score: 1

    OH NOES

  23. Ah... by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 0

    I love the warm, comforting smell of a "national security problem" that can be solved by giving IBM some of my money, rather than one of those genuinely difficult ones like flushing the peasants with small arms out of some sandbox hellhole or doing something that actually improves airline security, rather than harassing pilots who point out problems...

  24. Lesser of 1.23 x 10^24 evils by MacGyver2210 · · Score: 0

    This is laughable, but I can't tell what is funnier:

    The fact that the government thinks they know shit about computers,

    or the fact that they think they can do it better than any other technologically-advanced country in the world right now.

    --
    If the only way you can accept an assertion is by faith, then you are conceding that it can't be taken on its own merits
  25. Look who's here... by emoreau · · Score: 1

    Craig Mundie Chief Research and Strategy Officer Microsoft Corporation I thing Microsoft is tired of not being in the top500. They will promote new benchmarks instead of the ones that make them look bad. And there are rumours on Windows for ARM on servers. I say Mr. Mundie, I can see what your strategy is all about...

  26. Linpack is crap by Theovon · · Score: 2

    Ok, not entirely worthless. Linear algebra is used in loads and loads HPC workloads, but Linpack as a benchmark is NOT prepresentative of a typical real-world HPC workload. It focuses on peak flops, leaving behind things like inter-node bandwidth and latency, which are crucial for many important, real scientific supercomputing tasks.

    Our CSE department chair recently quotes an article he read. To paraphrase, we're heading to the point where computation is going to be basically free, and what costs all the energy will be moving the data around. This is true for several reasons. One is the recent trend towards near-threshold computing. Ultra-low voltage (i.e. 400mV, when 900mV is nominal Vdd) can save 100x on power. It costs us 10x on speed, but now we can pack in 100x as many nodes into the same power and cooling budget, allowing for a 10x increase in aggregate throughput. But this works best for highly parallel and communication-heavy workloads. Fortunately, for many important areas (bombs, climate simulations, astronomy, real-time raytracing), this is the case. And moreover, people are getting better at parallelizing work.

  27. Singularity by BattleWaryMushroom · · Score: 1

    is coming.

    1. Re:Singularity by religious+freak · · Score: 1

      Agreed. I very much doubt we are modeling weather patterns or nuclear explosions anymore. People know an AGI will be created at some point in the future. Some people (including myself) believe that it is highly probable the AGI will be created in the next few decades. Given the huge advantage an AI could create, how could a superpower (or an aspiring superpower) NOT act to create one? Even if the odds are .01% an AGI will be created, a loss in this area means a loss in any conflict. Therefore a power MUST try to create one.

      Incidentally, people have thought about this kind of stuff. Factions competing for creation of an AI will very likely lead to a "hard takeoff". This is thought to be the worst of all ways to create an AI because the power and "mentality" of such a thing cannot be well controlled. Much better to collaboratively work together as a species to create a benign and useful partner - but why the hell would we go and do something sensible like that? Instead we'll get what we deserve.. whatever that may be. Fuck

      --
      If you can read this... 01110101 01110010 00100000 01100001 00100000 01100111 01100101 01100101 01101011
    2. Re:Singularity by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

      What is AGI?

      Also, if by "trying to create an AGI" you mean "improving computer fabrication"*, we can talk. But I somehow doubt that is ocurring inside a superpower.

      * Using computers to improve computers. Looks like the beggining of a singularity, doesn't it? Happening since late 90's. Sometimes I think people think too much of the (next) Singularity.

    3. Re:Singularity by religious+freak · · Score: 1

      Artificial General Intelligence. AI is generally referred to as the specific expert systems and AGI is something more "humanlike" in that it can attack general problems without specific domain knowledge.

      Yeah, I do believe humans will be disadvantaged in terms of computing power relative to machines in a few decades. That will very likely lead to "the singularity" in my estimation. Any time I tell non-tech folks about this, they think I'm nuts. And most tech folks think the idea is similarly nuts. Oh well, luckily for me, I'm not proselytising and don't need to be. It'll either happen or it won't!

      --
      If you can read this... 01110101 01110010 00100000 01100001 00100000 01100111 01100101 01100101 01101011
    4. Re:Singularity by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

      That is one place we disagree. I think the combination of humans + machines will still be way more powerfull than just machines in 2 or 3 decades*. We'll have a chance to jump on it before we are completely outcompeted.

      Anyway, some people jumped on the industrial (or scientific) revolution, outcompeting the ones who didn't. Ditto for the agriculture (or writting) revolution of the neolitics, and it probably happened some times before that.

      * that is the timeframe moore's law say it will happen. I, personaly think it will be more like 3 to 4, semiconductors reaching some technical barriers nowadays. Well, unless something like nanoassemblers are created earlier, in what case, it could be any time from today on.

    5. Re:Singularity by religious+freak · · Score: 1

      True. I actually do not disagree with you there, necessarily. It could go either way. But I would think it's more probable that a machine will obtain some level of autonomous "thought" and "understanding" before we can adequately meld humans with them. I would be surprised if the progress of neural/machine interfaces was as rapid as the AGI algorithms which are currently being researched, especially when the raw horsepower of processing capability is being doubled roughly every 18 months. But... it certainly is possible a human will find a way to augment their brain before a true AGI is created.

      Of course, you hit the nail on the head in that I do have a certain blind faith in Moore's law continuing. Generally I believe this will happen because it does seem to be the way processing change occurs, as Kurzweil famously says "back to the 1890 census" and probably before.

      --
      If you can read this... 01110101 01110010 00100000 01100001 00100000 01100111 01100101 01100101 01101011
  28. Mr. President, we must not allow... by Chas · · Score: 1

    A mine shaft gap!

    --


    Chas - The one, the only.
    THANK GOD!!!
  29. Do a quick calculation by betterunixthanunix · · Score: 1

    Let's suppose you can perform one AES128 decryption per millisecond. How many cores would you need to brute force a single key within a decade (keeping in mind that brute force is the only publicly known ciphertext-only attack on AES)? Now, how many cores does the world's fastest (known) supercomputer have?

    There is a reason that only Dan Brown novels portray supercomputers breaking modern ciphers. It is true that the NSA is believed to have a very powerful supercomputer (or perhaps several) at its disposal, but I doubt that it is used to crack modern ciphers; more likely, they are using it to analyze non-encrypted data from all their signals intelligence work, or perhaps to derive as much information as possible from encrypted transmissions (where the transmission originated, when it was sent, how big it is was, etc.).

    --
    Palm trees and 8
  30. Fair enough by Brannon · · Score: 2

    China does the manufacturing--but the chips are designed in the US by US companies. Those companies chose to locate their manufacturing in China because labor is so cheap there.

    None of this addresses the main point, that Linpack isn't a particularly useful metric.

    1. Re:Fair enough by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They are designed in the US. The Chinese modify the masks to add the back door for PLA surveillance (a little circuit that allows code to run in ring 0 or kernel space works just nicely), then gets them into silicon.

  31. The race that matters... by gestalt_n_pepper · · Score: 1

    isn't supercomputers, per se, but AI. The first country that develops scalable human-like AI wins. Period. End of story.

    Naturally this isn't even on the *radar* of the leadership of the USA, whose government is dominated by lawyers and financiers, not engineers.

    --
    Please do not read this sig. Thank you.
    1. Re:The race that matters... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And why do you think that is? I have a theory: Engineers are worthless pieces of apathetic shit. People joke about lawyers squeezing blood out of stone, but you could squeeze more empathy out of a stone than an engineer. It's a consequence of being a techno-techno - they only need priests now, and we're getting there, after all, what are "evangelists" if not the techno-techno priests? One day you'll be hailing the TechnoPope. Lawyers and financiers, on the other hand, are very good are pretending to be human. It works like a charm. I suppose it's because, unlike engineers, they used to be people.

      I am therefore in favor of exterminating them all. Along with the lawyers, financiers, politicans, dentists, government officials of any and every kind, pre-school teachers, psychologists, sociologists, linguists and all other worthless scum. DEATH TO YE ALL!!!!

      All hail the New Flesh.

    2. Re:The race that matters... by religious+freak · · Score: 1

      Oooh, I don't know if our leaders deserve quite that much vitriol. At least our current ones. Putting partisan politics aside as much as possible, I think it's fair to say that Obama's cozy relationship with Erik Schmidt of Google almost guarantees he has heard about the possible implications of a scalable AGI. And I think Obama is with it (I'm speaking of technology) enough to understand and not immediately dismiss the implications of this. Why do you think the dept of energy constantly funds these supercomputers and supercomputer research? I have hope that we're not quite as obtuse as many would believe. Similar lawyers and financiers had the foresight to finance a very expensive project to split the atom about 60 years ago.

      --
      If you can read this... 01110101 01110010 00100000 01100001 00100000 01100111 01100101 01100101 01101011
    3. Re:The race that matters... by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      that was the military-industrial complex....if they fund and make the AI, it's the skynet / terminator scenario.

  32. Pull or push by owlstead · · Score: 1

    It's about the same idea that some government in NL has to invest in fiber tech. Personally, I don't think that is the way to do it. The idea is to invest in internet content that *possibly* requires high speed internet. The high speed internet will follow. Of course, sometimes you have to push technology a bit as well. But the way to do that is investing in research and small scale try-outs. If the technology succeeds in the try-outs, leave it to the market to fill in demand. I think there are loads upon loads of specialized problems waiting for a supercomputer. Focus on those that need a specialized computer with specialized tech, and make initial investments to succeed in a non-commercial setup. The commercial applications will follow automatically if the tech becomes available.

    Personally, I think that creating additional methods to measure speed are absolutely idiotic. They are only interesting to make yet another list of high speed computers. The only way to success is rather simply to solve problems, the computers themselves are only a means. Creating these lists is like comparing dicks, and that's a rather sad thing to do with scientific equipment.

  33. Oscar worthy comment by UBfusion · · Score: 1

    If another country starts to outshine you, try changing the rules.

    Is this Rule 2012?

    I nominate your comment for an Oscar in the "2010 most insightful Slashdot comments" category.

  34. Yawn... by ka9dgx · · Score: 1

    It's so obvious how to blow the doors off the competition in this race... if everything is all hitting the limits of the Von Neuman wall... go around it with something like a BitGrid, which is a reconfigurable systolic array granular down to the bit level. Using the latest memristors with this idea it should be quite feasible to build Exaflop computers for the desktop.

  35. Replace Linpakc with graphpack ? by Meeni · · Score: 1

    Just commenting on the summary. Why does it propose to replace linpack with Graphpack exactly ? I understand that linpack catches only a subpart of the application workload patterns, but so does graph500. Both are important, and it is not a matter of changing the benchmark, but to complete the benchmark. Fortunately, the HPC Challenge have been around for quite a time, and does exactly that: measuring the machine in a variety of metric, and giving a summary of the capabilities regarding different relevant aspects.

  36. Re: Serious danger to Tokyo by Douglas+Goodall · · Score: 1

    Now having decided not to use plasma based power systems, Tokyo is again on the verge of another round of massive destruction. I have been studying this, and I am fairly sure that these new supercomputers will emit electromagnetic frequencies that will attract Godzilla, and perhaps other dangerous monsters currently at rest. We would have to ask the twin fairies to be sure, but I think this is a dire threat to Shibuya, and surrounding areas. Having lived there, I would hate to see it destroyed again.

  37. Since when by gearloos · · Score: 1

    Since when do we get tech advise from the likes of those occupying the White House? Just because you know how to lie and deceive the public does not make you an authority on anything technical.

    --
    "Computers are a lot like Air Conditioners" "They both work great until you start opening Windows"
  38. Goodharts law by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So this is basically Goodharts law applied to supercomputers.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goodharts_law

  39. Amazon? by dragin33 · · Score: 1

    Why don't they just rent the Amazon cloud??